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TLT long into Sept. 26th?I had TLT on my calendar (from the very EXPERIMENTAL dowsing work that I do) for yesterday and today from readings I did on 5/22 & 5/18. Being that it was looking like a swing low in this date window, I checked this morning, & from the very experimental work that I do, I get that it's heading to around $100. I had a prior post suggesting a larger bottom in place, and this appears to have been accurate. The date for exit (VERY EXPERIMENTAL & for journaling purposes) I get is Sept. 26th. *** NOTE *** I post things here as a method of journaling ideas. If it aligns with YOUR OWN WORK, great. I'm pretty sure everyone has their good and bad streaks no matter what method they use. So, I had a rough patch after finding out my incredibly special companion kitty was dying. Did I know att this would affect my work? No! I tried to stay "normal" ( for me ;) ). Did I learn something? Of course, & in the future I will allow myself more downtime to come back to balance. No one really knows what's going on in my life, but I guess this work is probably more subject than other methods to emotional or energetic disruptions. I always clear my energy, but in certain circumstances it may be better to just chill. I'm learning as I go. If you have any advice on making this work better, please lmk.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by JenRz
Gold Miners Break KEY multi-year resistanceIn the face of uncertainty, money flees to safe haven assets like Gold, Silver and the Dollar. When Gold moves up, gold miners do as well. As you can see from the weekly chart, the miners broke key resistance going all the way back to August 2020. These decade long highs at $46 were broken and there is a secondary trend line I have drawn that also intersects in the same area. The next probable move is for the miners to come down into the top of these trendlines and test the area as support before rocking to new all-time highs. Theres no guarantee that it will come down into this area, but if it does, you can bet your bottom dollar it'll be the buying opportunity of a lifetime.
AMEX:GDXLong
by bradc1984
$TLT Rising Channel or Bear Flag?Is it time to invest in NASDAQ:TLT ? It looks positive to me. With inflation cooling down it looks like bond prices could increase, which means rates are lower. We do have a Fed Meeting coming up so there could be more volatility depending on the “Feds” messaging. I am taking this long today with a ½ size position. I will place my stop just “below” yesterdays low of $85.46. I am going long because I see a series of higher lows and higher highs. And I have a well-defined risk level of about 1% to know if I am wrong. If you like this idea, please make it your own. Make sure you follow your trading plan.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by jaxdog
Gold Miners Stocks Go 'The Rife Game' in Town. Here's WhyGold mining stocks have emerged as one of the top-performing asset classes in 2025, driven by a combination of surging gold prices, improved profitability, and shifting investor sentiment. Here’s fundamental and technical analysis of the key factors behind this outperformance, by our @PandorraResearch Super-Duper Beloved Team : Record-High Gold Prices Fuel Margins Gold prices surpassed $3,000 per ounce in March 2025 for the first time in history, marking a 14% year-to-date increase. This rally stems from: Safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions, economic and political uncertainty including U.S. trade policy volatility. Central bank buying , particularly by China, India, Turkey, and Poland, to diversify away from the U.S. dollar. Anticipated interest rate cuts , which reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. Higher gold prices directly boost miners’ revenues. For example, the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index NYSE:GDM returned nearly 30% YTD by early March, outpacing both physical gold OANDA:XAUUSD (+14.5%) and the S&P 500 SP:SPX (-3.8%). Companies like Agnico Eagle Mines NYSE:AEM and Wheaton Precious Metals NYSE:WPM reached all-time highs, while ASX-listed miners such as Evolution Mining ASX:EVN (+39.5% YTD) and West African Resources ASX:WAF (+56.6% YTD) outperformed Australia’s broader market. Margin Expansion and Shareholder Returns Gold miners are leveraging rising prices to improve profitability: Stabilized costs for labor, energy, and equipment have widened profit margins. Free cash flow growth enabled dividend hikes and share buybacks. U.S. Global Investors, for instance, offers a 3.91% annualized dividend yield. Undervalued stocks: Many miners traded at historically low valuations relative to gold prices, creating buying opportunities. Barrick Gold NYSE:GOLD (P/E 15.6) and Newmont Corp NYSE:NEM (P/E 15.5) remained attractively priced despite gains. Royal Gold NASDAQ:RGLD , a streaming company with a 60.3% operating margin, exemplifies how non-traditional miners capitalize on gold’s rally without direct operational risks. Sector-Specific Catalysts Mergers and acquisitions. Consolidation activity has increased, with larger firms acquiring high-potential projects. Copper exposure. Miners like Evolution Mining benefit from rising copper demand, diversifying revenue streams. Institutional upgrades. Analysts at Macquarie and Morgan Stanley endorsed Newmont and Evolution Mining, citing currency tailwinds and free cash flow potential. Macroeconomic and Market Dynamics Dollar weakness. A declining U.S. dollar enhances gold’s appeal as a hedge. Equity market volatility. With the S&P 500 struggling, investors rotated into gold equities for diversification (0.3 correlation to broader markets). Fiscal deficits. U.S. budget imbalances and inflationary pressures reinforced gold’s role as a store of value. Outlook for 2025 Analysts project further gains, with gold potentially reaching $3,300 per ounce. Miners are expected to sustain momentum through: Operational efficiency improvements to align with higher gold prices. Continued capital discipline , avoiding overinvestment in new projects. Dividend growth , as seen with U.S. Global Investors’ monthly payouts. Technical Outlook The main technical graph for Gold Miners ETF AMEX:GDX indicates on further Long-Term Bullish opportunity, to double the price over next several years, in a case of the epic $45 mark breakthrough. Conclusion In summary, gold miners’ 2025 rally reflects a confluence of macroeconomic uncertainty, disciplined capital management, and gold’s structural demand drivers. While risks like cost inflation persist, the sector’s fundamentals and valuation upside position it as a compelling component of diversified portfolios. -- Best 'Golden Rife' wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
AMEX:GDX
by PandorraResearch
1
XLK Breaks All-Time High – Will It Stick the Landing or Soar?AMEX:XLK just broke into new all-time high (ATH) territory — barely — but the move is worth watching. The breakout came on the heels of a strong bullish candle in the first week of June, followed by a doji last week, and now we're seeing fresh bullish momentum early this week with a gap-up. ➜ The big question: Will XLK continue to hover just above the ATH, or finally break through with conviction? This move could set the tone for tech stocks this summer, especially if we see confirmation like we did with NASDAQ:MSFT — which broke its ATH on June 6 and hasn’t looked back. ➜ Watching for:  ➲ Continuation above ATH  ➲ Potential summer trend leadership  ➲ Confirmation from big names in the sector #XLK #techstocks #SPDR #technicalanalysis #breakout
AMEX:XLK
by disciplinetradingteam
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 6-17: Top Resistance PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will move into a type of topping pattern, attempting to identify resistance, then roll away from that resistance level and trend downward. I suggest the news related to the conflict between Israel & Iran may continue to drive market trends with traders moving away from uncertainty near these recent highs. Silver makes a big move higher. Gold will likely follow later this week or early next week. BTCUSD moves into a sideways FLAGGING pattern - possibly attempting a BIG BREAKDOWN event over the next few weeks. Overall, the markets look like they are poised for a very big move - just waiting for the GREEN LINK (GO). Stay safe. Protect capital and HEDGE. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
5
GLD Weekly Trade Setup — June 16, 2025🪙 GLD Weekly Trade Setup — June 16, 2025 🎯 Instrument: GLD (SPDR Gold Shares) 📉 Strategy: Short Bias via Puts 📅 Entry Timing: Market Open 📈 Confidence Level: 65% 🧠 Technical & Sentiment Snapshot Current Price: $311.78 5-Min Chart: Below EMAs (10/50/200); RSI ≈ 34 → short-term oversold Daily Chart: Above 10EMA ($309.94), RSI ≈ 56 → neutral-to-bullish Bollinger Bands: Near lower band on M5 → volatility likely Support/Resistance: • Support: $311.68 / $307.28 • Resistance: $312.20 / $313.00 🗞️ Market Sentiment Overview VIX: Elevated at 20.82 → high risk premium environment Options Flow: Heavily put-weighted near $305–$310 strikes Max Pain: $285 → bearish options bias into expiration News: Geopolitical tensions increase flight-to-safety temporarily, but fading momentum fuels retrace setups 🔽 Recommended Trade: GLD PUT Parameter Value 🎯 Strike $307.00 💵 Entry Price $0.84 🎯 Profit Target $1.25–$1.70 🛑 Stop Loss $0.50 📅 Expiry June 20, 2025 📏 Size 1 contract ⚖️ Confidence 65% 🧷 Trade Plan 📥 Entry: At market open 📈 PT Zone: $1.25 to $1.70 premium, based on drop to $306–307 🛑 Stop: If premium drops to $0.50 OR GLD breaks above $313 💰 Risk Mgmt: Keep exposure <2% of total account equity ⚠️ Key Considerations Upside Risk: Sudden bullish shift or risk-off headlines can drive reversal Time Decay: Premium erosion risk is higher if GLD consolidates Volatility Drag: VIX dropping could suppress put premiums quickly 🧾 TRADE_DETAILS (JSON) json Copy Edit { "instrument": "GLD", "direction": "put", "strike": 307.0, "expiry": "2025-06-20", "confidence": 0.65, "profit_target": 1.25, "stop_loss": 0.50, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.84, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-06-16 16:15:17 UTC-04:00" } 💡 If GLD struggles to reclaim $312.20 at the open, the put setup becomes attractive. Breakout above $313? Exit quickly.
AMEX:GLDShort
by quantsignals
SPY Breaks Rising Wedge! Gamma Wall Rejected. Jun 17SPY Breaks Rising Wedge! Gamma Wall Rejected — Bearish Momentum Building Into OPEX 🔻 🔬 GEX (Gamma Exposure) Sentiment Breakdown: * Gamma Resistance Above: * Gamma Wall / Call Resistance: $602 * $603–$604.50 = additional CALL walls (2nd & 3rd tier resistance) * $606.37 = Local high; unlikely to reclaim without macro tailwind * PUT Walls / Downside Zones: * $597 = HVL + Key Flip Level * $595 = 1st Major PUT Support (Highest negative NET GEX) * $593 / $590 = deeper GEX-supported flush zones * Options Flow Metrics: * IVR: 19.4 (slightly below avg) * IVx avg: 19 * PUT Flow: 91.5% 🟥 * GEX Sentiment: 🔴🔴🔴 (Bearish dealer positioning + skewed delta exposure) * Interpretation: * Heavy call rejection at $602 combined with high PUT flow suggests dealers are short gamma. * If SPY closes below $597, gamma exposure flips net negative — potential acceleration into $595/$593. 🧠 15-Minute SMC Breakdown: * Current Price: $598.00 * Structure Overview: * Clean rising wedge break * Two CHoCHs confirmed at top → shift from bullish to bearish control * Price broke into demand box (~$597–$598), testing support * Volume spiked on breakdown = institutional participation confirmed * Trend View: * Uptrend is broken. * Now entering potential distribution-to-downtrend transition phase 🧭 Trade Scenarios: 🟥 Bearish Breakdown Setup (High Probability): * Trigger: Clean breakdown below $597 * Target 1: $595 (GEX Put wall) * Target 2: $593 / $590 * Stop-loss: Above $600.50 Gamma flip + SMC structure shift supports downside. Dealer flows likely exacerbate drop under $597. 🟩 Bullish Reclaim Setup (Low Probability): * Trigger: Reclaim of $602 with volume * Target 1: $604.50 * Target 2: $606.50 (high) * Stop-loss: Below $597.50 Only possible with major market strength, such as dovish Fed cues or macro catalysts. 📌 My Thoughts: * SPY is showing signs of weakness across the board — structure, options flow, and volume confirm sellers stepping in. * Put flows are extreme (>90%), so bounces may be brief and used to reload shorts. * This is not a dip to buy blindly — best play is momentum PUTs under $597, tight risk control. * Ideal setup for zero-day or 1DTE options trades with defined exits. 📉 Conclusion: SPY failed to hold $602 Gamma Wall, rejected hard, and now tests $597 support. With options sentiment flipping negative and SMC structure breaking down, a drop to $595 or lower is increasingly likely. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always manage risk and trade based on your plan.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 17, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 17, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📈 U.S. Retail Spending Holds Firm May’s retail sales were flat month-over-month, defying expectations of a slowdown. Core retail sales (ex-autos) edged up +0.2%, signaling resilience in consumer purchases—an encouraging sign for economic momentum 🤖 Tesla’s Robotaxi Buzz Accelerates Tesla stock surged after a weekend robotaxi video surfaced ahead of its planned Austin launch. A viral clip showed a Model Y “robotaxi” navigating traffic autonomously, sparking fresh investor enthusiasm despite safety debates 📊 BoJ Holds Rates; Dollar Edges Higher Japan’s central bank left policy unchanged at 0.5%, maintaining its dovish bias. This lifted the dollar slightly versus the yen, drawing focus to global interest-rate divergence 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Tuesday, June 17: 8:30 AM ET – Retail Sales (May) Consumer purchases are tracked, excluding autos. Monitor if activity stays steady despite inflation and rate pressures. 9:15 AM ET – Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization (May) Provides insight into factory activity and plant usage—a gauge of economic health amid global slowdown concerns. 10:00 AM ET – Business Inventories (April) Shows stock levels held by wholesalers and manufacturers. Higher inventories with weaker sales may signal slowing demand. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
This Just Went Nuclear - Explosive Move!Uranium prices have surged due to several key factors: - Increased demand for nuclear energy – Many countries are expanding nuclear power to meet clean energy goals. - Geopolitical tensions – Supply disruptions from Russia and Niger have tightened the market. - Underinvestment in uranium mining – Years of low prices led to reduced production, creating a supply deficit. - Government policies – The U.S. and other nations are prioritizing domestic uranium production for energy security. - Rising uranium prices – Spot prices have climbed significantly, boosting mining stocks. We are near some major resistance and expect some profit taking to occur. Names Like NYSE:OKLO NYSE:SMR AMEX:URNM AMEX:URA NASDAQ:CEG should be on watch for a strong selloff.
AMEX:URAShort
by Trading-Capital
$MSTU – Breakout Brewing or Bull Trap? Here’s My TakeSwing Setup | Risk/Reward 3:1 | Watching MACD & Ichimoku 📊 This is a leveraged ETF that tracks NASDAQ:MSTR , and it’s setting up for a potential breakout. Here’s the breakdown: 🔍 Chart Context: Price: $8.11 (as of June 11, 2025) Target: $11.40 area (+40.57%) Stop: $7.07 (–12.82%) R:R: 3.16 – attractive setup for swing or momentum traders. 📈 Technical Breakdown: ✅ MACD Histogram just flipped positive. That’s a momentum shift after weeks of red. We’re at the zero line—any crossover here historically leads to explosive moves in leveraged ETFs like this. ✅ Ichimoku Cloud: Price is above the cloud, which is thin and transitioning to bullish. Lagging span (Chikou) is starting to clear previous price action. This is a classic bullish continuation signal—only if price confirms. ✅ Structure: Consolidation zone forming a base at ~$8.00. We've had several failed breakdowns, and bulls have absorbed the selling. If it clears $8.50 with volume, I expect short-covering and fresh entries to flood in. ⚠️ Resistance Zones: $9.15: Local high and volume shelf $11.40: Target based on prior impulse leg (April rally leg cloned) 💡 Strategy: I’m long with size, aiming for a 40%+ move, using MSTR’s volatility as tailwind. Stop is below recent higher low — invalidation is clean. If it breaks $8.50 with strength and MSTR joins the move, I’ll consider adding. 🔄 This is a leveraged play—don’t diamond hand it. Monitor daily. It can move 10-15% in a single session. Drop your thoughts or alternative plays. Are you using MSTU or trading NASDAQ:MSTR directly?
CBOE:MSTULong
by tothemoon_888
Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF pump incoming?You're looking at Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF, symbol SCHD, and have some clear price targets and potential scenarios in mind. Based on the current information, SCHD's last price at 10:20:50 AM PDT on June 16, 2025, is **$26.875**. Here's a breakdown of your analysis: * **Key Resistance for Upside:** You're looking for SCHD to **hold above $26.90** for continuous upside. * **Upside Target:** If it holds, your next target is at least **$27.40** in the next few days. * **Potential Downside:** You acknowledge it could drop to **$26.40**. * **200-Day Moving Average:** The 200-day moving average is at **$25.886**, which you suggest might be retested. * **Shorting Opportunity:** If the 200-day moving average is retested and it doesn't make a higher high first, you'd consider a short position. * **Scaling In:** If it hits a **higher high of $27.00** in the next few hours, you'd consider slowly scaling in. It's important to remember that these are technical analysis points and market movements can be unpredictable. Keeping an eye on the volume and overall market sentiment along with these price levels will be crucial for your trading decisions.
AMEX:SCHDLong
by peacefulBoa2302
QQQ On The Rise! BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for QQQ is below: The market is trading on 526.92 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 530.98 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by AnabelSignals
2