Get started

Forex market

EUR/USD is bullish now after this breakoutDESCENDING WEDGE PATTERN BREAKOUT : FX:EURUSD has broken out of a descending wedge pattern with strong confirmation indicating market will go upwards till the target equivalent to the max width of the pattern STRONG SUPPORT ZONE TESTED : market has recently tested a strong support zone which it had tested earlier two times and had gone upwards indicating strong upward momentum for the currency pair PROFIT TARGET : level is 1.05274
Long
by peace_lover
CHF/JPY – Potential Reversal SetupCHF/JPY – Potential Reversal Setup The **Swiss Franc/Japanese Yen (CHF/JPY)** pair has been in a downtrend, but recent price action suggests a potential **bullish reversal** is forming. Key support at **165.059 - 166.234** has held strong, with multiple rejection wicks (highlighted in red ovals), indicating **buying pressure** at these levels. A **double bottom pattern** is emerging, further strengthening the case for a possible upside move. The **Fibonacci retracement levels** align with key resistance zones, with **175.632 and 178.814** as major upside targets. --- ## **📈 Bullish Confirmation & Upside Potential:** ✅ Price is bouncing from a **strong support zone** 🚀 ✅ A breakout above the **moving average (dynamic resistance)** could trigger further buying momentum ✅ **Risk-to-reward ratio** is favorable for a long setup --- ## **🎯 Key Targets:** 🔹 **First target:** 170.000 (Psychological Level) 🔹 **Second target:** 175.632 (Major Resistance Zone) 🔹 **Final target:** 178.814 (Upper Fibonacci Extension Level) --- ## **🔻 Risk Management:** ❌ **Stop-loss below** 165.059 to protect against further downside ❌ Avoid overleveraging & follow proper **risk-to-reward ratios**
Long
by mywork072
NZD/CAD - Strong Sell Setup (Weekly Outlook)Hi all, looking at the following chart in the Daily TF from NZD/CAD we can see that price is Bearish long term. Within the Weekly TF you will notice this is the finish pullback within this Bearish leg. Price is currently displaying that both Buy side Liquidity levels have been taking meaning the only way is down. We are currently within a strong 4H Mitigation Block and wicked into our 71% range. We are targeting the Support being a strong PHYC level. Good luck to all the traders that decide to follow Cheers
Short
by jamesibartram
EURUSD 24-28 Feb 2025 W9 - Weekly Analysis - US GDP / PCE Week!This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 24-28 Feb 2025 W9 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment Weekly Chart Analysis Daily Chart Analysis 4H Chart Analysis Economic Events for the Week Market Sentiment Inflation Data Dominates Hotter-than-expected U.S. CPI/PPI initially fueled inflation fears, but signs of moderation in underlying PPI components raised hopes for softer PCE data next week. Investors see a growing chance of Fed rate cuts in late 2025, limiting USD strength. Tariff Noise vs. Market Calm Trump’s tariff threats (e.g., reciprocal steel/aluminum duties) were largely dismissed as negotiation tactics, easing fears of an immediate trade war. Markets expect delays in implementation, reducing near-term volatility. Geopolitical Progress Supports Risk Sentiment Reports of progress in Ukraine-Russia peace talks (e.g., territory swaps) reduced safe-haven demand for the USD, indirectly boosting the Euro. Stabilizing energy prices and supply chains further supported the Eurozone outlook. Central Bank Divergence The Fed remains cautious, emphasizing data dependency, while the ECB signals potential rate cuts later in 2025. Short-term EUR resilience stems from reduced trade-war risks and improving Eurozone economic data. Focus on Upcoming Catalysts This week PCE inflation report (Fed’s preferred gauge) will test disinflation optimism. Weak U.S. retail sales/industrial production amplified concerns about slowing growth, weighing on the USD. Key Takeaways Bullish Drivers: Progress in geopolitical tensions. Softening inflation expectations ahead of PCE data. Tariffs seen as negotiation tools, not immediate threats. Bearish Risks: A hot PCE report reviving Fed hawkishness. Sudden tariff escalations or breakdowns in peace talks. Overall Sentiment:  Cautiously bullish for EUR/USD this week, with upside hinging on sustained risk appetite and confirmation of disinflation trends. Weekly Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹Internal Bearish (Pullback Phase) 🔹In Swing Discount 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS) 3️⃣ 🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into Monthly Demand and the liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase. 🔹Price made a bullish CHoCH which indicated that the liquidity was enough as per previous weeks analysis to initiate a pullback phase for the bearish iBOS. 🔹Price pulled back after the Bullish CHoCH to the Weekly Demand formed and showed reaction after volatile week. 