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Spy - Path to 666Hello Traders, At 2008 bottom the market hit 666 on the SPX. So now I am thinking 6666 on the SPX and 666 on SPY is like a magnet. Well I used the Fractal from end of last year and using fibs to make sure the levels were a match and guess what..It ends close to 666 in April this year. I have other things pointing me to April as a "top". So anyways lets see how this plays out.. According to the fractal we will go up till Wednesday (MAG Earnings and Fed Decision) then have a small drop before continuing higher. Is 666 the final top? Well one one hand it would make sense as we are getting long in the tooth and for some reason they love that number. On the other hand I have cycles that are pointing to one more cycle later this year into summer. But I would say if we do head up to that number I would be cautious around there and put more into cash incase we get a decent pullback so you can buy things when they get cheaper. I was one of the few calling for more up when everyone was seeing a Head and Shoulder and saying we topped in December. I knew we had a least one more bull cycle if not two. Here we are at ATH again .. lets see how this plays out.
AMEX:SPYLong
by TheUniverse618
4
Why Blind Index Investing Could Be Costing You Thousands?!Index-based investing has been one of the most popular ways to grow a long-term portfolio for decades. Today, it has become even more accessible and favored, offering a safer foundation for investing and generally carrying lower risk compared to portfolios composed of individual stocks. For someone like me, a technical analyst, index investing isn't exactly an adrenaline rush. Under societal pressure, I decided to test a few hacks and dive deeper into it ;) I set out to compare three of the most popular U.S. index ETFs – SPY (S&P 500), QQQ (Nasdaq 100), and IWM (Russell 2000) – and analyze how to implement a brief technical analysis into index selection could influence long-term results. Starting in 2005, I "invested" $1,000 every quarter, completing a total of 81 test purchases. Each time, I selected the index that technical analysis suggested was in the strongest position. If done strictly and consistently, there were often situations where all three indices had just reached their all-time highs. In those moments, I had to make a choice. Technical analysis is not just about drawing lines on a chart – experience, market intuition, and behavioral patterns of the price play a big role here. My Test and Strategy The goal was to compare the following three U.S. index ETFs: - SPY (S&P 500) - QQQ (Nasdaq 100) - IWM (Russell 2000) Test conditions: - Start date: 2005 - Investment period: 81 quarters - Mandatory quarterly investment: $1,000 - Index selection: Based on technical analysis and market intuition. Distribution of trades during the test period: - SPY: 35 times - QQQ: 31 times - IWM: 15 times The chart illustrates SPY, QQQ, and Russell with blue arrows marking purchase points. Results of the Experiment Performance of my strategy: - +344% return - Invested: $81,000 - Final value: $360,000 Comparison indices (each quarter regular purchases): - SPY: +233% (final value: $272,000) - QQQ: +579% (final value: $552,000) - IWM: +128% (final value: $186,000) My strategy outperformed SPY and IWM because I focused on selecting the ETFs in the strongest technical condition at the time. While QQQ delivered higher absolute returns, my diversified approach offered competitive returns with lower risk and more stable outcomes. Key Takeaways 1. Diversity and Stability: Risk Mitigation and Return Optimization The goal wasn't just maximum returns but also reducing risk and adopting a smarter approach. While QQQ had the highest returns, remember that it is heavily concentrated in the technology sector, making it riskier. Back in 2005, it wouldn't have been easy to predict that QQQ would outperform. A technical analysis strategy allows for risk diversification by choosing the strongest index at any given time, delivering significant returns while maintaining diversity and stability. 2. Thoughtful Regularity Outperforms Blind Regularity Strict quarterly investing avoids the biggest mistake investors fear – timing the market. Regularity is crucial, but it needs to be thoughtful. The tests showed that blind purchasing could be costly: for instance, regular SPY purchases would have left $100,000 on the table, and IWM even more. My strategy allowed selecting the strongest index at each point, yielding significantly better returns. 3. Wrong Index Choice Can Be Costly Had I chosen only IWM throughout the period, my return would have been just +128%. This clearly shows the importance of not sticking to one index but instead evaluating regularly to find the one with the greatest potential at any given time. How to Choose the Best Index: Follow my Newsletter to Guide You One of many of the topics of this newsletter (You will find it here, in the profile section, visiting my "website") will be sharing my monthly and quarterly top lists of indices, making regular purchases easier for you. The test proved that sticking to one index isn’t the best way forward – but which one should you choose? That’s where the monthly top list comes in. I firmly believe this strategy and approach have significant potential to help investors make smarter and more confident decisions. That’s why I’m starting a newsletter, where one of the many topics will be sharing this list regularly: - The technically strongest indices for investing. - Explanations of why a particular index is technically more attractive than others. Conclusion My research proves that technical analysis and understanding of charts can be powerful tools for long-term index investing. Regularity, fact-based decisions, and risk diversification help achieve optimal results. Your portfolio deserves better decisions. Don’t waste time analyzing indices yourself. All the best, Vaido
AMEX:SPY
by VaidoVeek
1
This is a no Brainer for you noobs - check itWhat up? how is everyone doing the almost end of January w a new Admin? one things i do wish is that Robinhood will collab with @TradingView does anyone have info on this? Why are the holding back? follow along... i swing only SPY 500 options- 7 years in training, a year before the covid 19. i buy calls or buy puts overnight, easy- up or down? 1. The week, before this weeks volume was pretty decent I must say.- this held us up. 2. I do like continuation patterns. 3. $ 605.00 is in the cards for next week of 1/27 - 1/31 4. With the month closing on Friday the 31, we may even see a low touching that $ 600.00 5. Therefore we are looking for bounces on either side. 6. I kind of like $ 600.00 to confirm there are buyers on that area of support. For our continuation of an upmarket trend. 7. Although volume and candlestick are key to watch around 605. ⛳️ do we get a birdie or a par this week? -- - leave a comment or evaluation below.
AMEX:SPY
by KommonStock
The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO)As of January 25, 2025, VOO is trading at $559.01, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.296% from the previous close. Analyst Projections for 2025 Analysts have provided various forecasts for VOO's performance in 2025. According to a report from December 2024, the average projected price for VOO in 2025 is $614.07, with estimates ranging from a low of $503.13 to a high of $716.68. 24/7 WALL ST. Another analysis predicts that VOO could reach a maximum price of $825.96 in December 2025, with an average price of $755.95 for that month. 30RATES.COM Market Sentiment and Economic Indicators The optimistic projections for VOO are supported by expectations of continued economic growth, robust corporate earnings, and advancements in technology sectors. A December 2024 article highlighted that the stock market could potentially gain another 20% in 2025, driven by positive sentiment, deregulation initiatives, and developments in artificial intelligence. BARRON'S Considerations for Investors While the forecasted price of $650 by December 23, 2025, aligns with some optimistic analyst predictions, it's essential to consider potential risks. Factors such as market volatility, regulatory changes, and global economic uncertainties could impact VOO's performance. Investors are advised to monitor economic indicators, corporate earnings reports, and policy developments to make informed decisions. In summary, VOO's outlook for 2025 appears promising, with several analyses suggesting significant growth. However, as with all investments, it's crucial to stay informed and consider both the potential rewards and risks.
AMEX:VOOLong
by SHOOZCOIN
Prediction line and reason for SCHD's long-term to medium-term First, when looking at all charts, let's consider them as a "Momi Ai" market... Even if the previous candles indicate a clear trend, consider that it might enter a Momi Ai phase in the future. When you see someone talking about their current evaluation yield or realized yield, and you just think, "Wow, that's impressive," consider yourself a fool. You must check the period over which that evaluation yield or realized yield is assessed. Whether it's a few days, months, or years... And then you should convert it objectively into an annual yield, record it, compare it, and make a judgment afterward. Similarly, terms like bull market, bear market, trend market, or Momi Ai market are only valid after defining a period. This is the time theory emphasized by Ichimoku Sanjin. So, when thinking about the above chart as an example... My ability to see long periods is still lacking, unlike Hosoda Tesei, who could see periods of several hundred days. For now, let's lightly look at the candles within the blue box, which create the leading span 2 over the past 52 days. It has come down as much as it rose in an S-wave form. To become the Momi Ai I emphasize, it should lightly pass through the leading span 2 in the form of number 1, go near the previous high, and then come down. You can draw a predictive line in this form. If it's a Momi Ai release from a long-term perspective, and it rebounds using leading span 2 as a stepping stone in the form of number 3, it can be seen as a moment of opportunity for betting. Conversely, if it turns into a downtrend from the current candle position... If you predict a Momi Ai down release, it will use the current point as a stepping stone to turn downward. Mid-term: Let's look at the yellow box for the mid-term. This time, the baseline should be the center, but the central value passing through the yellow box, other than the recently formed baseline, is not indicated. But let's consider it as a Momi Ai for now. Extend the recently formed baseline to the past 26 days, set it near the central value, and after a decline, if it doesn't rise as much as it fell, and declines again near the center, it has formed a typical Momi Ai shape in a downward-biased Momi Ai. To become a Momi Ai again, it needs to show adjustments for a few days and approach the baseline. Then it will fall as much as it rose after leaving the baseline. Even if it tries to rise using the baseline as a stepping stone, after a period adjustment, the leading span 1 above is blocking it, and there is a resistance zone, so it may probabilistically fall again. You can predict pattern number 2. Short-term: Now let's look at the green box that creates the conversion line. It's almost a one-way upward i-wave with slight resistance. To become a short-term Momi Ai, it should be pushed to the conversion line after receiving resistance at the cloud intersection point... But if you limit it to the short-term period, you can dream of a three-wave pattern accompanied by a period if it creates a suitable second wave after making the first wave in 6 days. Check if it accompanies the price and expect a short-term moment of opportunity. There is also a high possibility of being pushed back to the baseline. However, as mentioned above, if it is pushed back to the baseline, it will meet cloud resistance, and that position may be at a lower price level than the current position. If it is pushed back to the baseline, it may fall further, leave the baseline, and wait until it comes down to the previous low of the mid-term, and expect a mid-term Momi Ai near that area. Buying near that area may be probabilistically better. Chikou Span: I used the indicator that creates Ichimoku's 9-week candle as a 9-day candle, and applied the original content that the trend of the gap between the Chikou Span and the solid line is more important, and converted it to a 26-day candle. In the lower indicator of the picture, you can see the gap between the Chikou Span and the solid line at a glance. The deficit area over the past 28 days is well-formed in a rugby ball shape, and it seems like a favorable turn of the Chikou Span is about to occur. Even if the solid line just moves sideways, it will turn into a bullish candle. So, another sign is created. Three-wave: If the three-wave accompanied by time adjustment and price adjustment in number 4 above can break through the resistance zone and rise, it is the most ideal form and can be the strongest and most profitable pattern. Today's Purchase: So, I made a purchase today.
AMEX:SCHD
by MasterMinEast
1
20 YEARS OF SPY: IS THE BOTTOM IN?Hello Friends! This is a 3 Week chart of SPY, showing you the past 20 years of price action... From the 2001 dot com bubble, to the 2022 recession, to today in 2023 I decided to explore the possibility of the bottom being in and developed a thesis based on this Taking a look at the 3 Week MACD, we can see multiple golden crosses as highlighted by the YELLOW CIRCLES Each and every single time the 3 Week MACD Golden Cross has occurred... It has triggered a multi year long bull cycle for the S&P 500 as shown via historical analysis. The ONLY TIME this led to a fakeout was during the 2001 Dot Com Bubble era... From Approximately October 1, 2001 to February 14, 2002, SPY was rallying and shows signs of tremendous bullish action. However, turmoil came back in the Bears were in control once again. The only reason markets continue to crash after February of 2002 was because the price had moved below the 50 WMA as indicated by the giant arrows Due to weakness in SPY's price action during 2000 - 2002, we were never able to recover ABOVE the 50 WMA and crashed further as a result UNTIL the RSI BOTTOMED below 30 Fast forward to the 2010s, looking at 3 Week price action from December 2011 to the 1st half of 2020:::: You can see golden crosses on the RSI & MACD correlate immensely with multi year bullish price action And I'd like to come to today as an example... As of February 16, 2023, SPY is currently holding above the 50WMA level of approximately $401 if we can close above here on March 6, 2023. We will usher in the next Multi year bull run! We are seeing welcome signs of a bullish reversal taking place, such as the 3 Week RSI continuing to show STRONG signs of bullish divergence playing out since May 31, 2022 The 3 Week RSI Golden Cross in combination with the 3 Week MACD likely also about to close a Golden Cross shows that this market is strong, the bulls remain in control for now, despite these turbulent times Now I am no financial advisor, but my best advice right now is the following::: hope for the best, and prepare for the worst!
AMEX:SPY
by Jonalius
82
WEAT getting ready to test its 200 MA for the 7th time!AMEX:WEAT WEAT has been in a secular bearish trend for over 15 years. But that has not been without bullish bursts. However something happened to WEAT recently were it successfully broke out thru its 200 DMA in April of last year. In my opinion this signaled the beginning of a change in trend for WEAT. Normally stocks shift from Bearish to Range then to Bullish. They typically require a consolidation phase in the middle. WEAT ranged in 2019 after a bearish trend then broke out in 2020 for a 150% increase. However, I am not going to bet the farm on that. There is money to be made in trading the range. This is when we buy low and sell high as appose to momentum trade. I am going to buy WEAT @ $4.66 and sell half of my position at the 200 MA (about $5.20) for a 10% profit. From there I shall ride the rest to see how far we can go. Anyway, this is what I am doing with my money, you do you. Good luck.
AMEX:WEATLong
by ConvictionTrades
QQQ Will Explode! BUY! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the QQQ next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 507.22 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 521.67 My Stop Loss - 499.62 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by AnabelSignals
2
Luxury ETF is breaking outThe Krane shares Luxury ETF was a novel idea to give investors the exposure to the Luxury sector. But with Chinese consumer weak sentiments and inflation in developed countries, the Luxury goods manufacturers had a bad couple of years. Recently the ETF has been breaking out of its 200 Day SMA. After all the 20-Day, 50-Day and 100-Day SMA spending significant amount of time below 200 Day SMA on a daily chart, the ETF has broken out of its 200 Day lows. It has recently had a good run with sizeable rallies daily. My assessment is that this breakout will sustain for some time to come
AMEX:KLXYLong
by RabishankarBiswal
1/24/25 - $osol - Buying 10% premium sub $91/24/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: OTC:OSOL Buying 10% premium sub $9 - i'm showing you this chart (you can copy this into your trading view) because it's the way to know if you're overpaying for closed end funds... step 1: go to website and figure out how many units of said asset you get per share ospreyfunds.io step 2: create TV formula to show you the premium/ discount. i do this for all the names i follow... OTC:GDLC , AMEX:GBTC (back in the day), OTC:BITW , OTC:OBTC (which is pure BTC and trades 10% discount today and picked up a pile of that)... and this one too. on a day like today after we've see solana make it's "winning" move vs. ETH (for the time being), as the selected L1 winner of this cycle (ex-BTC of course)... you go "what's up this thing has had an awful run". a lot of folks don't know what they own *lol* if you follow me, you know i bash the clownheaded nature of salad robots, space lasers, quantum dreams and nuclear summer... and a lot of this degen room temp IQ stuff unfortunately loses a lot of money chasing tickers they don't do 5' of research on. so the NPC will look at a chart like this and say it's a scam/ fraud you name it. but what's really happened is a bunch of people have smashed mkt sell into a fairly illiquid ticker (only 50mm AUM) and you go back to fair value. w the the Solana ETF nearly inevitable at some pt this year, you'd ask "why overpay 10% here for this". my friends, if/when that event, Sol will be ripping so much higher and so 10% premium for pure play access to SOL is kind of obvious. does SOL go lower first, w/ BTC lower? if/so yes. do i have a crystal ball? i do. /sarc. so go slow, just put it on your watchlist. but if u like the setup, look to make a move eventually on something like this. GL V
OTC:OSOLLong
by VROCKSTAR
Opening (IRA): SOXL March 21st 29 Covered Call... for a 26.85 debit. Comments: High IV; starter position. Selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 26.85 Max Profit: 2.15 ROC at Max: 8.01% 50% Max: 1.08 ROC at 50% Max: 4.00% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals if I can get in at better strikes/better break evens than what I currently have on, and/or roll out the short call if take profit is not hit.
AMEX:SOXLLong
by NaughtyPines
Where's The Top?Good evening traders, If you're anything like me, you've probably been asking yourself for a few days now when SPY will top out? So here is my technical analysis with a breakdown of my thoughts and predictions for the next few upcoming weeks. First and foremost, Trump took office on Jan 20th. The "Trump Pump" is alive and well, obviously. I'm starting to think the market was being retrained from a breakout under the Biden Administration, though we saw over a 25% return YTD. Side note: This year is projected to do 3% on the S&P 500. With that said, it is the S&P 500. The 500 largest companies in the United States. As Tech and AI take flight into 2025, it can only be assumed that large companies that make up the S&P 500 would be adopting these new resources in order to help them turn profits. What does this mean for retail traders? To put it simply, the trend is your friend, until it's not. These index funds, such as SPY have consumed bears for almost a consecutive 10 days, following a parallel channel towards a high target/trend line around the area of 623-626. Until this channel of mayhem is broken, SPY is bullish. This is no man's land and we could change direction at any given moment. The lines of resistance are as follows: .. .. .. .. Thanks for reading,
AMEX:SPYLong
by Tsteves
5
Full ARKK Reverse Gamma Scalping PositionThe basic essence of reverse gamma scalping is to do additive and subtractive delta adjustments over time to keep delta fairly neutral so that theta can do its dirty work. Shown here is my full ARKK position that started as a delta neutral iron condor to which (a) I layered in an additional iron condor as a delta adjustment trade; (b) mixed and matched profitable put side with profitable call side to reduce units and/or risk; and (c) did an additive long delta short put vertical as a delta adjustment. Rather than continue showing each of these additive/subtractive delta adjustments as separate trades, I'm setting out the full banana here. I've collected a net 3.22 in credits on a buying power effect of 11.78, and the position has a delta/theta ratio of -2.09/6.00. With 36 days to go, I'll primarily look at doing profitable subtractive adjustments first; then additive ones.
AMEX:ARKK
by NaughtyPines