MASSIVE $QQQ BOUNCE INCOMING!MASSIVE NASDAQ:QQQ BOUNCE INCOMING!🚀
I believe we are setting up for a run to the 200DMA around $494ish🎯
- Wr% is uptrending after breaking out of Bearish WCB
- MACD is uptrending with the histogram rising
- RSI uptrending and broke out of bearish box
- Stochastic uptrending into the sweet spot after
breaking out of bearish box
We keep rejecting off the H5_S by wicking off it, which is bearish, but all other indicator show bullishness...
I could be wrong, but it's what the probabilities of everything and my GUT tell me.
Not financial advice
ETF market
UCO in Buy ZoneMy trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when at three of these events happen:
* Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones
* Money flow spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands
* Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at near oversold overbought level
* Price at Fibonacci levels
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price in buying zone at bottom of channels
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under bottom of Bollinger Band
Target is upper channel around $28.50
This run ends at 213The yellow line represents the highest gap. only shows up on the 5 minute for me. i think that is the point at which this uptrend stops and we continue down. the weekly has already turned over and the month is very close. I recommend shorting at 213, but I am certain we are headed to 213 before we continue the downtrend.
XLF in Buy ZoneMy trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when at three of these events happen:
* Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones
* Money flow spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands
* Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at near oversold overbought level
* Price at Fibonacci levels
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price in buying zone below bottom of channels
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under bottom of Bollinger Band
Entry at $48.82
Target is upper channel around $51
RSP and WHY I AM BULLISH STILL197/199 target The chart posted is the sp 500 equal weighted RSP has dropped to a trend line dated back to march 23 2020 . I have three clean points and all are major . Elliot Wave calls for a final 5th wave to end this advance in the area of 198 plus or minus 1.25 Fib relationship and PUT /CALL as well as most of my spiral and cycles point to the final advance to a Bull market top is now setup . BULL MARKETS TOP ON GOOD NEWS > Best of trades WAVETIMER
Opening (IRA): XRT April 17th -71C/Sept 19th 50C LCD*... for a 17.91 debit.
Comments: At or near 52 week lows. Buying the back month 90 delta and selling the front month such that it pays for all the extrinsic in the long, with a resulting break even that is at or below where the underlying is currently trading. The Sept 19th 50C is shown at the 65 strike so that it appears on the chart.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 17.91
Break Even: 67.91
Max Profit: 2.09
ROC at Max: 11.67%
50% Max: 1.05
ROC at 50% Max: 5.83%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll short call out and/or down and out at 50% max.
* -- Long call diagonal a/k/a a Poor Man's Covered Call.
Opening (IRA): IBIT March 28th 45 Covered Call... for a 43.91 debit.
Comments: Adding, but at lower delta and at strikes better than what I currently have on, selling the -84 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 43.91
Max Profit: 1.09
ROC at Max: 2.48%
50% Max: .55
ROC at 50% Max: 1.24%
QQQuadruple witching tomorrowQuadruple witching is tomorrow 3/21/25. It refers to the simultaneous expiration of four types of derivative contracts: stock index futures, stock index options, stock options, and single-stock futures. The expiration of these contracts can lead to increased trading volume and market volatility, especially during the last hour of trading, known as the "witching hour".
QQQ is sitting at it's 2 year trend channel support level. Also, QQQ stochastic on the weekly chart is oversold. This is a high probability, low risk long setup. However, if this 2 year trend breaks down, then a new trend will take shape. To try to get the best entry, it would make sense to leg into the long position with 3 separate trades over the course of the next 3 days, 3/20, 3/21 & 3/24.
Long trade idea:
Long = 475
Stop = 465
Profit = 535
bull put spread 1 : 4 - risk : reward
4/17, 5/16 or 6/20 expiry
sell 535 put
buy 480 put
or
4/17, 5/16 or 6/20 expiry
buy 480 call
Options data:
3/21 expiry
Put Volume Total 225,663
Call Volume Total 253,501
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.89
Put Open Interest Total 1,116,319
Call Open Interest Total 1,009,483
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.11
4/17 expiry
Put Volume Total 51,129
Call Volume Total 58,065
Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.88
Put Open Interest Total 742,165
Call Open Interest Total 459,072
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.62
5/16 expiry
Put Volume Total 30,172
Call Volume Total 26,170
Put/Call Volume Ratio 1.15
Put Open Interest Total 223,535
Call Open Interest Total 173,491
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.29
6/20 expiry
Put Volume Total 21,202
Call Volume Total 10,509
Put/Call Volume Ratio 2.02
Put Open Interest Total 1,040,493
Call Open Interest Total 459,733
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 2.26
$SPY March 20, 2025AMEX:SPY March 20, 2025
15 Minutes.
For the extension 559.07 to 566.3 to 562.05 100% move is done yesterday making a high 570.95.
For the last rise 562.05 to 570.95 holding 565 is important else i expect a side moving average consolidation around 562 563 levels so that 50, 100 and 200 gets sorted out in order.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-20-25 : Flat-Down PatternToday's SPY Cycle pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will stay somewhat muted in trading range today.
I still believe the SPY/QQQ are in a moderate melt-up type of trend - attempting to reach a peak near the end of this week or early next week (see the patterns for March 24, 25, 26).
Even though I believe we are struggling to try to move higher, I do believe any failure of the SPY to move above the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level would be a technical failure related to the breadth of this pullback.
Thus, I believe the markets have at least one more attempt to try to move higher over the next 5+ days before topping and rolling over into a broader downtrend.
Gold and Silver moved solidly lower this morning - almost like a Panic type of selling. I believe this is related to the Flat-Down pattern and I believe Gold/Silver will recover fairly quickly. I do believe this is a huge opportunity for Gold/Silver over the next 30+ days. I believe Gold will attempt to move above $3500-3600 before the end of April.
BTCUSD rolled higher yesterday by more than $4000 - just like I predicted.
Incredible.
And, that is another reason why I believe the SPY/QQQ have more room to the upside than we are seeing right now.
Remember this is a trader's market.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
SPY ... You have to look at things weird to see REALityThis is a half-assed comprehensive look into all that has been going on. The crowd was ready to go ballistic and then magically the guy of the hour roars back and walks into the exact same scenario as '16...all goes calm and no one seems to notice or care about things anymore...That broken down infrastructure...after his Infrastructure Bill...."Bro, dude..it was that deep state yeah, they kept it from happening, he's got it this time, hasn't been taken care of since '16..but he will do it now" --This is actual objectivity and viewed with Boolean> yes or no logic; politics is money just as it's Boolean...did you get paid- yes or no...did something happen- yes or no..so keep your emotion and pre-burned in public schooling (not your fault, just something you were subject to and may, to your core, believe) to the back burner...Think clearly from here:
Quick two questions for you to base everyone on foundational flooring....
In 1969, with the computational power of an Alabama-style Data center filled with Ebay A100 Nvidia cards with a hawktuah load applied before inserting into the motherboards/connectors....the US was said to do the unthinkable....the unthinkable...as in, why hasn't any country done it again since then. Advanced GPUs, the greatest supercomputer of China...the newest steels and alloys...the newest temperature regulation fabrics...unthinkable...to this day. I'll let that simmer for a sec...
In 1969, Pros, note plurality, picked off, in a moving vehicle, the man who was the last of the true face of America. The unthinkable happened cause he dared to tear the 3-letter crews in charge into a 1000 small pieces, but that did happen...in 1969...in a moving car....with what the Pros I've worked with in my 19 years of Spec Ops and private forces training/instructing call the "T shot". Hit the collarbone/sternum/trachea...for any miss of 2 inch deviation from center shot is lethal in all directions(given 308/Creedmoor variant). Once accomplished, the head is the second shot. Normally on standstill, it is a single man job, but on a moving target it is done with 3 if spotter needed, or two with spotter as second pew-pewer. Unthinkable...but actually done..in 1969...with half ass scopes and no modern tech in way of fragmentation, aka Controlled Chaos rounds. Yet...in 2024, nope...just can't seem to get it done, basically just not possible, don't have the advancements of say, my buddies with 8x infrared, bipod equiped coyote collector pew-pewers from Alabama or Montana...but unthinkable of the same crews to be so sloppy the 2nd time when much more tech,but pure perfection when primitive is used..
