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AUD/CAD 4H Timeframe AnalysisAUD/CAD 4H Timeframe Analysis Trend: In the 4H timeframe, the AUD/CAD pair is currently in a downtrend, characterized by the formation of lower lows and lower highs. Recently, we have seen the formation of a bull flag pattern, which typically signals a potential reversal or continuation of a bullish trend. The price has broken through two minor key support levels at 0.90600 and 0.89800. Our objective now is to wait for the price to retest the 0.90200 level, which may lead to an accumulation phase for buy orders. We anticipate a potential manipulation phase, or stop-loss hunt, below the minor key support and within our liquidity zone. Following this, we will wait for the price to return and break above the minor key support before taking action. Price Action Expectation: We expect that the bull flag formation could signal a breakout to the upside. Once the price breaks above the minor key support, it could trigger further buying momentum. Our goal is to place a buy stop order above the 0.90200 level, once the price demonstrates strength in breaking through, while protecting our position with a stop-loss below the liquidity zone. Trade Setup: Trade Type: Buy Stop Entry Price: 0.90100 (just above the minor key support) Stop Loss: 0.89380 (positioned below our liquidity zone to protect against adverse movements) Take Profit: 0.91590 (targeting the next key resistance level) Upcoming News (Fundamental Outlook): This Friday, we have important economic data from Canada that could influence the price of AUD/CAD: Core Retail Sales m/m (Canada): Expected at 0.2% (previous: 0.9%) Retail Sales m/m (Canada): Any surprises in these retail sales figures could affect the CAD strength. A weaker-than-expected reading may lead to bearish pressure on CAD, which would support our bullish outlook for AUD/CAD.
Long
by RebornFXTrader
1
BEARISH GBPJPYThe GBP/JPY pair is currently exhibiting a bearish outlook as sellers seem to gain momentum, capitalizing on recent market dynamics. Here's a comprehensive breakdown of the pair's bearish sentiment based on current trading conditions. 1. Technical Analysis Trend & Price Action The pair has been trading within a descending channel, signaling a continuation of bearish momentum. Recent price action shows multiple failed attempts to break above key resistance zones, reinforcing the dominance of sellers. GBP/JPY is currently flirting with key support levels, and a decisive break below could trigger further downside. 2. Fundamental Drivers Pound Weakness: Recent UK economic data has been underwhelming, including weak growth figures and declining retail sales. This has weighed heavily on the pound, reducing its appeal. The Bank of England’s dovish tone regarding future rate hikes amid signs of an economic slowdown adds further bearish pressure on GBP. Yen Strength: While the Bank of Japan (BoJ) remains accommodative, recent interventions and speculation of further action to strengthen the yen have bolstered the currency. Geopolitical uncertainties and global risk-off sentiment have increased demand for the yen as a safe-haven asset.
Short
by AndyFrenzy
Bearish Butterfly Pattern at 2.0287: Potential PullbackPEPPERSTONE:GBPAUD The pair is currently forming a bearish butterfly pattern at the 2.0287 level, aligning with the 127% Fibonacci extension. This setup indicates a potential pullback toward the Fibonacci retracement levels, projected below 1.9850. This scenario implies a retest of the weekly fractal resistance, broken at 1.9884. Bearish butterfly pattern forming at the 2.0287 level. Suggests a potential pullback; Pullback target: Fibonacci retracement levels below 1.9850. Potential retest of weekly fractal resistance at 1.9884. Signs of bearish divergence emerging on the RSI. Note: Ensure proper risk adjustments and capital protection by setting stop-loss orders and managing position sizes accordingly to mitigate potential downside risk.
Short
by Andre_Cardoso
USDCAD: One of the Most Geopolitical-Based Currency PairsHello Traders, The Trump presidency may bring three significant changes to the financial world: We might see an end to the Russia-Ukraine war. We might see more support for Israel against Iran. We might see increased tariffs on US imports. All three changes could affect the pair in both directions, making them a double-edged sword for USDCAD. Trump previously had good relations with Putin and is known for his anti-interventionism under his America First policy. Aid to Ukraine may decrease, which I am not in favor of, as Ukraine represents the frontline of democracy in the war against Putin. Abandoning Ukraine could encourage other dictators, like China, to attack other countries. Recently, Zelensky accepted the idea of temporarily giving up some territories to Russia if Russia allows NATO's presence in Ukraine, a negotiation he previously refused before Trump won the election. A peace agreement or long-term ceasefire between Putin and Ukraine may strengthen the USD, as the world would feel safer, attracting more capital to the growing US economy. However, the strength of the USD against the EUR, the 2nd most powerful currency in the forex market, could also attract more capital to Euro. The Abraham Accords were one of Trump's most successful initiatives. The proxy war between Israel and Iran escalated after the October 7 massacre, with Iran losing most of its proxies. Iran's missile capabilities have been tested and are now recognized as a weak, not-dangerous ability. Previously, Iran had three cards to play against Israel and the West: proxies, missiles, and nuclear capabilities. Now, it only has nuclear activities. Many are waiting for Israel to strike Iran's suspicious nuclear facilities. Such an attack could significantly impact the markets, particularly the CAD. There are two possible scenarios: if Iran does not retaliate due to its inability to do so, the USD would strengthen as more capital flows in. Conversely, if Iran manages to close the Strait of Hormuz for a few days, oil prices would rise significantly, prompting U.S. and Western intervention, leading to a prolonged conflict that would drive oil prices higher. Since Canada depends on oil and energy, any increase in prices would boost the CAD. Regarding tariffs, imposing them may weaken the CAD, but as Trudeau stated, Americans “are beginning to wake up to the reality that tariffs on everything from Canada would make life a lot more expensive.” Canada would retaliate, and if the eurozone follows suit, the U.S. economy could be negatively affected. As forex traders, we know how powerful and important the U.S. is, but we also recognize that other economies have their strengths, and the world is not solely defined by the U.S. For instance, an official in Ontario's government mentioned that they would restrict electricity exports to Michigan, New York, and Minnesota if President-elect Trump imposes sweeping tariffs on all Canadian products. So, consider all three factors if you plan to invest long-term in either currency. For the shorter term, we should also keep these developments in mind, as they could happen at any moment. Any night, Israeli bombers could fly over Syria and Iran to target Iran's nuclear facilities, which could lead to a substantial gain in CAD value. Right now, from a technical perspective: any retracement to the green box at 1.4190 could present an opportunity to increase the price of the pair. Conversely, a break below the channel and 1.41610 would signal a chance for more bearish moves. Sources for US Tariffs on Canada: apnews.com apnews.com
Long
by AliSignals
EURUSD Set To Grow! BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for EURUSD is below: The market is trading on 1.0410 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 1.0470 Recommended Stop Loss - 1.0376 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
EUR/USD Under Bearish Pressure: A Market Analysis [Update]As anticipated in our previous analyses, the EUR/USD currency pair experienced significant downward pressure during the late American trading session on Wednesday, hitting its lowest point in almost a month, below 1.0350. Currently, while I am drafting this article, the pair has seen a minor rebound and is trading around 1.0410; however, the technical indicators still suggest a bearish outlook. The price is nearing a critical area where it may continue to decline. Our analysis reveals an imbalance on the Daily timeframe that could signal a further downturn. For more detailed insights, please refer to the link provided below. Following the last Federal Reserve policy meeting of the year, the central bank announced a reduction in its policy rate by 25 basis points, aligning with market expectations, bringing it to a range between 4.25% and 4.5%. In their accompanying statement, the Fed emphasized that they would take into account incoming data, the evolving economic landscape, and the balance of risks when evaluating future rate adjustments. In the aftermath of the Fed's decision, the US Dollar (USD) gained substantial strength, leading to a sharp decline in the EUR/USD pair. Moving forward, our outlook suggests the potential for a new bearish correction in the market as we navigate these developments. Previous close position SHORT ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
EURCHF Is Bullish! Long! Here is our detailed technical review for EURCHF. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 0.932. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 0.936 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
NZDCAD Is Very Bullish! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for NZDCAD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.814. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.819 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1