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The TACO Trade Is Back!🌮 AMEX:SPY 📊 The Setup: The TACO trade ("Trump Always Chickens Out") continues to prove its resilience in the face of trade war headlines. The market dips sharply when tariffs are announced, and then surges back up as the news cycle turns, with Trump pausing or reversing his decisions. We’ve seen multiple examples of this year-to-date on the AMEX:SPY chart: 🔹 Trump Pauses Tariffs for Canada & Mexico – market bounces. 🔹 Trump Pauses Most Liberation Day Tariffs – another bounce. 🔹 Trump Floats Lowering Tariffs on China – bounce continues. 🔹 Trump Pushes Back EU Tariffs to July – market rips higher. It’s as if every tariff tantrum is followed by an inevitable rebound. Could this be the pattern to trade around for the next few months? At this point, it almost feels like we’re watching a predictable movie. Every new threat to impose tariffs or spark a trade war is just a scene in the “TACO” storyline, and the markets are starting to get used to the plot twist. Are we playing into an endless loop of fear and relief? Is this time different, or just the same old TACO? How much longer can we trust that the market will “chicken out” and bounce back every time tariffs are floated?
AMEX:SPY
by SmartSignalss
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-29 : Harami Inside patternToday's pattern suggests the SPY will stall within yesterday's body range and possibly trend a bit downward (after NVDA news/earnings). I don't see the markets really extending much higher today as we are moving into a sideways Harami pattern, then into a CRUSH pattern tomorrow. Gold and Silver are really making a big move higher this morning, which suggests traders are back to actively hedging against risk across the globe. BTCUSD is trading flat/sideways - looking for some direction and, obviously, NOT RALLYING right now. In my mind, the markets are struggling for direction, and Gold/Silver are showing that real risks are still elevated. I also highlight my new Pure Alpha TTScanner algo and the work I'm doing to try to help more traders. The best part about what I do is that I get to create solutions/tools for traders. I love it. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
8
CHILE Stock Market Technical and Fundamental PerspectivesChile’s stock market is primarily represented by several key indices, each with distinct characteristics and coverage: IGPA (Índice General de Precios de Acciones) BCS:SPCLXIGPA The IGPA is the broadest and most representative index, covering the majority of stocks traded on the Santiago Stock Exchange. It is a capitalization-weighted index, revised annually, and includes companies across all major sectors of the Chilean economy. As of May 2025, the IGPA reached a historic high of over 42,000 points, reflecting robust market performance. IPSA (Índice de Precios Selectivo de Acciones) BCS:SP_IPSA The IPSA is a more focused index, comprising the 40 most heavily traded stocks on the Santiago Stock Exchange. It is revised quarterly and serves as the benchmark for large-cap Chilean equities. S&P/CLX INTER Index 10 BCS:SPCLXIN10 This index tracks the 10 main Chilean stocks that also have American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) listed abroad, providing a bridge between local and international investors. STOXX® Chile Total Market Index This index aims to cover approximately 95% of Chile’s free-float market capitalization, with top components including major companies such as Falabella, Banco de Chile, LATAM Airlines Group, Cencosud, Banco Santander Chile, Empresas Copec, and Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile (SQM). Key Components The leading companies in Chile’s indices span various sectors: Financials: Banco de Chile, Banco Santander Chile, Banco de Crédito e Inversiones Retail: Falabella, Cencosud Utilities/Energy: Enel Américas, Empresas Copec Mining/Chemicals: Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile (SQM) Forestry/Paper: Empresas CMPC Airlines: LATAM Airlines Group Long-Term Technical Perspective and Recent Trends The Chilean stock market, as reflected by the IGPA and IPSA, has experienced a strong rally in 2025, with the major indices gaining over 25% year-to-date The MSCI Chile index currently presents a mixed technical picture. While long-term moving averages (200-day) signal a "buy," shorter-term indicators (5-100 day) are on "sell," and several oscillators (RSI, Stochastic, MACD) indicate oversold conditions or continued selling pressure. This suggests that, despite the recent rally, some short-term consolidation or correction could occur, but the long-term trend remains constructive. Fundamental breakdown The Santiago Stock Exchange’s market capitalization stands at approximately $187 billion, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.08, which is below both the emerging markets average (14.3) and the global average (22.12). This relatively low valuation, even after a significant rally, suggests Chilean equities remain attractive on a fundamental basis. The Chilean economy is projected to grow by 2.3% in 2025. Inflation has moderated to 4.5%, and the central bank’s benchmark interest rate is stable at 5%. The banking sector is particularly robust, with Banco de Chile reporting a 14.2% year-over-year increase in net income for Q1 2025. The mining sector, especially lithium, is poised for growth following major investments and Chile’s strategic push to regain global leadership in lithium production. The combination of strong fundamentals, sectoral diversity, and attractive valuations positions Chile’s stock market for steady long-term growth, though short-term volatility is possible as global and local conditions evolve. Conclusion Chile’s stock market demonstrates strong long-term potential, underpinned by solid economic fundamentals, sectoral strengths, and attractive valuations, though investors should remain mindful of cyclical corrections and global market influences. Thу main technical chart for CBOE:ECH - iShares MSCI Chile ETF (total return) points on massive 200-months SMA breakthrough, attempts to break long term 'descending top/ flat bottom' technical figure. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
CBOE:ECH
by PandorraResearch
Spy Monthly Close $595-$602📈 May is on track to close bullish with projected levels of $595–$602. This move is backed by the AlphaPulse™ Trading System: – Momentum signals confirm multi-timeframe strength – Anchored VWAP reclaimed from April highs – MACD bull cross + RSI holding strong (60–70 zone) – Price above SMA50/200 with elevated volume – Fibonacci 1.618 aligns with $602 target When anchored VWAP, MACD, RSI, volume, fibs, and AlphaPulse all align bullishly — and price structure supports clean higher lows — the probability of a May close between $595 and $602 becomes statistically favorable. 📈 Thesis Probability and Conditional Breakdown 🔷 Bullish Probability Estimate (May Close $595–$602): 📊 68% Probability of bullish continuation into $595–$602 Based on: Multi-timeframe confluence (MACD, RSI, AVWAP) No bearish divergences Volume + smart money alignment (AlphaPulse Bot) ✅ Bull Case (If $580 Holds): If price continues holding above $580, expect: Continuation wave toward $595 (local fib target) Acceleration into $602 (1.618 extension) if breakout holds above $596 Supported by: AVWAP control staying bullish MACD histogram expanding RSI maintaining >60 zone AlphaPulse breakout signal staying green 🎯 Target: $595–$602 📆 Timeframe: By May 30 close 🎯 Optional overshoot: $608 wick zone if volume spikes ⚠️ Bear Case Trigger (If $580 Breaks) If $580 fails on high volume or with RSI divergence, the setup shifts: Condition Bearish Implication Break below $580 Invalidates current higher low base MACD flips negative Signals momentum exhaustion RSI < 50 Enters bearish zone AlphaPulse Signal flips red Confirms structural breakdown 🔻 Downside Risk: If $580 fails, probability of bearish retrace to $567 = 75% $567 is the last demand support zone Also aligns with prior consolidation + rising SMA50 Below this, momentum cracks completely, and macro selling may accelerate 🧠 Final Note: “Above $580 = control remains with bulls. Below $580 = structure breaks, and $567 becomes the likely magnet.” AS always SafeTrades And JoeWtrades
AMEX:SPYLong
by JoeWtrades
3
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 29, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 29, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🚫 U.S. Trade Court Blocks Tariffs A federal trade court struck down key sections of President Trump’s steel and aluminum tariffs, sending U.S. stock futures sharply higher as investors anticipate reduced input costs for industrials and manufacturers 🌐 Markets Drift on Lack of Fresh Catalysts Global equity markets showed muted moves today—stocks dipped and bond yields rose—as traders awaited new drivers of direction, with Nvidia’s ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) mixed earnings doing little to spark a decisive trend 📈 Bond Yields Climb, Pressuring Equities The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield pushed above 4.6%, its highest in a month, on concerns over federal borrowing and fading rate-cut expectations, dragging the S&P 500 down more than 1% by midday 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Thursday, May 29: 8:30 AM ET: Advance Q1 GDP Provides the first estimate of U.S. economic growth in Q1, a critical gauge of recession risk and Fed policy direction. 8:30 AM ET: Personal Income & Spending (April) Tracks household earnings and outlays, offering insight into consumer resilience amid rising living costs. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
SPY (S&P 500 ETF) – 1H Smart Money Concepts Short SetupPublished by WaverVanir International LLC | 28 May 2025 🧠 Smart Money Concepts | Volume Profile | Fibonacci Retracements | ORB (0930-0945) 🔻 Trade Context: We positioned short around the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone near $588.50, aligning with a premium pricing zone and weak high rejection. Price structure has confirmed a Break of Structure (BOS) with a decisive move lower after liquidity sweep above previous highs. 🔍 Key Technicals: 📌 Positioned: $588.50–$589.00 zone 🔺 Weak High: $593.00+ 📉 Short Target Zone: TP1: $575.59 (0.886 retracement support) TP2: $568.00–$563.22 (1.382 extension zone) TP3: $558.61 (Volume cluster low and liquidity magnet) ⚖️ Equilibrium & Volume Confirmation: Notice how equilibrium aligns with the lower range compression. Volume divergence adds confluence for downside continuation. 🎯 Outlook: We're anticipating a move toward the 1.382–1.786 extension zones, with $563.22 as the primary short target. This aligns with internal liquidity pockets and previous consolidation zones. 📊 Strategy: High-conviction SMC short with FVG alignment, premium rejection, and structural confirmation. Risk is tightly managed above the weak high. DSS confirms bearish momentum build-up. 💼 Trade Ideas & DSS-backed Analysis by WaverVanir International LLC #SPY #TradingView #SMC #AlgoTrading #Fibonacci #ORB #SmartMoney #ShortSetup #WaverVanir #VolumeProfile #MarketStructure
AMEX:SPYShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
4
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 5-28 : Calm Before The StormThis update is designed to help you understand why the SPY/QQQ/BCTUSD, as well as GOLD/SILVER and others, should stay rather FLAT today. Unless there is some major news event (or other event) before the NVDA earnings data, I suspect the markets will stay very muted/flat through the close of trading today. I hope you are all enjoying my 'Plan Your Trade' videos. Now that I've gotten through most of the family doctor/medical issues, it's back to work for me. I'm working on a BTCUSD Cycle Pattern system as well as more advanced algos/trade triggers for subscribers. Let me know how I'm doing. Is there something you want to see in these videos? Let me know. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
7
IBIT aka BITCOIN TOPPING I am moving into In the money PUTS The chart of Blackrock bitcoin ETF needs only one minor new high to reach a projection and to complete The EW pattern from the low to mark in the bullish wave count wave 1 of Super Cycle blowoff this is a 5 % View . The 95 % is the WAVE B Top as we saw at every major peak see 2024 dec 8th forecast for bitcoin and spy Cyles as well as SPIRALS have now entered the window of A major turning point In which I am once again as I shorted bitcoin in ibit at 61 I have taken a65 % short and will move to a 100 % by friday if we can have any rally above the last high to end 5 clean waves Best of trades WAVETIMER
NASDAQ:IBIT
by wavetimer
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-28 : Inside Breakaway PatternToday's Inside-Breakaway pattern suggests the markets may attempt to rally above yesterday's close on strong news or earnings. Today is the NVDA earnings day (after the close). I suspect trading will be somewhat flat ahead of these highly anticipated earnings. Traders would be smart to position into a HEDGE ahead of the NVDA earnings this afternoon. Obviously, if the earnings are good, the markets will react to the upside. If they are poor/weak, the markets could easily move aggressively downward. All I know is the tariff moves over the past few weeks pushed gamers and others into buying high-end graphics cards back in April/May because everyone thought prices would skyrocket 30-50% or more. So, maybe NVDA will report strong revenue while costs increase. It should be an interesting day after the close. Until then, I believe the markets will stay somewhat FLAT - anticipating NVDA data/comments. Gold and Silver are still working through the FLAG APEX. Silver is already beyond the FLAG APEX and could make a big move higher at any moment. Gold still has one small downward price move to complete before the FLAGGING pattern is complete. Overall, I believe Gold and Silver are forming a solid base near $3300/$33 for a strong rally in the future. BTCUSD is stalling. In fact, the SPY/QQQ/BTCUSD are all stalling near the 0.75% Fib level (as shown on my charts). We may be setting up for that big breakdown I've been warning about. But, until we actually SEE price break out of the upward EPP Flagging channel - don't get overly confident of a BIG BREAKDOWN move. My advice would be to HEDGE any aggressive trades you are trying to take right now. If you believe the markets are going to rally substantially, try to hedge that trade with some risk protection (longer-dated PUTS). Today could be a catalyst day. We may get a breakout/breakdown move after NVDA's earnings/data. Buckle up. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny