10% upside MSTZ BTC will crash again and fall under 80k, and that's when MSTZ will pop. Given where the economy and crypto is, should happen soon.
Best of luck and always do your own due diligence!
ETF market
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update for 3-3-25 : Absolutely PerfectThis quick little update is for everyone who follows my research.
Today was absolutely PERFECT in terms of my expectations and how the SPY moved so far today.
A nearly perfect downward price trend targeting the 588 level.
Now, we'll see if we get a base and a squeeze higher before the end of trading today.
I'm so impressed with my ability to pinpoint these type of opportunities for everyone.
Remember, trading is about taking the opportunity to position your assets for gains.
Get some.
And please share your success stories if you have them.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Spy $615 What? is it happening this is a short thesis road bk to $615 last time we were so close we hit $613 now my assessment is seeing Road back to $615 I do anticipate it open Monday around $598-$601 Max target we do have very strong support around 588ish which I don't think we see unless markets grab liquidity to wipe out calls and trap shorts Which is very common these Days.. I will Keep updating this is my personal thesis i think the correction is over and we are heading back to $615 Come Monday Morning Ill post and see what my bot foresees as well as my Price forecast to give an extra confidence boost on the thesis... as Always traders good luck and safe trades
$IBIT - Still expecting to go higherNASDAQ:IBIT broke down, and the pattern morphed into a broadening wedge. I still expect it to hit $65. Watch for a MACD crossover as an inflection point. The 50-day moving average (50DMA) will act as resistance.
For the bulls $51 needs to hold.
TLT Flight to Safety Inverse Cup and Handle and a breakout.
Not financial, but this looks possible.
What does it say for the rest of the market?
Be cafeful out there...
NOTHING NEW HEREJust a pullback taking place in the markets, until this level is broken the uptrend is still in tact and I see this as just another chance to get in. Valuations were too high before this decline however now we're seeing tech stocks trading at attractive multiples.
Hidden Value is on The Rise in Equity MarketsI've written quite a bit that stock picking is back. That active management of undiscovered names can finally lead to alpha again. I think we are seeing that take place with the recent performance of value stocks compared to the leading indexes.
While the Nasdaq has dropped nearly 2% this year at its worst during the most recent drawdown, the Vanguard Value ETF (VTV) is up 5%. This seems rather fascinating and I don't remember when a basket of good ol fashioned value stocks were outperforming the index like this.
It's been a long time!
Buffett’s wisdom holds strong: “Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.” With tax cuts and a business-friendly environment ahead, could value stocks finally go on the offensive?
History favors those who buy durable businesses at reasonable prices. The market wobbles, but for patient investors, cash flow remains king and this is true across all sectors and industries. Perhaps most fascinating is that there are indeed even tech names that fit this value narrative as many have been obliterated recently.
Keep your eyes open!
I'll be watching closely.
Healthcare Is Leading the Market This YearBelieve it or not, healthcare is the top performing sector so far in 2025. (It’s up about 9 percent, according to TradeStation data. That puts it fractionally ahead of financials.)
Today’s chart of the SPDR Select Sector Health Care ETF highlights some potentially interesting patterns.
First is the rally from January 3 (first Friday of the year) through February 5. XLV pulled back to retrace almost exactly half the advance, which may suggest direction is pointing upward.
It has also been fighting potential resistance at its 200-day simple moving average (SMA), but closed above it on Friday.
Speaking of Friday, the fund initially fell below Thursday’s low. It then bounced and cleared the previous session’s high. Is that bullish outside candle a sign of animal spirits?
XLV also had its highest weekly close since early November.
Finally, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has stayed above the 21-day EMA. Such price action may be consistent with a short-term uptrend.
Standardized Performances for the ETF mentioned above:
SPDR Select Sector Health Care ETF (XLV)
1-year: +4.62%
5-years: +48.15%
10-year: +114.50%
(As of January 31, 2025)
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-3-25 : Up-Down-UP Pattern CounterToday's pattern, and Up-Down-Up in counter-trend mode, suggests the markets will attempt to move downward after the open and attempt to retrace some (or most) of Friday's gain.
I do believe this downward price move is essential for the markets to build a moderate base before attempting to move higher into the march 11-16 topping pattern my research suggests will prompt another breakdown in price.
Ultimately, these moves up and down over the past 30+ days are establishing a sideways (mega-phone type) price structure that I warned was likely to happen more than 90+ days ago (back in December 2024).
What we are seeing right now is a rolling of price while uncertainty continues to drive capital away from technology, semis and innovation - moving into safety and security.
This will continue until July or August 2025, then capital will suddenly shift back into risk-ON in my opinion.
By the time everyone thinks the markets are breaking downward (crashing), that is when I think the markets will make a sudden shift toward growth and innovation as the US resumes a growth phase in late 2025 (carrying into 2026).
Currently, we are in a minor little "pause/rally" phase after the last bout of selling. This rally will likely end sometime after March 11 - leading to a breakdown in price starting between 3-14 and 3-17.
This is a trader's market.
Gold/Silver appear to have found a footing and seem to be bouncing. We'll see if Gold/Silver move above critical resistance and continue to rally higher.
BTCUSD has rebounded back to support/resistance, but has also moved into a new DUAL Excess Phase Peak pattern that suggests increased price volatility for Bitcoin. I still believe we are moving into a very side-range consolidation pattern for Bitcoin.
I suggest staying fairly cautious today and setting up some trades for the pause/rally I expect to carry through this week for the SPY/QQQ. No need to get too greedy on a Monday.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
$SPY March 3, 2025AMEX:SPY March 3, 2025
15 Minutes.
we had divergence in the last two LL at 583 and 582 levels.
For the rise 582.44 to 594.74 holding 591-592 is important for short term uptrend to continue.
For the fall 610.7 to 582.44 61.8% retracement is around 599 which is also 200 averages in 15 minutes.
Hence that is the first target for the day, holding 592.
Analyzing the S&P - Understanding algos on a fresh chartThis will be very helpful for those looking at a bare chart and are not certain how to proceed.
This is a somewhat advanced but also very basic walk through of how we can analyze the S&P and broader market in 10 minutes. I can do this for hours and get into way more detail as I do with my students but this will be a helpful refresher for those following my videos - which have already built in algorithms drawn - as to how to start from scratch and what all these lines mean.
Keep in mind however that I do not touch on creating and understanding supply & demand levels here which is a very important part of the confirmation process for actual trading.
Happy Trading all :)
$LIT: EV's Lithium-Powered ETF – Charging Up or Running on EmptyAMEX:LIT : EV's Lithium-Powered ETF – Charging Up or Running on Empty?
EV demand is up 35% in 2023, and lithium prices are up 8% in 2025 so far. But AMEX:LIT is at $40.82, down from last year. Is it time to buy, hold, or sell? Let's dive in.
(1/9)
Good morning, everyone! ☀️EV demand is up 35% in 2023, and lithium prices are up 8% in 2025 so far. But AMEX:LIT is at $40.82, down from last year. Is it time to buy, hold, or sell? Let's dive in. 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Current Price: $ 40.82 💰
• Sector Trend: EV sales globally strong (35% growth in 2023, IEA) 🌟
It’s volatile, with EV growth as a tailwind! ⚙️
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Cap: Approximately $ 1.37B (based on $ 40.82 price and 33.5M shares, per Apr 30, 2024, data) 🏆
• Holdings: 40 stocks, top include Albemarle, Tesla (per Global X ETFs) ⏰
• Trend: Lithium demand tied to EV penetration, per IEA data 🎯
Firm, riding the battery wave! 🚀
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• EV Demand: Continued rise in 2025, per general expectation and IEA trends 🔄
• Lithium Prices: Mixed, with spot prices varying; ETF at $ 40.82 reflects market conditions 🌍
• Market Reaction: Reflects current market dynamics, no specific Mar 3 data 📋
Adapting, EV surge drives interest! 💡
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚡
• Oversupply: Fears may cap lithium gains, per industry reports 🔍
• Competition: New battery tech could shift demand, per industry reports 📉
• Volatility: Lithium prices historically swing, per Reuters 2023 data ❄️
Tough, but risks loom! 🛑
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• EV Growth: Demand for lithium batteries rising, per IEA 2023 data (35% global sales increase) 🥇
• Diversification: 40 holdings across mining, battery tech, per Global X ETF 📊
• Sector Leader: Exposure to Albemarle, Tesla, per Global X ETF 🔧
Got fuel in the tank! 🏦
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: Price volatility, current price down from last known, oversupply fears 📉
• Opportunities: EV sales growth, potential lithium price recovery based on demand, per IEA trends 📈
Can it capitalize on demand? 🤔
(8/9) – 📢 AMEX:LIT ’s at $ 40.82, EV demand climbing, your take? 🗳️
• Bullish: Price to rise with EV surge 🐂
• Neutral: Steady, risks balance ⚖️
• Bearish: Oversupply or other factors cap gains 🐻
Chime in below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
AMEX:LIT ’s EV demand drives potential 📈, but current price at $ 40.82 reflects market caution. Volatility bites, yet dips are our DCA gold 💰. We grab ‘em low, climb like pros! Gem or bust?
Long SPY: Watch Key Levels for Recovery Next Week
- Key Insights: The SPY is showing signs of recovery after a substantial
decline, bouncing off critical support around $590. Maintaining above this
level is crucial for a bullish outlook. Traders should focus on the
resistance at $600, as surpassing this could ignite further upward momentum.
The external economic factors, including declining oil prices and
fluctuations in interest rates, are providing a supportive backdrop for
equities.
- Price Targets: Next week targets are set at T1=$620 and T2=$630. Stop levels
will be S1=$590 and S2=$583, providing a safety net for long positions while
aligning with current market conditions.
- Recent Performance: SPY recently faced a challenging period with six
consecutive days of decline, hitting lows around $585. However, in the last
sessions, it has rebounded over 1.5%, reflecting a shift in market sentiment
toward a more optimistic outlook.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts remain mixed on the pace of recovery, with some
expecting a V-shaped rebound toward $620 by March. The consensus is that
maintaining above vital support levels will be essential for sustaining
bullish sentiment, while any breach below $580 could trigger further market
pessimism.
- News Impact: The broader market dynamics are being significantly shaped by
external factors such as interest rates, which have recently declined from
4.5% to 4.23%. Additionally, falling oil prices under $70 a barrel are seen
as beneficial for reducing inflationary pressures, further adding to the
favorable environment for equities like SPY.
Long QQQ on Breakout Above Key Resistance Levels Next Week
- Key Insights: QQQ has shown signs of recovery but remains susceptible to
volatility driven by tech stock performance. Monitoring price movements
closely, especially around resistance levels, will be crucial. A breakout
above $518 could signal a more sustained upward momentum, while a
consolidation below might indicate prolonged caution.
- Price Targets: Next week targets: T1: $518, T2: $524. Stop levels: S1: $500,
S2: $495.
- Recent Performance: QQQ experienced a rebound of over 1.5% recently,
reflecting a reaction to previous selling pressure. However, the index,
along with the Nasdaq, is still positioned below significant resistance
levels, suggesting that further upward movement may face challenges.
- Expert Analysis: Market experts emphasize the importance of key technical
indicators and the need for QQQ to break resistance at $518 to signal
potential recovery. With the Fear and Greed Index indicating "extreme fear,"
investor sentiment remains cautious, underscoring the need for careful
observation of market trends and movements.
- News Impact: Rising mortgage rates and economic concerns, particularly around
inflation and potential Federal Reserve interest rate changes, have
contributed to market volatility. These macroeconomic factors are critical,
as they influence consumer spending and can impact technology sector
valuations, which are key drivers for QQQ.
$DIA Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for March 3rd
Alright, y’all… I am still sick and still dealing with the fatigue so I’m not going to write a whole lot but here are the levels for today
You know what to do with them… lol
And we will go over it all tonight.
Don’t forget to hit the “Grab this Chart” button under this chart is you want to use it.
$IWM Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for March 3rdAlright, y’all… I am still sick and still dealing with the fatigue so I’m not going to write a whole lot but here are the levels for tomorrow
You know what to do with them… lol
And we will go over it all tonight.
Don’t forget to hit the “Grab this Chart” button under this chart is you want to use it.
$QQQ Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for March 3rdAlright, y’all… I am still sick and still dealing with the fatigue so I’m not going to write a whole lot but here are the levels for tomorrow.
You know what to do with them… lol
And we will go over it all tonight.
Don’t forget to hit the “Grab this Chart” button under this chart is you want to use it.
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for March 3rd AMEX:SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for March 3rd
Alright, y’all… I am still sick and still dealing with the fatigue so I’m not going to write a whole lot but here are the levels.
You know what to do with them… lol
And we will go over it all tonight.
Don’t forget to hit the “Grab this Chart” button under this chart is you want to use it.
SPY at a Critical Reversal! Will Bulls Maintain Momentum? Technical Analysis (TA) for SPY
* Trend Overview: SPY recently bounced off a key support level near 582-585, forming a potential reversal zone.
* Volume & Price Action:
* A strong recovery candle has formed, indicating increased buying activity.
* 600.05 is the next major resistance level to watch.
* If the price clears 597.5, it could gain momentum toward 610-615.
* Indicators:
* MACD is crossing bullish, suggesting potential momentum continuation.
* Stochastic RSI is approaching overbought, signaling potential resistance.
* Support & Resistance Levels:
* Key Support: 585, followed by 582.44.
* Resistance Zones: 600.05, then 611-615.
Options Flow & GEX Analysis for SPY
* Gamma Exposure (GEX) Insights:
* Major Call Resistance: 610-615 (where dealers may start hedging negatively).
* Put Support Wall: 585-580, the strongest downside cushion.
* If price holds 590+, dealers may shift their hedging and push SPY higher.
* IV & Sentiment:
* IV Rank: 34.5 (moderate implied volatility).
* Put Positioning: 103.3%, suggesting heavy hedging on the downside.
Trade Considerations
* Bullish Scenario: If SPY stays above 597.5, it could test 600-605, with 615 as a stretch target.
* Bearish Scenario: If it breaks below 590, it may retest the support at 585-580.
* Options Traders: Watch for GEX shifts; clearing 600 could trigger dealer hedging toward 610-615.
Final Thoughts & Suggestion:
* Short-term traders should watch how SPY reacts at 597.5-600 for confirmation.
* Options traders can look for breakout confirmation above 600 before considering bullish positions.
* Risk management is key—tight stops are necessary if price rejects resistance.
📉 This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own due diligence before making trading decisions. 🚀
FUGU is important now FNGU is important now
now key price
now daily 200 ma support
--------------------------------------------------
if break down key price expect $150
if bounce from here expect $796
based on price action
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 3 – March 7, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for March 3 – March 7, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📊 Anticipated U.S. Jobs Report 📊: The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the February employment report on Friday, March 7. Economists expect an increase of approximately 133,000 nonfarm payrolls, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4%.
🇪🇺💶 ECB Interest Rate Decision 💶: The European Central Bank is scheduled to announce its monetary policy decision on Thursday, March 6. Markets anticipate a 0.25% rate cut, which would adjust the deposit facility rate to 2.5%.
🇨🇳📈 China's Economic Targets 📈: During the National People's Congress, China is expected to set its economic growth target at around 5% for the year. The government may introduce measures to boost consumption and support growth amid global economic uncertainties.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Monday, March 3:
🏭 ISM Manufacturing PMI (10:00 AM ET) 🏭: This index measures the health of the U.S. manufacturing sector. A reading above 50 indicates expansion, while below 50 signifies contraction.
📅 Wednesday, March 5:
🏢 ISM Services PMI (10:00 AM ET) 🏢: This index assesses the performance of the U.S. services sector, with readings above 50 indicating expansion.
Trading Economics
📅 Thursday, March 6:
📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) 📉: Weekly data indicating the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time.
📦 Factory Orders (10:00 AM ET) 📦: This report details the dollar level of new orders for both durable and non-durable goods, providing insight into manufacturing demand.
📅 Friday, March 7:
👷♂️ Nonfarm Payrolls (8:30 AM ET) 👷♂️: A key indicator of employment trends, reflecting the number of jobs added or lost in the economy, excluding the farming sector.
📈 Unemployment Rate (8:30 AM ET) 📈: The percentage of the total workforce that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the previous month.
💵 Average Hourly Earnings (8:30 AM ET) 💵: This metric indicates the month-over-month change in wages, providing insight into consumer income trends.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
On The Maco Level SPY is screaming a crash is comingAMEX:SPY is basically at every metric for being over-extended. From the Shiller PE ratio surpassing the all time highs to the buffet indicator at al time highs, take your pick, they all say the same thing. The Chart's trend is dying and the sell offs have been the initial weakness warning signs that retail traders are missing big time rn. Smart money is clearly selling the farm rn and the volume data on the chart backs it up. SPY is a clear sell in imo.
SPY GROWTH AHEAD|LONG|
✅SPY is trading along the rising support line
And as the pair is going up now
After the retest of the line
I am expecting the price to keep growing
To retest the supply levels above at 604.00$
LONG🚀
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