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Opportunity Beneath the Fear: SPY's Reversal SetupIn the Shadow of Headlines: SPYโ€™s Drop Could Be 2025โ€™s Big Opportunity As markets react sharply to renewed tariff fears and Trump-related headlines, SPY continues its descent. Panic is setting inโ€”but behind the noise, a strategic opportunity may be quietly forming. While many rush to exit, others are beginning to position for the bounce. A well-structured entry strategy could be key to turning uncertainty into gains. Entry Zone (Staggered): ๐Ÿ”น 543: First watch levelโ€”look for signs of slowing momentum. ๐Ÿ”น 515: Deeper entry point as the selloff extends. ๐Ÿ”น <500 (TBD): Stay flexibleโ€”if panic accelerates, this could mark a generational setup. Profit Targets: โœ… 570: Initial rebound target. โœ… 590: Mid-range level if recovery builds. โœ… 610+: Full recovery potentialโ€”rewarding those with patience and vision. Remember: Headlines fade, but price action and preparation stay. This selloff may continueโ€”but it might also be laying the foundation for 2025โ€™s most powerful move. The key? Enter with discipline, protect your capital, and let the market come to you. โš ๏ธ Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading carries significant risk. Always conduct your own research and use proper risk management.
AMEX:SPY
by Robert_V12
Finally happened. Semiโ€™s getting creamed. Semiconductors and all the trappings are finally falling. The bubble has popped for the near term at least. LONG 3 days ago AMEX:SOXS is saving my portfolio๐Ÿ™๐Ÿผ๐Ÿ‘ Iโ€™m using a 30 min chart with 10,50,200 smaโ€™s. When the S&P drops below the 50 sma its time to short. NASDAQ:NVDA was range bound and had dropped below 50sma. Time to short. But NASDAQ:NVDA was leading the way to a reset for all the other Semi underlings. AMEX:SOXS the answer!!!!
AMEX:SOXSLong
by getyler55
1
SOXL in Buy ZoneMy trading plan is very simple. I buy or sell when at three of these events happen: * Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones * Money flow spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands * Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at near oversold overbought level * Price at Fibonacci levels So... Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing. Price in buying zone at bottom of 2 of 3 channels Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under bottom of Bollinger Band Price at or near Fibonacci level Entry at $13.30 Target is upper channel around $19
AMEX:SOXLLong
by chancethepug
4
Trump's Tariff Wars : What To Expect And How To Trade Them.I promised all of you I would create a Trump's Tariff Wars video and try to relate that is happening through the global economy into a rational explanation of HOW and WHY you need to be keenly away of the opportunities presented by the new Trump administration. Like Trump or not. I don't care. He is going to try to enact policies and efforts to move in a direction to support the US consumer, worker, business, and economy. He made that very clear while campaigning and while running for office (again). This video looks at the "free and fair" global tariffs imposed on US manufacturers and exports by global nations over the past 3+ decades. For more than 30+ years, global nations have imposed extreme tariffs on US goods/exports in order to try to protect and grow their economies. The purpose of these tariffs on US good was to protect THEIR workers/population, to protect THEIR business/economy, to protect THEIR manufacturing/products. Yes, the tariffs they imposed on US goods was directly responsible for THEIR economic growth over the past 30-50+ years and helped them build new manufacturing, distribution, consumer engagement, banking, wealth, and more. The entire purpose of their tariffs on US goods was to create an unfair advantage for their population to BUILD, MANUFACTURE, and BUY locally made products - avoiding US products as much as possible. As I suggested, that is why Apple, and many other US manufacturers moved to Asia and overseas. They could not compete in the US with China charging 67% tariffs on US goods. So they had to move to China to manufacture products because importing Chinese-made products into the US was cheaper than importing US-made products into China. Get it? The current foreign Tariffs create an incredibly unfair global marketplace/economy - and that has to STOP (or at least be re-negotiated so it is more fair for everyone). And I believe THAT is why Trump is raising tariffs on foreign nations. Ultimately, this will likely be resolved as I suggest in this video (unless many foreign nations continue to raise tariff levels trying to combat US tariffs). If other foreign nation simply say, "I won't stand for this, I'm raising my tariff levels to combat the new US tariffs", then we end up where we started - a grossly unfair global marketplace. This is the 21st century, not the 18th century. Step up to the table and realize we are not in the 1850s or 1950s any longer. We are in 2025. Many global economies are competing at levels nearly equal to the US economy in terms of population, GDP, manufacturing, and more. It's time to create a FREE and FAIR global economy, not some tariff-driven false economy on the backs of the US consumers. That has to end. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
