Futures market
Bullish Bias, Patient Mindset — Here’s What I’m WatchingAlmost a month ago, we talked about a bullish setup — and that perspective hasn’t changed. I mentioned then that I was “slightly bullish but waiting for confirmation,” and the market has continued to respect that bias.
We're still on that train. 🚆
Take a walk with me as I break down the key areas I'm watching for bullish plays — not just for the next day or two, but looking out into the coming weeks and months. These are the zones I’m monitoring closely for entries, reactions, or potential shifts in structure.
Confirmation is everything. Momentum is building, but patience is how we stay on the right side of the trade.
Potential 2:1 SetUP foir a Swing Trade
Buy levels: : 5940
Aggressive entry: 5890 (One opportunity given today)
Passive entry: 5940 (waiting on price)
Take profit : New High : 6166
Stoploss : 5755
XAUUSD - Clean HTF Price Action 15-Minute Price Action Breakdown | Liquidity Sweep Into HTF FVG and CISD Model
The 15-minute chart illustrates a precise example of liquidity engineering and reversal within the framework of a higher timeframe draw on liquidity. Here's a breakdown of what occurred:
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Contextual Framework
Price was clearly drawn toward a high time frame imbalance zone, labeled as the HTF Draw On Liquidity (FVG+). This zone was formed from a daily fair value gap and aligned with a major swing low, creating a perfect magnet for price.
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Liquidity Sweep
As anticipated, price aggressively swept the prior lows, diving deep into the HTF FVG. This move triggered stop orders and induced sell-side liquidity just before a sharp reversal occurred. The aggressive reaction off the low confirmed the presence of smart money activity.
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Model In Play: CISD, Risk Entries, and Clear Draw On Liquidity
After the sweep, a clean Change In State of Delivery (CISD) was printed. This marked the shift in order flow and offered confirmation that the previous bearish delivery had been invalidated. From this point, price began forming clean risk entry setups on the 15-minute chart.
Each retracement into minor imbalances respected the HTF FVG body perfectly. Price began stair-stepping higher with well-defined risk, offering multiple opportunities to join the move.
The clear target was the obvious draw on liquidity above the prior highs. Price reached and cleared that level cleanly, completing the full liquidity cycle.
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Conclusion
This is a textbook case of smart money mechanics:
Price sweeps sell-side liquidity into an HTF imbalance
Market structure shifts via CISD
Price offers clean risk-defined entries
Final target is the high-probability draw on liquidity above recent highs
A clean and mechanical model, perfectly aligned across multiple timeframes.
2025-05-29 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: I don’t know what’s more likely to happen tomorrow and every time I feel that way, market is in a trading range and most likely neutral. Big up, big down, big confusion. Read some Al Brooks. Volume was big today but given that bears only managed to close 60 points below Wednesday, what did they achieve? RTH session closed the gap but not more. Futures obviously had a nasty reversal but we can still draw a decent bull wedge with lows either 21300 or 21100 and that would mean bulls would be favored to trade back up.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21000 - 22000
bull case: Bulls who want to buy 21400 would likely need a stop 20700 and scale in. Is this a good trade? I don’t think so. You either wait for better confirmation that today’s low is credible and will hold or you wait for lower prices closer to 21000 before going long. I doubt this bull wedge will just end like this and that we top out with 21858. I expect at least some form of double top with a print up to 21700 or higher. The middle of the current range is 21300 and market bottomed out there today. Maybe this fact makes it a bit more favorable for the bulls.
Invalidation is below 21300.
bear case: Below 21300 bears could try to go for 21000 or even last weeks low at 20727. How likely is that? Today’s selling was very strong and it was at the moment everything was max bullish and perfect aligned. You do not see these type of reversals in a strong bull trend. We are very likely in the last days of it before we go down lower. That being said, I just don’t think we will go down further from here without another try of 21800+. I have two potential bull wedges on my chart and bears would need a strong move below 21300 and stay around 21000 for me to abandon that structure.
