Get started

ETF market

SPY on the Verge: Scalping and Swing Strategies for Dec 2SPY has been showing a strong recovery trend, climbing steadily within a well-defined ascending channel on the hourly chart. This analysis aims to provide actionable insights for scalpers and swing traders, focusing on critical levels, potential liquidity zones, and price action patterns to watch for the week ahead. Technical Analysis Overview: * Trend: The SPY is currently trading within an ascending channel, indicating bullish momentum with potential pullbacks. * Support Levels: * Immediate support at $601.33, aligned with the EMA and a key pivot zone. * Stronger support at $597.29, marking the lower boundary of the channel. * Resistance Levels: * Immediate resistance at $603.35, a key liquidity zone. * Next major resistance at $606, near the top of the channel. * Liquidity Zones: * Watch for liquidity absorption between $602.70–$603.35 as this is a high-traffic area for short-term traders. * A break above $603.35 could trigger momentum buying toward $606. * Indicators: * MACD is showing bullish crossover momentum. * Volume is steady but needs an uptick for confirmation on breakouts. Game Plan for Scalpers: 1. Entry: * Look for long entries near $601.33, targeting $603.35 with tight stop-loss at $600.50. * A breakout above $603.35 provides a scalp opportunity up to $606. 2. Exit: * Close partial positions at resistance zones for safety and trail stop-loss. Game Plan for Swing Traders: 1. Bullish Scenario: * Enter on pullbacks to $597–$598 if the level holds with strong buying pressure. * Target $606, with a stop-loss below $596. 2. Bearish Scenario: * If SPY breaks below $597, consider shorting toward $593 as the next support level. * Stop-loss for short trades above $599.50. My Thoughts:
The SPY’s momentum suggests a bullish bias, but the upper channel boundary near $606 could act as resistance in the short term. For scalpers, it’s all about quick reactions around the pivot zones, while swing traders need to watch for pullbacks to confirm support levels. Overall, patience and volume confirmation are key to avoiding false breakouts. Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence and trade responsibly.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-2: Tmp Bottom PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY will attempt to move a bit higher after finding support in early trading. The one BIG event over the past 5+ trading days is the SPY rallying above the Ultimate High level - breaking into a confirmed Bullish price trend. This is part of what I'm trying to teach you: the patterns, techniques, thinking, and logic behind my decisions are based on mechanical price structures/processes. Once you understand the structures and price patterns, it is simple to try to understand. Fibonacci Price Theory teaches you to follow price as the ultimate indicator - measuring and marking ultimate, unique, and standout highs/lows as trigger points. AnchorBar theory teaches us to watch for breakaway or breakdown bars as precise indications of price trend direction/momentum. The Excess Phase Peak patterns represent a more nuanced price pattern that can assist us in determining the current "phase" of the markets and how we can expect prices to react to that phase. If you understand these three concepts, I believe you, as a trader, can unlock any price action and determine what type of trend we are currently in for any symbol/interval and where your opportunity lies for potential trades. I will continue to delve further into trading and teaching techniques to reinforce these techniques in the future. Stay cautious as the markets are still struggling to find a post-election trend. The Anomaly Event is still likely, but the probability of such an event has fallen to about 30-40% overall. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
4
Russell 2000 Small Caps (IWM) Breakout cup and handle on RUTRussell 2000 Small Caps TVC:RUT and AMEX:IWM on the Cusp of a Breakout? The Russell 2000 small-cap index, tracked by the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM), is forming a cup and handle pattern. This technical formation could be indicative of a significant breakout. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $230-$232 Support: $220-$222 A decisive close above $234 confirmed the breakout, potentially leading to further upside. Conversely, a failure to hold above $220 could negate the pattern. Keep a close eye on IWM as it navigates this critical juncture.
AMEX:IWMLong
by Paul_Hodls
S&P: Weekly Recap and OutlookLast week, the market opened with a gap up that was quickly filled, after which price hovered near the previous all-time high. Bolstered by new economic data, which delivered no negative surprises, bulls pushed the price out of the trading range, establishing a new all-time high. While this is undoubtedly a positive development that reinforces the bullish thesis, a few warning signs warrant closer attention: 1. Low Breakout Volume: The breakout occurred on significantly low volume. While volume is less critical in indices and ETFs compared to individual stocks, observing below-average volume during such an important event raises concerns about the breakout’s sustainability. 2. Relative Weakness in the Tech Sector (XLK): This deviation signals hesitancy among growth investors, which could potentially ripple through to other market participants. Additionally, concerns highlighted in my previous review remain unresolved and continue to be relevant. At this stage, there is no concrete evidence of a sentiment shift or technical signals pointing to a broad trend reversal. However, there is a growing impression that the rally may be nearing temporary exhaustion, which could lead to a significant pullback. Key Focus for the Upcoming Week Investors will be closely watching the employment data, which has already hinted at labor market weakness. If new data further support this trend, it could heighten bearish sentiment. Price action this week will likely provide important clues: • Bullish Confirmation: If the breakout is followed by a swift continuation, this will confirm buyers’ conviction and overall market strength. • Bearish Signals: Conversely, if the price pulls back below 600 or oscillates indecisively around this level, it may signal uncertainty among buyers, creating an opportunity for short sellers to capitalize.
AMEX:SPY
by hermes_trisme
Aiming for SPY: Targeting Continued Upside Next Week- Recent Performance: The SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) has demonstrated impressive performance lately, achieving multiple all-time highs and closing above critical levels. Currently priced at $602.55, SPY remains significantly positioned above major moving averages, reflecting strong bullish momentum and resilience despite market fluctuations. The index recently held above the support level of $601, reinforcing positive market sentiment across the board. - Key Insights: Traders should approach SPY with a bullish bias in the near-term outlook. The strength in macroeconomic indicators and strong earnings from major corporations suggests potential for continued gains. Monitoring key support and resistance levels will be critical for determining potential entry points and assessing risk as the market evolves. - Expert Analysis: Analysts project that SPY's bullish trend is likely to persist, supported by prevailing investor confidence and encouraging economic signals. A consensus among experts recommends vigilance around key price levels, enabling traders to capitalize on upward movements while managing risks effectively. Market sentiment remains robust, bolstered by positive narratives surrounding recovery and growth in various sectors. - Price Targets: - Next week targets: - T1: $605.00 - T2: $610.48 - Stop levels: - S1: $601.00 - S2: $594.62 - News Impact: The ongoing positive sentiment for SPY can be attributed to recent macroeconomic reports and favorable earnings from leading companies, particularly in the tech sector. As SPY continues on its upward trajectory, market events and external factors will play a pivotal role in shaping trading strategies. Investors should remain informed about economic updates and corporate performance that can influence price dynamics in the near future.
AMEX:SPYLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Last Correction for the Year and then we go back to sub 3% IR.We should see 1 more last correction during the holiday season before President Trump gets inaugurated. This might be one of the last golden eras where a president suppresses interest rates one last time to try to make the economy flourish again in these next 4 years. These last 4 years was a repeat of the 1970s great inflation with Jimmy Carter except now its with Joe Biden but instead of Donald Trump having a Paul Volcker fed chairman he has a very indecisive Jerome Powell whom will just kick inflation further down the road (via cutting interest rates back to sub 3%) for the next Fed chairman to deal with in 2026.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by christiandel410
5
There is hope for China equitiesOne of the most hated market currently and some called it uninvestable, the China market has plunged more than 60% from its peak. We are now at an inflection point again, reaching the upper side of the decreasing channel. I believe the property market will take some years to recover , with excess supplies to clear and consumers continuing to adopt a wait and see approach in buying as prices continue to fall...... Probably, 2nd to 3rd Quarter of this year , will we be able to see some recovery. Currently , it is still weak although the government has injected billions of dollars to shore up the stock market, clamping down on short sellers, etc. Prices can continue to tumble even if it breaks out of the channel as the stimulus is not strong to begin with and consumer confidence has not returned to the market. Job market remains soft in China and people are tightening their wallet to spend unnecessarily. With no additional stimulus from the government, people are using their own savings to continue travel and do their shopping but at a more cautious approach. So long as the US interest rates remain high at 5 over % , the international players would continue to support the US market which makes business sense. Time is of essence as people who invest in S&P 500 index can easily gain 8-10% profits a year so there is no reason to park funds into China equities even it is undervalued and the downside is very little. Nobody can tell for sure how long this will last as it can go sideways for a long time. Those who knows how to stock pick individual China shares may benefit from certain themes which I have covered some months ago like Travel sectors.
AMEX:FXILong
by dchua1969
1
Healthcare Sector (XLV) Long-Term BuyI believe healthcare will be the next rotation coming out of this tech bull run. Using the Trade Jeanie (Jeanius Screener/Indicator), I was able to see the current technical buy signals happening on AMEX:XLV : Took out an untested low Price touching 21EMA while the 9EMA > 21EMA Retested a level that was broken to create a break of structure (BOS & Retest) The Jeanius Indicator shows green 'Combo' labels every time this same combination of signals happened
AMEX:XLVLong
by jeanius_tech
1
$SPY December 2, 2024AMEX:SPY December 2, 2024 15 Minutes. AMEX:SPY is tired. 603 targets achieved. But no strength. The move from low 595.20 to 603.35 is not smooth. Soe the last rise fro, 587.43 to 603.35 $ SPY need to hold 598 levels being 38.2% retracement. For the last rise 597.28 to603.35 599 must hold. I expect AMEX:SPY to be 598.5 to 603 levels today and tomorrow so the moving averages can up as 200 moving average is around 596 levels. Holding 598-599 my first target is 605 levels.
AMEX:SPY
by RiderTrader
1
QQQ – Testing Resistance: Breakout or Fakeout?QQQ is testing a critical resistance level near $510, trading within a rising wedge pattern that suggests potential for both breakout and pullback scenarios. This analysis delves into key levels, technical indicators, and trade setups to navigate QQQ's next move. Market Structure & Price Action: * Recent Trend: QQQ has rebounded from the $494 support zone and is now retesting the upper resistance at $510. * Liquidity Zones: * Strong buyer activity near $501–$503. * Sellers are concentrated at $510–$511, marking the top of the current range. * Volume Profile: Volume has picked up during the upward push, but the absence of a clear breakout signal suggests caution. Key Levels: 1. Resistance Zones: * $510–$511: Immediate resistance and potential breakout zone. * $515: Next target upon a successful breakout. 2. Support Zones: * $503: Immediate support within the range. * $494: Strong demand zone, acting as a floor for recent pullbacks. Indicators: * MACD (1-hour): Bullish momentum with a crossover, though the histogram is flattening, suggesting a slowdown. * Volume: Watch for a volume spike at $510 to confirm a breakout or rejection. Trade Ideas: 1. Scalping Setup: * Entry (Long): Above $511 with confirmation of a breakout (volume surge and strong bullish candles). * Target: $513–$515. * Stop-Loss: Below $509. * Short Setup: If rejected at $510, short below $509 targeting $503, with a stop above $511. 2. Swing Trading Setup: * Bullish Case: * Entry: On a breakout above $511. * Target 1: $515. * Target 2: $520. * Stop-Loss: Below $509. * Bearish Case: * Entry: Short below $503. * Target 1: $498. * Target 2: $494. * Stop-Loss: Above $505. Thoughts & Outlook: QQQ is at a pivotal point, with $510 acting as a make-or-break level. A breakout above $511 could lead to significant bullish momentum, targeting $515 or higher. Conversely, rejection at $510 would suggest a move back to $503 or lower, offering opportunities for both scalpers and swing traders. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research and trade responsibly. Trading involves risk.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BullBearInsights
#TheStrat Weekly/Monthly Setups For DecemberSPY - Closed previous D/W/M close to HOD after making new ATH, so the D/W/M all finished bright green. No evidence of sellers anywhere since every TF above the 60 is currently green. 60 closed slight green, but this can easily be justified as eod corrective activity since all 60 min candles before the last one of the day were green, and every TF above the 60 is green. Going into the new week and month, we can expect buying to continue until we see a lower low on the D, but the real sign of buyers vanishing / sellers gaining control for me will be a Lower Low on the weekly. Main Monthly Setups To Watch: Bullish : DKNG - 1-2-2 Q revstrat in force, 1-3 M, 2-1 W PM - Hammer 3-1 M BA - Counter Hammer Failed 2D M MRK - Hammer M at Downside Exhaustion Level Bearish: MU - Shooter 1-3 M, Failed 2U W ZIM - Rev Strat M at Upside Exhaustion Main Weekly Setups To Watch: Bullish: RTX - 3-1-1 W PLTR - MoMo Hammer W, Inside D GOOG - RevStrat Hammer D, Inside W Bearish: GAP - 3-1 at Exhaustion COIN - 2-1 W, Failed 2U D PINS - Shooter RevStrat Week, Shooter Inside D RDDT - Inside W (11 Consecutive Weekly HLs) SQ - Red Inside D/W at Q Exhaustion
AMEX:SPY
by Alanger17
SPY due for a pullback -- EV3 and Treverse phenom on 8h The SPY is due for a pullback. It’s been overextended after a strong rally, with key indicators like RSI showing overbought conditions. Currently in a W5 leg, we're waiting on EV3 or Treverse to fire, as these RevAlerts indicators have shown an excellent track record, as seen on the 8h chart. Additionally, economic uncertainty, rising bond yields, and/or upcoming Fed decisions could trigger profit-taking. Traders know markets rarely move in a straight line, and healthy pullbacks often follow extended runs. Let's see what the week brings!
AMEX:SPYShort
by JC7USA
1
Orange Breaks, We Fly. Blue Falls, We Dive. The chart highlights two critical regions, each playing a pivotal role in determining the next trend direction for IBIT Bitcoin shares: Orange Box - Key Resistance Zone The orange box represents a crucial resistance area. For the rally to sustain momentum and push higher, this region must be decisively broken and secured. A close above this level, coupled with strong volume, would indicate the bulls are in control, signaling a potential continuation of the upward trend. Blue Box - Key Support Zone The blue box acts as a significant support level. Should the price fall below this zone, it would suggest weakness in the market. A confirmed breakdown, followed by a retest of the orange box from below, provides an opportunity to take a short position, as this would signal the onset of a downtrend. Conclusion: These zones are pivotal for the current market structure. Traders should closely monitor price action around these levels to identify whether the market leans towards bullish continuation or bearish reversal.
NASDAQ:IBIT
by XU99
$SPY Why We Will Continue Down / Bear Market Not FinishedWhat is Federal Funds Rate? The federal funds rate is the interest rate at which banks and other depository institutions lend money to each other overnight on an uncollateralized basis. It is the interest rate at which banks can borrow or lend money in the federal funds market. The Federal Reserve uses the federal funds rate as a tool to implement monetary policy and control inflation. By raising or lowering the federal funds rate, the Federal Reserve can influence the overall level of interest rates in the economy, thereby impacting economic growth and inflation. How Does Federal Funds Rate Affect The Economy? The Federal Reserve's setting of the federal funds rate can have a significant impact on the overall economy. When the Federal Reserve raises the federal funds rate, it makes borrowing money more expensive for banks, which in turn makes borrowing more expensive for individuals and businesses. This can slow down economic growth by making it more difficult for companies to expand and for consumers to purchase big-ticket items like homes and cars. On the other hand, when the Federal Reserve lowers the federal funds rate, it makes borrowing cheaper, which can stimulate economic growth by making it easier for businesses to expand and for consumers to purchase big-ticket items. Lowering the federal funds rate can also help to combat inflation by making it less expensive for businesses to borrow money, which can help to keep prices stable. The Federal Reserve's setting of the federal funds rate can also affect the stock market, currency exchange rate, and bond market. In summary, the Federal Reserve's setting of the federal funds rate can have a significant impact on the economy by affecting interest rates, inflation, and economic growth. What is the Projection of Federal Funds Rate In 2023? Due to Ukraine and COVID, this has led to a historic rise in interest rates. This means that borrowing costs are increased, saving becomes more attractive/less spending, and stock prices may decrease/bonds favored. Markets expect the U.S. Federal Reserve to raise rates again on February 1, 2023, likely by 0.25 percentage points to 4.5%-4.75%. However, there’s a reasonable chance the Fed opts for a larger 0.5 percentage point hike. Hope this helps.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Smarter_Trades
15