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#202513 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq e-mini futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Last week I wrote that we need a proper channel down and the past week was the worst case scenario for the bulls. We could not even get to the 50% retracement and turned down violently again. There is a small chance for the bulls to make this a double bottom and go sideways but as of now that is very very low probability. More likely is that we have formed the top of the channel and will get a big second leg down to 18000 or lower. If we go down below 19000, my thesis is that we go down for 2 more weeks and then earnings will decide on the next impulse. For now the technicals are clear, market could not even retrace 50%, we turned around the daily 20ema and volume on the down move is picking up again. Everything points to a bear trend. current market cycle: strong bear trend key levels: 19000 - 20500 bull case: Bulls running for the exits. They have some previous support at the 2024-09 low 19073 but that is most likely not stopping this freight train down. Next big support is at 18000/18100 which is my W3 target. Only question now is if we find buyers tomorrow who want to keep the market above 19000. It’s not impossible that we could see 1-2 more days of stalling around 19000 but given the current structure the selling is just too strong to look for any longs. Invalidation is below 19000. bear case: Bears have now erased about a year of gains and we are heading lower. Friday was another strong sell signal and bears now want to close the monthly bar at the very low to also produce a huge sell signal on the weekly and monthly charts. The selling is strong enough for at least a decent sized second leg and the measured move leads to 16200 which is between my year-end-special target of 17500 and the bull trend line from the covid lows. Plan for the next 2 weeks is the W3 and W4 where I expect W3 to hit 18000 and W4 could retest 19000. Invalidation is above 20600. short term: Clear bear trend now once we drop below 19000. W3 should get us to around 18000 while W4 could be good for a retest of 19000. No longs for me what so ever. Big bear trend line from 22450 has to hold. medium-long term - Update from 2024-03-16: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. Clear W1 of this bear trend. Market now has to close below 19000 to confirm W3. Depending on how deep W3 goes, W5 will either reach only around 17500 or the bull trend line around 16000. current swing trade: None chart update: Added most likely upper bear trend line and adjusted the 5-wave series.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
Gold gains more strength for a push upwardXAU/USD Analysis – March 30, 2025 Gold is holding strong above $3,000/oz, driven by economic uncertainty and geopolitical risks. Trump's trade tariffs have increased safe-haven demand, while rising inflation keeps gold as a hedge. Key Levels: Resistance: $3,100 – A break above could push towards $3,150+ Support: $2,980 – A drop below may trigger a correction Sentiment: Mixed. Bulls eye further highs with BoA forecasting $3,350 in 2026, while some analysts warn of a possible pullback. Watch for: ✅ Market reaction to U.S. policies ✅ Dollar strength/weakness impact ✅ Institutional positioning Gold remains in a strong uptrend but could see a short-term correction. I will be dropping some intraday trading ideas within the week. So stay tuned & Trade smart! 🏆📉
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Nytro1
Crude Oil at Decision Point — Breakout Coming or Just More Chop?Crude is nearing the apex of a descending triangle, but the conflicting signals across timeframes make this a tough read. The daily is breaking out to the upside, while the 4H is pushing lower — classic mixed market structure. Are we about to fake out in both directions before rolling over to fresh lows, or is this a genuine attempt to break higher? Honestly, both long and short setups feel like low-probability plays right now. Sometimes, the best trade is no trade.
