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One More Close and SPY Will be Running!!!Typically I share the signals of my King Trading Momentum Strategy, which combines the 5 EMA crossing above the 13 EMA, RSI strength, favorable momentum as measured by ADX plus evaluating recent volume changes and even a little thing called Beta! But this time it is all about technical analysis. On SPY I originally thought we truncated wave 5 but now that we closed above the all-time high just one more close higher to confirm and this one is off to the races. Today it even retested breakout, held and bounced hard higher into close (super bullish). Impulsive waves are important to me with my momentum strategy, as instead of chasing missed opportunities I simply take the next signal on the hourly, as the strategy is optimized for over 100 beloved equities (if enabled in options)! There is always another trade when SPY goes impulsive! Currently signals have fired on TNA, SPXL, SOXL, TQQQ & UDOW (3x leveraged ETFs) just to name a few. If that doesn't make you feel bullish then I'm not sure what will!
AMEX:SPYLong
by KingTrading999
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Post Market Update : Big Squeeze CloseToday is quite a day in terms of trading volatility and volume. We've not seen a low-volume day like today in the SPY for more than a year. It is very likely this rally near the close of trading was more of a short-squeeze and not really a momentum breakout. We'll see how things play out tomorrow. But, I'm not budging related to my expectations of a breakdown in the markets over the next 5-10+ days. I see this market as completely over-cooked to the upside - and it seems to be evident in the lack of buying volume playing out. My Custom Crash index is flat and topping. My Custom Volatility Index is flat and topping. My Custom US Leading Index is actually LOWER so far this week. One thing is certain, there is a lot of open "air" below the 598 level on the SPY. Buckle Up. When it breaks - it may be a BIG BREAKDOWN setting up. Get Some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
4
Spy Road T0 $615Is it here? Yes indeed it is! We will see $615 according to Me and The Trading Of Future Prediction, We may open Lower Tuesday Morning Approximately 604-606 Before pushing up to 615 this week... If you want to Trade and become a better Trader i suggest you watch the future of trading which the content is out now... So if your longing Spy at the moment be prepared for a possibly brief open to the downside before heading up and finishing to about 615 this week..... and as always good luck traders and safe trades
AMEX:SPYLong
by JoeWtrades
3
Opening (IRA): SOXL March 28th 20 Covered Call... for a 18.91 debit. Comments: I wanted to take advantage of this little bit of weakness here, but at less risk than what I ordinarily take, giving me more "room to be wrong." Here, selling the -84 delta calls against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short calls. Additionally, it's at strikes better than what I currently have on ... . Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 18.91 Max Profit: 1.09 ROC at Max: 5.76% 50% Max: .55 ROC at 50% Max: 2.88%
AMEX:SOXLLong
by NaughtyPines
2
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-18 : GAP PotentialAs the markets continue to struggle to break away from the current consolidated/sideways price trend, one thing is certain: The current FLAG/EPP pattern is setting up an explosive price move. My expectations are for a price breakdown, as my predictive modeling and GANN Cycle Patterns suggest that Major Bottoms will set up near February 21 and March 21-23. These major Bottoms suggest a strong potential for a price breakdown, reflecting uncertainty for the first half of 2025. Additionally, I believe the strength of the US Dollar is driving a "Capital Shift," where foreign capital is actively moving away from currency and economic risks, pooling aggressively into the safest currency and assets. This translates into capital pooling into US, UK, and EURO assets to avoid broader currency devaluation events. The dynamics of the global markets are very interesting right now. The influx of capital into the strongest economies with the strongest currencies may present a MELT-UP type of market trend. However, the uncertainty related to future US economic growth and performance may prompt some deep downturns/pullbacks in price. I don't see how the US markets can move past the economic turmoil of broad government restructuring until after June/July 2025. Therefore, I continue to urge traders to stay cautious of any melt-up trend. The markets want to move higher, but there are currently extreme volatility risks related to any potential price breakdowns. I'm watching Gold/Silver and Bitcoin to see if we move back into any euphoric phase. And right now, I'm seeing metals starting to move into a type of panic selloff while Bitcoin is struggling to regain any real strength. The continued sideways trend of Bitcoin leads me to believe the euphoria is diminishing, and reality may be setting in. That means we may be in for a bumpy ride over the next 90+ days. Stay fluid and stay cautious of any big breakdowns. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Feb 18 Expected move on the day is between 606 - 614 Expected move on Wednesday’s contract 614 - 615 30 Day average is a bit wider 603 - 617 so might not be a bad plan to find the midpoint as well. Everything between 615 and 617 is extreme overbought and likewise everything between 614 and 613 is extreme oversold on the day. That downtrend line that is facing down is NOT downward momentum. Look to the Moving averages instead. 30min 200 MA is FLAT We are just underneath ATH’s here and if we break above 614 is the next target on the day Underneath us we have the 35EMA and at the very bottom we have the 30min 200MA which is FLAT These two are bullish here after inflation data. Bullish - but overbought - with Flat momentum. Let’s GOOOOOOOO
AMEX:SPY
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
SPY Stock Analysis & GEX Options Insights – Feb. 18Technical Analysis (TA) for SPY * Current Price Action: SPY is in a strong uptrend, consolidating near $610, which is a key resistance level. The price is showing signs of exhaustion but remains bullish. * Support & Resistance Levels: * Immediate Resistance: $610 – If SPY breaks and holds above this, it could see more upside. * Next Resistance: $615 – Aligns with the 2nd Call Wall from GEX data. * Major Resistance: $620 – A significant resistance level where price may struggle. * First Support: $607 – If SPY pulls back, this could be the first bounce zone. * Major Support: $600 – A break below this level would shift the momentum bearish. * Critical Breakdown Level: $595 – Losing this level could lead to a larger sell-off. * Indicators: * MACD: Flat, indicating that SPY is in consolidation mode at resistance. * Stochastic RSI: Oversold, suggesting a potential short-term bounce. Options Flow & GEX Analysis * GEX (Gamma Exposure): * Highest Positive NetGEX / Call Resistance: $620 – The most critical resistance area. * 94.55% Call Wall: $615 – A major resistance zone that could cap further upside. * 72.37% Call Wall: $610 – SPY is testing this level, and a breakout could be bullish. * Put Wall Support: $600 – The strongest downside support based on options positioning. * 3rd Put Wall: $595 – A key level to watch if SPY starts breaking down. * IV & Sentiment: * IV Rank (IVR): 13.9 → Low implied volatility, meaning options are cheaper. * IVx Avg: 13.9 → A stable volatility level. * Options Sentiment: Puts = 74.8% → A heavy bearish positioning in options flow, possibly hedging against downside risk. Trade Setups 📈 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play): * Entry: Above $610 with strong volume. * Target: $615, then $620 (Gamma Squeeze Potential). * Stop Loss: Below $607. 📉 Bearish Scenario (Breakdown Play): * Entry: Below $607. * Target: $600 or $595 (Put Support). * Stop Loss: Above $610. Final Thoughts * SPY remains bullish but is facing strong resistance at $610. * A breakout above $610 could lead to a rally toward $615-$620. * A failure to hold $607 might trigger a pullback to $600 or lower. * Best Trade Approach: Watch for confirmation of a breakout above $610 or breakdown below $607 before entering a trade. 🚨 This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade responsibly and manage risk! 🚨
AMEX:SPYLong
by BullBearInsights
2
$QQQ Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Feb 18 Alright so options for QQQ havn’t expanded out yet so this is the setup for 30D average volatility for today (tues), Wednesdays implied move is in the middle and Fridays Contract on the far right. We closed last week just under ATH’s Futures already gapping us over that but look how overbought we are here. Top of the implied move on tomorrow’s contract 544 35EMA underneath us and we are still bullish there so look to that level as support Looking bullish here - just overbought.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
$KBE’S BANKING BOOM—Q4 STRENGTH & POST-ELECTION SURGEAMEX:KBE ’S BANKING BOOM—Q4 STRENGTH & POST-ELECTION SURGE (1/9) Good morning, Tradingview! AMEX:KBE ’s riding high—up 8.3% since the Nov ‘24 election, beating AMEX:SPY ’s 3.3% 📈🔥. Banks are cashing in on trading and dealmaking post-election. Let’s dive into the AMEX:KBE rally! 🚀 (2/9) – PERFORMANCE & REVENUE • Post-Election Gain: +8.3% vs. AMEX:SPY +3.3% 💥 • Q4 Revenue Growth: Holdings ( NYSE:GS , NYSE:JPM , NYSE:BAC ) up 5-10% YoY • Sector EPS Est.: +7-8% for Q4 2024 Fixed income trading and investment banking are fueling the fire! (3/9) – BIG EVENTS • Pro-Business Vibes: Deregulation hopes lift sentiment 🏛️ • M&A/IPO Surge: Banks thriving in deal flow 📊 • NYSE:GS Q4 Est.: GPW:11B + revenue, +5-7% YoY 🚗 X posts buzz about a banking renaissance! (4/9) – SECTOR SHOWDOWN • AMEX:KBE : +8.3% vs. AMEX:XLF +6%, AMEX:IWM +5.4% 🌍 • Forward P/E: ~10x ( AMEX:KBE ) vs. 12x ( AMEX:XLF ), 20x ( AMEX:SPY ) • P/B: 1.2x vs. AMEX:XLF ’s 1.5x Undervalued vs. peers, but banking focus shines! (5/9) – RISKS TO WATCH • Rates: Rising costs could pinch margins 📉 • Trade Policy: Tariffs might slow deals ⚠️ • Loan Demand: Weakness or credit dips a threat 🏦 • Sentiment: Undervaluation lingers—earnings key! (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS • Trading Power: FICC up 10% in Q4 🌟 • Dealmaking: Top banks lead M&A/IPO surge 🔍 • Low Cost: 0.35% expense ratio beats most 🚦 AMEX:KBE ’s got muscle in the banking game! (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES • Weaknesses: Cyclical reliance, bank-only focus 💸 • Opportunities: Deregulation, 10-15% earnings pop in ‘25 🌍 Can AMEX:KBE cash in on policy and growth? (8/9) – AMEX:KBE ’s Q4 strength—where’s it going? 1️⃣ Bullish—Banks keep soaring. 2️⃣ Neutral—Growth holds, risks balance. 3️⃣ Bearish—Rate woes hit hard. Vote below! 🗳️👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY AMEX:KBE ’s Q4 glows—trading and deals lift banks high 🌍. Cheap at 10x P/E, but risks lurk. Undervalued gem or cyclical trap?
AMEX:KBELong
by DCAChampion
8
Emerging Markets Are Breaking Higher; Be Aware Of Lower USDollarEmerging markets, represented by the EEM chart, have been trending lower since October 2024 in what appears to be a complex W-X-Y corrective pattern. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) experienced a strong rally, driven by Trump’s victory in the US elections. However, the rally formed a wedge pattern, which suggests that its upside momentum may be coming to an end. Why is the correlation between EEM and DXY important? If the Trump administration pushes oil prices lower, inflation expectations could also decline. This would likely lead to lower interest rates, which in turn could weigh on the USD. In such a scenario, capital may flow out of the US and into emerging markets. Now that EEM is recovering and breaking above a key channel resistance, it signals that bullish momentum is returning. If this trend continues on EEM to 2024 highs, then DXY could decline to the 105–103 range—or possibly even as low as 100.
AMEX:EEM
by ew-forecast
Setting Up For Big MoveThe up and down motion is a clear precursor for a big move and while the current price action is up....but as yet with out big strong price movement up. As of yet we keep bouncing and moving up and yet not yet breaking any new big territory. A ceiling? Distribution and the load up of shorts for the big rug pull downward to fill the gap? Or consolidation and chewing and coiling before breaking out above. Tempting to choose the later. But my nagging intuition is telling me the gap fill below. Hard for me to jump in low for anything other than a scalp. Holding puts for the possible rug pull. I've been wrong many times before but there's no harm in placing small bets with limited downside for the possible big winner. Too high and too much resistance and gap fill below for me to risk the long (at least for me since I play SP500 futures). Time will tell.
AMEX:SPY
by tbuckle
8
SPY is forming a triangle ...My previous chart may still be valid, but I will build on it with a new chart. We are seeing a triangle formation with the tip forming on Feb. 12. We should see the market breakout, either up or down before the tip. (I typically switch to the hourly charts when drawing my triangle formations to get a more precise drawing. But oftentimes, that will make the lines on the daily chart not match up exactly.) I am NOT a fundamental trader (I am a technical trader) but I find the technical indicators tend to coincide with fundamental reasonings or explanations. Donald Trump stated on Friday, Feb 7th, he will announce tariffs on many countries next week so it would make sense that the market would move next week following the announcement. From a technical trading point of view, the market could go up or down closer to the tip of the triangle. Breakouts of triangle pattern usually occur 2/3 to 3/4 of the triangle length, so the SPY could move outside the triangle before the tip (Feb 28). The triangle pattern is usually considered a continuation pattern which means the market will continue in the direction it was moving before the triangle started. This pattern should usually have at least 5 touches of support and resistance. (You can get any of this information from the internet.) I think there are 3 aspects to trading: 1) Being able to read the charts so you have an idea where the market is going. 2) Being able to choose the correct trade strategy for the market conditions. You do not want to put a bullish trade when the market is bearish and vice versa. There are also certain trades where you can make money when the market is trading sideways with a non-directional trading strategy or a different trade if the market is extremely volatile. You can apply an iron condor, a credit spread, debit spread or butterfly trade depending on the market conditions. All trading strategies have their own risks and rewards. 3) Knowing details, both the positives and negatives about your brokerage which can really elevate your trading. MORE THEORY … which I have stated before. I am using the Heikin Ashi candlesticks. Why Heikin Ashi candlesticks? 1) They show more of a directional movement within candlesticks. 2) They tend to filter out the market noise so you can see the market direction better. 3) It reduces false signals, allowing you to stay in the trade longer. 4) And, it gives you a smoother appearance making it easier to see trends and reversals. (This information is from Dr. Keith Wade who speaks at the Wealth365 Summits.) I personally find: * the 5 minute indicators typically represent what will happen in the next half and hour. * the 10 minute indicators typically represent what will happen in the next hour. * the 30 minute indicators typically represent what will happen in the daily. * and, the hour indicators typically represent what will happen in the next week. Typically, I would wait until there are 2 green Heikin Ashi green candlesticks before entering. I still tend to switch back and forth between Heikin Ashi candlesticks and regular candlesticks since regular candlesticks are what I am familiar with and have been using since I started trading. I use the MacD, the Stock RSI and the DMI to assist me with the direction of the market. I am not perfect at them. I will hopefully try to explain these in future trading charts. I am trying to take trading classes through Udemy, mostly because they are cheap. I usually wait for a sale where the courses are as low as $14.99 instead of paying over $100 per course during the rest of the year. As well, you may be able to get access to Udemy through your local library depending on where you live. www.udemy.com I always try to attend the free Wealth365 Summit which is held about 4 times a year where I always pick up some more useful information. I believe the next week long summit will be around April. Again, I am not affiliated with this company in any way. www.wealth365.com I really like writing up these charts and always learn something new with each chart I draw. The first one is always the hardest but I encourage everyone to draw a chart at least once. Drawing charts was one of the best things I did to improve my trading. Don’t be afraid to make a mistake. Mistakes don't need to be avoided or feared. They help move you forward. Happy trading, everyone!
AMEX:SPYLong
by Princessgirl
3
$IWM RECAP of Last Week Feb 10-14 YOU DON’T WANT TO GO LONG AT A DOWNWARD FACING MOVING AVERAGE - And in Friday’s Trading Range we had two of them. The 50 Day Moving average and the 30min 200MA and we got SMACKed back down after gapping over those on Friday. So Last Week was inflation Data. Monday we opened under the 35EMA and the 35EMA was underneath the 30min 200MA. That is a bearish signal. You can see how it acted as resistance and Tuesday we followed through with a gap down. Wednesday was CPI which came in hot and we gapped down to start the day and then traded up but still closed in the red. Thursday was PPI which was also hot and that brought us back to the 35EMA and we closed above it. Friday we made a run for the 50 Day moving average and opened with a gap above it - and you don’t want to go long at a downward facing moving average. Just a general rule of thumb and the 50 Day MA has a pretty decent downward momentum teamed up with the 30min 200MA that was going to get smacked. It just was. IWM closed flat on Friday -.08%
AMEX:IWM
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading