A new golden week, grasp it with the best condition
Good weekend everyone, this week's trading time is over, and next week's trading time will also enter the countdown. No matter how you grasp the market this week, whether happy or sad, Theo hopes that everyone will not bring your mood to the trading environment next week.
After all, next week is also a new beginning of the week. In the new week, everyone should be prepared for a new state. A good state should be persevered, and a bad state should be adjusted. With a good state to grasp the market trend of next week, I believe you can also be invincible and grasp the market better!
📊Technical aspects
Gold did not break through the upper pressure at midnight on Friday. Gold fell directly after opening in the morning on Friday. The bears broke through the previous 3295 support line, and the lowest level in the evening was 3255, closing at around 3274.
The daily line also closed in the form of a big negative line, with an obvious downward trend, and all the previous support will also turn into pressure. The short-term moving average system crossed downward to accumulate energy for the bears. Since the closing did not break through the upper 3300 pressure level, we will continue to rebound and short next week. After all, the technical side is still short, and only by following the trend can we keep up with the rhythm of eating meat.
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term resistance is around 3295-3301, with special attention paid to the suppression at 3316. In terms of operation, the rebound continues to be the main short and the trend looks down. The lower short-term support is around 3250-3255. The overall main tone of high-altitude participation remains unchanged relying on this range.
💰Strategy Package
Short Position:3290-3300,SL:3315,Target: 3240-3250
Futures market
Navigating Gold Futures: Support, Resistance, and ProjectionsCOMEX:GC1!
The chart appears to depict a clear five-wave pattern: I, II, III, IV, and V.
Waves I to III show strong upward movements, indicating bullish sentiment.
Wave IV looks like it could be a corrective phase, with a potential dip before another upward movement in Wave V.
Support and Resistance Levels:
The horizontal lines around 2,800 and 2,575.3 indicate critical Fibonacci retracement levels (38.20% and 50%).
If the price approaches these levels during the correction, they could serve as support, making it a potential buying opportunity.
RSI Indicator:
From the bottom indicator (RSI), we can see fluctuations in momentum, which can aid in timing trades.
Look for interpretations of the RSI: if it trends towards the extremes (overbought/oversold), that could signal reversal points.
Future Projections:
Should the market respect the outlined support levels, Wave V could potentially push towards a new high above 4,000 as indicated by the upward projection.
Market Sentiment:
Overall, the pattern suggests a bullish outlook long-term, but caution is warranted during corrective phases as prices might retrace towards support levels.
Next week's market trend analysisShort-term technical analysis of gold next week:
After gold was horizontally consolidated below 3400, it had two relatively large retracements. The short-term downward channel, the upper edge of the channel is currently around 3340, which is also the turning point of the short-term long and short cycles that we need to pay attention to later.
Has the current big rhythm entered a weak position?
Daily level analysis: After reaching 3500, gold is still in a trend of high-level consolidation, and there is a periodic switch between long and short positions, and there is no extremely strong or weak rhythm. In this consolidation process, there are two relatively large retracements: the first from 3500 to 3200 space 300 points, the second from 3435 to 3120 space 315 points. In other words, in the current daily level cycle, the maximum decline is around 300 US dollars. Not exceeding this maximum retracement value, to a certain extent, it is still in the rhythm of high-level correction. According to the range of this space retracement, the limit of the daily retracement is around 3150, with an error of about 20 points. However, the daily range is large, so it is too early to talk about this threshold.
At present, the short-term pressure points of 0.618 and the top and bottom structures are all around 3300. Another point for everyone to pay attention to: in the market with a small cycle of negative decline, once there is a sideways trend. Don't take it as support! The price is consolidating horizontally, which only means that the current bulls are weak in pulling back and the change of weakness must be a strong pullback to break through the big negative. Similarly, the slow rise market is the same.
The first support below in the short term is around 3250. The strong support is at the integer level of 3200. Once this position is reached, it will become a repeated test position like 3400.
GOLD TOP DOWN ANALYSIS FOR MON. 30TH JUNE - FRI 4TH JULY, 2025Gold looks bearish heading into the new week. We had the formation of a weekly engulfing candle last week. I expect a pullback buy at market open from the current level to a take-profit level of 3316.
After that, I expect a sell-off from the 3318 level down to the 3000 level for the rest of the week.
I will be posting daily updates here, cheers!
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XAUUSD Elliot wave update: Is wave 4 still in play?From our previous count we were anticipating a drop for 4th wave completion. We can see now we have been dropping as anticipated. Given the current wave structure I am expecting a double 3 (wxy) to complete this 4th wave. If we are correct then we should expect price to continue down from current position before pulling back up and fall one more time. To take advantage of the move if not caught at the top, one should find areas where price will find resistance to short the market.
XAUUSD Update 29th JUNE 2025Last week, pullback has reached 62% fibonaci.
It have an opportunity to continue the correction in to 3205 support or more lower at 3190 level support.
So we need to becarefull on next week and we looking for a reversal / rejection signal from the market as a confirmation.
We need to give our attention to a fundamental data also. If there is a big news on war / geopolitical or global economic in July, we could be more convidence about gold price direction.
If 3155 lose...it would be more deep, but it would be unlikely.
Have a good luck !
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XAUUSD - Breakdown: Israel-Iran Conflict - RISK OFF Part III 🚨 Trump announces a ceasefire
This likely kills any chance for TVC:GOLD to retest higher sell zones.
No more upside, just continuation plays for the bears, watch for momentum to pick up on the downside. More market optimism means RISK ON - Gold Bearish , DXY Bounce, Stocks Rally.
Watching the markets today, It was like it wants optimism but the drama with escalations and uncertainty kept it where it was all day, I usually avoid Mondays, but now that this has been announced, we will see Market Optimistic and sentiment drive Gold Lower if there are no further escalations than what has already happened, which simply means the US or Iran would have to do more severe damage beyond what has already happened.
We will be back to Fundamentals driving Gold if there is no other major event!
#XAUUSD #Gold #Ceasefire #RiskOn #TradingView #MarketUpdate #Commodities
Everybody loves Gold Part 6Great week in Part 5.
Starting this week with a strong bias towards the upside.
Here's a breakdown of trading dynamics:
1. Expecting price to break past green line, level of significance (LOS) for continuation up
2. Price might bounce back for which; will be looking for a continuation from -50/-100 or -150pips to the upside
3. Will be looking for double tops/bottom along the way
As always price action determines trades
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🎯 6260.00 (or exit early if the market turns)
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Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Monday, 30th June 2024)Bias: No Bias
USD News(Red Folder):
-None
Notes:
- Strong bearish closure on weekly
- Price is rejecting on 0.618fib level
- Potential BUY/SELL if there's
confirmation on lower timeframe
- Pivot point: 3300, 3225
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Next Week Aims for 3300 Break💎 Last week, gold opened gap-up on Monday 🔼 but then trended lower 🔽. However, the 3290-3300 support zone remained robust from Mon-Thu ⚡. It plunged to ~3255 on Fri before rebounding 🌱. Next week's open may surge to 3290-3300 🔥!
🚀 Sell@3260 - 3270
🚀 TP 3280 - 3290 -3300
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
GOLD ANALYSIS FOR MONDAY MARKET OPEN, 30TH JUNE, 2025Gold looks bearish heading into the new week. We had the formation of a weekly engulfing candle last week. I expect a pullback buy at market open from the current level to a take-profit level of 3316.
After that, I expect a sell-off from the 3318 level down to the 3000 level for the rest of the week.
I will be posting daily updates here, cheers!
Analysis of Gold's Opening Market Strategy on MondayOn last Friday, both the data and news fronts were bearish, leading to a step-by-step decline in gold prices. The bears completely dominated the market, and the feeble rebound made it difficult for long-position holders to exit. Gold trended lower in a volatile and slow decline, rebounding only to a high of 3,321 before plummeting all the way, consecutively breaking through the 3,300 psychological barrier, the 3,280 support level, and the daily trend line.
For the trend at next week's opening, the first target is to observe whether the 3,270 support level stabilizes and triggers a rebound. This level is not only a technical support but also a position where long positions can be considered for deployment. Market laws show that a rebound often follows a unilateral downtrend, and this area may trigger a price recovery. If the key support is broken, the downtrend is likely to continue, with the next focus on the 3,250-3,245 support zone.
In terms of operations, it is recommended to maintain a bearish strategy of "selling on rallies," with key attention paid to the resistance area of 3,313-3,321. Short positions should be deployed by relying on this level.
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Trading Strategy:
sell@3300-3295
TP:3250-3260
GOLD Setup- Bearish Bias!FOREXCOM:XAUUSD Price is forming a series of lower highs and lower lows on the 4‑hour timeframe, indicating a downtrend bias. Recent resistance at the 70 EMA / descending trendline is holding strong,hard to break above.
Based on recent candle pattern with long lower wicks at current price, it’s most likely A short term correctional swing might occur to zone 3295-3310.
Setup:
Entry: 3300-3310
Targets: 3260, 3240, 3210
Stop Loss: 3331
Risk: 1:2,3,5
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice.
.
Welcoming your thoughts in this setup. Let’s grow together<3
XAUUSD Weekly Analysis 30 June 4 July 2025Gold has formed a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern on the H4 timeframe. While the pattern is not perfectly symmetrical, it is still valid and clearly recognizable. The price has broken below the neckline, confirming a potential shift in market structure to the downside.
Analysis Insight:
The 3340–3350 area, previously a support zone, is now acting as resistance following the neckline break. A pullback to this zone may present a high-probability short opportunity for swing traders, especially if price shows rejection or bearish structure in that zone.
Trade Type: Swing
Trade Setup – Sell on Retracement:
Bias: Bearish on confirmation of retracement rejection
Entry Zone: 3340 – 3350
Stop Loss: 3376 (above right shoulder/high)
Take Profit: 3320/3300/3285/3260
Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:2
Kindly follow, share, like, support and comment.
Silver has follow the bullish trend buying possible from support📈 Silver Alert – Bullish Momentum Building! 🚀
Silver is showing strong bullish movement after bouncing off key support at 34.9000 on the 4H timeframe.
🎯 Technical Targets:
1st Target: 36.6000 – Approaching key supply zone
2nd Target: 37.5000 – Major resistance level to watch
The trend looks solid with momentum picking up — bulls are in control for now!
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Stop Loss 🛑: "Thief’s SL hides at the nearest swing low (3H TF: 3250.00) OR below the last daily candle wick. Adjust based on your risk appetite & lot size!"
Target 🏴☠️: 3490.00 (or escape early if the cops—err, bears—show up!)
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📊 Market Status:
XAU/USD (GOLD) – Neutral (But Bullish Sneak Attack Likely! 🐂💥)
"The heist is ON, but watch for traps—overbought zones, consolidation, and bearish robbers lurking!"
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