Get started

ETF market

Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 2, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 2, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🇺🇸 Rising Unemployment Claims Signal Labor Market Softening Initial jobless claims increased by 18,000 to 241,000 for the week ending April 26, marking the highest level since late February. Continuing claims also rose to 1.916 million, indicating potential cracks in the labor market. 🏭 Manufacturing Sector Contracts Amid Tariff Pressures The ISM Manufacturing PMI fell to 48.7 in April from 49.0 in March, indicating a second consecutive month of contraction. Tariffs on imported goods have strained supply chains and elevated input prices, contributing to the downturn. 📉 Construction Spending Declines Construction spending decreased by 0.5% in March, reflecting reduced investments in both residential and nonresidential projects. This decline suggests caution in the construction sector amid economic uncertainties. 📊 Mixed Signals from Manufacturing Indices While the ISM Manufacturing PMI indicates contraction, the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI remained steady at 50.2 in April, suggesting stability in some manufacturing segments despite broader challenges. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, May 2: 💼 Nonfarm Payrolls (8:30 AM ET) Provides insight into employment trends and overall economic health. 📈 Unemployment Rate (8:30 AM ET) Measures the percentage of the labor force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. 💰 Average Hourly Earnings (8:30 AM ET) Indicates wage growth and potential inflationary pressures. 🏭 Factory Orders (10:00 AM ET) Reflects the dollar level of new orders for both durable and nondurable goods, indicating manufacturing sector strength. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
SPY at 3 important event! POC, 200 ema and 30 days reversalHi All SPY is at an interesting intersection: 1) a month from where it crashed and reversed entirely 2) At point of control (POC) from the top in Feb 3) at 200 ema In Aug 22 SPY reversed from POC, at other times it found support or broke out with a gap My opinion is, it will continue going up till 13th May (date when CPI is published). Nobody knows for sure how much tariff will impact CPI. It cannot as bad as we had during covid.
AMEX:SPYLong
by krisoz
SPY .. Using Fibs a bit differently, like in Reverse squaredSo most people are used to the typical, "drag from bottom to a top or top to bottom and see where the percentages(ratios) lay"...well I kinda did it a little differently....as my name suggests, its a psychotic technique...but it hit some funky levels eh? You take a high to a high, or in this case a low to a low and then you use the reverse function on the settings to show what it would be like: Theory-- To understand a fib retrace you have to retrace something, but what if the bottom you are looking at may not be a true corrective bottom. Well, pick to pivot bottoms, as seen above and then connect them. But the reverse function allows for the "retace" to be calculated for another set of bottoms to come or if you may be at a new high peak. Its by no means random cause you are following a retrace but using a multiplier and two pivots (be them highs or lows) to see what the mathematical nature of those two lows mean to your future charting. As follows... are those two lows I used really worth using for further analysis, well seeing how many times those fib lines hit seriously important places, they can be. But also, it means that you can connect those two and then do other funky things with them, which I will show below, to check "angular Fib Channeling" for future price action levels too. If it all makes no sense, then answer me this,....you ever do something so out of the ordinary one day and something just clicked into place- like weirdly accurately; you find out there was an entirely different way to go about the thing you did and it arrives at the same mathematical conclusion...that is what I excel in- finding the weird, but working ideas. 4hr view: angular Fib Channeling on the daily and 4hr respectively: and the more funky way using algorithmic numeration with Fib Channeling: (same blue arrows as previous fib channel regular settings, but changed numbers to my own mathematically derived...see what I mean that math can get you to the same place even with many different avenues of choice available) ------- and lastly...to find angles if you arent able to: You use the date and time combo measuring tool to find the exact square of two pivots you want to check the angle of...you go from the one point to the other, and then drop down along the same vertical of point two until you get to the exact value price of point one. Then you simple use the fib tool to set the angle from point one to two, then drop down vertically to the third point and there you go...see, works quite nicely...also using my custom number again: 4hr:
AMEX:SPY
by CYQOTEK
SPY - support & resistant areas for today May 1 2025These are Support and Resistance lines for today, May 1st, 2025, and will not be valid for the next day. Mark these in your chart by clicking grab this below. Yellow Lines: Heavily S/R areas, price action will start when closing in on these. White Lines: Are SL, TP or Mid Level Support and Resistance Areas, these are traded if consolidation take place on them. Silver Lines: An Area where price action could happen and do work on a choppy day.
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91
A perfect masterpiece - my final trade & mic dropHello friends. I have found the perfect trade, and I went all in with my entire account because my conviction is so high that I can say I'm 99.9% sure that I will be correct. I have never been this confident about a trade in my entire career to date. I have purchased six figures in put contracts on the SPY and SPX because I can see that a crash is about to happen. Here are a few of the factors that I am looking at which have made me so confident. 1) Retail is frantically buying the dip as well as the rip, and they are almost always wrong & lose money. Meanwhile, smart money has been selling this whole time. 2) My wave theory shows a clear WXY pattern that has now been completed. We can't currently be in an impulsive wave to the upside because there is too much overlapping. 3) Trade deal is NOT coming soon. Polymarket predicts only 19% odds for a US-China trade deal to happen before June. The tariff situation does not look good, and it isn't priced in anymore as we have retraced the entire tariff dump already. 4) The market is currently trading far above liquidity based fair value, which has been plummeting in recent weeks indicating that a drop is bound to happen soon for risk prices. To reach the fair price, the SPY should trade about 30% lower than current prices. This gives us enormous room for a cascade to the downside.
AMEX:SPYShort
by bowtrix
15
IWM: Short SetupPublished by Wavervanir_International_LLC | May 1, 2025 Thesis: Short-term weakness is emerging on the iShares Russell 2000 ETF ( AMEX:IWM ) as momentum fades following a steep vertical rally. A breakdown below the mid-band could trigger further downside into key support zones. 🔍 Technical Breakdown Chart: 15-minute timeframe Trend: Bearish short-term momentum Key Levels: Resistance: $195.64 (session high) Mid-range Support: $194.45 (VWAP/mid-band) Critical Demand Zone: $192.87 Indicators: Price has pierced the upper Bollinger band and is now retreating toward the midline. Strong rejection candle formed at the recent high, signaling buyer exhaustion. Visual downward projection aligns with the VWAP deviation bands, reinforcing mean reversion expectations. 🧠 Probability Outlook Bearish Continuation: 65% probability Trigger: Break and close below $194.45 Sideways Consolidation: 25% probability Trigger: Price holds above VWAP zone Bullish Reversal: 10% probability Trigger: Break back above $195.64 with volume 🔧 Strategy Short bias favored with target at $192.87 Stop-loss: Above $195.80 Watch for increased volatility near macro catalysts (e.g., Fed rate decisions) 🧭 Stay disciplined. We trade probabilities, not certainties. 💬 Drop your thoughts and setups below 👇 #IWM #Russell2000 #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BollingerBands #MeanReversion #StockMarket #ETF #WavervanirDSS #MarketOutlook #QuantitativeTrading
AMEX:IWMShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
4
If you think the 2025 bottom is in you couldn't be more wrongIf you think the bottom for 2025 is in and it's only up from here let me have what you're smoking. Just a puff, please! About 80% of social media retail traders are confidently calling a bottom, that's a major contrarian signal. Herding equals danger! If everyone is bullish, most are already positioned long leaving a few buyers to push prices higher. It's known as "pain trade" where markets often move in the direction that causes the most discomfort. Many of loudest voices are retail traders influencers chasing engagement, not portfolio managers or data driven strategists. AMEX:SPY SP:SPX NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:DIA NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:AMZN
AMEX:SPY
by ProfitTradeRoom
8
