XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Futures market
XAUUSD Rejection from Fib + OB Combo | Bearish Continuation?XAUUSD | Premium Smart Money Short Setup 🎯
This GOLD setup is a straight-up institutional-grade bearish continuation. Let’s break down why this is a high-probability short for Smart Money Traders.
🔍 1. Market Context
Price is trending inside a clear descending channel, tapping into the lower boundary and now pulling back.
We just had a reaction from the mid-supply zone, and price is now rebalancing into the Order Block (OB) aligned with:
🔻 79% Fibonacci Retracement
🔻 Previous Structure Break
🔻 OB + imbalance fill zone
🧱 2. Bearish Confluences
📉 Descending Channel = bearish structure
🟣 Order Block Zone = high-value area for institutional entries
📐 Fibonacci Levels = 61.8%, 70.5%, and 79% all stacked
💥 OB + 79% = high-prob sniper short
🕳 Imbalance + Liquidity Sweep = likely short continuation
🎯 3. Trade Idea
Entry: 3282.00–3290.00 (OB + 79% Fib)
Stop Loss: 3294.00 (above OB wick)
Take Profit: 3245.00 zone (channel bottom)
Perfect RR setup 👇
⚖️ 4. RRR (Risk-Reward Ratio)
💰 Entry: ~3285
🔒 SL: ~3294
📍 TP: ~3245
✅ RRR ≈ 1:4.3 = sniper level swing short 🎯
🧠 5. Smart Money Logic
Liquidity Sweep above minor high before short = engineered trap
OB reaction at fib premium zone = smart entry
Continuation expected unless price closes above 3295
📌 Save this chart — this is Smart Money flow in action
💬 Drop “Gold OB SMC 🔥” in comments if you saw this coming
🔁 Repost to help fellow traders master fib+OB sniper entries
XAUUSD – Post-FOMC Trading Plan | Key Resistance: 3308 – 3310XAUUSD – Post-FOMC Trading Plan | Key Resistance: 3308 – 3310
📊 MACRO UPDATE – After the FOMC Decision:
The Fed kept interest rates unchanged as expected, but the tone remained hawkish. Chairman Powell reiterated that inflation remains too high and ruled out any near-term rate cuts, signaling prolonged restrictive policy.
This led to a swift rebound in the US Dollar and Treasury yields, weighing on gold. However, XAUUSD bounced back late in the session, suggesting the market is re-evaluating key technical zones post-announcement.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – H1/H4 Chart Structure:
Gold remains in a corrective descending structure but is now reacting around key Fibonacci levels. The 13–34–89 EMAs provide dynamic support and resistance, and a potential double bottom has formed near the 3245–3247 zone.
🧠 Two key levels to watch:
3308–3310: major resistance with trendline + FVG confluence
3245–3247: strong horizontal support + Fib 0.618 retracement
🎯 TRADE SETUPS:
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3247 – 3245
Stop-Loss: 3241
Take-Profit: 3251 → 3255 → 3260 → 3264 → 3270 → 3275 → 3280
🔵 BUY SCALP: 3263 – 3261
Stop-Loss: 3257
Take-Profit: 3266 → 3270 → 3275 → 3280 → 3290 → 3300
🔴 SELL SCALP: 3294 – 3296
Stop-Loss: 3300
Take-Profit: 3290 → 3286 → 3282 → 3278 → 3274 → 3270 → 3260
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3308 – 3310
Stop-Loss: 3314
Take-Profit: 3304 → 3300 → 3296 → 3292 → 3288 → 3280
📌 STRATEGIC OUTLOOK:
Unless price breaks above 3310 with strong momentum, sellers are still in control short term. Any rejection from the resistance zone could offer clean short entries. A breakout, however, would shift sentiment and expose 3340–3360 next.
Patience is key — let price react before committing to entries.
GOLD:The strategy of going short
Gold was stimulated by the news surface, out of a wave of accelerated decline, and then rebounded slightly into a small shock. Before around 3288 support long ideas have been perfect realization, at present 3288 this support has fallen below, so in the short term we can regard this position as pressure level, short term can be around this position to short mainly.
So the trading strategy :SELL@3288-94 TP@3260-50
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5.29 Gold Market5.29 Gold Market
"The US Federal Court ruled that Trump's tariff policy on April 2 exceeded his authority" The geopolitical risk trend eased.
The monthly line tends to close with a cross star. In the 4H cycle, after the triangle convergence range contraction and consolidation, it broke down, and the Bollinger turned downward. The intraday pressure continued to be bearish, and the moving average pressure was at 3285. In terms of operation, it mainly relied on this position to rebound and short.
Intraday support level 3245 resistance level 3285
SELL: 3285
SL: 3290
TP: 3250
Thank you for your attention. I hope my analysis can help you.
