Bearish Move After CHoCH – Targeting Discount Zone"This is a GBP/USD (British Pound / U.S. Dollar) forex trading chart on the 1-hour timeframe, published on TradingView. Let’s break down and describe its key elements:
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🕒 Timeframe & Pair
Currency Pair: GBP/USD
Timeframe: 1-hour (each candlestick = 1 hour)
Date & Time: July 22, 2025, 06:12 UTC
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📉 Price Action
Current Price: ~1.34690
The price has recently moved from a premium zone (upper part of the range) and is heading downward.
The red candle at the top shows bearish momentum starting to form after a rally.
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🔁 Market Structure Labels
CHoCH = Change of Character
Signals a possible reversal or shift in trend (e.g., from bearish to bullish or vice versa).
Several CHoCH points are marked throughout the chart, indicating key shifts.
BOS = Break of Structure
Indicates a significant breach of previous market structure (e.g., support/resistance).
Suggests a trend continuation or momentum confirmation.
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⚖️ Zones
Premium Zone (Top shaded region):
Price considered overvalued, typically a good area for potential short (sell) positions.
Discount Zone (Bottom shaded region):
Price considered undervalued, potential area for buys.
Equilibrium (Middle horizontal level):
Represents fair value or a midpoint between premium and discount zones.
The price is expected to return here before potentially continuing lower.
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⬇️ Projected Movement
A downward arrow is drawn from the current price, suggesting:
The analyst expects a pullback to the equilibrium level.
Followed by a further decline into the discount zone around 1.34200 or lower.
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🇺🇸 News/Event Icon
U.S. flag icon near the expected price drop indicates a potential economic news release or event from the U.S. that could influence the price movement.
Forex market
Can the Euro-Dollar Maintain Its Leadership in the FX Market?The Euro-Dollar is the best-performing major FX pair in 2025, and a short-term consolidation phase has begun below $1.18. This strength of the euro-dollar is surprising given the divergence in monetary policies. Can the euro-dollar go higher this year? How can this strength be explained fundamentally? In this week of ECB monetary policy decision (Thursday, July 24), let’s take a technical and fundamental look at the euro-dollar, which is stalling after reaching the technical resistance at $1.18.
1) Euro-Dollar’s Leadership in 2025 Defies the Logic of Monetary Policy Divergence
2025 is proving surprising in the FX market: the euro-dollar (EUR/USD) is the top-performing pair, with a gain of over 12% since the beginning of the year. This outperformance is puzzling if we rely on classic monetary fundamentals. The divergence between the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB) should favor the dollar.
The Fed maintains a prolonged monetary status quo with high rates due to persistent inflation and labor market tensions. In contrast, the ECB continued its rate-cutting cycle, reflecting a weaker European economy and better-contained inflation. Theoretically, this monetary asymmetry should have strengthened the dollar — yet the euro leads. This paradox is explained by a combination of fundamental factors.
2) Unexpected Fundamentals Are Driving the Euro-Dollar’s Strength in 2025
The euro-dollar’s bullish trend this year ignores the interest rate differential between the Fed and the ECB, both current and projected for the end of 2025.
Here’s a summary of the bullish fundamentals that allowed the euro-dollar to overlook monetary divergence:
• Trump administration’s fiscal policy raises concerns over U.S. debt sustainability (see long-term bond yields)
• Trade war initiated by the Trump administration creates economic slowdown risks for U.S. companies heavily reliant on international trade
• U.S. administration’s political will to improve currency competitiveness for exporters
• European stocks catching up to U.S. stocks in valuation
• Emerging markets’ will to diversify their public debt issuance
• Euro catching up as a global reserve currency as diversification away from the U.S. dollar
• Germany’s structural shift in fiscal and debt policy with massive investments in defense and industry
• EU stimulus spending and the ECB’s perceived monetary policy coherence
3) Is $1.18 the Final High for the Euro-Dollar in 2025? Probably Not.
The euro-dollar has been consolidating since early July after hitting $1.18. Is this the peak for the year? The answer is no — unless EUR/USD breaks below the $1.13/$1.15 support and unless institutional net positions reverse from their upward trend (see yellow line in CFTC COT data).
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Gbpjpy buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
USD/JPY : Get Ready for another Fall ! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the USDJPY chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after our last daily timeframe analysis, the price started its rally from the 144 zone and, as expected, hit all three targets at 145.5, 147.35, and 148.65, delivering over 500 pips in returns — even reaching as high as 149.2! Once the price broke above 148.65 and swept the liquidity above this level, it faced selling pressure and dropped to 146.9. Currently trading around 148.65, if USDJPY manages to hold below the supply zone between 148.65 and 149.2, we can expect further downside movement. This analysis will be updated with your support!
THE DAILY ANALYSIS :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USDCAD BUYLooking for USDCAD to push lower and activate orders underneath the daily swing low that is highlighted.
To have an entry we are looking to approach and take low in a corrective manner, to form the first 15minute swing low after taking the zone and then to push down one last time to activate more buy orders before pushing up to the high of the first consolidation highlighted on the chart.
Must see CVD absorption once the low is taken before looking for a 1 minute reversal for the entry.
Stoploss below what will be the newly formed low (allow 3 pips below this)
CHF/JPY Creating Double Top Reversal Pattern , Ready To Sell ?Here is my opinion on CHF/JPY 4H Chart , if we take a look we will see that the price moved tp upside very hard without any correction and now finally we have a reversal pattern but still not confirmed , so we have 2 places to sell this pair , first one is highest one around 185.800 To 186.000 and the second one if the price confirmed the pattern and closed below the neckline then we can enter a sell trade and targeting the nearest support . if we have not a closure below the neckline to confirm the pattern then this setup not valid .
GBPUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.347.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.338 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Key resistance for EURUSDYesterday, EURUSD moved higher and reached a key resistance level at 1,1720.
Watch closely to see if there’s enough momentum for a breakout and further upside.
If the price gets rejected, we could see a deeper correction.
Increased volatility is likely on Thursday following the ECB decision.
At the current levels, there’s no clear reason to enter a trade.
GBP/USD Long Setup: Loot & Escape Before Bears Attack!🏴☠️ GBP/USD HEIST ALERT: "The Cable" Bank Robbery Plan! 💰🚨
Thief Trading Strategy | Swing/Day Trade | High-Risk, High-Reward Loot!
🤑 DEAR MARKET PIRATES & MONEY SNATCHERS!
Based on our 🔥Thief Trading Masterplan🔥, we’re targeting the GBP/USD ("The Cable") for a bullish heist! Police barricades (resistance) are risky, but overbought markets = consolidation = TREND REVERSAL TRAP! Bears are strong here, but smart robbers take profits early!
🎯 Mission: LONG ENTRY + ESCAPE BEFORE THE POLICE (SELLERS) ARRIVE!
🔓 ENTRY: "VAULT IS OPEN!"
📍 Bullish Loot Zone: Swipe longs at any price—but smart thieves use Buy Limits near 15M/30M swing lows for pullback entries!
📍 Pro Thief Move: DCA/Layering strategy (multiple limit orders for max loot).
🛑 STOP LOSS: "DON’T GET CAUGHT!"
📍 SL @ Recent Swing Low (4H): 1.33700 (Adjust based on your risk, lot size, & entry layers!).
📍 Day/Swing Trade? Tighten SL if scalping!
🎯 TARGETS: "LOOT & BOUNCE!"
✅ 1.37700 (Main Heist Target)
✅ Scalpers: Trail SL & escape early!
✅ Swing Bandits: Hold for bigger payout!
📢 THIEF’S FUNDAMENTAL INTEL
Why GBP/USD? Bullish momentum from:
Macro Trends (COT Report, Sentiment, Liquidity Zones)
Intermarket Signals (Stocks, Bonds, Commodities)
News Trap Alerts (Avoid high-impact news chaos!)
🚨 THIEF’S GOLDEN RULES
✔ AVOID NEWS VOLATILITY! (No new trades during releases)
✔ TRAILING SL = SAFE ESCAPE ROUTE! (Lock profits like a pro)
✔ BOOST THIS IDEA! 💥 More boosts = stronger heist crew!
💎 FINAL WARNING
This is a HIGH-RISK heist! Only risk what you can lose.
Market conditions change FAST! Adapt or get caught.
Not advice—just a pirate’s plan! Do your own analysis.
