Get started

Forex market

Lingrid | CADJPY Potential Downside Move After BreakoutThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . FX:CADJPY is facing continuous rejection from the descending trendline, maintaining its position within the downward channel. Price is struggling to hold above the 105.00 region, showing signs of distribution after a fake breakout and lower high formation. A sustained breakdown below 105.00 would confirm the bearish continuation targeting the 104.00–104.50 zone. 📉 Key Levels Sell zone: 105.40–105.50 Buy trigger: breakout above 105.60 and retest Target: 104.500 Sell trigger: confirmed break and close below 105.00 ⚠️ Risks False breakdown could lead to sharp recovery toward 106.20 Oversold conditions may slow downside near 104.50 Range re-accumulation above 105.00 could trap short-sellers Thin liquidity around 104.20 might cause price spikes If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Short
by Lingrid
3
NZDJPY to find sellers at market price?NZDJPY - 24h expiry Trading has been mixed and volatile. Price action looks to be forming a top. We look for a temporary move higher. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Bespoke resistance is located at 87.80. We look to Sell at 87.80 (stop at 88.00) Our profit targets will be 87.00 and 86.85 Resistance: 87.80 / 88.00 / 88.25 Support: 87.20 / 87.00 / 86.75 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
Another RR2 Position On EURUSDThesis: EUR/USD is showing signs of exhaustion near the 1.1800 psychological resistance, with price rejecting the upper band of a recent range. Entry: 🔻 Sell at 1.17883 (current price action confirms rejection) Stop-Loss: 🔺 1.17943 – Above recent swing high and psychological resistance Take-Profit: ✅ 1.17767 – Targeting the lower bound of the recent range and prior support Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:2 – High conviction setup with tight risk and extended downside potential
Short
by MJElahifx
1
Short for the next swing low.Is EURO bull run gonna end? ECB vs Fed Policy Paths Federal Reserve officials are divided but generally more cautious about cutting rates soon. In mid-June the Fed held rates steady at 4.25–4.50% and forecast only two 25bp cuts in 2025 Chair Powell warned of “meaningful” inflation coming from U.S. tariffs implying cuts may be delayed. Indeed, Fed Governor Bowman recently said she would support a rate cut “as soon as” the July meeting if inflation remains contained highlighting internal debate. In contrast, the ECB has already started lowering rates. After its June 5 decision to cut 25bp to 2.0%, Goldman Sachs analysts see two more ECB cuts (bringing deposit rates toward ~1.5% by year-end) As one strategist noted, “market pricing now shows a big gap between ECB and Fed rate cut expectations…Fed remains hamstrung by inflation,” keeping U.S. yields relatively high a stickier Fed (fewer cuts) versus a more dovish ECB (more cuts) would favor USD strength and EUR weakness. Geopolitical and Eurozone Risks Europe’s two largest economies face looming elections and weak coalitions. Fitch Solutions notes “Germany is set to hold early elections in February 2025” complicated by far-right gains, while France “is currently being governed by a weak coalition” with rising debt risks Such instability can undermine confidence in the euro. Slow growth: Eurozone growth is sluggish. After a 0.2% contraction in Germany, Fitch warns that “Germany and Italy weighing on aggregate growth forecasts” in 2025 Anemic output makes the euro vulnerable, especially if the U.S. economy outperforms. Labor market tightening: Euro-area unemployment is low (~6.3%), but conditions are “unjustifiably tight” given the weak economy Any economic slowdown could quickly raise Eurozone joblessness, pressuring the euro. Trade/tariff risks: A return to U.S. protectionism (e.g. renewed tariffs) could hit European exporters. Trump presidency could strain EU–US relations and dent demand for Eurozone exports Even talk of fresh tariffs tends to boost the safe-haven dollar over the euro.
Short
by Profit_zone
EUR/USD Extends Rally – Watching Resistance at 1.18000Hi Everyone, We anticipated a retest of the 1.17400 level coming into this week, setting the stage for further upside toward our highlighted targets at 1.17600 and 1.18000. Monday delivered, with a sharp move higher that saw EUR/USD break cleanly above 1.17400 and extend to 1.17600, bringing the 1.18000 level into focus. As previously noted, we expect dynamic resistance around the 1.18000 area and will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price test or breach this level. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649. We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
demand zone spotted... LET THE HUNTING BEGIN!!!📉 USD/JPY 4H Analysis – Demand Zone Revisit Expected The pair is currently in a retracement phase after tapping into a higher-timeframe supply zone. Let's break down the structure and reasoning behind this setup: 1. Market Structure & Smart Money Footprints • The chart begins with a clear Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside from a prior low, confirming a bullish shift. • This upward move was supported by multiple Short-Term Supports (SS) that were respected throughout the bullish trend. • Price has maintained a general uptrend structure, making higher lows and higher highs, but is now showing signs of a correction. 2. Supply and Demand Zones • Supply Zone (147.288 – 148.000): This is the last bearish zone before a sharp sell-off, indicating institutional selling pressure. Price tapped into this zone and has since reacted bearishly — a likely area where smart money took profits or initiated shorts. • Demand Zone (139.740 – 140.728): Marked from the origin of the bullish impulse and supported by a previous BOS, this is a critical area where institutional buying may resume. It also aligns with a liquidity sweep and previously unmitigated demand — a key confluence zone for potential longs. 3. Current Market Behavior • Price is currently declining toward the demand zone, and based on structure, this is likely a healthy retracement. • The chart suggests a buy limit setup at demand, with a tight stop just below 139.740 and a target near the previous supply reaction. ________________________________________ ✅ Trade Idea • Bias: Bullish from demand • Entry: Around 140.728 • Stop Loss: Below 139.740 • Take Profit: 147.288 (just before the supply zone) • Risk-to-Reward: Approx. 1:4 This setup assumes price will respect demand and continue the bullish structure, especially after multiple SS validations and a strong institutional reaction in the past. 🧠 Final Thoughts This setup reflects classic Smart Money Concept principles: • Structure shift via BOS • Entry at unmitigated demand • Exit just before major supply • Strong confluence from price history and liquidity sweep zones Wait for confirmation in the demand zone — a bullish engulfing, internal BOS, or FVG fill could give additional confidence to enter long. NB: x represents previous liquidity sweep $$ represents liquidity bos represents break of structure CHEERS TO WEALTH!!!
Long
by eaonimisi
USD/JPY) bearish Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar vs Japanese Yen) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a clear breakdown of the idea presented: --- Overview of the Setup Current Price: 144.620 EMA 200 (Blue Line): 144.973 – price is trading below the EMA, indicating bearish momentum. Resistance Zone: Around 145.000 – 145.500 Support/Target Zone: Around 142.799 RSI Indicator: ~51.11 – neutral zone (not overbought or oversold) --- Interpretation of Chart Structure 1. Resistance Level: Price tested the resistance zone and sharply rejected it. This zone has held multiple times historically, making it strong. 2. EMA 200 as Resistance: Price rejected just under the EMA, further confirming downside pressure. 3. Bearish Flag / Rising Wedge Breakdown: There is a visible bearish continuation pattern (likely a rising wedge or bear flag). Price is projected to break down from this pattern, continuing the downtrend. 4. Measured Move Projection: Previous drop of ~230 pips (-1.5%) is mirrored for the next expected move. The same size move projects the price to reach the target zone around 142.799. 5. Support/Target Zone: Marked as the final take-profit zone. Corresponds with historical demand and likely buyer interest. --- Trade Idea Summary Bias: Bearish Entry Idea: After breakdown confirmation below wedge structure or rejection from resistance zone. Target: 142.799 Stop-Loss Consideration: Above the resistance zone (~145.500) or just above the recent swing high. Confirmation: Breakdown of rising wedge + below EMA + repeated resistance rejections. Mr SMC Trading point --- Key Considerations Upcoming News Events (Three Icons): These symbols signal potential USD or JPY volatility, so watch out for data releases that could disrupt the pattern. RSI Neutral: RSI is not yet oversold, allowing room for more downside before hitting exhaustion levels. False Breakouts Possible: Price may fake a break upward before continuing lower – wait for strong candle confirmation if entering a trade. plesse support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
4
EURUSD Sell signal at the top of the Channel Up.Last time we analyzed the EURUSD pair (June 23, see chart below) we gave a strong buy signals at the bottom of the 1.5-month Channel Up: The price is almost near our Target but since it's been consolidating for so many 4H candles on the pattern's top, it is better to take the good profit and turn bearish. The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level has been a solid target for the previous two Bearish Legs, but since the last one bottomed just above it on the 4H MA100 (green trend-line), we will place the Target a little higher this time also at 1.16100. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
AUDCAD Bullish week AUDCAD Bullish Confluence Analysis: 1. Daily Timeframe: Bullish daily candle closed after sweeping the previous day’s sell-side liquidity — indicating a strong rejection and potential shift in momentum. 2. 4H Structure: Price closed decisively above the key support/resistance level at 0.89300, confirming a break and potential continuation. 3. Daily Imbalance: A breakaway fair value gap (FVG) remains unfilled, with buyers showing strong intent by driving price higher — suggesting bullish pressure is still active. 4. Intraday Confirmation: Both 1H and 15M charts show breaker blocks and fair value gaps being filled, aligning with bullish targets and providing refined 15 min entry zone.
Long
by Dlongoria90
2
Falling towards pullback support?GBP?USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 1.3609 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.3534 Why we like it: There is a pullback support. Take profit: 1.3746 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Bullish momentum to extend?AUD/CAD has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance which lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Pivot: 0.8938 1st Support: 0.8905 1st Resistance: 0.9009 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
DeGRAM | EURGBP correction from the resistance area📊 Technical Analysis ● Price failed twice at 0.8580-0.8600 supply, completing a rising-wedge inside the larger downward channel; bearish divergence accompanies the second rejection. ● A clean drop back under the former breakout line (≈0.8560) turns it into fresh resistance; wedge depth and channel mid-line converge at 0.8525, with the April floor 0.8440 as next objective. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● French election risk premium is pressuring the euro, while stronger-than-expected UK GDP proxy (ONS monthly estimate) narrows growth gap and supports sterling. ✨ Summary Sell 0.8560-0.8570; hold below 0.8560 targets 0.8525 → 0.8440. Short view invalidated on an H4 close above 0.8600. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1
USDCHF Wave Analysis – 30 June 2025 - USDCHF falling inside a minor impulse wave - Likely to fall to support level 0.7900 USDCHF currency pair is falling strongly inside the minor impulse wave 3, which recently broke the daily down channel from the start of May. The breakout of this down channel follows the earlier breakout of the key support level 0.8055 (which stopped the previous impulse waves (1) and i). Given the strong daily downtrend and the continuous outflows from US dollar or risk-on mood, USDCHF currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.7900, the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3.
Short
by FxProGlobal