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TLT - head and sholdersThe iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) is experiencing downward pressure, and a head and shoulders pattern in its technical chart suggests further potential declines. This formation, indicating a shift from an uptrend to a downtrend, is being reinforced by several factors: 1. **Rising Treasury Yields**: Higher yields, especially on 10-year Treasury bonds, reduce the appeal of long-duration bonds, causing TLT's value to drop as yields increase. 2. **Strong Economic Data**: Robust economic indicators, including strong GDP growth and low unemployment, have heightened expectations of future rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, which dampens long-term bond prices. 3. **Political Developments**: Potential spending cuts or fiscal adjustments under a changing administration are influencing market dynamics, contributing to the rise in yields and the downward trend in TLT. This combination of technical patterns, economic conditions, and political considerations supports a bearish outlook for TLT, which could benefit short positions in the near term.
NASDAQ:TLTShort
by aznric3boi91
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 11-4: Election Week Is HereGood morning, everyone. This video highlights why I believe traders should stay very cautious through the early portion of this week and into next week. My research suggests the SPY & QQQ will stay somewhat range bound this week while the markets move into a SHOCK phase. The elections are really going to take center-stage and even though I expect some reaction after the election are over - I'm not seeing any real trending opportunity in the SPY/QQQ until after November 20-25. Thus, I suggest traders stay in a 80-85% CASH mode and trade very small allocation levels over the next 2-3 weeks. There is nothing wrong with moving into a CASH position and sitting on that cash till the market show more opportunity for profits. Gold and Silver will struggle within a sideways range over the next 5 to 8+ days. The election event will likely drive some volatility in metals, but I see metals stalling out for at least 3-4 more days - trading in a sideways range. Ultimately the SPY/QQQ, Gold & Silver are going to attempt to break downward - away from the Phase #3 & #4 consolidation phase. I see that as the Anomaly Event I discuss in this video. Bitcoin appears to have already starting to break downward, away from the Phase #3 & #4 Excess Phase Peak setup. In this case, Bitcoin may be leading the global markets a bit and attempting to find the Ultimate Low over the next 2+ weeks. Still, at this stage, the best advice I can offer is move assets to CASH and wait out the consolidation in the markets. Again, I don't see the markets moving into any real trending until after February 12-13 and possibly as late as February 20-25. Buckle up. I think the markets are going to go into Anaphylactic Shock because of the election and post-election events. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
11
S&P Weekly RecapLast week saw significant moves in the S&P 500 , with Thursday’s open revealing a sharp gap down that quickly intensified into a strong sell-off. This correction unfolded despite strong earnings from “Big Tech” and was likely driven by weakness in key economic indicators, such as GDP growth and Non-Farm Payrolls, combined with uncertainty surrounding the upcoming U.S. elections. Still, the broader weekly uptrend remains intact for now, as long as the index holds above key levels. One area to watch closely is the 566.6 support, which has been tested by recent volatility. There’s no guarantee that this level will hold if selling pressure continues, so it’s a crucial line to monitor. That said, the general uptrend is considered safe above 538 , which is the major weekly low. Another significant level to watch is 561.5 , the Value Area High (VAH) of the recent weekly consolidation zone. An interesting signal was the elevated call/put ratio on Friday. This uptick suggests that, despite the sell-off, bullish sentiment remains alive, with many viewing the dip as an opportunity. The continued strength of the XLC sector further reflects this optimism, as it managed to hold firm even through the broader index’s pullback. Considering all the above, the long-term market outlook remains bullish. Key levels to watch in the coming days are 566.6 for immediate support, 561.5 as an important pivot point, and the weekly major low at 538 . Next week is packed with high-impact events, including the U.S. elections and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision . Both are likely to drive heightened volatility and could serve as key catalysts for market direction.
AMEX:SPYLong
by hermes_trisme
IBIT:Why are elites buying Bitcoin?Why are elites buying Bitcoin? Bitcoin has evolved from a cryptocurrency experiment to an asset of global interest, attracting the attention of large financial institutions and elites. This shift in perception, backed by reports such as BlackRock's, highlights how Bitcoin has evolved to become a solid option for protecting capital and diversifying portfolios. But what really motivates elites to invest in Bitcoin? Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation Inflation, driven by expansionary monetary policies and increasing money issuance, has become a major concern for high-end investors. Bitcoin, having a limited supply of 21 million units, acts as a store of value that cannot be devalued by an increase in supply, as is the case with fiat currencies. This feature makes Bitcoin an attractive option for those seeking to protect their wealth over the long term in an environment of rising inflation (BlackRock, 2023). Decentralization and Resilience: A Refuge in Times of Uncertainty Unlike traditional currencies and other assets that depend on government policies and economic stability, Bitcoin operates independently of central bank and government decisions. This gives it a unique resilience in times of instability. As BlackRock highlights, Bitcoin's decentralized nature makes it an ideal tool for those seeking financial autonomy and protection from state intervention. In a context of global uncertainty, this feature is especially attractive to investors seeking safe assets that are uncorrelated to the traditional financial system (BlackRock, 2023). The Role of Institutional Adoption The growing adoption of Bitcoin by financial institutions and investment funds has been instrumental in legitimizing the digital asset. In its report, BlackRock mentions how the entry of institutional investors into the Bitcoin market not only increases its credibility, but also reduces long-term volatility. This trend is relevant because it encourages other high-profile players to explore Bitcoin, seeing it as a less risky and increasingly stable asset. The involvement of institutions such as BlackRock and other investment funds also provides an endorsement that incentivizes elites to consider Bitcoin in their portfolios. Portfolio Diversification and Long-Term Growth Potential Bitcoin is an asset that is uncorrelated to traditional stock or bond markets, making it a strategic diversification option. According to BlackRock, in a volatile economic environment, this diversification capability is key to mitigating risks. Moreover, as an asset still in a growth phase, Bitcoin has significant appreciation potential. Its global adoption is still limited, which for many investors represents an opportunity to position themselves before its value stabilizes with wider adoption. Conclusion: Bitcoin as Risk and Growth Management For financial elites, Bitcoin offers a combination of protection, growth and diversification. Interest in this asset lies not only in its ability to offer attractive returns, but also in its role as a risk management tool in an increasingly uncertain economic environment. As BlackRock highlights, investing in Bitcoin represents a strategic step both to protect capital against inflation and to participate in an emerging financial trend that promises to transform markets globally. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst References: • BlackRock (2023). Bitcoin institutional adoption report. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
NASDAQ:IBITLong
by ActivTrades
SPY in a Downward Channel: Pivotal Levels for November 4, 2024Technical Analysis: Current Trend: SPY remains in a bearish downtrend, respecting a descending trendline. Recent price action indicates consolidation near support, suggesting potential for either a rebound or further decline. Resistance Levels: $578.45 - $578.58: Immediate resistance zone; breaking above this could indicate a bullish reversal towards $583. $583.27 - $584.90: Upper resistance range; a move past this would confirm stronger bullish sentiment. Support Levels: $571.30 - $571.39: Closest support zone near the bid; a breakdown below this may lead to a test of $567.75. Indicators: EMA (Exponential Moving Averages): SPY remains below the EMAs, indicating continued bearish pressure. An EMA crossover would be a sign of potential trend reversal. MACD: Shows slight bullish divergence, hinting at a possible rebound but not yet strong enough for confirmation. Potential Entry Points: Short Position: If SPY fails to break the $578 resistance zone, consider a short entry targeting $571 and $567. Long Position: A strong close above $579 could open up long opportunities, aiming for $583 and higher. Summary: SPY is at a decision point within its downward channel. Watch key support and resistance zones closely for signals of continuation or reversal. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only. Always conduct your own research before trading.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
Two Different Paths For ^VIXweve set lower daily highs aince the last major volatility event, and trended lower weekly to averages. the uptrend is not lost for vix and uvxy threatens to break out of tightening range or wedge/triangle. ive marked out what a test and failure of the trendline would look like, and ive also bar patterned the breakout scenario. im leaning short because i think the election result will be volatile, but have a buy the news impact on broader markets. this is bearish for vix in both scenarios.
CBOE:UVXYShort
by cerealindicator
QQQ Technical Analysis! BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the QQQ next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 487.37 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 493.00 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by AnabelSignals
1
SpyLooking for 2 targets this week... My low end target is 565 support . Despite the early week movements price should start to fulfill the weekly bearish by early or late Wed. My upside target would be 580 once we break back over 576.. Seasonality belongs to small caps and the bulls , the only difference this year is we are coming into November near ATH vs traditionally being oversold at this point. 580-582 will be a 🧱 wall. Over that and 600 comes. Below 560 and 540 is next . My indicators are mixed.. some spell doom and some say a rally is coming to ATH for spy.. Here's an example Here's SPXU which is the inverse SPY. Spxu is showing a bullish wedge and when this goes higher spy usually goes lower Breakout just happened last week and the measured move would put spy at 540. So that's bearish but on the bullish side.. Look at your money flow on spy 3hour chart.. you see how oversold it is ? For as long as I can scroll back when spy gets this oversold a 4-7% rally occurs. And that's just 2 of my mixed signals.. There's more but I won't go into them. When my signals get like this I tend to limit the swings and trade whats in front of me.. With that being said, we'll tag 565 and 580 this week.. 568 will be short term support (50sma) 575 will be short term resistance (Gap). I don't think we'll get over 576 without some news.
AMEX:SPY
by ContraryTrader
3
Hey SPYLOVERS here are 3 Scenarios for this week check it out...Another week analyzing SPY's behavior correctly as we planned. I’d like to invite you to review my previous analyses of the price movements throughout the week, so you can see that I base my strategy solely on price action and institutional supply and demand concepts—simple methods that the price has respected. In this case, we won’t be seeing historical highs anytime soon. I believe we’re in a pullback where we need to monitor closely to see if the price might return to the order block I have around $563.60. This area is significant because it’s where the highest concentration of orders in the market is currently positioned. If we look at the last candle SPY closed with, although it ended higher than the previous one, it’s still showing selling pressure, so we’ll likely continue on the path of selling for a few more days. The key is to analyze the next move the price makes when it touches the order block: Here are 3 possible Scenarios. Scenario 1. If the price reaches this zone ($563.60), it might dip a little further as a fake-out before bouncing back strongly. Here, we need to pay close attention to the candlestick pattern that appears in this area. Scenario 2. If it respects the order block but doesn’t bounce with enough strength, we might be witnessing a Head and Shoulders pattern forming, which could later bring the price to the inflection zone (the blue middle area). Scenario 3. If the price breaks my order block with strength and volume, then we’re validating a CHoCH (Change of Character), where we could see the price move to the inflection zone (the blue middle area). No matter what happens, remember to always watch the candlestick pattern and the volume. That’s the main fuel behind the price's strength, and analyzing it this way will make your analysis more accurate. Thank you for supporting my analysis. TRADE SAFE! Best regards.
AMEX:SPYShort
by RocketMike111
3