SPY/QQQ NQ/ES 1 Mayo 2025Key Analysis – QQQ (May 1st, 2025) 📍 Current Price Context Price is currently around 484.75 after a strong upward move. Trading near a Call Wall at 482 and a potential Rejection Block Head at 484.72. 🔼 Upside Targets (Bullish Scenario) 📈 Level 🎯 Target Description NQ Equivalent 1 482 – Call Wall 19920 2 484.72 – RB Head 20040 3 489.3 – Target Resistance 20220 4 494 – Strong Sell Zone 20400 🟩 "Possible Sell Zone" is clearly marked between 489–494, indicating potential profit-taking or reversals. 🔽 Downside Targets (Bearish Scenario) 📉 Level 🔻 Target Description NQ Equivalent 1 479 – Call Wall 19780 2 476/475 – Gamma Cluster 19660/19620 3 472 – Put Wall — 4 470/471 – Strong Gamma Line 19420/19460 5 466.28 – Extreme Bear Target 19280 🟩 "Possible Buy Zone" around 470–474, reinforced by the Zero Gamma Line at 471, is where strong bounce reactions may occur. 🔄 Strategic Zones (For Entry/Exit) 🟨 Neutral Zones (Buy/Sell Opportunity): 479 (Decision level based on flow) 484 (retest or breakout area) 🟩 Strong Demand Zone: Between 470 and 472 – Strong gamma support + Put Walls 🟥 Strong Supply Zone: Between 489 and 494 – High concentration of call options and projected resistance 🔀 Expected Scenarios Bullish Breakout: If price holds above 484.72 → potential path toward 489.3 → 494. Rejection at 484–485: Pullback to 479 → watch reaction near 476–472 for potential bounce. Bearish Breakdown: Below 472, potential retest of 470/466 area.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by JCAVGROUP
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-1 : Bottom-104Today's Bottom pattern suggests the markets will attempt to move downward - trying to find support. Even though it may appear my May 2-5 Major Bottom pattern will not happen as I expect - this is a very good lesson for traders. I'm not 100% accurate all the time. Sometimes, the markets do things that are not aligned with my research/patterns and sometimes the markets can be far more irrational than traders expect. For example, I believe this current rally is more of a speculative rally in the SPY/QQQ/BTCUSD. There is nothing I'm seeing in the Crash Index (or TRAN) to support this upward price move other than traders attempting to "buy the dip". Ultimately, I believe the current contraction in the global economy based on policies, tariffs and economic disruptions will continue to drive a consolidation, basing type of price trend, traders are buying into this dip and attempting to drive price upward on expectations of a growing global economy. Time will tell how things play out - but my longer-term modeling systems are still Bearish. I will be on the road with my father today - so I'm not going to be as available to answer questions. Watch this video twice if you need to. It will be interesting to see how the next 5+ days in the markets play out. As I stated, I'm not 100% accurate all the time. I do my best to try to help guide all of you through these market trends with my research and cycle patterns - but, that is not enough to guarantee 100% accuracy on any trade. That's just how it is in the world. No one is 100% perfect at predicting market moves. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
20
SPY - dump or bull market is back?hi traders, Some months ago, we shared the idea where we explained that SPX will experience a correction: The targets were reached, and next we saw a decent bounce, which is very well visible on the monthly candle. Today, I see a lot of excitement about the monthly close, and many people call for a new all-time high soon. I want to bring to your attention the monthly close in 2000. It looks very similar to what we got yesterday. A long, lower-shadow wick resulted in a bearish imbalance characterised by an excess of sellers, exerting downward pressure. I still can see SPY/SPX retesting 570-580 levels, but it doesn't change the fact that lower levels may be tested in the next few weeks/months. We got a bearish cross on the monthly time frame, which is not a joke. If bears take control, I expect SPY to visit 460~ levels and later even lower: 410-408. Long story short: 1. Short-term bounce may continue. 2. Mid-term - bears will take control, and we will see a bigger correction. Do you agree? Share your opinion in the comments section
AMEX:SPYShort
by vf_investment
4