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Gold price analysis February 20⭐️Fundamental Analysis The rally came after US President Donald Trump said a trade deal with China was possible. Geopolitical concerns increased after US President Trump said Ukraine had started a war with Russia and hinted that it was time to pay back all the aid it had provided to the US. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting minutes from Wednesday night had little impact. Only a few members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) favored stable interest rates and were in no rush to cut. Considering this, the possibility of a rate cut in June remains. ⭐️Technical Analysis Gold prices are currently difficult to trade as they are at an all-time high. any recovery to the breakout points is considered the best opportunity to buy gold towards the 3000 peak. Watch for recovery points around 2940-2920 for BUY signals and watch the 2970 area as today's major resistance.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Short gold againAs I mentioned in my previous article, I anticipated that gold might pull back to the 2930-2925 region, or even extend to the 2910 region, during today or tomorrow's New York trading session. Clearly, gold has retraced as expected and hit my target zone of 2930-2925. Our short position around 2954 has once again yielded a very favorable profit, totaling 270 pips. Currently, gold has experienced a slight rebound, but it’s evident that the bullish momentum is weakening while bearish control is strengthening. After the accelerated short squeeze phase, 2955 may become the high for this stage. Moreover, as geopolitical risks decrease, the bullish momentum for gold further weakens, making it likely that gold could further dip and test the 2920-2910 support zone. Therefore, for current short-term trading, I believe it might be a good idea to consider shorting gold again in the 2935-2940 region.Bros, will you follow me and short gold again? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Marvin
Targeting a new era peak, risks blanket the marketOANDA:XAUUSD hit another all-time high as U.S. President Donald Trump's threat of tariffs increased market fears of a global trade war, boosting safe-haven demand. Trump's tariff policy and global market reaction Trump said on Wednesday that he would announce new tariffs on lumber, autos, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals "next month or sooner." Since taking office on January 20, Trump has imposed a 10% tariff on imports from China and a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum. As trade risks increase, global central banks are likely to continue buying gold, which is one of the key supporting factors for gold prices. Ukraine situation and the possibility of gold correction in the short term Trump also criticized Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy as a "dictator" on Wednesday and warned that Ukraine must quickly reach a peace deal with Russia or lose the country. If a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine is reached, geopolitical tensions could temporarily ease in the short term, which could put pressure on gold prices. However, gold still has enough fundamental support and the long-term uptrend could continue. Fed policy and Swiss gold exports soar Minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy meeting released Wednesday showed that Trump's early economic policies have raised concerns about rising inflation. This reinforces the Fed's stance on maintaining the current interest rate policy. According to foreign media, Swiss customs data showed that Swiss gold exports increased significantly year-on-year in January, with gold exports to the United States reaching their highest level in at least 13 years. Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, after gold reached the target level of 2,946 USD, readers noted in the previous issue that the price point of the Fibonacci extension was 0.382%, it broke this level to renew its all-time high. With the current position, if gold takes price action above the 0.382% Fibonacci extension level once again, it will have conditions to continue to increase with a target then around 2,971 USD in the short term, more than 2,996 – 3,000 USD. The relative strength index also does not indicate any possibility of a downward correction in terms of momentum. During the day, the short-term uptrend of gold prices will be noticed by trend, and as long as gold remains in the price channel, it still has a main bullish outlook, declines should only be considered as short-term corrections or a buying opportunity. Notable locations will also be noticed again as follows. Support: 2,922 – 2,915USD Resistance: 2,954 – 2,971 – 2,996USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2971 - 2969⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2975 →Take Profit 1 2963 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2957 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2909 - 2911⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2905 →Take Profit 1 2917 ↨ →Take Profit 2 2923
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
Sellers in Control as 50DMA Rejection Reinforces Bearish BiasAustralian ASX 200 SPI futures were firmly rejected at the 50-day moving average earlier Friday, reinforcing the message that sellers remain in control following the bearish break of uptrend support flagged earlier this week. With RSI (14) and MACD both firmly bearish, the near-term bias remains to sell rallies and downside breaks. If the price squeezes back toward the 50DMA, it could present a short setup, allowing for positions to be established beneath the level with a stop above for protection. Ideally, another test and failure at the 50DMA would bolster the merits of the trade. Potential targets include 8251, 8135, or the key 200DMA. Alternatively, a clean downside break of 8251 could open the door for shorts beneath that level, again with a stop above. Targets would be the same as the latter two mentioned above. Beyond technicals, there’s been little discussion about how the sharp rally in Chinese equities is impacting markets outside of China. For years, investors wary of direct exposure to China gained access indirectly through other Asian markets, including the ASX. With China now looking far more investable, this shift—beyond earnings season—may help explain the abrupt weakness in Australian equities. Good luck! DS
ASX24:AP1!Short
by FOREXcom
XAUUSD H4 ANALYSIS BUY NOW 2940You're looking at a gold (XAU/USD) buy entry at 2940, aiming for a target of 2985. That's a 46-point move. Here are some key things to consider before entering the trade: Technical Analysis Checklist ✅ Support & Resistance – Is 2940 a strong support level? Any historical bounce points? ✅ Trend Confirmation – Is the price in an uptrend? Any signs of reversal? ✅ Indicators – Are RSI, MACD, and moving averages supporting the buy setup? ✅ Risk Management – Set a stop-loss level (e.g., below recent support, maybe 2920-2915). ✅ News & Events – Check for FOMC meetings, NFP, CPI, or any geopolitical tensions. Risk-Reward Ratio If your SL is around 2920 (-19 points) and TP is 2985 (+46 points), your Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) is ~1:2.4, which is solid. Are you trading short-term (scalping/day trading) or holding for a swing trade? 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FX_BOBBY
XAUUSD Sell SetupGold is not stopping at all and is giving us new ATH everyday. So catching a sniper sell in this scenario is not possible. For sells we have to wait for a solid confirmation. After making new ath yesterday market went down instantly and recovered instantly to but didn’t test ath again. Instead it made a resistance @ 2947. Market went up and got rejected twice from there. But as we know gold trend is Bullish selling from there seems risky. There’s a high probability that gold will test Ath again. So I’m waiting for the rejection from ath 2954 if it rejects than Sell with tps given as yellow horizontal lines. If it dont test ath again than wait for the candle to close below 2928. Sell with tps given as yellow horizontal lines. Always wait for the candle to close. Don’t rush
BLACKBULL:XAUUSDShort
by Ats9
High-Confidence Trade Setup: SELL🚨 High-Confidence Trade Setup: SELL 📌 Aggressive Short Entry: $2,938 - $2,940 📌 Stop-Loss (SL): $2,947 (Above liquidity sweep) 📌 Take-Profit (TP): 🎯 TP1: $2,930 (Quick scalp) 🎯 TP2: $2,920 (Extended target) 📈 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1 🚀🔥 🔥 Ultra-Aggressive Execution Plan ✅ Wait for price to reject $2,938 - $2,940 before entering. ✅ Monitor VWAP and Order Flow for aggressive sell pressure. ✅ If RSI breaks below 40, expect momentum to accelerate downward. 🔮 FINAL DECISION – MILKING THE MARKET STRATEGY! 🚀 VERDICT: SELL XAU/USD at $2,938 - $2,940. 🎯 SL: $2,947, TP1: $2,930, TP2: $2,920. 🏦 Institutions are likely taking profits and distributing at $2,940 - $2,950. 🔥 Execute the short trade now and ride the market! 💰📉🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MAHARLIKA_FX
Gold continues to hit new highs and is approaching 3,000!Market news: In the early Asian session on Friday (February 21), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $2,945/ounce. London gold prices hit a record high again on Thursday, reaching a high of $2,955/ounce, the tenth record high so far this year, due to concerns that US President Trump's tariff threats would trigger a global trade war, which stimulated the safe-haven demand for gold investment. The decline in the US dollar and US Treasury yields also provided international gold prices with opportunities to rise.US President Trump's tariff negotiations continue to panic the market, and investors have turned to gold, a traditional means of storing value. International gold still faces upside risks brought about by Trump's tariff uncertainty and market tensions. The market is also paying attention to geopolitical developments. Trump condemned Ukrainian President Zelensky as an "unelected dictator" on Wednesday. The market generally believes that the intensification of global geopolitical and trade tensions will continue to drive the upward trend of gold prices. Although technically, the price of gold is close to the overbought area, the bullish forces still dominate, and the upward momentum of gold in the short term is still strong. The market's focus is also on whether the price of gold can break through the $3,000/ounce mark in the near future. In fact, the rise in gold prices this year is expected to be more dramatic than in 2024, and price volatility will be more significant. Looking back at 2024, the rise in gold prices was mainly driven by market concerns about the U.S. debt crisis and geopolitical risks. In 2025, with the introduction and intervention of a series of new policies in the United States, the emergence of many problems such as the Federal Reserve facing an audit for the first time in 112 years and whether there is a deficit in the gold vault will further aggravate the uncertainty of market sentiment, which will undoubtedly provide a strong driving force for the rise in gold prices. The February manufacturing PMI data of European and American countries and the annualized total number of existing home sales in the United States in January will also be released on this trading day, and investors need to pay attention to them. In addition, it is necessary to continue to pay attention to Trump's dynamic news and speeches by Federal Reserve officials. Technical Review: Gold price continued to close in a wide range of fluctuations. After hitting a record high of 2955, the US market was washed down to 2924, but the closing above the 2940 mark was not a very weak trend. On Friday, we need to pay special attention to the phenomenon of profit-taking, such as the waterfall trend of the US market last Friday. Intraday trading still waits for a callback, but don't chase it, be careful not to hit the ceiling!     The four-hour gold line is still in a long form. The overnight gold price fell back to the position of the moving average, from 2955 to around 2924. There is still mutual attraction between the moving average and the gold price. At present, the K line is still stabilizing above the moving average, and the moving average is still pointing to the northeast. This is obvious. There is no sign of a downward turn. Intraday trading is based on the 20 US dollar range above and below the 2940 central axis to participate in high-altitude low-multiple layout. Today’s interpretation: The strong upward trend has not stopped, and the gold price has hit a new high. The continuous high of gold has also confirmed the energy and market tendency of the bulls. Even if the market is very strong, it is not recommended to chase the long position. The more it falls back, the greater the probability of being trapped can be avoided! After gold hit a new historical high, some bulls took profits, so there was a wave of correction, but this correction is expected to be limited, so it is not suitable to chase the short position. Short positions can be quickly entered and exited with profits! When the current market structure moving average supports the rise, the short-term moving average support of the market that falls back and adjusts is temporarily pierced. The focus is still on the long-term moving average support level of 2920 and yesterday’s low of 2924. If the market continues to adjust but does not fall below 2920, it will still remain bullish! Our goal for this round is to continue to hit a new high! Operation ideas: Short-term gold 2927-2930 long, stop loss 2918, target 2960-2970; Short-term gold 2967-2970 short, stop loss 2978, target 2940-2930; Key points: First support level: 2930, second support level: 2923, third support level: 2913 First resistance level: 2950, ​​second resistance level: 2958, third resistance level: 2968
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Crazytrader00011
0217-0221 GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOKHello traders, When events develop in an illogical manner, emotions and manipulation are often the first two factors to consider. 1. The "illogical" phenomenon behind last Friday's U.S. stock market surge Last night, U.S. stocks experienced a significant rally despite lacking fundamental support. However, from the perspective of economic data and market dynamics, this surge appears to lack rationality. 1. Inflationary pressures are significantly increasing In January, the Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation rate unexpectedly rose to 3.5% (higher than the expected 3.2%), while the core PPI inflation rate reached 3.6% (higher than the expected 3.3%). This marks the highest PPI inflation rate since February 2023. More importantly, this data confirms that the previous 0.5% month-on-month increase in CPI was not due to seasonal factors but rather a reflection of persistent inflationary pressures. 2. Employment data indicates an overheated economy Last week, initial jobless claims came in at 213K, lower than the expected 216K, while continuing claims reached 1850K, below the expected 1882K. This demonstrates that the labor market remains strong, and the "hot" employment data further reinforces concerns about an overheating economy. 3. Rate cut expectations are delayed With CPI, PPI, and employment data all exceeding expectations, the Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations have been pushed further back. Currently, the market generally anticipates the earliest rate cuts to occur in September 2025. Even worse, if the Fed's core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data, which is expected to be released today, also shows an increase, the market may reprice rate hike expectations. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield has already broken out of its symmetrical triangle, with technical analysis suggesting its next target could be 5%, further strengthening expectations that the Fed may resume rate hikes instead of continuing to cut rates. 4. Liquidity is shrinking On Thursday (February 13), the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) usage dropped to $67.82 billion, the lowest level since April 2021, indicating that market liquidity is rapidly contracting. From this data, it is evident that U.S. stocks lack fundamental support for their rally. However, under such circumstances, the significant rise in U.S. stocks raises questions about whether emotional trading and market manipulation are at play. --- 2. Crowded markets: Risk appetite reaches extremes Scott Rubner, Managing Director and Tactical Expert at Goldman Sachs Global Markets, published a report following last night's U.S. stock market rally, bluntly stating that this is his final bullish email on U.S. stocks for this quarter. He pointed out: > “Everyone is in this pool, including retail investors, 401(k) retirement fund inflows, beginning-of-year fund allocations, and corporations. The dynamics of fund flow demand are rapidly changing, and negative seasonality is approaching.” This suggests that the market is already too crowded, and the momentum for buying on dips is rapidly diminishing. The following data further confirms the extreme crowding in the market: 1. Assets in leveraged long equity ETFs reached a record high of $95 billion last week, compared to $67.6 billion during the stock market frenzy of 2021. 2. Since the third quarter of 2022, the total assets of funds using derivatives for long bets have tripled. 3. Assets in leveraged short equity ETFs decreased by $13.3 billion, falling to $8.5 billion. In other words, for every $1 in leveraged short ETFs, there is a record $11 in leveraged long ETFs. The level of crowding in market trading has reached an extreme, or even "crazy," state. This extreme risk appetite has planted hidden risks for the future trajectory of the market. --- 3. Why did gold pull back? In such an extreme market environment for U.S. stocks, gold, as a safe-haven asset, failed to reach new highs last Friday and instead retreated. The reasons behind this phenomenon mainly include the following: 1. A stronger U.S. dollar Due to rising expectations that the Fed may resume rate hikes, the U.S. Dollar Index saw a significant rebound last Friday. Gold prices typically have a negative correlation with the dollar, and a stronger dollar directly suppressed gold's upward momentum. 2. Rising real interest rates The upward movement in the two-year U.S. Treasury yield and the market's repricing of the Fed's monetary policy caused real interest rates to rise. Gold, as a non-yielding asset, is highly sensitive to real interest rates. Rising real interest rates weaken gold's appeal. 3. Market sentiment shifting toward risk assets Despite the market's uncertainties, the strong performance of U.S. stocks attracted substantial capital inflows into risk assets. Increased risk appetite among investors reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold. 4. Technical resistance From a technical analysis perspective, gold faced significant resistance near its previous highs. Profit-taking by bulls further exacerbated gold's pullback. --- 4. Technical Analysis Weekly Chart It is evident that gold has entered a period of consolidation near its top. Last week closed with a bearish candle, forming a multi-candle evening star pattern on the weekly chart, which is a bearish reversal signal. For the upcoming week, the trading strategy will focus on identifying short opportunities on lower timeframes. Four-Hour Chart The five-wave structure appears to have ended, with the final wave reaching higher and broader levels than previously anticipated. Considering the gradual formation of a top structure, next week's trading plan will focus on short opportunities below the four-hour EMA. --- GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FUNTRADER-Vera
XAU/USD: Calm Before the Storm or Just a Pause?Gold (XAU/USD) remains steady near $2,950, despite hawkish signals from the FOMC minutes. Meanwhile, rising trade tensions and concerns over new tariffs from the Trump administration continue to fuel demand for the safe-haven metal. On the 4H chart, price is moving sideways, stuck between support at $2,875 and resistance at $2,945. The bullish momentum seems to be weakening as it approaches key resistance, but buyers are not backing down just yet. Trading Strategy: Buy Setup: Wait for a retest of $2,875 support, enter long upon confirmation of a reversal, targeting $2,945, with a stop-loss at $2,860. Sell Setup: If price fails to break $2,945, consider short positions targeting $2,875, with a stop-loss at $2,955. Breakout Play: A strong breakout above $2,945 could trigger an extended rally toward $2,970 - $3,000. Note: Gold’s next major move will depend on global trade developments. If tensions escalate, expect another explosive bullish run!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Zanka_
USOIL: Heavy trading plan is comingOPEC's production cut plan is about to be implemented, oil prices are about to rise sharply again, and geopolitical uncertainty has once again accelerated the growth of oil prices. Technical support still exists. 72.4-72 is a reasonable trading range. As a short-term retracement point, this position has a strong support strength. The next round of USOIL is expected to exceed 73, or even reach 75. Based on the above, the following operation suggestions are given for reference: USOIL: BUY 72.4 BUY 72 TP 73.12 TP 73.68 TP 74.48 SL 71.7
TVC:USOILLong
by JAKE_T0
Silver H4 | Bullish uptrend to extend higher?Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 32.41 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 31.70 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support. Take profit is at 33.78 which is a level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:XAGUSDLong
by FXCM