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AUDUSD Breakout ascending channel and consolidation breakout 1D 📊 AUD/USD Technical Breakdown – 1D Time Frame The Aussie has officially broken out of both the ascending channel and the consolidation phase, signaling strong momentum ahead. 🚀 📍 Entry Level: 0.65800 🔁 Possible Retest Zone (Support): 0.64000 🎯 Technical Targets: ✅ 1st Target: 0.66900 (Key Supply Zone) ✅ 2nd Target: 0.69000 (Major Resistance Level) Market structure and price action suggest bullish continuation if the breakout holds. Always manage risk accordingly. 📈 --- 💬 Drop your thoughts below ❤️ Like, 🔄 Follow, and 👥 Join us for more real-time updates and smart setups! — Livia, keeping it sharp 😜
Long
by LIVIATRACK
2
Market Insights with Gary Thomson: 30 June - 4 JulyMarket Insights with Gary Thomson: Eurozone Inflation, US Jobs, ISM PMIs, ECB Forum Updates In this video, we’ll explore the key economic events, market trends, and corporate news shaping the financial landscape. Get ready for expert insights into forex, commodities, and stocks to help you navigate the week ahead. Let’s dive in! In this episode, we discuss: — Euro Area Inflation Rate YoY Flash — US Nonfarm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate — US ISM Manufacturing and Services PMI — ECB Forum on Central Banking Note: U.S. markets may see thin trading ahead of the 4 July holiday, raising volatility risks. Don’t miss out—gain insights to stay ahead in your trading journey. This video represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
EURJPY is rising to 173 for a bearish and larger pattern.EURJPY is rising to 173 for a bearish and larger pattern. Since the beginning of March 2025, EURJPY started an uptrend and is still rising in a clear way with no signs of reversal. As long as the BOJ has no plans to change its monetary policy statement or make any significant interventions in Forex, then EURJPY can continue to rise higher. There is a high possibility that Eurjpy will complete a major daily harmonic pattern near 173.00. Given that EURJPY may be close to the all-time high zone, the reversal could also occur within the zone, but I think EURJPY may start a reversal between 173.00 and the higher level. We can look for sell signals there. At the moment, EURJPY is rising and may rise to 173.00, although not in a clear way. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
by KlejdiCuni
2
CHF/JPY 15-Minute Time Frame (15TF) Technical & Fundamental AnalCHF/JPY 15-Minute Time Frame (15TF) Technical & Fundamental Analysis CHF/JPY continues to show strong momentum, currently trading in the 181.45 – 181.60 range just shy of recent highs around 181.80. The pair is up roughly +4.4% YTD, with a +3.8% gain in the past month, maintaining bullish strength driven by broader USD softness and ongoing haven flows. Continued USD weakness may further sustain CHF/JPY upside, while safe-haven demand continues to support both the Swiss franc and Japanese yen especially if global risk sentiment worsens. Technical Outlook: On the 15-minute timeframe, CHF/JPY previously consolidated above a visible support area at 181.200, forming a base after breaking through key resistance at 181.400. This breakout was followed by accumulated buy orders and a liquidity hunt within the 181.200–181.400 zone a classic sign of smart money manipulation. After sweeping the zone and retesting the structure, the pair is now poised for a potential continuation move. The next key step is for price to close a bullish candle above the 181.460 area, aligning with bullish order flow continuation. 📊 Trade Setup 📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 181.460 (Buy Stop Order) 🛡 Stop-Loss: 181.280 (Just below liquidity zone) 🎯 Take Profit: 181.830 (Next minor key resistance / ~1:2 RR) 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
Long
by RebornFXTrader
USD/JPY pair struggles due to a weaker US DollarOn the JPY side, nothing has changed fundamentally, and the currency has been mainly driven by the risk sentiment. As a reminder, the BoJ kept interest rates unchanged at 0.5% and reduced the bond tapering plan for fiscal year 2026 as expected at the last meeting. The BoJ continues to place a great deal on the US-Japan trade deal and the evolution of inflation. USD/JPY is moving lower despite the disappointing Industrial Production report from Japan. The report showed that Industrial Production increased by +0.5% month-over-month in May, compared to analyst forecast of +3.5%. However, I think that if we respect this area, we might see upward momentum coming soon.
