USDJPY | Massive Head & Shoulders Top – 2500+ Pips | Weekly📍 Pair: FX:USDJPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen)
📆 Timeframe: 1W (Weekly)
📉 Price: 144.22
📊 Pattern: Head & Shoulders (macro top)
🔍 Technical Setup:
USDJPY has formed a textbook Head & Shoulders pattern on the weekly chart, suggesting a potential multi-thousand pip reversal if the neckline fails.
🟩 Left Shoulder – Head – Right Shoulder structure is clear
🔻 Neckline sits near 137.00 – a major support zone
🔺 Pattern took over a year to form — signals significant macro exhaustion
🧠 Trade Plan & Targets:
❗️ Trigger: Weekly close below 137.00 (neckline breakdown)
⛔️ Invalidation: Close back above 151.00 (right shoulder high)
🎯 Target 1: 126.90
→ 📉 Move: -1,832 pips
🎯 Target 2: 118.80
→ 📉 Move: -2,547 pips
🔭 Both targets are based on measured move logic from the height of the head to the neckline, projected downward.
⚠️ Key Observations:
Sideways price action forming the right shoulder = distribution zone
Breakdown would shift trend from bullish to bearish on a long-term scale
Potential for carry trade unwind and safe-haven yen demand if macro tensions rise
💬 Are we on the verge of a major USD reversal vs the yen?
📌 Watch for a confirmed weekly break below 137.00 — this setup could define Q3–Q4.
#USDJPY #Forex #HeadAndShoulders #JPYStrength #TrendReversal #TechnicalSetup #TargetTraders
Forex market
EURGBP short trade Idea with divergence 💶 EURGBP SHORT SETUP – Clean Supply Rejection 📉🔥
Looking at a fresh opportunity to short EURGBP based on recent price action and structure:
🔹 Market Context:
Price recently pushed into a key supply zone or resistance around 0.84800–0.85000.
Multiple rejections spotted at that level – suggesting weak bullish momentum and engineered liquidity.
🔹 Setup Bias: Bearish
We’re anticipating a short-term correction or continuation to the downside, targeting recent demand zones or imbalances.
🔹 Trade Setup (Example):
Entry: ~0.84800
Stop Loss: ~0.85100 (above supply wick)
Take Profit: ~0.84100 (demand/imbalance fill area)
Risk to Reward: ~1:3 potential
🔹 Confluences:
Rejection candle at supply
Divergence
Price broke structure (BOS) to the downside earlier
Overbought signals (if using RSI/Stoch)
Clean imbalance zone below
📊 Execution Tip:
Wait for confirmation (M15 bearish engulfing / lower high break) to avoid early entries.
Ok we are short Price closed under support so we will wait for pullback to the green lines above 76 fib level and sell back down to the next support level which the 200 fib level orange lines on the bottom However 🤔 if price breaks above resistance the greennlines and closes above wait for pullback and buy it back-up to the next level of resistance
AUD/USD Approaches Key Resistance with Bullish Momentum IntactAUD/USD has extended its steady climb and is now challenging the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (0.6558) from the July–October 2023 decline. The pair is trading within a rising channel structure and has cleared both the 50-day (0.6457) and 200-day (0.6422) SMAs, confirming a medium-term bullish shift.
Price action remains constructive, with higher lows and rising support from the channel base suggesting consistent demand. A sustained break above the 0.6558 level could open the door toward the 78.6% Fib retracement at 0.6730, a level that also aligns with prior resistance from September 2023.
Momentum indicators support the advance. The RSI is at 61.77 and rising, but still comfortably below overbought levels, implying room for further upside. The MACD is marginally positive and could accelerate higher if price confirms a breakout above the 61.8% Fib barrier.
Traders will be watching whether the pair can hold above the confluence of the SMAs and the lower trendline of the channel. A failure here could expose downside toward 0.6420–0.6450. Otherwise, the bullish structure remains intact, with scope for a continuation higher into July.
-MW
GBPUSD - Bullish Channel (TCB Strategy)📈 GBPUSD – Falling Wedge Breakout Within Bullish Channel (TCB Strategy)
Type: Trend → Countertrend → Breakout
Timeframe: 1H
Status: Trade Running
🔍 Analysis Summary:
GBPUSD is respecting a strong ascending channel, with a recent correction forming a textbook falling wedge pattern. Price has now broken out of the wedge with bullish momentum during the NY session, signaling a potential continuation toward the upper boundary of the channel.
