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Spy Game Plan for today If the market continues its bullish momentum, we could see a retest of the 200-day moving average around $570. This level will act as key resistance, and a breakout above could open the door for new highs. However, if Powell’s tone leans hawkish or the minutes reflect a more cautious stance on rate cuts, we could see AMEX:SPY crack below its current trendline. In that scenario, look for potential support and a bounce around the low $550s—specifically in the $552–$550 zone.
AMEX:SPYLong
by selfishtrader007
SPY Levels Heating Up! Is This Just a Cool-Off or a Pullback?🧊So here’s what I’m seeing on SPY after reviewing the daily, 1H, and options GEX flow. I like to keep it real — not overhyped, just what I think might actually matter if you're trading this week. 📉 Technical Setup (Daily & 1H View) * We’ve been in this steady grind higher, breaking out of the downward channel. * Price is stalling a bit near 558–563 zone — that’s a tough area, and it makes sense since it lines up with prior resistance. * MACD on the daily is still bullish but starting to flatten, and the Stoch RSI looks like it wants to cool off from overbought. * On the hourly, momentum is clearly slowing down — we’re seeing lower highs and weakening MACD. If 558 breaks, I’d expect some quick downside. 🧠 GEX (Gamma Exposure) Breakdown * The Highest Negative GEX is parked at 560, which is huge. That’s where market makers flip from hedging to hunting. * There’s a fat PUT wall at 560, and we’ve been dancing around it. So if bulls can’t hold this line, things could unwind fast. * On the upside, CALL resistance is stacked at 562–563, and we just tapped into it. * IV is sitting at 30.6 with IVx avg 25 → market’s a bit juiced, probably pricing in some chop or catalyst ahead. 🎯 Trade Scenarios I’m Watching 🐻 Bearish Setup (if price rejects 563 again): * Entry: 561–562 rejection * Target: 555–556 zone * Stop: Close above 563.50 * This plays off the GEX flip and rejection at CALL resistance. 🐂 Bullish Setup (only if we reclaim 563 with volume): * Entry: Break and hold above 563 * Target: 567, maybe even 572 if gamma squeezes kick in * Stop: Drop back below 561 🧨 Options Play Ideas * Looking short-dated? Consider a PUT debit spread like 562/557 for this week if momentum confirms. * For bounce lovers: CALL debit 563/567 spread, but only if we break 563 and hold above. * With IV a bit hot, spreads are safer than naked options to control risk. Final Thoughts:
SPY’s sitting at a pivot. It’s either digesting gains before another push… or we’re about to see some hedging volatility flood in. I’m personally watching how it handles 560–563 range — everything hinges on that for me. No need to rush in. Let the chart tell you. This is not financial advice. Just me sharing how I see the market and how I’d trade it based on what the data and charts are saying.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
1
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 7, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 7, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🏛️ Fed Decision Day Amid Tariff Pressures The Federal Reserve concludes its two-day meeting today, with expectations to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.5%. Despite President Trump's calls for rate cuts, the Fed remains cautious due to inflationary risks from new tariffs and migration policies. 📈 U.S.-China Trade Talks Resume U.S. stock futures rose overnight on news of upcoming high-level trade talks between the U.S. and China, marking the first discussions since the imposition of 145% tariffs on Chinese goods. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer are set to meet with senior Chinese officials later this week. 🛢️ Oil Prices Rebound on Demand Hopes Oil prices climbed as U.S. production declined and demand in Europe and China showed signs of recovery. Brent crude rose 0.6% to $62.52 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate increased 0.74% to $59.53 per barrel. 💼 Key Earnings Reports Ahead Several major companies, including Uber ( NYSE:UBER ), Disney ( NYSE:DIS ), and Novo Nordisk ( NYSE:NVO ), are scheduled to report earnings today. Investors will be watching these reports for insights into corporate performance amid ongoing economic uncertainties. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, May 7: 2:00 PM ET: Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Announcement 2:30 PM ET: Fed Chair Jerome Powell Press Conference 3:00 PM ET: Consumer Credit Report (March) ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
4
China Market Broder View This analysis is based on FXI ETF the iShares China Large-Cap ETF, which is trades on US stock exchange represents large-capitalization Chinese equities that trade on the Hong Kong ... largest fall in Chinese market over 60 %, you can see volume-based buying near monthly support area which were represented through circle. I noticed volume following month: March 2022 Oct. 2024 Jan 2024 Sep 2024 Feb 2025 April 2025 During the Month of September & October a bullish breakout has been appeared with ultra-high volume when FII was Exiting Money from Indian market. that Breakout Failed Due to Trade war tension or anything else whatever the reason, but weakhand brought out by market then market tested again, and we can see ultra-high volume making bullish candle on April 2025 indication of smart money entered. So Bullish Momentum could be seen in upcoming months. Technical Perception RSI traded above 50 a bullish crossover of 20&50 Moving average Price Traded above 20 Moving average
AMEX:FXILong
by rahul25
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 6, 2025 🔮🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📉 Market Retreats Amid Tariff Concerns U.S. stock markets declined on May 5, 2025, as investors reacted to potential tariffs and key earnings reports. The S&P 500 dropped 0.6%, and the Nasdaq decreased 0.7%. Notably, Palantir Technologies ( NASDAQ:PLTR ) fell nearly 8% in extended trading despite raising its full-year revenue forecast and exceeding Q1 revenue estimates. 🏛️ Fed Meeting Commences Amid Political Pressure The Federal Reserve's two-day meeting begins today, with the central bank expected to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.5%. Despite President Trump's calls for rate cuts, the Fed remains cautious due to inflationary risks from new tariffs and migration policies. 🎬 Entertainment Stocks Under Pressure Streaming giants Netflix ( NASDAQ:NFLX ) and Disney ( NYSE:DIS ) experienced premarket losses of over 5% and 3%, respectively, following President Trump's proposal of a 100% tariff on foreign-made movies. 🏠 Housing Market Faces Challenges The U.S. housing market is weakening due to persistent high mortgage rates and economic uncertainty driven by tariff policies. Mortgage rates, currently averaging 6.76%, have deterred both prospective buyers and sellers. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Tuesday, May 6: 8:30 AM ET: U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services (March) ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
$SPY Short Swing, vwap+supply+resistanceBackground. Easy confluence trade. We had the largest and fastest rally in stock history from 2022 to now. Everyone who loaded up at $380-430 is ready to take some profits. After the tariff announcements, we sold off hard through a bunch of levels and trendlines down to the bottom of the longer term uptrend. Current situation. We have retraced back up to the first major supply area, where everyone who bought the dip back in march went long. They've been underwater and are ready to sell for scratch. This will drive the price back down. Maybe the end of a long term uptrend. Maybe just leg 2 of the tariff drop, back down to the trendline. I can't know that. Delta. If you look at the volume footprint chart, there has been a huge negative delta this whole rally. Prices are going up but the larger players are selling into it. Essentially, the last 2 weeks have been driven up by main street, while wall street unloads. Once there are enough bagholders, the floor can fall out. Here's the weekly delta. Trading Approach. This is a good point to initiate the start of a long term short position. Like, buying puts 1-2 years out with a $450 target, a gap that's never been filled. I think it's also a good swing entry but with closer targets. On the more pessimistic attitude, after the tariffs, the world started the process of dethroning America as leader of the free world. There's a lot of gravity pulling down to $250 and if the world fully turns on the US, that's where we're heading.
AMEX:SPYShort
by OverexposedPhotoOfADress