ETF market
A few scenarios for the SPY! 🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Will start longs at 516I think SPY is going down to 516 (0.382 Fibonacci retracement) and could go down to 485 (0.500 Fibonacci retracement). I will start taking long positions again at 516. Back in 2022 there was a 0.500 Fibonacci retracement where SPY went from 479 to 348 but I know people have short memories.
Trump Tariffs are Wrecking the MarketTrump’s disastrous right-wing policies continue to wreak havoc, with the latest victim being AMEX:XLC $XLC. His reckless tariff strategy is proving to be one of the greatest self-inflicted economic blunders in American history, harming industries, investors, and consumers alike. These tariffs have weakened the economy, disrupted markets, and imposed unnecessary burdens on businesses. The long-term consequences of these policies will be felt for years to come as the American economy struggles to recover from this avoidable crisis.
Head and shoulders top has been completed today, 4/3/25. The price objectives are 88.6 and 84.60
$SOXL Inverted Cup and Handlel (SELL NOW!)Grasping chart patterns is essential for market participants. This article explores the inverted cup and handle formation, a bearish signal that suggests potential downward movement.
The inverted cup and handle, also known as an upside-down cup and handle pattern, is a bearish chart pattern that can appear in both uptrends and downtrends. It is the reverse of the traditional bullish cup and handle pattern. The inverted formation consists of two main components: the "cup," an inverted U-shape, and the "handle," a small upward retracement following the cup.
SELL NASDAQ:NVDA AMEX:SOXL NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:AVGO NASDAQ:QCOM NASDAQ:MRVL NASDAQ:MU $TXN.
Lets BUY it again WHEN IT'S LOW guys.
Mark my word
OH NO! $SOXS is primed for a significant rise.The concept of a multiple bottom suggests that the stock has already experienced a significant decline, creating a buying opportunity at a lower price over time.
Plus, Trump is coming= BYE semidocutor stocks!
Stricter trade policies and tariffs on imported semiconductors could disrupt global supply chains, leading to higher costs and potential shortages.
During his previous presidency, Trump focused on "America First" policies, which included promoting domestic manufacturing and reducing reliance on foreign supply chains
Additionally, there were concerns about the potential mismanagement of federal initiatives like the CHIPS and Science Act, which aimed to boost domestic semiconductor manufacturing.
AMEX:SOXL , NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:AVGO , NASDAQ:QCOM : Sell now to take the profit.
IT'S COMING
The Bear Market Has Arrived - Key Levels to Watch SPY QQQ IWMIWM is the first of the major averages to enter into a technical bear market after falling over 20% from its recent highs. QQQ will likely be next followed by SPY. I think there's good potential for a short term bounce around this area, but I believe there's a lot more trouble ahead in the medium to long term and it could accelerate quickly if we don't see any quick relief here.
Time to buckle up, I'm afraid the worst is yet to come.
KRE Regional Banks In Trouble?KRE is starting to scream Danger! Wave 3 up ending. Multiple head and shoulders (one massive) the current uptrending is now starting to CRACK! signaling that the right shoulder will now start to form.
I see no benefit for bulls to hold on as risk is now very high. Furthermore, this is a bad sign for the overall economy and markets as regional banks are US domestic. Bad JUJU!
Don't be a dick for tick! ))
Spy Road To $544 Target HIT Now WhatWell we finally hit our target a lot of us went heavy in shorts right before the bell rang in many Etf's SPY QQQ Tsla with massive amounts of money With Expirations Expiring 4/3 4/5 and also 2weeks out.... Don't Ever Miss Another Move in the stock market again stay up to date With JoeWtrades.... So I guess everyone wants to know what's next Bear Market Bull Market is the the bottom in ext.... Nope this is not the bottom, i already have a plan on what's going to happen price will continue to fall Friday Over the Weekend Resulting in a possible Dead Cat Bounce come Tuesday in my opinion back to $550ish, Wait what did you say yes $dead cat bounce to $550ish in the next few days possibly Tuesday so this means this is not the bottom JoeWtrades , Nope in my opinion its not Like and follow to see in my opinion on where price goes, if you need assistance and would like to take your trading and scalping to the next level You know what to do.... As Always safe trades and good luck
Finally happened. Semi’s getting creamed. Semiconductors and all the trappings are finally falling. The bubble has popped for the near term at least.
