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EURUSD Sell SetupBy: MJTrading: EUR/USD has rallied into a significant resistance zone, approaching the upper boundary of a rising wedge/channel pattern. The price is now hovering around a key confluence zone, where trendline resistance and horizontal supply intersect ( 1.16300 —1.16500 ) There are to possible scenarios: 1) If the price Rejects directly from previous High 🔹 Position 1: Sell Stop @ 1.15915 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.6375 🎯 Take Profit: 1.5454 R/R:1 isk Level: Medium 2) If price tries to reach the boundary of the wedge or make a Fake breakout: 🔹🔹 Position 2: Sell Limit @ 1.16300 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.6930 🎯 Take Profit: 1.5000 R/R:2 Risk Level: Low 📌 This zone offers a high-probability reversal setup 📉 Why it Matters: Price action shows signs of exhaustion after a parabolic move. EMA structure is stretched, hinting at a potential pullback. Lets ZOOM OUT: Daily Chart: ZOOM IN: Stay disciplined, let price come to you, and manage risk. — #EURUSD #ForexSetup #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #ChartPattern #FXTrading #ShortTrade #MJTrading #BearishReversal #PriceAction #SwingTrade #ForexIdeas #Trendlines #BreakoutOrFakeout #RiskReward
Short
by MJElahifx
AUD/USD – Rejection at 2025 High?By: MJTrading 📉 AUD/USD – Rejection at 2025 High? The Aussie is struggling at its 2025 high, printing successive lower highs (LH) and flirting with the 60-period EMA. With momentum leaning bearish, a short opportunity opens up near 0.64878, targeting the 0.64094 support zone. Confirmation from the EMA breakdown and rejection wicks strengthens the setup. Stop-loss above 0.65285 protects against a breakout trap. Entry: 0.64883 Stop Loss: 0.65285 TP1: 0.64500 TP2: 0.64100 #Hashtags: #AUDUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ReversalSetup #BearishBias #LowerHighs #EMARejection #ShortThePop #PriceAction
Short
by MJElahifx
Euro's Surge on USD Weakness – Is 1.20 the Next Stop?EURUSD: Euro's Surge on USD Weakness – Is 1.20 the Next Stop? Hello TradingView Community! The EURUSD pair is currently commanding significant attention with its strong upward momentum. 🌍 Fundamental Highlights: Euro's Tailwinds & USD's Headwinds The Euro has demonstrated notable strength, recently breaching the 1.17 mark to hit its highest level in over 3.5 years. According to ING, if this momentum holds, the next target could be 1.20, contingent on continued USD weakness. The US Dollar faces considerable pressure following news that President Trump intends to name a successor to Fed Chair Powell soon, sparking concerns about the Fed's independence. Such speculation often leads to expectations of a more 'dovish' monetary policy, weakening the USD. Adding to the Euro's support are the NATO agreement to increase defense spending targets to 5% and President Trump's seemingly "less aggressive" stance towards the EU. In summary: Should USD depreciation persist, not only the Euro but other asset classes might also attract capital inflows, particularly given the ongoing uncertainties surrounding inflation risks and monetary policy. 📊 EURUSD Technical Outlook (H4/M30 Chart): Our technical analysis of the EURUSD chart (image_b73298.png) confirms a clear and robust uptrend, characterized by successive higher highs and higher lows. The EMAs are in a bullish alignment, reinforcing this upward trajectory. Upside Targets (Potential BUY Zones): 1.17807: The initial potential target if the bullish momentum continues. 1.18458: A higher target representing the next potential resistance zone. Key Support Levels (Potential BUY Zones for pullbacks): 1.16070: A strong support level where demand could emerge after a correction. An implied intermediate support around 1.166xx (visually suggested by price action between current levels and 1.16070) could also offer buying opportunities after minor pullbacks. 🎯 EURUSD Trading Plan: BUY Zone 1 (Intermediate Pullback): Entry: 1.16600 - 1.16700 SL: 1.16450 TP: 1.16800 - 1.17000 - 1.17200 - 1.17500 - 1.17807 - 1.18000 - 1.18300 - 1.18458 BUY Zone 2 (Strong Support): Entry: 1.16070 SL: 1.15900 TP: 1.16200 - 1.16400 - 1.16600 - 1.16800 - 1.17000 - 1.17300 - 1.17600 - 1.17807 - 1.18458 SELL Zone (Consider only at upside targets with clear reversal signals): Entry: 1.18458 (This is an upside target, but also a potential resistance for selling if strong reversal signals appear). SL: 1.18600 TP: 1.18300 - 1.18000 - 1.17807 - 1.17500 - 1.17200 - 1.17000 - 1.16800 ⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor: Fed Leadership News: Any official announcements regarding the Fed Chair succession will trigger significant USD volatility. Eurozone Economic Data: Upcoming inflation, GDP, and employment reports. ECB Statements: The European Central Bank's stance on monetary policy. Geopolitical Developments: Major tensions or agreements can influence market sentiment. Trade smart and always manage your risk effectively! Wishing everyone a profitable trading day!
Long
by MMFlowTrading
GBPJPY Keeps Recovering, But It’s Approaching ResistanceGBP/JPY is on the rise but is approaching the upper boundary of the 2024–2025 range, which could present strong resistance around the 200 level. Keep in mind that the decline from the 2024 highs to the July lows near 180 was impulsive, while the current rebound appears slow and corrective—possibly a wave B within a flat correction or even part of a triangle formation. In either case, we believe some further sideways price action is likely, followed by a potential downward turn from this prior subwave A resistance zone.
by ew-forecast
Overextended Rally into Resistance ZoneEUR/USD has pushed into the upper boundary of the Keltner Channel on the 4H timeframe, indicating a potential exhaustion of bullish momentum. Price is showing signs of overextension with Heikin Ashi candles losing strength near a key resistance zone. 📉 Short Position Setup: Entry: 1.17220 (near upper Keltner resistance) SL: 1.17581 (above recent highs and volatility buffer) TP: 1.15220 (targeting mid-channel and previous structure support) 🔻 Bearish Confluence: Price rejecting upper Keltner band Potential for mean reversion after strong rally Weakening bullish momentum in candle structure Confirmation with further bearish price action or divergence signals would strengthen the case for downside continuation.
Short
by VisionaryInsights
Riding the Wave or Facing a Pullback? Key Levels to WatchGBPUSD: Riding the Wave or Facing a Pullback? Key Levels to Watch! Hello TradingView Community! The GBPUSD pair is currently under the spotlight, experiencing significant movements driven by a mix of market sentiment and economic indicators. 🌍 Fundamental Snapshot: GBP's Lift vs. Underlying Pressures The British Pound has seen a notable surge, climbing near 1.3765 against the US Dollar. This uplift is primarily fueled by market hopes for an imminent announcement of Fed Chair Powell's successor by President Trump, hinting at potential future dovish shifts in Fed policy. Such speculation could dampen USD's strength, benefiting GBPUSD. However, the outlook isn't entirely clear-cut for the Pound. Fed Chair Powell has cautioned that tariff-induced inflation might prove persistent, adding a layer of complexity to the broader USD sentiment. Domestically, UK employers are reportedly planning workforce reductions to offset rising social security contributions, which could weigh on the GBP. In essence, GBPUSD is benefiting from potential USD weakness linked to Fed policy expectations, but traders should remain vigilant about internal economic pressures within the UK. 📊 GBPUSD Technical Analysis (H4/M30 Chart): Our technical analysis of the GBPUSD chart (image_b6d4de.png) reveals a clear uptrend, marked by consistent higher highs and higher lows. The EMAs are also in a bullish alignment, reinforcing this upward momentum. Key Resistance (Potential Sell Zone): We identify significant resistance at 1.38366. This level could attract selling pressure, suggesting a potential price reversal or consolidation after hitting this mark. Key Support Levels (Potential Buy Zones): Initial support lies at 1.36648. A stronger support area is at 1.36158. These levels could act as bounce points after any corrective moves. 🎯 GBPUSD Trading Plan: BUY Zone 1 (Near Current Support): Entry: Consider entries around 1.36648. SL: 1.36500 (just below support). TP: Target incremental gains towards 1.36800, 1.37000, 1.37200, 1.37400, 1.37600, 1.37800, 1.38000, and potentially 1.38300 (just shy of major resistance). BUY Zone 2 (Stronger Support): Entry: Look for entries around 1.36158. SL: 1.36000 (below strong support). TP: Target incremental gains towards 1.36300, 1.36500, 1.36700, 1.37000, 1.37300, 1.37600, 1.38000, and 1.38300. SELL Zone (At Resistance): Entry: Consider short entries around 1.38366. SL: 1.38500 (just above resistance). TP: Target incremental declines towards 1.38200, 1.38000, 1.37800, 1.37500, 1.37200, 1.37000, 1.36800, and 1.36648 (targeting support). ⚠️ Key Factors to Monitor: Fed Leadership News: Any official announcement regarding the Fed Chair succession will trigger significant USD volatility. UK Economic Data: Upcoming reports on employment, inflation, and GDP will directly impact the Pound. BoE Statements: Monetary policy stances from the Bank of England. US Inflation/Employment Data: Continues to influence overall USD strength. Trade wisely and always prioritize robust risk management! Wishing everyone a successful trading day!
Long
by MMFlowTrading
1
GBPJPY SHORT (swing)This is a trade setup based on a **Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern**. The pattern meets all the key Fibonacci criteria for validity. Specifically, the AB leg retraces 80.8% of XA, which is close to the ideal 78.6% level and is considered acceptable, especially since it closed with a wick. The BC leg retraces 37.5% of AB, which is within the standard range of 38.2% to 88.6%. The CD leg extends 127% of XA, which is the minimum required for a valid Butterfly pattern, and also extends 252% of BC, which falls within the acceptable range of 161.8% to 261.8%. What makes this setup stronger is that the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) at point D coincides with a **major resistance level**, adding significant technical confluence to the area. This increases the probability of a market reaction or reversal from that zone. However, no entry will be taken immediately upon price reaching the PRZ. A trade will only be initiated **after the appearance of a confirmed reversal candlestick pattern** at or near the D point, such as a bearish engulfing. This ensures that we enter with confirmation and not just based on pattern completion.
Short
by SIGNALS_VAULTFX
WHY GBPUSD BULLISH ???GBPUSD is unfolding exactly as anticipated, with price now hovering around the 1.3740 region and maintaining strong bullish momentum. Price has successfully bounced from the key support zone near 1.3430, which was previously a major resistance turned into solid demand. This level held firmly during multiple retests, confirming a clean breakout-retest continuation pattern. As long as this structure remains intact, I continue to hold a bullish bias targeting 1.4000 in the coming sessions. From a fundamental perspective, the British Pound is gaining strength on the back of improved UK economic sentiment. The latest UK inflation data surprised to the upside, pushing annual CPI back above 3%, which reinforces expectations that the Bank of England may need to act sooner rather than later on rate hikes. Markets are now pricing in higher probability of a rate adjustment before the end of Q3 2025. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is under moderate pressure as recent soft labor data and downward revisions in consumer confidence readings have dampened expectations for further tightening from the Fed. Technically, GBPUSD has cleared major Fibonacci resistance levels and is now forming higher highs and higher lows across the higher timeframes. The current bullish wave is fueled by clean institutional demand and strong price action momentum. If the pair can sustain above 1.3650–1.3680, a swift move toward the psychological 1.4000 handle is highly probable. The 1.4218 Fibonacci extension aligns as a longer-term secondary target for swing traders holding this bullish continuation. This setup offers a solid blend of macroeconomic backing and technical structure. GBPUSD remains one of the top trending forex pairs right now, favored by strong price action, central bank divergence, and global capital rotation. I'm closely monitoring for intraday pullbacks to add long positions, aiming for extended upside as the market follows through on this bullish breakout continuation.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
5
Shorting Optimism: EUR/USD Rally vs RealityAfter the spike to 1.1640 driven by temporary ceasefire news and USD weakness, I’ve taken a short position on EUR/USD. The market priced in too much optimism too fast, and I see limited upside beyond this zone in the current macro landscape. I’m positioned for a controlled retracement back toward the 1.1460–1.1520 region. The play? Fade the overextension, follow structure, and manage from strength. Technicals: • The pair ran into a strong supply zone near 1.1640, which aligns with a previous liquidity sweep. • Momentum has slowed visibly on lower timeframes, with candles rejecting highs and wicks printing upper tails. • Daily and 4H SMAs are overstretched. The 20 SMA on H4 is accelerating upward, but RSI is near overbought and flattening. • My short entry was taken with a stop above 1.1745 and first target at 1.1540, second at 1.1500. • A potential retest of the 1.1660 zone could offer additional entries if invalidation remains intact. Fundamentals: • ECB vs Fed Divergence: The Fed holds firm on rates amid sticky inflation, while the ECB is under pressure to ease further due to weak growth. • EU Struggles: PMI data remains in contraction territory; HICP cooling to 1.7% YoY suggests little reason for tightening. • Political Instability: Germany and France both facing internal political crises — risk premia rising. • Ceasefire Priced In: EUR rally on Middle East headlines lacks depth — conflict paused, not resolved. • USD Resilience: Weak recent data aside, the USD remains a safe haven. Fed’s Powell reiterated that cuts aren’t imminent. ⚠️ Bias: Bearish as long as price trades below 1.1640. Watching how the market reacts to Fed testimony and ECB rhetoric this week. 🧠 Reminder: Don’t get emotional after vertical rallies. When everyone gets excited, I look for exhaustion. That’s where trades begin. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Short
by AR33_
NZD/USD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT Hello, Friends! NZD/USD is trending down which is evident from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a classical trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 0.983. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
GBP/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT Hello, Friends! GBP/USD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 3H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.358 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
GBPCHF INTRADAY bearish below 1.1070Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 1.1070 Resistance Level 2: 1.1120 Resistance Level 3: 1.1170 Support Level 1: 1.0915 Support Level 2: 1.0865 Support Level 3: 1.0815 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EURGBP Bullish continuation breakout supported at 0.8510Trend Overview: EURGBP remains in a bullish trend, characterised by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher. Key Technical Levels: Support: 0.8510 (primary pivot), followed by 0.8490 and 0.8470 Resistance: 0.8570 (initial), then 0.8590 and 0.8620 Technical Outlook: A pullback to the 0.8510 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 0.8570, 0.8590, and ultimately 0.8620. Conversely, a daily close below 0.8510 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 0.8490 and 0.8470 as downside levels. Conclusion: EURGBP maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 0.8510 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern, with upside potential toward the 08570 area. A breakdown below 0.8510, however, would invalidate this view and suggest deeper corrective risk. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation