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QQQ, Don't miss your moment , Believe in your systems, Be readyHey just a note, we finally saw the market show some life , no H1 but nearly . And maybe tomorrow we will continue up . For last several days breakouts were almost all failing and that just changed today , back to showing life , just when our human side is getting tired and many of us are losing interest . Do not miss this , now may be it , the market is a master at getting more active traders to miss their moment with stuff like this , we do all the hard work when the getting tough but lose sight seemingly at the last moment , could be PnL and down draw related and also having your strategy fail repeatedly sucks life force . Whatever it is , this game is mental . And the more stocks you trade and transactions you make , the harder it is to sustain consistent mental game when the getting's tough . One of the things that made me profitable in 2022 was doing only one strategy at first that only trades one name and I can do that with my eyes closed now , its pretty hands off and mechanical . But, the breakout buys on 5m for potential big winners is much harder and transaction heavy and full of losses you usually are running in a down draw between the big wins that make it work and it's too easy to miss them then you lose your edge . Do not miss your moments they are probably near ..... My key focus names for tomorrow , are down to : ATAT, BROS, ORLA, AHR, SOBO , QFIN . These there's many more but I am giving these preference for now , they are at the best breakout areas . Lots of other stuff looks great but is much higher . So that's the logic there , trying to catch fresh themes. Besides the 5M Breakout buys, I also run a monthly strategy that trades up to 3 names at end of every month . It currently holds VRNA, URBN, ATAT , and AHR. I highly suggest doing something like this with more money than your intraday entries ( vs account size ) .Slower timeframes are much easier to make money and keep your hairline :) The goal with that one is to only manage it every months end. Other than that I cant touch it ..... Its a good way to buy GLB or key breakouts that you can maybe hold many months..... easy to get 50% moves or more on stuff that works and you don't have the hassle of buying quicker breakouts or pullbacks ect ect ...The downside is that you are trading smaller because your stop is far... I use monthly but weekly is another consideration .
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by NAK1987
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 6, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇪🇺💶 ECB Interest Rate Decision 💶: The European Central Bank is expected to announce a 25 basis point reduction in its deposit rate, bringing it to 2.5%. This move aims to stimulate economic growth amid ongoing uncertainties, including trade tensions and fiscal policy shifts.​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Thursday, March 6: 📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) 📉:This weekly report indicates the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time, providing insight into the labor market's health. Forecast: 220K Previous: 215K​ 📦 Factory Orders (10:00 AM ET) 📦:This report details the dollar level of new orders for both durable and non-durable goods, offering insight into manufacturing demand. Forecast: -0.5%​ Previous: +1.2%​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
QQQ: Capacity of the PullbackThis chart presents a Fibonacci channel projection based on key swing points, including a Higher High, Higher Low, an All-Time High (ATH), and a current Lower Low. The levels of Fibonacci channel that market should abide by for the nearest future, are defined by: HL & LL - sets direction (fib 0 line); applied to ATH (fib 1 line). The derived fib ratios help to anticipate future price movements acting as key resistance where the pullback (reaction to prior impulsive bearish wave) might reach in respect to its structural capacity. B&W dashed line indicates a potential inflection point where the price could either reverse or extend further into supply zones.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by fract
1
Recession IncomingVery clear confirmation signals here across many sectors in the market that we are in a recession. Fundamentals were breaking down last summer in fact, but now everything is rising to the surface and markets are turning. Buckle up. Oil is breaking down today. Bond yields continue to signal de-risking. USD continues to break down. USD/JPY is heading lower back toward July panic levels. VIX is sustaining above 20. I'm not 100% clear on the structure of this count, so please feel free to share your charts and insight here, but I don't think we are looking at a buy the dip and shoot back to new highs situation anytime soon here.. Unless Trump's entire policy stance changes, he drops Tariffs, and starts increasing the deficit and handing out money, the tightening and de-risking will continue. That said, I believe this is a great thing long-term and is what needs to happen, so I am all for a recession at this point. But this medicine is going to tasty very bad. All of those white boxes below the price chart are unfilled gaps. I'm not entirely sure if there is an amount of time that passes that makes unfilled gaps less reliable, but still they are there.
AMEX:SPYShort
by MonetaryRebel
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-5-25: Flat-Down PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY will move into a sideways type of stalling pattern. Based on yesterday's rejection off the lows, I suspect we may see some continued upward reversion trending, then we'll likely see the SPY move into a stalling pattern near 579. Ultimately, the Flat-Down pattern does not suggest big trending will take place today. Yesterday's price rejection off the lows adds a bit to the overall picture that the SPY may attempt to move away from that lower support level - thus, we may see some upward "melt-up" type of trend today. But, overall, I'm not confident we'll see any big price trends today. I expect the SPY to stay somewhat flat/muted today. Same thing with the QQQ. If we do see any big price move today, it will likely be news-related. Gold and Silver are both sitting near 618 pause levels and continuing to try to push higher. I believe both gold and silver will make an expansion move over the next 5 to 7+ trading days and begin a very solid rally phase. Where gold will attempt to break above $3000 and Silver will attempt to rally above $35. Bitcoin is still struggling in the Consolidation phase. This wide-range consolidation should continue until sometime near March 19-24. Don't expect Bitcoin to do much except consolidate into the flagging sideways price trend for the next week or two. Go get some today. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
7
SPY Trade Idea – March 2025📌 Trade Type: Bullish Rebound Play (Short-Term Swing) 🎯 Thesis: SPY has experienced a sharp pullback, bouncing off key support near 572-576 with high volume. Indicators suggest oversold conditions, hinting at a short-term relief rally. 📊 Trade Plan 🟢 Long Entry (Buy Call Options or Shares) Entry Zone: $575 - $578 (Wait for confirmation of support holding) Stop Loss: $568 (Below strong support; exit if broken) Take Profit Targets: TP1: $590 (Short-term resistance) TP2: $600-$603 (Major resistance & profit zone) 🔴 Bearish Alternative (Hedge or Short) If SPY breaks below $568, enter PUT options or short with: Target: $560-$556 Stop Loss: $575
AMEX:SPYLong
by schwavy850
SPX SPY Trading Range or BO? Daily Chart Analysis - 5 Mar 2025 • The market traded lower earlier in the day. The market then reversed higher for most of the day around noon time. The SPX then pulled back off its high in the final 30 minutes of the day. • The bulls see the market trading in a broad bull channel and want the move to continue for months. They want an endless pullback bull trend. • They want a retest of the all-time high (Dec 6) followed by a breakout and trend resumption. They see the current move as a bull leg within the trading range. • They want a reversal from a double bottom bull flag (Jan 13 and Mar 4) and a wedge (Feb 25, Feb 28, and Mar 4). • They hope the bottom of the 22-week trading range will act as support. They want a failed breakout below the January 13 low. • At the least, they want a retest of the middle of the trading range (around the 20-day EMA). • If the market trades lower, they want the November 4 or October 3 low to act as support. • The bears got a reversal from a higher high major trend reversal, a wedge top (Dec 6, Jan 24, and Feb 19), and a smaller double top (Jan 24 and Feb 19). • They see the market as being in a 22-week trading range. • They hope to get a bear leg to retest the January 13 low followed by a breakout below. They got it yesterday (Mar 4). • Next, the bears want a breakout below the January 13 low, followed by a measured move based on the height of the 22-week trading range. • If the market trades higher, they want the bear trend line or the 20-day EMA to act as resistance. • They want at least a small second leg sideways to down to retest the March 4 low. • So far, the market is trading in a 22-week trading range. • The SPX broke below the January 13 low yesterday (Mar 4) and traders want to see if there are any follow-through selling. • Or will the market form a pullback, followed by a second leg sideways to down to retest the March 4 low after that? • Traders may BLSH (Buy Low, Sell High) within the trading range until there is a breakout from either direction with follow-through buying/selling. • The bears must create a strong breakout below the January 13 low with follow-through selling to convince traders a breakout could be underway.
AMEX:SPY
by Tech_Trader88
2
GOLDETF - Looking for bullish continuation.N wave with E, V, N & NT projection. The current price just crossed above the Kumo suggesting a bullish trend. A golden cross just occurred, further supporting bullish sentiment. The overall structure within the cloud shows potential for continued upward movement. Recent volume trends indicate increasing interest, particularly on upward days, which suggests strong buying pressure. Enter a long position around 3.71, ideally after a confirmed break above the NT level (3.74) with strong volume. If a pullback occurs, consider an entry around 3.60, where the price has previously found support. Set a stop-loss at 3.50, which is below the recent swing low, to limit potential losses. Continuously monitor external factors such as gold prices, macroeconomic indicators, and geopolitical events, as they significantly impact the gold market. Watch the volume closely to confirm breakouts; increasing volume on upward movement will help validate trade decisions. Be prepared to adjust stop-loss levels as the price moves in favor of the position to secure profits while managing risks effectively. Note: 1. Analysis for education purposes only. 2. Trade at your own risk.
