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EUR/GBP (1H) Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown – Trade SetupThe EUR/GBP 1-hour chart presents a symmetrical triangle formation that has now broken to the downside, signaling a bearish continuation. This pattern is widely recognized in technical analysis and often acts as a continuation or reversal pattern, depending on the breakout direction. In this case, the price has breached the lower support boundary, indicating that sellers have taken control of the market. In this detailed analysis, we will explore the chart structure, key technical levels, potential trade setups, and risk management strategies to navigate this move efficiently. 1️⃣ Understanding the Symmetrical Triangle Formation A symmetrical triangle occurs when price action creates lower highs and higher lows, forming two converging trendlines. This reflects a period of market indecision, where buyers and sellers are evenly matched until a breakout occurs. 📌 Key characteristics of this triangle: ✅ Converging Trendlines – Representing lower highs and higher lows, suggesting market compression. ✅ Price Consolidation – The pair traded within this structure, awaiting a catalyst for breakout. ✅ Breakout Direction – A breakdown from the support level confirms a bearish move. Pattern Psychology: A symmetrical triangle often precedes a significant price move. Traders and investors monitor the breakout direction to determine the next trend. Here, the breakdown below the lower boundary signals a continuation of the prevailing bearish trend. 2️⃣ Key Levels & Chart Structure 🔹 Resistance Zone (Upper Boundary) – 0.84227 The upper trendline acted as a strong resistance level, preventing price from breaking higher multiple times. The yellow-highlighted area represents a supply zone, where selling pressure was dominant. Price attempted to break above this region but failed, confirming bearish dominance. 🔹 Support Level (Lower Boundary) – 0.83500 The lower boundary of the triangle previously held as support, where buyers attempted to push the price higher. However, once price broke below this support, it confirmed a bearish trend continuation. The blue horizontal support line represents a potential retest area, where sellers may step in again. 🔹 Breakout Confirmation & Price Action The chart clearly shows a bearish breakout, as price broke through the lower trendline. Retest Probability: Many breakouts experience a pullback to the broken support (now resistance) before resuming the downtrend. The dashed black lines illustrate the expected bearish move, with a potential decline towards 0.82815. 3️⃣ Trading Plan & Entry Strategy Based on this setup, traders can capitalize on the bearish move using a structured trading plan: 📌 Bearish Trading Setup (Short Position) ✔ Entry Strategy: Traders can enter a short position either immediately after the breakout or after a retest of the broken support at 0.83500 - 0.83700. The ideal confirmation would be bearish candlestick patterns, such as an engulfing candle or pin bar rejection on the retest. ✔ Stop-Loss Placement: To mitigate risk, a stop-loss should be placed above the previous resistance level (0.84227). This ensures protection against fake breakouts or sudden reversals. ✔ Target Price (Take Profit Level): The measured move of a symmetrical triangle breakout is typically equal to the height of the triangle. Based on this projection, the expected target is around 0.82815, a significant support level. Traders may also scale out at intermediate levels (0.83000) to lock in profits. ✔ Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): A well-structured trade here presents an attractive RRR of approximately 1:3, meaning the potential reward is three times the risk. A higher RRR enhances the probability of profitability over multiple trades. 4️⃣ Market Context & Fundamental Analysis 🔍 Why Is EUR/GBP Dropping? While technical patterns are valuable, traders must also consider fundamental factors that drive currency pairs. 🟢 Possible Bearish Catalysts for EUR/GBP: GBP Strength: If the British Pound (GBP) strengthens due to strong economic data or hawkish Bank of England (BoE) policy, EUR/GBP may continue declining. EUR Weakness: The Euro (EUR) may be under pressure due to weak GDP growth, higher inflation, or dovish European Central Bank (ECB) statements. Geopolitical Events: Any negative news impacting the Eurozone (e.g., political instability) could trigger further selling pressure on EUR/GBP. 5️⃣ Risk Management & Alternative Scenarios While the current outlook favors a bearish move, traders must remain prepared for alternative scenarios. ⚠ Alternative Scenarios: 📌 False Breakdown: If price closes back above the support level (0.83500 - 0.83700), it could indicate a failed breakout, potentially leading to a bullish reversal. In this case, a breakout above 0.84227 would invalidate the bearish setup. 📌 Sideways Consolidation: If the price stalls around 0.83300 - 0.83500, the market may range before the next move. Traders should wait for clear confirmation before entering new trades. 6️⃣ Summary & Key Takeaways ✅ Pattern Identified: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout (Bearish). ✅ Breakout Direction: Price has broken below support, confirming a downtrend. ✅ Trade Setup: Sell below 0.83500 (or on retest at 0.83700). Stop Loss: Above 0.84227 (previous resistance). Take Profit: Targeting 0.82815 based on the pattern’s measured move. ✅ Risk-Reward: Favorable, offering 1:3 or higher RRR. ✅ Fundamental Drivers: GBP strength or EUR weakness could accelerate the downtrend. 📢 Final Thoughts This symmetrical triangle breakdown offers a high-probability trading opportunity for short sellers, with a clear technical structure supporting the bearish move. However, traders should remain cautious of false breakouts and adjust stop-loss levels accordingly. For best results: ✔ Wait for price action confirmation (retest rejection or bearish candle formations). ✔ Follow proper risk management (stop-loss placement and profit-taking levels). ✔ Monitor key economic events impacting EUR and GBP movements. By combining technical analysis, fundamental insights, and sound risk management, traders can enhance their profitability and navigate the markets with confidence. 🚀📉
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
USD/JPY Trade Setup & Analysis – Bullish Reversal from 200 EMAThe 200 EMA (blue line) at 149.701 acts as a strong support level. The 30 EMA (red line) at 150.458 represents a short-term trend guide. Trade Setup: Entry Point: Around 150.120 (near the 200 EMA). Stop Loss: Below 149.496, protecting against downside risk. Take Profit Levels: TP1: 150.287 TP2: 150.533 TP3: 150.886 Final Target: 151.377 Strategy: Buy Position: The expectation is for the price to bounce from the 200 EMA and move upwards toward the targets. Risk-Reward: Favorable, as the trade has multiple profit-taking levels.
Long
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
GBP/USD Holds Near Highs Ahead of Spring StatementGBP/USD remains near recent highs as traders await Wednesday’s Spring Statement from Chancellor Rachel Reeves. While major tax changes are off the table, revisions to the UK’s economic outlook and fiscal plans could provide fresh direction for the pound. What to Watch in the Spring Statement The key focus will be the Office for Budget Responsibility’s updated growth forecasts. Last year, the OBR had pencilled in 2% GDP growth for 2025, but weaker-than-expected data suggests that figure is due for a downgrade. Some estimates suggest it could be halved to around 1%. Meanwhile, higher interest rates have pushed up government debt servicing costs by an estimated £10bn per year, eroding the fiscal headroom Reeves had in October. With the chancellor prioritising stability, the government is expected to balance the books through welfare cuts and slightly tighter departmental spending rather than introducing new tax measures. For markets, that means a relatively muted fiscal event—but in an environment where the pound has been grinding higher, even subtle shifts in the outlook could be enough to move the dial. A Breakout, Then a Breather Sterling’s technical picture has changed significantly since the start of the year. After breaking above a long-term descending trendline in late January, GBP/USD has carved out a steepening series of higher swing lows, forming an ascending trendline fan. This structure signals increasing bullish momentum, but in recent weeks, the pair has entered a consolidation phase—pulling back slightly while holding near trend highs. At the same time, trading volume has steadily declined, dipping below its 20-day average. GBP/USD Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results On the hourly chart, this consolidation is even more defined. GBP/USD has established a clear range with horizontal support and resistance levels, offering traders well-structured reference points for reversals or breakouts, especially with Wednesday’s Spring Statement acting as a potential catalyst. At present, prices are languishing near the lower boundary of this range, but the RSI is not in oversold territory. However, if RSI does dip into oversold conditions and the hourly chart forms a bullish reversal pattern at the bottom of the range—an area that aligns with the ascending trendline fan on the daily chart—it would present a compelling buy signal within the broader uptrend. GBP/USD Hourly Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
by Capitalcom
EURUSD March 25 Asia to LondonEURUSD March 25 Asia to London Price had been consolidating in a discount from NY PM session until 23:00. Price takes minor buy side and starts to seek lower price. Price hits my sell side liquidity and at 4 macro market shifts as it should and seek the 50 level coming into NY open. Model set formed after sell side liquidity was taken at the 4 macro. Great delivery! What you learned to build from *block outside noise *Reenforce that when liquidity is taken the hunt can begin -mark out minor/major liquidity *after liquidity is taken then look for market shift in candle formation ((I like how you did that today)) *if you miss the run don't worry wait for the next liquidity to be taken *managing must be done from the 1 to 4 hour chart-stay clear of smaller timeframe until liquidity is taken *keep utilizing your alerts on liquidity markers *Be more active in Asia coming into London with analyzing a narrative from the higher timeframes * refrain from speculation trap instead TAPE READ-example allowing myself to draft my narrative around price making a low or high today Success is built on failures-the more times you fail means your getting closer to not making the same mistakes. Good job for trying. Keep going
by LeanLena
EUR/USD 1H Chart Analysis – Falling Wedge Breakout StrategyOverview of the Chart The EUR/USD 1-hour chart is forming a falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal setup. This indicates that although the price has been trending downward, the selling pressure is weakening, and a breakout to the upside is becoming more likely. Currently, the price has broken above the wedge, signaling potential trend reversal. However, traders should watch for a retest of the breakout level to confirm whether the price holds above the resistance-turned-support area before further upward movement. Key Components of the Chart 1️⃣ Falling Wedge Pattern (Bullish Reversal Signal) A falling wedge consists of two downward-sloping trendlines that converge, showing a narrowing price range. This pattern is formed when: The price makes lower highs and lower lows, indicating a downtrend. The slope of the lower trendline is less steep than the upper one, meaning sellers are losing momentum. Eventually, the price breaks out above the upper trendline, confirming a bullish reversal. 2️⃣ Support & Resistance Levels ✅ Support Zone (Key Demand Area) The price recently tested a strong support level (highlighted in beige), where buyers aggressively entered the market. This level has held multiple times, indicating that buyers are stepping in whenever the price reaches this zone. The green upward arrow suggests that this is a key accumulation area, where demand is stronger than supply. 🚫 Resistance Zone (Profit Target) The resistance zone near 1.09450 is the first major target for bulls. Historically, price action has struggled to break through this level, making it a logical place to take profits. 3️⃣ Breakout Confirmation & Retest The price has successfully broken out above the falling wedge, which is a strong buy signal. However, a retest of the breakout level (marked by the yellow circle) might occur before further bullish continuation. If the price retests and holds above the previous resistance (now support), this will confirm the breakout and provide an additional buying opportunity. Trade Execution Strategy 📌 Entry Point: Enter a long trade after the breakout confirmation. For conservative traders, waiting for a successful retest before entering can reduce risk. 📌 Stop-Loss Placement: Place a stop loss just below the recent swing low at 1.07541 to limit downside risk. This ensures that if the breakout fails, the trade is exited with minimal loss. 📌 Profit Target: The first take-profit target is at 1.09450, the key resistance level. If bullish momentum continues, traders can look for higher targets based on price action. 📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: This setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, meaning that potential profits outweigh the risk taken on the trade. Technical Indicators Supporting the Trade 📈 Trend Reversal Signals The market has been in a downtrend, but the falling wedge signals a potential reversal. A higher low after the breakout would further confirm the uptrend. 📊 Volume Confirmation Ideally, a breakout should be accompanied by increased volume, showing strong buying pressure. If volume is low, a false breakout could occur, requiring careful trade management. 🔍 Retest & Price Action A retest of the breakout level should hold above the wedge to confirm bullish momentum. If the price fails to hold and falls back below, the breakout may have been a fakeout, meaning traders should exit or wait for re-entry. Risk Management & Trade Considerations Always use a stop-loss to manage risk. If the price fails to stay above the breakout level, consider exiting early. Watch for external market factors such as news events or economic data releases, which can impact EUR/USD volatility. Conclusion: Bullish Momentum is Building 🚀 This falling wedge breakout on the EUR/USD chart provides a high-probability long trade setup. As long as price holds above the breakout level, bullish continuation toward 1.09450 is expected. Traders should monitor price action carefully and adjust their positions accordingly to maximize gains while managing risks.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EURAUD consolidation towards the key trading level at 1.0750The EURAUD currency pair maintains a bullish sentiment, supported by the prevailing long-term uptrend. However, recent price action suggests an overextended bullish breakout, approaching significant resistance zones on both daily and weekly timeframes. The key trading level to watch is 1.7050. A potential overbought pullback from current levels, followed by a bullish rebound from 1.7050, could extend the upside, targeting 1.7320, with further resistance at 1.7676 and 1.7800 over a longer timeframe. Conversely, a confirmed break below 1.7050, with a daily close under this level, could signal a corrective pullback towards 1.6880 and 1.6800. Conclusion: While the broader trend remains bullish, the current overextended move suggests the possibility of short-term retracements. Holding 1.7050 as support will be critical for further upside continuation, while a breakdown below this level could trigger deeper corrections. Traders should monitor price action closely and adjust risk management accordingly. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
EURCHF support retest at 0.9530The EUR/CHF currency pair is showing a bullish sentiment, supported by the prevailing long-term uptrend. Recent intraday price action indicates a bullish breakout from a sideways consolidation phase, with the previous resistance now acting as a new support zone. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Support Zone: The critical support level to watch is 0.9530, representing the previous consolidation price range. A corrective pullback toward this level, followed by a bullish rebound, would confirm the continuation of the uptrend. Upside Targets: If the pair sustains a bounce from 0.9530, it may aim for the next resistance at 0.9640, followed by 0.9665 and 0.9690 over the longer timeframe. Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 0.9530 would negate the bullish outlook and increase the likelihood of further retracement. In this scenario, the pair could retest the 0.9500 support level, with further downside potential toward 0.9450. Conclusion: The bullish sentiment for EUR/CHF remains intact as long as the 0.9530 support holds. Traders should monitor the price action at this key level to assess potential buying opportunities. A successful bullish bounce from 0.9530 would favor long positions aiming for the specified upside targets. However, a break below 0.9530 would signal caution and increase the risk of a deeper pullback. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
PREPARING TO TAKE THIS MARKET SHORTEUR/USD 4H - Very similar to the cable we want to see price trade up and into the area of interest above to take this market lower longer term. The reason for this is because price has recently broken structure to the downside. As we know this tells us that price is no longer in favour of the Demand in the market and now in favour of the Supply, so by price trading into this area we can expect price to offload more Demand and introduce more Supply. Once price trades up and into this area it will then be a case of going down to the lower timeframes, waiting for price to distribute and break structure to the downside fractally, once we have that we have means to enter. A fractal break will confirm the end of the fractal bullish correction and the start of the next bearish impulse, it will also allow us to get involved in this market with a refined entry as we can enter on the lower timeframes with a tighter stop but a higher timeframe TP.
Short
by Lukegforex
EUR/USD Short Trade Setup – Key Resistance Rejection & Bearish TEntry Zone: The entry for the short trade is around 1.08405 - 1.08412. The price is expected to rise into this area before reversing downward. Stop Loss: Positioned at 1.08760 - 1.08770, above the resistance zone marked in purple. This ensures the trade is invalidated if price moves too high. Take Profit Levels (TP): TP1: 1.07987 TP2: 1.07620 TP3: 1.07107 Final Target: 1.06604 Indicators Used: 200 EMA (Blue Line): At 1.08405, acting as resistance. 30 EMA (Red Line): At 1.08086, showing short-term trend direction. Overall Trade Idea: Price is expected to reject the 1.08412 resistance zone and move downward. If the price respects the resistance, a strong bearish move toward the 1.06604 target is anticipated. Potential Trade Plan: Sell at: ~1.08405 Stop Loss: ~1.08760 Take Profit: Staggered at TP1, TP2, TP3, or full exit at 1.06604.
Short
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
WAITING ON A PULLBACK BEFORE WE SHORTGBP/USD 1H - As you can see price is now looking as though it is going to put in this corrective wave trading us up and into the Supply Zone above, in doing so it should give us the opportunity to enter in on this market. I want to see price trade up and into this area for two reasons, one to clear the orders which will encourage a reversal in the balance and secondly to set a Lower high within this higher timeframe bearish structure. Once price does trade us up and into this zone we can then begin to look for those short opportunities, we will want to see price trade in, clear those orders and break structure to the downside fractally. A break in the structure to the downside will confirm and end to the correction and the start of the next impulse, this giving us the confirmation to trade this market short following the higher timeframe structure of this market.
Short
by Lukegforex
Why eurgbp will sell this newyork session!!In my analysis, we are observing signs of weakness in the Euro, as indicated by recent candlestick formations that reflect a notable lack of buying pressure. This behavior appears to be aligning with key Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting a potential transition towards lower price levels. I anticipate that in the pre-New York session, we may witness a temporary fake-out before a subsequent downward movement. Traders should exercise caution and consider these factors in their decision-making process Follow me for more breakdown!!
by ShinForex1
USD/JPY pair analysis forecast for short scalp.### *Analysis of the USD/JPY (1-Hour) Chart* This chart showcases various *technical analysis tools and patterns* to study market structure and predict future price movements. --- ### *Key Tools & Patterns Used:* #### *1. Market Structure Concepts:* - *CHOCH (Change of Character):* - Indicates a transition from one trend to another (bearish to bullish). - *BOS (Break of Structure):* - Confirms a shift in trend momentum. #### *2. Trendlines & Chart Patterns:* - *Uptrend Line (Black):* - Represents an ongoing bullish trend. - *Wedge Formation (Yellow Points):* - The market is forming a rising wedge, which can signal a potential correction. - *Rounded Bottom (Blue Curve):* - A *bullish reversal pattern*, indicating that price might continue to the upside. #### *3. Liquidity & Key Areas:* - *Liquidity Sweep (Red Box):* - A manipulation move where price grabs liquidity before reversing. - *POI (Point of Interest):* - A key level where price action is expected to react. - *FVG (Fair Value Gap):* - A market imbalance that could get filled before price continues in the dominant trend. #### *4. Trade Setup & Projection:* - *Bullish Scenario:* - If price retests the *POI or trendline*, it could bounce back up, following the blue projected path. - *Bearish Risk:* - If price *breaks below the POI and FVG area*, a deeper correction could follow towards the liquidity zone (LQD). --- ### *Conclusion & Trading Implications:* - *High Probability Long Trade:* - A pullback to the *POI/FVG area* could provide a buying opportunity if bullish momentum continues. - *Risk Management:* - A *break below the liquidity zone (LQD)* would invalidate the bullish setup. Would you like help in setting up entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels based on this analysis?
by David_1_8
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