Futures market
Gold (XAUUSD) โ Symmetrical Triangle Coil | 2-H ChartTechnical Analysis
Price is compressing inside a large symmetrical triangle that has been building since mid-April: higher swing-lows meet lower swing-highs, keeping volatility bottled up. The latest test of the rising base (โ 3 270) held firmly, and weโre now mid-range, eyeing a break through the upper trend-line (~ 3 360).
Pattern: Symmetrical triangle (continuation bias).
Bullish trigger: 2-H close above 3 360 opens room to the measured-move target 3 470 (height of pattern added to breakout).
Key support / invalidation: 3 270 โ a clean break below negates the setup.
Interim resistance: 3 400, 3 430.
Risk-to-reward: ~1 : 2 from a breakout entry with a stop below 3 270.
Fundamental backdrop
Dollar drift: DXY has softened as markets price a shallower Fed path and a possible mid-year pause, easing headwinds for bullion.
Real-rate stall: US 10-y real yields are stabilising under recent highs, removing downward pressure on non-yielding assets.
Macro anxiety: Persistent geopolitical noise and patchy global PMI prints keep haven demand simmering.
Call to Action:
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Bias & plan
While inside the triangle we remain neutral-to-constructive; a confirmed topside break turns the short-term trend bullish toward 3 470. Close below 3 270 shifts the bias to neutral/bearish.
NOTE : This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Support: Like & follow for more trade ideas!
GOLDโBeware of market reversal? News is coming soon.At the end of the Asian session, the US dollar index was around 100.05. Gold rebounded after the plunge, and the current gold price is around $3,320/ounce.
Investors will see a large number of speeches by Fed officials, among which Williams' remarks are the most watched and are expected to trigger a big market trend.
Today's major news:
New York Fed President Williams will deliver a keynote speech at the 2025 Reykjavik Economic Conference. Later, Williams will speak at the Hoover Monetary Policy Conference.
I think if Williams makes hawkish remarks, it may push the dollar stronger, thereby suppressing gold prices.
Williams also serves as vice chairman of the Federal Open Market Committee and has permanent voting rights like the Fed governors.
In terms of monetary policy, Weems has the most say after Chairman Powell. Williams also served as chairman of the San Francisco Fed for nearly 7 years.
There are also several events taking place today: Fed Governor Kugler will speak on maximizing employment; North Richmond Fed President Barkin will participate in a fireside chat; Chicago Fed President Goolsbee will deliver a welcome and opening speech at a Fed event.
Gold price trend forecast:
I think its price may fall further to $3,200-3,100/ounce in the next few weeks.
I hope my analysis can help you, and I wish you good luck.
XAUUSD is moving within the 3,195.00 - 3,495.00๐๐ผ Possible scenario:
Gold (XAU) fell 1.74% on May 8 following the announcement of a new U.S.-UK trade deal, which eased global trade tensions and reduced safe-haven demand. The Federal Reserve kept rates steady, warning of inflation and labor market risks, but signaled no immediate rate cuts. Despite the drop, gold remains on track for a weekly gain amid lingering market caution.
May 9 brings a quiet macro calendar, but traders should watch for updates on U.S. trade relations.
โ
Support and Resistance Levels
Support level is now located at 3,195.00 .
Now, the resistance level is located at 3,495,00
USOIL SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 61.08
Target Level: 55.63
Stop Loss: 64.68
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 8h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โ
LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEASโ
Gold is in shock again, will the short position continue?๐News side:
1. Tariffs push up inflation and slow down the economy, and the Federal Reserve may be in trouble
2. The situation between India and Pakistan escalates again
๐Technical aspects:
Gold experienced a big plunge yesterday, and today it bottomed out near 3275 again and then started to rebound. The current gold price is caught in a wide range of fluctuations, with long and short positions frequently alternating to impact the market, making it difficult to form a unilateral trend. At present, the gold price once rebounded to around 3330. If the gold price breaks through the 3336 line, short-term trading in the European market may touch the upper level near 3350, or even the 3365 line. Today's market cannot chase the rise and sell the fall. Overall, it is still a wide range of fluctuations. It should be a violent roller coaster before the subsequent surge. The European session relies on the low point of 3310 to step back as a defense, focusing on the upper 3350-3360, and further close the key resistance of 3370. The short-term focus below is the support of 3280-3290.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold consolidates as save haven demand diminishesGold had entered the consolidation phase after completing the โbullish trapโ at the top of the price action. The next possible support level would be location lower, when price would meet the lower band of the Bollinger Bands indicator, as shown at the chart.
The exact pivot point is hard to predict, but given the strong trending market conditions, the buy opportunity would be the next possible opportunity.
According to the information from the CMEGroup, volume for Gold futures is growing, whereas open interest has diminished for the last couple of weeks: that points to a distribution pattern and confirms the displayed scenario.
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
USOILOPEC+ decisions have a significant and multifaceted impact on oil prices in the near future:
Short-Term Impact
Supply Increases Lead to Price Drops:
Recently, OPEC+ agreed to increase oil production by about 411,000 barrels per day in May 2025, with plans to accelerate output hikes further in June and beyond, potentially adding up to 2.2 million barrels per day by November. This surge in supply amid weakening global demand, especially due to escalating U.S.-China trade tensions, has already caused oil prices to plunge to multi-year lows
Market Surplus Pressure:
The increased production is expected to exacerbate an existing surplus, putting downward pressure on prices in the near term unless demand recovers.
Medium to Long-Term Impact
Market Stability Through Gradual Adjustments:
OPEC+โs cautious, phased approach to increasing production aims to reduce volatility and stabilize the market over time. By managing supply carefully, OPEC+ attempts to balance between preventing sharp price drops and avoiding excessive shortages.
Dependence on Global Demand Trajectory:
The effectiveness of OPEC+โs strategy heavily depends on global demand, which faces headwinds from the energy transition toward renewables and climate policies like the Paris Accord. If demand declines faster than expected, OPEC+ may need to adjust production cuts or increases accordingly.
Geopolitical and Strategic Considerations:
OPEC+ decisions also have geopolitical implications, influencing relations between member states and global powers. For example, Saudi Arabiaโs recent moves to discipline overproducing members like Iraq and Kazakhstan reflect internal dynamics that affect production policies. Additionally, OPEC+ output decisions are intertwined with U.S.-Saudi relations and broader energy security considerations.
Market Reaction Dynamics
Volatility Around Announcements:
OPEC+ meetings typically trigger immediate price volatility, with oil prices moving 3-7% depending on the size of production adjustments and market expectations.
Trading Algorithms and Futures Positioning:
Automated trading and futures market positioning amplify price swings around OPEC+ announcements.
Hedging and Seasonal Effects:
Consumer industries adjust hedging strategies based on OPEC+ signals, and seasonal demand (e.g., summer driving season) also influences price sensitivity
In essence:
OPEC+โs near-future decisions to accelerate oil output hikes are currently driving prices lower by increasing supply amid fragile demand. However, their gradual and flexible approach aims to stabilize the market over time. The ultimate impact on prices will depend on how global demand evolves, geopolitical dynamics within OPEC+, and the broader energy transition.
Goldโs Fate Sealed? Triple Rejection at $3425 โ Bearish ReversalGold (XAUUSD) just hit a key supply zone around $3425 for the third time and failed to break through. This triple rejection in a high-volume supply area suggests strong institutional selling pressure.
Hereโs why Iโm watching closely:
1. Supply Zone Dominance
The LuxAlgo Supply & Demand indicator shows repeated rejections in the $3400โ$3425 range โ a classic signal that smart money is offloading positions.
2. Bearish Momentum Building
After each rejection, price retraces with higher volume โ a sign of increasing bearish pressure. If price breaks below $3200, expect acceleration towards $2999 and potentially $2626 as highlighted by the next major demand zone.
3. Divergence in Price & Momentum
Recent price highs have not been confirmed by momentum indicators (RSI/MACD divergence). Thatโs another bearish clue.
Key Levels to Watch:
Supply Zone: $3400โ$3425 (Strong Resistance)
Support 1: $3200
Support 2: $2999
Final Demand Zone: $2626
My Trade Plan:
Watching for a clean break and retest of $3200 for potential short entry. Targeting $3000 with SL above $3425.
What do you think? Will Gold break down or surprise us with a bullish breakout? Drop your thoughts and charts below!
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #LuxAlgo #SmartMoney #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #FrankFx
( Gold )Bullish Reversal from Falling Wedge | Long Setup ActiveA bullish Falling Wedge breakout has been confirmed on the 30-minute chart, with price breaking above resistance and entering the indicator . This suggests a potential trend reversal after recent downside pressure.
๐ Technical Setup:
Pattern: Falling Wedge (bullish breakout)
Long Entry: 3323 (active)
T arget: 3398
Stop Loss: Below 3285
Indicator : Bullish signal as price attempts to clear the cloud.
๐ง Fundamental Context:
Weaker USD on recent data may lift gold prices.
Dovish Fed tone softens rate hike fears, supporting metals.
Inflation concerns and geopolitical uncertainties continue to provide upside bias for gold.
Must Support Me Share My Idea With Your Firends Mention Your Feed back Comment Section
๐ Note: Wait for confirmation with a strong candle close below the neckline and increased volume before entering the trade. This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.
Gold delivering excellent Trading opportunitiesTechnical analysis: Gold is consolidating on Hourly 4 chart after it entered my expected #3,342.80 - #3,322.80 Neutral Rectangle zone with #3,342.80 as an possible stop and local Highโs. Upper maximum extension can reach #3,352.80 benchmark / Hourly 4 chartโs extension if Resistance breaks. Both ways, I doubt that Neutral candles will last for long as Gold will be ready for another Buying or Selling sequence, where another slide might be in the aftertime. It is important to note that DX found the Support and engaged the spiral recovery (# +0.81%) which can add Selling pressure on Gold. I will use this configuration and observing market closing (closing below #3,312.80 confirms the downtrend extension), where Gold is Technically ready for #3,300.80 - #3,252.80 benchmark test. DX however remains merely Neutral on bigger charts however near Lower Highโs peak, adding Volatility on Gold counterbalancing mixed values on Yields. This gives me the impression that Gold has at the moment more probabilities to a Short-term uptrend than break below the Support zone. Gold continues to be contained within parabolic uptrend however isolated within Neutral range for the last #1 - #2 consecutive sessions. Daily chart is on (# +0.58%) switch and represents an cautious fractal. Keep in mind that the Medium-term pattern on Daily chart is an Ascending Channel and Gold is on its Higher Highโs decimal zone with Lower levels being a potential Lower Highโs Target. Total Neutrality and balance between the Support and Resistance lines is consolidation phase of next major move ahead.
My position: I have expected #3,300.80 benchmark touch throughout yesterday's session where I engaged Selling order on #3,345.80 (entry point). Due news outcome, #3,352.80 was tested which triggered my Stop-loss and left me without any orders. Later on, Gold dipped towards #3,300.80 benchmark (what I did expect) as I managed to re-Sell Gold on #3,322.80 and close the order on #3,307.80. I am without any orders as Gold is Trading within Neutral Rectangle. I will Trade the break-out of values I explained above.
DeGRAM | GOLD held the support line๐ Technical Analysis
โ OANDA:XAUUSD tagged the purple support line atโฏ$3โฏ300 inside the green demand zone, then printed a bullish engulfing candle.
โ Price is climbing within the risingโchannel midโband; reclaiming the black support levelโฏ$3โฏ360 should propel gold to the upper resistance level nearโฏ$3โฏ500. Long view void on a close belowโฏ$3โฏ200.
๐ก Fundamental Analysis
โ Fed ViceโChair Jefferson signalled rates are โsufficiently restrictiveโ amid cooling CPI base effects, pressuring real yields and the USD.
โจ Summary
Channelโbase rebound plus strong Asian demand and a dovish Fed backdrop support a shortโterm long: targets $3โฏ360 โ $3โฏ500; invalidate under $3โฏ200.
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Gold delivering excellent Trading opportunitiesTechnical analysis: Gold is consolidating on Hourly 4 chart after it entered my expected #3,342.80 - #3,322.80 Neutral Rectangle zone with #3,342.80 as an possible stop and local Highโs. Upper maximum extension can reach #3,352.80 benchmark / Hourly 4 chartโs extension if Resistance breaks. Both ways, I doubt that Neutral candles will last for long as Gold will be ready for another Buying or Selling sequence, where another slide might be in the aftertime. It is important to note that DX found the Support and engaged the spiral recovery (# +0.81%) which can add Selling pressure on Gold. I will use this configuration and observing market closing (closing below #3,312.80 confirms the downtrend extension), where Gold is Technically ready for #3,300.80 - #3,252.80 benchmark test. DX however remains merely Neutral on bigger charts however near Lower Highโs peak, adding Volatility on Gold counterbalancing mixed values on Yields. This gives me the impression that Gold has at the moment more probabilities to a Short-term uptrend than break below the Support zone. Gold continues to be contained within parabolic uptrend however isolated within Neutral range for the last #1 - #2 consecutive sessions. Daily chart is on (# +0.58%) switch and represents an cautious fractal. Keep in mind that the Medium-term pattern on Daily chart is an Ascending Channel and Gold is on its Higher Highโs decimal zone with Lower levels being a potential Lower Highโs Target. Total Neutrality and balance between the Support and Resistance lines is consolidation phase of next major move ahead.