Hmm, makes you think for a second...if your instagram or X isn't all you use for mental stimulation. So recap:
The Indians hit the Moon with a >>>rover<<<, the Chinese successfully got a >>>rover<<< onto the surface with Indian help after their crash and sharing analytics....and we are having issues getting the carrier rockets to not go ka-gone in mid air. Is rocketry hard...you bet...is aerospace an insane frontier, of course....equal or greater than the deep colossal squid stomping grounds. But people... 1969.. it's all been done before and yet David Attenborough is not doing 4k explorations on the Moon which would literally be the...the...most watch BBC documentary of Human time. But nope...still nothing...simply costs too much and takes too much expertise..."Excuse me Prez...The Z man said the next trove of Billions is going to be arriving when?, his guys are getting impatient on the front lines"
This can be easily argued and data presented...I'm just curious as to why a CDC6600 with 3,000,000 Flops could do it, and the current monster in the US...even though China's is much more powerful...is 1,742 petaFlops..or 1,742 x 10 the 15 power while 1969 was 3 x 10 to the 6
Just a thought...and if that chart doesn't sit well with you at first...and you read this far...then look at it again from a different perspective. I know...Ask Deepseek, or Qwen Max how to do it...they should be about 1 million times better as back then.
"But goin' to Mars yall"...hmmm
The charts you see are just the controlled world reimagined. When a man who is colorblind wears special glasses, the world changes into a paradigm unimaginable since birth. So why fight the chart or what is written above...maybe think someone like me has had way more connections than i care for and yet when sharing, gets put aside for some Insta-ho chick or a dude who has a Spotify podcast...hmm, seems everyone went team red in less than 4 months now that I think of it :) hmm...i wonder
SPY....as a Spy, use different detective tools eh?I lost the math papers for those numbers on that fib retrace, but they are an expression of Pi and Fibonacci sequential percentages...So it is basically a cycle thing but with mild patternization (word subject to webster approval)--why Pi--Read below:
This is a chart of a simple 7 day time interval...The code for the topping tail and bottoming tail finder is half asses but it works most of the time, so if interested I can create a public script and send it off for everyone. But look at how massive those tails are and how nice the rebounds are, especially in a down trend reversal.
The theory came while working out and thinking about the reality of time. Since all time exists and is based on your fingers...look up Babylonian 144 finger counting or base 60...and you will see all that you know is basically a convenient fabrication...or one lucky guess. 12 goes into 360 degrees of a circle for odd example. just add 5 to that circle and you conveniently get 365 days of said y...e...a...r...Great Scott Batman, there are also 12 months in that year!!! see my point
example....12 x 5 equals 60...ergo 60 seconds per minute, 60 minutes per hour (3600 seconds per hour...there's that 360 villain again, quick get it Robin), 2x12= 24 hour days, then same 12x5= 60 derives both the number 5 for trading days and the 12 hours you can trade on each of those 5 days....but wait, its plus 1+ 13 hours. 7am to 8 pm, general extended hours to be simple
So 13 hours a day X 5 days a week = 65 hours...hmm that's 2 primes for you
So instead, lets use 2 more primes cause you know 7 is the days of a week...so lets screw up that math ^ and see what we get
lets keep the 12 but add 7, so 84 seconds to a minute, 84 minutes to an hour, 2 x 12 still is 24 hours in a day, so 24 hours x 84 minutes per hour gets you, well 84 x 84= 7056. Then 7056 x 24 gets 169,344 seconds per day vs 86,400 seconds on the 5 day model. Hmmm, that's a difference ratio of 1.96. Almost 2 by adding 2 more days...interesting,
So you can see how we can now manage more data in an almost 2 for 1 way, but yet you only just added 2 days...a funny thing happens when you free weight bench and think of funny things. Happened to be two 45s and it go me thinking about degrees and a circle. See a circle can't be fabricated since Pi is universal and there is no way to undo it no matter the metric. Yet time can be almost doubled by adding just 2 more days to a group of days.
The circumference of a circle is 31.42 when using 5, but if we add 7 instead, you get 43,98..
43.98/31.42=1.39974...
ergo, you add the same numerical metric to a circle's radius and you barely get a 40% increase...you get just shy of 2 times in time....which one was created versus found. (may be all wrong here, but think about it when you view the chart...
So if we imply that our world is mostly 206 bones ( a moving average I use proficiently) and as much time as we could count on our fingers, then is it any wonder that our "Math" only exists in certain fields and is not transferable an new things have to be made up to explain things.
Wasn't it said all things come back to a circle for it draws all things in, and it is the only shape that humans innately get perplexed by if it is slightly of, like say someone saying its a full moon, but even though it is a bunch a many miles away, in one glance you can just say "Nope, that edge ain't right". So if Pi can't be screwed with, then wouldn't it make sense that everything else you add to that will always have a fault later.
