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SPY at a Pivotal Zone โ€“ Bounce or Breakdown? ๐Ÿง  Market Structure + Price Action (1H) * Trend: Downtrend confirmed. Recent Break of Structure (BOS) followed a Change of Character (CHoCH) from bulls to bears. * Bearish momentum intensified after SPY broke support near 570.90, then plummeted through 564.85 and 558.11 key demand levels. * Current price: 554.15 โ€” bouncing slightly within a local demand/reaction box, but still under selling pressure. * Price is now consolidating below structure, but inside a potential reaction zone (possible dead cat bounce or minor retracement). ๐Ÿ” Smart Money Concepts (SMC) * CHoCH & BOS align with institutional exit behavior. The BOS confirms bearish intent. * SPY has entered a minor demand zone, but hasnโ€™t reclaimed any bullish market structure yet. * If it breaks below 549.68, the next support zone opens toward the 540s. ๐Ÿ” Indicators MACD: * MACD is starting to curve up, with histogram showing decreasing red momentum โ€“ a potential bounce brewing. Stoch RSI: * Oversold condition with both lines crossing upward โ€” supports a short-term relief rally or retracement. ๐Ÿ”ฅ GEX & Options Sentiment Analysis * IVR: 37.8 (Moderate); IVx Avg: 22.6 * Put Positioning: Very high at 71% โ€” bears are loaded up. * GEX Sentiment: * GEX is red ๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด โ€” strong gamma exposure to puts, favoring downward pressure. * Highest negative NETGEX / PUT Support at 555.83, which is just above current price โ€” this acts as a magnet and pivot. * If SPY stays below this level, dealer hedging accelerates selling. * Major Put Walls at: * 545: GEX8 at -22% * 544-540: Very deep bearish gamma โ€” potential acceleration if we break lower. * Call Resistance (Gamma Wall): * 573 โ†’ 577 โ†’ 580 zone = Gamma ceiling. * Dealers short calls here and hedge by selling, which adds resistance on rallies. โš–๏ธ Trade Scenarios ๐Ÿ‚ Bullish Reversal Setup: * Trigger: Break & close above 555.83 with volume. * Target: 558.11 โ†’ 564.85 * Invalidation: Below 549.68 * Risk/Reward: Favorable if volume confirms. ๐Ÿป Bearish Continuation Setup: * Trigger: Break below 549.68 with follow-through. * Target: 545 โ†’ 540 zone (GEX & PUT walls) * Stop-Loss: Above 555.83 or structure retest * Confluence: GEX alignment + broken structure + dealer flow pressure. ๐Ÿงญ Directional Bias: Bearish bias still intact โ€” but signs of short-term bounce forming. Likely we see a dead cat bounce unless 555.83 is reclaimed with conviction. ๐ŸŽฏ Actionable Strategy: * Intraday scalp: Long toward 558 if price reclaims 555.83. * Swing short: Below 549.68 toward 540 using SPY or PUT options. โš ๏ธ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
Gold Miners Stocks Go 'The Rife Game' in Town. Here's WhyGold mining stocks have emerged as one of the top-performing asset classes in 2025, driven by a combination of surging gold prices, improved profitability, and shifting investor sentiment. Hereโ€™s fundamental and technical analysis of the key factors behind this outperformance, by our @PandorraResearch Super-Duper Beloved Team : Record-High Gold Prices Fuel Margins Gold prices surpassed $3,000 per ounce in March 2025 for the first time in history, marking a 14% year-to-date increase. This rally stems from: Safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions, economic and political uncertainty including U.S. trade policy volatility. Central bank buying , particularly by China, India, Turkey, and Poland, to diversify away from the U.S. dollar. Anticipated interest rate cuts , which reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. Higher gold prices directly boost minersโ€™ revenues. For example, the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index NYSE:GDM returned nearly 30% YTD by early March, outpacing both physical gold OANDA:XAUUSD (+14.5%) and the S&P 500 SP:SPX (-3.8%). Companies like Agnico Eagle Mines NYSE:AEM and Wheaton Precious Metals NYSE:WPM reached all-time highs, while ASX-listed miners such as Evolution Mining ASX:EVN (+39.5% YTD) and West African Resources ASX:WAF (+56.6% YTD) outperformed Australiaโ€™s broader market. Margin Expansion and Shareholder Returns Gold miners are leveraging rising prices to improve profitability: Stabilized costs for labor, energy, and equipment have widened profit margins. Free cash flow growth enabled dividend hikes and share buybacks. U.S. Global Investors, for instance, offers a 3.91% annualized dividend yield. Undervalued stocks: Many miners traded at historically low valuations relative to gold prices, creating buying opportunities. Barrick Gold NYSE:GOLD (P/E 15.6) and Newmont Corp NYSE:NEM (P/E 15.5) remained attractively priced despite gains. Royal Gold NASDAQ:RGLD , a streaming company with a 60.3% operating margin, exemplifies how non-traditional miners capitalize on goldโ€™s rally without direct operational risks. Sector-Specific Catalysts Mergers and acquisitions. Consolidation activity has increased, with larger firms acquiring high-potential projects. Copper exposure. Miners like Evolution Mining benefit from rising copper demand, diversifying revenue streams. Institutional upgrades. Analysts at Macquarie and Morgan Stanley endorsed Newmont and Evolution Mining, citing currency tailwinds and free cash flow potential. Macroeconomic and Market Dynamics Dollar weakness. A declining U.S. dollar enhances goldโ€™s appeal as a hedge. Equity market volatility. With the S&P 500 struggling, investors rotated into gold equities for diversification (0.3 correlation to broader markets). Fiscal deficits. U.S. budget imbalances and inflationary pressures reinforced goldโ€™s role as a store of value. Outlook for 2025 Analysts project further gains, with gold potentially reaching $3,300 per ounce. Miners are expected to sustain momentum through: Operational efficiency improvements to align with higher gold prices. Continued capital discipline , avoiding overinvestment in new projects. Dividend growth , as seen with U.S. Global Investorsโ€™ monthly payouts. Technical Outlook The main technical graph for Gold Miners ETF AMEX:GDX indicates on further Long-Term Bullish opportunity, to double the price over next several years, in a case of the epic $45 mark breakthrough. Conclusion In summary, gold minersโ€™ 2025 rally reflects a confluence of macroeconomic uncertainty, disciplined capital management, and goldโ€™s structural demand drivers. While risks like cost inflation persist, the sectorโ€™s fundamentals and valuation upside position it as a compelling component of diversified portfolios. -- Best 'Golden Rife' wishes, @PandorraResearch Team ๐Ÿ˜Ž
AMEX:GDX
by PandorraResearch
KEEP TRADING SIMPLE - NVDYGood Morning, Hope all is well. Love these dividend ETFS - always have some floating around in my portfolio. Here we have NVDY starting to max out in volume. NVDY tracks options with the NVIDIA stock but also pays out some nice dividends on a monthly basis. Since I am unsure of the market bottom at this moment it is one I will collect short term and assess when we get to our resistance. Since I know the market has a short term bullish trend I will take advantage of it. Thanks
AMEX:NVDYLong
by mindfullylost
Spy Road To $544 Target HIT Now WhatWell we finally hit our target a lot of us went heavy in shorts right before the bell rang in many Etf's SPY QQQ Tsla with massive amounts of money With Expirations Expiring 4/3 4/5 and also 2weeks out.... Don't Ever Miss Another Move in the stock market again stay up to date With JoeWtrades.... So I guess everyone wants to know what's next Bear Market Bull Market is the the bottom in ext.... Nope this is not the bottom, i already have a plan on what's going to happen price will continue to fall Friday Over the Weekend Resulting in a possible Dead Cat Bounce come Tuesday in my opinion back to $550ish, Wait what did you say yes $dead cat bounce to $550ish in the next few days possibly Tuesday so this means this is not the bottom JoeWtrades , Nope in my opinion its not Like and follow to see in my opinion on where price goes, if you need assistance and would like to take your trading and scalping to the next level You know what to do.... As Always safe trades and good luck
AMEX:SPYShort
by JoeWtrades
Franco trade 0.0//@version=5 strategy("OBV + Moving Averages Strategy", overlay=true) // ๅƒๆ•ธ่จญ็ฝฎ length_OBV = input(1, "OBV ๅขž้‡") // OBV็š„่ฎŠๅ‹•้–ฅๅ€ผ length_maVolume = input(50, "50ๆ—ฅๅ‡้‡") // 50ๆ—ฅๅ‡้‡ length_maShort = input(5, "5ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš") // 5ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš length_maLong = input(13, "13ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš") // 13ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš take_profit = input(0.1, "ๆญข็›ˆๆฏ”ไพ‹ (10%)") // 10%ๆญข็›ˆ stop_loss = input(0.05, "ๆญขๆๆฏ”ไพ‹ (5%)") // 5%ๆญขๆ // ่จˆ็ฎ—ๆŠ€่ก“ๆŒ‡ๆจ™ obvValue = ta.cum(ta.volume * math.sign(ta.change(close))) // OBVๆŒ‡ๆจ™ maVolume = ta.sma(volume, length_maVolume) // 50ๆ—ฅๅ‡้‡ maShort = ta.sma(close, length_maShort) // 5ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš maLong = ta.sma(close, length_maLong) // 13ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš // ่ฒทๅ…ฅๆขไปถ buy_condition = ta.crossover(maShort, maLong) and // 5ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทšไธŠ็ฉฟ13ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš obvValue > ta.highest(obvValue , length_OBV) and // OBVๅ‰ตๆ–ฐ้ซ˜ volume > maVolume // ๆˆไบค้‡ๅคงๆ–ผ50ๆ—ฅๅ‡้‡ // ่ณฃๅ‡บๆขไปถ sell_condition = ta.crossunder(maShort, maLong) or // 5ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš่ทŒ็ ด13ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš obvValue < ta.lowest(obvValue , length_OBV) or // OBV่ตฐๅผฑ strategy.position_size > 0 and (strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + take_profit) < close or // ้”ๅˆฐๆญข็›ˆ็›ฎๆจ™ strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - stop_loss) > close) // ้”ๅˆฐๆญขๆ็›ฎๆจ™ // ๅŸท่กŒไบคๆ˜“็ญ–็•ฅ if buy_condition strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long) if sell_condition strategy.close("Long")
AMEX:SPY
by fungso94
VISUAL INVESTOR: An Investing Tutorial for EveryoneToday is a wonderful day! I am overwhelmed with positive emotions, like a racer who has crossed the finish line. My first book, The Visual Investor, is out on TradingView. It's written for everyone, from those just starting out in the stock market to experienced investors. You could say you're holding it in your hands now. The idea for this book came to me a long time ago, thanks to the influence of one person, as well as my invisible teachers: Benjamin Graham, Warren Buffett, Charles Munger, Peter Lynch and Mohnish Pabrai. Day after day, I worked on the content of chapters, charts, tables, and drawings to take you from theoretical foundations to applied knowledge that allows you to answer the key questions of any investor: What? When? And how much? My motivators, namely you, dear subscribers and the TradingView editorial team, also made an invaluable contribution to the creation of this book. Every kind word, constructive criticism and award in the form of โ€œEditorsโ€™ Picksโ€ made me happier and helped me to create further. Why โ€œVisual Investorโ€? This is my reverence for the technologies we have come to now. The modern investor has incredible opportunities compared to our colleagues, even from the beginning of the 21st century. Access to companies' financial data has become an order of magnitude easier, and their visualization allows for fundamental analysis to be done much faster than before. Global financial centers are now much closer to investors from different countries, thanks to the development of local regulation, active work of financial institutions and services. All this has expanded the range of investment instruments and formed a new way of life for our savings. A modern person may not be a passive observer of fluctuations in the purchasing power of his own capital. On the contrary, he can independently make decisions to increase this capacity, using technology and a systematic approach. Unfortunately, unmanaged savings will suffer the unenviable fate of the hundred dollar bill from the beginning of the last century. This chart shows how the $100 bill has depreciated since 1914 due to inflation. By the beginning of the First World War, the monthly salary of a highly skilled worker or employee could reach exactly this amount. If your super-rich great-great-grandfather buried a chest of these bills, and you found it, you'd probably be furious with him. Because $100 now is like $2 then. โ€œDear Grandpa, why didnโ€™t you buy something from that list ?