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SPY is going up and into the New YearThe SPY will start going up and continue into the New Year for about 14 days which has been the average upward movement in the past few months. I typically use Heikin Ashi Candlesticks as they show more of a directional move as opposed to regular candles. However, since I have used regular candles in the past, I tend to switch back and forth until I get more comfortable with the Heinkin Ashi Candlesticks. You can see my past posts on why I favour the Heinkin Ashi Candlesticks. Typically, you are only supposed to enter after you see 2 green candlesticks of the Heikin Ashi Candlesticks. In the past, there has been an average move of 34 points on the SPY which would make the target point of 614. (There has been an extreme move of 53 points, but I think that is unlikely. That would make the target equal to 633. But that is an extreme point not a likely point.) The Fibonacci number of 1.618 is 624. This is a good second target point. My time target is about a 12 to 14 day move. This would make Jan 9th the time target. If the SPY hits any one of those targets I am out of my trade. Happy Trading!! In the last few days of the month of January or beginning of February, I suspect the market will start to head lower for that one month. But I will address that in my next chart. The market can always change between now and then. Summary: 34 point move= 614 1.618 fib move=624 12 day move = Jan 9th **can be an extreme move of 53 points, but unlikely= 633 There is an online trading conference/summit I try to attend every 3 to 4 months where I have gotten some of my ideas from. The next one is from Jan 13th - 18th called Wealth365 You can register for the event at www.wealth365.com
AMEX:SPYLong
by Princessgirl
6
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12/30 : GAP ReversalThis week should resolve as a Momentum Rally in the SPY/QQQ. Yet, I believe price action will be very volatile as we are still transitioning through the holidays. Overall, I expect the SPY/QQQ to attempt to mount a fairly solid rally this week - possibly attempting to reach new All-Time highs again. Then, I believe the SPY/QQQ will move into an extended topping pattern over the next 2+ weeks - resulting in a breakdown trend after the Inauguration. Gold and Silver appear to be trying to base/bottom and we may see a decent rally in metals this week. I hope so because I don't believe Metals should be this low compared to the risk factors throughout the global markets. Bitcoin is transitioning through an EPP pattern Flag breakdown event. If this continues, I suspect we'll see a downward price move targeting $74k before the end of January 2025. Remember, my Daily/Weekly Cycle Patterns are designed to help us plan and prepare for market opportunities. No, they are not 100% perfect all the time. But I don't know of anything else that can attempt to accurately identify price trends, setups, events weeks and months into the future. 2025 is going to be a great year for traders. Remember, it is all about what you can do with the information I share to profit from these moves. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
SPY in a Crucial Zone! Scalping, Swing, and Options StrategiesScalping Analysis for SPY: 1. Support and Resistance Levels: * Immediate support at $594 (key gamma wall and major put support). * Resistance near $599-$602 (gamma resistance and call wall). 2. Key Indicators: * 9 EMA & 21 EMA: Price is below both EMAs on the hourly timeframe, suggesting bearish short-term momentum. * MACD: Early signs of a bullish crossover, indicating potential reversal. 3. Scalping Plan: * Bearish Scenario: * Entry: On rejection near $599-$600. * Target: $594, $591. * Stop Loss: Above $602. * Bullish Scenario: * Entry: Breakout above $599 with strong volume. * Target: $602, $605. * Stop Loss: Below $596. Swing/Day Trading Analysis for SPY: 1. Trendlines: * SPY is retesting its recent consolidation zone between $594-$599. A decisive breakout or breakdown will define the next trend. 2. GEX Analysis: * Call resistance at $602-$605 indicates difficulty for bulls in breaching higher levels. * Strong put support at $594 and $591 highlights a potential floor for the downside. 3. Trade Scenarios: * Bullish Swing: * Entry: Above $599 with confirmation or bounce from $594 with support validation. * Target: $605, $610. * Stop Loss: Below $592. * Bearish Swing: * Entry: Below $594 with retest confirmation. * Target: $591, $587. * Stop Loss: Above $596. Options Play with GEX Insights: 1. High GEX Areas: * Call Wall: $602, $605. * Put Wall: $594, $591. 2. Suggested Options Strategy: * Bullish Play: * Buy Jan 5th $600 Call if SPY breaks and sustains above $599 with volume. * Target: Move toward $602-$605. * Risk: Below $596. * Bearish Play: * Buy Jan 5th $590 Put if SPY breaks below $594. * Target: $591-$587. * Risk: Above $596. 3. Options Oscillator Metrics: * IVR (17.2%) suggests reasonable premiums for options strategies. * Puts skew (65.3%) indicates stronger bearish sentiment near current levels. Insights: * SPY is trading at a key pivot level, with strong gamma resistance at $599-$602 and put support at $594. The breakout or breakdown from this zone will likely drive the next significant move. * Volume Focus: Look for volume confirmation around $594 or $599 to validate the directional move. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage risk.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
Long positions are favored for SPY next week as bullish momentum - Key Insights: SPY has exhibited strong bullish trends recently, supported by positive economic indicators and robust corporate earnings reports. Market sentiment remains optimistic, buoyed by strong consumer spending and favorable employment data, suggesting resilience in the economy. - Price Targets: Next week targets: T1 = 610.00 T2 = 620.00 Stop levels: S1 = 588.00 S2 = 580.00 - Recent Performance: SPY has shown a notable upward trend over the past month, rising approximately 7% amidst positive market sentiments. Volatility has decreased, indicating a potential stabilization in price, as investors respond favorably to earnings season and macroeconomic data. - Expert Analysis: Analysts maintain a predominantly bullish outlook on SPY, citing strong support levels and increasing institutional investment. Many experts highlight that this upward trend is likely to continue as market fundamentals remain solid, with ongoing interest in technology and healthcare sectors. - News Impact: Recent headlines around potentially favorable Federal Reserve policies and infrastructure spending are contributing to positive sentiment toward SPY. Additionally, ongoing global trade developments are closely watched, as any favorable resolution could further bolster SPY's performance in the coming weeks.
AMEX:SPYLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Looking to Short TLT Next Week as Market Sentiment Shifts- Key Insights: TLT has been facing increasing pressure due to rising interest rates and inflation concerns. Trader sentiment appears cautious, reflecting a potential continuation of downward trends. With the Fed's signal towards maintaining a hawkish stance, bond prices are likely to remain under pressure in the near term. - Price Targets: Next week targets are T1=84.5, T2=83.0. Stop levels are S1=89.5, S2=90.5. This structure supports a short position considering current market trends. - Recent Performance: TLT has been on a decline, reflecting broader market reactions to interest rate hike expectations. The last trading sessions have seen fluctuations, but the overall trend points towards bearish sentiment. - Expert Analysis: Analysts suggest that TLT faces headwinds from economic data indicating stronger growth, leading to expectations of continued interest rate increases. The consensus is predominantly negative, with many traders positioning for further declines. - News Impact: Recent economic reports highlighting job growth and inflation have intensified talks of rate hikes, negatively impacting TLT's performance. Additionally, geopolitical tensions and market volatility contribute to uncertainty, pushing investors away from long positions in bonds.
NASDAQ:TLTShort
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Long QQQ Next Week: Target Gains While Watching Key Levels- Key Insights: QQQ continues to show strength as it capitalizes on tech sector momentum. Analysts predict that recent advancements in AI and cloud technologies will sustain interest in major NASDAQ-listed companies. Given favorable macroeconomic indicators, there’s strong potential for upward movement in QQQ. - Price Targets: Next week targets are T1=555, T2=570; Stop levels are S1=510, S2=505. - Recent Performance: Over the past week, QQQ has experienced modest gains, propelled by positive earnings reports from key constituents. The index has been resilient despite broader market fluctuations, demonstrating an underlying bullish sentiment from buyers. - Expert Analysis: Experts express optimism with a consensus that QQQ is well- positioned for continued gains. The sentiment is bolstered by constructive technical indicators and a solid economic backdrop. Many recommend strategic entry points, especially after temporary pullbacks. - News Impact: Recent news highlights developments in the tech sector, including significant partnerships and innovations. An increase in consumer spending on technology products has also positively influenced market perceptions around QQQ's holdings, reinforcing bullish sentiment.