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SPY Falling Wedge Into Support SPY forming a descending wedge after an extreme sell off, one of the fastest declines in recent history. This wedge style pattern tends to be the result of sharp move in a particular direction, in this case downward as temporary relief before continuiing in the direction of the larger trend. Ill be looking for liquidity to enter the market on the thursday / friday session for a potential bounce. If not, then its likely the market will be in for a rough spring.
AMEX:SPYLong
by afurs1
1
SPY Plan Your Trade For 4-22 : Breakaway In Counter TrendToday's pattern suggests the markets are moving in a counter-trend mode and that we may see a Breakaway type of price bar. The current trend is Bearish. Thus, I believe the current Counter-Trend is Bullish. As many of you already know. I picked up some Calls off the lows yesterday after noticing a complete EPP pattern (Ultimate Low) setup about 75 minutes before the end of the regular trading day on 4-21. My opinion, overall, is that we are still stuck within a consolidation phase. But that doesn't mean we can't see the SPY/QQQ move higher (toward the upper consolidation high) or roll back downward (toward the lower consolidation low). I do believe we are moving into a moderate upward price trend over the next 3-4+ days where price will attempt to retest the 525-535+ level on the SPY, then ROLL into a top and start a sharp downtrend. This volatility presents an incredible opportunity for traders. Staying ahead of these trends is key to improved success. The SPY Cycle Patterns are fairly clear. We've moved into consolidation, and the price is very volatile. The Counter Trend pattern today may setup a 3-4+ day minor rally in the SPY/QQQ. But, ultimately, I believe the SPY/QQQ will roll downward into the May Cycle lows - just as I have been predicting for the past 45+ days. Don't get greedy. Play the immediate trend and learn to identify the EPP patterns on 5-minute charts. Today should be a very good day for traders. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 22, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🚗 Tesla's Q1 Earnings on Watch: Tesla is set to report Q1 earnings after market close. Analysts expect EPS of $0.58 on $23.4B revenue. Investors are focused on delivery guidance, cost-cutting measures, and updates on the robotaxi program and Optimus robot. CEO Elon Musk faces pressure to refocus on Tesla amid concerns over his political engagements. ​ 📉 Market Volatility Amid Tariff Concerns: U.S. markets remain volatile due to ongoing trade tensions. The S&P 500 has declined 14% from its February high, with investors closely monitoring corporate earnings for insights into the economic impact of recent tariffs. ​ 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Tuesday, April 22: 🏠 Existing Home Sales (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 4.20 million Previous: 4.38 million Provides insight into the housing market's health and consumer demand.​ 📘 IMF Global Financial Stability Report (10:15 AM ET): The IMF will release its latest assessment of global financial markets, focusing on systemic risks and financial stability. ​ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.​ 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
IBIT | Key Support & Resistance Zones to WatchIBIT, the new Bitcoin ETF, is carving out a clear structure right now. If you’ve been following my updates, you know I only share setups backed by solid signals—and this one fits the bill. 🟢 Support Zone The green box marks the first area where buyers have shown up and defended price. If IBIT pulls back into this zone and holds, it’s where I’ll look for signs of renewed demand—think clean higher‑lows on a 5‑ or 15‑minute chart, accompanied by positive CDV shifts and rising volume. 🔴 First Strong Resistance Above the current price, the red box stands as the first major hurdle. Historically, these levels have prompted sellers to step in aggressively. A rally into this zone demands caution—watch for lower‑time‑frame breakdowns and volume confirmation before considering any short entries. 🎯 Trading Plan Long from Support Wait for a drop into the green box. If price forms a strong base there with LTF breakout confirmation, that’s my cue to enter long. Short at Resistance If IBIT reaches the red box and shows clear exhaustion—lower‑time‑frame structure breaks and CDV weaknesses—then I’ll look for a short opportunity. Adapt with the Market I will not insist on any bias. If price breaks above the red box with conviction and retests it as support, I will switch to a bullish view. If the green box breaks without retest, I’ll reassess and stay patient. 💡 Why This Matters You’re not just following random boxes—you’re trading with a proven framework that has delivered one of the highest success rates you’ll find. Every level I share comes from careful analysis and live‑market testing. Stick with this approach, and you’ll trade with confidence rather than guesswork. 📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions. 📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups. 📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge. 🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below: 🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry 🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move 🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month 💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace 🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge 📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone 🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential 🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade 🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones 🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River 📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones 🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum 🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision 🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs 🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity 🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked 🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer 🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan ⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One 💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas 🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence 🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results 🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB 📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total 🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction 🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction 📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely 📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box! 📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction! I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
NASDAQ:IBIT
by UmutTrades
Tears of Liberty. Lets Make America Sell Again.Over the past decade, the U.S. stock market has significantly outperformed global stock markets excluding the United States. This divergence in returns has been one of the defining features of global investing since 2015, with U.S. equities—especially large-cap technology stocks—driving much of the outperformance. Annualized Returns (2015–2025) AMEX:SPY , S&P 500 Index(U.S.): The S&P 500 delivered an average annualized return of 13.8% over the past ten years. NASDAQ:ACWX , MSCI All World ex U.S. (Rest of World): Global stocks outside the U.S. returned an average of 4.9% annually over the same period Year-by-Year Breakdown Year | SPX | World ex U.S. | U.S. Surplus 2024 23.9% 4.7% +19.2% 2023 23.8% 17.9% +5.8% 2022 -19.6% -14.3% -5.4% (!) 2021 26.6% 12.6% +14.0% 2020 15.8% 7.6% +8.2% 2019 30.4% 22.5% +7.9% 2018 -6.6% -14.1% +7.5% 2017 18.7% 24.2% -5.5% (!) 2016 9.8% 2.7% +7.1% 2015 -0.7% -3.0% +2.3% Key Drivers of Performance U.S. Outperformance The U.S. market’s dominance was driven largely by the rapid growth of technology giants (such as Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet), which benefited from strong earnings growth, global market reach, and significant investor inflows. International Underperformance Non-U.S. markets faced headwinds such as multiply choking sanctions and tariffs, slower economic growth, political uncertainty (notably in Europe), a stronger U.S. dollar, and less exposure to high-growth technology sectors. Valuation Gap By 2025, U.S. stocks are considered relatively expensive compared to their international counterparts, which may offer more attractive valuations going forward. Recent Shifts (2025 Trend): As of early 2025, international stocks have started to outperform the S&P 500, with European and Asian equities seeing renewed investor interest. Factors include optimism over economic recovery in China and strong performance in European defense and technology sectors. Long-Term Perspective Historical Context While the past decade favored U.S. equities, this has not always been the case. For example, during the 2000s, international stocks outperformed the U.S. following the dot-com bust. Market Weight The U.S. accounts for roughly 60% of global stock market capitalization and about 25% of global GDP, so its performance has a substantial impact on global indices. Conclusion From 2015 to 2025, the U.S. stock market delivered nearly triple the annualized returns of global markets excluding the U.S., primarily due to the outperformance of large-cap technology stocks. While this trend has persisted for most of the decade, early 2025 shows signs of a potential shift, with international equities beginning to close the performance gap. Investors should remain aware of valuation differences and the cyclical nature of global market leadership. The main technical chart for U.S./ ex U.S. ratio indicates the epic reversal is in progress.
AMEX:SPY
by PandorraResearch
2
JETS 7 Year ResistanceThis is a very simple chart to read. Airlines hitting a 7-year resistance trendline. Airlines are very capital-intensive and would greatly benefit from rate cuts. Despite inflation pricing power has not risen sufficiently even nominally. Oil has not helped their situation. We have seen many airlines go bankrupt, close shop, and reduce capacity. This indirectly helps the major airlines as the industry cleanses. A lot of talk of mergers and buyouts. For example, Frontier wants to merge with Spirit, Jetblue & United, and Southwest Pilot union seeking merger attorneys. Streamlining is always a good thing which is why JETS has risen as much as it has. However, this may be it according to the chart. The next move could be down from here. Airlines are very economically sensitive and a recession would hit them hard.
AMEX:JETS
by RealMacro
1
Europe Vs US Break Out!This chart suggests huge long-term implications after breaking for the 2nd time this 16-year downtrend. EU since Trump took office has outperformed the US by 23%! More than half of that has occurred since the ambush on Zeleneskyy in the Oval Office. While no new high has been made yet to confirm, it is noteworthy that money may be flowing toward the EU more than the US for a decade or more. EU has a much lower debt to GDO at 80% than the US at 125%. Stock valuations are much more attractive than in the US. So much so that I labeled the EU as a value trap. Not anymore! The biggest obstacle right now is how much would a US recession impact the EU. Even if it does, I expect the EU to perform much better than the US. As such this chart should continue to outperform. I have another post up you may want to follow.
AMEX:VGKLong
by RealMacro
3
Decoding Gold's Ascent Through Fibonacci Channels.The price of gold has been exhibiting a discernible pattern, closely tracking Fibonacci channel levels. This upward trajectory, characterized as a "gold buyers' train," has seen the price ascend through various Fibonacci channels. Notably, the price encountered resistance and stalled upon reaching a key Fibonacci level, often referred to as the "golden ratio" or a similar significant Fibonacci retracement or extension point. This phenomenon has been observed repeatedly; since 2020, the price action has twice reached and subsequently been halted at specific Fibonacci channel levels, suggesting these levels act as strong areas of either support or resistance depending on the direction of the movement. Currently, the price is approaching a third Fibonacci channel level, implying a potential continuation of this established pattern and requiring careful monitoring to determine if the same resistive behavior will manifest again, or if the price will finally break through to higher levels within the Fibonacci sequence. This repetitive interaction with Fibonacci levels underscores their significance as potential indicators of future price movements in the gold market.
AMEX:GLD
by UnknownUnicorn22680872
The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles Model: What Comes Next (chart)b]📉 The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles Model: What Comes Next Video idea here: Friends, if you’ve seen my last two posts, you already know — we’re no longer relying on broken halving cycles or outdated narratives. We’re now in the realm of The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™ by FXPROFESSOR — a framework that maps how trust moves between Bitcoin and traditional assets like U.S. Treasuries . And today’s update? It might be the most important one yet. 🔁 Quick Recap: What Is This Model? This model tracks Bitcoin’s relationship to long-term U.S. Treasury Bonds (TLT), cycling between: • Correlated Periods (Blue): BTC and TLT move in the same direction • Inverted Periods (Green): BTC and TLT move in opposite directions And here’s the magic: These flips often occur right at key structural levels in the bond market. 🧠 Where Are We Now? We’re still in an Inverted Period — the 6th major one. • TLT (Treasuries) are dropping again • Bitcoin is rising against that backdrop • The previous support at ~86.8 failed — we are now sliding toward the next major level That level? 📌 71.32 – the all-time structural support for TLT going back to 2004 It’s the same zone that sparked Bitcoin’s explosive moves in the past. 📉 My Expectation: • TLT continues sliding lower • It finds support around 71–76 • Once that happens, we enter a Reversion Phase — where Bitcoin and TLT rise together again • Bitcoin doesn’t just “survive” the macro shakeout — it thrives on it This would be the 6th inversion-to-correlation flip in the model — and historically, these have marked powerful Bitcoin trends. 📊 Why This Model Matters This isn't just about price. It’s about trust . It’s about rotation . It’s about macro capital flow . Forget halving hype — this model focuses on how institutional trust migrates between old systems (bonds) and new systems (Bitcoin). When TLT fails, Bitcoin rises. When TLT finds support, Bitcoin joins in. This is not just a macro hedge. This is the new cycle narrative . 🔍 What to Watch: • Does TLT drop to 71? • Do we find a bottom and reverse? • Does BTC correlate again and break out above 115? If so — we may be on the cusp of a new correlated bull leg . This post builds on the foundation I laid here: 📌 📌 This is part 3. The signal is there. The rotation is happening. The trust is shifting. Are you watching? One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
NASDAQ:TLT
by FX_Professor
1
The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles Model: What Comes Next📉 The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles Model: What Comes Next Friends, if you’ve seen my last two posts, you already know we’re not talking about your average halving theory anymore. We're entering a new era of Bitcoin cycle analysis — and this model may change the way we look at macro rotation forever. This is an update to The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™ by FXPROFESSOR — a cyclical framework built around one question: When trust flows in and out of traditional assets like Treasury bonds... what does Bitcoin do? In this post, we zoom into the latest data: • TLT is testing key support again • Bitcoin is still rising — but in an inverted period • The next major reversion event may be approaching I'll walk you through what happens when correlation flips , why these cycles compress over time, and how we could be approaching the next Bitcoin surge — not because of supply, but because of macro trust flow . If you’ve been wondering what’s really moving the market... this might be the chart you’ve been missing. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
NASDAQ:TLT
by FX_Professor
1
Short term high QQQ tgt $434I had a great day with dowsing the highs & lows on QQQ today, and since hitting this high, I asked what's next & keep getting breakdown. I did a week by week reading at the beginning of the month, and this week is supposed to take a bit of a dive & be "bottoming out". The weekly readings have been pretty helpful, so I hope this continues. Anyway, this could be absolutely incorrect, but twice I've gotten a move to the downside on QQQ of around 5.6-.7%. I also got some figures lower, but I'm not confident they are prices. They were 425-22. Sometimes numbers come that are something other than what I ask or expect, so it can get confusing. It's possible there's another little pop first, but It seems like a drop is imminent according to my work. Watch for a low on Wed./Thurs? I have lots of dates for this week including for a high today.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by JenRz
SPY short targets for this weekI expect this area to offer at least a bounce. There may be something like that on Thursday. This is based on my dowsing work. I also left my prior idea, which was done at the beginning of the month to see how things shake out with projecting week by week with my work. Obviously, the standout dates were very relevant. I don't get that there are any new dates to add. Intuitively, I will say I heard the word, "floor". So where we land may be support for a bit? We'll see. I'm still very new at intuitively hearing/receiving messages & things.
AMEX:SPYShort
by JenRz