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Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 18, 2025 🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸🏛️ Federal Reserve Meeting Commences 🏛️: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) begins its two-day policy meeting on March 18, with a decision on interest rates expected on March 19. While markets anticipate that the Fed will maintain current rates between 4.25% and 4.5%, investors will closely monitor the meeting for any signals regarding future monetary policy directions.​ 🇨🇳📊 China's Economic Data Release 📊: China is set to release key economic indicators, including retail sales and industrial production figures for February. These data points will offer insights into the health of the world's second-largest economy and could have ripple effects on global markets, including the U.S.​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Tuesday, March 18: 🏠 Housing Starts (8:30 AM ET) 🏠:This report measures the number of new residential construction projects begun during the month, providing insight into the housing market's strength. Forecast: 1.31 million units (annualized)​ Previous: 1.34 million units​ 🏢 Building Permits (8:30 AM ET) 🏢:This data indicates the number of permits issued for new construction projects, serving as a leading indicator for future housing activity. Forecast: 1.35 million units (annualized)​ Previous: 1.36 million units​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
QQQ On The Rise! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for QQQ below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 479.69 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 497.90 Safe Stop Loss - 469.89 About Used Indicators: The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by AnabelSignals
1
GUSH in Buy ZoneMy trading plan is very simple. I buy or sell when at three of these events happen: * Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones * Money flow spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands * Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at near oversold overbought level * Price at Fibonacci levels So... Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing. Price in buying zone at bottom of channels Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under bottom of Bollinger Band Entry at $21.94 Target is upper lower channel around $28
AMEX:GUSHLong
by chancethepug
SPY is likely to find support between 530 and 550The SPY ETF (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust) recently peaked at 613.23, reaching the upper boundary of a long-term channel that has been in place since 2009. This suggests the market is in an overbought state. Looking at historical trends suggests that the continuation of previous upward trends became unsustainable after reaching critical levels. The current correction signals that the market is adjusting toward a healthier upward trend. The long-term trend since 2009 remains intact. However, the upward trend that began in 2023 is broken, with the price now trading below the 200-day moving average and previous lows. Overall, the long-term trend is strong, and historical momentum suggests that SPY could find support between 530 and 550. In a worst-case scenario, the price may decline toward the key support zone of 490 to 500. The recent correction also suggests that any rebound could be sharp and V-shaped.
AMEX:SPY
by Quantific-Solutions
SPY - support & resistant areas for today March 17, 2025The key support and resistance levels for SPY today are above. Follow me to get this notified when I publish in the morning. Understanding key levels in trading can provide valuable insights into potential market movements. These levels often indicate where prices might reverse or consolidate, serving as important signals for traders considering long (buy) or short (sell) positions. Calculated using complex mathematical models, these levels are tailored for today's trading session and may evolve as market conditions change. If you find this information beneficial and would like to receive these insights every morning at 9:30 AM, I invite you to support me by boosting this post and following me @OnePunchMan91. Your engagement is greatly valued! However, please note that if this post doesn’t receive more than 10 boosts, I will have to reconsider providing these daily updates. Thank you for your support! Need any other charts daily, comment on this.
AMEX:SPY
by OnePunchMan91
Global ETF Nears Potential BreakoutRecent weeks have seen a dramatic shift toward global stocks as U.S. markets decline. Now traders may be looking for a breakout in a key ETF tracking the group. The iShares MSCI EAFE fund, which focuses on developed markets like Europe and Japan, had a quick advance from mid-January through early March. There are at least four takeaways from the rally. First, it resulted in historic outperformance against the S&P 500. (This is highlighted by relative strength in the lower study with a 21-day period.) The current reading of 13.8 percent points compares with July 2002, when EFA began a five-year run of outpacing SPX. (The only two other times that relative strength was higher was late 2008 and March 2020, abnormal moments of extreme volatility.) Second, the recent rally pulled the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) toward a potential “golden cross” above the 200-day SMA. Third, a pullback on February 28 was quickly bought. That potentially established support above the December high of $80.63. (See yellow arrows.) Fourth, EFA has remained well above a 50 percent retracement of the advance. That may confirm bulls are still in control. Next, the fund just completed an inside week. That tightness may reflect a lack of selling pressure. Finally, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has stayed above the 21-day EMA. Standardized Performances for the ETF mentioned above: iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (EFA) 1-year: +5.61% 5-years: +31.07% 10-year: +25.31% (As of February 28, 2025) Exchange Traded Funds ("ETFs") are subject to management fees and other expenses. Before making investment decisions, investors should carefully read information found in the prospectus or summary prospectus, if available, including investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Click here to find the prospectus. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
AMEX:EFA
by TradeStation
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Video for 3-17: GAP PotentialAs we start moving into the Excess Phase Peak pattern consolidation phase, I believe the SPY/QQQ will attempt a moderate rally for about 3-5+ days, then roll into a deep selling mode after March 21-24. I don't believe we have reached a bottom - yet. I do see a lot of people talking about "the bottom is in" and I urge all of you to THINK. What do you believe will be the basis of US and GLOBAL economic growth starting RIGHT NOW? Can you name one thing that will be the driver of economic expansion and activity? I can't either. Thus, I suggest traders prepare for more sideways consolidation range trading over the next 60+ days as hedge assets and currencies attempt to balance risks. BTCUSD, Gold, Silver should all be fairly quiet this week. I'm not expecting any huge price moves this week. I expect the SPY/QQQ & BTCUSD to move a bit higher while Gold and Silver melt upward a bit further. Then, after March 21, I expect bigger volatility and a broad rotation in the SPY/QQQ/Bitcoin where Gold/Silver will start a bigger move higher. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
2
The game plan is clear: DCA,accumulate, and let the market work!HKEX:2800 Breakthrough downtrend channel on last Sept2024 and W-Chart formed MACD Goldencross for bullish mode. If enter now at 24.50 Target Profit 1 Level at : 30.70 (~25.3%) Target Profit 2 @33.50; another ~9% (cumulative + ~36%) Target Profit 3 : ATH Continue to DCA and accumulate; you may wait for slight retracement to add position. 24.26 Time frame : 9-24months It created higher hi recently for W chart. 🔎 DYODD and don't listen to anyone. Invest in yourself, do some study and learn along the way while you trying to verify or finding the answer if to start invest in CHN/HKG markets. Follow your trade plan then zen with 📙 and 🍵 while waiting for profits to be reazlied. ** Please Boost 🚀/LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Share your trading journey to encourage the trading buddies.
HKEX:2800Long
by ChenQianYu
QQQ Nasdaq 100 Year-End Price Target and Technical Rebound SetupIf you haven`t bought the previous oversold area on QQQ: Now the Nasdaq-100 ETF (QQQ), which tracks the performance of the largest non-financial companies in the Nasdaq, has recently entered oversold territory, suggesting that a technical rebound may be imminent. Similar to the Russell 2000, QQQ has experienced significant selling pressure, driving key technical indicators into oversold zones and creating favorable conditions for a bounce. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped below 30, a level that typically signals oversold conditions and the potential for a reversal. Additionally, QQQ is trading near key support levels, with a large portion of its components underperforming their 50-day and 200-day moving averages — a classic setup for a mean reversion rally. From a historical perspective, QQQ has shown a tendency to rebound strongly after similar oversold conditions, particularly when macroeconomic factors stabilize and buying pressure returns. Given the current technical setup, my price target for QQQ is $550 by the end of the year. This represents a recovery of approximately 8-10% from current levels, aligning with previous post-oversold rallies in the index. While downside risks remain — including potential volatility around Federal Reserve policy and broader economic data — the technical backdrop suggests that QQQ is well-positioned for a recovery in the coming months.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by TopgOptions
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 17–21, 2025 🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸📉 Anticipated Federal Reserve Rate Decision 📉: The Federal Reserve is scheduled to announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday, March 19. Markets widely expect the Fed to maintain the current rates between 4.25% and 4.5%, following favorable inflation data. Investors will closely analyze the Fed's quarterly economic projections and Chair Jerome Powell's remarks for insights into future monetary policy. 🇨🇳📈 China's Economic Stimulus Measures 📈: China has announced plans to implement measures aimed at reviving domestic consumption. This initiative is expected to bolster global markets, including the U.S., as increased Chinese consumption can lead to higher demand for international goods and services. ​ 🇯🇵🏦 Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy Decision 🏦: The Bank of Japan is set to announce its interest rate decision on March 20. While specific expectations are not detailed, any changes or guidance provided could have implications for global financial markets, including currency and equity markets. ​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Monday, March 17: 🛒 Retail Sales (8:30 AM ET) 🛒:This report measures the total receipts of retail stores, providing insight into consumer spending trends. Forecast: +0.2% month-over-month​ Previous: +0.3% month-over-month​ 📅 Wednesday, March 19: 🏠 Existing Home Sales (10:00 AM ET) 🏠:This data indicates the annualized number of previously constructed homes sold during the previous month, reflecting housing market conditions. Forecast: 5.50 million annualized units​ Previous: 5.47 million annualized units​ 📅 Thursday, March 20: 🏦 Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (2:00 PM ET) 🏦:The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announces its decision on short-term interest rates, influencing borrowing costs and economic activity. Forecast: No change, maintaining rates at 4.25%–4.50% Previous: 4.25%–4.50% ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
SPY Prediction.Here's my SPY breakdown using top-down charting from the 1Hr and 15min timeframes. On the 1Hr TF, there was a lower low (LL) created last Thursday around ($549.62). For the downtrend to continue, price needs to stay below ($564.02) to form a lower high (LH) and possibly go back to test that Thursday low. Now switching to the 15min TF, you can see that the ($562 - $564) level was tested four times, and each time price rejected and pushed lower. But remember what happened Friday around 2 PM — price spiked to ($563.83), then sellers stepped in and brought it right back down. So for Monday, if SPY gaps up over ($564), I’m looking to take calls for a push toward ($570 - $573) (just like the moves we saw on October 31 and November 5). But I would only scalp that move — personally, I wouldn’t be fully bullish unless SPY turns ($568 - $570) into support like it did back in November. If SPY does not gap up ($564), then I expect more downside pressure with a possible re-test of that ($549.62) low. This is just my opinion, make sure to chart it out yourself.
