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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-3 : BreakAway In Trend ModeToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to move into a Breakaway type of pattern. I believe that Breakaway may be to the downside, but I could be wrong. Price has been struggling in a sideways consolidated range over the past 2+ weeks. I believe this range sets up an "Island" type of price formation that is indicative of a topping type of pattern. Currently, I'm tracking layers of different TA techniques to try to see how price may react in the future. Right now, price appears to be trapped within a range, has recently broken below the STDDEV channel, and may be moving into a very volatile FAILURE/REJECTION phase. This is where price may attempt to resume trending (up or down) and I believe the move logical move is to the downside at this point. Gold/Silver had a HUGE MOVE yesterday and are not contracting a bit. I still believe Metals will rally higher and attempt to break to new ATH levels. BTCUSD is trapped in a sideways price range after reaching new ATH levels recently. Many of you are aware I'm expecting a rollover-top pattern to setup in BTCUSD (and the US markets) and I believe it is just a matter of time to see how the markets react to policies, news, and economic function/data. Should be an interesting (possibly sideways) day today. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
SPY 1HR Pullback to Volume Buy Zone Before Bullish ContinuationI’m watching the 588.52–589.94 range as a high-probability buy zone on the SPY 1-hour chart. This zone aligns with a strong volume shelf, indicating prior institutional accumulation and heavy transaction flow. After a sharp move into the 591s, we’re seeing some hesitation and potential for a healthy pullback. The plan is to wait for price action to return to the buy zone, show signs of strength (e.g., hammer candle, strong bounce), and look for a continuation toward the previous high of 593.46 and possibly higher. 🔹 Buy Zone: 588.52–589.94 🔹 Volume Profile Support: High node at ~589 🔹 Resistance: 591.12 short-term, then 593.46 🔹 Stop Loss: Below 586.76 to avoid false breakouts 🔹 Target: 593.50+ with higher timeframe continuation in mind
AMEX:SPYLong
by boiigtg
2
SPY (S&P500 ETF) - Price Testing Resistance Trendline - DailySPY (S&P500 ETF) price is currently testing a resistance trendline above ($593 to $595 price levels). SPY price in the medium-term has been uptrending since April and May 2025. SPY price in the short-term has been consolidating sideways, and a large volume breakout or breakdown has not occurred yet. The 12EMA (blue line) has been holding as support for 5 trading days. Resistance targets to the upside would be $598 to $600. The grey gap and the 26EMA (purple line) are downside support targets if a rally does not occur this month ($576 to $567). Breaking news and tariff trade deals are supposed to occur in June and July 2025.
AMEX:SPY
by NoFomoCharts
600 before 580?, Jolts, Jobs Data, calling China🎮 What’s Happening Now: 1. The market trades like a simulation. Levels get hit to the penny and reverse. Fake breakouts, engineered sweeps, and chop-fests designed to trigger stops and crush premium. It’s like trading inside a casino that reads your mind and moves the exit every five minutes. 2. AI + HFT firms front-run sentiment and order flow. They scan Reddit, Discord, X, TradingView, and even order book imbalances in real time. The second you find an edge, they’re already there—front-running or fading it. 3. Implied volatility and option decay weaponized. They bait you in with movement, then nuke premiums before you can cash out. If you're not closing green trades fast, they flip red—"correct trades, wrong time frame" syndrome. ⚖️ What Retail Is Up Against: Smart order routers sniffing your orders. Liquidity gaps intentionally created then filled. Volume surges that mean nothing—just decoys. AI-driven volume clusters that draw you in and dump you out. 💡 What some traders are doing to adapt: Selling premium with iron condors, calendars, butterflies—less directional, more probability-based. Trading futures or futures options, where fills are better and data is cleaner. Sniping high-R:R setups, holding nothing overnight unless it's ironclad. Using AI to fight AI—some build their own bots to scan volume shifts, OI skews, or gamma pins.
AMEX:SPYShort
by mispell
2
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 3, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 3, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🏭 U.S. Manufacturing Slump Persists U.S. manufacturing contracted for the third consecutive month in May, with new orders, backlogs, production, and employment all declining. Trade-war disruptions and elevated input costs continue to squeeze factory margins, setting the stage for today’s ISM Manufacturing PMI release 🌐 Global Trade Tensions Weigh on Stocks Renewed U.S.–China tariff threats sent the S&P 500 lower overnight, as investors fear higher costs for exporters and slower global growth. Futures pointed to another rough open for $SPY/ SP:SPX 📈 China Caixin PMI Exceeds Expectations China’s May Caixin Manufacturing PMI unexpectedly rose to 50.8, signaling stabilization in export-oriented factories despite ongoing trade uncertainty. That positive surprise may offer some support to Asian equities today 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Tuesday, June 3: 8:30 AM ET – ISM Manufacturing PMI (May) Measures U.S. factory-sector health; readings below 50 indicate contraction. Today’s survey will confirm if the May downturn persists. 10:00 AM ET – Construction Spending (April) Tracks monthly change in total construction outlays—an important gauge of housing and infrastructure investment trends. 1:00 PM ET – 10-Year Treasury Note Auction Benchmark auction that influences the yield curve. Weak demand or higher yields here can pressure equities, especially growth-oriented sectors. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
USO Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 060225Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 67.8/61.80% Chart time frame:B A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress:A A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
AMEX:USO
by fibonacci6180
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-2 : Post Market UpdateHuge move for metals today. Absolutely incredible. Hope you GOT SOME. BTCUSD and the SPY/QQQ stalled somewhat flat today. SPY was up 0.50% - nothing huge. Going to be interesting to see how things play out in the Asian/European markets tonight. Buckle up. Could be some very big moves hitting this week. GET SOME. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
7
SPY (S&P 500 ETF) – Inflection at Fib Resistance | Dual-Scenario🗓️ June 2, 2025 | 📈 1H Chart | ⚠️ Risk-Off Signal Building? 🔹 Current Price: $592.98 🔺 Key Resistance: $595.54–$597.36 (1.0–1.236 Fib Extension) 🔻 Gap Support: $565.51 🎯 Bullish Target: $604.05–$604.90 (1.382–1.618 Extension) 🔎 Technical Structure: Trendline Rejection Zone: SPY is pressing into a multi-tap descending resistance. Any failure to break convincingly could invite strong selling. Fibonacci Overlap: $595–597 aligns with major Fib extensions—potential exhaustion zone. Gap Unfilled: The $565.51 gap remains untested and could magnet price in the event of a rejection. Volatility Funnel Forming: Narrowing structure implies imminent directional move. 🌐 Macro Landscape: Fed Watch: The June 12 FOMC is the next volatility trigger. Fed Funds Futures are pricing in only a ~10% probability of a cut. Hawkish hold expected. Earnings Season Winds Down: Lack of new fundamental catalysts could increase technical relevance. Liquidity: Reverse repo balances are falling, suggesting reduced short-term liquidity—typically bearish for risk assets. Inflation Watch: Sticky Core PCE remains above 2.75% YoY—Fed unlikely to ease aggressively. 📉 Risk Management: Short Bias Setup: Entry: $595–597 rejection Stop: $598.5–599 (Above 1.236 Fib) Target: $577 (mid-Fib) → $565.51 (gap close) R:R ~3:1 Bullish Breakout Plan: Entry: Confirmed breakout + hold above $598 Stop: $593.50 Target: $604–605 R:R ~2.5:1 Volatility Hedge: Consider using VIX calls or SPX put spreads to hedge directional risk around key Fed dates. 🎲 Probabilities: Scenario Chance Commentary Pullback to $565 Gap 65% Strong resistance + weakening breadth + macro headwinds Breakout to $604 35% Requires bullish macro surprise or liquidity-driven melt-up 🔔 Action Plan: Fade rallies into resistance unless a high-volume breakout confirms. Use stop discipline and hedge exposure into macro events. Stay nimble. 💬 Thoughts? Are we due for a flush or prepping for a face-ripper?
AMEX:SPY
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
QQQ – Precision Setup Into June 13th, Superstitious? QQQ – Precision Setup Into June 13th (Friday the 13th, But We’re Not Superstitious) Wavervanir International LLC | June 2, 2025 🧠 Trade Thesis Despite the superstition surrounding Friday the 13th, our plan is simple and technically sound: wait for price to pull back into a high-probability confluence zone and strike with confidence. 🔍 Technical Breakdown (Daily Chart) 🟥 Premium Zone: $540–550. Price is currently stalling below the 0.886–1.0 Fib zone at $526–$528, showing early signs of distribution. 🟩 Optimal Entry Zone: Around $488, aligning with: 0.618 Fibonacci retracement Prior CHoCH flip zone Trendline + Equilibrium support Volume node clustering 📌 "Load here, and here only" marked for a reason — this is where institutional algorithms are most likely to get involved. 📈 Target: Retest and break of strong high at $549+ 📉 Invalidation: Daily close below $477 = re-evaluate structure 🔮 Probability Outlook Pullback to $488–490 zone: 75% Bounce to new highs: 70% Breakdown below equilibrium: 25% 🧠 SMC Context Recent Break of Structure confirms a bullish bias unless invalidated. Price above equilibrium but needs a healthier retracement for continuation. Volume declining into resistance = signs of buyer exhaustion. 📆 Key Date: June 13, 2025 (Friday) Let’s see if this market follows the script — or throws a plot twist. Either way, we’re ready.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
QQQ – Smart Money Concepts Bearish Setup (1H Chart)Wavervanir International LLC | June 2, 2025 🔍 Chart Context: The QQQ is currently reacting from a premium supply zone after multiple internal Break of Structure (BoS) and Change of Character (ChoCH) events, showing clear signs of distribution at the top. 🧠 SMC Breakdown Premium Zone Rejection near $521–523 was met with strong bearish reaction and high sell volume (1.22M). Multiple BoS and ChoCH events signal institutional unloading. Weak High formation suggests liquidity sweep followed by directional sell-off. Current candle structure shows an intent to revisit demand zones below. 📊 Liquidity & Target Zones First imbalance (FVG) zone at $507–510 is likely to get mitigated. Second key zone aligns with Equilibrium near $487–490, offering the next logical magnet. A deeper liquidity pool exists at $465–470, consistent with institutional fill behavior. 🧩 Macro View Tech-heavy indexes underperforming recently amid shifting Fed expectations. U.S. 10Y yields climbing and sticky inflation may pressure QQQ's valuation multiples. NQ/QQQ divergence from breadth suggests fragility at the highs. 📈 Trade Idea 📌 Bearish Bias Active 🎯 Short Entry: $517–519 (on any lower timeframe mitigation or retrace) 🛑 Stop Loss: Above $523 (invalidates supply) ✅ Target 1: $507 ✅ Target 2: $490 🚨 Extended Target: $467 Probability: Bearish Continuation: 70% Reclaim Premium Zone: 30% 💬 Call to Action: Monitor volume + liquidity interaction near the mid-level FVG. If downside accelerates with confirmation from NQ divergence, we could see a cascade to equilibrium or even deeper. Risk-manage with volatility in mind. #QQQ #NASDAQ #SmartMoneyConcepts #VolumeProfile #MarketStructure #TechStocks #LiquidityZones #TradingView #WavervanirAnalysis
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-2 : Gap Breakaway PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY may attempt a GAP Breakaway in Trend mode (likely BULLISH). But, the Russia/Ukraine war is overshadowing that potential pattern as big news this morning. From what I can tell, Russia is mounting a large-scale attack after Ukraine launched a big drone attack targeting Russian aircraft. No matter how you slide and dice this news, it means this conflict is entering a new phase. A possibly much more destructive phase for all involved. Gold and Silver are reacting to this news by skyrocketing higher. I believe this upward move in metals could continue for many days/weeks as long as this conflict continues to grow. BTCUSD is trading slightly downward right now, but not as much as I would have expected based on the news. We'll see how BTCUSD plays out this week and if we get a bigger breakdown over time. Currently, if you had actively hedged your positions, I believe you will be OK this week as Metals seem to be the big movers right now. The SPY/QQQ should react to this war news, but being somewhat isolated from this conflict economically, we may not see any huge moves in the US markets today. Overall, hedge your positions to protect against surprise news/risks and try to prepare for the longer-term swings. Volatility will stay elevated over the next few weeks.. So, GET SOME. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
6
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 2–6, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 2–6, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🏭 U.S. Manufacturing Slump Ahead of June PMI Markets are bracing for Tuesday’s ISM Manufacturing PMI (June 3), with economists forecasting a reading below 50.0, signaling continued factory contraction amid slowing global demand and lingering tariff uncertainty. 🛢️ OPEC+ Meeting to Determine Output Path On Thursday, OPEC+ convenes to decide production levels for July. Expectations center on a modest output cut extension to support prices, with Brent crude trading near $65/bbl ahead of the decision. 💻 Tech Stocks Eye Semiconductor Legislation Investors are monitoring Congress’s debate over the Chips Act extension. Senate committee hearings this week could accelerate funding for U.S. chip manufacturing—an upside catalyst for NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:AMD , and $MU. 🌐 China’s Caixin PMI Signals Pivot China’s Caixin Manufacturing PMI (June 6) is expected to edge above 50.0, indicating a stabilization in smaller export-focused factories. A better-than-expected print could lift global risk sentiment. 🏢 Fed Officials Remain Dovish Fed Governor Michelle Bowman and New York Fed President John Williams speak this week, reiterating that rate hikes are “on pause.” Their remarks should clarify the Fed’s view on inflation cooling and potential rate cuts late 2025. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Monday, June 2: 10:00 AM ET: Factory Orders (April) Tracks dollar volume of new orders for manufactured goods—an early gauge of industrial demand. 📅 Tuesday, June 3: 8:30 AM ET: ISM Manufacturing PMI (May) Measures U.S. factory-sector health. A reading below 50 indicates contraction. 10:00 AM ET: Construction Spending (April) Reports monthly change in total construction outlays—key for housing and infrastructure trends. 1:00 PM ET: 10-Year Treasury Note Auction Benchmark auction that can shift yield curve and influence $SPY/ SP:SPX positioning. 📅 Wednesday, June 4: 10:00 AM ET: Factory Orders (April) Dollar volume of new orders for manufactured goods. (Repeat for emphasis on industrial slowdown.) 2:00 PM ET: Fed Governor Michelle Bowman Speaks Comments on inflation and monetary policy outlook. 📅 Thursday, June 5: 8:30 AM ET: JOLTS Job Openings (April) Tracks number of unfilled positions—a barometer of labor-market tightness. 10:00 AM ET: OPEC+ Press Conference (Post-Meeting) Details on production quotas—critical for energy-sector flow. 📅 Friday, June 6: 8:30 AM ET: Nonfarm Payrolls (May) Monthly change in U.S. employment—core for Fed policy outlook. 8:30 AM ET: Unemployment Rate (May) Percentage of labor force unemployed—key gauge of labor-market health. 8:30 AM ET: Average Hourly Earnings (May) Tracks wage trends—important for consumer spending and inflation. 10:00 AM ET: China Caixin Manufacturing PMI (May, preliminary) Measures health of China’s smaller export-oriented factories. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
SPY dowsing roadmap for this weekI've been posting the weekly readings my dowsing has given for SPY's potential price movement the past couple months and it's really interesting. I go week by week, but am starting to include each day of the week looking forward. I left on the chart the prior notations from those ideas I've posted & you can reference what I had versus what actually occurred. This week is quite negative. I've had the number around $562-62 coming up for a while, & beyond that, around the $542-48 area as I recall. I don't really get any positive gain over last week's close. We'll see what happens.
AMEX:SPYShort
by JenRz
UVXY: Tactical Bet on Volatility SpikeProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (UVXY) is a 1.5x leveraged exchange-traded fund that aims to replicate the performance of an index of near-term VIX futures on a daily basis. This financial instrument is strategically designed for investors seeking to capitalize on short-term surges in market volatility. Following a five-week stretch of trading above the $26 mark during April and May, volatility saw a decline. In the week before last, UVXY moved into a tighter range between $20.5 and $23. However, by the market's close on May 24, it once again approached the $26 threshold. As trading commenced today, the price settled near $23.5. This presents a potentially lucrative entry point, influenced by several factors that suggest an uptick in implied volatility in the forthcoming days. First, persistent uncertainty looms over the U.S. tariff policy landscape. Late last week, President Donald Trump declared the imposition of a 50% tariff on EU goods, initially set to take effect on June 1. This announcement triggered a market correction and heightened volatility. However, over the weekend, Trump postponed the implementation of these tariffs to July 9, offering some respite to market participants. However, trade risks continue to linger. Any forthcoming announcements hold the potential to reignite fears of market volatility. Second, the US Department of Treasury will conduct auctions for 2-, 5-, and 7-year bonds between May 28-30, amounting to approximately $183 billion. In the wake of the recent downgrade of the U.S. sovereign rating by Moody's, investor scrutiny of demand for these Treasury bonds has heightened considerably. Should the auctions exhibit weak demand, it could prompt a rise in yields, thereby exacerbating instability within the capital markets and leading to a short-term surge in volatility. Additionally, pension fund rebalancing is anticipated by the month's end. Some stock market participants estimate that potential share sales could reach $19 billion, adding pressure to stock indices due to a lack of offsetting demand. Finally, on Wednesday, May 28, Nvidia is set to report its quarterly earnings, being the last of the Magnificent Seven group to do so. The company's stock has been trading within a range for a year, but a recent rally has generated high investor expectations. Investors will closely scrutinize the company's outlook, as the absence of indications for accelerating earnings growth could mean insufficient drivers for continued stock growth, particularly amid intensifying competition in the AI sector. The UVXY instrument exhibits high sensitivity to short-term market fluctuations. During periods of market calm, its value tends to decline gradually due to the adverse structure of the futures curve. Therefore, if one of the described scenarios materializes, it is advisable to take profits once the target is achieved or adjust the position to break even. The price target is set at $26.5, with a "Buy" recommendation. At the time of analysis, the current price stands at $22.6, indicating a growth potential of 17%. A stop-loss is advised at $19.
CBOE:UVXYLong
by FreedomHolding