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Technical Analysis Idea for SPYChart Pattern Identification: Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern: Left Shoulder: Look for a decline followed by a minor rally, forming the left shoulder. Head: A further decline creating a lower trough, forming the head. Right Shoulder: A subsequent rally and decline forming a higher low, creating the right shoulder. Neckline: Draw a trendline connecting the peaks of the left shoulder and the head. This line acts as a resistance level. Entry and Exit Strategy: Entry Point: Consider entering a long position when the price breaks above the neckline with strong volume, confirming the pattern. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the right shoulder to manage risk. Target Price: Measure the distance from the head to the neckline and project it upwards from the breakout point to set a target price. Squeeze Momentum Indicator: Confluence Signal: Use the squeeze momentum indicator to confirm the breakout. Look for a shift from red to green bars, indicating increasing bullish momentum. Momentum Confirmation: Ensure the squeeze dots turn from black to green, signaling the end of a consolidation phase and the start of a potential upward move. Additional Considerations: Volume Analysis: Confirm the breakout with a significant increase in volume, supporting the validity of the pattern. Market Context: Consider broader market trends and news that might impact SPY's price movement. PYTH:SPY AMEX:SPY
AMEX:SPYLong
by CapitalGainz33
1
QQQ Testing Major Zones! Scalping, Swing, and Options OpportunitScalping Analysis for QQQ: 1. Support and Resistance Levels: * Support at $520 (key gamma wall and recent horizontal level). * Resistance near $523 (HVL) and $531 (call wall and gamma resistance). 2. Key Indicators: * 9 EMA & 21 EMA: Price is below both EMAs on the hourly timeframe, signaling short-term bearish momentum. * MACD: Bullish crossover forming, suggesting potential upward momentum if confirmed by price action. 3. Scalping Plan: * Bearish Scenario: * Entry: On rejection near $523-$525. * Target: $520, $515. * Stop Loss: Above $526. * Bullish Scenario: * Entry: Breakout above $523 with strong volume. * Target: $526, $531. * Stop Loss: Below $521. Swing/Day Trading Analysis for QQQ: 1. Trendlines: * QQQ recently broke below a short-term upward trendline but is attempting to retest support at $520. Watch for a breakout or breakdown to confirm direction. 2. GEX Analysis: * Strong resistance at $531 and $535 (gamma resistance). * Major put support at $520 and $515. 3. Trade Scenarios: * Bullish Swing: * Entry: On a breakout above $523 or bounce from $520 with confirmation. * Target: $526, $531. * Stop Loss: Below $519. * Bearish Swing: * Entry: Below $520 with a retest. * Target: $515, $510. * Stop Loss: Above $522. Options Play with GEX Insights: 1. High GEX Areas: * Call Wall: $531, $535. * Put Wall: $520, $515. 2. Suggested Options Strategy: * Bullish Play: * Buy Jan 5th $525 Call if QQQ breaks and sustains above $523 with volume. * Target: Move toward $526-$531. * Risk: Below $521. * Bearish Play: * Buy Jan 5th $515 Put if QQQ breaks below $520. * Target: $515-$510. * Risk: Above $522. 3. Options Oscillator Metrics: * Low IVR (15.5%) indicates relatively cheap premiums, favoring directional trades. * Puts skew (36.9%) suggests stronger bearish sentiment near current levels. Insights: * QQQ is at a key inflection point between $520 and $523, with major resistance overhead at $531. A breakout or breakdown will signal the next major move. * Volume Importance: Monitor for a surge in trading volume to validate directional moves, especially near $520 or $523. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage risk.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by BullBearInsights
IWM at Critical Levels! Scalping, Swing, and Options InsightsScalping Analysis for IWM: 1. Support and Resistance Levels: * Immediate support near $221 (put wall and HVL). * Resistance at $226 (gamma resistance and call wall). 2. Key Indicators: * 9 EMA & 21 EMA: Price is testing the EMAs on the hourly timeframe. A rejection here could lead to further downside, while a breakout suggests a bullish move. * MACD: Currently neutral with a potential bullish crossover. Wait for confirmation. 3. Scalping Plan: * Bearish Scenario: * Entry: On rejection near $224-$226. * Target: $221, $218. * Stop Loss: Above $227. * Bullish Scenario: * Entry: Breakout above $226 with volume confirmation. * Target: $227, $232. * Stop Loss: Below $224. Swing/Day Trading Analysis for IWM: 1. Trendlines: * IWM is forming a consolidation zone. A breakout above $226 or breakdown below $221 will provide a clear directional move. 2. GEX Analysis: * Strong resistance at $226-$227 (gamma resistance and call wall). * Solid support at $221 (HVL) and $218 (put wall). 3. Trade Scenarios: * Bullish Swing: * Entry: Above $226 with strong volume or on a pullback to $221 with support confirmation. * Target: $232, $236. * Stop Loss: Below $224. * Bearish Swing: * Entry: Below $221 on breakdown confirmation. * Target: $218, $215. * Stop Loss: Above $223. Options Play with GEX Insights: 1. High GEX Areas: * Call Wall: $226, $227. * Put Wall: $221, $218. 2. Suggested Options Strategy: * Bullish Play: * Buy Jan 5th $226 Call if IWM breaks above $226 with volume. * Target: Move toward $227-$232. * Risk: Below $224. * Bearish Play: * Buy Jan 5th $220 Put if IWM breaks below $221. * Target: $218-$215. * Risk: Above $223. 3. Options Oscillator Metrics: * IVR (20.7%) suggests moderately priced premiums for options strategies. * Low GEX (1.8%) implies limited gamma influence but still highlights significant zones at $226 (resistance) and $221 (support). Insights: * IWM is trading near a pivotal level at $221, with significant resistance overhead at $226. A clear breakout or breakdown from this range will define the next move. * Volume Confirmation: Watch for a surge in volume near $221 or $226 to confirm directional bias. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage risk.
AMEX:IWM
by BullBearInsights
Introducing the Safe Risk Advisor SystemIntroducing the Safe Risk Advisor System: Combining Fundamentals and Technicals for Long-Term Success Hello, fellow traders and investors! I’ve been part of the trading world for several years and have honed my approach to focus on "Weekly Trend Following" and medium-to-long-term investments, rather than the more common short-term strategies. My goal is to share insights from my unique system, the Safe Risk Advisor System , which combines the best of fundamental analysis and technical analysis (Elliott Wave Theory) to identify high-quality investment opportunities. Key Features of the Safe Risk Advisor System Sector Analysis: Objective: Identify sectors likely to outperform the S&P 500 over a medium-term horizon (several months). Method: Using Elliott Wave Theory, I pinpoint sectors in confirmed upward trends. Traffic Light System: Example Application: I’ve applied this approach to the technology sector and would love to share charts and insights to demonstrate its practical use. Stock Selection: Fundamental Analysis: Inspired by the principles in the book Valuation, I use fundamental ratios to identify high-quality stocks with long-term growth potential. Elliott Wave Theory: Helps avoid premature investments during downtrends. Guides entry timing based on impulsive wave patterns (1, 2, 3, 4, 5). Wave 5 serves as a signal to reduce exposure and seek new opportunities. Risk Management with ATR Channels: ATR Channels play a vital role in identifying trend strength and managing risk effectively. Why Follow My Insights? If you’re interested in strategies that blend long-term vision with the precision of technical tools, my system might offer you a fresh perspective. I’ll be sharing regular updates, including sector analyses and actionable ideas, designed to empower traders and investors with a focus on sustainable trends. What’s Next? I’m currently writing an eBook that outlines the Safe Risk Advisor System in detail. My ambition is to bridge the gap between fundamental and technical analysis to create a comprehensive guide for long-term investors. Follow me for more updates, and let’s explore opportunities in the market together! Happy trading! 🚀 Carlos Resendes
AMEX:XLKLong
by caresendes
1
TLT to double bottomTLT might revisit the $80-82 range before creating a double-bottom reversal pattern. Look at the RSI. I bet that the RSI will go down to the trendline and find support before bouncing. I would start DCAing out from $120 for 40% gain. --------------------- TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF) is an exchange-traded fund that primarily holds U.S. Treasury bonds with maturities of 20 years or more. As a result, TLT tends to be sensitive to changes in long-term interest rates. Why buy TLT? Interest Rate Outlook : Investors often purchase TLT when they expect long-term interest rates to fall. Declining rates increase bond prices, which can boost the value of TLT. Safe Haven : In times of market volatility or economic uncertainty, TLT can act as a defensive holding, because U.S. Treasuries are generally considered lower risk compared to stocks. Portfolio Diversification : Adding TLT to a portfolio can help diversify equity exposure and potentially reduce overall volatility.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by brian7683