Get started

ETF market

SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-28-25 : Carryover in Counter TrendToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to move downward in early trading. The SPY may possibly target the 564-565 level before finding support. The QQQ may possibly attempt to target the 475-476 level before finding support. Overall, the downward trend is still dominant. I believe the SPY/QQQ may find some support before the end of trading today and attempt to BOUNCE (squeeze) into the close of trading. Gold and Silver are RIPPING higher. Here we go. Remember, I've been telling you of the opportunities in Gold/Silver and other market for more than 5+ months (actually more than 3+ years). This is the BIG MOVE starting - the BIG PARABOLIC price rally. BTCUSD has rolled downward off the FWB:88K level - just like I predicted. Now we start the move down to the $78k level, then break downward into the $58-62k level looking for support. Love hearing all of your success stories/comments. GET SOME. Happy Friday. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
7
SPY’s Epic Crash: Bearish Flag Unleashed!Buckle up, trading fam, because the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) just pulled a move so wild, it’s giving Keeping Up with the Kardashians a run for its money. We’re talking a bearish flag breakdown on the 4-hour chart that’s got more twists than a Game of Thrones finale, more drama than a Bachelor rose ceremony, and more profit potential than a Shark Tank pitch gone viral. If you’re ready to laugh, learn, and maybe make some cash, then grab your popcorn—this 2,500-word rollercoaster is about to take you on a ride you won’t forget! 🎢 Act 1: SPY’s Golden Era—Living Its Best Barbie Life Let’s set the scene: it’s late October 2024, and SPY is strutting its stuff like it’s Margot Robbie in Barbie. The price climbs from $570 to a dazzling $607.98 by mid-January 2025—a 6.5% glow-up that’s got traders swooning harder than Ken at a Dreamhouse party. SPY’s basically saying, “I’m not just an ETF—I’m iconic,” as it basks in the glow of a bull market hotter than a Love Island villa. But here’s the tea: even the shiniest stars can fall. By mid-January, the Stochastic Oscillator at the bottom of the chart is flashing “overbought” signals louder than a Real Housewives reunion meltdown. It’s the first sign of trouble—like when you realize the DJ at the club just played “Sweet Caroline” for the third time, and the vibe’s about to go south. SPY’s living large, but the party’s about to get crashed, Jersey Shore style. Act 2: The Flagpole Plunge—SPY Sinks Faster Than the Titanic Cue the dramatic music, because mid-January 2025 is when SPY decides to pull a full-on Titanic. The price plummets from $607.98 to $566.77 in a matter of days—a $41.21 drop, or 6.8%, that’s got traders screaming “I’m not okay!” louder than a Euphoria episode. This sharp decline is the flagpole of our bearish flag pattern, and it’s a doozy. SPY’s sinking faster than Jack and Rose’s ship, and the bulls are left clinging to the wreckage like there’s no room on the door. 🚢 The Stochastic Oscillator dives into oversold territory (below 20), confirming the bearish momentum is stronger than the Hulk after a double espresso. It’s a bloodbath on Wall Street, and SPY’s the main character in this tragic plot twist. But just when you think the drama’s over, SPY decides to play coy—like a Bachelor contestant who says “I’m not here for the right reasons” but sticks around for the drama anyway. Enter the consolidation phase, aka the “flag” part of the bearish flag pattern. Let’s break it down, shall we? Act 3: The Flag—SPY’s Tease Game Is Stronger Than a Love Island Bombshell From late January to mid-February 2025, SPY enters a consolidation phase that’s more tantalizing than a Love Island bombshell walking into the villa. The price bounces between $566.77 and $577.74, forming a sneaky little upward-sloping channel. It’s like SPY’s playing hard to get, teasing traders with a “Will I rally? Will I crash?” vibe that’s got everyone on edge. The Stochastic Oscillator hovers below 50, like a villa couple who’s “just talking” but definitely not coupled up yet. This consolidation is the “flag” in the bearish flag pattern, and it’s a classic setup. Think of it as SPY taking a quick breather after its big fall, sipping a cocktail by the pool before diving back into the drama. Bearish flags are continuation patterns, meaning the price is likely to keep falling after this little flirt-fest. It’s like when you’re watching The Masked Singer—you know the reveal’s coming, but the suspense is what keeps you glued to the screen. And trust me, you won’t want to miss the next act. Act 4: The Breakout—SPY Says “I’m Out!” Like a RuPaul’s Drag Race Exit Mid-February 2025 arrives, and SPY decides it’s done with the games. The price breaks below the lower trendline of the flag at $566.77, and it’s like watching a RuPaul’s Drag Race queen sashay away after a lip-sync battle: dramatic, fierce, and leaving the bulls in the dust. The breakout confirms the bearish flag pattern, and the bears are strutting their stuff like they just won the crown. 👑 The price doesn’t just dip—it plunges to $546.33 by late March 2025, a further drop of $20.44 (or 3.6%) from the breakout point. The Stochastic Oscillator dives back into oversold territory, confirming the bearish momentum is back with a vengeance. SPY’s basically telling the bulls, “You better work—because I’m not!” as it leaves them gagging on the runway. Let’s talk about the measured move—the price target for this bearish flag. We take the length of the flagpole ($41.21) and project it downward from the breakout point ($566.77). That gives us a target of $525.56. SPY doesn’t quite hit that mark—it bottoms out at $546.33—but it gets close enough to make traders sweat harder than a Chopped contestant with 30 seconds left on the clock. It’s a solid performance, even if it didn’t stick the landing perfectly. Pop Culture Parallels: SPY’s Bearish Flag Is a Reality TV Showdown Let’s take a step back and look at this chart through a pop culture lens, because SPY’s bearish flag is basically a reality TV showdown. The initial uptrend from October to January is the honeymoon phase—think The Bachelor contestants on their first group date, all smiles and champagne. 🥂 The flagpole drop in mid-January is the drama bomb, like when a contestant gets caught kissing someone else in the hot tub. The consolidation phase is the confessional montage, where everyone’s talking smack and plotting their next move. And the breakout? That’s the rose ceremony—SPY’s handing out its final rose to the bears, and the bulls are sent packing with nothing but a suitcase and some tears. Trading Tips: How to Slay This Bearish Flag Like a Drag Race Superstar Now that we’ve had our fun, let’s get down to business. How can you trade this bearish flag like a Drag Race superstar? Here’s the tea, served piping hot: 1. Short the Breakout (Sashay, Don’t Shantay) When SPY broke below the flag at $566.77, that was your cue to short the stock faster than you can say “Sashay away!” A short position here could’ve netted you a $20.44 gain per share as the price dropped to $546.33—enough to buy yourself a new wig for the next challenge. 2. Set a Stop-Loss (Don’t Get Read for Filth) To avoid getting read for filth by a fake-out, set a stop-loss above the flag’s upper trendline at $577.74. That way, if the breakout flops harder than a Drag Race comedy challenge, you’re safe. 3. Target the Measured Move (Go for the Crown) The measured move target of $525.56 was the goal, but SPY stopped at $546.33. That’s still a win—like making it to the top 4 but not snatching the crown. If you’d shorted at the breakout, you’d be serving looks and profits. 4. Watch for a Bounce (Don’t Sleep on the Comeback) As of late March 2025, SPY’s at $546.33, and the Stochastic is oversold. This could mean a short-term bounce is coming, like a Drag Race queen returning for an All-Stars season. Keep an eye on resistance at $566.77 and $577.74—if SPY breaks above those, the bears might be in for a shady twist. The Bigger Picture: Is SPY’s Downtrend the New Black? Let’s zoom out for a hot second. Before this bearish flag, SPY was in a strong uptrend for months, living its best life like a Vogue cover star. This pattern marks a potential trend reversal, like when skinny jeans went out of style and baggy pants became the new black. If the downtrend continues, the next support level could be around $540—or even lower if things get really messy. But here’s the million-dollar question: is this the start of a bigger bear market, or just a temporary dip? It’s like trying to predict the winner of Survivor—nobody knows, but everyone’s got a theory. The Stochastic being oversold suggests a bounce might be near, but the overall trend is still bearish. So, keep your wits about you, because this market’s shadier than a Real Housewives dinner party. Why This Chart Is More Addictive Than a Love Is Blind Binge If you’re still here, you’re officially obsessed—and I don’t blame you! This SPY chart is more addictive than a Love Is Blind binge because it’s got all the elements of a great reality show: drama, suspense, and a cast of characters (the bulls and bears) who can’t stop fighting. The bearish flag is the villain we love to hate, and the price action is the love triangle we can’t stop watching. Plus, trading is a lot like reality TV. You’ve got your highs (the uptrend), your lows (the flagpole drop), and those messy in-between moments (the consolidation). But when the breakout happens, it’s like the finale episode where someone finally gets engaged—or in this case, the bears get their moment in the spotlight. 💍 Final Thoughts: Don’t Miss the Next Episode of SPY’s Reality Show SPY’s bearish flag breakdown is a masterclass in technical analysis, wrapped in a package of drama and sass that’d make even the most stoic trader crack a smile. Whether you’re a Wall Street pro or a newbie just here for the tea, this chart has something for everyone. So, what’s next for SPY? Will it hit that $525.56 target, or will the bulls stage a comeback like a Love Is Blind couple at the altar? Only time will tell, but one thing’s for sure: you won’t want to miss the next episode of this reality show. Keep your eyes on the chart, your finger on the trigger, and your sense of humor intact—because in the world of trading, you’ve got to laugh to keep from crying. 😜 Join the Trading Villa! If you loved this recap of SPY’s bearish flag drama, don’t ghost me like a Love Island ex! Drop a comment with your thoughts—are you shorting SPY, or are you waiting for a bounce? And if you want more trading tea, puns, and reality TV references, hit that follow button faster than you can say “I’m here to make friends.” Let’s spill the tea and make some money together! 🍵
AMEX:SPY
by RoadToAMillionClub
QQQ: Bearish Reversal Likely — Weak Buyer Conviction at Key ResiQQQ may be setting up for a bearish reversal, as several technical confluences suggest the recent rally is losing steam. Despite a short-term bounce, price is approaching a critical decision zone, and buyers appear to lack conviction. 🔺 1. Price Testing Upper Boundary of Descending Channel QQQ has rallied into the upper boundary of the descending channel (yellow lines) that’s been in place since late December. This often acts as resistance—and the price has yet to break above it with strength. 🔵 2. Hitting the Edge of Rising Regression Channel The current price is tagging the upper edge of the blue rising regression channel, an area that has previously triggered sell-offs. Unless there’s a decisive breakout, this could mark a local top. 📉 3. Volume Divergence – Weak Buyer Interest Despite the recent rally attempt, volume is declining, showing clear divergence. This is a warning sign: while price moves up, momentum is fading, and buyers don’t appear to be stepping in strongly. It’s often a precursor to a reversal. 🟩 4. Lower Boundary of Rising Channel Still Intact... For Now Price remains near the long-term rising channel’s lower support, but failure to hold this level could trigger accelerated downside. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: 🔻 Resistance 490.13 – 494.67: This zone is packed with prior support-turned-resistance and coincides with the descending and regression channel boundaries. A rejection here would confirm the bearish thesis. 499.44: A psychological and historical resistance level. Bears would likely pile in if price fails here again. 🔺 Support 488.15: Immediate minor support. Weak defense here could quickly lead to further selling. 477.59: Next key level below current price. If breached, it could validate a more extended correction. 🧠 Summary: QQQ is at a technical crossroads, with several overlapping resistance levels and a clear lack of buying volume. Until buyers show conviction above 494–495, the setup favors a bearish reversal from current levels. 🔔 Watch for a rejection around 490–495 with increasing sell volume for confirmation. 💬 What’s your outlook? Do you see further downside or a breakout brewing?
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by brownian
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 28, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸📊 Core PCE Inflation Data Release: The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for February is set to be released. Economists anticipate a 0.3% month-over-month increase and a 2.5% year-over-year growth, aligning with previous figures. As the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, this data could influence monetary policy decisions.​ 🇺🇸🛍️ Consumer Spending and Income Reports: February's personal income and spending reports are due, with forecasts indicating a 0.4% rise in personal income and a 0.5% increase in personal spending. These figures will provide insights into consumer behavior and economic momentum.​ 🇺🇸🏠 Pending Home Sales Data: The Pending Home Sales Index for February is scheduled for release, with expectations of a 2.0% increase, following a 1.0% rise in January. This index offers a forward-looking perspective on housing market activity.​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Friday, March 28: 💵 Personal Income (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +0.4%​ Previous: +0.9% Measures the change in income received from all sources by consumers.​ 🛍️ Personal Spending (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +0.5%​ Previous: -0.2%​ Tracks the change in the value of spending by consumers.​ 📈 PCE Price Index (8:30 AM ET): Forecast: +0.3% month-over-month; +2.5% year-over-year​ Previous: +0.3% month-over-month; +2.5% year-over-year​ Reflects changes in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers.​ 🏠 Pending Home Sales Index (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: +2.0%​ Previous: +1.0%​ Indicates the number of homes under contract to be sold but still awaiting the closing transaction.​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
$MSOS long term buy hereAMEX:MSOS hit my long term downside target yesterday of $2.46 and I entered a starter position down there. It's up 9% today. There is still the possibility that we get a final capitulation move from here down to $1.55 or so, and if we get it, I'll add a much heavier position. But basically from here, I think we've bottomed long term and should see a very healthy bull market start which can take us to $29 as a first target and then potentially much higher in the future. I think this is at least a 10X from a long term hold perspective and potentially much more.
AMEX:MSOSLong
by benjihyam
GLD long to $288 & watch 4/11I had asked about GLD earlier this week & asked my dowsing (that's how I get my info) where would be a next swing low to buy? The answer was $276. We hit this morning & it's bouncing nicely. I have a target in the $288-89 area pretty consistently - as in, I got the number in my prior reading and again this morning. There's also a mention a couple times that the date around April 11th is going to be important. It may be that this is the exit date for this position. I will update as we get closer to that date as there could be a subsequent short. That's it. We'll see.
AMEX:GLDLong
by JenRz
2
MSTU Long term retiring ideaThe MSTU ETF offers double exposition to the ticker IG:NASDAQ MSTR, now called Strategy, and this year many call a greater bull run on Crypto assets. I have done myself a mathematical model which gave me the conclusion similar to what Michael Saylor thinks: I think I'm going to retire on the MSTU ETF, considering it 0.35 of my Portfolio and adding into it. For the short term, consider buying on a strong support using an ATR (Average True Range) Indicator which tells you where to buy, and considering the support on a high historical trading activity with Market Profile terminology. Not bad for doing DCA at the swing lows formed. Not financial advice!
CBOE:MSTULong
by TheSnickers12
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-27-25 : Breakaway PatternToday's Breakaway pattern suggests the markets will continue to melt downward (possibly attempting to fill the Gap from March 24). I strongly believe the SPY/QQQ are completing the "rolling top" pattern I suggested would happen near or after the March 21-24 TOP pattern my deeper cycle research suggested was likely. At this point, things are just starting to line up for a broader market decline while the current EPP pattern plays out as a Breakdown of the EPP Flagging formation (moving into consolidation). Gold and Silver are RIPPING higher. Yes, I do expect a little bit of volatility near these recent highs. But, I also expect metals to continue to rally higher from these levels over the next 10-15+ days. Watch the video. Bitcoin is stalling/topping - just as I suggested it would months ago. Now we see how the market move into this new trending phase and how far this current trend will drive price trends. I believe the SPY/QQQ/Bitcoin will all continue to move downward while Gold/Silver move (RIP) higher on this breakaway move. This is a PERFECT trader's market. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
8
Two tempting short setups — but one is hiding real dangerWhich pair would you short? We’re looking at JCPB/BAB and AGG/GTO , both showing positive deviation and riding the upper Bollinger Band. At first glance, both look ripe for a short… but dig deeper, and you'll see very different stories. 🔹 JCPB/BAB Chart: Low ADX, balanced DI+ / DI− → classic setup for a mean-reversion short. But the last daily candle is a strong bullish bar — big, green, and decisive. This could be the start of a breakout , and shorting into fresh upside momentum is dangerous. Looks neutral — but hides bullish potential. 🔸 AGG/GTO Chart: Clear uptrend: DI+ dominates, price marching upward. Also touching upper Bollinger Band, so yes — shorting here is fighting the trend. But at least the risk is obvious , and you can frame the trade accordingly. Transparent trend = measurable risk. 🧠 Bottom line: JCPB/BAB may seem safer — but that green candle changes everything. AGG/GTO is clearly trending — risky to short, but less deceptive. 👇 So, if you had to short one of these — which would it be? Drop your take below. Let’s hear your reasoning.
AMEX:AGG
by YoavShachak
SPY Hanging on Mid-Range Support – Will It Rebound or Flush?⚠️ Technical Analysis (TA) – Intraday View Current Price: ~$567.56 * SPY recently experienced a CHoCH followed by BOS, but now formed a new CHoCH → bearish shift in structure. * Price is testing a minor demand zone between 566–567, holding just above the larger support base at 560–555. * Volume increased on recent sell candles, showing seller control — but Stoch RSI signals nearing exhaustion. Indicators: * MACD: Bearish crossover – but histogram showing potential slowing of momentum. * Stoch RSI: Deeply oversold and starting to turn up – signals possible bounce/retracement coming. 🔐 Key Levels Support Zones: * 566–567 → Short-term demand / micro CHoCH * 560 → Highest negative GEX zone – PUT support * 555–550 → Strong liquidity zone & 2nd PUT Wall Resistance Zones: * 572.5 → HVL zone and broken structure * 580 → Gamma wall zone, strong CALL resistance * 590–600 → Extended resistance levels for swings 🧠 GEX & Options Flow Analysis (TanukiTrade Pro) * GEX Sentiment: 🔴🔵🔴 — Bearish skew, with a weak neutral pocket * IVR: 26.4 → Volatility low, but near option seller zone * IVx avg: 20.7 * PUT$%: 53.8% — Strong bearish hedging flow * CALL Resistance: 580 → gamma ceiling * PUT Wall: * 560 → Highest negative NetGEX (dealer support) * 555 & 550 → backup defense zones * HVL: 572.5 → key flip level 📌 Current setup shows dealers are heavily short gamma below 572.5, causing negative delta pressure. 🛠️ Trade Setups 📈 Bullish Setup – Bounce from 566–567 * If SPY holds and reclaims 570 with strong bid, a move toward HVL possible * Entry: Break and hold above 570 * Target 1: 572.5 * Target 2: 578 * Stop-Loss: Below 565 * Options Play: * Buy Apr 3 $575 Calls * OR Call Debit Spread: Buy $570 / Sell $580 📉 Bearish Setup – Breakdown Below 565 * Confirmed lower high and break of demand → opens trapdoor * Entry: Below 565 with momentum * Target 1: 560 * Target 2: 555 * Target 3: 550 * Stop-Loss: Above 570 * Options Play: * Buy Apr 3 $560 Puts * OR Put Spread: Buy $565 / Sell $555 🧭 Final Outlook * Bias: Bearish → unless 572.5 HVL is reclaimed. * SPY is caught between strong PUT support at 560 and heavy gamma ceiling at 580. * If market sentiment worsens or macro triggers hit, 555 is the magnet zone. * If buyers step in and hold 566+, bounce setups are likely — but it must reclaim HVL for any strength. 📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please manage your risk accordingly.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
1