🚀 NEXT HEIST COMING SOON… STAY TUNED, ROBBERS! 🏴☠️💸
EURUSD H1 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 1.1667 a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fib retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.1706, a swing high resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 1.1642, a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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EURUSD Massive Bullish Breakout!
HI,Traders !
#EURUSD is trading in a strong
Uptrend and the price just
Made a massive bullish
Breakout of the falling
Resistance line and the
Breakout is confirmed
So after a potential pullback
We will be expecting a
Further bullish continuation !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
GJ-Tue-22/07/25 TDA-Potential scalp buy to fill the gap!Analysis done directly on the chart!
Weekend gaps in the majority of times (if not all the time) at some point
will be filled.
Premise:
A simple idea plan (like Tradingview public posts) won't describe everything.
No one can predict how market will move, it's always good to react to how it moves.
It gives an idea of how price might move, but no one come from FUTURE.
So I always encourage people to openly and actively discuss in real time.
I don't give signals blindly, people should learn
and understand the skill.
Following blindly signals you won't know how to
manage the trade, where precisely put sl and tp,
lot size and replicate the move over time.
That's why you need active real time discussions.
Trading is not get rich quick scheme!
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
Euro vs Kiwi Bull Raid: High Reward Target Strategy🏴☠️EUR/NZD Heist Plan: "Robbing the Kiwi Vault with Thief Trading Style" 💰🔥
🌍 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌍
Dear Money Makers, Chart Bandits & Market Strategists! 🤑💸✈️
Here’s the EUR/NZD (Euro vs Kiwi) blueprint crafted using the signature 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 — a blend of bold technicals, insightful fundamentals, and pure tactical precision. We’re setting our sights on a potential bullish breakout — targeting the high-security resistance zone where big money hides.
💡The Robbery Plan (Thief Entry Setup):
🟢 Entry Point:
"The vault is wide open — time to extract the bullish loot!"
⚔️ Entry can be taken at market price, but the smarter thieves use a layered Buy Limit strategy at pullback zones (near swing lows/highs on the 15-30 min TF) to snipe the best entries with reduced exposure.
🔁 Scaling in = DCA-style Thief Method: split entries for efficiency, just like robbing in waves.
🔻 Stop Loss Plan (Escape Route):
🔒 Place SL below the recent swing low using 3H timeframe (1.94500 for scalpers/day traders).
🛡️ Adjust based on risk appetite, lot size, and number of entries in play.
🎯 Take Profit Target:
🏁 Exit the heist near 1.98500, where strong resistance awaits. That’s the Danger Zone — the edge of our mission.
🔍EUR/NZD Outlook Snapshot:
This pair is flashing bullish vibes due to:
🏛️ Macro & Fundamental tailwinds
📊 COT positioning & Sentiment readings
🔗 Intermarket influences
📈 Price structure & liquidity zones
For more depth: dive into external analysis tools, COT reports, and sentiment dashboards to fine-tune your view. The direction is clear — the bulls are assembling.
⚠️ Trading Alerts & Risk Management Reminders:
🚨 News releases = volatility mines.
Before entering, make sure to:
Avoid new positions near red-flag economic events
Protect your open trades with trailing SLs or partial exits
Stay alert — the market shifts fast, adapt faster
💬 Final Word from the Vault Boss:
📢 Smashing likes = boosting the crew. 💥
Support the Thief Trading Style by hitting the BOOST button and keep the robbery crew rolling strong 💪💸
We're here to outsmart the market — one clean chart raid at a time.
Stay tuned for the next master plan. Until then, rob smart, rob safe. 🧠🔐💥
$USDJPY looking primed for another leg up.FX:USDJPY looking primed for another leg up.
The weekly chart shows a textbook Stage 2 uptrend, holding strong above the 200 EMA. After a healthy pullback, the price is now testing a key pivot level around 147.60, which aligns with a major support zone.
On the 4-hour chart, the Stochastic oscillator is approaching oversold territory, suggesting the recent selling pressure may be exhausted. A bounce from this support could be the catalyst for a move back to the 155-160 resistance area.
#USDJPY #Forex #FX #Trading #Bullish
GBPJPY: Swing Trading & Technical Analysis
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current GBPJPY chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️