This setup aligns perfectly with my TCB Strategy:
Trend: Bullish market structure intact
Countertrend: Falling wedge correction
Breakout: Clean bullish breakout above wedge resistance
🧠 Trade Plan:
Entry (EP1): 1.37350 (Breakout entry)
SL: 1.36850 (below wedge low)
TP1: 1.37600
TP2: 1.38200 (channel top)
🛠️ Checklist Score: ✅ 100%
All criteria met, including session timing, structure confluence, breakout candle quality, and risk-reward profile.
📌 Watching how price reacts around 1.37600. Clean break above that could open the path to 1.38200+.
Follow for updates.
#GBPUSD #ForexAnalysis #TCBStrategy #BreakoutSetup #FallingWedge #PriceAction
GBPUSD Long, 1 JulyPrice is reacting from a Daily bearish OB, but this setup aims to catch the pullback — making a long valid here despite HTF structure.
LTF gave a clean 15m BOS, followed by reaction from the extreme 15m OB.
Entry was taken after a confirmed 1m BOS + OB retrace, in alignment with structure and location.
🎯 Target: 30 pips (1:3 RR)
⚠️ No clear Asia target, but structure favors this move
📍Entry: 1m OB after BOS
📉 Risk: 0.5%
High-probability pullback play, executed with confirmation and clean structure.
GBPJPY On The Rise! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GBPJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 196.72
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 197.78
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USD/CHF Weekly Swing Long – Targeting Long-Term Reversal I'm entering a long swing trade on USD/CHF off the weekly timeframe, aiming for a strong upside move over the coming months/years.
🔍 Entry Zone: 0.82xx (current region)
🎯 Target: 1.01585
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 0.80188
⚖️ Risk-Reward: Over 4:1
⏳ Time Horizon: Long-term swing (1–3 years)
Technical Justification:
Major Weekly Support: Price has bounced off a strong historical demand zone dating back to 2014–2015 levels.
Long Wicks + Rejection Candles: Bullish price action showing exhaustion of sellers.
Potential Double Bottom Structure: Early signs of trend reversal forming.
MACRO Opportunity: USD is historically resilient, and CHF may weaken on any shift away from risk aversion or SNB policy changes.
USDCHF H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our buy entry at 0.7921 that aligns with the 127.2% Fib extension
Our take profit will be at 0.8054, a pullback support.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.7759, slightly below the 161.8% Fib extension.
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#GBPUSD: Detailed View Of Next Possible Price Move! GBPUSD exhibited a favourable movement after rejecting a pivotal level previously identified. We anticipate a smooth upward trajectory, potentially reaching approximately 1.45. Conversely, the US Dollar is on the brink of collapse around 90, which will directly propel the price into our take-profit range.
During GBPUSD trading, it is imperative to adhere to precise risk management principles. Significant news is scheduled to be released later this week.
We kindly request your support by liking, commenting, and sharing this idea.
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Symmetrical Triangle in EURCHF —Fundamental & Technical AnalysisToday, I want to examine the EURCHF ( FX:EURCHF ) Short position opportunity from both a Fundamental and Technical perspective.
First, let’s examine the EURCHF pair from a fundamental perspective:
The ECB’s dovish policy stance and weakening Eurozone data contrast sharply with the Swiss Franc’s safe-haven appeal and economic stability. With geopolitical tensions in the background, EURCHF may continue to slide lower, supporting short positions.
In terms of technical analysis , EURCHF is moving near a Heavy Resistance zone(0.967 CHF-0.940 CHF) .
In terms of Classical Technical Analysis , EURCHF is moving inside a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern . The point to note about this example is that every time EURCHF approaches the upper lines of the symmetrical triangle , it starts to decline with a lot of momentum . And considering the previous movement of EURCHF, which was bearish, it is better to look for short positions from inside the symmetrical triangle.
Based on the above explanation , I expect EURCHF to move back towards the lower lines of the symmetrical triangle pattern .
Note: Stop Loss(SL): 0.94120 CHF
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/Swiss Franc Analyze (EURCHF), 4-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bullish ABC
Hello awesome traders! I hope you're having a great trading week so far. This week is a bit shorter due to the U.S. Independence Day — with partial closures Thursday and a full close on Friday. But as always, we keep doing what we do best: identifying high-probability patterns, managing our risk, and pulling pips out of the market.
