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Gold - Exceptional StrengthGold is clearly in an impulse wave that I feel is the wave five of a larger third wave. Generally, a fifth wave in commodities is often the biggest. While in normal trading vehicle, the third wave is the largest. So either way, momentum remains strong. GDX however is not as strong but my expectations are for this to change. Recent miner financials have showed that high gold prices along with lower energy costs result in strong positive cash flow. There are too many bargains in the miners sector and as cash levels increase, look for M&A opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AssetDesign
WTI Crude oversold bounce The WTI Crude (US Light Crude) price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The key trading level is at 7300. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 7300 level could target the downside support at 7100 followed by 6955 and 6870 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 7290 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 7360 resistance followed by 7455 levels. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:WTI
by TradeNation
GOLD -bias short Bullish indications: Making HHHL in day time frame . Bearish indications: bearish divergence in day time frame. 4 hr :hS formation made with bearish divergence . MA 21 is also getting respected. Current point will be the right point to short as trend line support broken. 2nd trend line support is also broken. next target can be 2912 bearish engulfer candle in 15 min but MA is still below the candle but ma 200 respected . Trade Plan bias short @ 2931.5 SL:2941.2 TP1:2921.5 TP2:2912.5
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by gouthamkulal1
Soybean Market Outlook (2.21.25)The global soybean market is navigating a period of shifting supply and demand dynamics, driven by increased U.S. stock levels and production adjustments in key South American countries. Let’s take a look at notable revisions in production estimates, trade flows, and pricing trends that will shape the market in the coming months. U.S. Soybean Stocks and Production Adjustments The USDA has increased its forecast for U.S. soybean ending stocks to 315 million bushels, up 10 million bushels from the previous estimate. This revision is largely due to lower domestic crush projections, reflecting reduced demand from the U.S. processing sector. Total production remains at 4.16 billion bushels, with no changes to yield estimates at 50.6 bushels per acre. South American Crop Revisions and Global Supply Impact In South America, weather conditions have led to downward adjustments in soybean production forecasts. Argentina's soybean output is now projected at 50 million metric tons (MMT), reflecting a 1.5 MMT reduction from last month due to persistent dryness affecting key growing regions. In contrast, Brazil's soybean production remains at 157 MMT, as strong early-season yields have offset localized drought concerns. These supply adjustments influence global export flows, with Brazil expected to maintain its dominant position in the market despite Argentina's production decline. Trade and Demand Dynamics Global soybean trade projections remain largely stable, with U.S. exports holding at 1.76 billion bushels. Brazil is set to continue leading global soybean exports, supported by a favorable exchange rate and competitive pricing. Meanwhile, Chinese soybean imports are forecasted at 102 MMT, consistent with previous estimates, as demand for animal feed and soybean meal remains strong. Price Outlook and Market Implications Soybean futures on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) are trading near $11.90 per bushel, reflecting market concerns over South American weather conditions and export competition. The average farm price for U.S. soybeans is projected at $12.55 per bushel, unchanged from previous estimates. Investment Considerations With rising U.S. stock levels and weather-driven supply concerns in South America, the soybean market presents opportunities for traders and investors. Key areas to watch include: • Futures and Options Strategies: Volatility in global production may create trading opportunities in soybean futures CBOT:ZS1! . • Agricultural Input Stocks: Companies involved in fertilizers and crop protection may benefit from shifting planting conditions. • Export Competitiveness: U.S. soybean exports face continued pressure from Brazil’s pricing advantages, making trade policy and currency movements critical factors.
