FINANCIAL CRASH INCOMING, UVXY +400%As text says. Energy building up in this cluster with a potential 400+%. Fast flash crash incoming for financial markets. Trump will get rid of all the tariffs after this, or blame someone else.Longby MedianCapitalManagement7
SVIX....this is too easy (VIX inverse)VIX took a big hike, but as we all know it is dropping a bit now so it's good time to get on the SVIX train. It could reverse, but this is a very easy ride. Just use 30 min chart / 10 SMA. Best of luck! and always do your own DD!Longby antonini20020
Traded UVIX This Morning, Just After Open. Position Closed NowIs CBOE:UVIX right for you? Would you also like to earn when the market is down? If so check it out, I traded $UIVX right after the open and have already closed the position. I usually don't day trade, but on a down day like today I couldn't resist trying the downside with Ultra Short Futures Options. These instruments aren't for everyone, & most people who own them lose money over time, so please be careful and only risk as much as you can afford to lose. by CryptoQue1
ZFLRates are going lower to 2%. Canada enconomy is not in good shape. No jobs. Decreasing population. Longby NoSecondBestUpdated 1
A quick look into Leveraged ETF's and interest ratesA quick look into Leveraged ETF's and interest ratesby Thelle0
The Market Tariffs, AI reversal, MACRO market potentials?The Market Tariffs, AI reversal, MACRO market potentials? 1. The Market Tariffs – If tariffs increase, global trade tensions could slow growth, impacting exports and raising costs for consumers. 2. AI Reversal – A regulatory crackdown or AI stagnation could cause tech stocks to pull back, shifting investment toward traditional industries. 3. MACRO Market Potentials (Bullish) – If inflation cools and interest rates drop, equities could rally, driving capital into growth sectors. 4. MACRO Market Potentials (Bearish) – A recession or debt crisis could trigger a broad market downturn, pushing investors toward bonds and commodities.by Traderg1
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-3-25 : Breakaway PatternOn a day like today, where the markets broke down with a huge GAP downward, what can I say except... Just like I predicted. For months I've been warning of the Jan 21-23 Inauguration peak/top that will lead to a Deep-V breakdown on Feb 9-12. And, like clockwork, the markets peaked just after January 23 and rolled downward into the breakdown phase - headed towards my Deep-V base/bottom setup near Feb 9-12. At this point, I'm just going to sit back and collect my profits. You should be doing the same thing today - BOOK those profits. Gold and Silver are moving into an upward CRUSH pattern. It could be very explosive. Bitcoin has broken downward again - just like I predicted. Over the next 30+ days, the markets will enter a very volatile and rotating price phase. Be prepared for wild price rotations. This is a true trader's market. Go get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold Short31:53by BradMatheny111124
QQQ rangeQQQ has printed a very obvious trading range pattern. This is a very simple trading idea. But sometimes the more straight forward trade is the best. On 12/24/24, 1/13/25 and 1/27/25 QQQ hit range lows around 500 - 505. On 12/16/24, 1/22/25 and 1/31/25 QQQ hit range highs around 530 - 535. So until there's a breakout or breakdown of this range pattern, I will stick to this trading range pattern. QQQ long trade idea: long 505 stop 500 profit 530 QQQ short trade idea: short 530 stop 535 profit 505 QQQ options data: 2/21 expiry Put Volume Total 151,543 Call Volume Total 54,732 Put/Call Volume Ratio 2.77 Put Open Interest Total 537,804 Call Open Interest Total 407,596 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.32by Options3600
We like the $TPE ETF I’m changing the process for picking tickers to make it more affordable while avoiding risky penny lots. Comment your favourite TSX tickers under $150 & NYSE or NAS under $100. Key Stats: • AUM: ~$1.84B • Dividend yield: 2.24% Technical Reasons for Upside: 1. Resistance Breakout: TPE recently smashed through a key resistance zone around, signaling that bullish momentum is in play. 2. Moving Average Crossover: The 50-day moving average is comfortably rising above the 200-day average, a classic indicator that the trend is shifting upward. 3. Volume Surge: There’s been a noticeable uptick in volume, suggesting that institutional players and smart money are piling in. Fundamental Reasons for Upside: 1. Solid Revenue Growth: With revenue growing at roughly 15% YoY, TPE’s top line is showing steady improvement, supporting a higher valuation. 2. Improving Operational Efficiency: Enhanced margins and tighter cost controls indicate that the company is executing well amidst market challenges. 3. Analyst Optimism: Recent upgrades and positive forward guidance from key analysts add confidence to the bullish thesis. Potential Paths to Profit: 1. Option 1 (Low-Risk): Buy shares of TPE at current levels and hold until the price reaches the target. Please LIKE, FOLLOW, SHARE, and COMMENT if you enjoy this idea! Also, share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is the best way to keep this signal relevant, keep the content free, and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. Disclaimer: We are not a brokerage or investment firm. We do not offer financial advice or investment advice and/or signals. This is not certified financial education. We offer access to the daily thought process of an individual and his experiences. We do not offer refunds. All sales are final.Longby ChartVZN0