🔹With the previous week solid Bullish close, the Demand did hold and there is a high probability that price could continue Bullish to facilitate the INT structure pullback phase. 🔹If price to continue Bullish, price will be targeting the liquidity above Dec 2024, INT Structure EQ (50%) at 1.06933 to target the Weekly Supply in premium before continuing down to target the Weak INT Low. 🔹Expectations is for price to continue Bullish if it managed to break 1.05333 27 Jan High to facilitate the INT structure pullback. Daily Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bearish 🔹INT Bearish 🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2️⃣ 🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish tapping the weekly demand zone. 3️⃣ 🔹After the failure to close below the Weak INT Low, price continued bullish sweeping the liquidity above Dec 30 and mitigating a Daily supply zone within the INT Structure Premium Zone. 🔹With the mitigation of the Daily supply, price created a Bearish CHoCH signaling the end of the Pullback Phase of the INT structure and the start of the Bearish move targeting the Weak INT Low. 🔹Price failed for the 2nd time to close below the Weak INT Low after mitigating the Daily Demand formed from the failure to close below the Weak INT Low which triggered aggressive Bullish reaction and mitigating the Daily Supply Zone formed from the recent Bearish CHoCH. 🔹After Supply mitigation, price continued Bearish following the Bearish INT Structure continuation phase. 🔹Previous week I mentioned “if the Daily formed a Bullish CHoCH (Currently above the recent mitigated Supply) this will shift my outlook to the Weekly Scenario of a deep pullback of the Weekly INT Structure to at least the Structure EQ (50%). MTF required to shift Bullish to confirm”. And with that happened I’d shifted to Bullish expectation and there is expectations of a deep pullback within the Daily Bearish INT structure. 🔹The expected targets for the current bullish move is 1st to sweep the liquidity above the equal highs (17 Dec & 27 Jan) 2nd Break of the Strong INT High to facilitate the Daily Bearish Swing pullback and the Weekly Bearish INT pullback. 🔹Currently Supply is failing and Demand is holding confirms the short-term Bullish scenario and setting my expectations for continuing Bullish. Price had pulled back to the recent Daily Demand and continued Bullish. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand) 🔹INT Bearish (Reached Extreme Supply) 🔹INT-INT Bullish (Reached EQ (50%) 🔹Swing Continuation 2️⃣ 🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH. 🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move): Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal) Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal) 🔹As expected yesterday, price managed to continue Bullish after reaching the INT-INT structure EQ (50%) in a solid impulsive move aligns with the Swing continuation move. 3️⃣ 🔹Still expectation is set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High as long LTFs holds Bullish structures. Also, In my mind I’m not neglecting the current Bearish 4H INT structure and we already reached that structure extreme where we are getting the current corrective Bearish OF. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
Knowledge is not enough to be a successful traderWhile having strong knowledge and an effective strategy is essential for success, they alone are not enough to become a profitable trader. It is important to integrate other key aspects, such as: Risk Management Capital Protection: Adopt strict risk management by using stop-loss orders and limiting your capital exposure on each trade. Diversification: Spread your investments across multiple assets to reduce the impact of potential losses on any single position. Emotional Mastery and Managing Greed Stress Control: Remain calm in the face of market fluctuations to avoid impulsive decisions Discipline: Stick to your trading plan even during periods of high volatility. Managing Greed: Greed can lead to taking undue risks. It is crucial to remain objective and not be swayed by the lure of profit, which could compromise rigorous risk management. Patience and Perseverance Patience: Waiting for the right opportunities is essential. Rushing into trades can lead you to enter the market under unfavorable conditions. Perseverance: Trading is a continuous learning process. Learn from your mistakes and persevere, even after losses, to adjust and improve your strategy. Adaptability and Continuous Learning Market Evolution: Market conditions are constantly changing. A profitable trader knows how to adjust their strategy based on new trends and information. Feedback: Keeping a trading journal to analyze your performance, identify your mistakes, and progress over the long term is fundamental. By combining these skills – strict risk management, emotional control (including managing greed), as well as patience and perseverance – you give yourself the best chance to achieve sustainable success in the financial markets.
Education
by Traderscope
GBP/AUD Descending Triangle: Moving Up for the Fifth TimeGBP/AUD pair has formed a descending triangle pattern. In this pattern, the price is bouncing between a consistent 1.9610 support level and a declining resistance line. The support 1.9610 remains same, while the resistance is getting lower, showing that sellers are getting stronger. Currently, the price is moving within this triangle, testing the support multiple times while facing resistance at the lower highs. The price recently broke out from a smaller downward movement within this pattern and is approaching the triangle resistance for the fifth time.
Long
by FXTradingAnalysis
AUDUSDThe head of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is Michele Bullock, who has been serving as Governor since September 18, 2023. She is the first female Governor of the RBA and plays a crucial role in setting monetary policy for Australia. As Governor, Michele Bullock chairs both the Reserve Bank Board and the Payments System Board, overseeing key decisions on interest rates and financial stability. Her tenure has seen significant economic challenges, including managing inflation pressures while supporting economic growth. The Upcoming AUD/USD Fundamental Data Prints and Their Impact on Trade Directional Bias. Several key economic indicators are set to influence the AUD/USD currency pair in the coming period. These include: 1. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Interest Rate Decisions Impact: The RBA is expected to cut interest rates, which could weaken the Australian dollar against the U.S. dollar if not already priced into markets. Bias: A rate cut might initially lead to a sell bias for AUD/USD, but if it aligns with market expectations, its impact could be muted. 2. Australian Economic Indicators Inflation Data (CPI): Higher inflation figures can lead to expectations of less aggressive rate cuts by the RBA. Impact: Stronger inflation data might support a buy bias for AUD/USD. Employment Figures: Positive employment data can indicate economic resilience. Impact: This could support a buy bias for AUD/USD. 3. U.S. Economic Indicators Building Permits and Housing Starts: Stronger-than-expected figures can boost USD strength. Impact: This might apply downward pressure on AUD/USD, leading to a sell bias. 4. Global Trade Tensions The ongoing situation with tariffs under Donald Trump's administration may indirectly affect Australia through its trade relations with China. Current Market Sentiment The recent rally in AUD/USD has been supported by a weaker USD and positive technical signals However, overbought conditions suggest potential corrections or reversals if key resistance levels are not breached convincingly Potential Trade Scenarios: Buy Bias:If Australian economic indicators show resilience (e.g., strong CPI or employment data), and global trade tensions ease further reducing risks for Australia’s economy. Technical breaches above key resistance levels like on monthly timeframe , the RSI divergent giving me a break of supply roof ,if we close the month on break of structure and its confirmed as a break of structure scenario ,it might return on retest as demand floor and reject to test the long term descending trendline connecting 2012 to 2024 Sell Bias: If U.S. economic indicators surprise positively (e.g., strong housing starts), supporting USD strength against other currencies including AUD. A confirmed break below demand floor would likely reinforce this scenario.
by Shavyfxhub