โ€ you might say in your heart. However, we must give credit to our hero, as the propensity to save is a skill that any investor should start with, and something I talk about in the early chapters of my book. As Charles Munger said, โ€œI was a cautious little squirrel who hoarded more nuts than I needed and didnโ€™t climb into my own pile of nuts.โ€ The book is divided into three parts, allowing you to start with any of them, depending on your current level of knowledge. Part One This part will be interesting to anyone who wants to understand why we need investments, what a joint-stock company and a stock exchange are, how the price and its schedule are formed. Duration of study: 3 hours 15 minutes. Part two This part will be of interest to anyone who already knows the basics of stock trading but wants to understand the fundamental analysis of a company's business. Duration of study: 5 hours. Part three This part will be of interest to anyone who understands the financial statements of companies and wants to build a decision-making system on the stock market based on this knowledge. Duration of study: 11 hours. I recommend reading the book โ€œVisual Investorโ€ thoughtfully, with pauses to understand each chapter. It is precisely with this measured pace in mind that the estimated duration of study for each block and each article has been calculated. You can move faster if you like. If you devote 1 hour a day to the book, then after 20 days you will be able to master the entire theory. Don't rush to apply the knowledge immediately you've gained in real life. TradingView has great tools for hands-on research, such as the Market Simulator and Paper Trading, that will help you solidify your knowledge without risking your capital. Similarly, civil aviation pilots train on a flight simulator before their first flight. Remember that your knowledge, systematic approach, persistence and a pinch of luck can transform everything around you. But if you still need my support, I'm here. Yours, Capy. Part One 1. Investing is the ability to say "no" so that you can say "yes" The reader will learn that investing is a conscious skill of foregoing immediate spending in favor of greater value in the future, based on strategy, patience, and an understanding of the difference between investing and speculation. Duration of study: 15 minutes. 2. Raising initial capital: 4 approaches, of which one is not good The reader will learn about four ways to form start-up capital for investments, and why borrowed money is the least sensible of them. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 3. The lifestyle of your savings, and why Big Mac? The reader will learn that investing is a conscious way to preserve and increase the purchasing power of savings, in which the level of potential profit is always proportional to the risk taken. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 4. What is a stock? Let me tell you a story Using the example of a shoe workshop owner, the reader will learn how companies issue shares to raise capital and expand their business. Duration of study: 15 minutes.โ€‹โ€‹ 5. Stock Company. Selling something that no one will buy piecemeal Using the same example, the reader is explained the process of transforming a company into a joint-stock company and conducting an IPO to attract investment. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 6. I dream of entering the stock market. The question is: What for? The reader learns that going public is a way for a company to make its shares available to a wider range of investors, increase liquidity, and simplify the process of raising capital. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 7. How is the share price formed on the stock exchange? We do it The reader will learn how the price of a stock is formed on the stock exchange through the mechanism of bids from buyers and sellers, reflecting the balance of supply and demand. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 8. Bid/Offer: The Yin and Yang of Stock Prices The reader will learn how buy (bid) and sell (offer) orders from the order book on the exchange, determining the mechanism for concluding transactions and the formation of the market price. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 9. Market order or the hunger games of stock trading The reader will learn that market orders allow shares to be bought or sold immediately without specifying a price, satisfying the current demand or offer at prices available in the order book. Duration of study: 15 minutes. 10. The birth of the chart. The evolution of the tape The reader will learn how price movement charts are formed from the stock exchange quotes feed and will see historical examples of the evolution of methods for displaying market data. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 11. Japanese Candlesticks: Game of Body and Shadows The reader will learn how Japanese candlesticks are constructed, including determining the opening, closing, high, and low prices for a selected time interval, as well as the importance of the candlestick body and shadows in analyzing price movements.โ€‹ Duration of study: 20 minutes. 