Invalidation is above 22100.
short term: Neutral and need a very good signal to either side for me to take it. Bears want 21000 and bulls at least 21800. My line in the sand is 21300.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-05-24: Will update this section more after the coming week but in general the thesis is as for dax. Down over the summer and sideways to up into year end. I don’t think the lows for this year are in.
trade of the day: Buying Globex open was the obvious trade but shorting the highs certainly was not and I think everyone was surprised by this bear strength today.
Bitcoin to $115k or pullback to $91kGood Evening Traders,
First I would like to say, congratulations to all of you who have been in the game for the last 3 bitcoin halving cycles. Through all of the "You buy fake internet money" comments or the never ending explaining of the Tokenomics of different cryptocurrencies, I have to say KUDOS to all of us who saw the vision, stuck to your guns and intricately added to your bags over the years! We are finally here on the cusp of full regulation and a final hush of the naysayers!
Ok, now down to brass tax! On the chart I have Highlighted a few important details. Something I did not point out on the chart is the massive printing of USDT that has been happening over the past few days. It seems to me that we are on the cusp of a massive influx of capital into the alt coin markets. But, for now lets focus on Bitcoin! As stated, you can see multiple points that I have highlighted... These being mostly bearish for the big dog of market cap and the grandfather coins of crypto Bitcoin. The first few things to notice is the bearish divergence on the MACD histogram, the bearish down cross of the MACD line over the signal line on the MACD indicator. You can also note the overbought area on the RSI right above that. In addition to this we do have some gaps on CME:BTC1! Which generally get filled sooner than later on most charts.
With this in mind, it is possible that we could have some good news amongst the movers and shakers down at the Bitcoin conference this week. Yet, we could get some sell the news type events that could ease the price downward to fill in these gaps that we have below. In my experience at the beginning of each alt coin season Bitcoin generally leads the rally and can trade sideways to down during the upward movement of the majority of the altcoin market.
My personal thoughts on the chart currently is shown at the top of the chart. if we close the daily candle underneath the hyperlocal resistance shown on the red line at the top of the chart, then we will most likely start pulling back to fill the first gap that is shown on the chart below in yellow. Albeit, the MACD is a lagging indicator, we can gain a lot of insight using it and my favorite sign on the MACD is using the histogram to point out bearish and bullish divergences. This shows a lack in momentum in the current trend that is shown through the price action of the assets trend. Especially, after a straight run up like we have just experienced as of late.
In conclusion, you can make the assumption that if we close the current day under the red line above it is very possible that we begin what could turn out to be an ABC correction leading us down to fill in the gaps on BTC1! to the downside. If we hold the first support, BTC may show us a little more juice potentially reaching for just under $115k. This in my opinion would likely be a bull trap for the time being. Summers are not the best when it comes to crypto growth and it always seems like we are waiting for the Ground Hog to see its shadow to find out if we are to the moon or back to McDonalds with our friends!
I hope that this analysis has helped you gain some insight in your research. I have added supports to the chart to show you where we may turn around and start heading back into price discovery.
Stay Profitable,
Savvy
GOLD Short 29/05Gold boosted above the previous lower high seemingly breaking structure. However I believe this was just a liquidity grab taking stops from above the right shoulder. Still anticipating price to move down. Usd rates not lowered. Trade war simmers as Trump 'not allowed' to set tariffs. Usd strength should continue.
NQ: 199th trading session - recapWhat a day man, it really just comes down to patience: IT FINALLY HAPPENED!!! THE BEARS WERE HERE!!!
This is the price action I was talking about - obviously we did not get any major trades in besides the scalp but I'm still happy: It happened, I profited, gained knowledge & my confidence back.
No "in hindsight" stuff: With better momentum I could've made proft like a 5:1 RR trade.
USOIL REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅CRUDE OIL is set to retest a
Strong support level below at 60.20$
After trading in a local downtrend from some time
Which makes a bullish rebound a likely scenario
With the target being a local resistance above at 61.43$
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold bounces sharply as dollar tumblesAfter I highlighted the potential for a short-term breakdown yesterday, the precious metal went on to break that $3,300 support and dropped a good $50 below it, before finding STRONG support at $3250 - a level that had not been re-tested yet after the upside breakout last week. Where do we go now, is the key question.
Well, gold is now near the resistance trend derived from connecting the recent lower highs, around the $3325 zone. A clean break above this trend could target $3,360 initially, ahead of $3,400 and then there's nothing significant until the all-time high at $3,500.
On the downside, the reclaimed support at $3,300 is now key. It needs to hold its own above this level to prevent a bigger slide down the line.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Gold Price Action Update – Smart Dip Buy Pays Off!Yesterday, gold dipped to around 3290, followed by a minor rebound.
Today, as expected, it broke down through the 3280 level decisively—just as we discussed:
🔻 A break below 3280 likely means a gap fill toward 3259.
✅ For those who followed the plan and went long below 3266, the trade worked beautifully—
Gold dropped to a low of 3245, effectively filling the gap, and has since rebounded back to the 3280 area.
📈 What’s next?
Now that the gap is filled, gold is likely to retest the $3300 zone in the short term.
With price currently around 3280, there is still room to the upside.
➡️ If you're holding long positions, you can consider holding a bit longer for potential further gains.
🚨 BUT—this was only a single bottom test.
That means there's still a chance of a second dip before the trend fully reverses. So:
🛡 Risk management remains crucial.
If you're okay with some profit pullback, it's fine to stay in.
If not, consider securing partial profits and setting trailing stops.
🎯 Key levels to watch:
🔼 3300 – Main resistance zone; focus on whether it breaks or rejects;
🔽 3276–3263 – Support range on any pullback; good zones to watch for fresh entries if support holds.
📌 Trading Strategy Outlook:
For now, continue to buy on dips as long as support holds, and monitor 3300 resistance closely.
If price fails to break above, we may see a pullback—but as always, with proper planning, we stay profitable.
Gold drops to support then rebounds; 3325-3330 key bull-bear levAnalysis of Today's Gold Volatility 🔥
The ruling on Trump's tariff overreach and the Fed's cautious stance on rate cuts have delivered a double blow 💥, instantly "freezing" market risk aversion 🧊! Gold prices plunged to a low of 3245 intraday, with the 3245-3250 zone acting as a "safety air cushion" 🛡️ that firmly halted the decline. The price is now rebounding to test resistance near yesterday's high, where the 3325-3330 level has become a "life-or-death line" ⚔️ for bulls and bears, with a showdown imminent!
Trading Strategies (Emoji Signal Guide 📌)
1. Short on Rebound 🚀➡️📉
Entry: Lightly short in the 3325-3330 range (Bearish "sniper zone" 🎯)
Stop Loss: 3335 (Break above resistance? Run 🏃♂️!)
Targets:
First target: 3280 (Bearish "first charging station" 🔋)
Second target: 3250 (Test support validity 🔍)
2. Long at Support 📉➡️📈
Entry: Lightly long after stabilizing above 3250 (Bullish "rally call" 📢)
Stop Loss: 3240 (Break below support? Retreat fast 🚑!)
Targets:
First target: 3280 (Rebound "mini-peak" ⛰️)
Second target: 3300 (Challenge "mid-fortress" 🏰)
Risk Warning ⚠️: Beware of volatile swings from Fed speeches! Exit immediately if prices break above 3330 or below 3240. Control positions and avoid emotional trading 🚗💨!
Professional trading strategies are pushed daily 📊
Lock in precise signals amid market fluctuations 🚀
Confused about market trends? Stuck in strategy bottlenecks?
Real-time strategies serve as your "trading compass" 🌐
From trend analysis to entry/exit points, dissect market logic comprehensively
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Help you move steadily forward in investments ✨
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Sellers are in controlOn 4hr TF We picked a sweet downtrend forming price action/market Structure at the current price xauusd might take out order blocks entry points and closing below the previous Sell swing point (HL) and continues trending down to break the inducement turning-Sellers are in control but Lot of traps are There and According to physiology it's tells us Sell Liquidity will sweep immediately.