Bond holders soon will be RewardedThe bond market has just come through some of the worst times in history—crushed by inflation, aggressive rate hikes, and fiscal chaos.
But bondholders might soon be rewarded. In my view, the macro environment could deteriorate further, especially in the labor market.
Futures market
Gold awaits tariff volatility!
📌 Driving Events
Gold rebounded from a weekly low near $3,245 and broke through the $3,300 mark on Thursday, boosted by optimism following a weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report and a U.S. court ruling halting President Trump's proposed tariffs.
Gold fell on Friday as the dollar rose slightly, while investors await a U.S. inflation report that could provide further insights into the Fed's policy trajectory.
📊 Commentary Analysis
The market continued to fall for an hour, fluctuating back and forth, lacking continuity - it rose yesterday and fell today. Gold rebounded above $3,320 in early trading before retreating. On the weekly and daily charts, the trend is still dominated by range fluctuations rather than unilateral gains or losses.
I think shorting gold should be considered today, with support below at $3,280-3,270-3,260. However, prices may struggle to make new lows. As today is the monthly close, large fluctuations suggest that we should avoid chasing ups and downs.
💰Strategy plan
XAUUSD
Sell: 3330-3320-3310
tp: 3300-3290-3280
GOLD – Higher Timeframe Structure & Market IntentionIn this video, I break down GOLD from a higher timeframe perspective looking at key structure points, potential intention, and where price could unfold next.
No bias, no rush just reading what the chart is telling us.
Let’s see how the levels respond in the coming sessions.
Platinum to $1400? Platinum has broken out of a multi year downwards trend line accompanied by a large spike volume. It was consolidating for a couple months before the most recent move up and now we are consolidating again. Right now it is holding above the previous high of the last consolidation and I believe it is prime for takeoff to prices not seen since 2022. If price breaks back below the green safety line reconsider strategy but as it stands I am still bullish. Given all the tariff whipsawing and Trump wanting to impose a 31% tariff on South Africa (where the largest amount of platinum comes from) in conjunction with the MAGA plan of bringing car manufacturing back to the states. Platinum is bound to have higher demand to be used in catalytic converters.
Monthly closing bet. Opening a falling gap?Information summary:
At 8:30 a.m. on Friday, U.S. time, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index for April. As the most favored inflation indicator of the Federal Reserve, the year-on-year change in the core PCE price index has a greater impact on policymakers.
If the data is released, the core PCE price index in April rises faster than expected, and the direct reaction of the market may lead investors to prefer the policy rate to remain unchanged in July. In this case, the U.S. dollar may gather strength, causing gold prices to fall before the weekend.
Market analysis:
Gold prices rose as high as 3322 in the early Asian session, and then fell without a dollar line. As of now, the lowest price has retreated to the 3290 U.S. dollar line. At present, it is not ruled out that gold will fluctuate widely; but the trend view is still biased towards the short side. The strength of the current rebound still depends on the strength of the European session. In the European session, the operation will focus on the vicinity of 3310 U.S. dollars first, and the pressure will still look down to 3280 U.S. dollars.
However, if the European session falls directly below $3,285, there is still room for decline, and the support is around 3,250. In addition, today is the last day of the monthly line closing, and the range of fluctuations has not yet left, so you can continue the short strategy.
Operation strategy:
Short around $3,310, stop loss at $3,320, and profit range around $3,250.
XAU/USD – Gold Analysis Using MMC & Structural Mapping + Target🔎 Market Narrative:
Today’s GOLD analysis is crafted through the lens of Mirror Market Concepts (MMC)—a powerful strategy where historical price behavior is mirrored in the current chart structure. This is combined with traditional structural analysis, offering a clear view of current price behavior, key breakouts, and target levels.
We’re currently seeing an interesting scenario unfold where the market structure is shifting from bearish to bullish, aligning with mirrored reactions from previous key zones.
🧠 MMC Breakdown & Price Psychology:
🔄 Mirror Reaction:
Notice how the market mirrored a previous aggressive sell-off with a similar bullish recovery. This “reflection” is a hallmark of MMC—where market sentiment repeats itself, but in opposite directions.
The "Previous Targets" zone acted as a key SR Interchange (support-turned-resistance / resistance-turned-support). Price dropped into this zone and bounced with strong bullish momentum, signaling smart money accumulation or potential liquidity grab before reversal.
🧱 Structural Analysis:
🔹 Trendline Observation:
A key trendline (drawn from the recent swing highs) was clearly broken, confirming that the bearish structure has shifted into a bullish one. The breakout was followed by a retest, further strengthening the validity of this move.
🔹 Support/Resistance Flip (SR Interchange Zone):
The Blue Ray zone marked on the chart is critical. This area held as support in the past and again acted as a launchpad for the recent upside move.
🔹 Previous Targets Reclaimed:
After hitting the previous support zone, price reversed sharply—another MMC principle in play. These zones often serve as liquidity magnets and reaction zones, where institutional traders are active.
📍 Key Levels To Watch:
✅ Current Support: $3,289–$3,295 (Previously broken resistance, now acting as support)
🎯 Immediate Target Zone: $3,310–$3,320
(This is where the price is expected to face short-term resistance. If broken, the next mirror move could extend further.)
🔻 Trendline Confirmation Level: $3,296
(Holding above this confirms bullish bias short-term)
🛠️ Trading Plan / Bias:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Idea: Look for bullish continuation above $3,296 after minor consolidation or retest
Risk Management: Place stop-loss just below $3,289 (previous demand zone)
Take-Profit: $3,310 – $3,320 zone initially
⚠️ Risk Consideration:
Gold can be volatile, especially during news events. Always assess macroeconomic factors (like Fed policy, NFP, CPI, etc.) and manage your trades with solid risk-to-reward ratios.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
This chart is a great example of how Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) can work hand-in-hand with price action and structure to provide clean, repeatable setups. By understanding the psychology behind price mirroring, we can better anticipate turning points and entry zones—especially when the structure confirms it.
Whether you’re a day trader or swing trader, this concept adds a layer of confluence to your technical analysis toolkit.
Gold Technical Analysis - Bearish Reversal Confirmed?Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,270 area, exhibiting a bearish trend influenced by technical breakdowns and macroeconomic factors. Gold is currently under pressure, with technical and fundamental factors aligning to suggest potential for further declines. Traders should monitor key support levels and upcoming economic data releases for signs of a reversal or continuation of the bearish trend.
📉 Technical Analysis
Gold has declined from recent highs near $3,370 , indicating a loss of bullish momentum.
The price has broken below the $3,280–$3,295 support zone, now acting as resistance, suggesting potential for further downside.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance:
$3,280–$3,295: Immediate resistance zone.
$3,300–$3,310: Critical resistance area; a breakout above could indicate a bullish reversal.
Support:
$3,240–$3,245: Current support zone; a drop below may lead to further declines.
$3,200: Psychological support level; breaching this could accelerate bearish momentum.
🌐 Fundamental Factors
The U.S. dollar has strengthened due to the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on rate cuts, making gold less attractive as a non-yielding asset.
Economic Data:
Upcoming U.S. GDP and PCE data releases are anticipated to influence gold prices, with strong data potentially exerting further downward pressure.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Gold prices fell below for a weekly.Gold FX:XAUUSD prices fell below $3,310 an ounce on Friday, on track for a weekly decline of more than 1%, as investors remained cautious ahead of the U.S. PCE inflation report, which could provide new insight into the Federal Reserve’s interest rate path.
On Thursday, bullion prices rose nearly 1% after a federal appeals court allowed President Donald Trump's sweeping tariffs to temporarily take effect, just one day after the U.S. Court of International Trade blocked their implementation, deeming the method used to enact them "unlawful." Meanwhile, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said on Thursday that policymakers could still deliver two rate cuts this year, as expected in March, but emphasized that rates should remain steady for now to ensure inflation is on track to meet the Fed’s 2% target.
XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Trading Strategy Around Price Levels:
SELL XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD around the 3326–3328 area
Stoploss: 3333
Take Profit 1: 3322
Take Profit 2: 3317
Take Profit 3: 3310
BUY XAUUSD around the 3278–3280 area
Stoploss: 3273
Take Profit 1: 3284
Take Profit 2: 3289
Take Profit 3: 3295
Note: Always set a Stoploss in all situations to ensure safety.
Gold Market Update – May 30
In my previous analysis dated May 29, I outlined the current market structure and shared expectations for a potential correction. Following recent price action, I have now updated our buy zone accordingly.
As anticipated, I continue to expect a corrective move toward the 3,200–3,233 range. This zone aligns with the 0.50–0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels, making it a key area of interest. I will be closely monitoring price behavior within this range and looking for signs of rejection or bullish confirmation to initiate long positions.
Further updates will follow as the setup develops.
DJIA — Setting Up for Breakout and New ImpulseThe Dow Jones Index is approaching a critical resistance zone. After a deep V-shaped recovery and clear bullish structure, price is preparing for a breakout.
Chart shows a clean long entry with a stop below the recent consolidation. A break and hold above 45,000 could lead to a move toward 46,000, and if momentum holds — up to 49,300.
Partial profit-taking levels:
— Target 1: 45,225
— Target 2: 49,380
Fundamentally, US equity markets remain strong, and DJIA may play catch-up after lagging during the last correction.
GOLD Intraday Chart For H1 30 May 2025Good Morning Traders,
As you can see that there are some strong zones mentioned on chart,
For Intraday all eyes between 3280-3300 zone,
If market clearly goes below 3280 then it will move towards 3250 else market sustains above 3280 it will move towards 3300 and after clear breakout of 3300 then move towards 3325 initially
Furthermore you can read the chart details carefully, Remember, Always Trade with SL
Today US PCE PRICE INDEX due today
Monthly Closing Due Today as well
Disclaimer: Forex in Risky
25.05.30 nasdaq analysis📊
📌 Previous Trade Summary
Most traders anticipated an upward move due to the previous day's rally.
However, a bearish trendline breakdown led to a sell-off.
A short entry became valid, marked with a red circle on the chart.
Result: ~139 points gained per contract, approx. $2,800 profit.
🕓
Currently, the 4-hour chart shows support at the 60EMA,
but the overall structure remains bearish due to a trendline breakdown.
If the 60EMA fails to hold, a stronger downtrend could unfold.
The morning low at 21,268.50 could act as a potential rebound zone.
➡️ No clear short signal at the moment – waiting for more structure.
📈
The key to a long entry lies in breaking the short-term resistance trendline.
A full bullish trend reversal is expected only above 21,557.75.
Until then, take-profits at stepwise levels remain the strategy.
🟢 Long Entry Condition
Entry: Above 21,417.5
TP1: 21,447
TP2: 21,485
TP3: 21,522
TP4: 21,557 (trend reversal confirmation)
🔴 Stop Loss
If the 15-minute candle closes below the 20EMA after entry → cut losses.
📌 Summary
Short setup: Requires more confirmation, no entry for now.
Long setup: Valid above 21,417.5 with targets up to 21,557.
Trend reversal key level: 21,557 breakout.
Avoid anticipation—enter only when conditions are met.
NQ Breakdown Plan: 3 Targets, 1 Setup, No Chasing🧠 NQ Short Plan – NY Open Game Plan
Price has pulled back into a key structure zone, and I’m watching closely for a sell setup during the first two hours of the New York session tomorrow.
📌 My trade plan is simple:
I want a solid pullback first — not chasing here.
If I get a clean sell trigger (candle confirmation or momentum flush), I’m in.
Break-even gets locked in once we break the 21,349 area.
From there, I’ll take profits in three stages and trail the stop behind price if we get momentum.
🔐 Break-Even Lock: 21,349
✅ TP #1 – 21,200
✅ TP #2 – 21,050
✅ TP #3 – 20,800 (final leg if sellers step in hard)
The rising trendline break could be the domino. If it cracks, we roll.
But if bulls defend again, no trade — discipline first.
📅 Session Focus: Only trading this setup if it unfolds in the first 2 hours of NY open. After that, I’m out.
No chasing. No revenge. Just execution.
💬 Let me know if you’re watching this level too — or if you see something different. Always open to alternate perspectives.
CRUDE OIL Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USOIL is headed towards
A strong horizontal support
Level of 60.00$ and as the
Level is strong we will be
Expecting a rebound and
A local move up after the
Price retests the support
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD M15 I Bearish Reversal Based on the M15 chart, the price could rise toward our sell entry level at 3307.85, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 3287.46, a pullback support,
The stop loss is set at 3321.98, an overlap resistance.
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Market next target ⚠️ 1. Bearish Momentum Remains Intact
The last few candles are strongly bearish, with steep declines and high red candle volume.
Attempting to project an upside target amid this current bearish drive lacks alignment with actual market sentiment.
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📉 2. Lack of Reversal Candlestick Patterns
There is no clear bullish reversal pattern visible at the point of target placement:
No hammer, bullish engulfing, or morning star pattern.
The price may just be pausing before continuing its downward trend.
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🔊 3. Volume Discrepancy
The rising volume on red candles vs. low volume on recent green candles shows selling pressure outweighs buying interest.
A reliable bullish setup would typically come with higher buying volume after a selloff, which is not yet seen.
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🧭 4. Misleading “Target” Location
The marked target is at a higher high, near 33.75–34.00 area, which:
Is not supported by immediate technical breakout
Seems to ignore the last failed attempt to break above that level
Appears overly optimistic given the current trend direction
XAUUSD MADE FALLING WEDGE & DESCENDING PATTERNHere I Created This XAUUSD Chart Analysis
Pair : XAUUSD (Gold)
Timeframe: 15 - Minutes
Pattern: FALLING WEDGE
Momentum: BULLISH/ BUY
Entry Level : BUY 3297
SUPPORT zone : 3285
Target Will Be : 3330
Disclaimer : This signal is based on personal analysis for learning purposes. Trade at your own risk and always use proper risk management.