$XEQT buys and chill I’m changing the process for picking tickers to make it more affordable while avoiding risky penny lots. Comment your favourite TSX tickers under $150 & NYSE or NAS under $100. Key Stats: • Price: As of February 3, 2025, XEQT is trading at approximately CAD 34.95.  • Dividend Yield: XEQT has a modest dividend yield, with recent payouts 1.94%.  Technical Indicators: • Moving Averages: XEQT is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bullish trend.  • RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is in the neutral zone, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. • MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is above the signal line, a bullish sign. Technical Reasons for Bullish Bias: 1. Above Key Moving Averages: Trading above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages suggests a strong upward trend. 2. Positive MACD Signal: The MACD line crossing above the signal line indicates bullish momentum. 3. Neutral RSI: An RSI in the neutral zone implies potential for upward movement without immediate overbought concerns. Fundamental Reasons for Bullish Bias: 1. Diversified Global Exposure: XEQT’s allocation across various global markets positions it well for growth. The ETF targets a global equity portfolio with 25% in Canada, 45% in the U.S., 25% in international developed markets, and 5% in emerging markets.  2. Low Management Fee: The 0.18% fee is competitive, allowing more of the returns to benefit investors. 3. Consistent Dividend History: Regular dividend payouts, even if modest, provide a steady income stream. Potential Paths to Profit: 1. Buy Shares: Purchase XEQT shares directly to benefit from potential price appreciation and dividends. Disclaimer: We are not a brokerage or investment firm. We do not offer financial advice or investment advice and/or signals. This is not certified financial education. We offer access to the daily thought process of an individual and his experiences. We do not offer refunds. All sales are final. Please LIKE, FOLLOW, SHARE and COMMENT if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is the best way to keep this signal relevant, keep the content free, and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.Longby ChartVZN1
Buy the dip opportunity?Another manic Monday sell off. Last week was a great buying opportunity. Will todays sell off be the same? I believe so. 05:55by MarketsWith_MorningJoe0
TSLZ....easy trade (inverse TSLA)Everything is dropping and one can take advantage of the situation. Let's look at TSLA's TAs, all time high, a lot of hype (great company, but many dependencies), and a very tough economic environment aside from the company missing it's last quarter estimates. All-in-all, it is bound to dip and TSLZ is nicely positioned to take advantage of this. Always do your own due diligence. Best of luck!Longby antonini20020
Time to invest in the amazing SPDR ($XLF) I’m changing the process for picking tickers to make it more affordable while avoiding risky penny lots. Comment your favourite TSX tickers under $150 & NYSE or NAS under $100. Key Stats: • AUM: ~$38B • Expense Ratio: 0.13% • Yield: ~2.0% • Recent Analyst Sentiment: Multiple upgrades with a Buy rating across major holdings • Catalyst Note: Q1 earnings from top constituents expected to further validate sector strength Technical Reasons for Upside: 1. Resistance Breakout: XLF has recently challenged key resistance, setting the stage for a robust upward move. 2. Bullish Momentum Indicators: A clear MACD crossover and a climbing RSI suggest that the technical momentum is shifting in favour of bulls. 3. Volume Surge: Increasing trading volumes signal heightened investor interest and confirm the strength of the emerging trend. Fundamental Reasons for Upside: 1. Favorable Interest Rate Environment: With rising rates boosting net interest margins, the financial sector is positioned to see improved profitability. 2. Economic Recovery Boost: As the economy gains traction, banks and financial institutions—key XLF components—are expected to report stronger earnings. 3. Analyst Optimism: Recent upgrades across major holdings like JPMorgan and Bank of America reflect a growing confidence in the sector’s outlook. Potential Paths to Profit: 1. Option 1 (Low-Risk): Buy shares of XLF at current levels and hold until the ETF reaches your target of $57. 2. Option 2 (Moderate-Risk): Purchase LEAP call options with an expiration in 6-12 months at a strike near the target price, and sell for profit as the rally unfolds. 3. Alternative Strategy: Consider a bull call spread by buying a call option at a lower strike (e.g., ~$36) and selling a call option at a higher strike (e.g., ~$58) with the same expiration. This can help manage your premium outlay while capitalizing on the upside. Please LIKE, FOLLOW, SHARE, and COMMENT if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is the best way to keep this signal relevant, keep the content free, and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. Disclaimer: We are not a brokerage or investment firm. We do not offer financial advice or investment advice and/or signals. This is not certified financial education. We offer access to the daily thought process of an individual and his experiences. We do not offer refunds. All sales are final.Longby ChartVZN2
Long TLT Next Week: Watch for Key Levels and Volatility - Key Insights: Investors should consider TLT as a hedge against volatility, particularly in the tech sector. The ETF's role as a stabilizer in uncertain markets aligns well with current sentiment, making it a tactical choice for diversifying portfolio risk. - Price Targets: - Next week targets: T1 = 89.00, T2 = 90.00 - Stop levels: S1 = 87.00, S2 = 86.50 - Recent Performance: TLT has shown increased interest from investors seeking safe-haven assets, reflecting a growing demand for long-term treasury bonds amid macroeconomic uncertainties. The ETF is currently trading near its critical support level, demonstrating resilience against fluctuations in stock prices. - Expert Analysis: Financial experts advocate for incorporating TLT into hedging strategies, emphasizing its correlation with bond yields and economic indicators. Understanding interest rate movements and inflation expectations will be crucial for navigating the current investment landscape, particularly with the ongoing volatility in the equity markets. - News Impact: Recent developments regarding interest rates and inflation concerns are placing upward pressure on bond yields, impacting TLT's performance. As major indices inch closer to record highs amidst market turbulence, TLT's position as a risk-averse asset is gaining prominence and will be influenced by broader economic policies and market sentiment.Longby CrowdWisdomTrading335
Bearish Sentiment Prevails: Consider Shorting SPY Next Week - Key Insights: The current bearish trend in SPY suggests a cautious approach for traders. With the SPY closing below critical support levels and exhibiting patterns of weakness, market participants may want to consider short positions, particularly if SPY continues to struggle at resistance levels. Close monitoring of the support zones will be vital in assessing subsequent moves. - Price Targets: - Next week targets: T1: 594 T2: 590 - Stop levels: S1: 598 S2: 601 - Recent Performance: SPY has shown a significant decline, recently closing at 601.82 after a notable drop. This continued downward movement signifies a lack of buyer interest as bearish patterns persist. Market volatility has spooked investors as SPY faced increased selling pressure, resulting in lower closes both daily and weekly. - Expert Analysis: Market sentiment is predominantly cautious due to the prevailing bearish patterns. While some positive technical indicators have emerged, expert opinions converge on the view that unless SPY can reclaim vital price points above 603, further declines seem likely. Analysts advise maintaining a disciplined approach to trading given the current landscape of uncertainty. - News Impact: Recent unscheduled news from China has exacerbated market volatility, prompting considerable sell-offs in major indices including SPY. Rising bond yields further complicate the situation as they add to market pressures. Earnings reports from major companies such as Apple will be closely watched as they could significantly influence SPY's direction in the upcoming sessions.Shortby CrowdWisdomTrading0
SPY | The End of a 16-Year Bull Cycle? Major Correction Ahead?🔎 Overview: The S&P 500 ETF (SPY) has been in a massive bull run since the 2009 bottom, forming a clear 5-wave structure based on Elliott Wave Theory. Now, the market is showing multiple top signals, suggesting that a major correction may be imminent. 📉 Key Warning Signs: 1️⃣ 5-Wave Completion: The 5th wave is approaching a key Fibonacci extension level (0.618 of Waves 1-3), a common reversal zone for extended moves. The previous wave count has been respected perfectly, reinforcing this structure. 2️⃣ Fibonacci Circles Alignment: Price is reaching the outermost Fibonacci arc, a historically significant zone where reversals have occurred. The market has reacted strongly in previous arcs, indicating this could be another turning point. 