64
SPY Slammed After Tariff Shock! Dealer Gamma TrapSPY Slammed After Tariff Shock! Dealer Gamma Trap Accelerates Drop ๐Ÿ”ป ๐ŸŒŽ Context: April 2, 2025 Todayโ€™s Trump tariff news set off a panic wave in the market โ€” triggering a sharp sell-off in major indices. SPY, the S&P 500 ETF, lost grip on its HVL ($560) and flushed into a dealer short-gamma zone, where volatility surged as hedging flows flipped bearish. Key Narrative: * Macro shock = Tariff fears * Market wasnโ€™t positioned = IV spike + dealer scrambling * Result = Gamma-driven slide with no call support nearby ๐Ÿงญ Technical Breakdown โ€“ 1H Chart ๐Ÿ”ป Price Action: * SPY broke down from $567-$565 support range. * Panic candle sliced through HVL $560 and continued through $550, tagging $542.20 intraday low. * The entire move below HVL now triggers short-gamma conditions. ๐Ÿ“Œ Support Zones: * $544.82 (currently testing) * $542.20 (session low) * Below that? Thin air until $538โ€“$535 zone from macro FVGs. ๐Ÿ”ผ Resistance Zones: * $550 = now resistance (2nd PUT Wall) * $555 = 3rd PUT Wall (likely a pause/reload area) * $560 = HVL / Former gamma support flipped resistance ๐Ÿง  GEX + Options Sentiment ๐Ÿ’ฃ Gamma Exposure (GEX): * ๐Ÿšจ GEX flipped heavily negative under $560. * HVL $560 has collapsed. * Dealers are now short gamma, adding to volatility and forced selling pressure. ๐Ÿ”ด Gamma Risk Zones: * PUT Support at $560 (-86.95% GEX) * Walls stacked at $555 and $550 โ†’ now broken * NO significant GEX support until $540 โ€” more room to fall ๐Ÿ“ˆ Options Oscillator: * IVR 40.8 / IVx Avg 29.3 โ†’ Elevated volatility with room to run * PUTS 83.3% dominance = bearish sentiment confirmed * Red Red Blue GEX = maximum dealer pain, negative gamma loop ๐Ÿงญ Trade Setups Based on Current Conditions ๐Ÿป Bearish Breakdown (Primary Bias) * Entry: Under $543 (below today's low) * Target: $540 โ†’ $535 * Stop: Over $550 reclaim * Contract: 0DTE/2DTE $545P or $540P for gamma scalping * Note: Dealer hedging is directional, be precise and fast ๐Ÿ‚ Relief Bounce Setup (Low Conviction) * Only valid if SPY reclaims $550 and shows slowing momentum * Possible dead-cat bounce to $555โ€“$560 * Prefer spreads due to high IV and fast time decay ๐Ÿ“Œ Key Levels Summary HVL (Former Support) $560 Gamma flip zone โ€” now resistance Gamma Pivot $550 Broke down โ€” keep an eye on it Support Zone $542.20 Session low Downside Target $540 โ†’ $535 If gamma slide continues ๐Ÿ’ญ My Thoughts: This Is a Gamma Meltdown Todayโ€™s tariff headlines sparked a reflexive gamma cycle โ€” as dealers flipped from long to short gamma, they were forced to hedge dynamically, driving SPY deeper into a liquidity vacuum. This is not your regular dip โ€” itโ€™s a liquidity and dealer flow event, so everything moves faster, with wild swings possible into the close or tomorrow. Unless SPY reclaims HVL at $560 fast, expect continuation or chop within this danger zone. VIX rising + GEX red = recipe for pain. ๐Ÿ“ข Final Notes: * Use defined risk. * Donโ€™t overstay puts. * Gamma moves cut both ways โ€” expect volatility. * Track GEX hourly if possible. Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and protect your capital.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
3
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-3 : GAP Breakaway PatternFirst off, thank you for all the great comments and accolades related to my calling this breakdown (nearly 60+ days ago). Did I get lucky having these new tariffs announced, causing the markets to break downward? Probably. Did my research suggest the markets were going to break downward anyway? YES. Did my research predict these tariffs? NO. My research is specifically price-based. You'll notice I don't use many indicators, other than my proprietary price pressure and momentum indicators. The purpose of what I'm trying to teach all of you is that price is the ultimate indicator. You can use other indicators if you find them helpful. But, you should focus on the price chart and try to learn as much as you can from the price chart (without any indicators). Why, because I believe price tells us everything we need to know and we can react to price more efficiently than getting confused by various technical indicators. At least, that is what I've found to be true. Today's pattern suggests more selling is likely. After the markets open, I suggest there will be a bunch of longs that will quickly be exited and shorts that will be exited (pulling profits). Thus, I believe the first 30-60 minutes of trading could be extremely volatile. My extended research suggests the markets will continue to try to move downward (over the next 60+ days) attempting to find the Ultimate Low. But, at this point, profits are profits and we all need to BOOK THEM if we have them. We can always reposition for the next breakdown trade when the timing is right. Gold and Silver are moving into a PANIC selling phase. This should be expected after the big tariff news. Metals will recover over the next 3-5+ days. Get ready. BTCUSD is really not moving on this news. Kinda odd. Where is BTCUSD as a hedge or alternate store of value? I don't see it happening in price. What I do see is that BTCUSD is somewhat isolated from this tariff news and somewhat isolated from the global economy. It's almost as if BTCUSD exists on another planet - away from global economic factors. Still, I believe BTCUSD will continue to consolidate, attempting to break downward over the next 30+ days. Remember, trading is about BOOKING PROFITS and moving onto the next trade. That is what we all need to focus on today. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
