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EUR/JPY Breakdown: Falling Wedge Breakout & Bullish SetupThe EUR/JPY 4-hour chart is presenting a well-structured price action setup, featuring a falling wedge breakout, a strong bullish trendline, and key resistance and support levels. This detailed analysis will walk through each aspect of the chart to provide a professional trading perspective. 1. Market Context & Price Action Overview At the beginning of the chart, EUR/JPY was experiencing a downtrend, characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, forming a falling wedge pattern. This pattern is typically a bullish reversal signal, indicating that sellers are losing strength and buyers may take control. Once the price reached a key support zone near 156.08, it bounced, leading to a breakout of the falling wedge. Since the breakout, the price has been moving in a bullish trend, forming higher highs and higher lows, respecting an ascending trendline. 2. Technical Patterns & Key Levels 🔹 Falling Wedge Pattern – Bullish Breakout The falling wedge is identified by two converging trendlines sloping downward. It indicates that bearish momentum is weakening as price compresses. A breakout above the upper wedge line confirmed the shift in trend direction. The breakout candle had strong bullish momentum, suggesting increased buyer interest. 🔹 Support and Resistance Levels 📉 Major Support Level (~156.08): This level acted as a demand zone, where buyers aggressively stepped in. The price formed multiple rejections at this level before breaking upwards. A stop-loss placement below this level is ideal for bullish trades. 📈 Resistance Level (~163.50 - 164.00): This zone has been tested multiple times as price approaches from below. A break and retest of this resistance would confirm further bullish momentum. If price faces strong rejection, a short-term pullback to the trendline may occur. 🎯 Final Target (~166.79): This is the next major resistance level, aligning with previous swing highs. It serves as a strong take-profit (TP) level for long positions. If price reaches this level, we may see a consolidation phase or possible reversal. 3. Trend Analysis & Market Structure 📈 Bullish Trendline: The price has been respecting an ascending trendline, acting as dynamic support. This trendline connects higher lows, confirming a strong bullish trend. As long as price stays above this line, buyers remain in control. 📊 Market Structure: Since breaking out from the falling wedge, the price is forming a classic bullish structure of higher highs and higher lows. This indicates sustained buyer pressure and a potential continuation toward resistance levels. 4. Trading Setup & Risk Management 📌 Entry Strategy: Aggressive Entry: After the wedge breakout with a tight stop-loss. Conservative Entry: Wait for a pullback to the trendline support or a break and retest of resistance at 163.50 - 164.00. 🔻 Stop Loss Placement: Below 156.08 (previous support zone) to protect against trend invalidation. Alternatively, below the rising trendline for a dynamic SL approach. 🎯 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 163.50 - 164.00 resistance zone (Partial profits). TP2: 166.79 final target, aligning with historical resistance. 5. Market Outlook & Potential Scenarios ✅ Bullish Scenario (High Probability) If price holds above the trendline and breaks 163.50 - 164.00, we expect a continuation towards 166.79. The structure remains intact as long as higher highs and higher lows persist. ❌ Bearish Scenario (Low Probability, but Possible) If price fails at resistance and breaks below the trendline, it could signal a deeper retracement. A break below 156.08 would completely invalidate the bullish setup, leading to a potential downtrend. 6. Summary & Key Takeaways Trend Bias: Bullish, supported by a falling wedge breakout and higher highs. Key Levels: Support at 156.08, resistance at 163.50 - 164.00, final target at 166.79. Trading Strategy: Buy on retests of trendline or resistance breakouts. Risk Management: Use dynamic stop-loss levels to minimize downside exposure. 🔹 Final Verdict: If price remains above support and successfully breaks 163.50 - 164.00, a strong move toward 166.79 is expected. However, traders should remain cautious of trendline breakdowns and manage risk accordingly. 📊 Stay disciplined, follow your trading plan, and always use stop-loss protection! 🚀 #EURJPY #Forex #TradingStrategy #PriceAction
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Euro / British Pound - 30 - OANDAThis chart represents the **Euro (EUR) / British Pound (GBP) currency pair on a 30-minute timeframe**, published on **TradingView**. It highlights a key **support area** and a potential **long (buy) trade setup**. ### **Key Elements in the Chart:** 1. **Support Area (Highlighted in Black Box)** - This region (~0.8345 - 0.8355) is marked as a key support zone where price has historically bounced. - Buyers are expected to enter at this level to push the price higher. 2. **Trade Setup:** - **Entry Zone:** Near the support area (~0.8355). - **Stop-Loss (SL):** Placed at **0.83510**, slightly below the support area, to limit downside risk. - **Take-Profit (Target):** Set at **0.8400**, where the price is expected to rise. - **Risk-to-Reward Ratio:** The trade aims for a favorable upside while keeping risk minimized. 3. **Background Colors & Highlights:** - Yellow background for the overall chart. - Green zone (above entry) represents the potential profit target. - Orange/red zone (below entry) represents the stop-loss level. ### **Possible Market Scenario:** - If price **holds above the support area**, a bullish move toward the **0.8400 target** is expected. - If price **breaks below the support area**, the trade may be invalidated, leading to a stop-loss trigger. This chart suggests a **bullish bias** based on support holding. Let me know if you need further insights! 🚀📈
Long
by ChartingMarketInsights
potential liquidity grab and sell-offEUR/USD Key Setup – Smart Money in Action! 🚀 The market is setting up for a potential liquidity grab and sell-off! 📉 Here’s the breakdown: 🔹 Price is approaching a key supply zone (highlighted in yellow & purple). A strong reaction here could indicate a short opportunity. 🔹 Invalidation level is clearly marked—if price breaks above, the setup is invalid. 🔹 Anticipated move: A rejection from the zone could lead to a drop towards the 1.07200-1.07600 demand area. 🔹 Confluence factors: Structure, liquidity, and institutional order flow align with this move. 📊 Trade Idea: ✅ Entry: Wait for a confirmation in the highlighted area ✅ Stop Loss: Above the invalidation level ✅ Take Profit: Lower demand zone 💡 Will this setup play out? Let’s see how the market reacts! Comment below with your thoughts! 🔥📉 #ForexTrading #EURUSD #SmartMoney #PriceAction #Liquidity #ForexSetup
Short
by Greenfireforex
GBP/AUD Second Entry Valid To Get 250 Pips , Don`t Miss It !Here is my new entry place on GBP/AUD , If you checked the price you will find it`s moved +100 pips since my first analysis , and the price respect the analysis 100% , and now we have a second chance to sell this pair again and targeting another 250 pips , just waiting the price to retest the broken support and give us any good bearish Price action and then we can enter . This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
Short
by FX_Elite_Club
GBPNZD: Fractured Ascent Signals Potential ReversalGBPNZD 4-hour chart reveals a compelling narrative of a weakening bullish trend potentially poised for a significant reversal. The pair's recent price action exhibits characteristics of a rising wedge pattern, a formation often indicative of an impending downside breakout. Key Technical Observations: Rising Wedge Formation: The converging trendlines point to a potential exhaustion of the upward momentum. The upper trendline has seen repeated rejections, suggesting a lack of sustained buying pressure. Critical Support Level: The 2.25359 level is acting as a crucial support zone. A decisive break below this level would confirm the wedge breakdown and likely trigger a sharp bearish move. Resistance Zone: The area around 2.27505 represents a significant resistance zone. Failure to break above this level reinforces the bearish outlook. Potential Downside Targets: The chart indicates potential targets at 2.22934 and the low of 2.16774. These levels could act as significant support zones during a potential downtrend. Trading Implications: Short Entry Consideration: Traders should closely monitor the price action for a decisive break below the 2.25359 support. A confirmed breakdown could signal a strong short entry opportunity. Stop-Loss Placement: A prudent stop-loss should be positioned above the recent swing high or the upper trendline of the wedge to mitigate risk. Risk Management: Given the potential for increased volatility during a breakout, sound risk management is paramount. Considerations: Confirmation of Breakdown: A break below the 2.25359 support should be accompanied by strong bearish momentum and ideally, an increase in trading volume to validate the signal. Fundamental Factors: Upcoming economic data releases from both the UK and New Zealand should be closely monitored, as they could significantly impact the pair's price action. Conclusion: The GBPNZD chart presents a compelling case for a potential bearish reversal. The rising wedge pattern, coupled with the critical support at 2.25359, suggests a high probability of a downside breakout. Traders should exercise caution and await confirmation of the breakdown before initiating short positions. Effective risk management is crucial to navigate the potential volatility associated with this trade setup.
by ultreosforex
NZD/CAD - Long Trade IdeaCurrently have been watching this market for a few weeks now and we have been slow progressing into this level. Smaller Time frames have just displayed our change of character indicating that we will be starting to see a little more volume come in for buyers. After already taking out the previous high I will be looking for entries soon looking to sweep Buy side Liquidity Price has already swept Sell Side Liquidity so now we will let time now just make its move' Good luck to any traders that might follow
Long
by jamesibartram
GBPAUD Bearish Breakout Imminent: Points to Potential Downside4-hour chart of GBPAUD reveals a critical juncture. We've observed a recent uptrend culminating in what appears to be a rising wedge formation. This pattern, characterized by converging trendlines, often signals a potential reversal, particularly after a sustained bullish run. The upper trendline has faced repeated tests, indicating weakening upward momentum. Crucially, the 2.04938 level acts as immediate support. A decisive break below this point would validate the wedge breakdown and likely trigger a significant bearish move. Key Levels and Targets: Immediate Support: 2.04938 Target 1: 2.03263 (Initial downside target) Target 2: 2.00516 (70.0% Fibonacci Retracement) Target 3: 1.97478 (100.0% Fibonacci Retracement) Fibonacci Analysis: The price action has breached the 50.0% retracement level, suggesting a potential continuation towards the 61.8% and lower levels. The 70.0% and 100.0% retracements are critical downside targets. Trading Implications: Short Entry: A confirmed break below 2.04938 is the primary trigger for a short entry. Stop Loss: A conservative stop-loss should be placed above the recent swing high or the upper trendline of the wedge to mitigate risk. Risk Management: Given the potential for volatility, prudent risk management is essential. Considerations: Confirmation: A break below 2.04938 must be accompanied by strong bearish momentum and ideally, increased volume to validate the signal. Fundamental Factors: Keep a close eye on upcoming economic data releases from both the UK and Australia, as these can significantly impact the pair.
Short
by ultreosforex
EURNZD Downtrend in Play – Key Breakdown & Bearish OutlookThe 4H chart of EURNZD shows a descending trendline resistance, indicating a sustained bearish trend. Price is rejecting the 1.8850 resistance level, aligning with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, reinforcing the bearish bias. A potential breakdown could lead the pair towards the 1.8726 support level (50% Fibonacci), followed by the 1.8200 key demand zone. Trade Setup & Levels: Entry Zone: Below 1.8820 after a confirmed rejection. Target 1 (TP1): 1.8726 – mid-support level Target 2 (TP2): 1.8200 – major demand zone & 100% Fibonacci extension Stop Loss (SL): Above 1.8987 to avoid false breakouts. Bearish Confirmation Factors: ✅ Lower highs and trendline rejection, confirming downward momentum. ✅ Breakdown of support zones, leading to extended selling pressure. ✅ Fibonacci confluence, reinforcing downside targets. Conclusion: A break below 1.8726 will accelerate selling momentum, with 1.8200 as the ultimate bearish target. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before entering short positions. 📉
Short
by ultreosforex
NZD/USD Bullish Reversal – Key Levels & Trade PlanThe 4H chart shows NZD/USD forming a bullish structure with an ascending trendline support. A breakout from the descending wedge pattern signals potential upside momentum. The price is currently testing a key support zone near 0.5740, aligning with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Trade Setup & Levels: Entry Zone: Above 0.5740 (support holding) Target 1 (TP1): 0.5817 – previous resistance Target 2 (TP2): 0.6050 – Fibonacci 61.8% level Stop Loss (SL): Below 0.5620 (previous support structure) Bullish Confirmation Factors: ✅ Trendline support remains intact, preventing further downside. ✅ Breakout from wedge pattern, indicating buying pressure. ✅ Higher lows formation, showing gradual accumulation of demand. Conclusion: A confirmed breakout above 0.5817 will validate the bullish move toward 0.6050. If price sustains above the resistance, we expect further upside momentum in the coming sessions. 📈
by ultreosforex
AUD/USD Bullish Breakout Setup – Key Levels & Trade PlanThe 4H timeframe shows AUD/USD trading within an ascending triangle, indicating a potential bullish breakout. The price is respecting the rising trendline, showing strong demand at support levels. Key resistance at 0.6402 is a crucial breakout level for further bullish momentum. Trade Setup & Levels: Entry Zone: Above 0.6320 (trendline support) Target 1 (TP1): 0.6402 (previous high & resistance) Target 2 (TP2): 0.6686 (Fibonacci 70% extension) Stop Loss (SL): Below 0.6195 (structure support) Bullish Confirmation Factors: ✅ Breakout above key resistance will confirm a bullish rally. ✅ Trendline support holding strong, preventing deeper pullbacks. ✅ Higher lows formation, signaling continued upward pressure. Conclusion: A breakout above 0.6402 will confirm further upside potential. If the price sustains above this level, we expect a move toward 0.6686, aligning with Fibonacci confluence and historical resistance. 🚀
Long
by ultreosforex