It is only a matter of time before the price breaks below $3,300From a daily chart analysis, gold showed a strong upward momentum during Tuesday's session, once hitting the key level of $3,500, before quickly retreating under overhead pressure and eventually closing with a bearish candle. This pullback after a sharp rally highlights significant selling pressure near the $3,500 level, where bullish momentum was fiercely resisted by bears at high prices.
The bearish trend continued on Wednesday, with gold closing lower again to form a two-consecutive-day bearish candlestick pattern. This consecutive decline further confirms that bears have taken short-term dominance, with bearish forces gradually gaining the upper hand.
Notably, the price action has a clear dividing line: the $3,317 level serves as the bull-bear watershed. A valid break below this level is likely to sustain the downward trend. Based on the current momentum, a decline below $3,300 appears only a matter of time, further reinforcing the short-term bearish sentiment.
XAUUSD
sell@3325-3335
tp:3300-3280
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
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Futures market
GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800
This video analysis is leading on from our long term target for $6,200 which I posted yesterday. We can see from the strong impulse move up, the entire bullish cycle is not complete yet & has more upside, AFTER a healthy correction.
Confluences👇
⭕️Wave 3 Peaked at Psychological Number of $2,500 (LQ Point).
⭕️Wave 4 & 5 Pending.
⭕️Overbought Market Conditions.
Gold Potential Ideas - April 23, ahead of Unemployment Claims📉 Macro Snapshot – April 24, 2025
Gold is currently trading at 3337, stuck in mid-structure between supply at 3384–3414 and demand stacked between 3255–3260 and 3224–3233.
🕒 Key time today: Unemployment Claims and Durable Goods Orders hit. High-impact potential.
Expectations:
🔺 Strong data → possible spike down into buy zones
🔻 Weak data → potential liquidity grab into sell zones first
No confirmed shift unless 3344 is broken or 3220 is reclaimed. This is a reaction day, not a breakout day. Let price come to levels — and strike with confirmation.
🔴 SELL ZONES
🔴 Sell Zone 1: 3384 – 3393
🧱 Confluences: HTF imbalance + OB + structural trap zone
🛡 SL: 3398
🎯 TP1: 3365
🎯 TP2: 3341
🎯 TP3: 3310
🔴 Sell Zone 2: 3410 – 3415
🧱 Confluences: Premium OB + liquidity grab zone
🛡 SL: 3421
🎯 TP1: 3384
🎯 TP2: 3362
🎯 TP3: 3330
🔴 Sell Zone 3: 3450 – 3457
🧱 Confluences: Untouched HTF OB + psychological stop hunt
🛡 SL: 3465
🎯 TP1: 3410
🎯 TP2: 3380
🎯 TP3: 3341
🟢 BUY ZONES
🟢 Buy Zone 1: 3274 – 3282
📍 Strong support pocket — demand + Asia low
🛡 SL: 3264
🎯 TP1: 3300
🎯 TP2: 3330
🎯 TP3: 3350
🟢 Buy Zone 2: 3250– 3260
🧠 Confluences: Deep OB + liquidity grab + structural base
🛡 SL: 3245
🎯 TP1: 3272
🎯 TP2: 3300
🎯 TP3: 3313
🟢 Buy Zone 3: 3224 – 3233
📍 HTF EQ + reactive demand
🛡 SL: 3218
🎯 TP1: 3255
🎯 TP2: 3280
🎯 TP3: 3303
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
📣 If this strategy sparked clarity, hit that like button and follow. 💛
WTI crude about to resume lower?WTI formed a large bearish engulfing candle on its daily chart yesterday near the key $65 resistance level. Was that an indication that prices have ended their corrective bounce? Time will tell, but today's oil prices have bounced back. With the trade uncertainty in the background, demand concerns remain high.
So, I wouldn't be surprised if prices were to resume lower from here. The trend is clearly bearish with the moving averages all pointing lower, not to mention the lower highs and lower lows.
If the selling resumes, watch for possible bounces at the next key round handles like $62, $61 and $60. But there is always the possibility of a sweep below this month's earlier lows if macro concerns intensify.
Meanwhile, the bullish idea is off the table for me for now until we see some progress in US-China trade talks at least, or if prices show a major bullish reversal signal.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
GOLD - at CUT N REVERSE region? what's next??#GOLD. market perfect move as per our analysis and now market just reached at his CUT N REVERSE level
that is around 3305-06 to 3312
keep close that area because if market hold that area in that case you can see another bounce from here otherwise not at all.
so Note that below 3312 we will go for cut n reverse on confirmation.
GOOD LUCK
TRADE WISELY
GOLD BEARISH GOLD Is currently in a downtrend forming a head&shoulder patteren if price break neckline then it will drop massively . my second opinion is that if we look in a downside there is also FVGS so further upside moves they should mitigate for now i am not in a trade lets watch and see monthly closing too
Copper Rebounding from a 3-month low!Copper is bouncing back with incredible energy after hitting a 3-month low!
Get ready to see it surge towards $4.84!
But hold on tight, because after that, it's time for the "Copper Crab" to unleash a powerful dive, plunging back down into the depths!
Exciting times ahead for copper traders!
SEYED.
Gold – How Important Could the Fibonacci Support Levels Be?Even by recent standards, the price action seen in Gold this week so far has been extreme. For those that may not have seen it all, here we go. Gold opened at 3331 on Monday, traded to a new all time high of 3500 on Tuesday, then dropped all the way back down to 3260 on Wednesday before recovering again to current levels around 3330. A round trip of circa 14%.
The drivers appear to be comments from President Trump and US Treasury Secretary Bessant. With President Trump seeming to challenging the independence of the Federal Reserve at the start of the week (Gold higher) and then pulling back from his most outspoken criticism on Wednesday (Gold lower). Alongside President Trump and Secretary Bessant both commenting on the potential for a de-escalation of the trade war with China on Wednesday (Gold lower), but then suggesting it may take some time to agree (Gold higher).
All of this at the same time that a potential US brokered peace detail between Ukraine and Russia may be moving a step closer to becoming a reality and you can possibly see why Gold prices have moved so much.
Right now, as traders take a pause for breath, its may be a good time to consider the charts and identify some potential support and resistance levels that may come into play into the Friday close.
Technical Update: 3292 Fibonacci 38.2% Support in Focus
Let’s be honest here, when a market is accelerating higher into new all-time high ground, as an almost ‘panic’ rush to get long of an asset is seen, it is very difficult to establish upside resistance levels that may or may not be able to hold the advance, let alone reverse it.
As technical analysts, we can only really focus on 2 things in such a condition, psychological round numbers and Fibonacci extension levels.
Therefore, it’s interesting where the recent acceleration higher in Gold stalled this week, at 3500.
Obviously, this is a round number that may have drawn traders’ interest from a psychological perspective, but this also represented a test of 3468, which is equal to the 261.8% Fibonacci extension of the October 31st to November 14th 2024 sell-off.
With weakness developing from 3500, this extension level held on a closing basis, from which further declines have materialised.
So, we might suggest after the recent weakness in Gold prices, that an upside resistance area has now been established between 3468/3500.
If that is the case, what might the support levels be for us to monitor to gauge if current weakness has further to carry of not?
Potential Support Levels:
The latest phase of price strength in Gold was seen between April 7th to April 22nd 2025, and calculating Fibonacci retracement on this price strength, may highlight some interesting support levels.
The latest downside move has tested, and is so far being held by support at 3292, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the latest strength. Traders may now be watching how this level performs on a closing basis, as confirmed breaks lower might see a more extended phase of price weakness emerge.
Much will of course depend on future market sentiment and price trends, but closing breaks below 3292 could suggest further declines to 3228, the 50% level, possibly even 3165, which is the deeper 62% retracement.
Potential Resistance Levels:
As we have already said, the latest price activity may well be suggesting the 3468/3500 range is an area that may prove to be a resistance focus. However, if the 3292 retracement support continues to hold, focus could then be on 3380, as a possible lower resistance level.
This is equal to half of the latest declines, with closing upside breaks of this resistance possibly suggesting positive themes are re-emerging, which could lead to further pressure being placed on the important 3468/3500 resistance range.
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Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Is gold rising or falling?In 1 hour, after gold price fell below the two key positions of 3356 and 3285 today, the support moved down to around 3245. Although there was a rebound in the US market, it is likely to go to the range of 3228 to 3245 before rebounding, so the support references are 3260 and 3245; the end of the market is bearish, and the steady operation is to enter short orders near 3320 to protect the area near 3330. Of course, you can enter short orders near 3310 to see if it can reach the range of 3260 to 3245. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is mainly to short on rebounds, and to go long on pullbacks.
Short order strategy; short gold rebounds near 3313-3315 in batches, with a target of around 3280-3270, and a break to see the 3260 line;
4/24 Gold Trading StrategyYesterday's intraday recommendation to buy near 3260 has paid off, with gold trending upward after the market opened today and generating solid profits.
The current pullback appears to be a healthy support retest. However, caution is needed—if the price breaks below 3306, momentum could drag it under 3300 again.
Should that happen, a renewed long position at lower levels is still worth considering. The rebound so far lacks both strength and duration, suggesting a potential shakeout. While it could also be a bull trap, entering at lower levels limits downside risk—with the worst case being reduced profits, not significant losses.
Today's Trading Strategy:
Sell Zone: 3410–3440
Buy Zone: 3267–3230
Flexible Trading Zones: 3383–3340 / 3288–3336
Gold short-term trading looks at retracements
Don't make things difficult for yourself, don't waste the time, don't expect any sudden surprises, just hope there will be no sudden troubles, and that will be good enough.
Today, we will focus on the suppression of 3361-67. If this level is not broken, it may weaken and fall. Of course, if it breaks and rises, the price may still be strong. Therefore, short-term operations around this range today can be carried out with a stop loss of 3175 and a take-profit of 3317/3300. Only when it falls below can we further look at 3280-3250
Gold short-term trading: short near 3365, stop loss 3375, take profit 3317/3300
Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, welcome to leave a message below, I will be very happy
Gold pullback time, resistance rejection? How does it go.The market bounced off the resistance and declined, with a correction of about -6% after the previous bullish momentum. The price action formed a gap, which was later filled. It is worth noting that this pullback movement is similar to a similar pattern observed earlier this month, when the market also pulled back by -6.6%. Currently, the price is testing the area of the previous week's high, which may constitute a support area. After such a rapid decline, the price usually enters a consolidation phase - we may see a period of sideways trading around 3300. However, if a rejection candle is formed at the current level, I expect the price to move higher and retest the recent resistance area. My target is the resistance area around 3500.
The market has rebounded strongly from the support level that I highlighted yesterday. The price is likely to trade sideways above the channel border and the support level of 3300. After the consolidation, the price may resume the upward trajectory. As I mentioned earlier, the market experienced a 6.83% correction, after which we may see a continuation of the bullish trend. As long as the price remains above the support level, the market is likely to continue to move higher. If the support level is lost, the market may fall and form a second round of bearish movement, eventually pointing to the support level of 3200 points. However, I expect the price to move higher and retest at least the 50% bearish retracement. My target is the resistance level near 3400 points.
Quaid is working hard to provide brothers with analysis and suggestions based on international and market trends. I hope you can see Quaid's efforts.
Potential HSNot confirmed yet but I'm jumping in anyways. I bought some puts of GLD for May 23 strike 304. My SL triggers if the price breaks up the resistance shown and closes above in the daily timeframe. Might be some turbulence, bulls will try to push the price higher. too much noise in the political arena, but Gold is overbought and needs a healthy correction.
XAUUSD: 24/4 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
The resistance level of the four-hour chart is 3400, and the support level is 3300
The resistance level of the one-hour chart is 3370-80, and the support level is 3310
The resistance level of the 30-minute chart is 3350, and the support level is 3325.
The recent market has been running up and down by more than 100 dollars every day. It is difficult to say where the resistance and support are. There are more news data in the NY market opening today, so the market volatility is expected to be large. It is recommended to follow the trend and wait for the breakthrough of resistance and support before entering.
The current price of 3338 is in the rebound repair stage after oversold. If it stands firm at 3300, it may test the resistance area of 3350-3370; if it falls below 3289, it is necessary to be alert to the pullback to the support area of 3250-3270.
Trading strategy:
1. After breaking through 3350, it may continue to rise below 3370-3380
2. Sell after being blocked in the 3370-3380 range.
3. After breaking below 3290, you can follow the sell and may continue to test the support area of 3260-3245
The next trade idea for “6B” GBPUSD FX FuturesCME:6B1!
This trade idea is built on very simple premises.
Simplicity in trading is what we all strive for. Where possible, we should aim to simplify our strategies rather than complicate them with excessive information—unless the additional inputs add clear, actionable value to the trade thesis. While that holds true in this analysis, for the sake of clarity and simplicity, we’ve chosen not to include volume profile study or levels derived from volume profiling.
Also, don’t forget to check out how our example trade idea in Crude Oil played out —posted earlier this Tuesday.
6B Weekly Time frame:
Key Levels
Weekly Resistance: 1.3400 – 1.3425
Daily Double Top: 1.3425
April 21 Mid: 1.3350
April 2025 Developing Mid: 1.3067
Scenario 1: Break and Continuation
In this scenario, we anticipate further upside in 6B futures and GBPUSD. A break above the double top at 1.3425 could lead to a push toward 1.3550. Look for confirmation across other FX futures and signs of Dollar weakening to support this thesis.
Example Trade Idea 1:
Entry: 1.3425 (wait for an hourly candle to close above the double top, then enter on the pullback)
Stop: 1.3350
Target: 1.3550
Risk: 75 ticks
Reward: 125 ticks
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1.7 R
Scenario 2: Swing Failure on Weekly Timeframe
Zooming out to the weekly timeframe, 1.3425 aligns with a potential swing failure at prior resistance near 1.3423. A pullback from this level could provide a short opportunity. Watch for Dollar strength and pullbacks in 6E and 6J to further support this thesis.
Example Trade Idea 2:
Entry: 1.3350 (wait for sellers to regain control at Monday’s mid)
Stop: 1.3425
Target: 1.3067
Risk: 75 ticks
Reward: 283 ticks
Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.7 R
Important Notes:
These are example trade ideas provided strictly for educational purposes and should not be considered trade recommendations.
Traders are encouraged to perform their own independent analysis and thorough preparation before entering any positions.
Please note: Stop losses are not guaranteed to execute at specified levels. Actual losses may exceed predetermined stop amounts.
GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800This video analysis is leading on from our long term target for $6,200 which I posted yesterday. We can see from the strong impulse move up, the entire bullish cycle is not complete yet & has more upside, AFTER a healthy correction.
Confluences👇
⭕️Wave 3 Peaked at Psychological Number of $2,500 (LQ Point).
⭕️Wave 4 & 5 Pending.
⭕️Overbought Market Conditions.
Long trade
30min TF overview
🛢 WTICOUSD – Buy-Side Trade
📅 Date: Thursday, 24th April 2025
🕘 Time: 9:00 AM (New York Time)
📍 Session: London AM
📊 Entry Timeframe: (5m)
Trade Parameters
Entry Price: 63.238
Take Profit: 66.619 (+5.54%)
Stop Loss: 63.036 (–0.32%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 16.74
Reasoning - Narrative
This WTI Crude Oil long trade was initiated during the London AM session, a time when commodity markets often see increased activity and institutional positioning. The trade followed a sharp reaction off a discounted price zone, which aligned with a previously unmitigated bullish order block on the intraday chart.
Before entry, price performed a liquidity sweep below 63.10, triggering stops from earlier long positions and clearing out sell-side pressure
XAUUSD is moving within the 3,195.00 -3,495.00 range 👀 Possible scenario:
Gold prices fell 2.74% on April 23 after hitting a record high of $3,261, as President Trump softened his stance on trade tariffs, reducing demand for safe-haven assets. Markets also reacted to U.S. Finance Minister Bessent’s call for reciprocal tariff cuts with China to resume trade talks.
Looking ahead, traders await the U.S. Existing Home Sales report on April 24, which could impact gold—strong data may lift the dollar and pressure gold, while weak figures may boost it.
✅Support and Resistance Levels
Support level is now located at 3,195.00 .
Now, the resistance level is located at 3,495,00