So the short of this is exactly that very last point. When you view the world in the way you were always taught and then something just never stuck with you cause it seemed off, its maybe because its not natural to you and you are more connected with the real surrounding than numbers. Last point:
There is exactly, to the measurable degree of astronomical proportions, 3 feet between your open arms and your Gram-Gram's open arms when it comes to giving a hug. But Physics states you will touch when the repelling of the atomic structure of you two meet in the middle....but some math prick draws on the board that it is exactly definitionally impossible to touch her and her since the very middle is impossible to get to, for 1/infinite is said to be anything but 0. Ergo, your Gram-Gram is mathematically infante distance away, but you are like, "Dude she is right here bro"...let that sink in.
7 day charts seem less stupid now, along with 84 minute charts as well??
SPY Approaching Key Resistance – What’s Next?Technical Analysis (TA) & Key Levels
SPY is currently testing the upper trendline resistance around $570, indicating a breakout attempt from the recent downtrend. A successful break above this level could lead to further bullish momentum toward $573 - $583, aligning with the 7.97% CALL Resistance.
However, failure to sustain above $570 may trigger a pullback to $560, where put support exists, acting as a critical demand zone.
* Immediate Resistance: $570 - $573
* Breakout Target: $583 - $594
* Support Levels: $560, $549
Price Action & Market Structure
* A Break of Structure (BOS) is visible at $570, indicating a shift in momentum.
* The Change of Character (ChOCH) signaled a trend reversal, with buyers stepping in from the $555 - $560 range.
* The MACD is turning bullish, confirming positive momentum.
* Stochastic RSI suggests SPY is nearing overbought conditions—watch for potential profit-taking.
GEX & Options Sentiment
* HVL (High Volume Level) at $570T - Indicates a crucial battleground for price action.
* PUT Walls: $560 (highest negative NETGEX) – Strong support where buyers might step in.
* CALL Walls: $583, $594 – Targets if momentum sustains.
* GEX: Bearish bias with PUTs at 77.3%, indicating hedging pressure remains.
Trading Plan & Recommendation
📌 Bullish Setup:
* Enter on a confirmed breakout above $570, targeting $573-$583.
* Stop-loss: Below $567.
📌 Bearish Setup:
* A rejection at $570 can lead to a retest of $560.
* Stop-loss: Above $573.
Final Thoughts
SPY is at a critical inflection point. Watch for volume confirmation and options flow before committing to a direction. A decisive move above $570 opens room for upside, but a rejection could signal downside pressure toward $560.
📢 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own due diligence and manage risk accordingly. 🚨
QQQ price action breaks through trend line. SPY does not During the current upward swing of the market, i believe QQQ will break back through its 2 year trend line, indicating a bullish market, and a faster momentum upwards. But, because the SPY price action has fallen further than QQQ, I believe the momentum will subside before it is able to break the trend line, therefore when the price action retests the trend line it will fail indicating a bearish market.. This will cause SPY and then QQQ to fall. and the entire market to continue its downward swing... (apologies for my poor drawing skills)
SPY C today we got some dovish news from Powell causing a monster green candle if you look at the 2H candle it left us with a nice Bullish FVG if the mega caps are green and strong i will buy the dip into the FVG via $571 0DTE calls with a $565.6 stop loss. my target is usually around %30 when taking 0DTE'S leaving a runner or a few based on how many cons you originally bought and don't let them go red best of luck.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 20, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇨🇳🏦 People's Bank of China (PBOC) Interest Rate Decision 🏦: On March 20, the PBOC will announce its latest interest rate decision. While specific expectations are not detailed, any adjustments could influence global markets, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region.
🇬🇧🏦 Bank of England Interest Rate Decision 🏦: The Bank of England is scheduled to announce its interest rate decision on March 20. Analysts anticipate that the central bank will maintain the current rate at 4.5%, following a recent reduction. This decision will be closely watched for its implications on the UK economy and global financial markets.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊:
📅 Thursday, March 20:
📉 Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) 📉:This weekly report indicates the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits for the first time, providing insight into the labor market's health.
Forecast: 225,000
Previous: 220,000
🏭 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (8:30 AM ET) 🏭:This index measures manufacturing activity in the Philadelphia Federal Reserve district, with positive numbers indicating expansion.
Forecast: 10.0
Previous: 18.1
🏠 Existing Home Sales (10:00 AM ET) 🏠:This data reflects the annualized number of previously constructed homes sold during the prior month, offering insights into the housing market's strength.
Forecast: 3.95 million annualized units
Previous: 4.08 million annualized units
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions.⚠️
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis