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Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for March 25, 2025🔮 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍: 🇺🇸🛍️ Amazon Spring Sale Impact 🛍️: Amazon’s Big Spring Sale is underway, and increased consumer activity could lift retail sector sentiment this week. Watch for broader impacts on e-commerce competitors and discretionary stocks. 🇬🇧📉 UK Growth Outlook Cut 📉: Ahead of the UK's Spring Statement, the Office for Budget Responsibility is expected to revise growth forecasts downward. While not U.S.-centric, weaker UK economic momentum may influence broader global risk sentiment. 📊 Key Data Releases 📊: 📅 Tuesday, March 25: 🏠 S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index (9:00 AM ET): Forecast: +4.4% YoY Previous: +4.5% YoY A gauge of housing market strength based on home price changes in 20 U.S. metro areas. 🛒 Consumer Confidence Index (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 95.0 Previous: 98.3 Measures consumers’ outlook on business and labor conditions. A key sentiment driver. 🏘️ New Home Sales (10:00 AM ET): Forecast: 679K annualized Previous: 657K Tracks the number of newly constructed homes sold. Sensitive to rates and affordability. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
MSTX – Defiance Daily Target 2x Long MSTR ETF – 30-Min Long!📈🚀 🔹 Asset: MSTX (NASDAQ) 🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart 🔹 Setup Type: Bullish Breakout from Ascending Triangle / Wedge Pattern 📊 Trade Plan (Long Position) ✅ Entry Zone: Above $35.84 (Confirmed breakout level) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Below $32.18 (Wedge base & structure support) 🎯 Take Profit Targets: 📌 TP1: $39.58 (Major resistance zone) 📌 TP2: $44.77 (Extended target from pattern projection) 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation: 📉 Risk (SL Distance): $35.84 - $32.18 = $3.66 risk per share 📈 Reward to TP1: $39.58 - $35.84 = $3.74 (1.02:1 R/R) 📈 Reward to TP2: $44.77 - $35.84 = $8.93 (2.44:1 R/R) 🔍 Technical Analysis & Strategy 📌 Ascending Wedge Breakout: Price broke resistance of tightening structure — bullish signal. 📌 Momentum Shift: Big green candles and volume spike indicate buyer strength. 📌 Retest Opportunity: Entry near $35.84 is ideal as price retests breakout zone. 📌 Clear Resistance Zones Above: Targets marked at key historical levels for precision. ⚙️ Trade Execution & Risk Management 📊 Volume Confirmation: Make sure bullish volume sustains above $35.84. 📉 Trailing Stop Strategy: Once TP1 ($39.58) is hit, move SL to entry ($35.84) to lock in gains. 💰 Partial Profit Booking Strategy ✔ Book 50% of profits at TP1 ($39.58) ✔ Let remaining ride to TP2 ($44.77) ✔ Adjust stop-loss to breakeven or higher after TP1 ⚠️ Breakout Failure Risk ❌ Do not enter if price closes back below $35.84 ❌ Close position if $32.18 is broken — setup is invalid 🚀 Final Thoughts ✔ Strong breakout setup with healthy volume confirmation ✔ Clear bullish structure with great follow-through potential ✔ High-probability trade offering 2.44:1 R/R to TP2 — manage smartly! 🔗 #MSTX #NASDAQ #LongTrade #ETFTrading #BreakoutSetup #ProfittoPath 📈💡
NASDAQ:MSTXLong
by ProfittoPath
5