MYX:GOLDETFLong
by mg6112
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 5, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇨🇳📉 China's Manufacturing Activity Contracts 📉: China's official Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) fell to 49.9 in February, down from 50.1 in January, indicating a contraction in manufacturing activity for the second consecutive month. This downturn raises concerns about global economic growth and could impact markets worldwide.​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Wednesday, March 5: 📄 ADP National Employment Report (8:15 AM ET) 📄: Forecast: +160K jobs​ Previous: +183K jobs​ This report provides a monthly snapshot of private-sector employment, offering insights into labor market trends ahead of the official government employment data. 🏢 ISM Services PMI (10:00 AM ET) 🏢: Forecast: 53.0​ Previous: 52.8​ This index assesses the performance of the U.S. services sector. A reading above 50 indicates expansion, while below 50 signifies contraction. 🏭 Factory Orders (10:00 AM ET) 🏭: Forecast: -0.5%​ Previous: +1.2%​ This report details the dollar level of new orders for both durable and non-durable goods, providing insight into manufacturing demand. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
CONL/USD – 30-Min Long Trade Setup!📌🚀 🔹 Asset: CONL (GraniteShares 2x Long COIN Daily ETF) 🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart 🔹 Setup Type: Bullish Reversal Trade 📌 Trade Plan (Long Position) ✅ Entry Zone: Above $23.24 (Breakout Confirmation) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Below $20.84 (Invalidation Level) 🎯 Take Profit Targets: 📌 TP1: $26.68 (First Resistance Level) 📌 TP2: $30.63 (Extended Bullish Move) 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation 📉 Risk (SL Distance): $23.24 - $20.84 = $2.40 risk per share 📈 Reward to TP1: $26.68 - $23.24 = $3.44 (1:1.43 R/R) 📈 Reward to TP2: $30.63 - $23.24 = $7.39 (1:3.08 R/R) 🔍 Technical Analysis & Strategy 📌 Falling Wedge Breakout: Price has broken out of a falling wedge, a strong bullish reversal pattern. 📌 Support Rejection: The price tested $20.84 support and showed buying pressure. 📌 Volume Confirmation Needed: Ensure high buying volume when price holds above $23.24 to confirm bullish momentum. 📌 Momentum Shift Expected: If price remains above $23.24, it could push toward $26.68, and further to $30.63. 📊 Key Support & Resistance Levels 🟢 $20.84 – Stop-Loss / Support Level 🟡 $23.24 – Breakout Level / Long Entry 🔴 $26.68 – First Resistance / TP1 🔴 $30.63 – Final Target / TP2 📉 Trade Execution & Risk Management 📊 Volume Confirmation: Ensure high buying volume above $23.24 before entering. 📉 Trailing Stop Strategy: Move SL to entry ($23.24) after TP1 ($26.68) is hit. 💰 Partial Profit Booking Strategy: ✔ Take 50% profits at $26.68, let the rest run toward $30.63. ✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even ($23.24) after TP1 is reached. ⚠️ Fake Breakout Risk ❌ If the price fails to hold above $23.24 and drops back, exit early to avoid losses. ❌ Wait for a strong bullish candle close above $23.24 before entering aggressively. 🚀 Final Thoughts ✔ Bullish Setup – Bouncing from $20.84 support suggests a potential reversal. ✔ Momentum Shift Possible – Watch for volume confirmation. ✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:1.43 to TP1, 1:3.08 to TP2. 💡 Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! 🚀📈 🔗 Hashtags for Reach & Engagement: #StockMarket 📉 #TradingNews 📰 #StockAnalysis 📊 #MarketUpdate 🔥 #Investing 💰 #Trading 📈 #Finance 💵 #ProfittoPath 🚀 #SwingTrading 🔄 #DayTrading ⚡ #StockTrader 💸 #TechnicalAnalysis 📉 #EconomicNews 🏛️ #FinancialFreedom 💡 #MarketTrends 📊 #StockAlerts 🔔 #TradeSmart 🤓 #Bullish 🐂 #RiskManagement ⚠️ #TradingCommunity 🤝
NASDAQ:CONLLong
by ProfittoPath
RUSSELL 2000 Chart Fibonacci Analysis 030425Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 206/61.80% Chart time frame: B A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: A A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
AMEX:IWM
by fibonacci6180
S&P500: Reasons of DeclineThe S&P 500 has been experiencing a clear downtrend, characterized by a progression of lower highs and lower lows meaning that each attempt at a rebound is met with increased selling, preventing the market from establishing a meaningful recovery. The current formation suggests that bearish sentiment is still dominant, with investors possibly looking for further downside support levels before a potential reversal. Until we see a shift in this downtrend structure, such as series a higher lows followed by a higher highs, the market is likely to remain under pressure. Another confirmation would be a breakout from line that connects ATH and 2 lower highs. Main factors in play: Geopolitical instability affecting investor confidence. Tariffs and trade wars increasing costs for businesses and consumers. Weakened global alliances leading to market uncertainty. Rising economic risks impacting corporate earnings and economic growth expectations. Protectionist policies can backfire U.S. tariffs negatively impact the economy by increasing costs for businesses and consumers, disrupting trade relationships, and fueling economic uncertainty. Recent tariffs on imports from trading partners like Mexico and Canada raise prices on goods such as automobiles, energy, raw materials, and food, leading to inflationary pressures that hurt both companies and consumers. Businesses reliant on imported components face higher production costs, forcing them to either absorb the costs, reducing profitability, or pass them on to consumers, decreasing demand. Retaliatory tariffs from affected countries further compound the issue by making U.S. exports less competitive abroad, harming industries like agriculture, manufacturing, and technology. The threat of supply chain disruptions and escalating trade conflicts creates market volatility creating discouraging investment climate and prompting sell-offs in equities. Additionally, fears of a broader economic slowdown due to weakened global trade relations further erode investor confidence, contributing to stock market declines. Impact of recent geopolitical shift The S&P 500 likely fell in response to the geopolitical instability and uncertainty stemming from recent events. Investors tend to react negatively to signs of weakening U.S. leadership on the global stage, especially when it leads to disruptions in alliances and strategic partnerships that have historically provided economic and military stability. Seeing the U.S. aligning with autocracies while European and NATO allies are preparing for a future without American leadership introduces concerns about global security and long-term economic consequences. Furthermore, the perception that adversaries of free world may become more aggressive, potentially escalating conflicts, obviously adds to market anxieties. Investors fear that heightened geopolitical tensions could lead to disruptions in trade, energy markets, and global supply chains, all of which can negatively impact corporate earnings and economic growth. As a result, market participants likely sold off equities in favor of safer assets, leading to a decline in the S&P 500. This demonstrates how political decisions can have far-reaching effects on financial markets and beyond.
AMEX:SPY
by fract
4
[03/03] SPY GEX Analysis (Until Friday Expiration)Overall Sentiment: Currently, there’s a positive GEX sentiment, suggesting an optimistic start to the week following Friday’s bounce. However, the key Call resistance appears at 600, and it may not break on the first attempt. If optimism remains strong, there’s a chance SPY 0.09%↑ could still push above that zone after some initial back-and-forth. 🟢Upside Levels: 600–605 Zone: This is a major resistance area. Should SPY move decisively through 600/605, the next potential target could be 610. 610: This is currently the largest positive GEX zone for the week. Current option pricing suggests only about a 9% chance of closing at or above 610 by Friday, so it might require a particularly strong move to break through. 🔵 Transition Zone: Roughly 592–599. The gamma flip level is near 592, and staying above that keeps the market in a positive gamma range for now. 🔴 Downside Risk: If 592 Fails (or HVL climbing up during the week, and after that HVL fails…): A drop could accelerate toward 585, which may act as the first take-profit zone for bears. Below that, 580 could be in play if selling intensifies. Lower Support: 575 is the last strong support mentioned, but current option probabilities suggest about an 88% chance of finishing above that level, making a move below 575 less likely—though still possible given the higher put skew. 🟣Volatility & Skew: IVR (Implied Volatility Rank) is quite high on SPY, with a notable put pricing skew (around 173.1%). This heightened put skew indicates the market is pricing in faster, more volatile downward moves compared to upside.
AMEX:SPY
by TanukiTrade
1