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Daily Analysis: 25‑04‑2025Recent developments regarding U.S.–China trade tensions, along with macroeconomic data, have had a generally positive impact on the markets. The potential easing of trade tensions and dovish remarks from Federal Reserve members have reduced demand for safe-haven assets. Gold had tested the 3500 level earlier this week before undergoing profit-taking, but managed to close yesterday with a 1.9% gain at 3349. This morning, however, spot gold is facing selling pressure. Technically, as long as the 3325 resistance is not broken, the downside target toward 3250 remains valid, followed by 3215 as the next support level. If 3325 is breached to the upside, the next potential target would be 3370.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by byyahyagold
Gold is overdue a visit to the 200 day MAThis is not an active trade idea, however at somepoint I belive Gold will visit the 200 day MA. With the help of ChatGPT I found that gold on average has touched the 200 day mopving average on average twice per year for the last 50 years. Currently we have not touched it since November 23, the law of probability and time point to that we will be there soon. Now before everyone tells me this is not possible lets put some context in this possible move. Gold's 200 day MA is currently at 2719 and in a few days it will be at the last major high pivot of 2788 - this was the level that gold was just 6 short months ago. Keep in mind that the dollar has just touched levels it has not seen since March 22, a 6 month back track of price is not that major. I am long term bullish on Gold and will always be looking to get long in the long term. My current position I am short from 3466 with TP at the small gap fill around 3175.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by LiamPHudson
Gold was suddenly sold off violently. Gold price plummeted?Spot gold suddenly fell sharply during the Asian session, and the current gold price was around $3,307/ounce at the end of the session, a plunge of more than $40 on the day. Gold prices turned lower during the day as hopes of a trade deal between China and the United States weakened safe-haven assets. The positive risk tone weakened the demand for safe-haven assets. In addition, optimistic US macroeconomic data this week supported the dollar, which also hit gold prices. However, geopolitical uncertainty and bets on the Fed's rate cuts should help gold's decline. Quaid analysis: Gold prices are currently supported near the $3,300/ounce mark, which is also the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of gold's latest round of gains from this month's lows. On the downside: Once gold falls below the $3,300/oz mark, the next support for gold is the weekly low near the $3,260/oz area; if it falls below the above area, gold prices may accelerate their decline and fall to the 50% retracement level and eventually fall to the $3,200/oz mark. Some subsequent selling will indicate that gold has peaked and shift the short-term bias in favor of bearish traders. On the upside: Gold resistance is near the $3,368-3,370/oz area, which should now be a key level. If it breaks through the above area, gold prices may return to the $3,400/oz mark. The subsequent rise may push gold prices further up to the $3,425-3,427/oz barrier. Once this barrier is overcome, bulls may retry to overcome the psychological $3,500/oz mark.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
Silver Holds Ground on Mixed Trade SignalsSilver is trading around $33.50 on Friday morning, continuing to show greater sensitivity to macroeconomic shifts and trade news due to its dual role as both a precious and industrial metal. Recent price movements were shaped by mixed signals in U.S.-China trade relations. Although the Trump administration reportedly considered tariff reductions, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent clarified that no formal proposals have been made and negotiations have not yet begun. Technically, silver faces initial resistance at $33.80, with further levels at $34.20 and $34.85 if the upward move continues. On the downside, immediate support is seen at $33.15, followed by $31.40 and $30.20 if further weakness occurs.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Investors Turn to Gold as Tariff Tensions PersistGold is trading near $3,330 on Friday and is on track to record its third consecutive weekly gain. The increase in prices is primarily driven by heightened safe-haven demand, as uncertainty surrounding a potential U.S.-China trade agreement continues to weigh on investor sentiment. Although Chinese officials have publicly denied the continuation of negotiations, President Trump stated that discussions are still in progress. Adding to the cautious outlook, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent emphasized that any progress would depend on the reduction of existing tariffs, reinforcing market skepticism about a near-term resolution. Key resistance is at $3410, followed by $3,500 and $3,600. Support stands at $3315, then $3290 and $3250.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H Timeframe1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused) a) Volume Profile Insights: Value Area High (VAH): 3,327.65 Value Area Low (VAL): 3,287.37 Point of Control (POC): 3,325.89 High-Volume Nodes: 3,325–3,328 zone (significant consolidation & absorption). Low-Volume Gaps: 3,280–3,290 zone (potential for fast price movement if re-tested). b) Liquidity Zones: Stop Clusters: Near 3,340 (previous highs), and below 3,280 (recent swing lows). Order Absorption Zones: Strong absorption around POC (3,325), indicated by multiple rejections and volume stacking. c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows: Swing High: 3,382 (volume spike + reversal). Swing Low: 3,275 (volume increase on bullish reversal). Current Range: Consolidation between 3,280–3,328. d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis: Trend Direction: Range-bound (CVD mixed; recent sharp upward CVD move neutralized by selling at resistance). ADX Strength: ADX < 20: Suggests weak trend, confirming range-bound environment. DI+ ≈ DI-: No dominant directional strength. CVD Confirmation: Recent Rising CVD + No breakout above resistance = Hidden supply Earlier bullish CVD divergence at 3,275 led to minor recovery 2. Support & Resistance Levels a) Volume-Based Levels: Support: VAL: 3,287.37 Swing Low Support: 3,275 Resistance: VAH: 3,327.65 POC: 3,325.89 Swing High: 3,382 b) Gann-Based Levels: Recent Gann Swing High: 3,382 Recent Gann Swing Low: 3,275 Key Retracement Zones: 1/2 retracement: 3,328 1/3 retracement: ~3,311 2/3 retracement: ~3,345 3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure a) Trend: Range-bound (confirmed by low ADX & choppy CVD) b) Notable Patterns: Potential Bullish Flag within a Rising Channel (purple zone) Channel Support: Near 3,280 Channel Resistance: 3,360–3,390 Retest of POC (3,325.89) with multiple failed attempts to close above = key resistance validation 4. Trade Setup & Risk Management a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend): Entry Zone: 3,287–3,292 Targets: T1: 3,325 T2: 3,360 Stop-Loss (SL): 3,275 (below recent swing low) RR: Minimum 1:2 b) Bearish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm downtrend): Entry Zone: 3,325–3,328 Target: T1: 3,287 Stop-Loss (SL): 3,340 (above recent rejection zone) RR: Minimum 1:2 c) Position Sizing: Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade.
FX:XAUUSD
by ProspireWealth
XAU/USD 25 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Analysis and Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 24 April 2025. Price printed as per my note yesterday whereby I mentioned that we should be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS as all HTF's require a pullback. Price subsequently printed a bearish iBOS which confirms internal structure. Intraday Expectation: Price has traded up to just short of premium of internal 50% EQ where we are seeing a reaction. Price could potentially trade further into premium of 50%, or H4/M15 nested supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,260.190. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold’s Golden Bounce – Ready for Liftoff? Price has tapped into a strong demand zone around 3,298 – 3,306 after a sharp pullback. Clear bullish rejection suggests potential for a reversal. With a tight stop below 3,269 and a high RR target at 3,481, this setup offers a clean long opportunity. This area aligns with previous structure and order flow – expecting buyers to step in strong. Let’s see if gold’s ready to shine again! Trade Setup: Buy Zone: 3,298 – 3,306 Stop Loss: ~3,269 Take Profit: ~3,481 RR: ~1:5 Watch closely for momentum confirmation!
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Profx001
XAUUSD on Recovery As we can see market covered imbalance gap of yesterday opening. Bearish: what im expecting in market market if market break 3280 structural support and h4 candle close below then we'll see 3250 test . Bullish scanario: If h1 &M30 candle closes above 3335 resistance area then we have targets towards 3380. Although we have again buying opportunities if market fall go 3290 area we just for the rejection confirmation and if we got Invalidation at 3305 ,we'll have again bullish momentum Towards 3360.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
Bull Flag break out Coffee future**Coffee Bull Flag Breakout Plan:** 1. **Entry:** - Buy on candle close above flag resistance - Analyse shorter time frame like 1 or 4 h to get better price 2. **Stop Loss:** - Below flag low - Use 2% account risk max 3. **Take Profit:** - Target 1: Height of flagpole added to breakout point - Target 2: Next major resistance level 4. **Key Confirmations:** - Increasing volume on breakout - Higher timeframe uptrend intact - Strong momentum indicators 5. **Management:** - Move stop to breakeven at +50% to first target - Take partial profits at first target
PEPPERSTONE:COFFEELong
by aryoTraderX
Gold ConsolidationGold is consolidating between a rising wedge pattern at the moment. It is still in an undecided territory at the moment because the momentum in the past few days has been clearly down, but yesterday's daily candle managed to close above the previous daily resistance level of 3,345. If we see healthy candles closing below that level (which will also break the lower boundary of the wedge pattern), then we can start looking for sells. I will look for buys only if the price closes above the resistance level (marked as a red zone in the chart) at around 3,380.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by CandleStickGuru
**XAUUSD Rising Wedge Short Setup with ABC Correction:** **Entry:** Use 1 h time frame Price below moving average Wait for completion of wave b correction pattern within the rising wedge Enter after b wave completion and price breaks below wedge trend line Confirmation: Bearish candle close below trend line after B-wave ends **Stop Loss:** - Place pips above b-wave high - Alternative: Above upper wedge trendline **Take Profit:** wave C or previous support at 3235.807 **Confirmation Signals:** B-wave showing exhaustion Failure to reach upper trendline on final B-wave push closing bearish candle This setup combines the rising wedge breakdown with the process of a corrective ABC pattern for a stronger short signal.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by aryoTraderX
analysis of XAU/USD for the coming days, based on the daily charTechnical Analysis Trend & Patterns Since late December 2024, gold has been in a strong uptrend, breaking out of the descending channel that formed in December–January. Recently we’ve seen a brief consolidation around the $3,300–$3,400 zone after peaking near $3,500. Indicators The RSI sits just above 50, pointing to continued bullish momentum. The MACD lines remain positive, though they’re approaching a potential turning phase. Support & Resistance Resistance: $3,400 (recent daily highs), then $3,500 (all-time high). Support: $3,300 (current consolidation floor), followed by $3,250 and $3,100 as deeper support levels. Short-term Outlook Gold is likely to trade sideways between $3,300–$3,400, with dips offering buying opportunities. A decisive break above $3,400 would open the door to retests near $3,450–$3,500. If XAU/USD falls below $3,300, it could quickly slide toward $3,250–$3,100. Fundamental Catalysts Safe-haven demand from geopolitical and trade tensions continues to underpin gold prices. Fed policy: the odds of a rate cut before summer remain low, as Fed officials emphasize patience. That limits downward pressure on the dollar (and thus supports gold). Macro agenda: May 2: US Non-Farm Payrolls May 7: Fed meeting & Powell remarks May 13: CPI report vs. rate guidance These releases could trigger significant intraday volatility. Conclusion & Near-term Outlook Given the technical bullish bias and upcoming US data, I expect over the next few days: Consolidation: $3,300–$3,400 Bullish scenario: recovery above $3,400 leads to retests of $3,450–$3,500 Bearish scenario: a break below $3,300 triggers a swift drop toward $3,250–$3,100 Stay alert around the NFP, Fed, and CPI releases—they’ll drive the near-term direction.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by Miamberke_
Nasdaq on Thin Ice? Smart Money is Bearish!📊 COT Analysis – NASDAQ E-MINI Futures Asset Managers → Consistently net long, but without accumulation: showing little conviction on new lows. Leveraged Money → Confirmed aggressive shorts, a clear sign that smart money doesn't believe in the bounce. ✅ COT Conclusion: Smart money is not buying the dip → fundamental bias = bearish. 🧠 Technical Breakdown + My Long Trade 📉 Structure: Strong rejection from the 16,700–17,300 zone, with a long weekly wick = signs of accumulation. Price formed a double bottom + weekly engulfing candle, right on the demand zone → confirming strong buyer pressure. 🎯 My Long Trade (LIVE SETUP): Entry: After confirmation of bullish price action on the blue demand zone Target: Supply zone 20,400–21,000 Exit: Closed just before the drop → perfect trade management, respecting structure and weekly resistance 📈 Post-trade context: Price then rejected violently from that zone → we’re now back around 18,400, and if 18,000 breaks, the door opens toward 16,700. 🧭 What’s Next? 🔹 If price pulls back to 19,200–19,500, I’ll look for a short setup 🔹 If it breaks below 18,000 → clean path toward 16,700–16,500 ✅ Trade Summary 🔥 Long from structural demand zone → exit at weekly supply 🧠 Setup based on price action + RSI and structural confluence 🐻 Now the bias shifts back to bearish: watch the 18k level closely
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/25/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025 - PR High: 19427.00 - PR Low: 19352.25 - NZ Spread: 167.0 No key scheduled economic events Wednesday session gap remains partially filled below 18595.00 - Auction lifting into supply above daily Keltner average - Value hovering previous session high Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 4/25) - Session Open ATR: 736.63 - Volume: 44K - Open Int: 241K - Trend Grade: Bear - From BA ATH: -14.3% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19246 - Short: 16963 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQM2025Long
by mv3trader5
Buy above the grey zone, Sell below Gold is currently trading on the 1-hour timeframe between two key levels in my opinion, namely 3315 and 3367. I believe that a breakout from the grey rectangle—either up or down—will lead the price to move smoothly towards the predetermined levels. This is not a recommendation, but rather a personal idea that I wanted to share with you this morning. Please make sure to take your trades based on your own strategy, and always consider risk management for your account.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MohamedAhmedKamel
1