3️⃣ RSI Bearish Divergence: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is making lower highs while price is making higher highs—a classic bearish divergence signal. Previous similar divergences led to major corrections, including 2000, 2008, and 2021 dips. 4️⃣ Overextended Market Conditions: Volume is declining despite new highs, signaling weak buying pressure. Sentiment is euphoric, typically a late-stage bull market characteristic. 📊 Possible Scenarios: 🟢 Bullish Case: If SPY breaks and sustains above the 0.786 Fibonacci level (~672), we could see an extension. 🔴 Bearish Case: A break below 600 and a weekly close under 575 would confirm the start of a major correction back to the 350-400 zone (previous wave 4 region). 🚨 Final Thoughts: The technical evidence suggests that SPY is in a late-stage bull cycle, and the risk of a major pullback is high. While timing exact tops is difficult, long-term investors should be cautious, and traders may want to start looking at hedging strategies or taking partial profits. 📢 What’s your take? Are we near a major top, or is there more upside left? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 👇 #SPY #SP500 #StockMarket #ElliottWave #Fibonacci #RSI #BearishDivergence #Trading #Investing 🚀📉by EduNuri112
Is SPY setting up for a correction?The weekly RSI for AMEX:SPY has been flashing some warning signs for the past 6 months. We need to discuss why this could be detrimental for the bullsShort20:00by Jonalius7
SPY Faces Key Support Test! A Reversal or Breakdown Ahead? Jan3Technical Analysis: 1. Trend Overview: * SPY is consolidating within an ascending wedge pattern but is now testing critical support levels near $598. * MACD shows bearish momentum as the histogram dives deeper into negative territory. * Stochastic RSI has entered oversold territory, hinting at a potential bounce but no confirmation yet. 2. Support and Resistance: * Immediate Support: $598. * Key Resistance: $610, aligned with the highest positive NETGEX wall. 3. Volume: * The recent decline is supported by increasing volume, signaling strong selling pressure. GEX and Options Perspective: 1. Gamma Levels: * Resistance: $610 (highest positive NETGEX), followed by $615. * Support: $598 and $595 as critical PUT walls with -59.64% and -67.37% negative gamma concentrations, respectively. * Extreme Bearish Zone: Below $590, where PUT dominance may accelerate downside moves. 2. Implied Volatility and Sentiment: * IVR: 19.4 indicates moderate volatility. * IVx average: 15.7, showing slightly elevated implied volatility compared to historical norms. * PUT$ dominance at 70.3% highlights bearish sentiment in the options market. Trade Scenarios: 1. Bullish Setup: * Entry: Above $601 with confirmation of strong buying volume. * Target: $610, with a stretch target at $615. * Stop-Loss: Below $598. 2. Bearish Setup: * Entry: Below $598, confirming a breakdown from support. * Target: $590, with an extended target at $585. * Stop-Loss: Above $601. Actionable Suggestion: * Watch for a reversal signal at $598, potentially confirmed by bullish divergence on MACD and Stochastic RSI. * In case of a breakdown, consider aligning trades with PUT-heavy zones below $595 for downside continuation. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your due diligence and manage your risk effectively. by BullBearInsights6
QQQ Approaching a Critical Juncture! Jan. 3Technical Analysis Overview: 1. Trend Analysis: * QQQ is trading within a broad descending wedge, approaching critical support near $510. Resistance remains strong near $533, where previous highs align with the upper trendline. * The current drop indicates bearish momentum, but potential reversal signs may emerge as it tests lower boundaries. 2. Indicators: * MACD: Momentum is bearish, with the MACD histogram showing declining bullish momentum. * Stochastic RSI: Oversold on the hourly timeframe, suggesting a potential short-term bounce or relief rally. 3. Volume: * Increased selling volume supports the current downtrend, emphasizing bearish sentiment in the short term. Key Levels to Watch: * Support: $510 (trendline), $500 (psychological level and PUT wall alignment). * Resistance: $525 (short-term), $533 (key CALL wall and upper trendline). Gamma Exposure Insights (GEX): 1. Support and Resistance from GEX: * Highest Positive GEX: $533, indicating strong resistance where call options are concentrated. * Highest Negative GEX: $500, aligning with strong support where significant PUT options are concentrated. 2. Gamma Wall Analysis: * Call Wall: At $533, where market makers may increase hedging activities if QQQ rallies. * Put Wall: At $500, a level of substantial support based on hedging flows. 3. IV Metrics: * IVR: 21.6, indicating low volatility relative to its annual range. * IVx Average: 20.5, suggesting moderate implied volatility expectations. Trade Scenarios: 1. Bullish Setup: * Entry: Above $525 with confirmation of strong buying pressure. * Target: $533 (first target) and $540 (extended target). * Stop-Loss: Below $519 to protect against false breakouts. 2. Bearish Setup: * Entry: If $510 breaks on high volume. * Target: $500 (primary support) and $490 (extended target). * Stop-Loss: Above $516 to minimize risk. Conclusion: QQQ is trading near critical levels, and upcoming price action will likely depend on whether it holds key support at $510 or breaks lower towards $500. Monitor Gamma levels for guidance on potential reversals or continuation of the trend. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research and consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions. by BullBearInsights115
IWM at a Pivotal Level: Insights for Swing and Option TradersTechnical Analysis: * Trend Overview: IWM shows signs of consolidation after a rejection from the $230 resistance level, creating a descending pattern. * Indicators: * MACD: Bearish momentum is building as the histogram dips further below the zero line. * Stoch RSI: Oversold conditions with potential for a short-term bounce. * Key Levels: * Resistance: $230, $235 (critical levels for bulls to break). * Support: $224.50, $222 (zones where buyers could step in). Options GEX Analysis: * Gamma Resistance: * $230: High positive gamma resistance suggests strong selling pressure above this level. * $235: Critical for any breakout potential. * Put Walls: * $225: High net negative gamma—break below this may accelerate downside moves. * $220-$215: Key zones for bearish targets and gamma support. Trade Setups: * Bullish Setup: * Entry: Above $227. * Target: $230-$235. * Stop-Loss: Below $225. * Bearish Setup: * Entry: Below $224.50. * Target: $222-$220. * Stop-Loss: Above $227. Outlook: The current price action aligns with a cautious stance as IWM hovers near the lower end of its consolidation channel. Gamma data supports a bearish bias unless bulls reclaim key resistance zones. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and manage risk carefully. by BullBearInsights1
2/03/2025 Weekly Analysis + WatchlistSPY - Failed 2U week after going outside month the week before. Not super shocking, but now we sit in an interesting spot. The new month will open inside bar and has to either take out previous month highs (Which is ATH) or Jan Lows. Seeing that the range is pretty wide for downside, It will take less effort to make new ATH. Not that it means a whole lot, but that is something to note. Next, we see the week closed failed 2D, but is pretty much slapped right in the middle of last weeks range, so it will take an equal amount of effort to make a HH or LL. Finally, from a daily perspective we have a large failed 2U with slight PMG to the downside. We are definitely primed for a sharp corrective move Monday, but of course anything can happen, we are just much closer to seeing the bear scenario than bull. In my mind, the ideal weekly scenario is this: Monday sees sharp corrective move, taking out the PMG guys, then the rest of the week climbs, triggering the weekly 2-2 Rev, which then ideally sends us into ATH once more before seeing either BF expansion on the Month (since we would go 3-2U.), or seeing us start to come back through last months range for a larger corrective move. In the pure bear scenario, we trigger the daily reversal, head down to weekly 2-2 cont. trigger, then see if we can make progress down back through a few daily gaps, ultimately targeting prev month low for the 3-2D M. Given that we are going into a new monthly open after going 3, we could very easily just chop and go nowhere for the week seeing as we may just remain inside week with the month being inside to start out before possibly seeing control more clearly dictated in the 2nd/3rd week of Feb. Main advice regardless is to trade things that are moving early on like gappers, and anything where the month goes 2U or 2D in the first week. Avoid inside bars if possible and trade light! Main setups for the week: Bull: GE - Inside D and W ORCL - Hammer W to head back through D gap. Cautious with this one MRVL - Weekly 2-2U. Daily gap fill to the upside after giant gap down to exhaustion risk Bear: BA - Shooter 3-2D weekly. Bear Revstrat daily. Daily BF looks solid. MSFT - MoMo Shooter M, 3-2D W, Daily 2-1-2D. Check daily BF. Still has magnitude after massive ER drop VZ - Weekly 2-2D, Daily shooter 2-1-2D, FTFC Red. Check daily BF Neutral: RKLB - Inside week. Nuclear Green FTFC and super crazy ATR latelyby Alanger170
Brutal weekLost probably around 10%. My motivation is shaken, but not broken. I need to find my passion in trading and put in time and effort to improve my system because we're likely going into an environment where I can't keep doing what I've been doing. 17:54by BenedekBokor0
Wyckoff Reaccumulation Pattern market-bulls.com Appears to be wyckoff reaccumulation pattern as explained in this article. Longby mjdegrt0