XAU/USD 25 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 24 April 2025.
Price printed as per my note yesterday whereby I mentioned that we should be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS as all HTF's require a pullback.
Price subsequently printed a bearish iBOS which confirms internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has traded up to just short of premium of internal 50% EQ where we are seeing a reaction. Price could potentially trade further into premium of 50%, or H4/M15 nested supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,260.190.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Futures market
Gold’s Golden Bounce – Ready for Liftoff?
Price has tapped into a strong demand zone around 3,298 – 3,306 after a sharp pullback. Clear bullish rejection suggests potential for a reversal. With a tight stop below 3,269 and a high RR target at 3,481, this setup offers a clean long opportunity.
This area aligns with previous structure and order flow – expecting buyers to step in strong. Let’s see if gold’s ready to shine again!
Trade Setup:
Buy Zone: 3,298 – 3,306
Stop Loss: ~3,269
Take Profit: ~3,481
RR: ~1:5
Watch closely for momentum confirmation!
XAUUSD on Recovery As we can see market covered imbalance gap of yesterday opening.
Bearish:
what im expecting in market market if market break 3280 structural support and h4 candle close below then we'll see 3250 test .
Bullish scanario:
If h1 &M30 candle closes above 3335 resistance area then we have targets towards 3380.
Although we have again buying opportunities if market fall go 3290 area we just for the rejection confirmation and if we got Invalidation at 3305 ,we'll have again bullish momentum Towards 3360.
CHECK XAUUSD ANALYSIS SIGNAL UPDATE > GO AND READ THE CAPTAINBaddy dears friends 👋🏼
(XAUUSD) trading signals technical analysis satup👇🏼
I think now (XAUUSD) ready for(BUY)trade( XAUUSD ) BUY zone
( TRADE SATUP)
ENTRY POINT (3302) to (3300) 📊
FIRST TP (3306)📊
2ND TARGET (3312) 📊
LAST TARGET (3318) 📊
STOP LOOS (3293)❌
Tachincal analysis satup
Fallow risk management
Bull Flag break out Coffee future**Coffee Bull Flag Breakout Plan:**
1. **Entry:**
- Buy on candle close above flag resistance
- Analyse shorter time frame like 1 or 4 h to get better price
2. **Stop Loss:**
- Below flag low
- Use 2% account risk max
3. **Take Profit:**
- Target 1: Height of flagpole added to breakout point
- Target 2: Next major resistance level
4. **Key Confirmations:**
- Increasing volume on breakout
- Higher timeframe uptrend intact
- Strong momentum indicators
5. **Management:**
- Move stop to breakeven at +50% to first target
- Take partial profits at first target
Gold ConsolidationGold is consolidating between a rising wedge pattern at the moment. It is still in an undecided territory at the moment because the momentum in the past few days has been clearly down, but yesterday's daily candle managed to close above the previous daily resistance level of 3,345. If we see healthy candles closing below that level (which will also break the lower boundary of the wedge pattern), then we can start looking for sells. I will look for buys only if the price closes above the resistance level (marked as a red zone in the chart) at around 3,380.
**XAUUSD Rising Wedge Short Setup with ABC Correction:** **Entry:**
Use 1 h time frame
Price below moving average
Wait for completion of wave b correction pattern within the rising wedge
Enter after b wave completion and price breaks below wedge trend line
Confirmation: Bearish candle close below trend line after B-wave ends
**Stop Loss:**
- Place pips above b-wave high
- Alternative: Above upper wedge trendline
**Take Profit:**
wave C or previous support at 3235.807
**Confirmation Signals:**
B-wave showing exhaustion
Failure to reach upper trendline on final B-wave push
closing bearish candle
This setup combines the rising wedge breakdown with the process of a corrective ABC pattern for a stronger short signal.
analysis of XAU/USD for the coming days, based on the daily charTechnical Analysis
Trend & Patterns
Since late December 2024, gold has been in a strong uptrend, breaking out of the descending channel that formed in December–January. Recently we’ve seen a brief consolidation around the $3,300–$3,400 zone after peaking near $3,500.
Indicators
The RSI sits just above 50, pointing to continued bullish momentum. The MACD lines remain positive, though they’re approaching a potential turning phase.
Support & Resistance
Resistance: $3,400 (recent daily highs), then $3,500 (all-time high).
Support: $3,300 (current consolidation floor), followed by $3,250 and $3,100 as deeper support levels.
Short-term Outlook
Gold is likely to trade sideways between $3,300–$3,400, with dips offering buying opportunities. A decisive break above $3,400 would open the door to retests near $3,450–$3,500. If XAU/USD falls below $3,300, it could quickly slide toward $3,250–$3,100.
Fundamental Catalysts
Safe-haven demand from geopolitical and trade tensions continues to underpin gold prices.
Fed policy: the odds of a rate cut before summer remain low, as Fed officials emphasize patience. That limits downward pressure on the dollar (and thus supports gold).
Macro agenda:
May 2: US Non-Farm Payrolls
May 7: Fed meeting & Powell remarks
May 13: CPI report vs. rate guidance
These releases could trigger significant intraday volatility.
Conclusion & Near-term Outlook
Given the technical bullish bias and upcoming US data, I expect over the next few days:
Consolidation: $3,300–$3,400
Bullish scenario: recovery above $3,400 leads to retests of $3,450–$3,500
Bearish scenario: a break below $3,300 triggers a swift drop toward $3,250–$3,100
Stay alert around the NFP, Fed, and CPI releases—they’ll drive the near-term direction.
Nasdaq on Thin Ice? Smart Money is Bearish!📊 COT Analysis – NASDAQ E-MINI Futures
Asset Managers → Consistently net long, but without accumulation: showing little conviction on new lows.
Leveraged Money → Confirmed aggressive shorts, a clear sign that smart money doesn't believe in the bounce.
✅ COT Conclusion:
Smart money is not buying the dip → fundamental bias = bearish.
🧠 Technical Breakdown + My Long Trade
📉 Structure:
Strong rejection from the 16,700–17,300 zone, with a long weekly wick = signs of accumulation.
Price formed a double bottom + weekly engulfing candle, right on the demand zone → confirming strong buyer pressure.
🎯 My Long Trade (LIVE SETUP):
Entry: After confirmation of bullish price action on the blue demand zone
Target: Supply zone 20,400–21,000
Exit: Closed just before the drop → perfect trade management, respecting structure and weekly resistance
📈 Post-trade context:
Price then rejected violently from that zone → we’re now back around 18,400, and if 18,000 breaks, the door opens toward 16,700.
🧭 What’s Next?
🔹 If price pulls back to 19,200–19,500, I’ll look for a short setup
🔹 If it breaks below 18,000 → clean path toward 16,700–16,500
✅ Trade Summary
🔥 Long from structural demand zone → exit at weekly supply
🧠 Setup based on price action + RSI and structural confluence
🐻 Now the bias shifts back to bearish: watch the 18k level closely
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/25/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025
- PR High: 19427.00
- PR Low: 19352.25
- NZ Spread: 167.0
No key scheduled economic events
Wednesday session gap remains partially filled below 18595.00
- Auction lifting into supply above daily Keltner average
- Value hovering previous session high
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 4/25)
- Session Open ATR: 736.63
- Volume: 44K
- Open Int: 241K
- Trend Grade: Bear
- From BA ATH: -14.3% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19246
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Buy above the grey zone, Sell below Gold is currently trading on the 1-hour timeframe between two key levels in my opinion, namely 3315 and 3367. I believe that a breakout from the grey rectangle—either up or down—will lead the price to move smoothly towards the predetermined levels.
This is not a recommendation, but rather a personal idea that I wanted to share with you this morning.
Please make sure to take your trades based on your own strategy, and always consider risk management for your account.
Gold Buy/Sell Zone Bana Diya Ha Kya Yahaan Sa Trade Leba Safe HaGold ka latest price action dekhte hue maine TradingView par Buy aur Sell zones clearly mark kar diye hain.
Iss chart idea mein aapko milega:
✅ Fresh zones jo price respect kar sakta hai
✅ Kya aap is zone ko dekh kar trade le sakte ho?
✅ Confirmation signals ka short breakdown
✅ Risk management aur entry tips
Agar aap Gold (XAUUSD) mein trading karte ho to yeh chart aapke liye game-changer ban sakta hai.
Chart idea check karein, analysis samjhein aur informed decision lein!
📈 Follow karo aur ko like/share karna na bhoolein!
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #BuySellZone #TradingView #PriceAction #ForexTrading #GoldTrade
April 25, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
At the current price range, treat gold as moving within a sideways consolidation zone between 3342–3373.
If the price breaks above 3373, it signals strong bullish momentum — long entries can be considered.
If the price breaks below 3342, bearish momentum may take over — short opportunities could emerge.
Pay close attention to 3305 — if this level is broken, it may trigger further downside and allow room to continue selling.
Key Levels to Watch:
3398–3400: Psychological round-number resistance
3385: Key intraday resistance
3373: Upper boundary of consolidation
3342: Lower boundary of consolidation
3335: Support
3325: Support
Short-Term (15m) Strategy:
For Shorts: Enter a SELL if the price breaks below 3344. Watch 3342 for quick reaction; if the drop continues, monitor 3335, 3332, and 3330.
For Longs: Enter a BUY if the price stabilizes above 3355. Watch 3348 for confirmation; if momentum continues, target 3328, 3362, and 3364.
👉 If my insights have been helpful to you, or if you traded based on my ideas, please consider giving a like — it’s a great encouragement for me! Thanks for your support!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion and not financial advice. Please manage your risk accordingly.
[XAUUSD] GOLD 4H Technical Analysis – Bullish Momentum Building 🟡 Instrument: Gold (XAUUSD)
⏰ Timeframe: 4-Hour (4H)
📈 Current Trend: Bullish (Price is rising steadily after retesting the 50 EMA)
📊 Supporting Indicators:
MA 50 & MA 200: Price is trading above both MAs, confirming a strong medium-to-long-term bullish trend.
RSI (7): Currently around 54, moving upward from neutral territory — indicating building bullish momentum.
📍 Potential Price Action (Bullish Scenario)
The chart shows a clear higher high and higher low structure. The following take-profit (TP) levels are expected:
🔹 TP 1: 3,502.58 – Initial resistance and the first breakout target.
🔹 TP 2: 3,653.56 – A possible light pullback area before continuation.
🔹 TP 3: 3,836.25 – Mid-term target and strong resistance zone.
🧠 Strategy Notes:
Confirmation will occur if price breaks and holds above recent swing highs and the 50 MA.
Watch the 3,500–3,510 zone closely as a key decision area.
RSI still has room to rise before entering overbought territory, suggesting more upside potential.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Suggested SL below the most recent swing low or under the 50 MA (approx. 3,300 area).
Use proper lot sizing and risk control according to your trading plan.
💬 Conclusion:
Gold is showing solid bullish momentum on the 4H chart. If price breaks above 3,350 and maintains strength, it could reach up to 3,836 in the mid-term. Watch key levels closely and manage risk wisely. VELOCITY:GOLD
Gold fluctuates at high levels, market analysisOn Thursday, as the Fed's speech pushed up expectations of rate cuts, the US dollar index fell back and eventually closed down 0.611% at 99.29. US Treasury yields fell, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield closing at 4.325%; the two-year Treasury yield, which is more sensitive to monetary policy, closed at 3.805%.
Boosted by the dollar's retreat and bargain hunting, spot gold rebounded sharply, reaching a high of 3367.32, and finally closed up 1.84% at 3348.73.
From a technical point of view, the daily line stood firmly above the 10-day moving average, which is an important reason for the current extremely strong unilateral trend of gold. For the time being, the daily mid-term Bollinger has not closed, and don't guess the top of the rise. Look at 3420 first, and then look at the gains and losses of 3500. If it breaks, don't guess the high. The performance of H4 mid-term is obvious. The bottom is above the lower Bollinger band and the 60-day moving average, and the Bollinger band is just closing. This is a very obvious performance of stopping the decline and bottoming out. Now the Bollinger band is closing. From 3260, it will take at least 3500 to the upper Bollinger band, so this range is very large. The band bullish trend has just begun, so just stick to the bullish trend on Friday. Since the direction is determined, intraday trading will wait for a pullback to go long. For the support below, pay attention to the vicinity of 3340, and continue to look at the 3370-3380 area above, and then focus on the 3300 mark; as for the upper resistance, pay attention to the 3386 area first.
Overall, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is recommended to focus on callbacks and longs, supplemented by rebounds and high-altitudes. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3370-3380 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3330-3320 support.
Buy range: 3330-3328, SL: 3318, TP: 3350-3360
Sell range: 3368-3370, SL: 3380, TP: 3350-3340
Key points:
First support: 3330, second support: 3320, third support: 3310
First resistance: 3370, second resistance: 3380, third resistance: 3390
Silver to over 500 USD in near futureClear cup and handle pattern, 2023 will be the year of the next Asian financial crisis just like in 1997 triggered either by Thailand or HongKong, only this time it will be Taiwan I believe. Anyone who haven't bought a new PC, laptop or a smartphone yet, do it now, shortages of microchips will be insane.
Trading Strategy (XAUUSD) April 25, 2025Gold prices rose on Friday and were on track for a third straight weekly gain, as investors closely watched further developments in trade talks between the United States and China.
Gold hit $3,500 an ounce on Tuesday on concerns about the U.S. economy, but prices fell below $3,300 a day later after U.S. President Donald Trump backed off his threat to fire the Federal Reserve chairman and appeared to soften his stance on China.
Fed officials said they do not see a need to change monetary policy as they seek more information to determine how the Trump administration's tariffs are affecting the economy.
XAUUSD trading strategy around the price zone:
SELL XAUUSD around 3371-3373
Stoploss: 3376
Take Profit 1: 3367
Take Profit 2: 3362
Take Profit 3: 3357
BUY XAUUSD around 3304-3306
Stoploss: 3300
Take Profit 1: 3310
Take Profit 2: 3316
Take Profit 3: 3321
Note: Always set Stoploss in all cases to be safe
XAU/USD Hourly Analysis & Scalping Perspective 4/24 10:47pmLooking at gold on the hourly timeframe, I see price currently hovering around 3346.000, testing a key support zone. Here’s my breakdown:
Market Structure & Key Zones:
Resistance at 3365-3370 has been a tough barrier—price tested this level but failed to hold, leading to rejection. If buyers regain control, a break above this zone could target 3375-3380.
Support at 3325-3330 has historically been a demand area where institutions have stepped in—this is a key zone to watch for potential absorption.
Current Consolidation: Price is ranging between 3340-3365, showing indecision but potential liquidity grabs before a decisive move.
Momentum Indicators:
RSI (1-hour): 16.69 → Oversold—gold is deeply bearish, but this could signal exhaustion.
CCI (1-hour): -103.09 → Bearish pressure is strong, but a reversal could come if buyers step in.
Stochastic RSI (1-hour): 18.07 → Slight recovery, but momentum is still weak.
Directional Strength:
ADX (1-hour): 78.71 → A strong trend is in play, confirming that price movements are not random.
DX (1-hour): 90.09 → The trend has high directional strength, meaning institutions are actively moving price.
Scalping Plan:
Bullish Setup: If price holds above 3340, buyers could push toward 3365-3370—this is where I’d look for a breakout setup.
Bearish Play: If price fails to hold 3340, sellers could drive it down toward 3325-3330, where I’d monitor institutional absorption.
Liquidity Trap Setup: A dip below 3340 followed by a sharp reclaim of 3350 could indicate that institutions are accumulating positions—this would be a solid long entry confirmation.
At this point, I’m watching for signs of institutional behavior around 3340. If price sweeps below but immediately reclaims 3350, that’s my signal that big players are absorbing sell-side liquidity. That would confirm a potential reversal, setting up a high-probability long scalp.
I’d like to check volume profile and order flow next to see if liquidity is building up at these levels. That would help confirm whether institutions are accumulating or if we’re in for another bearish wave before a true reversal.
April 24 Trade Journal & Stock Market AnalysisApril 24 Trade Journal & Stock Market Analysis
EOD accountability report: -400
Sleep: 4 hour, Overall health: bad
X7 signal this morning somewhat told us we were going to bullish direction, but my mindset just wasn't there today, had bad sleep and things going on and ended up locking up account early. I just read a book about it recently but I think I need to really cut bad influences out of my life when im dealing with money.
**Daily Trade Signals based on VX Algo System**
** 7:00 AMVXAlgo ES X7 Buy signal**
10:43 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (caught 10 pt)
1:12 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal (10 pt)
3:10 PM VXAlgo NQ X3 Sell Signal (2x signal, failed)
3:30 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! (canceled out& failed)
Next day plan--> Bullish over $5500