CAPITALCOM:SOYBEAN
by juliakhandoshko
My Long Gold Idea 21/2/2025Fundamentally, gold is mostly bullish as a safe-haven asset. We have many factors pushing the gold price up. The main reason why it is going up is because there is fear in the market. We have lost count on how many factors that pours into the "fear" factor. But as long as fear is present in the market and economy then Gold's 3000$ psychological price target is very feasible and positive no matter what the price action says. Edge finder scored a "very bullish" score on gold. Any dips, will buy.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by stingotho
XAUUSD LongXAUUSD Analysis (H4, Long Position): 1. Current Context: At 2930, XAUUSD is at a historically elevated level, likely reflecting safe-haven demand, inflation concerns, or a weaker USD. On H4, this price could indicate either a consolidation after a rally or a pullback within a broader uptrend, testing a key zone. 2. Support and Resistance Levels: Support: The current price of 2930 might be near a support zone, likely around 2920–2930. This could align with a recent swing low, the 50-period EMA, or a Fibonacci retracement (e.g., 38.2% or 50% from a prior leg up). Resistance: The next resistance could be around 2950–2960, a psychological level and potential supply zone, possibly near prior highs or an extended target. 3. Technical Indicators: Moving Averages (EMA): If the price is above the 50 EMA (e.g., near 2920) and 200 EMA (e.g., lower, around 2880–2900), it confirms a bullish trend. A pullback to the 50 EMA at 2920 could act as dynamic support for a long entry. RSI (14): If RSI is between 50–70, it suggests sustained bullish momentum without overbought conditions (above 70). A dip toward 50 followed by a bounce would reinforce the buy case. Volume: Look for increasing volume on upward moves near 2930, indicating buyer conviction. 4. Patterns: At 2930, H4 might show a bullish continuation pattern, such as a "Flag" or "Pennant" after a prior rally, suggesting a push toward 2950–2960. Alternatively, if pulling back from a high (e.g., 2940–2950), a "Bullish Engulfing" or "Hammer" candle near 2920–2930 could signal a reversal upward. 5. Long Position Scenario: Entry Point: If the price holds 2930 or dips to 2920–2925 and shows bullish confirmation (e.g., a strong bullish candle, engulfing pattern, or rejection of lower levels), enter a long position. Alternatively, a breakout above 2935 could also work. Stop-Loss: Place the stop below support, e.g., at 2910, to protect against a deeper correction. Take-Profit: First target at 2950 (20–30 points profit), second target at 2960 if momentum continues. Risk/Reward Ratio: With a 20–25 point stop and a first target of 20–30 points, you get a 1:1 to 1:1.5 ratio; extending to 2960 improves it to 1:2. 6. Fundamental Factors: XAUUSD at 2930 likely reflects USD weakness (e.g., dovish Fed signals), geopolitical tensions, or inflation expectations. A breakout could be driven by softer US data (e.g., CPI, retail sales) or renewed safe-haven flows. Check TradingView’s "Economic Calendar" for events like Fed speeches or US yields movement.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trade_Hive_Signals
HelenP. I Gold may continue an upward trendHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. In this scenario, we can observe how the price initially reached Support 2 before dropping further to Support 3, eventually breaking through and touching the trend line. From there, the price began to rise, fluctuating between the trend line, and soon broke through Support 3 once again. After this, the price made a slight correction toward the support zone before climbing back to the trend line, continuing to move upward just below it. Shortly after, Gold reached Support 2 again and swiftly broke through, even making a false breakout of the trend line before correcting back to the support zone. Following this move, XAU resumed its upward trajectory, eventually breaking above the trend line and reaching Support 1, which aligned with the support zone. The price continued its bullish movement, surging as high as 2942 points before correcting back to the trend line. Currently, Gold remains in an uptrend, and I anticipate another correction to the trend line before continuing its upward movement. Based on this outlook, I have set my target at 3000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
8
Crude oil may bounce, but $70 is the magnetStocks of crude oil have not changed much since the end of January, in a plateau. That had stopped a losing streak for the WTI light oil contract and boosted a short-term recovery back to technical levels. Geopolitics is a bearish factor, as US-Russia talks may create expectations of lifting some sanctions, so in a medium-term, Crude oil would probably stay around $70. Technically, USOIL is moving in a correctional upswing having driven by the stagnating stocks in storage, colder weather and technically oversold condition: the price is consolidating below the 20 and 50 moving averages, and the next selling wave may be expected above static areas of resistance of $71 and $71, after which it may again pursue to $70 area as shown at the chart. Don't forget to always do your own reserch and manage your risk!
TVC:USOILLong
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness
Natural gas tests the key levelNatrural gas was moving in a strong uptrend, and the good question whether this move will conitunue. Inventory of natural gas is moving down along with the 5-year seasonal, as withdrawal period continues. That keeps natural gas in a seasonal uptrend, until expiration of a current futures contract, while the next will discount the upcoming injection period and will be pricing in a potential decline. The price of natural gas has reached the overbought condition, having emerged out of the upper boundary of Bollinger Bands (50), which, statistically, increases the odds of the price reverting back the mean - the area of between $3.5 and $3.7. While it’s relatively difficult to time reversal trades, it can be a potentially sharp and furious move down. If made correctly (with the help of some reversal formation, such as candlestick engulfing patter, for example), this situation might represent a decent opportunity with a low risk and potentially extended gain. Remember, always remember to manage your risk and do your own research!
FXOPEN:XNGUSDShort
by Stanislav_Bernukhov_Exness
SILVER: Three days breakout traders long in the marketHello everyone and welcome back to my channel! Please do not forget to support my analysis, leave me a comment and feel free to share your opinion, critics are always well accepted if not offensive! Silver, a market that I don't typically trade that much, but sometimes it setups perfectly for interesting trades. Currently this template can lead to a strong short move if reacts how I could expect. Before going deeper inside the analysis, as always, this is not a forecast, guessing the direction is pretty much 50/50, especially with the trading instruments we have. What I do and my "forecasting", is about the setup I'm interested in, if setup correctly. "Chasing market movements and position yourself in a market that is potentially going to explode, are two completely different things", hope it makes sense! Silver it's may be building a great pump and dump scenario, which can fail during the major red news today, 9:45am NYT USD PMI, or during the upcoming week, but let's see the logic behind. Previous week, the last Tuesday placed the low, Friday placed the high, weekly and monthly level, creating as well a "box" where I'm interested to see the behaviour of price once will reach the extreme. Monday was pretty much a narrow range, nothing special really happened, a part for triggering short breakout traders in the market. Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday the market proceeded breaking higher and higher, triggering breakout long traders in the market for 3 days in a row. Apparently we have still bullish strength, but don't forget that we are still inside a monthly "box". Today, I would say the market is in "narrow range" as well, but it's a classic situation when major red news are on schedule, however, a great bulk of volume looks like be trapped up high. Thesis... My main thesis is a short move, not necessarily today, but understand that major red news PMI can drastically be volatile and complete the move (in this scenario I may won't have a good fill to join this short) As well, what I could expect, is the market pumping back up into the current monthly high, failing the breakout and starting the bearish backside process during the upcoming days, eventually reinforcing the thesis with a first red day signal. I will definitely be following and keep this market in watchlist. But what about a bullish move? The only bullish setup I'm willing to take, is a scalp long back into the monthly high, if a buy low setup can be identified, targeting at maximum that level, with no huge size considering I would be buying almost into the high, but still a scalp, well managed, can be a lucrative opportunity. During the NY session and upcoming days I will be updating this post, so don't miss it! Gianni
PEPPERSTONE:XAGUSDShort
by GianniPichichero
4
XAUUSD - Bullish Outlook & Trading PlanKey Observations: * Upward Trend: Gold is currently in an upward trend, with prices making higher highs and higher lows. * Strong Support: A significant support level exists around the 2,915 price point. Key Levels: * Support: 2,915 * Resistance: 2,955 Trade Plan: * Entry: Buy on a dip towards the 2,915 support level. * Stop-Loss: Place stop-loss order at 2,910. * Take-Profit: Set take-profit target at 2,960. #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #DayTrading #Forex #Commodities #Investing #Finance #DayTrader #ChartPattern #Bullish #TradeSetup #tradewithmuhammad Trade With Muhammad
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Muhammad_001