AMEX:SPY
by J-Weaver01
2
SPY at Key Inflection Point! Big Move Soon? Mar17 Week 🔥Hey traders! Quick update on SPY's 4-hour chart setup. 📈 Technical Analysis (TA): * SPY broke above the descending trendline signaling possible bullish momentum. * Immediate resistance overhead between $562–$582, which is critical for confirming a bullish trend reversal. * Recent Break of Structure (BOS) established a clear support zone around $545-$550, an essential zone for potential reversals. * Higher resistance around $607–$610 could come into play if bullish momentum builds. 📊 GEX & Options Insights: * Highest negative NET GEX at $550, marking a critical PUT support level; key to watch if prices dip. * Strong CALL resistance at $582, significant gamma wall here. Breakout could accelerate price upwards quickly. * IV Rank is moderate at 42.8%, creating opportunities for both debit and credit options strategies. * High PUT ratio (92.9%) indicates heavy bearish sentiment in options positioning—stay cautious. 💡 Trade Recommendations: * Bullish Play: Confirmed break above $582 could trigger a bullish push toward the $607–$610 range. Stops tight under $570. * Bearish Play: Watch for a clear rejection at $582; puts could target $550 support, potentially even down toward $545. * Neutral strategies: Consider selling premium via Iron Condors or credit spreads between the clear boundaries ($550–$582). 🛑 Risk Management: Maintain disciplined trades with clear risk control due to volatility at key levels. Stay focused and good luck! Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BullBearInsights
QQQ at Crossroads! Big Move Incoming? Mar17 WeekQuick update on QQQ with a look at the 4-hour chart. 📈 Technical Analysis (TA): * QQQ is at a critical resistance zone around $479-$480—key decision level here. * Recent Change of Character (CHoCh) suggests bulls might take control if price breaks higher. * Strong support formed at a Break of Structure (BOS) around $466; keep this level on radar if price pulls back. * Watch closely the next resistance zones around $495 and a major overhead barrier at $502. 📊 GEX & Options Insights: * High negative NET GEX at $466 marks critical PUT support—a strong floor area. * CALL resistance appears clearly around $495-$510, with a significant gamma wall forming. * IV Rank moderate at 42.8%, indicating reasonable premium—suitable for spreads or moderate premium selling strategies. * PUT sentiment at 32.5% signals bearish bias, keeping bulls cautious. 💡 Trade Recommendations: * Bullish Play: Wait for a confirmed breakout above $480 for a bullish run to $495 initially, and possibly higher towards $502. Set stops tight below $475. * Bearish Play: Look for a clear rejection at $480 to enter puts targeting the support at $466. * Neutral traders might explore credit spreads or Iron Condors between clear zones ($466–$495). 🛑 Risk Management: Ensure disciplined stop-loss placement, especially in this range-bound scenario. Stay safe and trade wisely! Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BullBearInsights
$QQQ WARNING! April Fool's Market a Joke this year at SUB $400Is this happening? I'm going to have to bet my money on yes. I have been doing this for a long time. Pattern Chart Trading . This has a high probability of happening imo. Is it absolute? Of course not. Is it better to be prepared? Absolutely. Now for the technicals of it.. I'm trying to do better with this... If we take a bearish perspective on the fib from the previous high in December , and the most previous lower low mid January , we have ourselves at the 1.61 Golden Pocket below. I have a Bullish perspective if we hold here and move above the 1.00 Fib Level, mid January Lows at $499.70 . Last defense would be a 50% retracement to the .786 FIB at the $508 area. Currently, I expect a rally to the 50 day SMA for a retest, then a SLAM to $380s in April . This is the possibility. Take it with a Grain of Salt. The possibility is there. I have one Bullish outlook.. I will post after this...
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by TazmanianTrader