Let’s break down this solid technical opportunity shaping up on CADJPY (4H) – presenting a bullish ABC structure into PCZ with clean symmetry and mapped targets.
Pattern Overview:
Pattern Type: ABC Bullish
Asset: CADJPY
Timeframe: 4H
Trade Type: Long – Bullish impulse expected from confirmed completion at PCZ
Key Levels:
A Point: 103.819 – Major swing low off the 200 EMA
B Point: 107.334 – Recent swing high, strong resistance reversal
C Point: 104.837 – Completion zone aligning with fib extension confluence
Entry Level (EL): 105.100–105.200 – Price now entering PCZ with reversal structure
Stop Level (ST): Below 104.780 – Invalidation if structure fails
Target 1 Zone: 107.000–107.600 – Key retracement and 78.6% cluster
PCZ (Potential Completion Zone): 127.2–161.8% BC extension @ 105.402–104.876
Fibonacci Extensions & Key Ratios:
BC 127.2%: 105.402 – First PRZ alert
BC 161.8%: 104.876 – Extended completion zone
AB=CD (Symmetry): Confirmed with nearly equal projection
38.2%–78.6% Retracement: 106.180–107.600 – Major resistance for profit-taking
Price Action & Setup:
Strong downside correction from B (107.334) to C (104.837) completed with confluence at PCZ.
Price is reacting near the 200 EMA and forming a minor reversal wick.
ABCD symmetry leg confirms with C leg near equal length projection from A–B.
If bullish momentum confirms, a move back toward the retracement zones is expected.
Market Sentiment:
Market testing the PCZ zone with wicks forming — early buyers showing presence.
200 EMA support coincides with D-leg completion, a common bounce area in structure trades.
No major USD flows this week due to holiday impact — JPY and CAD flows dominate.
Next Potential Movement:
Reversal confirmation from PCZ could send price up into:
Target 1: 107.000 (61.8% retracement of BC)
Target 2: 107.600 (78.6% extension and previous structure resistance)
Invalidation below 104.780 (break of C low)
Risk Management:
Entry: 105.100–105.200 on confirmation signal (bullish engulfing / hammer / breakout)
Stop Loss: Below 104.780 (below structure + fib invalidation)
Targets: 107.000 and 107.600
Risk Profile: Tight invalidation, high reward-to-risk structure
Conclusion:
CADJPY is offering a clean ABC Bullish structure, completing right at the fib confluence and 200 EMA zone.
With a solid base at the PCZ and mapped target levels ahead, this setup aligns well with structured traders looking to enter on confirmation.
Stay patient, stay disciplined, and trust your patterns.
Long on GBPJPY SMC Draft 📈 GBPJPY – Smart Money Story Unfolding 📖
The bears had full control, breaking structure several times and confirming their dominance after a clear CHOCH near 198.200. Each drop left behind footprints—Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and untapped liquidity—marking where smart money had been active.
But just as the market reached a deep discount zone, price tapped into an unmitigated demand area and swept liquidity below the previous low. Classic smart money behavior—grab the stops, then react.
Now, the bulls have entered the scene with intent. The strong reaction from 195.689–196.080 suggests possible accumulation and a shift in momentum. If this holds, we could see price revisit the upper FVGs around 198.800, where more liquidity awaits.
But if price fails to hold this base, the bearish flow continues. Watch how this story unfolds—liquidity is king, and smart money never sleeps.
CADJPY Is Very Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for CADJPY.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 105.190.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 104.340 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Potential bearish drop?CAD/JPY has reacted off the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is also a pullback support..
Pivot: 105.84
1st Support: 104.33
1st resistance: 106.80
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Short sell nowSell this pair now support has been broken which is the green lines on top... which price has pullback too sell now and take profits at the orange lines on. The bottom 300 fib level which is the next level of support where a major reversal is where it initially sold from in the past... look left and you will see
CHFJPY Wave Analysis – 30 June 2025
- CHFJPY broke long-term resistance level 180.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 185.00
CHFJPY currency pair continues to rise after the pair broke above the long-term resistance level 180.00 (former yearly high from the middle of last year).
The breakout of this resistance level should accelerate the active impulse wave (3) – which is moving inside the well-formed weekly up channel from March.
Given the clear weekly uptrend, CHFJPY currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance 185.00 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (3)).