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Profits in continuationTechnical analysis: Gold is isolated below consolidation area / my Neutral Rectangle I mentioned many times lately of #3,288.80 - #3,352.80 on Hourly 4 chart as I believed that best way to utilize current sequence was to Trade the break-out (while operating with Buying and Selling orders within the Rectangle which I did successfully lately) and wait for a next Daily chart’s candle. If market closes below #3,288.80 former Support now turned to Resistance, then most possibly I will have a downtrend confirmation / opening towards #3,262.80 - #3,268.80 Support zone first then #3,252.80 benchmark Support in extension. If however #3,300.80 benchmark gets invalidated to the upside and market closes full Hourly 1 chart’s candle above (only with Fundamental assistance and Buying pressure), then most likely Price-action should soon connect with #3,327.80 Resistance in extension / first pressure point. My position: I have aggressively re-Bought (Scalps mostly) #3,288.80 Support many times throughout yesterday's session which delivered excellent Profit. However as I was without orders over-night, Gold extended the Selling sequence / dip and now will stop with Scalp Buying orders. I will operate as stated above and Trade the break-out.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by goldenBear88
NG1!: Move Down Expected! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse NG1! together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3.473 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3.447.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
RUS:NG1!Short
by FreeXauusdSignals
USOIL Expected Growth! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for USOIL is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 60.68 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 61.41 My Stop Loss - 60.25 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TVC:USOILLong
by AnabelSignals
1
Learn What Time Frame to Trade. Gold Forex Trading Basics If you just started trading, you are probably wondering how to choose a trading time frame. In the today's post, I will go through the common time frames, and explain when to apply them. 1m; 5m, 15m Time Frames These 4 t.f's are very rapid and are primarily applied by scalpers . If your goal is to catch quick ebbs and flows within a trading session, that is a perfect selection for you. 30m, 1H Time Frame These 2 are perfectly suited for day traders. Executing the analysis and opening the trades on these time frames, you will be able to catch the moves within a trading day. 4h, Daily Time Frames These time frames are relatively slow . They are mostly applied by swing traders, who aim to trade the moves that last from several days to several weeks. Weekly, Monthly Time Frames These time frames reveal long-term historical perspective and are mostly used by investors and position traders. If your goal is to look for buy & hold assets, these time frames will help you to make a reasonable decision. 📝When you are choosing a time frame to trade, consider the following factors : 1️⃣ - Time Availability How much time daily/weekly are you able to sacrifice on trading? Remember a simple rule: lower is the time frame, more time it requires for management. 2️⃣ - Risk Tolerance Smaller time frames usually involve higher risk, while longer-term time frames are considered to be more conservative and stable. 3️⃣ - Your Trading Goals If you are planning to benefit from short term price fluctuations you should concentrate your attention on lower time frames, while investing and long-term capital accumulation suite for higher time frames. Time frame selection is nuanced and a complex topic. However, I believe that these simple rules and factors will help you to correctly choose the one for you. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
XAUUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my XAUUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
3
GOLD📌 Current Bias: Short-term Bias: Bearish retracement in progress. Medium-term Bias: Still bullish, unless price breaks below the 0.5–0.618 zone and forms a CHoCH with continuation. ✅ Trading Opportunities: 1. Bullish Continuation -Entry: Between 3,260–3,270 (demand + 0.382 zone) -Confirmation: I-CHoCH or bullish BOS on lower timeframes (e.g., 1H) -Target: 3,338–3,350 (supply), then HH zone 2. Bearish Rejection -Entry: If price retests 3,338–3,340 and forms a bearish CHoCH again -Target: 3,250 (imbalance) and 3,200 (0.618 Fib)
TVC:GOLD
by Monarch00
Gold - Correction Phase Extended!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 As per our latest Gold analysis, price rejected the $3,100 – $3,150 support zone and traded higher. However, Gold is still in a correction phase, moving within a falling red channel. This week, it has been rejecting the upper bound of the channel, reinforcing bearish pressure. ⛔ As long as the upper red trendline holds, the bears remain in control. ✅ For momentum to shift back in favor of the bulls, a clear break above the upper red trendline is needed. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by TheSignalyst