20
SPY Update + Learn & Understand the concept below!!Red vs. Teal has been the storyline for this downward momentum and it continues to be as we saw a strong hold from (bullish) red earlier in the week and after rejecting off of teal yesterday, this subsequent gap down that we're currently seeing. If we've built enough bearish liquidity utilizing our green controlled buying, we can see this dump penetrate this 547 support level and continue deeper with a mid-term target in the low $500's. However, if sufficient liquidity hasn't been built, per the laws of S&D, we will need to continue higher for a bit to grab more sellers and soak up more buyers prior to that penetration. Whenever the move seems too obvious in the market, expect it to look that way purposely and for it to be a trap. Get you to sell when it's so obviously bearish - and then the market pushes up as you realize that everyone who sold is the reason why it's going to now push up - big money will force you and the others to buy back your sells at a higher price/loss and that's where big money then swoops in, when things maybe started to look a bit bullish, and pushes the market down by selling back to you all your stop loss buys in one fell swoop! Learn this concept, understand it, and your trading will change forever. That knowledge combined with an understanding of how the algorithms inform the market's liquidity, is why I draw so many lines on my chart. Happy Trading :)
AMEX:SPY
by ReigningTrades
Franco trade 0.0//@version=5 strategy("OBV + Moving Averages Strategy", overlay=true) // ๅƒๆ•ธ่จญ็ฝฎ length_OBV = input(1, "OBV ๅขž้‡") // OBV็š„่ฎŠๅ‹•้–ฅๅ€ผ length_maVolume = input(50, "50ๆ—ฅๅ‡้‡") // 50ๆ—ฅๅ‡้‡ length_maShort = input(5, "5ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš") // 5ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš length_maLong = input(13, "13ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš") // 13ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš take_profit = input(0.1, "ๆญข็›ˆๆฏ”ไพ‹ (10%)") // 10%ๆญข็›ˆ stop_loss = input(0.05, "ๆญขๆๆฏ”ไพ‹ (5%)") // 5%ๆญขๆ // ่จˆ็ฎ—ๆŠ€่ก“ๆŒ‡ๆจ™ obvValue = ta.cum(ta.volume * math.sign(ta.change(close))) // OBVๆŒ‡ๆจ™ maVolume = ta.sma(volume, length_maVolume) // 50ๆ—ฅๅ‡้‡ maShort = ta.sma(close, length_maShort) // 5ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš maLong = ta.sma(close, length_maLong) // 13ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš // ่ฒทๅ…ฅๆขไปถ buy_condition = ta.crossover(maShort, maLong) and // 5ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทšไธŠ็ฉฟ13ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš obvValue > ta.highest(obvValue , length_OBV) and // OBVๅ‰ตๆ–ฐ้ซ˜ volume > maVolume // ๆˆไบค้‡ๅคงๆ–ผ50ๆ—ฅๅ‡้‡ // ่ณฃๅ‡บๆขไปถ sell_condition = ta.crossunder(maShort, maLong) or // 5ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš่ทŒ็ ด13ๆ—ฅๅ‡็ทš obvValue < ta.lowest(obvValue , length_OBV) or // OBV่ตฐๅผฑ strategy.position_size > 0 and (strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + take_profit) < close or // ้”ๅˆฐๆญข็›ˆ็›ฎๆจ™ strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - stop_loss) > close) // ้”ๅˆฐๆญขๆ็›ฎๆจ™ // ๅŸท่กŒไบคๆ˜“็ญ–็•ฅ if buy_condition strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long) if sell_condition strategy.close("Long")
AMEX:SPY
by fungso94
VISUAL INVESTOR: An Investing Tutorial for EveryoneToday is a wonderful day! I am overwhelmed with positive emotions, like a racer who has crossed the finish line. My first book, The Visual Investor, is out on TradingView. It's written for everyone, from those just starting out in the stock market to experienced investors. You could say you're holding it in your hands now. The idea for this book came to me a long time ago, thanks to the influence of one person, as well as my invisible teachers: Benjamin Graham, Warren Buffett, Charles Munger, Peter Lynch and Mohnish Pabrai. Day after day, I worked on the content of chapters, charts, tables, and drawings to take you from theoretical foundations to applied knowledge that allows you to answer the key questions of any investor: What? When? And how much? My motivators, namely you, dear subscribers and the TradingView editorial team, also made an invaluable contribution to the creation of this book. Every kind word, constructive criticism and award in the form of โ€œEditorsโ€™ Picksโ€ made me happier and helped me to create further. Why โ€œVisual Investorโ€? This is my reverence for the technologies we have come to now. The modern investor has incredible opportunities compared to our colleagues, even from the beginning of the 21st century. Access to companies' financial data has become an order of magnitude easier, and their visualization allows for fundamental analysis to be done much faster than before. Global financial centers are now much closer to investors from different countries, thanks to the development of local regulation, active work of financial institutions and services. All this has expanded the range of investment instruments and formed a new way of life for our savings. A modern person may not be a passive observer of fluctuations in the purchasing power of his own capital. On the contrary, he can independently make decisions to increase this capacity, using technology and a systematic approach. Unfortunately, unmanaged savings will suffer the unenviable fate of the hundred dollar bill from the beginning of the last century. This chart shows how the $100 bill has depreciated since 1914 due to inflation. By the beginning of the First World War, the monthly salary of a highly skilled worker or employee could reach exactly this amount. If your super-rich great-great-grandfather buried a chest of these bills, and you found it, you'd probably be furious with him. Because $100 now is like $2 then. โ€œDear Grandpa, why didnโ€™t you buy something from that list ?โ€ you might say in your heart. However, we must give credit to our hero, as the propensity to save is a skill that any investor should start with, and something I talk about in the early chapters of my book. As Charles Munger said, โ€œI was a cautious little squirrel who hoarded more nuts than I needed and didnโ€™t climb into my own pile of nuts.โ€ The book is divided into three parts, allowing you to start with any of them, depending on your current level of knowledge. Part One This part will be interesting to anyone who wants to understand why we need investments, what a joint-stock company and a stock exchange are, how the price and its schedule are formed. Duration of study: 3 hours 15 minutes. Part two This part will be of interest to anyone who already knows the basics of stock trading but wants to understand the fundamental analysis of a company's business. Duration of study: 5 hours. Part three This part will be of interest to anyone who understands the financial statements of companies and wants to build a decision-making system on the stock market based on this knowledge. Duration of study: 11 hours. I recommend reading the book โ€œVisual Investorโ€ thoughtfully, with pauses to understand each chapter. It is precisely with this measured pace in mind that the estimated duration of study for each block and each article has been calculated. You can move faster if you like. If you devote 1 hour a day to the book, then after 20 days you will be able to master the entire theory. Don't rush to apply the knowledge immediately you've gained in real life. TradingView has great tools for hands-on research, such as the Market Simulator and Paper Trading, that will help you solidify your knowledge without risking your capital. Similarly, civil aviation pilots train on a flight simulator before their first flight. Remember that your knowledge, systematic approach, persistence and a pinch of luck can transform everything around you. But if you still need my support, I'm here. Yours, Capy. Part One 1. Investing is the ability to say "no" so that you can say "yes" The reader will learn that investing is a conscious skill of foregoing immediate spending in favor of greater value in the future, based on strategy, patience, and an understanding of the difference between investing and speculation. Duration of study: 15 minutes. 2. Raising initial capital: 4 approaches, of which one is not good The reader will learn about four ways to form start-up capital for investments, and why borrowed money is the least sensible of them. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 3. The lifestyle of your savings, and why Big Mac? The reader will learn that investing is a conscious way to preserve and increase the purchasing power of savings, in which the level of potential profit is always proportional to the risk taken. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 4. What is a stock? Let me tell you a story Using the example of a shoe workshop owner, the reader will learn how companies issue shares to raise capital and expand their business. Duration of study: 15 minutes.โ€‹โ€‹ 5. Stock Company. Selling something that no one will buy piecemeal Using the same example, the reader is explained the process of transforming a company into a joint-stock company and conducting an IPO to attract investment. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 6. I dream of entering the stock market. The question is: What for? The reader learns that going public is a way for a company to make its shares available to a wider range of investors, increase liquidity, and simplify the process of raising capital. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 7. How is the share price formed on the stock exchange? We do it The reader will learn how the price of a stock is formed on the stock exchange through the mechanism of bids from buyers and sellers, reflecting the balance of supply and demand. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 8. Bid/Offer: The Yin and Yang of Stock Prices The reader will learn how buy (bid) and sell (offer) orders from the order book on the exchange, determining the mechanism for concluding transactions and the formation of the market price. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 9. Market order or the hunger games of stock trading The reader will learn that market orders allow shares to be bought or sold immediately without specifying a price, satisfying the current demand or offer at prices available in the order book. Duration of study: 15 minutes. 10. The birth of the chart. The evolution of the tape The reader will learn how price movement charts are formed from the stock exchange quotes feed and will see historical examples of the evolution of methods for displaying market data. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 11. Japanese Candlesticks: Game of Body and Shadows The reader will learn how Japanese candlesticks are constructed, including determining the opening, closing, high, and low prices for a selected time interval, as well as the importance of the candlestick body and shadows in analyzing price movements.โ€‹ Duration of study: 20 minutes. 12. A little bit about volumes and the master of all averages The reader will learn how to analyze trading volumes and use a 252-day moving average to evaluate stock price movements. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 13. My Three Comrades: the Chart, the Screener, and the Watchlist The reader will learn step-by-step how to use the TradingView platform's chart, screener, and watchlist features to find and track stocks even if he doesn't know the company's ticker. Duration of study: 15 minutes. 14. Two captains of the same ship The reader will learn how to use fundamental analysis to assess a company's financial strength by adding financial indicators to a chart in TradingView, and why the author prefers this method over technical analysis. Duration of study: 15 minutes. Part two 15. My crazy partner is Mr. Market! The reader will learn about the concept of "Mr. Market" introduced by Benjamin Graham, which illustrates the irrationality of market behavior and emphasizes the importance of fundamental analysis in making sound investment decisions. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 16. Picking rules - the Lynch method The reader will learn about Peter Lynch's investment principles, including the benefits of private investors, the importance of a financial safety net, the need to understand a company's performance before investing, and the importance of analyzing its earnings.โ€‹ Duration of study: 15 minutes. 17. A pill for missed opportunities The reader will learn how to set up alerts in TradingView to react promptly to changes in stock prices, thereby avoiding missing profitable opportunities to buy or sell. Duration of study: 15 minutes. 18. Man on the shoulders of giants The reader learns the story of an Indian engineer who, after starting to invest in his 30s, achieved significant success, emphasizing the importance of self-education and inspiration from eminent investors. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 19. Price is what you pay, but value is what you get The reader will learn about Warren Buffett's approach to investing based on the difference between price and the intrinsic value of a company, and the importance of fundamental analysis in making investment decisions. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 20. Balance sheet: taking the first steps The reader will learn about the structure of the balance sheet, including the concepts of assets, liabilities, and equity. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 21. Assets I prioritize The reader will learn which balance sheet items are most important for assessing a company's sales performance, and why the author focuses on cash, accounts receivable, and inventory when analyzing current assets. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 22. A sense of debt The reader will learn about the structure of liabilities and shareholders' equity on a company's balance sheet, including the differences between short-term and long-term debt, and will understand how to analyze debt burden when assessing a company's financial health. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 23. At the beginning was the Equity The reader will learn about a company's capital structure, including the concepts of retained earnings and return on investment, and will understand how these items are reflected in the balance sheet. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 24. The income statement: the place where profit lives The reader will learn about the structure of a company's income statement, including key indicators: revenue, cost, gross and operating profit, as well as the importance of these metrics for assessing the financial condition of the enterprise and their impact on the dynamics of stock prices. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 25. My precious-s-s-s EPS The reader learns that earnings per share (EPS) is calculated as net income available to common shareholders divided by the number of common shares outstanding, and that diluted EPS considers potential increases in the share count due to employee options and other factors that affect earnings distributions. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 26. What should I look at in the Income statement? The reader will learn which key income statement metrics โ€” such as revenue, gross profit, operating expenses, debt service expense, net income, and diluted earnings per share (EPS Diluted) โ€” the author believes are most important for assessing a company's financial health. Duration of study: 10 minutes. 27. Cash flow statement or Three great rivers The reader will learn about the structure of the cash flow statement, which includes three main flows: operating, financial and investing, and will understand how these cash flows affect the financial condition of the company. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 28. Cash flow vibrations The reader will learn how to analyze a company's operating, investment, and financial cash flows to assess its sustainability, strategy, and ability to effectively manage resources. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 29. Financial ratios: digesting them together The reader will learn that financial ratios are relations between various financial reporting indicators that allow an objective assessment of the financial condition and value of a company, and will understand how to use key multiples to analyze the investment attractiveness of a business. Duration of study: 25 minutes. 30. What can financial ratios tell us? The reader will learn about key financial ratios such as Diluted EPS, Price/Earnings Ratio (P/E), Gross Margin, Operating Expense Ratio, Return on Equity (ROE), Days Payable and Days Sales Outstanding, and Inventory to Revenue Ratio, and will understand how to use these metrics to assess a company's financial health and investment attractiveness. Duration of study: 30 minutes. Part three 31. Price / Earnings: Interpretation #1 The reader will learn how the P/E (price to earnings) ratio helps assess the value of a company by determining how many dollars an investor pays for each dollar of earnings, and will understand why a lower P/E may indicate that a company is undervalued. Duration of study: 25 minutes. 32. Price/Earnings: amazing interpretation #2 The reader will learn an alternative approach to interpreting the P/E ratio by viewing it as the number of years it takes to break even on an investment, assuming the company's earnings are stable. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 33. How to apply an indicator that is only available upon request? The reader will learn how scripts written in Pine Script work on the TradingView platform and what levels of access there are to them: from completely open to requiring an invitation from the author. The article explains how to request access to an indicator if it is restricted, and what steps to take to add it to a chart once permission is granted. Duration of study: 15 minutes. 34. How to assess the fundamental strength of the company? The reader will learn about the approach to assessing the financial stability of a company through the aggregation of key financial indicators and multipliers, allowing a visual and quantitative assessment of the dynamics and current state of the business. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 35. How to evaluate the work of company management? The reader will learn about the approach to assessing the effectiveness of a company's management through the prism of the concept described by Eliyahu Goldratt in his book "The Goal", which focuses on three key indicators: throughput, inventory and operational expenses, and will understand how these indicators affect the financial results of the enterprise. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 36. How to evaluate the state of a company's cash flows? The reader will learn about the importance of cash flow analysis in assessing a company's financial health, including the interpretation of operating, investing, and financing flows. Duration of study: 25 minutes. 37. How to catch the rainbow by the tail? The reader will learn how to determine optimal price ranges for buying stocks based on the principles of fundamental analysis and the idea of investing with a margin of safety. Duration of study: 40 minutes. 38. How to convert craziness into results? The reader will learn how to navigate market volatility, make smart stock selling decisions, and use a fundamental approach to turn emotional market swings into rational investment actions. Duration of study: 35 minutes. 39. How to use Replay to study indicators? The reader will learn how to use the Market Simulator feature on the TradingView platform to analyze historical data and test indicators, including step-by-step instructions for activating the simulator, selecting the start date, adjusting the playback speed, and interpreting the results when analyzing NVIDIA Corporation stock. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 40. How to explain my decision-making system? The reader will learn about the author's approach to choosing stocks for investment, which includes an analysis of the fundamental strength of the company, cash flow dynamics, news, P/E multiple and other aspects of the decision-making system. Duration of study: 35 minutes. 41. The most subjective facet of my decision-making system The reader will learn how news, although difficult to formalize, influences the investment decision-making process and why its interpretation is the most subjective aspect in stock evaluation. Duration of study: 35 minutes. 42. Full instructions for studying the fundamental strength of a company The reader will learn how to use applied tools to evaluate a company's financial results, visually track their dynamics over time, and analyze the movement of key cash flows, which accelerates the process of selecting companies with strong fundamental indicators. Duration of study: 90 minutes. 43. Full instructions for determining price ranges for opening and closing positions The reader will learn how to determine optimal price ranges and trade sizes when investing in stocks, based on the principles of value investing and Benjamin Graham's "margin of safety" concept. Duration of study: 120 minutes. 44. 10 tricks for developing discipline or here was Warren The reader will learn ten practical methods to help investors develop discipline, including using alerts, keeping a trading journal, and developing good habits, and will understand how discipline affects the achievement of investment goals. Duration of study: 40 minutes. 45. The Inside Out Investor The reader will learn how emotional states such as fear, excitement, and fear of missing out (FOMO) influence investment decisions and will understand how awareness of these emotions helps an investor stick to their chosen strategy and make informed decisions. Duration of study: 20 minutes. 46. Effective inefficiency The reader will learn about the different approaches to using Stop Losses in investment strategies, their impact on the profit/loss ratio, as well as the concept of market efficiency and strategies in it. Duration of study: 30 minutes. 47. 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AMEX:SPYEducation
by Be_Capy
QQQ Slammed Below $465! Gamma Flip Confirmed QQQ Slammed Below $465! Gamma Flip Confirmed as Tariff Panic Grips Tech Sector ๐ŸŒ Macro Context (April 2, 2025) Trumpโ€™s new tariff announcement this morning ignited fear of inflation returning and disrupted global trade expectations. That spooked big tech and growth-heavy indices like QQQ, triggering gamma-driven liquidation and a sharp intraday breakdown. * Traders and dealers were not positioned for this headline โ€” the rapid IV expansion and negative delta hedging caused a cascading sell-off. * From a GEX perspective, todayโ€™s action triggered a flip below HVL ($471), with gamma accelerating downside volatility. ๐Ÿ“‰ Technical Breakdown โ€“ 1H Chart Price Action: * QQQ attempted to push through $475โ€“$480, but got rejected violently. * The huge red candle that nuked through $471 HVL and $469 confirmed a break of structure and bearish imbalance. Support Zones: * $455 โ€“ being tested now; psychological and options-related level * $453.86 โ€“ todayโ€™s session low * $450โ€“$447 โ€“ likely short-term gamma target if weakness persists Resistance Levels: * $465 โ€“ 3rd PUT Wall * $471 โ€“ HVL (now major resistance) * $474โ€“$477 โ€“ stacked CALL walls and former support ๐Ÿ”ป Options GEX & Dealer Positioning GEX Flow: * ๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ต = Short Gamma territory, and itโ€™s growing more negative. * Highest GEX support has disintegrated, with dealers hedging by shorting into the drop. * Net GEX flipped negative below $471, increasing volatility. * Dealer gamma continues to point down, with no major PUT walls until $450 zone. Options Sentiment: * IVR 38.4 / IVx avg 35.6 โ€“ slightly elevated vol, but with more room to rise * PUTs 55.5% โ€“ bearish lean confirmed * Expiry in 2 days + tariff panic = likely continuation or high chop volatility tomorrow ๐Ÿ“Œ Trade Setups ๐Ÿป Bearish Continuation (Preferred Bias) * Entry: Below $453.50 * Target: $450 โ†’ $447 * Stop: Above $458 reclaim * Contract Idea: 0DTE or 2DTE $455P/$450P depending on risk appetite * Note: Gamma trap zone from $455โ€“$450 likely to accelerate price movement ๐Ÿ‚ Dead Cat Bounce Setup (Low Conviction) * Only valid if QQQ reclaims $465+ with volume + positive options flow * Target: $471โ€“$474 * Play with small size or debit spreads due to risk of gamma reversal ๐Ÿ” Conclusion + My Thoughts This tariff-triggered crash was unexpected, and it created a dealer short-gamma loop in QQQ. The break below $471 HVL turned the table fast. Unless QQQ quickly reclaims $465+, we're likely heading to test $450 levels in the coming sessions. Tech tends to react aggressively to macro policy shifts, and the lack of near-term options support shows dealers are NOT stepping in. That opens the door for continued downside or extremely choppy relief rallies. Be fast. Be nimble. ๐ŸŽฏ Key Levels Recap: ๐Ÿ”ด HVL $471 Former support โ†’ resistance ๐Ÿ”ป Support $455 / $453.86 Price and psychological ๐Ÿšจ GEX Target $450 / $447 Dealer hedging likely ๐Ÿ”ผ Resistance $465โ€“$471 Gamma ceiling now ๐Ÿ“ข Final Tip: Watch VIX, bond yields, and /NQ overnight โ€” any panic escalation may turn this into a larger gamma-driven flush. Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always manage your risk and position sizing accordingly.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BullBearInsights
IWM Below $195! Can it Survive the Gamma Squeeze Pressure?๐Ÿง  Macro Context * The Trump tariff news shocked risk-on assets, and small caps were hit hardest. * IWM broke below the $195-$199 demand zone, now sliding into dealer gamma hedging territory. * GEX flow now clearly suggests a momentum-driven selloff, with risk of gamma acceleration if $192 breaks down. ๐Ÿ“Š Technical Analysis (1H) ๐Ÿ”บ Previous Structure: * IWM retested $201 after consolidating for days, then dumped hard, invalidating the breakout structure. * The large red candle broke through the HVL zone ($199) and cleared multiple support levels in one move. ๐Ÿ”ป Current Zone: * Trading near $192.40, where there's no immediate gamma support, making this a vulnerable spot. Key Levels: * Immediate Resistance: * $198 โ€“ PUT Wall zone (2nd wall) * $199โ€“$201 โ€“ HVL, former support now resistance * $203โ€“$206 โ€“ stacked GEX CALL walls * Support Zone: * $191.43 โ€“ session low * $190โ€“$188 = potential short-term bounce zone if VIX compresses * Below $188 = open gamma air pocket to $185 ๐Ÿงจ GEX + Options Sentiment GEX Analysis (Options GEX ): * ๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ด๐Ÿ”ต GEX = short gamma, dealers are likely short puts and hedging by selling into weakness. * $198: 2nd PUT Wall and GEX floor โ€” breaking this triggered the slide. * No firm GEX support until $190, meaning price can overshoot downward. Options Oscillator: * IVR 40.4 / IVx avg 39.7 โ€“ moderate vol setup, but rising put pressure post-tariff. * PUTs 21.5% โ€“ leaning bearish * Spike in upcoming OPEX gamma positioning means dealers are reactive, not supportive. ๐ŸŽฏ Trade Setups ๐Ÿป Bearish Continuation: * Entry: Breakdown below $192.00 * Target: $190 โ†’ $188 * Stop: Above $195 reclaim * Contracts: 0DTE or 2DTE $190P / $188P ๐Ÿ‚ Bounce Reversal Play: * Only viable if $192.00 forms a strong base and we reclaim $195 with volume * Target: $198โ€“$201 (retest of breakdown) * Contracts: 0DTE $195C / Spread to $198 ๐Ÿ” Conclusion: IWM is under pressure with no strong gamma cushion until $190. If $192 fails, expect volatility spikes. Dealers are likely hedging against further downside. Only reversal signal would be a strong reclaim above $195โ€“$198, which may spark a reflex rally. Suggested Play: * Scalpers: $192.00 key pivot * Swing: Bearish bias into $190 unless bulls reclaim $195 HVL zone * Options: Puts for continuation / tight call spreads only above $198 Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Always manage risk and trade with discipline.
AMEX:IWM
by BullBearInsights
1
SPY: Yet another bearish SPY forecastLooking at the previous sell-off patterns, theres a strong possibility that if the downtrend continues, SPY will head to low 500's by mid-May before rebounding in the summer to retest current levels (540-560) before completing the final leg (or first) of a correction to the high mid-high 400 price level - or potentially low 400s in September. Its been a while since I've shared a predictive chart but the current market behavior makes it hard not to try to paint a picture. Heaps of salt to be taken - I've been wrong many times before
AMEX:SPYShort
by myceliium
1
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 3, 2025๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐Ÿ”ฎ ๐ŸŒ Market-Moving News ๐ŸŒ: ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ“ˆ President Trump's 'Liberation Day' Tariffs Implemented: On April 2, President Donald Trump announced a series of new tariffs, referred to as "Liberation Day" tariffs, aiming to address trade imbalances. These include a baseline 10% tariff on all imports, with higher rates for specific countries: 34% on Chinese goods, 20% on European Union products, and 25% on all foreign-made automobiles. The administration asserts these measures will revitalize domestic industries, though critics warn of potential price increases for consumers and possible retaliatory actions from affected nations. ๐Ÿ“Š Key Data Releases ๐Ÿ“Š ๐Ÿ“… Thursday, April 3: ๐Ÿ“‰ Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: 225,000โ€‹ Previous: 224,000โ€‹ Measures the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time during the past week, providing insight into the labor market's health.โ€‹ ๐Ÿ“ˆ Trade Balance (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: -$76.0 billionโ€‹ Previous: -$131.4 billionโ€‹ Indicates the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services, reflecting the nation's trade activity.โ€‹ ๐Ÿข ISM Services PMI (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 53.0โ€‹ Previous: 53.5โ€‹ Assesses the performance of the services sector; a reading above 50 suggests expansion.โ€‹ โš ๏ธ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.โ€‹ ๐Ÿ“Œ #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao