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Opening (IRA): TQQQ April 17th 60 Covered Call... for a 57.91 debit. Comments: Adding at strikes better than what I currently have on ... . Here, going lower net delta by selling the -84 call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 2 x expected move 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 57.91/share Max Profit: 2.09 ROC at Max: 3.61% 50% Max: 1.05 ROC at 50% Max: 1.82% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals if I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
NASDAQ:TQQQLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): TNA March 28th 35 Covered Call... for a 34.04 debit. Comments: Adding at strikes better than what I currently have on, selling the -84 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Going lower net delta here as a personal choice, since I've already made goal for February, so don't see the need to take on my normal amount of risk. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 34.04/share Max Profit: .96 ROC at Max: 2.82% 50% Max: .48 ROC at 50% Max: 1.41% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add to the position at intervals if I can get in at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out my short call on approaching worthless if my take profit hasn't hit.
AMEX:TNALong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): TNA April 17th 31 Covered Call... for a 29.98 debit. Comments: Starting a run at April (56 DTE) at strikes better than what I currently have on. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 29.98/share Max Profit: 1.02 ROC at Max: 3.40% 50% Max: .51 ROC at 50% Max: 1.70% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals assuming I can get in at strike prices better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
AMEX:TNALong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): TNA April 17th 29 Covered Call... for a 28.28 debit. Comments: Adding at strikes better than what I currently have on. Selling the -84 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 28.28/share Max Profit: .72 ROC at Max: 2.55% 50% Max: .36 ROC at 50% Max: 1.28% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals assuming I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on, roll out short call in the event my take profit is not hit.
AMEX:TNALong
by NaughtyPines
SP500 - Shiller PE RatioSPY Looking back we can see where the Shiller PE ratio values provided an insight into buying into the SP500 We have altered courses from the High Interest rates of 1988 - the lows of 2020 I believe we are in a new Inflation cycle. This could result in rising rates over next 20 years. It makes for a harder decision for buying the market. If they are not going to truly rally @ 31.31 then will they at 27.08 or lower? Will the market beat inflation?
AMEX:SPYShort
by superiorJaguar24882
4
(SPY) Technical's Signal Another -30% Drop to $350 Incoming!In this video, I break down the technical setup pointing to a potential -30% market correction, with a key price target of $350. Using trend structure, market volatility, and key support/resistance levels, I highlight why this level could be revisited in the coming months. I also examine historical price behavior during similar setups and discuss the factors that may align with this bearish scenario. Whether you're a short-term trader or long-term investor, this is a critical level to watch.
AMEX:SPYShort
by GiftedInvestor
6
$SMH: First the generals then the index NASDAQ:SMH with closing @ 180 $ on 04 April 2025 is equivalent to drawdown we saw during COVID crash. During the covid crash the semiconductor ETF lost 37% and this tariff crash we also saw 36% drawdown. If this tariff war on goes then we might see some more weakness. With this drawdown the NASDAQ:SMH is below its 200 Day SMA. ‘Nothing good happens below 200 Day SMA’ and the ETF is below the upward sloping channel. The RSI is also touching the lows the lows we saw during the COVID time reaching the oversold mark of 30. This weakness can be attributed to heavy weights like NASDAQ:NVDA and NASDAQ:AVGO which have been down more than 40% form their ATH. But the question remains will the drawdown stop here or there is some more pain. But we should not forget the 3-day rule in the markets. Where the sell off peaks off in the 3rd Day. 07 April will be the 3rd Day after the tariff selloff. Should we call the bottom here? Unless we think that there will be a recession then these are good levels to buy. But if the tariff negotiations go on for longer period, then there will be chop around for a longer period and instead of a V shaped recovery we might see a U-shaped recovery in SMH. Verdict: Accumulate some NASDAQ:SMH here and go extra-long @ 170-180 $
NASDAQ:SMH
by RabishankarBiswal
1
SPY going down down downI just make simple technical charts, and have no idea about matters at play from leaders in plain sight as well as those behind the curtains. Things can only crash when they have been inflated. So far SPY is still in long term uptrend. Only when it drops below the thick blue lower line and stay below, it will be a down trend to me. RSI on the daily hangs around 23. Switch to the monthly chart and the RSI is only at 50 yet. Plenty of room to go down! Remember, the all time highs of 2021 and 2023 were around 450. Fridays close was at 505!
AMEX:SPYShort
by REDDLINER
1
SPY: Breaking Levels; TASPY broke down the Weekly demand line and now looking to break the Monthly demand. Looking to possibly test the bottome weekly trendline. Possibly a 530 price target and if weakness continues, possibly below more to 520 then 510.46 to fully retest that bottom trendline. The market has bene crazy, people calling bottom, wanting to catch the reversal. I mean, I would want to catch this “V” up too, but have to see if it keeps trending down to the bottom trendline. LMK what you think and if you have any TA, tag me! *Not FA
AMEX:SPYShort
by sweatytrigger
1
QQQ Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 040525Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 423/61.80% Chart time frame: B A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: C A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by fibonacci6180
YINN Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 040525Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 30/61.80% Chart time frame: B A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: C A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
AMEX:YINN
by fibonacci6180
Post-Liberation Day Sell-Off – Crash or Correction?Liberation Day has turned into a dramatic "blow the markets back out" day for the SPY , with a significant daily drop of nearly 6%, slicing decisively below the critical 200-day moving average at $574.46. Historically, breaking below the 200-day MA is a strong bearish signal, indicating potential further downside momentum. The previously identified key bearish pivot, the "Best Price Short" at $565.16, served as a crucial resistance level from which sellers aggressively stepped in, intensifying today's sell-off. Given the current bearish sentiment, the next immediate downside targets without a significant bounce (dead-cat bounce) include: Half 1 Short (Momentum target): $505.28 (already tested) High Vol Momentum Target 1a: $497.66 Half 2 Short (secondary bearish momentum): $486.41 Extended Momentum Target (HH Vol Momo Target 2a): $475.16 For traders who missed the initial move, look to re-enter shorts if there's a modest retracement toward the previously broken "Weeks High Short" at $520.16, maintaining tight risk control with stops ideally set just above the "Best Price Short" ($565.16). Critical levels summary: Ideal Short Re-entry Zone: $520.16 Profit Targets: $497.66, $486.41, and ultimate $475.16 Stop Loss Area: Slightly above $565.16 Major Broken Support (Resistance now): 200-day MA at $574.46 Today's significant volume spike further reinforces bearish conviction. RSI is deeply oversold at 23.24, suggesting caution for potential short-term bounce, but any bounce is likely to be short-lived unless there's a substantial political or economic pivot soon. These levels are algorithmically defined, designed to remove emotions from trading. Trade responsibly, adhere to your strategy, and protect your capital.
AMEX:SPY
by HispanicHedge
XLF Head and Shoulders patternEarlier today I commented not to go long today because XLF hasn't completed it's pattern yet. This is the pattern I was talking abut, H&S on the daily chart. So unless congress does something over the weekend to rescind tariffs, XLF will complete this pattern Monday. I didn't short it because I expect congress to do something, but it's a matter of when. When they do, the bounce will be so huge, it'll wipe out any put option. Not to mention, the pattern should complete Monday anyways. If the GOPs in congress don't get together and rescind tariffs, expect XLF to overshoot the target by a lot, lol. Assuming no action by congress, expect market to tank Monday. No idea what happens on Tuesday.
AMEX:XLF
by hungry_hippo
4
Rollercoaster Continues For SPYMy overall thesis is we are in the very early stages of a multi-year decline ultimately with the S&P 500 below 3500. I am estimating this symbol to be in wave position SuperCycle 2, Cycle A, Primary 1, Intermediate 3 (pink), Minor 3 (yellow), Minute 3 or 4 (green). I originally had this symbol nearly complete with Primary wave 1, but the continued declines received significant wave 3 of 3 signals (pink lines in bottom chart band). It is still unclear if we are in my theoretical larger decline or if we are in a simple corrective wave. It will take at least another two months to likely achieve the answer. Theory 1 is my hypothesis where we are about to finish Minor wave 3 in Intermediate wave 3 in Primary wave 1 in a multi-year market correction. This would see SPY bottom around 486 within two weeks and briefly head up toward 535 before continuing significant downward movement. Currently Intermediate wave 1 lasted 111 trading hours. Intermediate wave 3 is somewhat on pace to finish in the same amount of time around 17 April. Extensions based on Minor wave 1's movement could put Minor wave 3's bottom around 499. Theory 2 is that Intermediate waves 1, 2 and 3 (pink) are actually waves A, B, and C (white) in a short-term corrective wave. This would mean this symbol returns to all-time highs around the fall of 2025. Theory 3 places the stock in the third wave about to finish a wave A down over the next two months. Wave B up would last a few months before wave C takes the market to a bottom sometime around the end of 2025. All three theories will observe the same movement over the next few weeks with a low soon and then a bounce up. Theory 2 becomes the likely winner if SPY breaks above 576.33 within the next 3 months. Theories 1 and 3 will trade the same for quite some time. I will reevaluate this ETF once Minor wave 3 finishes. It should aid in providing a better bottom for Intermediate wave 3 in the next two weeks.
AMEX:SPYShort
by StockSignaler
Silver Poised for Upside?SLV is setting up a strong case for a position trade. A similar situation recently played out with Palantir, although with greater risk involved due to being an individual stock, but we don't need to exclude the intrinsic value of precious metals. Multiple timeframes are showing technical confluence and this is something to watch beyond 2024. Key Points: SLV has formed a larger, albeit lopsided, cup and handle pattern on the monthly chart with another mild version of the same pattern post 2020. The dip having been formed by the 2022 bear market. Price has simultaneously found support between the Ichimoku Kumo(formed by an offset of the average price between highs/lows) and a well-defined static support/resistance zone indicating stability. The "Golden Cross" remains well intact from its formation in Q2 of this year. This is bullish bias. The slow stochastic, also formed by highs/lows as opposed to a rate of change, has pulled back from overbought territory on both the weekly and daily timeframes. The weekly stochastic appears to be a well balanced oscillator for SLV. I personally find ROC oscillators and MA crosses better for exits. We do have a bearish engulfing candle on this timeframe suggesting near term weakness, so it's critical to watch for incoming support. Final Thoughts: Silver remains structurally strong and we have a bullish case on multiple timeframes. While short term bearishness indicates caution, the overall technical picture suggests solid upside potential. Support: $26 Resistance: $30.5 Target: $34+
AMEX:SLVLong
by NantzOS
1
Market Falls comparison of the last 25 yearsBetween 2000-2019 the market had 7 big falls. Since the Pandemic in 2020, the market has fallen 2 times and currently experiencing the 3rd big fall. Although the current and last two falls seem big, percentwise have not been as big as the ones from 2000 and 2008. Get ready for the current market to continue falling for the next 2-3 months and it will still only feel like a 20% correction, nowhere as big as the 3 biggest falls from the last 25 years.
AMEX:SPYShort
by abner.amador