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Bearish Outlook on EurjpyA bearish outlook on EUR/JPY (Euro/Japanese Yen) typically stems from either Euro weakness, Yen strength, or a combination of both. Here are several current or general themes that could support a bearish bias: 1. Risk-Off Sentiment (Yen Strength) The Japanese Yen is a safe-haven currency, which tends to strengthen during global risk aversion (e.g., geopolitical tensions, stock market declines, or economic uncertainty). If equities fall or global sentiment sours, JPY demand can rise, pushing EUR/JPY lower. 2. ECB Dovishness (Euro Weakness) If the European Central Bank (ECB) signals or enacts rate cuts, this weakens the Euro. For instance, recent soft Eurozone inflation or poor economic data may prompt ECB easing, lowering EUR/JPY. 3. BOJ Policy Normalization (JPY Strength) If the Bank of Japan (BOJ) continues shifting away from ultra-loose monetary policy (e.g., exiting negative rates, allowing JGB yields to rise), this could strengthen the Yen. Any hawkish surprise from the BOJ is typically JPY-positive. 4. Technical Setup On the charts, if EUR/JPY is failing at resistance (e.g., near a long-term high or a fib retracement), or showing bearish divergence on RSI/MACD, it could signal a top. A break below key support zones (e.g., 160.00 or 158.00) might accelerate downside momentum. 5. Positioning and Sentiment If traders are heavily long EUR/JPY (crowded trade), a reversal or sharp correction is more likely if sentiment shifts.
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by Billionaire36
Market Analysis: USD/CHF – 4H ChartThe USD/CHF pair is exhibiting a **clear bearish trend** on the 4-hour chart, with price currently consolidating around the **0.81500** level after a sharp decline. This consolidation is forming a **range-bound structure**, with support near the recent H4 low and resistance around the **0.82500** zone. Key Observations: Bearish momentum remains dominant, evidenced by lower highs and lower lows. Price is currently trading just above a well-tested H4 support level. There are two probable outcomes from this consolidation zone: Potential Scenarios: 1. Bullish Breakout: A rejection from the H4 support could see price push back towards the **0.82500** level. A breakout beyond this resistance could lead to further recovery towards **0.83500** or higher. 2. **Bearish Continuation**: A break below the H4 support zone would confirm further downside momentum. This could lead price towards the next key support around **0.80000**, with potential extension to the **0.78500** region. Conclusion: USD/CHF is currently at a decision point within a broader bearish structure. Traders should watch for a breakout from the current range to confirm the next directional move, with **0.82500** and **0.80000** acting as critical inflection zones.
by BeaucoupPips
NZDJPY to find sellers at previous resistance?NZDJPY - 24h expiry The primary trend remains bearish. The rally is close to a correction count on the daily chart. We look for a temporary move higher. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Bespoke resistance is located at 84.95. We look to Sell at 84.95 (stop at 85.25) Our profit targets will be 83.75 and 83.50 Resistance: 85.00 / 85.50 / 86.20 Support: 84.10 / 83.70 / 83.20 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
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by OANDA