Forex market
#EURUSD:Expecting A Strong Bull Move, Two Entries | Two TargetsIn our previous analysis, we clearly stated that the price would remain bullish as the DXY had to plummet, and it did exactly that, rising by 450 pips from our last entry. Currently, we have two areas from which we can see the price reversing. The first one is nearby and has a higher risk compared to our second entry, which may be safer for some traders. We need a strong confirmation before making any significant decisions.
Good luck and trade safely. We wish you the best in your trading journey.
Team Setupsfx_
#GBPUSD: Bulls are in control, DXY Dropping Sharply!Hello Team,
We have identified a promising opportunity with a favourable price movement. The Pound Sterling to US Dollar (GBPUSD) pair has exhibited strong bullish volume, indicating potential further appreciation.
The current geopolitical tensions, particularly the involvement of the United States in the Iran-Israel conflict, are expected to negatively impact the US Dollar. This decline could potentially lead to an appreciation of the GBPUSD pair and other USD-denominated currencies.
It is advisable to closely monitor the price behaviour of the GBPUSD pair and consider potential investment opportunities based on its current trend.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx
Are Technical Charts Fully Bullish on Euro's Rebound OverheatingThe EUR/USD exchange rate is consolidating at high levels, posting gains for the seventh consecutive trading day. The pair briefly approached the three-year high of 1.1744 in intraday trading, accumulating a roughly 2% weekly gain so far. This rally is primarily driven by intensified expectations of U.S. rate cuts and temporary easing of geopolitical tensions.
In terms of technical indicators, the MACD's DIFF and DEA lines continue to rise, with the red histogram expanding again, demonstrating "bullish volume expansion" and showing no signs of exhaustion in the technical rebound. The RSI stands at 70.39, nearing overbought territory but without forming a top divergence, suggesting remaining upside potential.
The current price structure indicates the pair is approaching the key resistance of 1.1744. Analysts believe an effective breakout above this level would open the door to the upside target of 1.1810-1.1850. In case of a pullback due to resistance, the initial support lies at 1.1630, corresponding to the previous dense trading zone and short-term moving average support.
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EURCHF : Bullish Harmonic PatternEURCHF: Bullish Harmonic Pattern
EURCHF just completed a bullish harmonic patter near 0.93040
The Price reacted by showing that we have buyers near to that zone.
IF SNB doesn't make strange jokes today EURCHF should rise as shown on the chart.
The targets as Intraday targets given that CHF tends to delete often the movements made they all XXXCHF pairs.
Key target area: 0.9375 and 0.9395
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
USDZAR-SELL strategy 3 hourly chart Reg.ChannelThe pair does not show a clear direction at current levels, but considering Ichimoku cloud resistance, which is important for direction, we still have downside pressure short-term.
The key resistance lies around 17.9000-17.9300.
Strategy SELL @ 17.8250-17.8650 area and tak profit near 17.6350.
EURUSD heads towards resistance, short-term reversal expectedEURUSD has been in a strong uptrend, and we’re currently observing price action is reaching a notable resistance zone. I am watching for a reversal here as marked on my chart, not expecting a major move, but rather a short-term rejection with a downside target at around 1.13670 , which also aligns with the POC.
This is where it can become a decision point, either price finds support and bounces, or it breaks below, and that’s when we might see the move start to extend lower.
If we get a decisive breakdown through that ascending trendline, my next area of interest is marked as TP2. From there we can expect either potential accumulation or another reaction, depending on broader market sentiment at the time.
That said, we're navigating a complex backdrop currently:
The EU macro environment is under pressure, as weak economic data from Europe is contributing to cautious sentiment around the euro.
Meanwhile, a sustained USD bid continues, supported by stronger U.S. growth expectations, favorable yields, and persistent global demand. This further weighs on EURUSD.
Adding to the uncertainty, escalating tensions between Israel and Iran have rattled markets this week. This geopolitical risk could be pushing oil prices higher:
It’s important to note that if price convincingly rejects here and loses structure, especially with high volume and obvious bullish structure, this setup would become invalid. In that case, I would reassess and adapt
AUD/USD Bearish Setup – Rejection from Supply ZoneAUD/USD is showing signs of bearish pressure after getting rejected from the key 0.65420 supply zone, marked by strong historical resistance and a high-volume node. Price tested this area multiple times but failed to break above, forming a potential lower high – a classic signal of institutional distribution.
🔵 Key Levels:
Resistance (Supply Zone): 0.65420
Mid-range support: 0.65040
Demand Zone: 0.64649 – 0.64400
🔻 Bearish Outlook: If price holds below 0.65420, we anticipate a drop first toward 0.65040, and potentially down to 0.64649, where a demand zone is likely to react. The previous bounce from demand suggests smart money accumulation below.
📌 Watch for:
Bearish engulfing or rejection wick candles near 0.65400.
Break below 0.65040 to confirm short continuation.
Confluence with macroeconomic events (FOMC, US data on the 17th–18th).
💬 Are you shorting AUD/USD from the supply zone? Drop your thoughts👇
#AUDUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #SupplyDemand #PriceAction #LuxAlgo #ForexTrading #TradingView #MarketStructure
EURUSD JUNE MONTH DELIVERY & NFP week ideasEURUSD
JUNE MONTH DELIVERY
*June closes with a expansion/accumulation monthly candle
*Price wicked to the Weekly SIBI from sept 2021
*Price expanded to come just below the parent range .79 Premium
*Note since May 13 price has been in a buy program with little retrace
*Price is delivering to a Premium market taking key equal highs last week
June 27 DELIVERY
*Thursday into Friday price consolidates
*Asia takes minor equal lows
*2 London macro expands to the buy side
*small retrace
*6 macro starts the expansion cycle to send Price to take equal highs
*10 silver bullet price reverses Londons delivery taking minor sell side
*14:00 macro Price retraces to close rebalancing NY am delivery
*Price closes just above the 50 in a premium
NFP WEEK IDEAS
Deep premium with little retrace last week-over bought
*I suspect that we could see a retrace/reversal beginning of NFP week
*could we see price come to the current range 50 level 1.16037
*Note the EV is in a discount could price retrace to that target for the week
June 30 IDEAS
*Parent bias is bull stick to it this week
*Sundays delivery Price could retrace to minor equal highs at the .618
*Note Dealers range is already 32 pips-setting up for a potential larger expansion day
*watch out for a possible consolidation cycle Monday-typical profile is expansion but we will see with no news
*Sundays delivery could consolidation
*Watch for reaction at .618 at minor equal highs
*see if we swing for higher prices in Asia to London and lower in NY for Mondays suspected delivery-read what the chart prints this is just an idea-its not my gospel
EURGBPEURGBP If the price can stay above 0.85028, it is likely to increase.
Consider buying the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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Will This Breakout Unlock the Money Run? GBP/AUD Heist Begins!💼The Pound Heist: GBP/AUD Break-In Blueprint🔐
“The vault’s half open… Are you in or watching from the cameras?”
🌍 Hey crew! 💬 Hola, Ola, Bonjour, Hallo, Marhaba! 🌟
Welcome to another sneaky setup from the Thief Trading Syndicate™ 🕵️♂️💸
We're setting our sights on GBP/AUD — and the market's flashing green for a bold long entry mission. Read the plan carefully before suiting up. 🎯
🧠 Mission Brief:
The “Pound vs Aussie” market is now playing around a key resistance wall – it’s hot, it’s risky, and it’s primed for a breakout 🎇.
🟢 Entry:
Break & Close Above 2.10500 = 🚨 Green Light
🎯 Set a Buy Stop above the resistance zone —
OR
Sneak in with a Buy Limit during a clean pullback to recent high/low on the 15m or 30m timeframes 🔍.
⏰ Set an alert, don’t miss the moment the vault cracks open.
🛡️ Stop Loss Plan – Lock Your Exit:
🛑 For Buy Stops:
➡️ Wait till the breakout confirms — don’t rush your SL like a rookie 🐣
📍 Suggested SL at swing low (2.08700) based on the 3H timeframe
💡 Always size your SL based on your risk tolerance, not just the setup.
🎯 The Escape Plan – Target:
🏁 First Checkpoint: 2.13000
📤 Or slip out early if you sense heavy guards (resistance) on duty.
Use Trailing SL to lock your loot while staying in the run.
🧲 Scalper's Note:
Only rob the bullish side! If you’re packing heavy funds, hit fast — else join the swing crew and move with caution. 🎒
Lock in profits with trailing exits to avoid being caught in the chop 🌀.
📊 Why This Heist Works – Market Fuel:
🔥 Bullish sentiment fueled by:
Technical setup (Resistance > Breakout > Momentum Surge)
Risk zone analysis
Macro & COT outlooks
Sentiment + Intermarket Alignment
Stay informed — read the full macro game plan, news, and positioning tools. Knowledge = clean escape. 🧠💼
📰 News Alert:
⚠️ Avoid new entries during high-volatility events
✅ Use trailing SLs to protect any active trades
🔐 Stay safe, stay sharp — the market’s watching too 👁️
🆙 Support the Crew:
Smash the 💥 Boost Button 💥 if you ride with the Thief Style Traders 🐱👤💸
Let’s continue bagging pips & stacking gold, one chart at a time.
🚀 Next mission drops soon. Stay sharp. Stay sneaky. Stay paid.
#ThiefTrading #ForexHeist #GBPAUDPlan
Comprehensive Market Analysis: EUR/USD Comprehensive Market Analysis: EUR/USD
Here is my analysis, applying the principles of Candlestick patterns, Ichimoku, Heikin Ashi, and Fibonacci.