NextDecade Corporation (NEXT) – 30-Min Short Trade Setup !📉🚨 🔹 Asset: NextDecade Corporation (NEXT – NASDAQ) 🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart 🔹 Setup Type: Rising Trendline Break Breakdown & Rejection at Resistance 📊 Trade Plan (Short Position) ✅ Entry Zone: Below $9.42 (Breakdown Confirmation) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Above $9.78 (Trendline & Resistance Confluence) 🎯 Take Profit Target: 📌 TP1: $9.01 (Key Support Zone) 📌 TP2: $8.48 (Prior Consolidation Zone) 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation: 📉 Risk (SL Distance): $9.78 - $9.42 = $0.36 risk per share 📈 Reward to TP1: $9.42 - $9.01 = $0.41 (1:1.13 R/R) 📈 Reward to TP2: $9.42 - $8.48 = $0.94 (1:2.61 R/R) 🔍 Technical Analysis & Strategy 📌 Rising Wedge Breakdown: Price is testing support trendline, potentially failing breakout attempt. 📌 Rejection at $9.78: Multiple rejections near resistance zone signal seller strength. 📌 Bearish Candlestick Confirmation: Wait for 30-min candle close below $9.42 with volume. 📌 Break of Structure Below $9.01: Opens door to deeper pullback toward $8.48. ⚙️ Trade Execution & Risk Management 📊 Volume Confirmation: Look for increasing sell volume under $9.42. 📉 Trailing Stop Strategy: Move SL to $9.42 (entry) after TP1 ($9.01) is reached. 💰 Partial Profit Booking Strategy: ✔ Take 50% off at TP1 ($9.01), let rest run to TP2 ($8.48). ✔ Adjust SL to break-even ($9.42) after TP1 is hit. ⚠️ Breakdown Failure Risk ❌ If price bounces back above $9.42 with strength, exit early. ❌ No entry unless candle closes below trendline. 🚨 Final Thoughts ✔ Clean short setup – Breakdown of ascending support ✔ Good R/R potential toward TP2 ✔ Be patient – Confirm volume & close below $9.42 before entry 🔗 #NEXT #NASDAQ #ShortTrade #SwingTrading #ProfittoPath 📉📊
NASDAQ:MSTXShort
by ProfittoPath
SPY at Critical Levels! Decision Point for Bulls and BearsHere’s a clear breakdown for SPY based on the 1-hour chart and Options GEX: 📈 Technical Analysis (TA): * SPY recently broke structure bullishly (BOS) at ~$573, confirming bullish momentum. * Immediate Support identified around $570–$573, marking a potential bullish reversal zone (green zone). * Strong bearish reversal zone detected at $550–$560 (red zone), critical if the market pulls back significantly. * MACD and Stoch RSI are indicating potential weakening momentum; watch closely for consolidation or slight retracement. 📊 GEX & Options Insights: * Highest negative NETGEX / PUT support at $560 level. This area is crucial to watch for downside protection. * Immediate strong CALL resistance at the $575–$580 area, acting as a ceiling for bullish momentum. * IV Rank moderate at 23.2%, indicating balanced option premium pricing. * PUT/CALL ratio balanced (PUT$ 50.7%), indicating mixed market sentiment. 💡 Trade Recommendations: * Bullish Scenario: Confirm a hold above the green reversal zone ($573) and target CALL resistance near $580 initially, with a potential extension to $585–$590 if bullish momentum continues. Keep tight stops around $570. * Bearish Scenario: Consider bearish positions if SPY breaks below $570 decisively, targeting the significant bearish reversal zone at $560. * Neutral Strategy: Iron Condors or credit spreads between the $560–$580 range, benefiting from current balanced IV environment. 🛑 Risk Management: Given current volatility at critical decision points, manage your risks carefully, and consider tighter stops and smaller position sizing. Trade smart and safe! Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
SPY Trend Analysis SPY has been in a long-term uptrend , with two major corrections (2022 & 2023) that touched the primary trend line before recovering. The most recent bullish channel (late 2023 - early 2024) has broken downward , indicating a short-term pullback . SPY remains bullish in the long-term as long as it stays above the primary trend line (~$500). Short-term correction might continue toward $550 before resuming the uptrend. 
