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GBPJPYThe GBPJPY price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The key trading level is at 193.00. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 193.00 level could target the downside support at 189.60 followed by 188.30 and 187.10 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 193.00 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 194.12 resistance followed by 195.30 levels.
by Disco-Dave
GBPUSDOn the 3-Day time frame, the relative strength indicator appears to be forming an inverted head and shoulders pattern formation below the 50 neutral zone. This pattern could boost bullish momentum above both the 50 level and 1.2630 threshold - pushing the RSI towards the 60 zone and testing the 1.28 resistance level. This setup aligns with the trendline connecting the consecutive lower highs from 2014 to 2021. A firm break beyond the 1.28 mark can extend gains towards the 1.2950 level, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level measured from the September 2024 high of 1.3434 to the January 2025 low of 1.21. On the downside, a move below 1.25 may reverse gains toward 1.2360, 1.2280, and 1.21- the final barrier before a potential bearish extension toward 1.17. Key Events to Watch this week: - UK Claimant Count Change (Tuesday) - UK CPI (Wednesday) - UK Flash Manufacturing and Services PMI (Friday)
by Disco-Dave
1
EURUSD- Trending down, sell recommendedThe EURUSD pair has been on a Bullish Leg since the February 09 Low and is approaching the January 27 High, which is its technical Resistance level. Technically, every such test has been rejected down to at least the 0.786 Fibonacci level but since we might be within a Channel Up, it is possible to see one last push to complete a +2.68% rise from the February 09 Low. The 0.786 Fib then will fall below the Channel Up so to account for that technical miss of support, our Target will be the 0.618 Fibonacci level at 1.03125.
Short
by Disco-Dave
EUR/USD H4 Descending Triangle: Short Setup w/ 1:4RRThe EUR/USD is currently trading at 1.04306, showing a slight decline of -0.14% (-0.00148). The pair is forming a descending triangle pattern, which is typically a continuation pattern in a downward trend. Key Technical Levels: - Resistance: 1.04659 (Key resistance level) - Support: 1.03197 (Current support level/PWL) - Value Area: Marked on the chart showing price consolidation Pattern Analysis: The price action has formed a clear descending triangle with: - A flat bottom around 1.03197 - Declining tops, creating a downward sloping resistance line - Decreasing volume during consolidation (visible in the volume bars below) Indicator Analysis: 1. Volume Profile shows: - Major value area between 1.04475 and 1.03197 - Point of Control (POC) appears to be around 1.04423 - Decreasing volume suggesting potential breakout incoming Price Structure: - Currently trading below the PWH (Previous Week High) - Trading within the value area - Showing signs of bearish momentum with lower highs Short-term Outlook: Given the descending triangle formation and the position of key technical levels, the setup appears bearish. The following factors support this view: 1. Price is testing the lower boundary of the value area 2. Declining volume during consolidation 3. Unable to break above 1.04659 resistance 4. Formation of lower highs Trade Setup Parameters: - Entry Price: 1.04379 - Stop Loss: 1.04659 (280 ticks) - Take Profit: 1.03197 (1182 ticks) - Risk: 1.00% - Position Size: 0.5 lots - Account Size: 100,000 Risk/Reward Ratio: The setup offers approximately a 1:4.2 risk-to-reward ratio, which is favorable for a technical setup. Key Levels to Watch: - Break below 1.03197 could accelerate selling pressure - Break above 1.04659 would invalidate the bearish setup - SSL levels at 1.03198 and 1.04225 acting as additional reference points Caution: Traders should be aware of: - Potential weekend gaps as we're near market close - Any fundamental catalysts that could affect EUR/USD - The need for proper position sizing as indicated in the setup This analysis suggests a bearish bias with clear invalidation levels and a favorable risk-reward ratio. However, proper risk management and confirmation of breakout direction are essential before entering any position.
Short
by FXCapitalClub
EURUSD - PoVThe EUR/USD exchange rate is influenced by several economic and political factors, suggesting that the euro may continue to weaken in the coming weeks. On one side, the United States is implementing expansive fiscal policies that could strengthen the dollar, such as economic stimulus and increased public spending. These factors, along with potential protectionist measures like tariffs on Europe, could further weaken the euro by reducing the competitiveness of European exports. Additionally, the **Federal Reserve's** monetary policy, which has raised interest rates to combat inflation, makes the dollar more attractive to investors, increasing demand for the U.S. currency. The United States' energy independence, due to increased domestic production of gas and oil, has also reduced its reliance on imports, which further strengthens the dollar compared to the euro. On the other hand, the Eurozone is facing a series of economic and political challenges that are putting pressure on the single currency. High inflation is eroding purchasing power across the Eurozone, and despite the European Central Bank (ECB) raising interest rates to combat it, economic growth remains slow. This divergence from the United States, where growth has been more dynamic, amplifies the euro's weakness. Moreover, the ongoing energy crisis in Europe, worsened by the war in Ukraine and reduced gas supplies from Russia, has increased costs and slowed the competitiveness of European businesses. In this context, political uncertainties in some Eurozone countries and the ECB’s less aggressive economic management compared to the Fed further contribute to the euro's weakness. Therefore, the strengthening of the dollar, driven by U.S. policies and growing energy independence, and the structural weakness of the Eurozone, are likely to continue pushing the EUR/USD lower in the coming weeks.
by Generazione_X
USD/JPY Technical Analysis - Reversal PointsCurrently, USD/JPY is in a bearish momentum, meaning the price is moving downward. Once this bearish move ends, a bullish reversal is expected. I have marked two key zones where a potential reversal could occur. Potential Reversal Zones (Support Levels): 1. 146.500 - 147.500 → A critical support area where price may bounce and start a bullish move. 2. 143.500 - 144.500 → If the price continues downward, this is the next key level where a bullish reversal could happen. Bullish Targets (Resistance Levels): If a reversal occurs, I expect the price to reach: 1. 156.000 - 157.500 → The first major resistance level. 2. 161.500 - 162.000 → If bullish momentum strengthens, the price may push toward this level. Conclusion : USD/JPY is expected to remain bearish until it reaches one of the identified support zones. If a bullish signal appears at these levels, the price could then push toward the mentioned resistance zones. 🚀
Short
by professionalgoldtrader
CHF/JPY Ready To Go Down , Are You Ready To Get 250 Pips ?Here is my chf/jpy chart and i think it will continue to downside for the next few days , so i`m looking to sell this pair if the price go up a little and retest the area that show in he chart for one more time , and i`m targeting 250 Pips . This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Short
by FX_Elite_Club
USDJPY - Feb 19 2025 Sell position- CLASSIC!Hey everyone! It's been a while since I last posted—I've been busy refining my prop firm account this 2025. Since January 9, USDJPY has been in a successful distribution phase, so I'm now shifting my HTF bias to a sell position. - Currently riding sell positions targeting 1:2R, 1:3R, and 1:5R (intraday trades). Check the charts for details—just a simple price manipulation setup. This time, though, London got manipulated instead of the Asian session. Classic 1:5RR move! #consistency #tradeforaliving #rightpsychology
Short
by glyrad
EURUSD / LONG / 19.02.25⬆️ BUY EUR/USD 19.02.25 💰 Entry: $1.04324 🎯 Goal: $1.05333 ⛔️ Stop: $1.04190 Entry reasons: 1) OSOK: — Week minimum was set on tuesday and price is moving to weekly open level with 15m bullish structure. — Month minimum was set at the first weekly of month and price is above monthly open level. 2) Eliott waves: — 1D: ABCDE — 4H: 1-2, wave 3 is forming. 3) Range: — Price is inside bullish weekly range — Price is inside bullish daily range (correction, 38-50%) 4) Addition arguments: — Testing of big cluster — Divergence (1h) — Downtrend is not confirmed by volumes (low effort and result). Therefore, it's manipulate to create swing point on wednesday. Goal is previous weekly high: $1.05333
Long
by focusprofit
GBPNZD / looks good to buy Given the overall market direction, which remains extremely bullish across multiple timeframes, this trade has a high probability of continuing its upward trajectory. Looking specifically at the 4-hour timeframe, price initially made a strong push to the downside, retested a key area of interest, yet ultimately closed above critical levels—including the monthly and weekly pivots, Fibonacci levels, and the 50-period moving average—forming a high-confluence zone. With recent signs of exhaustion, price may once again retest the previous 4-hour resistance zone, as its identified on the chart.
Long
by fxtraderkristina
EUR/GBP: Key Support at 0.8230 Could Trigger UptrendThe EUR/GBP pair has been falling steadily and recently reached 0.8230, its lowest point in over 3 years. The last time the price touched this level was in March 2022, which marked the start of a strong upward trend. This makes 0.8230 an important support level where the price could bounce back. We believe this could be the beginning of a uptrend, and we're aiming for two key targets: 1. First Target (TP1) : 0.8445 This is the first resistance level where the price might pause. 2. Second Target (TP2) : 0.8610 If the first resistance is broken, this is the next level we expect the price to reach. Watch the price closely around 0.8230. If it starts moving up, that could confirm the trend change. Consider setting a stop loss below 0.8230 to manage risk while targeting the levels mentioned above.
Long
by FXTradingAnalysis
2
EUR/USD Bullish Move Towards 1.0600 After 1.0510 BreakoutWe expected EUR/USD to rise and reach 1.0510, which is a key level where the price might face some resistance. This level at 1.0510 is important because it's where the price might pause or reverse if there's no strong push. Breaking Through Resistance 1.0510: If the price manages to break above 1.0510, this would suggest that buyers are in control, and EUR/USD could continue to go up. Once 1.0510 is broken, the next target would be 1.0600. This is the next level we’re watching, where the price could go after breaking through 1.0510.
Long
by FXTradingAnalysis