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Rally Over? The Perfect Storm for a Major Pullback—Not Forever Two years of relentless upside just met its first real threat: 25% tariffs on Mexico & Canada, 10% on China, and global backlash that isn’t fading anytime soon. Friday’s pause wasn’t hesitation—it was the market bracing for impact. I hope I'm wrong but this does seem like the perfect setup for a multi-week (or longer) correction. Most stocks won’t be spared, just some will bleed slower. While short-term turbulence looks inevitable, the long-term picture remains strong. The U.S. is tackling its debt aggressively, and once the dust settles, we’ll likely see the economy emerge stronger—setting the stage for another leg higher. #S&P500 #MarketShift #BearishShortTerm #BullishLongTerm
AMEX:SPY
by Papi_Jammin
$SPY February 3, 2025AMEX:SPY February 3, 2025 Weekly We will consider 2 lows. 218 made in 2020 and 348 made in 2022. Now for the move 218 to 473 to 362. 100% move for the extension i218 to 473 is 612 levels. That is nearly achieved around 610 levels. Now for the extension drawn from 348 to 459 to 409 1.618 extension is around 591. This is also done. However, in monthly time frame for the extension 218 to 479 to 348 100% extension is at 620 levels. Which is the next target. At the moment daily is strong. We have 9,21 and 50 converging. 100 averages are at 586 levels. So, if any fall I expect good support around those levels. 60 Minutes. As written earlier AMEX:SPY in a box. Gaps, long bars need to be sorted out. 200 hourly is at 596 levels being bottom of box. So, I will dell only below that. For the rise 575 to 610.78 50% retracement 593 levels. AMEX:SPY already attempted once that level and bounced back to 609 levels. So, for the rise 594.64 to 609.96 holding 599-600 is important for uptrend to continue.
AMEX:SPYLong
by RiderTrader
7
SPY: First week of FebruaryI have no opinion on SPY for next week. The price targets and current trajectory are shared in the video. As of now, SPY continues to follow the Bullish annual trajectory. All signs remain bullish for the most part. The only concern is the current economic antics underway between Canada, USA and Mexico. This situation has happened before and the market responded starkly. Its best to remain optimistically cautious in my opinion. That's it for now! Safe trades everyone!
AMEX:SPY
by Steversteves
16
Lookin' For a LowHey traders, After a large sell-off Friday, the question is, how are we looking going into next week? We're using all technicals for this one with a sprinkle of economic news. Considering tariffs and deportations, "disruption" of goods, etc. I would say we are looking for more downside with the economic insecurity. I expect the VIX or UVXY to start climbing, this may even be the start to the much needed 20% correction the market needs, but I'm not quite that ambitious yet. Opening bell on Monday could be a DCB (Dead Cat Bounce), with a quick pop and drop type scenario. After all, it is the tail that wags the dog. Looking for the low, long-term trend line dating back to October of 2023 would put us somewhere in the range of 578-581 and by the way, I think we're going even lower. That price, for now, is the target. I'll keep it short and simple for this one, it's a pretty straight forward analysis. Overhead resistance, bearish sentiment, and a lingering correction. Thanks for reading. 🙏
AMEX:SPYShort
by Tsteves
9
SpyNow turn it around! 2 targets on Spy this week.. the first is 589 gap support.. Also the weekly 20sma is around 589-590 and if you look at your weekly chart fawkery abounds nears the weekly 20. If we break below weekly 20 which I would say is a 50/50 then price will double to back to 575 or lower trendline like so Looking at the charts you'll notice something, Spy hit this ATH in Dec led by Tech , this most recent push though was led by Cyclicals, financials, Healthcare.. so let's look at the above Cyclicals TVC:NYA - Represents 3000 stocks .. Triple bottom completed at ATH .. price is overextended and closed with a dark cloud cover Bearish candle AMEX:XLF My sell signal really lit up here . Similar triple bottom as NYA.. Daily money flow lit up overbought Rising wedge here at ATH.. Bearish engulfing candle Trump election gap is my long term target but the 20/50 is my immediate target at 49.50 AMEX:XLV Price stopped at a brick wall here. I'm not surprised though. This sector got really extended and when price approaches the 200sma extended it rarely passes . Resistance areas 148 price action Daily 200sma Weekly 50sma Immediate target pullback is 144 gap close. So the 3 sectors pushing spy the last 2weeks are showing a pullback coming this week. As far as tech goes , you can check out my QQQ post.. 10yr chart and VIX look prime for a explosive move next week. Both are showing a bullish falling wedge TVC:TNX 10yr chart TVC:VIX If by surprised price gaps up . Entries 1hour chart 20/50sma + 5min 200sma + trendline = good short Entry 603-605.. stop loss over 607 If price gaps down.. short below 599.00 stop loss 602.00
AMEX:SPYShort
by ContraryTrader
16
Bearish Engulfing Reaction on First Round of New TariffsTrump plans new tariffs: 25% on Canadian and Mexican imports, 10% on Chinese goods, starting Saturday (Feb 1, 2025). Citing fentanyl and immigration concerns, the move threatens $1.6 trillion in North American trade, shaking markets and weakening regional currencies. Trump's tariffs during his first term caused significant market volatility. Major tariff announcements, particularly against China, led to sharp declines, such as the Dow's 724-point drop in March 2018. Stocks of companies with China exposure, like Caterpillar and Boeing, were hit hardest. Conversely, signs of trade agreements or de-escalation often led to market rebounds, highlighting investor sensitivity to trade policy uncertainty. Right now I believe we are in the beginning phase of the tariff dispute where retaliation ("tit for tat") headline risk remains heightened as we wait for the official response from Mexico, Canada, and China. This I believe will put continued pressure on AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:IWM until there is a de-escalation off-ramp. SPY bear target to 590.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Audacity618
TSLA dip pending...TSLZ to the rescue!!!With the new tariffs in place very very soon many US companies will be impacted, esp. those which have benefited from lofty price hikes based on nothing but hot air. I don't get emotional on stock prices, I just follow the data / fundamentals / and institutional buy - sell reaction. TSLA looks like it will dip below $400 next week, and TSLZ (inverse ETF) will fly! This was bound to happen and the price is very attractive atm. Best of luck and always do your own due diligence!
CBOE:TSLZLong
by antonini2002
UVIX (VIX) will spike Mon / TuesWe're only seeing tip of the iceberg! The tariffs will come in over the weekend and the market won't feel it until early in the week. Expect many companies to be impacted, which will result in major volatility. You have a great opportunity here. I made 8% on this today, and there is a ton more to go. If you'd picked it this morning when I posted, you'd have gained!!! A lot more goodness here.... Best of luck and always do your own due diligence!
CBOE:UVIXLong
by antonini2002
1
VIX play....UVIX up up and up!!!!The tariffs will come into effect this weekend and it's 100% inflationary. Interestingly, the VIX is at a very low price atm with the new President. The VIX spikes a lot and this is a wonderful set-up (easily 20-30%) potential upside. Use UVIX ETF to take this, and after market closes it typically spikes a lot more. I think over the next few days we'll see a very nice healthy jump. VIX has never disappointed me! Always do your own due diligence, but this is looking rather sweet!!!! Best of luck, it will likely spike Mon / Tues by a lot
CBOE:UVIXLong
by antonini2002
Plan Your Trade : Behind The Scenes - Learning PerspectiveI created this video to help answer a question from a follower. One of the biggest concerns for traders is how to use my research/info in a way that benefits them. My Plan Your Trade videos are based on Daily & Weekly price patterns/cycles. I won't delve into the Intraday research much because it is almost impossible to predict 2 to 10-minute price bars/action throughout the day when new hits and external price data may dramatically change how price moves throughout the day. I would have to continue making videos every 30 to 45 minutes to help you understand the dynamics of intraday price action. Either way, watch this video to learn a bit more about my research and why I'm trying to help traders learn to make better decisions. I'm really not here to tell you what to trade - or when to trade. I'm here to help you learn to make better trading decisions ON YOUR OWN. I try to help you learn to become a more knowledgeable and skilled trader by sharing some of my advanced research and demonstrating patterns, setups, price levels, and Cycle Patterns. The only thing I can do to help you become a better trader is to help you learn better skills and techniques. If you treat trading like gambling, you'll go broke (often). If you understand trading as a process of grabbing profits when efficient and limiting risks, you'll survive and grow your account over time. It's really that simple. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
8
ARK Innovation. Granny Wood is Back — What She's Brewing..?!Hooray! Granny Wood 👵 is roaring back! Well, here we are, The @PandorraResearch Team, to discuss what Ma'am Wood is brewing, since the epic things are almost there! In a nutshell, Cathie Wood is an American investor and founder, chief executive officer (CEO), and chief investment officer (CIO) of Ark Invest, an investment management firm. Her flagship ARK Innovation exchange-traded fund - AMEX:ARKK ETF has received accolades for its performance in 2017, 2020 and 2023, but is also considered by Morningstar to be the third highest "wealth destroyer" investment fund from 2014–2023, losing US$7.1 billion of shareholder value in ten years. Overview of the ARK Innovation ETF AMEX:ARKK The ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), managed by ARK Investment Management and led by Cathie Wood, focuses on investing in companies that are at the forefront of "disruptive innovation." This term encompasses technologies that have the potential to significantly alter industries and consumer behaviors. The fund primarily targets sectors such as genomics, automation, AI, and energy, aiming for long-term capital appreciation. Current Performance Metrics As of January 31, 2025, ARKK is priced at approximately $64.50, reflecting a 1.53% increase on that day. Over January 2025 ARKK has demonstrated a bold return of about 13.60%, following a volatile period marked by significant fluctuations in value. Notably, that ARKK's performance over January 2025 shows a stark contrast with U.S. stock market benchmarks (just compare - S&P500 Index SP:SPX demonstrates nearly +4% return so far in 2025 while Nasdaq Composite Index NASDAQ:IXIC has added just around 3% in first month of 2025). ARKK Fundamental Analysis Investment Strategy. ARKK employs an actively managed approach, focusing on companies that are leaders or enablers of innovation. The fund's strategy combines both top-down and bottom-up research to identify high-potential stocks across various sectors. Sector Exposure. The ETF is heavily weighted towards technology and healthcare sectors, with significant investments in companies involved in AI and biotechnology. For instance, Tesla is often highlighted as a major holding due to its advancements in autonomous driving technology. Technical Outlook The technical outlook for ARKK shows signs of recovery and epic 200-week SMA Bullish breakthrough after a challenging period from late 2021 through much of 2023. The ETF has rebounded from lows around $36.85 in August 2024 to recent highs near $64.50 in January 2025, indicating a potential bullish trend if momentum continues. Support and Resistance Levels Support Level. Approximately $60.00 (recent low that corresponds to current 200-week SMA value) Resistance Level. Approximately $71.50 (3-years high) These levels will be critical for traders watching for potential supports or reversals. Market Sentiment Investor sentiment surrounding ARKK remains mixed due to its historical volatility and speculative nature. While some investors view it as an opportunity to capitalize on innovation-driven growth, others express caution due to its past performance dips and high-risk profile associated with its concentrated holdings. Conclusion The ARK Innovation ETF presents a compelling case for investors interested in disruptive technologies and long-term growth potential. However, its inherent volatility and the concentrated nature of its holdings necessitate careful consideration before investing. As the market continues to evolve with advancements in AI and other technologies, ARKK may offer significant upside momentum now, but also comes with considerable potential risk.
AMEX:ARKK
by PandorraResearch
Opening (IRA): SOXL March 21st 23 Covered Call... for a 20.87 debit. Comments: High IVR/IV. Adding to my position at a break even better than what I currently have on. Selling the -75 call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 20.87 Max Profit: 2.13 ROC at Max: 10.21% 50% Max: 1.07 ROC at 50% Max: 5.11% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals (assuming I can get in at a break even better than what I currently have on), and/or roll out the short call in the event take profit is not hit.
AMEX:SOXLLong
by NaughtyPines