NZD/CHF Short | Here’s Why"Here’s why I’m shorting NZD/CHF—and what makes it a high-value setup."
"The New Zealand dollar is under pressure. It’s heavily influenced by global risk sentiment, commodity prices, and what happens in China. Right now, all three are shaky."
"Meanwhile, the Swiss franc is doing the opposite. It’s gaining strength thanks to its safe-haven status. When global uncertainty rises, money flows into CHF—it’s stable, reliable, and defensive."
"So you’ve got one currency tied to risk and weakness… and the other tied to safety and strength. That’s a clear imbalance."
"This trade isn’t about guessing—it’s about reading the global mood and positioning with logic."
Forex market
Update GBPJPY May 26th, Buy Scalp and Sell SwingRefer to the previous analysis — see how price reacted perfectly from TP1.
I expect price to retest the sell zone, but a break of the blue box is necessary for that scenario to unfold. I also have a take profit level within that area.
Once price enters the zone, I’ll wait for confirmation to sell — or consider placing a sell limit order.
The main target for this short setup is @190.07.
EURUSD Trade Executed May 25 Asia EURUSD Trade Executed
May 25
PreMarket Analysis
Parent bias Bull
Previous session
Monthly
Expansion cycle opening above the .618 in a Premium, with a sell off wick, expecting the expansion to continue.
Weekly
Candle fractal is a expansion with equal highs and FVG as magnet to reach for.
Fridays delivery expanded in Asia consolidated in London then expanded to take buy side, retraced lower in London close, news manipulation to expand to the equal highs, did not take but went in to consolidation
May 26 Ideas
Premarket analysis logic suggested that Asia will expand to equal highs.
Trade framework
*18:00 Price consolidated to Asia open
*18:25 FVG Price tests this candle several times
*20:00 price expands creating a FVG
*Price comes back down
*20:15 entered
*22:48 exited when it did not look like price would take the equal highs
So happy that I studied this weekend and watched the DXY/GBP to cross reference the trade for the likely hood it would expand to the buy side in a expansion cycle.
Entries are getting tighter and exits are also getting better.
AUDNZD Bearish on 5 wave down## AUDNZD 5-Wave + 0.50 Fib Trading Plan
**Wave 4 Bounce Setup:**
- Short at 0.50 Fib rejection
- Stop: Above 0.618 Fib
- Target: New lows (Wave 5)
**Entry Signals:**
- Reversal candlesticks at 0.50 Fib area
- Strong resistance on moving average
**Risk Management:**
- 1-2% risk per trade
- 1:2 minimum R/R
- Take 50% profits at 1:1
USDJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 145.469.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 142.516 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USD/CAD - continues the downtrendOn USD/CAD , it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 1.37540 and 1.38150 . It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated.
I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again.
Strong S/R zone from the past and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go short on this trade.
Happy trading,
Dale
GBP/CHF Short | Fundamental Setup"Let’s break down the GBP/CHF short—and why it matters."
"The Bank of England just cut interest rates to 4.25% and plans more cuts ahead. Lower rates usually mean a weaker currency. Combine that with slow UK growth and rising fiscal pressure, and the British pound is under pressure."
"On the flip side, the Swiss franc is acting as a safe haven. In times of global uncertainty, investors tend to move into CHF. It’s stable, defensive, and gaining strength as markets get more volatile."
"So what’s the value here? You’ve got one currency (GBP) softening, and the other (CHF) strengthening. That creates a clear directional bias—and a clean short setup."
"This isn’t about chasing moves—it’s about trading real fundamentals with a long-term edge."
USDCHF → Retest support with the aim of breaking throughFX:USDCHF is also losing ground amid the dollar's decline. The price is testing the support of the range, a break of which could open the way to 0.811
USDCHF is consolidating, but at the same time, a local downward channel is forming. The currency pair is retesting support within the current downward movement. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming relative to 0.819. The fall of the dollar is having a corresponding effect on the price.
Before continuing its decline, the currency pair may form a retest of 0.5 Fibonacci or close the FVG
Resistance levels: 0.825, 0.8275
Support levels: 0.819, 0.8117
The downward structure will break down when the price leaves the downward channel. However, at the moment, while the price is consolidating at the bottom of the trading range, I expect a breakdown of support in the short term, followed by a continued decline to 0.811 - 0.805
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBP/USD - Day Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileOn GBP/USD , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 1.35000.
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
Uptrend and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
EUR/USD continue with the UptrendOn EUR/USD , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 1.13800.
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
Strong S/R zone from the past + high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
EURUSD,GBPUSD,AUDUSD and NZDUSD possible bounce?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EUR/USD 1H AnalysisWhat we’ve got here on EUR/USD looks like a clean Elliott Wave setup shaping up.
There’s a strong 5-wave move up that likely forms Wave 1, followed by a simple ABC correction — that gives us Wave 2.
Now price is reacting from that C point, and this could be the beginning of Wave 3, which is usually the most powerful part of the trend.
🟩 Entry Zone: 1.114 – 1.12
🎯 TP: 1.14
🛑 SL: 1.109
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
💡 Note: Always manage your risk and confirm with your own analysis before entering any trade.
Keep an eye on it — could be a solid setup if it confirms. Drop your thoughts if you're trading this too 👇
NZD/JPY BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
NZD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 85.992
Target Level: 83.908
Stop Loss: 87.366
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/USD Hits Key Resistance LevelEUR/USD Hits Key Resistance Level
Although financial markets in both the US and the UK are closed for a public holiday today, Donald Trump is keeping traders on their toes. According to a fresh Reuters report, the US President has backed down from his threat to impose 50% tariffs on EU goods from 1 June, following a phone call from European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, who urged him to allow time to “reach a mutually beneficial deal”.
This development has boosted the euro while weighing on the US dollar.
As today's EUR/USD chart shows, the euro has risen to its highest level against the dollar since early May. But can the upward trend continue?
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
The ascending trend channel (highlighted in blue) confirms that bullish sentiment currently dominates. However, the EUR/USD chart also presents two bearish arguments worth noting:
→ The price has reached the upper boundary of the channel, which may act as resistance.
→ The 1.1400 level could also serve as resistance. Note how aggressively bears resisted upward movement in April: even when it appeared that the level had been clearly broken from below, the price failed to hold above it for long.
Given this, it is reasonable to suggest that EUR/USD bears may once again become active — particularly if the fundamental backdrop supports them.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
JPY/USD Rising Wedge Breakdown – Bearish Reversal in Play🔎 Technical Breakdown:
1. Rising Wedge Formation:
The pair has been trading within a Rising Wedge, a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price makes higher highs and higher lows but with diminishing momentum. The wedge is visible from the swing low on May 13, where price began to climb aggressively but within increasingly narrow price action. This narrowing range signals weakening bullish strength.
2. Key Resistance Zone:
The wedge forms right below a Major Resistance Zone marked earlier in the chart (around 0.007050), where price had previously faced heavy selling pressure. This adds confluence to the bearish bias, as the zone historically acted as a turning point.
3. SR Interchange Zone:
Below the wedge lies a Support-turned-Resistance (SR) Interchange level, a critical price area where past support may now act as resistance if the price attempts to retrace. This is a commonly watched level by institutional and technical traders.
4. Breakdown Confirmation:
The price has broken below the wedge's lower trendline, which is often considered the breakdown signal. A valid breakdown typically includes a close outside the wedge body followed by a retest or continuation.
5. Bearish Target:
The projected move is toward 0.006796, derived by measuring the wedge height and applying it from the breakdown point. This level aligns with a historical support zone, adding more confluence to the target.
🧠 Psychological & Structural View:
Bullish exhaustion: Buyers pushed price higher into resistance, but momentum slowed, signaling exhaustion.
Trapped longs: Traders who entered late in the wedge may now be trapped, potentially accelerating a sell-off as they exit.
Smart money behavior: Rising wedges near resistance often signal distribution by smart money before a drop.
🛠️ Trading Plan Suggestion (Not Financial Advice):
Entry: After a clear wedge breakdown, consider short entries on a retest of the broken trendline or a bearish candle confirmation.
SL: Above the wedge high or major resistance zone.
TP: Staggered exits below 0.006850 and final target around 0.006796.
🔁 What to Watch For:
Retest of the wedge breakdown (potential short entry zone)
Momentum confirmation via volume or bearish candles
Price reaction at SR Interchange and final support target
🧠 Minds Section – Condensed Summary
JPY/USD formed a Rising Wedge below major resistance, signaling bullish exhaustion. Price has broken down from the wedge, confirming bearish momentum. A clean breakdown targets 0.006796, with SR interchange acting as a minor support. A retest of the wedge breakdown could offer a good short opportunity.