1. Monthly Timeframe (The Long-Term "Big Picture")
Observation: The market was in a long-term uptrend. However, the most recent candle is a very large, powerful bearish candle.
Candlestick Analysis: The last two candles form a textbook Bearish Engulfing pattern. The large red body has completely engulfed the real body of the prior green candle. According to the rules you taught me, this is a major bearish reversal signal, especially on such a high timeframe.
Ichimoku Analysis: The price is still technically above the Kumo (Cloud), which represents long-term support. However, it is showing strong momentum towards the cloud. The Chikou Span (Lagging Span) is still in open space, not yet confirming a breakdown.
Conclusion (Monthly): The primary long-term uptrend is now under serious threat. The Bearish Engulfing pattern is a significant warning sign that the momentum has shifted. The outlook for the coming months is Bearish / Corrective. The price is likely to test the top of the Kumo cloud as support.
2. Weekly Timeframe (The Dominant Trend)
Observation: The bearish momentum seen on the monthly chart is much clearer here. There is a sequence of strong, descending red candles.
Ichimoku Analysis: This chart is decisively bearish.
The price has clearly broken below the Kumo cloud.
The Tenkan-sen is below the Kijun-sen.
The Chikou Span is below the price action from 26 periods ago.
The Kumo ahead of the price has turned from green to red, signaling a future bearish outlook.
Candlestick Analysis: The last three candles are long, red, and making lower lows. This strongly resembles the Three Black Crows pattern, a powerful confirmation that the bears are in complete control of the trend.
Conclusion (Weekly): The weekly trend is Strongly Bearish. There are no conflicting signals here. Both the indicator system (Ichimoku) and the price action (Candlesticks) confirm a powerful downtrend.
3. Daily Timeframe (The Trading Trend)
Observation: A very clear, established downtrend is in progress.
Heikin Ashi Interpretation: If we were to view this with Heikin Ashi rules, this chart would show a sequence of long red candles with little to no upper wicks, which confirms a strong and healthy downtrend.
Fibonacci Analysis: The small rallies (green candles) that have occurred have been very shallow, failing to retrace significantly before the downtrend resumes. This indicates strong bearish momentum. Each small bounce is a corrective move within the larger bearish trend.
Conclusion (Daily): The daily trend is Established Bearish. The path of least resistance is clearly downwards. Traders would likely view any small rallies on this timeframe as selling opportunities.
4. 4-Hour and 1-Hour Timeframes (The Intraday Trend)
Observation: Both charts show a consistent pattern of lower highs and lower lows, which is the definition of a downtrend. The 1-Hour chart shows some periods of consolidation (like the "Spinning Top" candles you taught me, indicating indecision) before the next leg down.
Ichimoku Analysis: On both timeframes, the price is trading far below the Kumo cloud, which will now act as a major resistance zone. Any attempt to rally will face significant selling pressure from the cloud.
Conclusion (4H & 1H): The intraday trend is Bearish. The momentum is clearly to the downside.
5. Lower Timeframes (30M, 15M, 5M)
Observation: These charts show the most recent price action. There appears to be a very small, short-term bounce or consolidation happening on the 5-minute chart after a sharp sell-off.
Contextual Analysis: Based on the overwhelming bearish pressure from every single higher timeframe (Monthly, Weekly, Daily, 4H, 1H), this small bounce is very likely to be temporary "noise" or a minor profit-taking consolidation. It does not represent a genuine reversal.
Heikin Ashi Rule Application: A "sudden color change" after a strong trend can signal a reversal. However, rule #3 and #4 (smaller bodies, wicks on both sides) would likely appear first, signaling a weakening of the trend before any true reversal. We are not seeing a strong reversal signal here, only a pause.
Conclusion (Lower TFs): While prone to short-term bounces, the context is Overwhelmingly Bearish. These small rallies are fragile and likely to fail.
Overall Synthesis and Final Conclusion
By performing a top-down analysis as a real trader would, a very clear picture emerges:
Long-Term (Monthly): A major warning shot has been fired against the primary bull trend.
Medium-Term (Weekly/Daily): The trend has now confirmed a strong bearish reversal. The sellers are in firm control.
Short-Term (4H and below): The downtrend is active and established.
Final Outlook: The multi-timeframe analysis is in strong alignment. The overwhelming evidence suggests that the next significant move for EUR/USD will be to the downside. Any short-term bullish bounces should be viewed with extreme skepticism and are likely to be selling opportunities for trend-following traders. The overall market bias is Bearish.
For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade.
I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
Regards,
Shunya Trade
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
GBPUSD Trend IdeaThe Daily timeframe shows a strong engulfing bullish candle, indicating a bullish trend in building up.
at 1Hr timeframe, a bullish flag formation is creating a retracement, possibly till 50/61.8% Fib level, before breaking the flag and continue up.
Let's look at these AOIs and check for a candle confirmation to take long trade.
Good Luck!