XAUUSD technical analysis.XAUUSD technical analysis next move possible at h1 time frame.not financial advise.
Futures market
Gold breaks new high again, the market waits for a pullback to gFundamentals: Gold hits a new record high today, and the market continues to hold a bullish view after the decline.
Gold is currently maintaining a relatively strong oscillating trend in the large-scale cycle trend, and the upward space in the large-scale cycle trend is likely to have not yet been completed. The daily level trend continues to maintain a relatively strong oscillating trend along the short-term moving average. The wave of decline before and after the European session has completed the repair of the technical form to a certain extent. The oscillating repair temporarily maintained at a high level in the hourly level trend currently has no particularly obvious trend. The range in the short-term trend may be compressed to the oscillating repair trend between 3060-85. Although there are some rebounds in the small-scale cycle trend, the strength and continuity are not too large. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment and repair.
Operation suggestions:
Short near 3080-7, stop loss 3085.2,
Long near 3059-60, stop loss 3053.1.
Real-time market intraday guidance.
Weak US Economic Data Could Drive Prices Higher - 28.03.2025Gold prices have been on a strong upward trend, reaching a high of $3,059. The upcoming US economic data release on March 28, 2025, could provide new momentum for gold, particularly with the following key indicators in focus:
- Core PCE Price Index (MoM)
- Personal Spending (MoM)
- Personal Income (MoM)
Current forecasts suggest a slowdown in inflation and weaker economic activity, which could create a bullish environment for gold.
Economic Data Expectations and Market Implications
The Core PCE Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, is expected to rise by 0.2%, down from the previous 0.3%. This signals a slowdown in price pressures, increasing the likelihood of the Fed adopting a more dovish stance in the coming months. If inflation continues to decline, expectations for rate cuts could strengthen, which would be supportive of gold prices.
Personal spending is forecasted to increase by 0.3% - 0.5%, a modest recovery from the previous decline of -0.2%. However, this remains a weak rebound, suggesting that consumers are still cautious. Slower spending means less inflationary pressure, which could further encourage the Fed to ease monetary policy.
Personal income is expected to rise by 0.3% - 0.4%, significantly lower than the previous 0.9% increase. A slowdown in income growth could weigh on consumer spending and overall economic activity, reinforcing the case for lower interest rates.
Impact on Gold Prices
The combination of declining inflation, weak spending, and slower income growth increases the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates sooner rather than later. Gold, which tends to perform well in a lower interest rate environment, could see further gains as a result.
Key bullish factors for gold include:
Lower inflation expectations: A weaker Core PCE Price Index supports a more accommodative Fed stance.
Sluggish consumer spending: Less inflationary pressure gives the Fed room to cut rates.
Slower income growth: Weaker earnings could further dampen economic momentum, increasing demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
The main risk to gold prices would be a surprise shift in market sentiment. If the Fed remains cautious and delays rate cuts, gold could face short-term resistance. However, given the current data outlook, the overall trend remains positive.
Trading Idea: Long Position on Gold (XAU/USD)
Given the softer economic data, gold prices could continue their bullish momentum. If inflation shows signs of easing and economic activity slows, traders may start pricing in Fed rate cuts more aggressively, pushing gold higher.
A potential long trade setup could be to enter a buy position around $3,050 - $3,065, targeting $3,080, with an extended upside potential.
To manage risk, a stop-loss below could be placed to account for potential short-term pullbacks.
Conclusion
The upcoming US economic data release suggests a cooling economy, which could lead to increased expectations of Fed rate cuts. This would be a bullish catalyst for gold, reinforcing its role as a hedge against monetary easing.
A long position on gold around $3,065, with targets at $3,080, could be an attractive setup in the short term. Risk management remains key, with a stop-loss set close below.
If economic data confirms a weakening trend, gold could soon test new highs. Stay alert to market reactions and Fed commentary! 🚀
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Sell@3080Today, the XAUUSD market is mired in extraordinary volatility. The uptrend in prices has continued unabated, with values rocketing to $3086. This powerful rally has inflicted heavy losses on bearish traders, leading to a mass liquidation of their positions.
Currently, the market is in a “double - whammy” situation, where both bulls and bears are feeling the pinch. This is the result of large - scale capital inflows. Savvy institutional investors and market players are deploying capital strategically, aiming to maximize profits.
Despite this current upward surge, we remain steadfast in our bearish outlook. Our in - depth analysis of multiple factors—including long - term economic trends, geopolitical developments, and technical indicators—reinforces our conviction. Many fundamental indicators suggest that the current rally is likely a short - lived market aberration. As the market continues to digest various macroeconomic data, we anticipate downward pressure to build, eventually reversing the current upward trend.
💎💎💎 XAUUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 Sell@3085 - 3080
🎁 TP 3040 3030 3020 3010 3000
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Although a choppy week to start with, we managed to get our move down which stopped short but gave a a fantastic pip capture, then based on the bias of the week managed to complete all our bullish targets plus the Excalibur targets that activated. Red boxes again played their part giving us precise entry and exit level activating and hitting their own targets, the best of which gave us over 300pips on the capture.
Now, end of week, we have support below 3075 and resistance on the fight for the close 3090. Too high to attempt the long, in the middle to attempt the short. So we'll wait and see how the market closes and come back on Sunday with the KOG Report and our view for the week ahead.
Wishing you all a great weekend.
As always, trade safe.
This weeks targets completed:
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bearish below 3040 with targets below 3010✅, 3006✅, 2997, 2985 and below that 2978
Bullish on break of 3040 with targets above 3050✅, 3055✅, 3063✅ and above that 3067✅
RED BOXES:
Break above 3037 for 3040✅, 3047✅, 3050✅, 3055✅, 3063✅ and 3066✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3010 for 3006, 3000, 2997, 2990 and 2985 in extension of the move
XAUUSD: All signals accurateXAUUSD: All signals accurate
Today, every signal for gold hit the mark. Now, I’m taking on a new challenge: turning a $10,000 account into $1 million in a month. I’ll keep sending accurate signals.
Currently, my account balance has grown from an initial $40,000 to $1M in profits. I will share accurate trading signals every day, and you have the option to copy my trading orders. If you're interested in getting these signals, you can click on the link below this article.
WHEAT at Key Support Level - Will Price Rebound to 541$?PEPPERSTONE:WHEAT has reached a major support level, an area where buyers have previously shown strong interest. This area has previously acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce if buyers step in.
A bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or long lower wicks, would strengthen the case for a move higher. If buyers step in, the price could rally toward the 541$ target. However, a decisive breakdown below this support would invalidate the bullish scenario and could lead to further downside.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in.
Best of luck , TrendDiva
Is Gold Topping Out at $3100? Time to Take Profits? Hello Traders 🐺
The last time I published an idea about gold, it was trading around $3000, and I told my community that there’s a high probability of completing the AB=CD pattern, along with hitting one of the most important Fibonacci levels — the 1.618. 📐📈
In this case, we’re seeing a convergence of two major points of confluence, and in my opinion, somewhere around $3100 could mark the top for gold. That’s why I believe it’s wise to take some profit at this level.
Also, the RSI has hit the overbought zone almost three times, which suggests that a bubble may be forming in the gold market — and we could be on the verge of a correction after this parabolic run to $3100.
I hope you enjoyed this idea, and as always, remember:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
Gold (XAU/USD) Trade Setup & Analysis – March 28, 2025Gold (XAU/USD) Trade Analysis – March 28, 2025
Current Market Overview:
Price: $3,073.77
Recent High: $3,074.00
Recent Low: $3,070.29
EMA (30): $3,073.71 (Short-term trend)
EMA (200): $3,047.40 (Long-term trend)
Technical Analysis:
Support & Demand Zone:
The highlighted purple area represents a strong support zone around $3,050 - $3,058, where buyers may step in.
The price is currently pulling back into this area, indicating a potential bullish reversal opportunity.
Bullish Projection:
The chart suggests a retracement to the demand zone, followed by a strong bullish continuation.
A breakout from the minor resistance zone around $3,073 - $3,075 would confirm the uptrend.
Target & Stop Loss:
Entry Zone: Around $3,058.86 (near the demand zone).
Stop Loss: Below $3,047.40 (under the key support and EMA 200).
Target: $3,109.54 (significant resistance level and profit-taking point).
Trade Strategy:
Wait for confirmation of a bullish rejection at the support zone before entering.
If price breaks above the minor resistance, it could indicate momentum toward the target.
Risk-to-reward ratio looks favorable with a potential upside move of +50 points if the trend continues.
Conclusion:
The setup favors a bullish continuation after a pullback.
Key Levels to Watch: $3,058 (entry), $3,047 (stop loss), and $3,109 (target).
Traders should monitor price action at the demand zone before entering a long position.
XAUUSD Weekly Overview | March 24–28, 2025This week offered clean technical setups on Gold (XAUUSD), with multiple opportunities aligning with higher-timeframe bullish structure. Price action respected key intraday levels, and overall momentum leaned bullish throughout the sessions.
Daily Breakdown:
🔹 Monday
Several trades were triggered, including a +70 pip partial and +120 pip take-profit. One setup hit the stop-loss (-50 pips), ending the session with a net gain of +140 pips.
🔹 Tuesday
Focused on structure continuation trades. Took profits at +50 and +100 pips. One trade closed at +130 pips. Net gain: +130 pips.
🔹 Wednesday
Despite an early SL (-70 pips), price later respected a key demand zone. Recovered with +86 and +60 pip trades. Total: +150 pips.
🔹 Thursday
Strong momentum with clean execution. Trades closed at +150, +30, and multiple +50 pip targets. Net: +186 pips.
🔹 Friday
Ended the week with a break-even outcome. A sell limit was triggered but invalidated due to structure change. Buy limit was placed but not filled before market close.
📊 Weekly Summary:
🔼 Total Net P/L: +606 pips
📍 Directional Bias: Bullish
⚙️ Market Structure: Higher highs and higher lows
📰 Context: Upward trend aligned with broader sentiment reported by major financial outlets regarding continued interest in Gold as uncertainty persists.
🧠 Note: This post is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always manage your own risk and validate trades with your own strategy and analysis.
Gold: How much higher will XAU go?Gold continues to find support amid haven flows as equities tumble on trade war concerns.
But how much further can gold rise?
Well I think a lot of people had $3K+ pencilled in as their target. We are obviously well above the $3K level now at $3085, which may trigger some profit taking.
While dip buyers are lurking, a rug pull is becoming increasingly likely at these levels in my view. When risk appetite turns sour and stocks start falling, people tend to liquidate their profitable long gold positions to free up margin. Could we see something similar?
For me, the short term trigger could be a potential break below recent low and support around $3057-$3066, while in the slightly longer term view, a potential move below $3,000 is needed to trigger a more meaningful drop.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another awesome finish to the week with our charts idea playing out to perfection!!!
After completing our 3050 target yesterday, we got our cross and lock above 3050 opening 3065, followed with a further cross and lock above 3065 opening 3080, Both 3065 and 3080 were completed today for a perfect finish.
We will now need a cross and lock above 3080 for a continuation into the next Goldturn or failure to lock will see rejections into the lower Goldturns.
BULLISH TARGET
3032 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3032 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3050 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3050 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3065 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3065 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3080 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3080 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3097
BEARISH TARGETS
3015 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead and also a new Daily chart long term chart idea, now that this one is complete.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
USOil:Profit realized by shorting on reboundsOn Thursday, crude oil dipped and then rallied towards the end of the trading session, reaching a low of around 69.1. Today, it rebounded to around 69.8 and then started to decline. The short-selling strategy implemented in the morning resulted in a profit.
Next, attention should be paid to whether the upper resistance level of 70 can be broken through. If it cannot be broken through in a short period of time, consider shorting again during the subsequent rebound.
USOIL Trading Strategy:
Sell@69.7-70
TP:68.5-68
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OIL - Potential Reversal Zone at Key Fibonacci levelThe Crude Oil Futures (4H) chart highlights a potential bearish scenario as price action approaches a critical resistance area. The highlighted zone, which is a strong resistance, coincides with the 0.618 - 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels, which are often key areas for price reversals. Additionally, the rising wedge formation signals a potential loss of bullish momentum, typically a bearish continuation or reversal pattern.
The price has made several attempts to push higher, but the presence of multiple confluences, including the resistance levels around $70.50, suggests that the bullish rally might be facing exhaustion. If a reversal occurs from this zone, it could lead to a significant drop, potentially targeting the $66.50 region or even lower, aligning with previous structural supports and liquidity zones.
Traders should monitor for bearish confirmations, such as a strong rejection candle, a break of the rising wedge structure, or increased selling volume.
Key levels to watch:
- Resistance Zone: $70.50 - $71.00 (Fib 0.618-0.65 and strong resistance)
- Support Targets: $68.00 and $66.50
This setup requires patience and confirmation before taking action. Always trade with proper risk management!
Naturalgas UltraShort term Buying OpportunityNaturalgas Buy- CMP 340, SL- 330, Target - 370-380
Naturalgas showing Upmove From CMP. if Buyer Sustain Currant CMP will go upto 370-380 in 1-2 months
XAUUSD- GOLD Sell nowXAUUSD- GOLD Selling Setup - Since Gold has reached to its highs and based on Double top reversal pattern and RSI showing Bearish Diveregence , it is expected that market is expected to begin moving in downward direction. despite the fact that market is closing . still we expect to get our TP1 hit and may Tp2 as well. What are your thoughts?
XAUUSD:Still consider shorting at a high price.As I stated in my morning post, one could try shorting around 3080. It has been proven that this strategy is completely correct. Shorting around 3080 has achieved three consecutive profitable trades. Today is Friday and it's approaching the closing of the market. For gold, this strategy can still be implemented. Continue to short, with the take-profit level set around 3070.
sell@3080-3085
TP:3070-3065
Get daily trading signals that ensure continuous profits! With an astonishing 90% accuracy rate, I'm the record - holder of an 800% monthly return. Click the link below the article to obtain accurate signals now!
Gold short-term market analysisTechnically, the gold daily chart remains strong and hits a new record high to close. The price continues to run above MA10 and 5 days. The daily moving average keeps opening upward, and the bulls usher in a second large-scale rise.
The short-term four-hour chart Bollinger band opens upward, the price runs along the upper track of the Bollinger band, the MA10/7-day moving average keeps opening upward, the hourly chart remains consistent, the price is running in the middle and upper track of the Bollinger band, and the moving average opens upward. Yesterday's 3017 low rose to the current 3075, and it was another unilateral bullish surge of 60 US dollars. Today's trading ideas continue to maintain low-multiple participation during the day, and pay attention to the historical high selling participation opportunities during the European and American trading hours.
Stimulated by risk aversion, gold has been rising all the way, strongly pulling bulls back, and then gold adjusted, but the previous box was shaken and broken. Last night, gold fell back and still got support on the upper edge of the box. Bulls once again made efforts to attack, and prices continued to sprint to new highs. After the daily cycle was corrected for five trading days, bulls launched another fierce attack. Since gold has chosen to break upward in the shock, it is still necessary to follow the trend and go long.
The reason for the intraday gold breakout and shock upward is risk aversion and technical breakthrough. The 1-hour moving average of gold has now begun to cross upward bullish divergence. After gold fell back in the US market to confirm the support of 3033, the bulls continued to exert their strength. So gold can continue to buy on dips above 3033 today. If it falls below 3033, the short-term bullish strength of gold may be suppressed, and then gold is likely to start to fluctuate again. .
Key points:
First support: 3055, second support: 3048, third support: 3040
First resistance: 3077, second resistance: 3086, third resistance: 3097
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3048-3051, SL: 3039, TP: 3080-3090;
Sell: 3085-3088, SL: 3097, TP: 3060-3050;
Gold technical analysis wait for one side breakout.Gold forecast and technical analysis H1 Time Frame next move possible. Wait for one side breakout. Not financial advice.
Gold analysis wait for one side breakout.Gold forecast and technical analysis H1 Time Frame next move possible. Gold analysis wait for one side breakout. Not financial advice.
GOLD SELL?RSI on daily time frame is showing overbought which could be a sign of exhaustion.
Based on Daily & 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal.
We could see SELLERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor
