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Market Structure (Education) Using Market Structure & Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) - The current M15 swing structure is bullish . - A Market Structure Shift (CHoCH/MSS) from bullish to bearish signals a potential short-term reversal. - After this shift, anticipate a pullback to the Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) zone , typically between the 0.62 and 0.79 Fibonacci retracement levels. - Once price reaches the OTE zone , expect a reaction or pullback toward the previous swing high , aligning with bullish continuation. --- 🔍 Key Concepts Referenced - CHoCH (Change of Character) : Indicates a shift in market sentiment or structure. - BOS (Break of Structure) : Confirms directional bias. - OTE Zone : A high-probability area for entries during retracements, often between 62%–79% Fibonacci levels. - Swing High/Low : Reference points for market structure and potential targets.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Cipher_SMC
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Chart - OANDA4-hour chart displays the price movement of Gold Spot (XAU) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) from late July to early August 2025. The current price is 3,390.266, with a recent decrease of 10.870 (-0.32%). Key levels include a sell price of 3,336.420 and a buy price of 3,337.020, with a resistance zone highlighted between 3,340.720 and 3,380.000, and a support zone around 3,314.186. The chart includes candlestick patterns and trading indicators.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Alee_Gold_Trader
Silver Rebounds Toward $38 as Dollar EasesSilver rebounded toward $38 per ounce on Friday, recovering from a two-day decline as the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields eased. The move reflected shifting sentiment on Fed policy and trade conditions after earlier losses sparked by inflation data that reduced hopes for near-term rate cuts. U.S. stock futures edged higher following record closes for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, driven by strong retail sales, lower jobless claims, and optimism in AI-related tech stocks after Taiwan Semiconductor’s positive forecast. On monetary policy, Fed officials remain divided: Mary Daly expects two rate cuts this year, while Adriana Kugler urges caution due to tariff-driven inflation. President Trump reinforced trade tensions by sending letters to over 20 partners setting new tariffs between 20% and 40%. In corporate updates, United Airlines expects stronger earnings in the second half of 2025, and Chevron signaled higher future cash flow as production in its top U.S. oil field nears a plateau. Resistance is at 38.50, while support holds at 37.20.
TVC:SILVER
by ChartMage
Buy Opportunity📊 Trade Overview: Entry Price: 3,348.98 Stop Loss: 3,329.48 (-0.57%, -18.92 pts) Take Profit Target: 3,400.63 (+1.54%, +51.65 pts) Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 2.78 Volume Profile shows a strong support base at the entry zone 🟩 Bullish View Justification: Support Zone: Price is rebounding from a high-volume node on the volume profile (yellow zone). MACD Histogram: Green build-up = Bullish momentum increasing. Candlestick Formation: Possibly forming higher lows (accumulation pattern). Risk/Reward: High R:R ratio >2.5 suitable for swing setup.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by GODOCM
XAUUSD ANALYSIS – JULY 18XAUUSD ANALYSIS – JULY 18: STRATEGY BASED ON FIBONACCI, TRENDLINE & STRUCTURE 1. XAUUSD Technical Overview (4H Chart) Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 3,343 USD, showing signs of a slight rebound from key support. On the 4H timeframe, the price structure is forming higher lows, maintaining above a short-term rising trendline – a technically bullish signal. 2. Key Support & Resistance Zones Immediate Supports: 3,338 USD: aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement – a zone tested multiple times. 3,333 – 3,335 USD: strong support, overlapping with EMA and rising trendline. 3,327 USD: previous swing low – last defense for the bullish structure. Immediate Resistances: 3,345 – 3,346 USD: frequently rejected zone in recent sessions. 3,350 USD: psychological and technical resistance. 3,358 USD: recent swing high – breakout confirmation level. 3. Price Action & Fibonacci Confluence Price is currently hovering between Fibo 0.5 (3,343 USD) and Fibo 0.618 (3,338 USD) – a potential bounce zone if bullish momentum holds. The pullback from 3,358 to 3,286 has respected standard Fibonacci retracement levels, confirming technical price behavior. 4. Trendline Analysis The ascending trendline from the 3,275 USD low remains intact, providing solid dynamic support. If the price continues to bounce from this trendline, it may form a bullish continuation pattern (flag/pennant). 5. Suggested Trading Strategies Long Entry: 3,338 – 3,340 USD SL: 3,327 USD TP: 3,345 – 3,350 – 3,358 USD Note: Buying the dip near Fib & trendline Short Entry: Below 3,327 USD (breakdown) SL: Above 3,340 USD TP: 3,310 – 3,298 USD Notes: Only if price breaks trendline & support 6. Supporting Technical Indicators EMA20/EMA50 show slight upward momentum – early bullish bias. RSI (14) hovers near 50 – neutral zone, awaiting breakout confirmation. Conclusion: Gold is consolidating around a critical support zone. The short-term bias leans bullish if the 3,338 – 3,333 USD region holds and price breaks above 3,346 – 3,350 USD. This is a key moment to position early using Fibonacci and trendline confluence. 👉 Follow for more strategies in upcoming sessions. Save this if you find it useful! Do you have a different view? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
FX:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
1
Gold Short Term Outlook Gold has held above the Pullback Support Zone (3,335–3,305) after yesterday’s volatility, with buyers stepping in to defend the zone. Price is now trading around 3,338, caught between the 50MA and the 200MA. Despite the recent dip, the structure remains supportive as long as price holds above 3,335. A clean break and hold above 3,354 would confirm renewed bullish momentum, opening the path toward 3,383 and 3,400, with 3,416 as a higher‑timeframe target. If price fails to clear 3,354 and turns lower again, watch for signs of exhaustion back into the Pullback Support Zone (3,335–3,305). A decisive break below 3,305 would shift focus to the Support Zone (3,289–3,267), with further downside exposing the HTF Support Zone (3,241–3,208). 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: ‣ 3,354 ‣ 3,383 ‣ 3,400 ‣ 3,416 Support: ‣ 3,335 ‣ 3,305 ‣ 3,289 ‣ 3,267 ‣ 3,241 🔎Fundamental Focus 📌 4:00pm: UoM Sentiment & Inflation Expectations – can spark sharp USD/gold moves. ➡️ Expect volatility around releases.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
Gold bullish bias (18th july 2025)Daily is reacting from a bullish BOS. 4H shows strong rejection from a 4H BOS — confirming a bullish bias. Currently expecting a 15M CHOCH in this area. However, if no CHOCH forms here, treat it as a retracement and watch for another 15M CHOCH lower — all the same scenarios and targets will still apply. For BUYS (Scenario 1 – Impulse + Retest): 1️⃣ 15M makes a clean bullish move to 3345.747. 2️⃣ Price retests the broken level. 3️⃣ Form a 1/3M bullish CHOCH + BOS, then BUY toward 3360.072. For BUYS (Scenario 2 – Structure Flip Entry): 1️⃣ 15M forms a bullish CHOCH + BOS (expected in the current zone). 2️⃣ Retest the BOS zone. 3️⃣ Enter on a 3/5M bullish engulfing or 1/3M confirmation CHOCH, then BUY toward 3360.072. For SELLS (Scenario 3 – Bullish Failure & Reversal): 1️⃣ 15M forms a BOS, but is invalidated by a 15M momentum candle close below. 2️⃣ Price retests the broken BOS. 3️⃣ Use 2/3M bearish confirmation (CHOCH or BOS) to SELL toward 3313.808. 🔁 NOTE: 📌 A 15M CHOCH is expected in this zone. If it fails to form, it’s likely a retracement. 🔍 Watch for a new 15M CHOCH to form lower — all same entry principles and targets still apply.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by professornganga217
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 18, 2025📈 Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 18, 2025 🔍 Momentum Analysis D1 Timeframe: Momentum is showing signs of a bullish reversal. While we need to wait for today's D1 candle to close for confirmation, it's likely that yesterday’s upward move marks Wave 1, signaling the beginning of a new bullish trend. H4 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing for a bearish reversal → suggesting a potential corrective pullback, likely forming Wave 2. H1 Timeframe: Momentum is about to reverse upward → supporting the expectation of a short-term bullish move during the current session. 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure Update On the H4 chart, the abcde triangle correction structure remains largely unchanged. However, a strong H4 bullish candle appeared yesterday, indicating unusual market behavior that deserves attention. There are two main scenarios: - Wave 1 (black) has already completed, and the market is now entering Wave 2 correction. - Alternatively, the current movement could be Wave 4 within Wave 1 (black). 🔎 Combining Momentum & Wave Structure - With D1 momentum signaling a potential uptrend lasting the next 4–5 days, it suggests that Wave e (blue) may have completed. - This opens the door for an impulsive 5-wave advance. Specifically: + If H1 continues its bullish reversal, the current move could be Wave 5 of Wave 1 (black), targeting the 3358 level. + Afterwards, a retracement toward the 3330–3323 zone would form Wave 2 (black). + Alternatively, price might drop directly to 3330–3323, implying Wave 1 has already finished and the current move is Wave 2. 🎯 => Both scenarios converge at the 3330–3323 price zone, making it a high-probability BUY ZONE. 🧭 Trade Plan BUY ZONE: 3330 – 3327 Stop Loss: 3320 Take Profits: TP1: 3342 TP2: 3358 TP3: 3402 📌 Note: Since this is a relatively wide entry zone, it's best to wait for price action confirmation at this level before entering.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/18/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 23262.75 - PR Low: 23245.25 - NZ Spread: 39.0 No key scheduled economic events Pushing ATH through overnight hours Session Open Stats (As of 1:15 AM 7/18) - Session Open ATR: 272.56 - Volume: 18K - Open Int: 286K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -0.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 23811 - Mid: 22096 - Short: 20383 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025Long
by mv3trader5
Gold (XAU/USD) Premium Technical Outlook - 18 July 2024As gold continues to trade near record highs, the market’s current price action around $3,336–3,340 demands a sharp, disciplined technical view. This premium analysis combines price action, Fibonacci techniques, institutional concepts (ICT and Smart Money Concepts), and advanced supply–demand dynamics to identify actionable trade opportunities. We anchor on the 4-hour timeframe for directional bias and zoom into the 1-hour chart for precision intraday setups. 📊 4‑Hour Timeframe: Structure and Directional Bias Gold remains in a clear bullish structure on the 4-hour chart, as evidenced by sustained higher highs and higher lows. The most recent bullish Break of Structure (BOS) occurred above the $3,320–3,325 level, confirming buyers’ control for now. Currently, price hovers near equilibrium at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, testing prior resistance as potential support. This zone aligns with a small fair value gap (FVG), reinforcing it as an area of interest for smart money participants. Key 4H Levels to Watch Level Significance $3,360–3,365 Major supply zone & bearish OB $3,350–3,355 Minor resistance $3,337–3,340 61.8% Fib / equilibrium $3,330–3,333 BOS retest & key support $3,300–3,310 Strong demand zone & bullish OB $3,285–3,295 Secondary demand zone below BOS The directional bias on 4H remains neutral-to-bullish, contingent on price holding above $3,300. A clean break and close above $3,360 could open a path to $3,400–3,420, while a sustained drop below $3,300 would mark a change of character (CHOCH) and shift bias to bearish. 🪙 Institutional Concepts in Play Order Blocks (OB): Strong bullish OB sits at $3,300–3,310, while a bearish OB dominates at $3,355–3,365. Fair Value Gaps (FVG): On the bullish side, $3,300–3,315 remains unfilled; on the bearish side, $3,330–3,345 caps rallies. Liquidity Grabs: Dips toward $3,295–3,300 appear to sweep sell-side liquidity, while spikes above $3,360 tap into resting buy stops. The area around $3,330 remains a key battleground where smart money likely accumulates positions before the next impulsive move. ⏳ 1‑Hour Timeframe: Intraday Trade Setups On the 1-hour chart, the market is compressing between a bullish order block and bearish supply. Price action shows evidence of short-term liquidity sweeps and reactions to imbalances, offering two clear scenarios for intraday traders. 📈 Setup A – Bullish Zone Bounce Entry: Buy limit at $3,332–3,333 Stop-loss: Below $3,328 Take-Profit 1: $3,345 Take-Profit 2: $3,355 Rationale: Confluence of 4H demand, Fib retracement, BOS retest, and 1H bullish order block. 📉 Setup B – Supply Rejection Short Entry: Sell limit at $3,355–3,360 Stop-loss: Above $3,365 Take-Profit 1: $3,337 Take-Profit 2: $3,330 Rationale: Price into 4H bearish OB, aligning with supply and stop runs above recent highs. 🌟 The Golden Setup Among these, the Bullish Zone Bounce at $3,332–3,333 stands out as the highest-probability trade. This level represents maximum confluence: Retest of 4H BOS. Bullish OB on 1H. 61.8% Fibonacci support. Unmitigated fair value gap. This setup offers a favorable risk–reward profile with clear invalidation and multiple upside targets. 🔎 Summary Table Bias Key Support Zones Key Resistance Zones Neutral-to-bullish $3,300–3,310, $3,330–3,333 $3,350–3,355, $3,360–3,365 Intraday Setups Entry Zone Stop-Loss Take-Profit Targets Bullish Zone Bounce 🌟 $3,332–3,333 < $3,328 $3,345 / $3,355 Supply Rejection Short $3,355–3,360 > $3,365 $3,337 / $3,330 📣 Final Word Gold maintains a structurally bullish outlook above $3,300, with strong institutional footprints evident in the $3,300–3,333 demand zones. Traders should remain vigilant around $3,360, where sell-side liquidity and supply are concentrated. The Golden Setup — a bullish bounce from $3,332 — offers the best confluence and statistical edge intraday.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
Gold Market Reacts to 3377 Mitigation — Eyes on 3388 Amid Job DaGold market mitigated the 3377 level, pushing price down to sweep imbalance at 3320’s. With the daily demand candle formation holding, a rejection here could ignite a push to take out full liquidity at 3388. As we approach the unemployment claims release (forecast: 233k), market sentiment leans toward a hawkish gold reaction—should data indicate more jobs are needed, the bullish pressure on gold could intensify. follow for more insights, comment , and boost idea
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ak_capitalist