USOIL Will Go Higher From Support! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for USOIL. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 60.773. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 64.119 level soon. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILLong
by SignalProvider
1
GOLD Gold Correlation with DXY, 10-Year Bond Yields, Bond Prices, Interest Rate Differentials, and Carry Trade Advantage 1. Gold vs. DXY (Dollar Index) Typical Inverse Relationship: Gold prices generally move inversely to the US dollar (DXY). A weaker dollar (DXY↓) makes gold cheaper for foreign buyers, boosting demand, while a stronger dollar (DXY↑) pressures gold prices . Exception in Crises: During extreme market stress (e.g., 2008 financial crisis), gold and the dollar may rise together as both act as safe havens . Recent Context (2025): The inverse correlation weakened, with gold showing resilience despite dollar strength due to geopolitical risks and central bank buying . 2. Gold vs. 10-Year Bond Yields Real Yields Drive Gold: Gold has a strong inverse relationship with real interest rates (nominal yield - inflation). Lower real yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, boosting prices . Example: From 2008–2012 and 2019–2021, gold surged as real yields turned negative amid quantitative easing . Recent Divergence: In 2022–2023, gold held steady despite a 270bps rise in 10-year real yields, driven by central bank accumulation and inflation hedging . 3. Gold vs. Bond Prices Indirect Link via Yields: Bond prices and yields are inversely related. Rising bond prices (yields↓) often correlate with gold strength, while falling prices (yields↑) pressure gold . Safe-Haven Overlap: Both gold and Treasuries are considered safe assets, but their correlation is weaker during stagflation (gold outperforms bonds) . 4. Interest Rate Differentials and Carry Trade Impact Carry Trade Mechanics: Investors borrow low-yield currencies (e.g., JPY) to invest in high-yield currencies (e.g., USD), boosting demand for the latter and strengthening the DXY . Example: A 4.25% spread between AUD (4.35%) and JPY (0.10%) incentivizes AUD/JPY carry trades, affecting currency valuations and gold indirectly . Impact on Gold: A stronger dollar (from carry trades) typically pressures gold, but narrowing rate differentials (e.g., Fed cuts) can reverse this dynamic . Key Exceptions and Recent Trends Policy Divergence: The Fed’s aggressive 2022–2023 rate hikes (10-year yields↑) did not suppress gold, highlighting the role of geopolitical demand and de-dollarization trends . Real Rates vs. Nominal Yields: Gold’s 2025 rally to $3,500+ occurred despite elevated nominal yields, as negative real rates (-1.2% after inflation) supported demand . Central Bank Influence: Record central bank gold purchases (1,081 tonnes in 2024) decoupled gold from traditional drivers like the DXY . Summary Table Factor Relationship with Gold Key Drivers & Exceptions DXY ↑ Typically ↓ (inverse) Exceptions: Risk-off events (both rise) 10-Year Yields ↑ ↓ (if real yields rise) Real yields matter more than nominal rates Bond Prices ↑ ↑ (yields↓, gold吸引力↑) Weakens during stagflation Widening Rate Spreads Indirectly ↓ (strengthens DXY) Carry trades amplify USD demand Conclusion Gold’s price dynamics are shaped by a complex interplay of real yields, DXY movements, and carry trade flows, with notable deviations during crises or structural shifts (e.g., central bank buying). While the inverse correlation with the dollar and real yields remains foundational, recent years underscore gold’s evolving role as a geopolitical and institutional asset. Traders should prioritize monitoring real interest rates, central bank policies, and risk sentiment to navigate gold’s trajectory effectively.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
XAUUSD CURRENT SWING XAUUSD : Key Points - The current XAUUSD (gold vs. USD) trade shows a bearish trend, with prices around $3,291.56, down 0.79%. - Technical indicators suggest selling, with support levels at $3,285–$3,280 and resistance at $3,307. - Upcoming US PCE data at 1:30 PM WAT today could impact prices; lower inflation may boost gold, higher may pressure it. - Consider a bearish entry near current levels, but watch for volatility from economic news. --- Current Trade Analysis **Price and Movement**: As of 09:49 AM WAT on May 30, 2025, XAUUSD is trading at approximately $3,291.56, reflecting a decline of -0.79% from the previous close. The day's range is between $3,290.40 and $3,322.64, indicating recent volatility. **Technical Outlook**: The technical analysis leans strongly bearish: - Moving averages (5-day, 10-day, etc.) all signal "Strong Sell," with no buy signals. - Indicators like RSI(14) at 42.519 and MACD(12,26) at -0.92 also suggest selling. - Pivot points show support at $3,293.51 (S1), $3,285.21 (S2), and $3,279.77 (S3), with resistance at $3,307.25 (R1) and higher. - The price is below key resistance ($3,300) and nearing support, suggesting potential for further downside. **Fundamental Factors**: - Gold is supported by geopolitical risks, such as reinstated Trump tariffs, and expectations of Fed rate cuts, which could weaken the USD. - However, a resilient USD, if driven by higher inflation, could pressure gold prices. - The US PCE Price Index, due at 1:30 PM WAT today, is critical: consensus expects 2.2% year-over-year, down from 2.3%. A lower reading may boost gold by signaling rate cuts, while a higher reading could strengthen the USD, adding bearish pressure. **Market Sentiment**: Recent trader discussions are mixed, with some expecting prices to test $3,288 or drop below $3,290, while others see potential for recovery if fundamentals turn bullish. The technical "Strong Sell" contrasts with longer-term bullish views, creating uncertainty. Entry Suggestion Given the bearish technical signals and current price, consider a bearish entry near $3,291.56 or on a break below $3,290, targeting support at $3,285–$3,280. Set a stop-loss above $3,307.25 to manage risk. However, given the upcoming PCE data, be prepared for potential volatility. If you prefer less risk, wait for the data release at 1:30 PM WAT to assess the market reaction before entering. --- Survey Note: Detailed Analysis of XAUUSD Current Trade and Entry Suggestion This section provides a comprehensive examination of the XAUUSD (gold priced in US dollars) market as of 09:49 AM WAT on Friday, May 30, 2025, focusing on current trade dynamics and entry strategies. The analysis integrates technical indicators, fundamental factors, and market sentiment to offer a thorough understanding for traders. Current Market Overview XAUUSD, representing the spot price of gold traded against the US dollar, is currently priced at $3,291.56, reflecting a decline of -26.17 (-0.79%) from the previous close. The day's trading range spans from $3,290.40 to $3,322.64, with a 52-week range of $2,286.77 to $3,500.33, indicating significant yearly appreciation of 41.22%. This positioning suggests gold remains a volatile yet potentially rewarding asset, particularly in the context of current economic uncertainties. Technical Analysis The technical outlook for XAUUSD is decisively bearish in the short term, as evidenced by multiple indicators and moving averages: - **Moving Averages**: A comprehensive review of moving averages shows a "Strong Sell" signal across all periods. For instance: - Simple Moving Averages (SMA): MA5 at $3,297.96 (Sell), MA10 at $3,303.99 (Sell), MA20 at $3,310.17 (Sell), MA50 at $3,299.61 (Sell), MA100 at $3,311.35 (Sell), MA200 at $3,302.66 (Sell). - Exponential Moving Averages (EMA): Similar trends, with MA5 at $3,299.55 (Sell), MA10 at $3,303.13 (Sell), and so forth. This uniformity across short, medium, and long-term averages underscores a bearish momentum, with the price consistently below these averages. - **Technical Indicators**: The technical indicators summary also leans "Strong Sell," with no buy signals and nine sell signals: - RSI(14) at 42.519 indicates a sell, suggesting the market is not yet oversold but trending downward. - STOCH(9,6) at 22.546 and STOCHRSI(14) at 0.737 show oversold conditions, potentially signaling a possible reversal, but currently supporting sell signals. - MACD(12,26) at -0.92 confirms bearish momentum, with the MACD line below the signal line. - Other indicators like ADX(14) at 31.033 (Sell), Williams %R at -92.121 (Oversold), and CCI(14) at -108.4424 (Sell) reinforce the bearish outlook. - ATR(14) at 9.14 indicates lower volatility, suggesting tighter price movements, which could limit significant breakouts without strong catalysts. - **Pivot Points**: Pivot points provide critical levels for potential support and resistance: | Type | S3 | S2 | S1 | Pivot | R1 | R2 | R3 | |---------------|----------|----------|----------|----------|----------|----------|----------| | Classic | 3279.77 | 3285.21 | 3293.51 | 3298.95 | 3307.25 | 3312.69 | 3320.99 | | Fibonacci | 3285.21 | 3290.46 | 3293.7 | 3298.95 | 3304.2 | 3307.44 | 3312.69 | | Camarilla | 3298.04 | 3299.3 | 3300.56 | 3298.95 | 3303.08 | 3304.34 | 3305.6 | | Woodie's | 3281.21 | 3285.93 | 3294.95 | 3299.67 | 3308.69 | 3313.41 | 3322.43 | | DeMark's | - | - | 3289.37 | 3296.88 | 3303.11 | - | - | The current price of $3,291.56 is below the pivot point ($3,298.95) and near S1 ($3,293.51), suggesting potential for further downside to S2 ($3,285.21) or S3 ($3,279.77) if support breaks. Fundamental Analysis Fundamental factors play a significant role in gold's price dynamics, particularly given the current economic environment: - **Geopolitical Risks**: Recent developments, such as reinstated Trump tariffs, add uncertainty to global markets, historically supporting gold as a safe-haven asset. This factor could cap downside risk, especially in times of heightened tension. - **Federal Reserve Policy**: Market expectations of Fed rate cuts, driven by anticipated lower inflation, could weaken the USD, which is typically bullish for gold. Conversely, if inflation data surprises to the upside, a hawkish Fed stance could strengthen the USD, pressuring XAUUSD. - **Economic Indicators**: The US PCE Price Index, a key inflation gauge, is scheduled for release today at 8:30 AM ET (1:30 PM WAT). Consensus estimates are for a year-over-year increase of 2.2%, down from the previous 2.3%. Other related data include: - Goods Trade Balance (Apr): Consensus -142.80B, Previous -161.99B, Time 08:30 WAT. - Personal Income (MoM) (Apr): Consensus 0.30%, Previous 0.50%, Time 08:30 WAT. - Personal Spending (MoM) (Apr): Consensus 0.20%, Previous 0.70%, Time 08:30 WAT. - Chicago PMI (May): Consensus 45.10, Previous 44.60, Time 09:45 WAT. - Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q2): Consensus 2.20%, Previous 2.20%, Time 11:30 WAT. A lower-than-expected PCE reading could fuel expectations of rate cuts, supporting gold, while a higher reading could strengthen the USD, adding bearish pressure. #### Market Sentiment and Trader Discussions Recent trader discussions on platforms like Investing.com reveal mixed sentiments: - One trader closed a short position from 3300 at 91, indicating bearish activity. - Another predicts today's target at $3,277, with potential for more downside if broken. - Contrarily, some see gold dropping to $3,050 before rallying to $3,700, suggesting a longer-term bullish view. - Others expect surprises in the European session, with a possible close around $3,315, indicating uncertainty. This mix reflects the complexity of short-term movements, particularly with the PCE data pending. #### Entry Strategy and Risk Management Given the analysis, the following entry strategies are suggested, balancing technical and fundamental factors: - **Bearish Entry**: - **Entry Point**: Consider entering a short position near the current price of $3,291.56 or on a break below $3,290, targeting support at $3,285.21 (S2) or $3,280 (as per recent analyses). - **Target**: Aim for $3,280–$3,285, with further potential to $3,246–$3,245 if support breaks. - **Stop-Loss**: Place above the recent high or above R1 at $3,307.25 to manage risk, protecting against a potential reversal triggered by bullish fundamentals. - **Rationale**: The technical indicators and moving averages are strongly bearish, and the price is below key resistance, suggesting potential for further downside. However, be cautious of fundamental support from geopolitical risks and Fed rate cut expectations. - **Alternative Bullish Entry**: - If you are bullish on gold due to geopolitical risks or expect a dovish PCE reading, wait for a sustained move above $3,325–$3,326. - **Target**: Aim for $3,400 or higher, with resistance at $3,432–$3,434. - **Stop-Loss**: Below $3,300 to protect against a bearish reversal. - **Rationale**: Fundamental factors like geopolitical tensions and potential Fed easing could limit downside and support a rally, particularly if the PCE data surprises to the downside. - **Key Consideration**: The US PCE Price Index data, due at 1:30 PM WAT, could introduce significant volatility. If trading before the release, be prepared for potential sharp movements. Waiting for the data might provide clearer direction, especially given the conflicting technical and fundamental sign Conclusion The current trade for XAUUSD is characterized by a bearish technical outlook, with prices at $3,291.56 and strong sell signals across indicators and moving averages. Support levels at $3,285–$3,280 are critical, with resistance at $3,307.25. Fundamental factors, including geopolitical risks and the upcoming PCE data, add complexity, potentially capping downside or triggering a reversal. For entry, a bearish strategy near current levels is advisable, targeting $3,285, with a stop-loss above $3,307.25, but traders should remain vigilant for the PCE data impact at 1:30 PM WAT. ---
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by ragnarokedeh
USOIL next week trend analysis, hope it helps youLimited support on the demand side - Seasonal factors: The U.S. summer travel peak has begun, with gasoline demand increasing by approximately 3% month-on-month, but warm winter conditions have caused heating oil consumption to decline by 5% year-on-year . - Economic outlook: Expectations for a slowdown in global economic growth have intensified, with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) latest report cutting its 2025 global GDP growth forecast to 2.8%. Downgraded growth expectations for major economies may curb crude oil consumption potential . - New energy substitution: Global new energy vehicle sales grew by 25% year-on-year in 2025, and combined with improvements in fuel efficiency, the elasticity of crude oil demand continues to decline. USOIL next week trend analysis, hope it helps you USOIL SELL@61~60.5 SL:62 TP:60~59.5
TVC:USOILShort
by AndyHopkins