LONG 3 days ago
AMEX:SOXS is saving my portfolio🙏🏼👍
I’m using a 30 min chart with 10,50,200 sma’s. When the S&P drops below the 50 sma its time to short.
NASDAQ:NVDA was range bound and had dropped below 50sma. Time to short. But NASDAQ:NVDA was leading the way to a reset for all the other Semi underlings.
AMEX:SOXS the answer!!!!
SOXL in Buy ZoneMy trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when at three of these events happen:
* Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones
* Money flow spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands
* Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at near oversold overbought level
* Price at Fibonacci levels
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price in buying zone at bottom of 2 of 3 channels
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level
Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under bottom of Bollinger Band
Price at or near Fibonacci level
Entry at $13.30
Target is upper channel around $19
Triple leveraged insanity?!?!?!Thinking about taking a swing with AMEX:USD USD (Ultra Semiconductors) if we can get sharply down to this line. What do you all think?
This is not for a HODL. This is intended to be a short-term leveraged swing trade. Keep your diamond hands to yourself plz and thank you.
Trump's Tariff Wars : What To Expect And How To Trade Them.I promised all of you I would create a Trump's Tariff Wars video and try to relate that is happening through the global economy into a rational explanation of HOW and WHY you need to be keenly away of the opportunities presented by the new Trump administration.
Like Trump or not. I don't care.
He is going to try to enact policies and efforts to move in a direction to support the US consumer, worker, business, and economy.
He made that very clear while campaigning and while running for office (again).
This video looks at the "free and fair" global tariffs imposed on US manufacturers and exports by global nations over the past 3+ decades.
For more than 30+ years, global nations have imposed extreme tariffs on US goods/exports in order to try to protect and grow their economies. The purpose of these tariffs on US good was to protect THEIR workers/population, to protect THEIR business/economy, to protect THEIR manufacturing/products.
Yes, the tariffs they imposed on US goods was directly responsible for THEIR economic growth over the past 30-50+ years and helped them build new manufacturing, distribution, consumer engagement, banking, wealth, and more.
The entire purpose of their tariffs on US goods was to create an unfair advantage for their population to BUILD, MANUFACTURE, and BUY locally made products - avoiding US products as much as possible.
As I suggested, that is why Apple, and many other US manufacturers moved to Asia and overseas. They could not compete in the US with China charging 67% tariffs on US goods. So they had to move to China to manufacture products because importing Chinese-made products into the US was cheaper than importing US-made products into China.
Get it?
The current foreign Tariffs create an incredibly unfair global marketplace/economy - and that has to STOP (or at least be re-negotiated so it is more fair for everyone).
And I believe THAT is why Trump is raising tariffs on foreign nations.
Ultimately, this will likely be resolved as I suggest in this video (unless many foreign nations continue to raise tariff levels trying to combat US tariffs).
If other foreign nation simply say, "I won't stand for this, I'm raising my tariff levels to combat the new US tariffs", then we end up where we started - a grossly unfair global marketplace.
This is the 21st century, not the 18th century.
Step up to the table and realize we are not in the 1850s or 1950s any longer.
We are in 2025. Many global economies are competing at levels nearly equal to the US economy in terms of population, GDP, manufacturing, and more.
It's time to create a FREE and FAIR global economy, not some tariff-driven false economy on the backs of the US consumers. That has to end.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
SPY Slammed After Tariff Shock! Dealer Gamma TrapSPY Slammed After Tariff Shock! Dealer Gamma Trap Accelerates Drop 🔻
🌎 Context: April 2, 2025
Today’s Trump tariff news set off a panic wave in the market — triggering a sharp sell-off in major indices. SPY, the S&P 500 ETF, lost grip on its HVL ($560) and flushed into a dealer short-gamma zone, where volatility surged as hedging flows flipped bearish.
Key Narrative:
* Macro shock = Tariff fears
* Market wasn’t positioned = IV spike + dealer scrambling
* Result = Gamma-driven slide with no call support nearby
🧭 Technical Breakdown – 1H Chart
🔻 Price Action:
* SPY broke down from $567-$565 support range.
* Panic candle sliced through HVL $560 and continued through $550, tagging $542.20 intraday low.
* The entire move below HVL now triggers short-gamma conditions.
📌 Support Zones:
* $544.82 (currently testing)
* $542.20 (session low)
* Below that? Thin air until $538–$535 zone from macro FVGs.
🔼 Resistance Zones:
* $550 = now resistance (2nd PUT Wall)
* $555 = 3rd PUT Wall (likely a pause/reload area)
* $560 = HVL / Former gamma support flipped resistance
🧠 GEX + Options Sentiment
💣 Gamma Exposure (GEX):
* 🚨 GEX flipped heavily negative under $560.
* HVL $560 has collapsed.
* Dealers are now short gamma, adding to volatility and forced selling pressure.
🔴 Gamma Risk Zones:
* PUT Support at $560 (-86.95% GEX)
* Walls stacked at $555 and $550 → now broken
* NO significant GEX support until $540 — more room to fall
📈 Options Oscillator:
* IVR 40.8 / IVx Avg 29.3 → Elevated volatility with room to run
* PUTS 83.3% dominance = bearish sentiment confirmed
* Red Red Blue GEX = maximum dealer pain, negative gamma loop
🧭 Trade Setups Based on Current Conditions
🐻 Bearish Breakdown (Primary Bias)
* Entry: Under $543 (below today's low)
* Target: $540 → $535
* Stop: Over $550 reclaim
* Contract: 0DTE/2DTE $545P or $540P for gamma scalping
* Note: Dealer hedging is directional, be precise and fast
🐂 Relief Bounce Setup (Low Conviction)
* Only valid if SPY reclaims $550 and shows slowing momentum
* Possible dead-cat bounce to $555–$560
* Prefer spreads due to high IV and fast time decay
📌 Key Levels Summary
HVL (Former Support) $560 Gamma flip zone — now resistance
Gamma Pivot $550 Broke down — keep an eye on it
Support Zone $542.20 Session low
Downside Target $540 → $535 If gamma slide continues
💭 My Thoughts: This Is a Gamma Meltdown
Today’s tariff headlines sparked a reflexive gamma cycle — as dealers flipped from long to short gamma, they were forced to hedge dynamically, driving SPY deeper into a liquidity vacuum.
This is not your regular dip — it’s a liquidity and dealer flow event, so everything moves faster, with wild swings possible into the close or tomorrow.
Unless SPY reclaims HVL at $560 fast, expect continuation or chop within this danger zone. VIX rising + GEX red = recipe for pain.
📢 Final Notes:
* Use defined risk.
* Don’t overstay puts.
* Gamma moves cut both ways — expect volatility.
* Track GEX hourly if possible.
Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and protect your capital.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-3 : GAP Breakaway PatternFirst off, thank you for all the great comments and accolades related to my calling this breakdown (nearly 60+ days ago).
Did I get lucky having these new tariffs announced, causing the markets to break downward? Probably.
Did my research suggest the markets were going to break downward anyway? YES.
Did my research predict these tariffs? NO.
My research is specifically price-based. You'll notice I don't use many indicators, other than my proprietary price pressure and momentum indicators.
The purpose of what I'm trying to teach all of you is that price is the ultimate indicator. You can use other indicators if you find them helpful. But, you should focus on the price chart and try to learn as much as you can from the price chart (without any indicators).
Why, because I believe price tells us everything we need to know and we can react to price more efficiently than getting confused by various technical indicators.
At least, that is what I've found to be true.
Today's pattern suggests more selling is likely. After the markets open, I suggest there will be a bunch of longs that will quickly be exited and shorts that will be exited (pulling profits). Thus, I believe the first 30-60 minutes of trading could be extremely volatile.
My extended research suggests the markets will continue to try to move downward (over the next 60+ days) attempting to find the Ultimate Low. But, at this point, profits are profits and we all need to BOOK THEM if we have them.
We can always reposition for the next breakdown trade when the timing is right.
Gold and Silver are moving into a PANIC selling phase. This should be expected after the big tariff news. Metals will recover over the next 3-5+ days. Get ready.
BTCUSD is really not moving on this news. Kinda odd. Where is BTCUSD as a hedge or alternate store of value? I don't see it happening in price.
What I do see is that BTCUSD is somewhat isolated from this tariff news and somewhat isolated from the global economy. It's almost as if BTCUSD exists on another planet - away from global economic factors.
Still, I believe BTCUSD will continue to consolidate, attempting to break downward over the next 30+ days.
Remember, trading is about BOOKING PROFITS and moving onto the next trade. That is what we all need to focus on today.
Get Some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
SPY Update + Learn & Understand the concept below!!Red vs. Teal has been the storyline for this downward momentum and it continues to be as we saw a strong hold from (bullish) red earlier in the week and after rejecting off of teal yesterday, this subsequent gap down that we're currently seeing.
If we've built enough bearish liquidity utilizing our green controlled buying, we can see this dump penetrate this 547 support level and continue deeper with a mid-term target in the low $500's.
However, if sufficient liquidity hasn't been built, per the laws of S&D, we will need to continue higher for a bit to grab more sellers and soak up more buyers prior to that penetration.
Whenever the move seems too obvious in the market, expect it to look that way purposely and for it to be a trap. Get you to sell when it's so obviously bearish - and then the market pushes up as you realize that everyone who sold is the reason why it's going to now push up - big money will force you and the others to buy back your sells at a higher price/loss and that's where big money then swoops in, when things maybe started to look a bit bullish, and pushes the market down by selling back to you all your stop loss buys in one fell swoop!
Learn this concept, understand it, and your trading will change forever. That knowledge combined with an understanding of how the algorithms inform the market's liquidity, is why I draw so many lines on my chart.
Happy Trading :)
Franco trade 0.0//@version=5
strategy("OBV + Moving Averages Strategy", overlay=true)
// 參數設置
length_OBV = input(1, "OBV 增量") // OBV的變動閥值
length_maVolume = input(50, "50日均量") // 50日均量
length_maShort = input(5, "5日均線") // 5日均線
length_maLong = input(13, "13日均線") // 13日均線
take_profit = input(0.1, "止盈比例 (10%)") // 10%止盈
stop_loss = input(0.05, "止損比例 (5%)") // 5%止損
// 計算技術指標
obvValue = ta.cum(ta.volume * math.sign(ta.change(close))) // OBV指標
maVolume = ta.sma(volume, length_maVolume) // 50日均量
maShort = ta.sma(close, length_maShort) // 5日均線
maLong = ta.sma(close, length_maLong) // 13日均線
// 買入條件
buy_condition = ta.crossover(maShort, maLong) and // 5日均線上穿13日均線
obvValue > ta.highest(obvValue , length_OBV) and // OBV創新高
volume > maVolume // 成交量大於50日均量
// 賣出條件
sell_condition = ta.crossunder(maShort, maLong) or // 5日均線跌破13日均線
obvValue < ta.lowest(obvValue , length_OBV) or // OBV走弱
strategy.position_size > 0 and (strategy.position_avg_price * (1 + take_profit) < close or // 達到止盈目標
strategy.position_avg_price * (1 - stop_loss) > close) // 達到止損目標
// 執行交易策略
if buy_condition
strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long)
if sell_condition
strategy.close("Long")