GOLD LONG FROM SUPPORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,281.17
Target Level: 3,348.67
Stop Loss: 3,236.17
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 7h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUAD UPDATE 29 - 05 - 2025This chart is a 30-minute candlestick chart for CFDs on Gold (XAU/USD), published on TradingView. Here’s a detailed breakdown of what it shows:
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Chart Analysis Details
1. Timeframe:
30-minute candlesticks, showing short-term price movements.
2. Price Levels:
Current price: Around 3,277.014 USD
Resistance zone (highlighted in yellow near the top): Around 3,299.476 USD
Support zone (highlighted in yellow near the bottom): Around 3,249.832 USD
3. Volume:
Volume bars at the bottom suggest increased activity leading up to and during the most recent upward movement.
4. Price Action:
There was a strong bullish move recovering from the support area near 3,250 USD.
Price reached a recent high near 3,285 USD and began to retrace slightly.
5. Forecast/Prediction (Illustrated by blue arrows):
The trader (Mr_Zakrii) anticipates a bearish reversal from the current region.
The blue arrows suggest a short position setup:
Entry near 3,285 USD
Target back toward the support area near 3,250 USD
Stop-loss near 3,299.476 USD
6. Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
The shaded red and green areas represent the stop-loss and take-profit zones respectively, indicating a favorable risk-to-reward setup (reward appears larger than the risk).
7. News Indicator:
There's a news icon (U.S. flag) indicating an upcoming news event that might affect the gold price volatility.
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Conclusion:
This is a bearish setup based on a resistance rejection around 3,285–3,299 USD, aiming for a move back to the support zone near 3,250 USD. The chart suggests a sell position with a clear stop-loss and take-profit area, possibly relying on technical resistance and recent price action for confirmation.
Let me know if you want help evaluating the trade setup or analyzing the fundamental context behind it.
XAU / USD 1 Hour ChartHello traders. Happy Thursday. Here in the US today we have news. We have the preliminary GDP q/q as well as the Unemployment Claims. Saying that, the current chart is just to show what area I am looking at for gold to break out of. I will post a chart as we get close to Pre NY volume The daily chart I posted last night showed the area I would have looked to taken a long postion from .. But gold did not drop as low as I expected. The day is still early, let's see how things play out. Big G gets my thanks. Be well and trade the trend.
XAUUSD: Mid-Term Swing Sell OpportunityXAUUSD: Mid-Term Swing Sell Opportunity
While Gold's (XAUUSD) larger timeframe remains bullish, the intermediate trend has turned bearish. This shift is clearly signaled by a break below previous lows and the formation of a clean Head and Shoulders reversal pattern.
Currently, price is testing a strong support confluence at a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and a Demand Zone below.
Strategy: Bounce & Sell
Our strategy is to sell into bounces (short on rallies). Key resistance levels to watch for reversal
signals include:
3300: Coincides with the Range Volatile Day High.
3325 - 3350: This is a significant Supply Zone.
We will wait for bearish candlestick patterns and reversal patterns to confirm the move down at these resistance areas.
Downside Targets
Our primary downside targets are:
3150: Aligns with the Range Volatile Week Low.
3100: If this level breaks, we'll then look towards the final support at 3000, potentially forming a Triple Zigzag (WXYXZ) corrective structure.
From a time perspective, we anticipate this bearish phase to last approximately 13 days, in line with Fibonacci Time Cycle analysis.
Crucial Considerations
Effective Money Management is paramount. Ensure your position sizing is appropriate for the expected volatility range. Always be prepared to adapt your view when the price structure clearly invalidates the current bearish setup.
Trade carefully and profitably.
C.Goii Super Trader
USOIL:Long thinking, target 62.5
USOIL: Same idea, the front 61.3-61.5 has been given to the entry point, it is slowly rising, the upper target is still seen near 62.5.
So strategically, stay long and wait for the rally, TP@62.5
Tip: It is always right to sell when there is a profit, according to individual risk appetite.
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XAU/USD 29 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
XAUUAD BUY CHARTThe chart you've shared is a 30-minute candlestick chart of CFDs on Gold (US$/OZ), with key elements marked for a potential trade setup. Here's a breakdown of the key points:
Chart Analysis:
1. Highlighted Zones (Yellow Boxes):
Bottom Yellow Zone (~3,270): Likely a demand/support zone. Price previously reversed upward from here.
Top Yellow Zone (~3,300): Likely a supply/resistance zone. This is the potential target area.
2. Blue Arrows:
The initial downward arrow shows a strong bearish move.
The subsequent upward arrow represents a bullish recovery, suggesting a potential long trade setup.
3. Trade Setup:
Entry: Around 3,284 (current price level).
Take Profit (TP): 3,300.325 — aligned with the top yellow resistance zone.
Stop Loss (SL): Just below the lower yellow zone (~3,273.597).
4. Risk-Reward Ratio:
The trade appears to have a favorable risk-reward ratio of roughly 2:1 or better, given the size of the green (profit) vs. red (loss) zones.
5. Volume: Somewhat elevated during the reversal and buildup phases, indicating decent participation on the bullish side.
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Possible Trade Interpretation:
This looks like a bullish continuation/reversal setup, possibly based on a demand zone bounce with a target near previous resistance. The trader may be betting on continued bullish momentum.
Would you like a more detailed technical analysis or help calculating exact RR, pip difference, or backtesting the strategy?
Hanzo / Gold 30min Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )🆚 Gold
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market tactics
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 30 M TF
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☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 3315 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
💯 Reasons : / 2025 Retest of 3315
- 09 / May ( Wick's + Rejections )
- 21 / May ( Break + Pump )
- 22 / May ( Break + Retest )
- 23 / May ( Break + Pump )
- 27 / May ( Break + Retest )
👌 3315 key level
Volume is High
Volume And the most Cluster Area
and also have solid HVN Volume
—————-
☄️ Bearish Setup After Break Out – 3283 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
💯 Reasons : / 2025 Retest of 3283
- 12 / May ( Bearish Retest )
- 20 / May ( Wick Retest at same point )
- 21 / May ( Wick Retest And Pump )
- 22 / May ( Wick Retest at same point )
- 27 / May ( Wick Retest And Pump )
Hanzo / Gold 30min Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )
Market next move 🔻 Disruption to Bullish Thesis
1. Resistance Zone Near Target
The "Target" area might align with a previous resistance level (historically where price has reversed or consolidated).
If price hits that zone, it could stall or reject, rather than break through.
2. Bearish Volume Divergence
While the candles are green and pushing upward, volume is not increasing significantly.
Lack of strong buying volume can suggest a weak rally — potentially a bull trap.
3. Trend Context: Larger Downtrend
The chart shows a strong prior downtrend before the recent small upward push.
This move could be a dead-cat bounce or retracement within a broader bearish move.
4. Fundamental Risk: USD Strength
If the US Dollar Index (DXY) strengthens due to macroeconomic data or Fed commentary, gold (USD-denominated) typically drops.
The calendar icons suggest upcoming US economic data, which could disrupt gold’s movement.
5. Candle Structure Shows Exhaustion
The current bullish candles are smaller compared to previous strong red ones.
This may imply momentum exhaustion before reaching the target.
Profits in continuationTechnical analysis: Gold is isolated below consolidation area / my Neutral Rectangle I mentioned many times lately of #3,288.80 - #3,352.80 on Hourly 4 chart as I believed that best way to utilize current sequence was to Trade the break-out (while operating with Buying and Selling orders within the Rectangle which I did successfully lately) and wait for a next Daily chart’s candle. If market closes below #3,288.80 former Support now turned to Resistance, then most possibly I will have a downtrend confirmation / opening towards #3,262.80 - #3,268.80 Support zone first then #3,252.80 benchmark Support in extension. If however #3,300.80 benchmark gets invalidated to the upside and market closes full Hourly 1 chart’s candle above (only with Fundamental assistance and Buying pressure), then most likely Price-action should soon connect with #3,327.80 Resistance in extension / first pressure point.
My position: I have aggressively re-Bought (Scalps mostly) #3,288.80 Support many times throughout yesterday's session which delivered excellent Profit. However as I was without orders over-night, Gold extended the Selling sequence / dip and now will stop with Scalp Buying orders. I will operate as stated above and Trade the break-out.
Gold Continues to Decline as USD Strengthens📊 Market Developments:
Gold prices continued to decline on May 29, reaching weekly lows below $3,250/oz. The primary driver is the strong recovery of the US Dollar following a US court's decision on tariffs and cautious FOMC minutes indicating the Fed remains vigilant about inflation, reducing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,285 – $3,300
• Nearest Support: $3,240 – $3,230
• EMA: Price is below the 09 EMA, indicating a short-term downtrend.
• Candlestick Patterns / Volume / Momentum: Price has broken below a short-term ascending trendline and is retesting the resistance area, confirming bearish signals.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue to decline in the short term if the USD maintains its recovery and the price fails to break above the $3,285 – $3,300 resistance zone.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
SELL XAU/USD at: $3,275 – $3,285
o 🎯 TP: $3,240
o ❌ SL: $3,305
BUY XAU/USD at: $3,230
o 🎯 TP: $3,270
o ❌ SL: $3,215