12. A little bit about volumes and the master of all averages The reader will learn how to analyze trading volumes and use a 252-day moving average to evaluate stock price movements. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 13. My Three Comrades: the Chart, the Screener, and the Watchlist The reader will learn step-by-step how to use the TradingView platform's chart, screener, and watchlist features to find and track stocks even if he doesn't know the company's ticker. Duration of study: 15 minutes. 14. Two captains of the same ship The reader will learn how to use fundamental analysis to assess a company's financial strength by adding financial indicators to a chart in TradingView, and why the author prefers this method over technical analysis. Duration of study: 15 minutes. Part two 15. My crazy partner is Mr. Market! The reader will learn about the concept of "Mr. Market" introduced by Benjamin Graham, which illustrates the irrationality of market behavior and emphasizes the importance of fundamental analysis in making sound investment decisions. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 16. Picking rules - the Lynch method The reader will learn about Peter Lynch's investment principles, including the benefits of private investors, the importance of a financial safety net, the need to understand a company's performance before investing, and the importance of analyzing its earnings.โ€‹ Duration of study: 15 minutes. 17. A pill for missed opportunities The reader will learn how to set up alerts in TradingView to react promptly to changes in stock prices, thereby avoiding missing profitable opportunities to buy or sell. Duration of study: 15 minutes. 18. Man on the shoulders of giants The reader learns the story of an Indian engineer who, after starting to invest in his 30s, achieved significant success, emphasizing the importance of self-education and inspiration from eminent investors. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 19. Price is what you pay, but value is what you get The reader will learn about Warren Buffett's approach to investing based on the difference between price and the intrinsic value of a company, and the importance of fundamental analysis in making investment decisions. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 20. Balance sheet: taking the first steps The reader will learn about the structure of the balance sheet, including the concepts of assets, liabilities, and equity. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 21. Assets I prioritize The reader will learn which balance sheet items are most important for assessing a company's sales performance, and why the author focuses on cash, accounts receivable, and inventory when analyzing current assets. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 22. A sense of debt The reader will learn about the structure of liabilities and shareholders' equity on a company's balance sheet, including the differences between short-term and long-term debt, and will understand how to analyze debt burden when assessing a company's financial health. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 23. At the beginning was the Equity The reader will learn about a company's capital structure, including the concepts of retained earnings and return on investment, and will understand how these items are reflected in the balance sheet. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 24. The income statement: the place where profit lives The reader will learn about the structure of a company's income statement, including key indicators: revenue, cost, gross and operating profit, as well as the importance of these metrics for assessing the financial condition of the enterprise and their impact on the dynamics of stock prices. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 25. My precious-s-s-s EPS The reader learns that earnings per share (EPS) is calculated as net income available to common shareholders divided by the number of common shares outstanding, and that diluted EPS considers potential increases in the share count due to employee options and other factors that affect earnings distributions. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 26. What should I look at in the Income statement? The reader will learn which key income statement metrics โ€” such as revenue, gross profit, operating expenses, debt service expense, net income, and diluted earnings per share (EPS Diluted) โ€” the author believes are most important for assessing a company's financial health. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 27. Cash flow statement or Three great rivers The reader will learn about the structure of the cash flow statement, which includes three main flows: operating, financial and investing, and will understand how these cash flows affect the financial condition of the company. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 28. Cash flow vibrations The reader will learn how to analyze a company's operating, investment, and financial cash flows to assess its sustainability, strategy, and ability to effectively manage resources. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 29. Financial ratios: digesting them together The reader will learn that financial ratios are relations between various financial reporting indicators that allow an objective assessment of the financial condition and value of a company, and will understand how to use key multiples to analyze the investment attractiveness of a business. Duration of study: 25 minutes. 30. What can financial ratios tell us? The reader will learn about key financial ratios such as Diluted EPS, Price/Earnings Ratio (P/E), Gross Margin, Operating Expense Ratio, Return on Equity (ROE), Days Payable and Days Sales Outstanding, and Inventory to Revenue Ratio, and will understand how to use these metrics to assess a company's financial health and investment attractiveness. Duration of study: 30 minutes. Part three 31. Price / Earnings: Interpretation #1 The reader will learn how the P/E (price to earnings) ratio helps assess the value of a company by determining how many dollars an investor pays for each dollar of earnings, and will understand why a lower P/E may indicate that a company is undervalued. Duration of study: 25 minutes. 32. Price/Earnings: amazing interpretation #2 The reader will learn an alternative approach to interpreting the P/E ratio by viewing it as the number of years it takes to break even on an investment, assuming the company's earnings are stable. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 33. How to apply an indicator that is only available upon request? The reader will learn how scripts written in Pine Script work on the TradingView platform and what levels of access there are to them: from completely open to requiring an invitation from the author. The article explains how to request access to an indicator if it is restricted, and what steps to take to add it to a chart once permission is granted. Duration of study: 15 minutes. 34. How to assess the fundamental strength of the company? The reader will learn about the approach to assessing the financial stability of a company through the aggregation of key financial indicators and multipliers, allowing a visual and quantitative assessment of the dynamics and current state of the business. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 35. How to evaluate the work of company management? The reader will learn about the approach to assessing the effectiveness of a company's management through the prism of the concept described by Eliyahu Goldratt in his book "The Goal", which focuses on three key indicators: throughput, inventory and operational expenses, and will understand how these indicators affect the financial results of the enterprise. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 36. How to evaluate the state of a company's cash flows? The reader will learn about the importance of cash flow analysis in assessing a company's financial health, including the interpretation of operating, investing, and financing flows. Duration of study: 25 minutes. 37. How to catch the rainbow by the tail? The reader will learn how to determine optimal price ranges for buying stocks based on the principles of fundamental analysis and the idea of investing with a margin of safety. Duration of study: 40 minutes. 38. How to convert craziness into results? The reader will learn how to navigate market volatility, make smart stock selling decisions, and use a fundamental approach to turn emotional market swings into rational investment actions. Duration of study: 35 minutes. 39. How to use Replay to study indicators? The reader will learn how to use the Market Simulator feature on the TradingView platform to analyze historical data and test indicators, including step-by-step instructions for activating the simulator, selecting the start date, adjusting the playback speed, and interpreting the results when analyzing NVIDIA Corporation stock. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 40. How to explain my decision-making system? The reader will learn about the author's approach to choosing stocks for investment, which includes an analysis of the fundamental strength of the company, cash flow dynamics, news, P/E multiple and other aspects of the decision-making system. Duration of study: 35 minutes. 41. The most subjective facet of my decision-making system The reader will learn how news, although difficult to formalize, influences the investment decision-making process and why its interpretation is the most subjective aspect in stock evaluation. Duration of study: 35 minutes. 42. Full instructions for studying the fundamental strength of a company The reader will learn how to use applied tools to evaluate a company's financial results, visually track their dynamics over time, and analyze the movement of key cash flows, which accelerates the process of selecting companies with strong fundamental indicators. Duration of study: 90 minutes. 43. Full instructions for determining price ranges for opening and closing positions The reader will learn how to determine optimal price ranges and trade sizes when investing in stocks, based on the principles of value investing and Benjamin Graham's "margin of safety" concept. Duration of study: 120 minutes. 44. 10 tricks for developing discipline or here was Warren The reader will learn ten practical methods to help investors develop discipline, including using alerts, keeping a trading journal, and developing good habits, and will understand how discipline affects the achievement of investment goals. Duration of study: 40 minutes. 45. The Inside Out Investor The reader will learn how emotional states such as fear, excitement, and fear of missing out (FOMO) influence investment decisions and will understand how awareness of these emotions helps an investor stick to their chosen strategy and make informed decisions. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 46. Effective inefficiency The reader will learn about the different approaches to using Stop Losses in investment strategies, their impact on the profit/loss ratio, as well as the concept of market efficiency and strategies in it. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 47. Institute of Intermediation and 24 Coffee Lovers The reader will learn about the factors that create market inefficiencies, such as delays in the dissemination of information, high volatility, the actions of large players and participant errors, as well as the role of intermediaries - brokers and exchanges - in ensuring the efficiency and convenience of trading in financial markets. Duration of study: 25 minutes. 48. Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind The reader will learn about the life of Charles Munger, vice chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, his investment philosophy based on common sense and discipline, as well as his views on the importance of personal relationships and moderation in achieving success. Duration of study: 5 minutes.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by Be_Capy
QQQ Slammed Below $465! Gamma Flip Confirmed QQQ Slammed Below $465! Gamma Flip Confirmed as Tariff Panic Grips Tech Sector ๐ŸŒ Macro Context (April 2, 2025) Trumpโ€™s new tariff announcement this morning ignited fear of inflation returning and disrupted global trade expectations. That spooked big tech and growth-heavy indices like QQQ, triggering gamma-driven liquidation and a sharp intraday breakdown. * Traders and dealers were not positioned for this headline โ€” the rapid IV expansion and negative delta hedging caused a cascading sell-off. * From a GEX perspective, todayโ€™s action triggered a flip below HVL ($471), with gamma accelerating downside volatility. ๐Ÿ“‰ Technical Breakdown โ€“ 1H Chart Price Action: * QQQ attempted to push through $475โ€“$480, but got rejected violently. * The huge red candle that nuked through $471 HVL and $469 confirmed a break of structure and bearish imbalance. Support Zones: * $455 โ€“ being tested now; psychological and options-related level * $453.86 โ€“ todayโ€™s session low * $450โ€“$447 โ€“ likely short-term gamma target if weakness persists Resistance Levels: * $465 โ€“ 3rd PUT Wall * $471 โ€“ HVL (now major resistance) * $474โ€“$477 โ€“ stacked CALL walls and former support ๐Ÿ”ป Options GEX & Dealer Positioning GEX Flow: * ๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ต = Short Gamma territory, and itโ€™s growing more negative. * Highest GEX support has disintegrated, with dealers hedging by shorting into the drop. * Net GEX flipped negative below $471, increasing volatility. * Dealer gamma continues to point down, with no major PUT walls until $450 zone. Options Sentiment: * IVR 38.4 / IVx avg 35.6 โ€“ slightly elevated vol, but with more room to rise * PUTs 55.5% โ€“ bearish lean confirmed * Expiry in 2 days + tariff panic = likely continuation or high chop volatility tomorrow ๐Ÿ“Œ Trade Setups ๐Ÿป Bearish Continuation (Preferred Bias) * Entry: Below $453.50 * Target: $450 โ†’ $447 * Stop: Above $458 reclaim * Contract Idea: 0DTE or 2DTE $455P/$450P depending on risk appetite * Note: Gamma trap zone from $455โ€“$450 likely to accelerate price movement ๐Ÿ‚ Dead Cat Bounce Setup (Low Conviction) * Only valid if QQQ reclaims $465+ with volume + positive options flow * Target: $471โ€“$474 * Play with small size or debit spreads due to risk of gamma reversal ๐Ÿ” Conclusion + My Thoughts This tariff-triggered crash was unexpected, and it created a dealer short-gamma loop in QQQ. The break below $471 HVL turned the table fast. Unless QQQ quickly reclaims $465+, we're likely heading to test $450 levels in the coming sessions. Tech tends to react aggressively to macro policy shifts, and the lack of near-term options support shows dealers are NOT stepping in. That opens the door for continued downside or extremely choppy relief rallies. Be fast. Be nimble. ๐ŸŽฏ Key Levels Recap: ๐Ÿ”ด HVL $471 Former support โ†’ resistance ๐Ÿ”ป Support $455 / $453.86 Price and psychological ๐Ÿšจ GEX Target $450 / $447 Dealer hedging likely ๐Ÿ”ผ Resistance $465โ€“$471 Gamma ceiling now ๐Ÿ“ข Final Tip: Watch VIX, bond yields, and /NQ overnight โ€” any panic escalation may turn this into a larger gamma-driven flush. Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always manage your risk and position sizing accordingly.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BullBearInsights
IWM Below $195! Can it Survive the Gamma Squeeze Pressure?๐Ÿง  Macro Context * The Trump tariff news shocked risk-on assets, and small caps were hit hardest. * IWM broke below the $195-$199 demand zone, now sliding into dealer gamma hedging territory. * GEX flow now clearly suggests a momentum-driven selloff, with risk of gamma acceleration if $192 breaks down. ๐Ÿ“Š Technical Analysis (1H) ๐Ÿ”บ Previous Structure: * IWM retested $201 after consolidating for days, then dumped hard, invalidating the breakout structure. * The large red candle broke through the HVL zone ($199) and cleared multiple support levels in one move. ๐Ÿ”ป Current Zone: * Trading near $192.40, where there's no immediate gamma support, making this a vulnerable spot. Key Levels: * Immediate Resistance: * $198 โ€“ PUT Wall zone (2nd wall) * $199โ€“$201 โ€“ HVL, former support now resistance * $203โ€“$206 โ€“ stacked GEX CALL walls * Support Zone: * $191.43 โ€“ session low * $190โ€“$188 = potential short-term bounce zone if VIX compresses * Below $188 = open gamma air pocket to $185 ๐Ÿงจ GEX + Options Sentiment GEX Analysis (Options GEX ): * ๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ต GEX = short gamma, dealers are likely short puts and hedging by selling into weakness. * $198: 2nd PUT Wall and GEX floor โ€” breaking this triggered the slide. * No firm GEX support until $190, meaning price can overshoot downward. Options Oscillator: * IVR 40.4 / IVx avg 39.7 โ€“ moderate vol setup, but rising put pressure post-tariff. * PUTs 21.5% โ€“ leaning bearish * Spike in upcoming OPEX gamma positioning means dealers are reactive, not supportive. ๐ŸŽฏ Trade Setups ๐Ÿป Bearish Continuation: * Entry: Breakdown below $192.00 * Target: $190 โ†’ $188 * Stop: Above $195 reclaim * Contracts: 0DTE or 2DTE $190P / $188P ๐Ÿ‚ Bounce Reversal Play: * Only viable if $192.00 forms a strong base and we reclaim $195 with volume * Target: $198โ€“$201 (retest of breakdown) * Contracts: 0DTE $195C / Spread to $198 ๐Ÿ” Conclusion: IWM is under pressure with no strong gamma cushion until $190. If $192 fails, expect volatility spikes. Dealers are likely hedging against further downside. Only reversal signal would be a strong reclaim above $195โ€“$198, which may spark a reflex rally. Suggested Play: * Scalpers: $192.00 key pivot * Swing: Bearish bias into $190 unless bulls reclaim $195 HVL zone * Options: Puts for continuation / tight call spreads only above $198 Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Always manage risk and trade with discipline.
AMEX:IWM
by BullBearInsights
1
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 3, 2025๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐ŸŒ Market-Moving News ๐ŸŒ: ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ“ˆ President Trump's 'Liberation Day' Tariffs Implemented: On April 2, President Donald Trump announced a series of new tariffs, referred to as "Liberation Day" tariffs, aiming to address trade imbalances. These include a baseline 10% tariff on all imports, with higher rates for specific countries: 34% on Chinese goods, 20% on European Union products, and 25% on all foreign-made automobiles. The administration asserts these measures will revitalize domestic industries, though critics warn of potential price increases for consumers and possible retaliatory actions from affected nations. ๐Ÿ“Š Key Data Releases ๐Ÿ“Š ๐Ÿ“… Thursday, April 3: ๐Ÿ“‰ Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 225,000โ€‹ Previous: 224,000โ€‹ Measures the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time during the past week, providing insight into the labor market's health.โ€‹ ๐Ÿ“ˆ Trade Balance (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: -$76.0 billionโ€‹ Previous: -$131.4 billionโ€‹ Indicates the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services, reflecting the nation's trade activity.โ€‹ ๐Ÿข ISM Services PMI (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 53.0โ€‹ Previous: 53.5โ€‹ Assesses the performance of the services sector; a reading above 50 suggests expansion.โ€‹ โš ๏ธ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.โ€‹ ๐Ÿ“Œ #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
Opening (IRA): XBI May 16th -85C/December 19th 50C LCD*... for a 29.50 debit. Comments: Adding to my XBI position at or near 52-week lows, buying the back month 90 delta and selling the front month -30 delta that pays for all of the extrinsic in the long. (The 50C is depicted at a higher strike so that it fits on the chart). Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 29.50 Max Profit: 5.50 ROC at Max: 18.64% 50% Max: 2.25 ROC at 50% Max: 9.37% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max and/or roll out short call to reduce downside break even. * -- Long call diagonal.
AMEX:XBILong
by NaughtyPines
MON100 : Going long for about 5% of the net capitalTook two positions of 2.5% of the net capital each, at various levels, summing up the total holding in the scrip for about 5% of the net capital. Will be targeting the all time high for a percentage move of about 20% from the current average entry price. Might consider adding on to the position if price dips and reaches the next critical buying zone, after evaluating the fundamental and sentimental scenarios prevailing globally at the time. ๐Ÿ“ข๐Ÿ“ข๐Ÿ“ข If my perspective changes or if I gather additional fundamental data that influences my views, I will provide updates accordingly. Thank you for following along with this journey, and I remain committed to sharing insights and updates as my trading strategy evolves. As always, please feel free to reach out with any questions or comments. Other posts related to this particular position and scrip, if any, will be attached underneath. Do check those out too. Disclaimer : The analysis shared here is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading in all markets carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Itโ€™s essential to conduct your own research and assess your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The views expressed in this analysis are solely mine. Itโ€™s important to note that I am not a SEBI registered analyst, so the analysis provided does not constitute formal investment advice under SEBI regulations.
NSE:MON100Long
by Sniper-Traders
SPY Divergence - Bullish Comeback?SPY is showing quite a significant bullish divergence on the Daily timeframe. This appears to concur with a potential double-bottom formation. We also see the RSI beginning to poke up through it's moving average: Alongside this we see a Rug Pull target on the 4h timeframe of the ES1! S&P futures ticker. Rug-pull events on this ticker have seen a great degree of accuracy over the past few years, as seen below: This rug-pull target alongside strong divergence on the higher timeframes indicates a high probability the markets will trend towards the upside in the near future.
AMEX:SPYLong
by RocketTraveler
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 2, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐ŸŒ Market-Moving News ๐ŸŒ: ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ“ˆ President Trumpโ€™s 'Liberation Day' Tariff Announcement: President Donald Trump is set to announce new reciprocal tariffs on April 2, aiming to align U.S. import duties with those imposed by other countries on American goods. This move is expected to impact various sectors, including automotive and manufacturing, and may lead to market volatility as investors react to potential shifts in trade policies. โ€‹ ๐Ÿ“Š Key Data Releases ๐Ÿ“Š ๐Ÿ“… Wednesday, April 2: ๐Ÿญ Factory Orders (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 0.6%โ€‹ Previous: 1.7%โ€‹ Indicates the dollar level of new orders for both durable and non-durable goods, reflecting manufacturing demand.โ€‹ โš ๏ธ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.โ€‹ ๐Ÿ“Œ #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Bitwise Bitcoin ETF | BITB | Long at $46.25It definitely should get everyone's attention when a US Senator (David McCormick) is willing to dish out up to $600,000 in a Bitcoin ETF ( AMEX:BITB ): Feb. 27: Bought $50,000 to $100,000 Feb. 28: Bought $15,000 to $50,000 March 3: Bought $50,000 to $100,000 March 5: Bought $15,000 to $50,000 March 10: Bought $50,000 to $100,000 March 11: Bought $15,000 to $50,000 March 13: Bought $15,000 to $50,000 March 20: Bought $50,000 to $100,000 Something may be brewing this year with the "U.S. crypto reserve" and I'll throw down a couple grand at $46.25 with a self-proclaimed wild prediction into 2026: Bitcoin to $120,000. Bitwise ETF Targets: $50.00 $55.00 $60.00 $65.00
AMEX:BITBLong
by WorthlessViews
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 1, 2025๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐ŸŒ Market-Moving News ๐ŸŒ: ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ“ˆ ISM Manufacturing PMI Release: The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) will release its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for March. A reading below 50 indicates contraction in the manufacturing sector, which could influence market sentiment.โ€‹ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ—๏ธ Construction Spending Data: The U.S. Census Bureau will report on February's construction spending, providing insights into the health of the construction industry and potential impacts on related sectors.โ€‹ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ“„ Job Openings Report: The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) for February will be released, offering a view into labor demand and potential implications for wage growth and consumer spending.โ€‹ ๐Ÿ“Š Key Data Releases ๐Ÿ“Š ๐Ÿ“… Tuesday, April 1: ๐Ÿญ ISM Manufacturing PMI (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 49.5%โ€‹ Previous: 50.3% Assesses the health of the manufacturing sector; a reading below 50% suggests contraction.โ€‹ ๐Ÿ—๏ธ Construction Spending (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 0.3%โ€‹ Previous: -0.2%โ€‹ Measures the total value of construction work done; indicates trends in the construction industry.โ€‹ ๐Ÿ“„ Job Openings (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 7.7 millionโ€‹ Previous: 7.7 millionโ€‹ Provides insight into labor market demand by reporting the number of job vacancies.โ€‹ โš ๏ธ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.โ€‹ ๐Ÿ“Œ #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade EOD Update : Rejecting The BreakdownDoes this big rejection bar mean the selling trend is over? I doubt it. In my opinion and experience, big rejection bars like this reflect a critical price level where the markets will attempt to REVISIT in the near future. Normally, when we get a big rejection bar, like today, we are testing a critical support/resistance level in price and you can see the difference between the SPY, DIA and QQQ charts. The QQQ price data is already below the critical support level and barely trying to get back above the rejection level. Whereas the SPY and DIA are still above the rejection lows. I see this as a technology driven breakdown and because of the continued CAPTIAL SHIFT, we may move into a broader WAVE-C breakdown of this current trend. I see the SPY already completing a Wave-A and Wave-B. If this breakdown plays out like I expect, we'll see a bigger breakdown in price targeting $525-535, then possibly reaching $495-505 as the immediate ultimate low. If you follow my research, there is a much lower level near $465-475 that is still a likely downward target level, but we'll have to see how price reacts over the next 2+ days before we can determine if that level is still a valid target. Watch for more support near recent lows tomorrow, then a potential breakdown in the SPY/QQQ/DIA. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
4
QQQ - Double Top BreakdownQQQ has formed a double top, a classic bearish reversal pattern indicating potential trend exhaustion. The price has broken below the neckline, confirming the pattern and signaling further downside. If selling pressure continues, we could see a move toward the target zone. This breakdown suggests that bulls are losing momentum, and unless QQQ can reclaim the neckline, the bearish bias remains intact. However, false breakdowns can occur, so it's important to watch for a potential retest of the neckline before further downside. ๐Ÿ“Š Key Levels: ๐Ÿ”ต Entry: Breakdown confirmation below support ๐Ÿ”ด Stop Loss: 524.65 ๐Ÿ”ป (Invalidation level if price reclaims this zone) ๐ŸŸข Target: 458.59 โœ… (Measured move from the pattern) ๐Ÿ”Ž Watch for: ๐Ÿ“Œ A retest of the neckline as resistance ๐Ÿ“Œ Increased volume confirming the breakdown ๐Ÿ“Œ Possible continuation if sellers remain in control This setup presents a strong risk-to-reward opportunity for bears, but staying cautious of any reversals is key.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by pliesfargo
3