1.15150 Resistance Looms Amid EU Economic WoesOn the daily timeframe, EURUSD continues climbing toward the strong resistance zone around 1.15150 after a solid rebound from the EMA 34. However, the current candlestick structure shows signs of slowing momentum as price approaches a historically significant top — a zone prone to short-term profit-taking.
The technical setup becomes even more relevant when viewed alongside macroeconomic developments: the U.S. has just announced an extension of its 50% tariff deadline on EU goods from June 1 to July 9, temporarily easing trade tensions. However, the European Commission has revised down its Eurozone growth forecast for 2025 from 1.3% to 0.9%, highlighting persistent structural weaknesses and economic risks in the region.
The likely scenario: EURUSD may face rejection at 1.15150, followed by a pullback toward the support area around 1.09610. This zone aligns with the EMA 34, EMA 89, and a previous accumulation range. If this support fails to hold, the medium-term trend could shift clearly to the downside.
Forex market
New thoughts on EURUSDI love EUR/USD. We just hit our channels resistance, but I suspect we continue bullish a little more so that we may retest the other resistance zone from a few weeks ago. Then, we will likely continue this trend. Now, this trend will not and cannot last forever. No, this short trend will be broken and drop down, and we shall continue our downtrend. (Given 3M, M, W, 3D and daily time frames which all indicate bearishness) Now for the long-term traders, I suggest you short EURUSD and look away for a few months. But for the short term, wait until it hits the resistance and THEN place a short entry. Close that trade when it hits the channels support and buy a long (WITH STRICT RISK MANAGEMENT). If it hits your SL, then obviously you continue shorts.
Good luck traders! Do your own analysis.
Lmk if you have any questions. I’m usually online.
Skeptic | USD/JPY Analysis: Bearish Momentum Fuels Short Setups!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! I know some of you might’ve missed our last USD/CHF short signal that hit a sweet 3:1 R/R—no worries! 😊 The market’s always here, so missing a trade isn’t the end of the world. I’m not here to push FOMO; my goal is to take you on a long-term trading journey, and I’m stoked to have you along for the ride! :))) Let’s get back to USD/JPY and break down the latest action. 📊
Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
First, let’s zoom out and talk about the DXY (US Dollar Index), which recently broke the 99.005 support and turned bearish. This puts USD-based pairs like USD/JPY in the spotlight for short opportunities this week. Here’s what’s happening with USD/JPY:
Trend Context: The major trend is bearish. Last week, sellers showed no mercy to buyers, and with DXY’s bearish move, we’re likely to see more of the same this week.
Key Level: We’re currently reacting to a major daily support at 142.305. Expect a range or reaction here, so we must wait for confirmation before shorting.
Recent Correction: The prior correction reached the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement and seems to have resumed the major bearish trend.
With this in mind, let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe to hunt for long and short setups.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
The 4-hour chart is giving us some clear signals to work with. Here’s the plan:
Short Setup:
Key Level: The 142.338 level is critical, as it formed a ceiling at 148.569 in the past and acted as support before.
Trigger: If we form a lower high and then break below 142.305, open a short position.
Confirmation: Use RSI to back up the breakout, ensuring momentum aligns.
Why It Works: A lower high signals increasing weakness in this support, making a break more likely.
Long Setup:
My Take: I personally don’t have a long trigger right now. Both the major and minor trends are downtrends, so going long doesn’t make sense in these conditions.
If You Insist: If you’re set on a long, wait for a break above 144.125. But keep it tight—low risk, small stop loss, and take profits quickly once you hit a decent R/R.
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it really helps! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to dive into next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll tackle it. Thanks for joining me—see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
AUDCAD Long Setup – Bullish Momentum BuildingI'm currently eyeing buy opportunities on AUDCAD. The pair is showing bullish structure with higher lows forming, and price is approaching a key support zone that has held well in the past. I’m anticipating a continuation to the upside if price confirms with bullish momentum or candlestick signals.
Key support: 0.89050
Target area: 0.89550
Stop-loss: 0.88850
Waiting for confirmation before entering. Open to any thoughts or alternative views!
eurnzd buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
Market next target
Original Analysis Summary:
Identifies a bullish breakout above a support zone.
Expects continuation upward to a target zone after minor pullback.
Assumes support holds and bullish trend continues.
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Disruptive Bearish Interpretation:
1. Fakeout Risk (Bull Trap):
Price broke above the support area, but this could be a false breakout designed to lure in long positions before a reversal.
2. Trendline Retest Failure:
The price is testing a trendline or resistance zone. Failure to break above this area could indicate rejection and reversal.
3. Bearish Divergence:
If momentum indicators (e.g., RSI or MACD, not shown here but inferred) show divergence, it may warn of weakening bullish strength despite price rising.
4. Candlestick Exhaustion:
Recent candles show upper wicks and slowing momentum — a common sign of potential exhaustion.
Market next target Original Analysis Summary:
Support area at ~1.1400 holding price.
Expectation: Bounce off support and continuation to higher target.
Arrows indicate a bullish bias after minor retracement.
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Disruptive Bearish Interpretation:
1. Exhaustion at Top:
Strong upward rally could be showing signs of buying exhaustion, especially after the sharp vertical move.
The current top wick suggests rejection from higher levels.
2. Bearish Reversal Candles:
If a shooting star or bearish engulfing pattern forms near the target area, it could signal a reversal.
The current candle shows a long wick, which often precedes pullbacks.
3. False Breakout Risk:
The price could have broken above a resistance level only to trap breakout buyers before reversing downward.
This would trigger a move below the red box (support area).
🇦🇺 AUDUSD 4H Technical & Fundamental Analysis🇦🇺 AUDUSD 4H Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The Australian dollar continues to show strength, On the 4H chart, AUDUSD has confirmed a bullish market structure. We observed a breakout above the previous major resistance at 0.63500, which now serves as a key support level.
After this breakout, a Change of Character (CHOCH) was confirmed, followed by multiple retests of the 0.63500 level and a clean rally toward the minor resistance at 0.65200.
We’re currently monitoring for accumulation and a possible liquidity sweep below the minor key zone. This is a typical setup for institutions to trigger stop losses before the next move higher.
📊 Trade Setup
📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 0.65290
🛡 Stop-Loss (Risk Perspective): 0.64770 (just below liquidity zone)
🎯 Target Profit (Structure-Based): 0.66900 (next minor resistance zone)
Meanwhile, Australia’s resilience, rising commodity prices, and a hawkish central bank continue to support the AUD’s bullish outlook.
Fundamental Outlook:
Labor Market Strength
Australia’s employment data remains solid, with consistent job gains and low unemployment, reinforcing confidence in the country’s economic stability.
RBA Hawkish Tone
The Reserve Bank of Australia has maintained a firm stance on inflation, leaving the door open for possible rate hikes. This hawkish outlook adds upward pressure on AUD.
Commodity Price Recovery
As a key exporter, Australia benefits from rising prices in gold, iron ore, and copper—particularly driven by China’s demand recovery.
Weakening USD
The U.S. dollar is under pressure due to dovish Fed expectations, fiscal uncertainty, and a rise in speculative short positions, boosting AUD/USD.
(Source: Bloomberg, Reuters)
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
EURUSD Trendline Breakout – Bullish Target Ahead
EURUSD has successfully broken out of a strong descending trendline, which was acting as dynamic resistance for weeks. The breakout is backed by strong bullish candles and clear higher lows forming.
After the breakout, the price also reclaimed a key horizontal support zone around 1.12573, turning it into a solid base for further upside.
🎯 Bullish Target (Expected):
First major bullish target at 1.13864 based on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the last swing move.
📌 Support: 1.12573
📌 Breakout Confirmation: Valid as long as price holds above the trendline and support.
📈 Outlook:
The momentum looks strong for further bullish continuation. If the price holds above the breakout zone, we expect a move toward 1.13864 in the coming sessions.
Skeptic | USD/CHF Analysis: Short Setups Ready to Pop!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s kick off the week with a sharp USD/CHF analysis, a pair that’s flashing some juicy short opportunities! 📉 Stick around as I break down why this could be a prime setup. Let’s dive in with the Daily Timeframe. 📊
Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
USD/CHF has been rocking a major bullish trend, but in recent weeks, it’s slipped into a secondary corrective trend, pulling back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. This tells us the bullish momentum is still alive and kicking. The last candle, closed on May 12, was a full bearish engulfing pattern, showing that despite the correction, buyer strength is weak, and sellers are taking over. Because of this, if our short triggers activate, we could ride the continuation of the major bullish trend (likely a typo in the original, as the context suggests a bearish move for shorts) and target levels at 0.81904 and 0.80865 . If 0.80865 breaks, per Dow Theory, the major bullish trend officially resumes, and we can open shorts with more confidence and higher risk. With this big-picture view, let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe to find our long and short triggers.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
For our short setup, the main trigger is a break below the support at 0.83264 . As you can see, we’ve reacted to this support twice, but each time, we formed lower highs, signaling this support is getting weaker and weaker. This makes a break more likely. You could place a stop sell below this level, but personally, I wait for a breakout candle on the 15-minute timeframe to confirm. For a long setup, I’m not opening longs until we consolidate above 0.83902 and see uptrend momentum return. The risk of hitting a stop loss is too high otherwise, and since we’d be trading against the main trend, sudden reversals are likely, giving us a lower R/R. 😎
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis helped you out, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll get to it. Thanks for hanging out, and I’ll see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
"GBP/AUD Bullish Continuation Setup The GBP/AUD pair on the 15-minute chart shows a bullish continuation pattern following a breakout from a falling channel, which indicates a bullish flag formation. The price action has moved strongly upward, suggesting buying momentum and potential for further gains. The market sentiment appears bullish, supported by the price trading above key moving averages and the breakout occurring with strength.
Entry Point: 2.08350
Target: 2.09800
Stop loss : 2.08280
.
GBPUSD 1H CHART PATTERNThe GBP/USD 1-hour chart shows the pair trading in a strong uptrend within an ascending channel. Price is nearing a key resistance area, where a potential reversal is anticipated. The chart highlights a possible sell opportunity as bullish momentum may be weakening near the channel's upper boundary. A clear rejection from this zone could signal the start of a bearish correction. This setup offers a high risk-to-reward ratio, especially if supported by further price action confirmation. Traders may watch for reversal patterns or signals before entering the trade to improve accuracy and minimize risk in this technical setup.
Entry: 1.34500
Target: 1.31500
USDCAD; Price Approaching Buy Zone read caption PULL BACKThe recent pullback in the USDCAD pair aligns precisely with the key resistance and support zones we identified in our earlier technical analysis. As seen in our chart, price action respected the trendline and Fibonacci retracement levels, signaling a potential reversal or consolidation phase. This movement reinforces the significance of combining chart patterns, momentum indicators, and historical levels when analyzing the market. Traders following our analysis would have anticipated this shift and prepared accordingly. For a deeper dive into our methodology and projections, take a closer look at the chart and see how the technical framework played out in real time.
GBPUSD next move (Bulls are still in play)(23-05-2025)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Anup BIAS (23-05-2025) (mid term)
Current price- 1.34400
"if Price stay above 1.33700 then next target is 1.35400 and 1.37000"
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk 2% of principal to follow any position.
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