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradingNutCom
No where to go but up....What a mess! As you can see from the 240 minute chart, things are indeed ugly. But, isn't it strange that we made all time highs just a month or so ago? Look at the Magic 7 stocks and find one that doesn't look buyable here. All the bearish sentiment in the world cannot stop the flood of FOMO money that will attract to the negative look of the chart to the first clear sign of a trend reversal. I don't care about the rest of the world, I am going to try and buy this somewhere between where we are and an absolute bottom in the 5500's.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by rzacuto
#202513 - priceactiontds - weekly update - dax futures Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: First 3 trading days of the week bulls tried to break above and failed at every higher high, printing an expanding triangle, which broke to the downside on Thursday. Outlook is tough. I want to lean bearish but there is still bigger buying coming through at new lows and betting on the bear breakout is just not a good trade. current market cycle: trading range - bull trend line is broken and market has failed to make new highs 2 times on the daily chart. key levels: 22000 - 23746 bull case: Bulls see it as a trading range at the highs and want to continue sideways until the next impulse could bring them higher again. They prevented the market from making lower lows, which is the only objective now. Once market makes new lows below 22400, the bulls know that the next support is likely the trend line around 22000, which is also the open gap close. I don’t have much else for the bulls. Narrative wise it should have made higher highs already and technically this market has turned neutral again. Invalidation is below 22400. bear case: Bears have plenty of arguments now to make lower lows and test down to 22000. If they fail again at a lower low, bears have to give up and let bulls take control again. We have a big open bear gap between 22900 and 23078. Bears have to keep this open and stay below the 4h 20ema if they want lower lows. They can even argue an ugly head & shoulders top and the measured move down would bring us to exactly 21000. If bulls would have been stronger, we would have made higher highs by now. We have seen enough strong rejections above 23000, volume has picked up significantly and US markets are falling like dead fish. Now or never for bears or we go higher. Invalidation is above 23000. short term: Neutral but bear at heart. I just won’t bet on the breakout but rather want to see it happen and only join after a retest broke down again. Previous support is too big to ignore and bears have not done enough for me to be more confident about them. Below 22500 the odds go up significantly for the bears and bulls need to recover 22900+ for more upside or at least going sideways instead of down. medium-long term from 2024-03-16: Germany takes on huge amount of new debt. Dax is rallying hard and broke above multi-year bull trends. This buying is as real as it gets, as unlikely as it is. Market is as expensive as it was during the .com bubble but here we are and marking is pointing up. Clear bull channel and until it’s broken, I can not pound my chest and scream for lower prices. Price is truth. Is the selling around 23000 strong enough that we could form a top? Yes. We have wild 1000 point swings in both directions. Look at the weekly chart. Last time we had this volatility was 2024-07 and volume then was still much lower. We are seeing a shift from US equities to European ones and until market closes consecutive daily bars below 22000, we can’t expecting anything but sideways to up movement. current swing trade: Will join the bears below 22500 on good momentum for 22000 or lower. chart update: Bull trend line is gone and added bear gap
EUREX:FDXS1!
by priceactiontds
XAUUSD XAU/USD represents the price of gold in relation to the US dollar and is one of the most traded commodities in global financial markets. It is influenced by factors such as inflation, interest rates, geopolitical events, and central bank policies, making it a key asset for investors seeking stability during economic uncertainty. Gold often acts as a safe-haven asset, with demand increasing in times of market volatility or currency devaluation. The relationship between gold and the dollar tends to be inverse, meaning when the dollar strengthens, gold prices typically decline, and vice versa. Traders and investors closely monitor economic data, Federal Reserve decisions, and global financial trends to predict movements in the XAU/USD pair.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by HavalMamar
Will Monday Bring a Breakout or a Correction?Last week was characterized by extreme volatility, with price movements reflecting significant reactions across different trading sessions. On Friday, the Asian session managed to push past the $3057 mark, only for early European trading to see a pullback. However, the US session reversed course, fueling a rally that extended until market close. Key Levels to Watch on Monday Looking ahead, the critical question is whether the Asian session can break above $3086, potentially paving the way for a push beyond $3100. If this breakout fails, we could see a price correction similar to Friday's, especially during European trading. At present, I'm taking a cautious approach, observing the market while many anticipate further upside. While momentum appears strong, I prefer to wait for clearer confirmations before making a move. Potential Scenarios Breakout Above $3086 A successful push above this level could signal continuation toward $3100+, reinforcing the bullish sentiment. Failure at $3086 – Potential Pullback If the market struggles to sustain levels above $3086, a decline to $3076 is likely. A break below $3076 could see further downside to $3067 and possibly lower. Technical Indicators & Market Sentiment RSI (1H): Currently at 52, indicating neutral momentum. RSI (4H): Around 90, showing overbought conditions—especially following the Asian session rally. Market Sentiment: Many traders expect an upward continuation, but caution is warranted given overbought signals and the possibility of a correction. External Factors: Tariffs & Global Trends As we approach April 2nd, when new tariffs take effect, global markets have been showing signs of weakness. Uncertainty persists, and with gold acting as a safe haven, investors may seek protection, adding another layer of complexity to Monday’s price action. Conclusion The start of the week will likely be dictated by whether the Asian session can achieve a breakout above $3086. If it does, bullish momentum could drive prices higher. However, failure at this level could result in a correction, with key support levels at $3076 and $3067 in focus. Given the broader market conditions and upcoming economic events, a cautious approach remains prudent. 📉 Will Monday bring a correction, or is there still room for another rally? Share your thoughts in the comments! 🚀 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Wick-Sniper
Strategy testing //+------------------------------------------------------------------+ //| Daily 10% Profit EA with 5% Max Drawdown | //| Uses RSI, Bollinger Bands, ADX, Fibonacci, Grid System | //+------------------------------------------------------------------+ //@version=5 strategy("Daily 10% Profit EA", overlay=true, default_qty_type=strategy.percent_of_equity, default_qty_value=10) // Input Parameters RSI_Period = input(14, "RSI Period") ADX_Period = input(14, "ADX Period") BB_Period = input(20, "Bollinger Bands Period") BB_Deviation = input(2, "Bollinger Bands Deviation") MaxDrawdownPercent = input(5, "Max Daily Drawdown (%)") DailyProfitTargetPercent = input(10, "Daily Profit Target (%)") // Indicators rsi = ta.rsi(close, RSI_Period) adx = ta.adx(ADX_Period) bb_upper = ta.sma(close, BB_Period) + BB_Deviation * ta.stdev(close, BB_Period) bb_lower = ta.sma(close, BB_Period) - BB_Deviation * ta.stdev(close, BB_Period) // Fibonacci Retracement Calculation highestHigh = ta.highest(high, 50) lowestLow = ta.lowest(low, 50) fibLevel = lowestLow + (highestHigh - lowestLow) * 0.382 // Strategy Conditions longCondition = (rsi < 30 and adx > 20 and close < bb_lower) shortCondition = (rsi > 70 and adx > 20 and close > bb_upper) // Risk Management initialBalance = strategy.equity currentEquity = strategy.equity DailyProfit = ((currentEquity - initialBalance) / initialBalance) * 100 DailyDrawdown = ((initialBalance - currentEquity) / initialBalance) * 100 dailyLimitReached = (DailyProfit >= DailyProfitTargetPercent or DailyDrawdown >= MaxDrawdownPercent) if longCondition and not dailyLimitReached strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long) if shortCondition and not dailyLimitReached strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short) // Close trades when daily limits are reached if dailyLimitReached strategy.close_all()
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Sunny786699
USOIL My Opinion! BUY! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the USOIL next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 68.97 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 69.31 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TVC:USOILLong
by AnabelSignals
1
Gold Analysis With the rise of global gold to the proximity of important resistance and the monthly dynamic ceiling, we can consider moving towards this dynamic ceiling for the start of the week, which will be the range of 3103-3110 and also the psychological number 3100 and react to the price towards correction, to correct the internal structure of the broken channel ceiling and in the next stage the floor of 3000 towards the liquidity hunt of the bottom of this swing (liquidity trap)
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by kinshinreza
March 31, 2025, the gold (XAU/USD) market"This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Before making any trading decisions, double-check the accuracy of the analysis and ensure it aligns with current market conditions. Always conduct thorough fundamental analysis, including economic news and geopolitical factors, to gain a complete understanding of potential price movements." gold (XAU/USD) market has exhibited significant bullish momentum, with prices recently reaching new highs. In such strong uptrends, traders often utilize technical tools like Bollinger Bands and Fibonacci extensions to identify potential reversal points and set target levels
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Cloudexp1
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news: Gold prices in London hit a record high on Friday as U.S. President Trump's latest tariff policy sparked concerns about a global trade war, with investors flocking to safe-haven assets. Spot gold climbed 0.9% to its 18th record high of $3,086 this year. It rose 2.02% this week, rising for the fourth consecutive week.This round of international gold's rise is driven by market concerns that President Trump's new round of reciprocal tariffs, which will take effect on April 2, will push up inflation and undermine the stability of global trade. Gold prices have risen 2% this week and are expected to rise for the fourth consecutive week as investors turn to safe-haven assets amid growing uncertainty about the direction of U.S. policy.Next week will be Trump's tariff week, and countries are currently relatively tough. According to CCTV, Mexican President Sheinbaum said on March 28 local time that he opposed the United States' unilateral imposition of a 25% auto tariff. Mexico is developing comprehensive responses to strengthen the national economy and respond to unilateral behavior, while the negotiation process with the United States continues, striving to ensure stable employment and maintain investment while avoiding damage to U.S. and Canadian interests. Technical Review:    Gold has a high probability of rising overall on Friday due to the combined effect of market sentiment and capital flows in the evening. However, the market feedback after the release of PCE inflation data was poor, and the data was bearish. Gold failed to break through the high point and set a new high. Although the gold price rose and broke through the high point during the ten o'clock period, it was just a puncture! In the current market, perhaps the market needs further adjustment! Gold broke through the new high in the US market and fell back. It is not meaningful to chase high again on Friday night. It may rise and fall at any time. After all, gold may start to adjust at any time after rising today. The one-hour line rose twice to touch the high point of 3086, which will be the key resistance level. It is obvious that the gold price did not stand above 3086. Both times it fell rapidly after touching it. Before the gold price stood above 3086, it looked for adjustments during the session. The range was 3066-3086. Gold may have a double top starting from 30 minutes. Don't chase more for the time being. If you want to go long, wait patiently for a fall, otherwise the adjustment range at the high level may also be large. Analysis for next week: Gold is still just adjusting for now. Gold started to rise again in the second half of the night. Gold bulls are still relatively strong. There will be more gold if it falls back next week. After all, gold bulls are strong now. However, don’t chase more at high levels. Wait for it to fall back before buying more.     Gold is still arranged with a golden cross upward bullish divergence in 1 hour. After the adjustment, gold bulls did not weaken, but continued to be strong. Then the decline of gold is just an adjustment. Gold will continue to buy after the adjustment next week.     Gold hit the bottom of 3067 in the US market on Friday and then rose again. The gold moving average now supports the line around 3072. In this range, gold is still in the support area. So buy on dips when it falls back to 3070 next week. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3070-3073, stop loss at 3062, target at 3090-3100; Sell short-term gold at 3103-3105, stop loss at 3114, target at 3080-3070; Key points: First support level: 3072, second support level: 3065, third support level: 3055 First resistance level: 3092, second resistance level: 3105, third resistance level: 3118
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BraveTigercat
Good as GoldSharing an older chart of my gold long trade, which was confirmed by the cup and handle pattern. A means of exchange for over 5000 years. Nothing can compare to the history and longevity of the world's most durable asset. Currencies have come and gone, but gold remains good and true. Over the last 23 years there has been some excellent opportunities to load up on this precious metal. Notably the Covid Dump and also the recent start of the escalations on October 7th 2023. I do suspect we top out soon as we approach that $2800 to $3000 level. I don't know what will cause the crash, it could be due to a financial crisis on a global scale, or perhaps due to another black swan event. If it does fall back towards the long term trendline, I will certainly be a buyer and not a seller. Consider taking some profits at the $2800-3000 level if trading it on a shorter term basis. Do your own research, not financial advice.
TVC:GOLD
by NoFOMO_