Get started

Futures market

Anticipating a Down Doji Year 2025 Closing Near 42,000I am anticipating a down doji year of 2025 with the high being put in place now. I am expecting a deep pullback to 40,000, followed by a sharp rally back up to the 2025 open of 43,000 and a slow, retracement to close the year at 42,000. This will give the year a -2.5% return this year. 2026 I am expecting a massive bullish year after this doji year. I am expecting price to open at 42,000 and rip to 48,000-50,000. Price needs to consolidate, rest and build up strength for the next major rip. 2025, I believe, is not it. One of the biggest clues for me is the post-election exhaustion candle right into the highs and the fact is has little to no follow through. It is THE BIGGEST bar since 2023. 40,000 just happens to be 50% of this move higher Using the Daily ATR Volatility, you can see volatility has been increasing in the current up channel. Yes, this is a lagging indicator but when it gets back up to the 780 mark, the low will be nearly in place. Let us see if this lines up with the start of 2026 Overall, this is my gameplan for the next two years and I am holding firm until it is invalidated on me. In summary, Selling off of 45,000 to dump down to 40,000 in a range consolidation year. Choppy and Whippy. 2025 a doji year. 2026 opens strong and rips to 48,000-50,000
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
Gold looking like its ready for the FULL SEND Down!what's up my good people! Looking here at gold on the 4hr time frame we have a few things in play that we want to be paying attention too! as soon as we break this small tight consolidation trend // pattern I'm anticipating a full drop back down to support! However if we break down below the support we can carry on down to our next level of support this is where we have our TP 2 area aligned reason for the selling bias here is we have seen price break up and immediately drop down acting as a potential liquidity run to the down side not once but both times! price on the rsi is showing price action is continuing to go down while price action is continuing to the upside! waiting for trend to break down to the downside and will enter immediately to the down side!!!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by therealbinarymaster
XauUsd : Market Open 📊 Updated Real-Time XAU/USD (Gold) Market Analysis – 15-Minute Chart 🚀🔥 💰 Current Market Overview 📈 • Current Price: $2,939.38 • High of the Day: $2,950.00 • Major Resistance (R3): $2,950.00 • Recently Broken Resistance (R2, now Support): $2,940.00 • Key Dynamic Support (50 EMA): $2,936.00 • Psychological Support (S1): $2,925.00 🏦 Institutional Order Flow & Liquidity Analysis • Institutional Activity: • Order block detected at $2,950.00, confirming sell-side liquidity. • Liquidity sweep below $2,930.00 indicates institutional accumulation. • Liquidity Map & Order Flow: • Sell-side liquidity stacking up at $2,950.00, acting as a key rejection zone. • Buy-side absorption seen at $2,940.00, confirming near-term support. • Market Maker Behavior: • Price likely to experience a stop-hunt above $2,950.00 before reversing. • Sell-side liquidity at higher levels suggests distribution by institutions. 📈 Technical Indicator Breakdown ✅ Best Indicator Combination ✔ Fibonacci Retracement (38.2%, 50%, 61.8%) – 50% retracement at $2,940.00 ✔ 50 EMA & 200 EMA Trend Confirmation – Price reclaiming 50 EMA, bullish short-term momentum. ✔ RSI (7) at 60 – Still in a bullish range but showing signs of weakening. ✔ VWAP Analysis – Price near VWAP upper band, indicating possible resistance. ✔ Order Flow Zones – $2,950.00 remains key institutional sell zone. ✔ MACD Momentum Shift – Bullish momentum slowing down. 📈 Momentum & Trend Analysis • RSI (7): Cooling off from overbought territory, signaling weakening momentum. • Stochastic Oscillator: Bearish divergence forming – a sell signal. • Moving Averages: Price bouncing off 50 EMA, but resistance remains strong. • Volume Trends: Buying volume decreasing, indicating potential sell-off ahead. 📢 BUY or SELL? – The Best Trade Setup NOW! Based on institutional insights and liquidity analysis: ✅ Institutional resistance at $2,950.00 confirmed. ✅ Price overextended into key liquidity zone. ✅ Bearish divergence on Stochastic, suggesting downside pressure. 📌 Exact Entry, Stop-Loss & Take-Profit Levels: • 🔴 SELL ENTRY: $2,948.00 • 🛑 STOP-LOSS: $2,953.00 (Above liquidity trap) • 🎯 TAKE-PROFIT: $2,938.00 (Institutional liquidity target) • 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: 2:1 (High-probability setup) ⚡ Ultra-Aggressive Execution Plan 🚀 ⏳ Price Action Confirmation: Look for a rejection candle at $2,948.00 before entering short. 🏦 Order Flow Validation: Monitor for large sell orders stacking up near $2,950.00. 🔥 Institutional Expectation: Price likely to reject from $2,950.00 and retrace toward $2,938.00. 🔥 FINAL DECISION – MILKING THE MARKET STRATEGY! 🏆💰🚀 📌 Verdict: SELL at resistance ($2,948.00) 📌 Exact Entry: $2,948.00 📌 Stop-Loss: $2,953.00 📌 Take-Profit: $2,938.00 📌 Institutional Bias: Potential reversal after liquidity grab above $2,950.00. 🚀 SHORT GOLD & MILK THE MARKET! 💰🔥📊
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MAHARLIKA_FX
Equity Markets Lagging the Precious Metals Equity indices slipped today as they are looking to retest all time high levels for the ES and the NQ. Traders saw economic data released today including a higher than expected initial jobless claims number along with a lower than expected Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing number. As the equity markets slipped, the precious metals complex saw gains today with Gold, Silver, and Copper all in positive territory. As the week wraps up, traders can look ahead to the existing home sales number along with the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI tomorrow to add some volatility to the market. The CME Fed Watch Tool is currently indicating that rates will again be unchanged for the March meeting, and then a 43.6% chance of a rate cut of 25 basis points at the June meeting. These expectations can change as the year progresses based on different employment and inflation data and will help give a better indication of the strength of the equity and precious metal markets. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme/ *CME Group futures are not suitable for all investors and involve the risk of loss. Copyright © 2023 CME Group Inc. **All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.
COMEX:GCJ2025
by CME_Group
2025-02-20 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Interesting day ahead of us. Selling was strong but bulls retraced 70% of it already. If bears come around again and keep this a lower high below 22230, it would show some strength and we could expect another test of 22000. The daily chart looks much more bullish than bearish. Big tails below bars and all bars closing above their mid-point. We have also touched the bull trend line above the daily 20ema. If anything I have a long bias but due to Opex I tend to lean neutral for tomorrow. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 22000 - 22500 bull case: Another dip another bad follow-through. Bulls buy it all and they have all the arguments on their side. They bought where they had to and we now have a decent two-legged pull-back to the bull trend line. Market is free to melt higher but tomorrow is opex and I fare best when I lean neutral on those days and trade less. Invalidation is below 21900. bear case: Bears can generate enough selling pressure to go down hard but as soon as the momentum is gone, so are the bears and market just reverses. I doubt bears can keep this a lower high and continue inside the bear channel. If they do, a weekly close below 22k would be amazing for them. That is the only target I have for them for tomorrow because I can’t imagine this going below 21900. Above 22200 bears just have to cover and we could accelerate upwards. Invalidation is above 22230. short term: Neutral. No bigger opinion on who wins this tomorrow. Both have reasonable arguments and we are inside the big bull channel and now also inside a bear channel. I wait for strong momentum again. medium-long term - Update from 2024-02-16: Bulls are on their way of making a new ath again. So no bearish thoughts until market character changes dramatically again. I can see this going up to 23000 but not beyond. No bigger opinion on a medium-term outlook for this. trade of the day: Buying 22k. Was close enough to the bull trend line, daily 20ema and bears found no acceptance below it.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
WTI Prices Recover Above $72WTI crude oil has rebounded to the $72.50 zone over the past four trading sessions, primarily after a recent drone attack by Ukrainian forces that damaged a key pipeline in southern Russia. The estimated damage could reduce oil exports from this region by up to 30% for at least two months. This new unexpected supply disruption has supported short-term demand for crude oil. Additionally, ongoing trade war concerns have boosted demand for crude as an inflation hedge, reinforcing short-term bullish sentiment. The Range Remains Stable For now, WTI continues to trade within a well-defined range between: $78 resistance (upper boundary) $66 support (lower boundary) Currently, the price is hovering near the middle of this neutral range, showing no clear directional trend. As long as price movements remain within this area, a clear breakout may take time to develop. Neutrality Prevails: RSI Indicator: The RSI line maintains an upward slope, but price action remains neutral around the 50 level, the indicator’s equilibrium point. This suggests a balance between buyers and sellers over the past 14 periods. TRIX Indicator: The TRIX line is currently reaching the 0 neutral level, reinforcing that the exponential moving average momentum remains neutral. Both indicators confirm that the market remains in a consolidation phase, requiring stronger movements to establish a clearer trend. Key Levels to Watch: $78 – Major Resistance: Upper boundary of the current range. A breakout to this level could revive bullish momentum, similar to the buying pressure seen in early December. $66 – Key Support: Lower boundary of the sideways channel. A drop near this level could strengthen bearish sentiment, reinforcing the downward trend observed in January. $72 – Current Resistance & Critical Level : Midpoint of the neutral range that aligns with 50% Fibonacci retracement along with 50 & 100-period simple moving averages. This strengthens its importance as a key level. If price continues oscillating around this zone, the sideways range could persist in the coming sessions. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREXcom
Break and Retest of Range on NASDAQ Indicates Direction on DailyNQ has had multiple big panic days where it trades unusually and fearfully. The open and close of these days become a target if NQ trades within the range formed by that day for a period of time. Often those levels are precisely tested before the next move. I will be looking for a precise retest of the December 18th open to indicate a move higher, likely through new highs on NQ. I expect that day will be a massive positive day.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by mikevarr
1
XAUUSD strong bullish mode opportunity all time high market (gold big flying soon) 1. Resistance Area May Not Hold The marked resistance area could be weak if bullish momentum continues strongly, especially with a breakout above recent highs. If price consolidates near resistance without strong rejection, it may indicate accumulation rather than reversal 2. Support Areas Could Fail The support zones might not hold if there's a strong bearish catalyst, like economic news or a shift in market sentiment. A breakdown below the strong bullish support area could signal a deeper pullback. 3. Alternative Scenarios Instead of bouncing from the lower support, the price might consolidate and range before a clear breakout direction. A false breakout above resistance could trigger a liquidity grab, leading to a sharp drop instead of an upward move. 4. Indicators & Confirmation Needed The chart does not include indicators like RSI, MACD, or moving averages, which could provide additional confirmation
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
XAGUSDXAG/USD represents the exchange rate between silver (XAG) and the U.S. dollar (USD). It shows how many U.S. dollars are needed to buy one ounce of silver. Silver is both a precious metal and an industrial commodity, meaning its price is influenced by market demand, inflation, interest rates, economic conditions, and geopolitical risks. It often moves in tandem with gold but can be more volatile due to its industrial applications. When the U.S. dollar weakens, XAG/USD tends to rise, and when the dollar strengthens, silver prices often decline.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by HavalMamar
Gold pulls back and then risesFrom the current 4-hour analysis of gold, we first look at the short-term pressure of 2958-2960 on the top, focus on the pressure position of 2978-2980, and pay attention to the support of 2918-2925 on the bottom. Be cautious about chasing more at high levels. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, so please pay attention to it in time. Gold operation strategy: Buy gold when it falls back to 2925-28, and continue to buy when it falls back to 2918, SL 2910, TP 2947-2950
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by phsephse
1
Gold (XAU/USD) Triangle Pattern – Key Support Test Incoming!Gold (XAU/USD) Triangle Pattern – Key Support Test Incoming! ⚠️ 📊 Timeframe: 4H 💰 Current Price: $2,939 📉 Pattern: Ascending Triangle Breakdown Potential Market Overview: Gold has been forming an ascending triangle, with price reacting between the top resistance line and the rising trendline support. The price is now rejecting the upper boundary and could head towards key support zones before making its next move. Key Levels to Watch: ✅ First Support Area: $2,925 - $2,930 (Short-term bounce zone) ✅ Next Support Area: $2,900 - $2,910 (Stronger demand zone & trendline support) ✅ Resistance: $2,950 (Breakout level for bullish continuation) Technical Analysis: 🔹 Price Rejection at the Top Line of Triangle: Selling pressure is increasing near resistance. 🔹 Support Retest Possible: If price moves lower, the first support area could act as a minor bounce zone, but if broken, we may see a drop to the next support area at $2,900. 🔹 Trendline Test Incoming: The bottom line of the triangle is critical—if it holds, we could see a bullish reversal. A breakdown would signal further downside. Trade Plan: 🔹Bearish Scenario: - If price breaks below $2,925, it could drop towards $2,900 support. - Short Entry: Below $2,925 - Target: $2,900 - Stop Loss: $2,945 🔹 Bullish Scenario: - If price holds the trendline support and shows bullish confirmation, we could see a **bounce back towards $2,950. - Long Entry: Near $2,900 with confirmation - Target: $2,950 - Stop Loss: $2,885
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NexusTradesZone