My position: I have expected #3,300.80 benchmark touch throughout yesterday's session where I engaged Selling order on #3,345.80 (entry point). Due news outcome, #3,352.80 was tested which triggered my Stop-loss and left me without any orders. Later on, Gold dipped towards #3,300.80 benchmark (what I did expect) as I managed to re-Sell Gold on #3,322.80 and close the order on #3,307.80. I am without any orders as Gold is Trading within Neutral Rectangle. I will Trade the break-out of values I explained above.
XAUUSD: 9/5 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
4-hour chart resistance level 3360, support level 3280
1-hour chart resistance level 3340, support level 3300
30-minute chart resistance level 3330, support level 3310.
In the 4-hour chart, MACD crosses below the zero axis, and KDJ diverges downward. If it stands firm at โโ3340โโ, the short-term chart will trigger a larger correction. Now the downward trend has not changed.
Gold prices fell back below $3,400 on Thursday, the rally paused, and a sharp downward adjustment began.
The momentum depicted by the relative strength index (RSI) shows that buyers are losing momentum. This is negative for bulls, as a break below $3,300 could intensify the downward trend, perhaps towards the May 1 low of $3,202.
If the price of gold breaks through $3340, this may push the price back to 3370~3400! There is no important news data today, so the volatility of gold in the US market may weaken today, and you can sell high and sell low for the time being. Next week's U.S. CPI data will be a key variable in determining the next direction of gold prices. If inflation is higher than expected, it may once again ignite fluctuations in the gold market.
SELL: 3345 SL: 3350
BUY: 3305 SL: 3300
Trade cautiously and pay attention to the speech of Fed officials today
XAUUSD NEW KEY LEVELS๐ XAUUSD Trade Setup ๐
Please refer to the highlighted boxed zone ๐ฆ on the chart for key price action levels.
๐ต Buy Setup
Initiate a buy position if a candle breaks and closes above the boxed area.
Then, enter when the next candle breaks the high of the closing candle.
๐ด Sell Setup
Initiate a sell position if a candle breaks and closes below the boxed area.
Then, enter when the next candle breaks the low of the closing candle.
๐ฏ Target Levels
The blue lines ๐ต indicate our target levels.
Close 90% of your position to secure profits ๐ฐ.
Hold the remaining 10% for potential extended gains ๐.
Gold market operation strategyYesterday, gold surged and then fell. It was under pressure at 3415 in the early Asian session, and short orders were entered at 3413.6. After rebounding to 3369 in the European session, it was under pressure again, and short orders followed up at 3368.5. The overall trend continued to be extremely weak, breaking 3300 in the late trading and accelerating to 3288. It rebounded to above 3300 in the early morning, and the daily line closed with a long lower shadow positive line, indicating that short-term support is effective, but the rebound momentum is suppressed by the previous band trend. The current gold price is fluctuating in the 3300-3348 range, with upper resistance of 3348-3352. If it breaks through, be alert to a second surge to 3365; the lower support is 3295-3303. If it loses or falls back to the 3275-3255 area. Trading needs to keep a close eye on the dynamics of key positions.
Operation strategy:
1. It is recommended to short gold when it rebounds to 3340-3345 area, with a stop loss at 3353 and a target of 3320-3300.
High pressure rebound continues to shortFrom the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3280. If it does not break, the bullish trend will continue. The short-term suppression at 3334-40 is concerned. The daily level maintains a high-altitude and low-multiple rhythm.
Gold operation strategy:
Short at the rebound of 3334-40, short at the rebound of 3358-65, stop loss at 3373, target at 3300-3308, continue to hold if it breaks;
**#XAUUSD H1 โ Buy Setup Waiting for Confirmation**---
๐ **#XAUUSD H1 โ Buy Setup Waiting for Confirmation**
Previously, the **3330โ3329 zone** acted as **strong support**,
and now itโs turning into a **key resistance area**.
๐ What we need:
A **clear bullish H1 candle close above 3330** โ only then we will consider our **H1 Buy Setup**.
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๐ **Trade Plan (upon confirmation):**
* โ
**Entry:** After bullish H1 close above 3330
* ๐ **Stoploss:** 3314
* ๐ฏ **Safer Target:** 3348
* ๐ฏ **Final Target:** 3369
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๐งโโ๏ธ *Stay patient and wait for proper confirmation above 3329โ3330 before entering. Structure comes first.*
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