Futures market
USOIL:Today's trading strategy
Oil prices have been sideways for the fourth trading day, volatility began to narrow, the market is brewing a new round of trend, short-term range 64-66.4. Today you can sell high and buy low around a narrow range.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@64.7-65.1
TP: 65.9-66.4
SELL: 66-66.4
TP: 65.1-64.5
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GOLD H2 Intraday Chart update for 30 June 2025Hello Traders,
As you can see that there are some solid in the market since morning, right now market is sustains below 3300 Psychological Level and move towards 3270-75 key support zone and then at 3350
Monthly candlestick closing also due today
only if market breaks 3305 successfully today then GOLD will move towards 3335
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
XAU/USD 1H – Bullish AB=CD Pattern Completing at PRZ ZoneContext Overview:
Price is in a clear downtrend, making Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL).
However, price action is approaching a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ)
A textbook Bullish AB=CD harmonic pattern is completing
RSI is oversold (below 30) — signaling weakening bearish momentum
Technical Analysis
Bearish leg has extended into a 1.783 CD projection, matching the AB=CD symmetry.
The PRZ zone aligns with:
Previous support area
Completion of the harmonic leg
Extreme RSI conditions (possible bullish divergence brewing)
The price structure shows possible exhaustion at the lows
Bias: Bullish Reversal
Expecting a corrective rally or full reversal from the PRZ zone
Will reassess if price breaks and closes strongly below PRZ zone
Plan of Action:
Action Condition
Wait Price needs to move deeper into PRZ zone Watch
Entry Look for bullish engulfing, pin bar, or RSI divergence
Only enter long if a confirmed reversal signal appears inside PRZ
Stop Loss
Below the PRZ zone after confirmation
Target 1
3380 – higher resistance area
Technical Analysis of XAU/USD Using Supply & Demand Zones and SMThe chart presents a strong sell opportunity at a key supply zone (Order Block), supported by a clear Change of Character (CHoCH). Confluence is added by the 4H Fibonacci retracement, a Breaker Block, and a Mitigation Zone. Price previously reacted from a demand area (highlighted in grey), then retraced back to retest the supply zone, suggesting a high-probability bearish reversal. The current recommendation is "Sell Now", with the potential target aligned with the lower demand zone.
XAUUSD is holding falling pattern H4 Timeframe Analysis
Gold is currently holding the falling wedge pattern on H1 & H4 and Market has to lift up at range of 3330-3320 for completion of Leg then drop.
What's possible scanarios we have?
BULLISH SCANARIO:
As we have seen h4 candle closes above 3280-3285 and we have margin towards 3320 but how we achieved it ? If the H1-H4 candle closes above 3305 then our targets we'll be 3330.
BEARISH SCANARIO: (PREFERRED)
On the otherhand if The H4 candle closes below 3280-3275 then buying will be limited and market will join the 3250 then 3230-3320. Most appropriate Sell will be at 3320-3330 zone for implusive move also we have Weekly structural Resistance at 3330-3350 piviot point.
GOLD HEDGE ANALYSISAfter the bearish sentiment taking out the 3245 lows, we saw gold rally back up to the 3290's aiming for the 3300's which is a very important breakout zone.
further bullish pump breaking the 3300 zone could result in more upside; (3316,3330) but a decline in the bullish momentum would result in more lower liquidity being taken out.
Bearish sentiment leads to 3274, 3212
Note that its the end of June, so don't force the market.
Prepare for Record-Breaking Momentum- Current Price: $22534.20
- Key Insights: The NASDAQ has been surging to new highs, fueled by strong
contributions from tech leaders such as Nvidia and Meta. While the index
exhibits bullish sentiment, it's hitting overbought conditions, signaling
potential volatility and positioning opportunities for strategic entries on
pullbacks. Seasonal strength could sustain upward movement in the near term.
Long-term investors may consider accumulation near support levels, while
short-term traders should carefully manage risk as the index approaches
resistance.
- Price Targets:
- Next week target 1 (T1): $22,820
- Next week target 2 (T2): $23,100
- Stop level 1 (S1): $22,433
- Stop level 2 (S2): $22,325
- Recent Performance: Over the past week, the NASDAQ gained 4.15%, outperforming
other major indices like the S&P 500 and Dow Jones. It continues to benefit
from strong momentum in mega-cap technology stocks and semiconductors. The
NASDAQ’s leadership has been supported by impressive gains in Nvidia and AI-
driven sectors, reinforcing its tech-heavy advantage. Smaller-cap indices
lagged behind, showing a divergence that could hint at broader market
hesitation or a rotation in leadership.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts highlight the index's technical patterns, including
overbought RSI levels (above 70) and golden crosses in moving averages,
aligning with historical seasonal trends. While bullish sentiment persists,
overbought conditions may lead to short-term pullbacks. Divergences in major
indices suggest caution, especially with weaker momentum among
semiconductors. Long-term optimism remains, provided demand zones hold firm.
- News Impact: Nvidia continues to drive NASDAQ gains, spurred by its leadership
within the AI and semiconductor sectors. Expansion of 0DTE options for
individual mega-cap stocks could increase trading activity, adding both
opportunities and risks. July’s seasonal tailwinds lend support to the
index’s momentum, but traders should remain vigilant for external events or
corrections.
6.30 Four-hour resistance determines the strength of the reboundAt the weekly level, the short-term focus is on the adjustment and continued breaking of the weekly support. As time goes by, the weekly support is at the 3285 watershed. At the daily level, after the price broke the daily support last week, the price continued to rely on the daily resistance to bear pressure. At present, the daily resistance is at the 3355 area resistance. Below this position, gold can continue to be shorted. At the four-hour level, the four-hour key position is the key to our emphasis on short-term trends. At present, the four-hour watershed is in the 3300 area, so the focus is on the gains and losses of this position. Before it breaks up, the short-term focus will be on the pressure first, but once it breaks up, it will need to focus on the rebound to the daily resistance. From the one-hour perspective, the bottom rebounded during the early morning session and broke through the high point of the previous trading day’s early morning retracement, so the short-term is still in adjustment. Temporarily pay attention to the gains and losses of the 3300 position, and treat it as the right-side trading method in terms of operation.
Gold continues to be weak, but be careful about operations📣Gold prices fell 2% last Friday, hitting a near one-month low. Optimistic trade-related agreements boosted risk appetite and weakened the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset. This week, the market will usher in a group meeting of major central bank governors around the world (Fed Chairman Powell, European Central Bank President Lagarde, Bank of England Governor Bailey, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, and Bank of Korea Governor Lee Chang-yong). The market will also usher in non-agricultural data. In addition, Powell's remarks on whether to resign may ignite the market this week. Gold prices may fluctuate more around the lower track of the Bollinger Band at $3,270/ounce this week.
Technical analysis:
Last Friday, the K-line had a lower shadow, and the Bollinger Band did not diverge. It is not easy to go short directly in operation, but wait for the rebound to confirm 3295 and the key resistance of ma5 to be short.
💰 Operation strategy: Rebound to 3280-3283 to go short, target 3270-3265, stop loss 3288-3290
If you are a beginner, I suggest you first understand what trading is.
Gold (XAU/USD) Long Setup Gold (XAU/USD) Long Setup – Strong Support Bounce & Potential Reversal
Timeframe: 4H
Gold recently bounced off a well-defined strong support zone near $3,263, forming a potential double bottom structure. The price is now showing early signs of reversal with bullish momentum building.
Key Levels:
Entry: ~ $3,294
Stop Loss: Below $3,263 (support zone)
Target 1: $3,349 (minor resistance)
Target 2: $3,413 (major resistance)
Technical Confluence:
Price respected historical support (highlighted by multiple bounces)
Bullish price action with a recovery structure
Opportunity for upside retracement toward previous supply zones
Fundamental Outlook:
Gold may see bullish pressure amid geopolitical uncertainty and potential central bank dovish pivot
Market awaiting key macroeconomic data – watch for volatility spikes
Bias: Bullish (Short-to-Medium Term)
A solid buy setup for traders looking to capitalize on price recovery from a strong support zone with clearly defined risk
XAU/USD 4H Bearish Setup📉 XAU/USD 4H Bearish Setup – June 30, 2025
Gold is showing signs of continued downside after a brief intraday bounce. Price was rejected around the $3,295–$3,300 supply zone, and the current structure favors a continuation lower if it remains below $3,314.
🔻 Short Setup Details:
Entry: $3,294.99
Stop Loss: $3,314.45 (~0.60%)
Take Profit: $3,189.48
Target: -3.20% | 105.51 pts
Risk/Reward: 1:5.33 🔥
📊 Technical Outlook:
RSI (14): Holding below 50, showing bearish momentum
MACD: Script error noted — needs re-application, but visual bias remains negative
Volume Profile: Thin support between $3,245 and $3,190 suggests possible quick move if breakdown sustains
📌 A break and hold below $3,290 could accelerate downside toward $3,245, with extended target at $3,189.
Gold Analysis – June 29, 2025
With the escalation of tensions between Iran and Israel, market expectations leaned heavily toward a bullish breakout in gold.
However, contrary to popular belief, capital flow shifted toward oil, not gold — boosting oil prices significantly. The war may have fueled this move, but it wasn’t the only factor.
🔸 Technically, gold confirmed a trend change on the daily timeframe by breaking below the $3290 level.
As of now, there's no strong momentum suggesting a new high in the short term.
📉 Our mid-term projection sees the $3340–$3350 zone as a key supply area where sellers could regain control and potentially push the price down toward the $3200 level.
📌 Watch these levels closely — they could define the direction of the market for the coming weeks.
Bullish bounce off major support?XAU/USD has bounced off the support level which is an overlap support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,265.39
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 3,121.15
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 3,344.54
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Gold Short To Medium Term OutlookGold bounced from the lower Support Zone after briefly breaching $3,270. Price is now attempting a recovery, currently trading near $3,290, but remains below both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA — confirming bearish pressure is still intact.
For bulls to gain momentum, we need to see a clean break and hold above $3,298–$3,327which would open the path toward $3,352 and possibly higher resistance levels like $3,364 and $3,383.
Until then, this move may simply be a short-term pullback within a broader downtrend. If price fails to reclaim $3,327, watch for a drop back toward $3,270, with a deeper correction targeting the $3,241–$3,211 zone.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
$3,298 • $3,327 • $3,352 • $3,364 • $3,383
Support:
$3,270 • $3,241 • $3,211 • $3,179
🧠 Fundamental Focus:
This week is packed with high-impact events — including Non-Farm Payrolls on Thursday. These could trigger sharp moves in gold, so stay cautious and manage risk wisely.