Gold has recently reclaimed liquidity from its previous two-day!Gold's Recent Market Behavior and Potential Outlook
Gold has recently reclaimed liquidity from its previous two-day lows, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics. Currently, the price is approaching a weekly bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), suggesting a possible upward movement. Additionally, the 4-hour chart reveals that a minor bearish FVG has been broken, further supporting the notion of a bullish reversal.
Despite these bullish signals, gold is entering a larger bearish FVG zone. If the market provides confirmation of a sell signal from this level, a downward movement could be anticipated. Conversely, if the price breaks through this bearish FVG, it may continue its upward trajectory.
In summary, while short-term indicators favor a bullish outlook, the larger bearish FVG zone presents a critical juncture. Traders should monitor for confirmation signals to determine the next market direction.
DYOR! Not Financial Advice.
Futures market
Critical point on fallAs Market is still on Falling wedge on H4 and Rising on M30. I was holding buy trade from 3285 to 3308 TP, which is hit in impressive profits
Whats Current scanario we have ?
At moment 3310-3315 is a point where our upper trendline on H4 falling wedge pattern meets.If H4 stays below 3315 then we have again Bearish momentum towards 3280 again then 3250 milestone.
Secondly
If H1&H4 candle closes above 3320 then selling will be postpond and we have wait till 3330-3335 structural resistance area.
#XAUUSD
fall to create a liquidity sweep, the move in the yellow box wasfall to create a liquidity sweep, the move in the yellow box was greater volume than the percentage the USD fell.
$50 buy trade is still worth the move, and could move higher if the DXY breaks 99.9 with a clean candle straight through, then the Gold bulls are in control.
Bears you should not be entering at all right now.
Waiting for a signal to enter either way.
Gold price bottomed out and rebounded, then continued to rise!From the 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term resistance is around 3308-10, and the focus is on the suppression of 3316-21. The support of 3240-45 is concerned, and the main tone of participating in the trend remains unchanged. Gold operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to 3280-3283, and cover long positions when it falls back to 3266-75, stop loss at 3257, target 3290-3305, and look at 3310-15 if it breaks;
XAUUSD selling Setup opportunity big down next move gold Disruption: The analysis assumes a rejection from the resistance zone without confirmation. Price action might actually break above resistance, triggering a bullish breakout rather than a bearish continuation.
Alternative Scenario: A break and close above the resistance zone (~$3,325) could invalidate the short setup and initiate a rally toward the $3,350+ zone
XAUUSD MARKET FORECAST Gold has defined a 4 hour chart dealing range in confluence to the Daily chart bearish ChoCh.
I stalk rejections in areas of interest (4h) to give us Bearish price action on the 30 min chart, I further will investigate on the 5 min chart after 30 min momentum swing downside either on the second leg swing high or on retracement after price breaks down (LL).
Will Gold(XAUUSD) Price Surge?The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) increased its gold reserves to 879.59 tonnes in FY25, the central bank said in its annual report released on May 29.
The country’s gold reserves were at 854.73 tonnes in September 2024.
The surge in reserves has been attributed to a combination of fresh purchases of 54.13 tonnes, a 30 percent increase in gold prices, and the depreciation of the rupee against the dollar.
Following our technical analysis we can see Gold reacting from the 4h Fvg therefore we expect a shift in market structure when price breaks above 3325 where we shall be looking for long positions to take out the all time high.
Consequently, if the short term trendline holds the price below 3325, we expect to short
the market to around 3180 where price will have alighned with the overall bullish trendline therefore considering longterm buying opportunity..
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Gold’s Golden Reaction — Respecting the 4H FVG Like a Pro Gold is showing a classic ICT-aligned reaction after tapping into a clean 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG), which acted as a high-probability point of interest (POI). The rejection wick and immediate bullish reaction suggest algorithmic interest has returned, hinting at a potential short-term bullish continuation.
🧠 Key Confluences:
✅ 4H FVG respected cleanly — often signals institutional accumulation when coupled with high volume and immediate pushback.
✅ COT Report Overlay: Institutional longs on gold outweigh shorts significantly (81% long), while retail is skewed bearish (69% short). This adds confidence to the long-side thesis — smart money likely pushing the upside.
✅ Price displacing higher after sweep of local liquidity — textbook liquidity grab before directional move.
🎯 Targets:
First Buyside Liquidity: 3,366.95 — this is the initial level where we may see some profit taking and possible rejection.
Second Buyside Liquidity: 3,433.85 — high-timeframe clean highs likely resting with unmitigated orders, making this a strong target.
However, due to the impulsive nature of gold, a retracement or pullback from the first target is very likely before continuation to the next liquidity level. This could present a second entry opportunity if the FVG zone holds support again.
⚠️ Risk Note:
A break and close below the FVG invalidates the bullish bias and could push price toward the prior sell-side zone near 3,257 or lower.
Daily Analysis: 29‑05‑2025
Spot gold closed yesterday with a 0.4% loss at 3,288, marking its third consecutive day of decline. Today, market risk appetite has increased following a U.S. International Trade Court ruling that deemed the vast majority of global tariffs imposed by President Trump illegal, ordering their suspension.
U.S. futures are up around 2%, and the Dollar Index (DXY) has risen above the 100 mark. These developments have added to the selling pressure on gold this morning. Additionally, Nvidia’s better-than-expected earnings have reinforced investor interest in riskier assets.
In this positive market environment, the downward trend in gold may persist. If the decline continues, support levels are found at 3,259, 3,243, and 3,222. In case of a rebound, resistance levels are seen at 3,289 and 3,313.
Gold Strategy Update — Professional Trading InsightGold dipped to around 3290, then rebounded to 3310, followed by another pullback toward the 3290–3280 region and bounced again. This price action perfectly aligned with our forecast and trading plan.
👉 If you followed today's strategy, you should be in solid profit once again!
📍 Current Market Structure Analysis:
🔹 Gold is now hovering near 3300, which is a key resistance zone.
Our previously identified support area at 3306–3318–3324 has been broken and is now acting as resistance.
🔹 Among these levels:
3306 is a weaker resistance,
While the 3316–3323 zone is the main barrier to watch.
📊 Based on the 30-minute chart, bullish momentum appears limited:
If the price rebounds in a single leg, it is likely capped around 3318–3324,
→ With an 80%+ probability of a pullback from that zone. A reasonable short-term target would be 3312;
However, if gold builds a double bottom or multiple bottom structure, it may gather more strength,
→ And a broader rebound could reach 3332–3338.
📉 Bearish Structure Repair (2H Chart):
On the 2-hour chart, the previous bearish structure has been mostly corrected by the recent drop;
The next key factor is whether bulls can break above 3320 to confirm a reversal.
🟥 If bulls fail to break 3320 and price drops below 3280, it may open the door for bears to close the gap around 3259.
→ In that case, levels below 3266 will present excellent buy opportunities.
📊 Trading Summary:
Although market volatility has slightly decreased in recent days, there are still plenty of solid trading opportunities, and we continue to profit steadily.
✅ As long as you stick to a proven strategy, strong discipline, and flexible execution, you’ll find that no matter how the market moves, our profit curve will keep climbing.
Gold Buy- Go for buy
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if you know how
- keep looking for sell even if price goes one more up
A Message To Traders:
I’ll be sharing high-quality trade setups for a period time. No bullshit, no fluff, no complicated nonsense — just real, actionable forecast the algorithm is executing. If you’re struggling with trading and desperate for better results, follow my posts closely.
Check out my previously posted setups and forecasts — you’ll be amazed by the high accuracy of the results.
XAUUSD broke the Support line 3285.00Possible scenario:
Gold (XAU) fell 0.40% on May 28 after the Federal Reserve’s May meeting minutes revealed growing concerns over stubborn inflation and labor market weakness. Rising trade tensions and proposed tariffs added to economic uncertainty, prompting a more cautious tone from the Fed.
Officials stressed the need to act if inflation strays from the 2% target, signaling readiness to adjust policy as needed. The Fed held rates steady for a third straight meeting, citing a data-driven approach amid slower growth and rising recession risks. All eyes now turn to U.S. jobless claims, due May 29 at 12:30 p.m. UTC, which could shape expectations for future Fed actions.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support level is now located at 3,261.00 .
Now, the resistance level is located at 3,365.00
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Fed Minutes and Tariff Delay Support SilverSilver traded near $33.15 on Thursday, steady after Fed minutes showed a cautious rate stance amid economic uncertainty and trade tensions. The Fed held rates at 4.25%–4.5%, awaiting clearer data. Bond market volatility and questions about the dollar’s role weighed on sentiment. Silver remains under pressure from trade risks but gains support from being undervalued versus gold and a fifth year of global supply deficits. Markets now await US GDP and PCE data. Trump’s delay of the EU tariff and Brussels’ pledge to speed talks slightly increased risk sentiment.
The first critical support for gold is seen at 33.80 and the first resistance is located at 32.30.
Gold Extends Decline as Safe-Haven Demand WeakensGold fell below $3,260 on Thursday, its fourth straight decline, as easing tariff fears reduced safe-haven demand. The drop followed a U.S. court ruling that Trump exceeded his authority in imposing tariffs, ordering their removal. The decision is expected to be appealed. Fed minutes showed a cautious stance as officials assess policy impacts, citing risks of both inflation and job losses. Meanwhile, U.S. gold exports to Switzerland surged in April after metal tariffs were lifted, shifting global trade flows.
The first critical support for gold is seen at the $3245 and the first resistance is located at $3295.
Gold (4H) Analysis
🗿 Head & Shoulders Pattern
Left shoulder → Head (~3 366 $) → Right shoulder near the downtrend line
A close below 3 283 $ would validate the shoulder break and signal a bearish turn
🔄 Pullback to 3 283 $?
After the H4 close under 3 283 $, expect a quick retest of that level to hunt stops
Perfect short entry if the H&S holds
🎯 OTE Support Trap
Just below lies last week’s Optimal Trade Entry zone (3 260–3 270 $)
Gold often fakes lower here before resuming the rally
⚔️ Scenarios
Bearish : Close < 3 283 $ → retest 3 283 $ → drop to 3 240 $ / 3 200 $
Bull trap : bounce off OTE → trap of retest 3 283 $ → rally back to 3 330–3 350 $
🌍 Macro Note
Geopolitical tensions (Ukraine/Russia) keep Gold bid as a safe haven
No major bearish catalyst yet—watch for a potential trap
👉 Key Level: H4 close under 3 283 $. Use the retest to confirm your bias!
Gold's rebound is weak and the bearish trend is dominant.The 1-hour gold chart shows that the Bollinger Bands open downward, and the gold price is running near the lower track, with a weak short-term trend. If it fails to rebound effectively and break through the 3290 line, the support below will focus on the 3240-3230 area. Overall, the gold price fluctuates downward, the moving average system is in a short position, and the downward pressure is further revealed. It is currently recommended to continue to maintain a high-altitude thinking and focus on short-selling opportunities after the rebound.
In the short-term operation of gold during the day, rebound short-selling is the main focus. Pay attention to the pressure level of the 3290-3280 area above, and the support level of the 3240-3230 area below. In terms of operation strategy, it is recommended to arrange short orders when the gold price rebounds to the 3280-3290 range. This is a key pressure area, and it is necessary to pay attention to the market reaction in this range.