⚠️ Disclaimer : This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
AMEX:SPY
by Wormhole007
* SPY/SPX Update 3/24*Hello degenerates, I am going to try and post daily updates on SPY/SPX to help me with my analysis and preparation for next day trades. If you follow my analysis, you are aware that we have 2 possible scenarios being played out but I'll be using the bullish scenario for this analysis. This doesn't mean that the bearish scenario is invalidated. As we all know, price is now moving towards our W3 target at $580. If you haven't gotten in a play yet, I might have some good news: We might be able to have an opportunity to buy in the move tomorrow. I do have to let you know that it will be EXTREMELY RISKY. BUY IN OPPORTUNITY: - As you can see in the image, the close we have today kinda imitates the close we had on March 14th. - If you zoom in, you can see that price closed with a strong rejection and is trailing back under the previous high of the day. You can also see the volume peak that happened in both days which means that sellers stepped in when price hit that level. - I can see price opening around the $572 range and possibly even testing the 570 breakout since it is now a Whale Target(WT). - After that, I do believe we will continue with a strong impulse to finish W3. - On the 1Month Volume profile, you can see that we are in the range of a Volume peak, so I do want to see this level hold support for a continuation towards $580. - You can also see RSI giving us Lower Highs while price is on Higher highs, and MACD histogram below zero. This means that the SPY/SPX is oversold and needs a little breather. An RSI dip towards 60 will be a good level for a bounce to continue to uptrend. - In the 5D Volume Profile, you can see that we hit a volume peak and got rejected, and if we can't hold the 572 level, a dip to 570 is where we will find support. I DO HAVE TO REMIND YOU , during strong trends dips and corrections can just be disregarded (shoutout to my mentor for passing down the knowledge.) This is just a possible scenario that might happen tomorrow due to how we closed today. Buyers are really aggressive and we like it that way, so if you can't find a buy opportunity, don't sweat it. Save your capital and wait for another opportunity. This is my analysis for today, the main purpose was to find a trade opportunity for tomorrow and share the insight with you. Let me know what you think about it, and how I can make it better!
AMEX:SPYLong
by Caramel0
$TSLL – Major Reversal in Play? Is tesla finally back??? TSLL has been in a prolonged downtrend but is now showing signs of a potential bottoming pattern. Price recently tested a key support zone between $6.26 and $7.18, holding firmly after multiple attempts to break lower. Current price action is forming a strong base, and the first green candle breaking out of this range suggests momentum may be shifting. The upside target is set near $20, which lines up with a previous consolidation zone and psychological resistance. A break and hold above current levels could trigger a strong move higher. Risk is defined below support, making this a favorable risk-to-reward setup. Watching closely for follow-through confirmation.
NASDAQ:TSLLLong
by FindBetterTrades
$SPY Bullish Next WeekHere we are in a red market, a market correction some might say. We all know AMEX:SPY is about as trendy as it gets, despite all the macroeconomic headwinds that we currently are enduring, I am seeing a green week ahead. Follow that trend line of the past year, in the twos it has retreated, an average of 7.5% increase occurred in the following 15 trading day. It seems that investor confidence has increased this past week especially with the strong push to end the week. Also, volume of this 15 day segment is 24% ahead of the pace of those previous 15 dat segments - Could we see major green next week?
AMEX:SPYLong
by cbgreeeeennmm
9
Direxion Midcap Bull 3x | MIDU | Long at $45.67Like my predictions for AMEX:TNA , I believe midcap stocks will likely rise as interest rates are lowered over the next few years (probably a little too early given the looming economic situation). While it may be a bumpy ride and everything truly depends no announcement of an "official" economic recession (by which all stock expectations would change to the negative), there could be significant room to run here before a top - but always stay cautious... Thus, at $45.67 AMEX:MIDU is in a personal buy zone. Targets: $55.00 $75.00 (longer-term if the economic data/news hold up strong)
AMEX:MIDULong
by WorthlessViews
Opening (IRA): TMF May 17th 39 Covered Call... for a 38.06 debit. Comments: Along with TLT, one of the only red things on my ETF board. Doing a starter position here, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 38.06/share Max Profit: .94 ROC at Max: 2.47% 50% Max: .47 ROC at 50% Max: 1.24% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals if I can get in at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out the short call at 50% max.
AMEX:TMFLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): TQQQ May 16th 51 Covered Call... for a 48.05 credit. Comments: Adding at a strike better than what I currently have on, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 48.05 Max Profit: 2.95 ROC at Max: 6.14% 50% Max: 1.48% ROC at 50% Max: 3.07% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals if I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call at 50% max.
NASDAQ:TQQQLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): IBIT May 16th 37 Covered Call... for a 35.79 debit. Comments: Laddering out a smidge here, selling the -84 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 35.79 Max Profit: 1.21 ROC at Max: 3.38% 50% Max: .62 ROC at 50% Max: 1.69% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals assuming I can get in at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
NASDAQ:IBITLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): USO April 17th 68 Covered Call... for a 66.58 debit. Comments: With /CL dropping sub-70/bbl., putting on a starter position in USO, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 66.58/share Max Profit: 1.42 ROC at Max: 2.13% 50% Max: .71 ROC at 50% Max: 1.07% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals if I can get in at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
AMEX:USOLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): XBI Sept 19th 60C/April 17th -90C LCD*... for a 26.68 debit. Comments: Taking a bullish assumption directional shot near 52 week lows, buying the 90 delta back month and selling a front month that pays for all the extrinsic in the long, resulting in a break even that is at or below where the underlying is currently trading. The 60 long call is shown at 80 so that it fits on the chart ... . Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 26.68 Break Even: 86.88 Max Profit: 3.32 ROC at Max: 12.44% 50% Max: 1.66 ROC at 50% Max: 6.22% Delta/Theta: 53.79/3.51 Will generally look to take profit on the setup as a unit at 50% max and/or roll out the short call at 50% max to reduce cost basis/downside break even. * -- Long Call Diagonal
AMEX:XBILong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): XRT April 17th 70/Sept 19th 50 LCD*... for a 17.57 debit. Comments: And back into XRT, which is at/near 52 week lows with a long call diagaonl/Poor Man's Covered Call, buying the back month 90 and selling the front month that pays for all the extrinsic in the long. Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 17.57 Break Even: 67.57 Max Profit: 2.43 ROC at Max: 13.83% 50% Max: 1.22 ROC at 50% Max: 6.92% Will generally look to take profit on the setup as a unit at 50% max and/or roll out the short call when it is at 50% max.
AMEX:XRTLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): SPXL April 17th 148/October 17th 85 LCD*... for a 56.84 debit. Comments: Looking to be a little bit more buying power efficient here ... . Buying the back month 90 delta and selling the front month that pays for all the extrinsic of the long. Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 56.84 Break Even: 141.84 Max Profit: 6.16 ROC at Max: 10.84% 50% Max: 3.08 ROC at 50% Max: 5.42% Will generally look to take profit on the setup as a unit at 50% max, roll short call out at 50% max. * -- Long Call Diagonal.
AMEX:SPXLLong
by NaughtyPines
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 3-24-25 : Bozu Trending PatternToday's Bozu Trending pattern suggests a very aggressive price move is likely. I believe this move will be to the upside after my weekend research suggested we are moving into a "blow-off" topping pattern that will act as a Bull Trap. Overall, I belive the SPY/QQQ have about 2-3 days up upward price trending early this week, then the markets will suddenly roll into a topping pattern and start to aggressively move downward. The next base/bottom of the continued downward price trend sets up in early/mid April. The March 21-24 base/bottom is likely the minor base/bottom we have seen over the past 3-5+ days. I believe the breakdown in the SPY/QQQ late this week and into next week will result in a new lower low - causing the Consolidation phase of this downturn to extend down to the 520-525 level on the SPY. Bitcoin is very close to my $88,000 upper target level (only about $250 off that level). Get ready, BTCUSD should make an aggressive move downward after stalling near the FWB:88K level peak. Gold and Silver are moving into a trending mode. I believe both Gold and Silver will rally this week and into the next few weeks as we expand into the Expansion phase. Buckle up. If my research is correct, we are going to see a BIG ROLLOVER this week. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
3