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Could the price reverse from here?GBP/CHF is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 1.1262 1st Support: 1.1188 1st Resistance: 1.1314 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
GBPJPY // countertrend breakThere is a valid bull trend on the monthly and below. The trigger level is the daily breakdown, which is in line with the break of the countertrend line. If it's taken back by the buyers, the market enters in the daily long expansion phase, and the daily target fibo 138.2 in line with the next daily breakdown is my target zone. ——— We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds. Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
Long
by TheMarketFlow
EUR/USD Technical AnalysisEUR/USD Technical Analysis: Selling Pressure Continues Within the Descending Channel The EUR/USD pair remains in a downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe, with sellers maintaining control while buyers struggle to break key resistance levels. Below is a detailed analysis of the pair's recent performance: Overall Market Trend The prevailing trend for EUR/USD is bearish, as the price continues to move within a well-defined descending channel. Multiple attempts to break above the upper boundary of this channel have failed, indicating strong resistance from sellers. Key Levels Resistance Levels: The primary resistance is located at 1.0449, which has consistently rejected upward movements. A breakout above this level may signal a potential shift in momentum. Support Levels: The major support lies at 1.0331. If this level is breached, the price is likely to move lower within the channel, further reinforcing the bearish outlook. Technical Indicators Ichimoku Cloud: The price remains below the Kumo Cloud, signaling continued selling pressure and a strong bearish trend. The absence of significant support near the current price suggests a higher probability of further declines. Bollinger Bands: The price is approaching the lower Bollinger Band, reflecting short-term selling pressure. However, if the market enters oversold territory, a temporary rebound may occur. Moving Averages: The 50-period moving average (blue line) acts as a dynamic resistance, consistently rejecting any bullish attempts and confirming the bearish trend. Possible Scenarios Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the support level at 1.0331, further downside movement is expected, potentially attracting more sellers into the market. Bullish Scenario: A breakout above the resistance at 1.0449 could lead to a move toward higher levels within the channel, with a potential test of the descending trendline. However, this would require strong buying momentum and a shift in current market conditions. Conclusion The EUR/USD pair remains under selling pressure, with the downtrend likely to persist in the short term. A breakdown below the key support at 1.0331 could accelerate the bearish move, while a sustained breakout above 1.0449 may signal a potential reversal. Traders should exercise caution, especially given the reduced trading volume and market activity during the Christmas holidays, which could lead to lower volatility and fewer trading opportunities.
Short
by arongroups
Festive Learning: Using the MACD to Determine a TrendIn previous posts within this series, we have covered, Bollinger Bands and moving averages, where we’ve shown how each technique can help determine the trending condition of an asset. If you haven’t already, please look back at our timeline to view these posts. Now we want to look at another trending indicator, which can help to provide a quick and easy read of the current trend. This is called the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator, or MACD for short. The MACD uses 12 and 26 day exponential moving averages (EMAs), which are the default settings within the Pepperstone charting system. Exponential averages differ from simple moving averages as they place greater emphasis on the latest closing data for a particular instrument. This goes someway to try and overcome the issue of averages being lagging in nature. By giving the latest closing levels greater importance within the exponential calculation, these averages can turn more quickly than a simple average, to reflect price direction changes earlier. What is the MACD and How Does it Use Moving Averages? The MACD uses 12 and 26 day EMAs and measures the gap between the two. This is important as the 12 day EMA will follow the price action of an instrument more closely than the 26 day EMA. Meaning, as prices rise above the averages in an uptrend, the gap between the shorter and longer term EMA increases in a positive way. While in a downtrend as price falls below the 2 declining averages, the gap increases in a negative way. Let’s look further at the daily chart of AUDUSD and add the MACD indicator to see how this works in practice. The blue line of the indicator shows the gap between the 2 exponential moving averages, while the red line is a 9 day moving average of the indicator line. What Does the MACD Show, and How Can We Use This to Help Within Our Day to Day Trading? It’s a trending indicator, so we use it to confirm the trending condition of an instrument, but we also use it to help us decide if whether our sentiment towards that instrument should be positive or negative. There are 4 possible signals we can highlight by using the MACD. These are, • an aggressive uptrend, • an aggressive downtrend, • a correction within an uptrend • a correction within a downtrend. An Aggressive Uptrend Signal. This is where the rising MACD indicator line (blue line on the MACD chart) is above zero and above its own average. This reflects the 12 day EMA being above the 26 day EMA, and the gap between the two averages is increasing, as the price of an instrument moves higher. This set-up reflects when sentiment should be positive towards an instrument, as the potential is that the current uptrend could continue. Aggressive Downtrend Signal The aggressive downtrend signal is when the MACD indicator line (blue line on the MACD chart) is falling below both zero and its own average. This reflects where the declining 12 day EMA is falling below the declining 26 day EMA, as both averages track the declining price of an instrument. This can highlight when sentiment should be negative towards an instrument because the current downtrend may extend further. But what about consolidation signals? Consolidation Within an Uptrend A consolidation within an uptrend can develop when the MACD indicator line (blue line on the MACD chart) while still above zero has crossed below its own moving average (re line on the MACD chart). This is not a negative signal because the MACD line is still above zero suggesting an uptrend is currently in place, but it highlights a reaction to the recent price strength is appearing and that a possible consolidation within the uptrend may materialise. It can suggest a period where we may wish to close any long positions in the instrument at this point and revert to the sidelines, as a downside correction could be due. We would then look for the MACD line (blue line on the MACD chart) to either break below zero to suggest a downtrend is now evident, or the more aggressive uptrend to resume if the MACD line breaks back above its own average. Consolidation Within a Downtrend A consolidation within a downtrend is seen when the MACD line (blue line on the MACD chart) is still below zero but has crossed above its own moving average (red line on MACD chart). Here, we may want to close any potential short positions, as a potential upside recovery may be developing. This is not a positive signal because the MACD line (blue line on the MACD chart) is still below zero highlighting a downtrend is still in play, but suggests a reaction to recent price weakness is materialising and that a recovery is possible within the on-going downtrend. We would then look for the MACD line to either break above zero to suggest an uptrend for the instrument could be starting, or for prices to resume their downside moves and for the MACD line to break under its own average (red line on MACD chart) to highlight the more aggressive downtrend is still dominating. We can use these signals to either initiate outright trades, or to help us gauge the trending set-up within any instrument at any given time. The MACD indicator could then be combined with other techniques to help time trade entry within the direction of the confirmed trend, which we hope to cover in future posts. So, in recent weeks we have looked at various techniques and indicators to help us gauge the trending condition of an asset at any given time. Each can be used either on their own or in combination with the other and price patterns, but we’re sure you will find them very useful to incorporate within your own analysis and trading. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Education
by Pepperstone
1
CHFJPY Trading Opportunity! SELL! My dear subscribers, CHFJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 174.84 pivot level. Bias - Bearish My Stop Loss - 175.91 Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 172.92 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/CAD "The Loonie" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade at any point, however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 1.46500 Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release. Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Long
by Thief_Trader
USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade at any point, however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 163.000 Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release. Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Long
by Thief_Trader