by TRADINGACPVIP
Eurozone Economy and ECB Policy:Eurozone Economy and ECB Policy: Between Price Stability and Currency Tension The Eurozone’s latest data points to a relatively stable and controlled macroeconomic environment, with a key milestone just reached: 📊 June inflation hit 2.0%, aligning precisely with the ECB’s long-term target. Growth remains moderate but positive, and unemployment is stable. From a classical policy perspective, this setup would typically justify further interest rate cuts to stimulate demand and support economic expansion. But there’s a growing complication: The euro has strengthened significantly in recent weeks, driven not just by economic fundamentals but also by capital inflows and a weakening U.S. dollar. A stronger euro, while often seen as a sign of investor confidence, can hurt exports, reduce competitiveness, and dampen inflation further — potentially becoming a drag on recovery. As a result, the ECB finds itself in a policy dilemma: Cutting rates could stimulate growth, but risk driving the euro even higher. Slowing down or pausing rate cuts could stabilize the currency, but may stall economic momentum. --- 🔁 Reflexivity at Work This dynamic highlights George Soros' theory of reflexivity — where market perceptions shape fundamentals, and those fundamentals in turn reshape perceptions. > “Market prices are always distorted by prevailing biases.” — George Soros The current rally in the euro may not reflect fundamentals alone. If the move exceeds investor expectations, it could trigger emotional reactions, abrupt capital shifts, or even corrections — despite a solid economic base. --- ⚠️ Key Takeaways June inflation at 2.0% gives ECB a clean slate to act — but with caution. Currency appreciation can delay or distort the impact of monetary easing. Market reflexivity may accelerate reactions beyond what data alone would justify. Policy credibility now hinges not just on data, but on timing and communication. --- In today’s market, price and psychology move together. Stability on paper doesn't always mean stability in execution.
by mehrshad31
EURUSD – A Potentially Busy Day Ahead For TradersThis morning, EURUSD recorded a near 4 year high at 1.1807, the beneficiary of improving risk sentiment, uncertainty about the ECB’s next interest rate move, and concerns about what President Trump’s tax cut bill, that is progressing through the Senate currently, could mean for the sustainability of the US debt burden moving forward. Now, with the FX quarter end rebalancing completed yesterday, it is possible to look forward to the upcoming scheduled events for today that could influence where EURUSD moves next. First up, at 1000 BST this morning, traders receive the latest preliminary inflation (HICP) update for the Eurozone. The outcome of this release could provide further insight into whether the current market expectation for one more ECB rate cut in 2025 is possible, or if they may be on hold for the foreseeable future. Next up, starting at 1430 BST is a panel discussion attended by ECB President Lagarde, Fed Chairman Powell, BoE Governor Bailey and BoJ Governor Ueda at the ECB’s Central Bank Forum in Portugal. The topic, “adapting to change: macroeconomic shifts and policy responses”. The comments of these central bank heads on inflation, interest rates, tariffs and economic growth could be important for the direction of all the major G7 FX pairs. Then, at 1500 BST the ISM Manufacturing PMI survey is due for release. While US manufacturing activity is still expected to languish in contraction territory, below 50, traders will be focused on whether there has been any improvement in the headline print, and what the prices paid component could indicate for the direction of US inflation across the remainder of 2025. These events, when taken with real time updates from President Trump and members of this administration on his tax bill, trade deals and flexibility of the July 9th tariff deadline, sets today up as a potentially volatile period for EURUSD trading. Technical Update: Assessing the Recent Trend From a technical perspective, a positive pattern of higher highs and higher lows remains in the EURUSD price and as the chart below shows, Tuesday has seen another new recovery high posted at 1.1807. While much will continue to depend on market sentiment and price trends, it might be argued that the posting of this new price high for the current upside move, suggests a further phase of strength is still possible. However, what are the levels traders may now be watching to gauge where the next directional price risks might lay over coming sessions? Potential Support Levels: Since posting the June 19th session low at 1.1446, EURUSD has rallied by over 3.00% (1.1446 to 1.1807) and while this doesn’t mean price weakness is necessarily on the cards, traders might become concerned a price correction is due after such a strong advance. As the chart above shows, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of latest price strength, currently stands at 1.1668. This can mark a potential first support focus, after the recent move higher. Closing breaks under 1.1668, while not a guarantee of further price declines, may then lead to a deeper phase of weakness towards 1.1583, which is equal to the 61.8% retracement level. Potential Resistance Levels: As a result of latest strength, EURUSD has traded to levels last seen in mid-September 2021 and to gauge the next potential resistance levels, we switch to the longer term weekly chart shown below. If further price strength still emerges from current levels, traders may now be focused on 1.1909, the August 2021 failure high, as the next possible resistance level. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
by Pepperstone
EURJPY - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermM15 - Strong bearish move. Lower lows on the moving averages of the MACD. No opposite signs. Currently it looks like a pullback is happening. Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short
by VladimirRibakov
Ready to Swipe the Pips? | EUR/USD Heist Blueprint Unlocked🏴‍☠️💸 EUR/USD "Fiber Heist Plan" – Thief Trader Style 💸🏴‍☠️ The Vault is Open – Swipe the Bullish Bags! 🚀📈💰 🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Welcome, Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🤑✨ Here’s the latest masterstroke based on our Thief Trading Style™—a tactical breakdown of EUR/USD primed for a bullish breakout robbery. We’re targeting the red zone 🎯—where the weak hands panic, and the real players win. 🔓 Entry Plan (Buy Setup): 🟢 "The vault is wide open!" — We’re planning bullish entries using 15m–30m timeframe swing levels. ✅ Buy Limit Orders: Plot them smartly around most recent swing lows/highs. ⚠️ Chart Alert Suggested: Eyes on the prize, don’t miss the break-in. 🛑 Risk Guard (SL Setup): 💼 Stop-Loss: Set at nearest 30-min swing low (based on your risk appetite). Remember, it’s about preserving your loot, not just grabbing it. 🎯 Target Area: 🎯 Primary Target: 1.19000 🎯 Optional Trailing SL: Ride the wave, lock the profits as price moves. 🧲 Scalpers' Notice: Only scalp long. Got big pockets? Jump in. Smaller bags? Swing along. 💡 Trailing stop advised—don’t let the market steal your gains. 💹 Current Market Outlook: EUR/USD is moving bullish—supported by technical signals, macro news, COT insights, and intermarket vibes. 🧠 Use all tools: Fundamental 📊 + Sentiment 🧭 + Quant + Bias Score 📈. 📎 Want the full breakdown? Check the 👉.Liinkk.🔗 (Keep updated, conditions shift fast!) ⚠️ News Risk Alert: 🚨 Stay alert during news drops—avoid fresh trades then. Use trailing SLs to lock profits & guard against reversal raids. 💖 Support the Robbery Plan! 💥 Hit that Boost Button 💥 if you're riding with the Thief Team! We steal smart, we trade sharp — every day’s a new heist in this market. See you on the next plan! Stay legendary 🐱‍👤💸🤑🔥
Long
by Thief_Trader
GBPUSD's strong uptrend continuesGBPUSD is in a strong uptrend, Price has just broken the resistance zone of 1.37500. All the bullish momentum is heading towards the resistance zone of 1.388. If there is a close of the h4 candle below the resistance zone of 1.375, there will likely be a Pullback to 1.363 to find more buying momentum towards the target at the resistance zone of 1.388 📈 Key Levels Support: 1.375-1.363 Resistance: 1.388 📊 Recommended Trade Setups BUY GBPUSD 1.375-1.373 Stoploss 1.37000 BUY GBPUSD 1.363-1.361 Stoploss 1.35800 SELL GBPUSD 1.388-1.390 Stoploss 1.39300
by VHT_Trader
Preparing to Short Sell NZDUSD - Large LotsThis pair doesn't really get much attention but the fact is that the US is the strongest country of the majors while New Zealand is actually the weakest. When I pooled together all the economic data, these are the facts. With that said, this pair is approaching a significant confluence resistance territory and it's highly unlikely to break above. Needless to say, I'm preparing to start scaling shorts with this pair. As I mentioned in the title, since this pair doesn't get much daily pip action, I'll be increasing my lot sizes to make up the difference. That's it - That's all Trade Safe
Short
by Michael_Harding