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Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Trend – Retest of Support Before BreakoutGold (XAU/USD) Bullish Trend – Retest of Support Before Breakout 🚀 📊 Timeframe: 4H 💰 Current Price: $2,938 📈 Trend: Strong Uptrend with Higher Highs & Higher Lows Market Overview: Gold is following a well-established bullish trend, consistently respecting the trendline support and bouncing off key support zones. The price is currently retesting a critical support level at $2,865, which aligns with previous breakout zones. Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Support Zones: $2,865 (Major trendline support) ✅ Resistance Zones: $3,000 (Psychological level & next target) ✅ Potential Deeper Pullback: $2,730 (Secondary support) Technical Analysis: 🔹 Trendline Holding: Price has respected the trendline multiple times, acting as dynamic support. 🔹 Support Zone Confirmation: Each dip into the support zones has led to a continuation of the uptrend. 🔹 Potential Breakout Towards $3,000: If support holds, gold could target the psychological level of $3,000. Trade Plan: 🔹 Bullish Scenario: A successful retest of $2,865 with bullish confirmation (strong candles, wicks rejecting lower levels) could trigger an entry. Target: $3,000 (resistance zone) 🔹 Bearish Scenario: If price breaks below $2,865, we could see a correction to $2,730 before resuming the uptrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NexusTradesZone
Gold Analysis – Ascending Channel with Resistance RejectionGold (XAU/USD) Analysis – Ascending Channel with Resistance Rejection 📉 📊 Timeframe: 4H 💰 Current Price: $2,939 📈 Trend: Uptrend within an ascending channel Market Overview: Gold is currently trading inside an ascending channel, respecting both dynamic support and resistance. However, the price has shown multiple rejections at the resistance zone, indicating a potential pullback. Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Resistance Zone: $2,950 - $2,960 (Strong rejection area) ✅ Support Levels: $2,920 (Dynamic support), $2,882 (Major support) ✅ Critical Breakdown Level: Below $2,882 could signal a deeper correction Technical Pattern: 🔹 Double Top Formation at Resistance: Price failed to break higher, showing a bearish reaction. 🔹 Dynamic Support Retest: The price could test the ascending channel support near $2,920. 🔹 Lower Highs Forming: A sign of weakening bullish momentum. Trade Plan: 🔹 Bearish Scenario: If price rejects the resistance again, expect a pullback towards $2,920 - $2,910. A breakdown below the ascending channel could trigger a drop to $2,882 or lower. 🔹 Bullish Scenario: If price holds above $2,920, bulls may attempt another breakout towards $2,960+.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by NexusTradesZone
Gold pulled back and corrected, but did not change its gains.Technical analysis of gold: The strong upward trend has not stopped, and the gold price has hit a new high during the day. The continuous new highs of gold also confirm the energy and market trend of the bulls, but we have also made it clear that even if the market is very strong, it is not recommended to chase more. The more it falls back, the probability of being trapped can be avoided to a large extent! After gold hit a new record high today, some bulls took profits, so there was a wave of correction, but this correction is expected to be limited, so it is not advisable to chase the short operation, and the short short can be quickly entered and exited. As long as it does not fall below the 2916-20 range in the future, it is still an opportunity to go long. After all, the trend and fundamentals are still bullish, so pay attention to the long position near 2920; At present, the moving average support of the market pattern is rising, and the short-term moving average support of the market that falls back and adjusts is temporarily pierced. The focus is still on the long-term moving average support level of 2920 and the low point of 2918 yesterday. When the gold price adjusts to around 2920, you can start to go long. If the market continues to adjust but does not fall below 2918, you will still be bullish! This round of target is to continue to set a new high! On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold is recommended to go long on the correction, supplemented by shorting on the rebound. The short-term focus on the resistance of 2954-2960 on the upper side and the short-term focus on the support of 2918-2920 on the lower side. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Gold operation strategy reference: Short order strategy: Sell gold when it rebounds to 2950-2953 TP around 2940-2930 Long order strategy: Buy gold when it falls back to 2918-2920 TP around 2930-2940
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by phsephse
1
Gold 1hour chart technical analysis next move possible.This chart represents a bearish setup for gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here’s what it indicates: Analysis & Trade Setup: 1. Resistance Zone (Red Box) The red-shaded area highlights a resistance zone where price has struggled to break higher. Price is testing this area again, suggesting potential rejection. 2. Trendline & Structure Breakdown A strong ascending trendline (black) has been supporting the uptrend. If price fails to hold above this area, a breakdown may occur. 3. Bearish Expectation (Black Arrow) The zigzag movement inside the resistance zone suggests a liquidity grab before a potential drop. Price is expected to reject the resistance and move toward support at $2,918.34 (blue line). Key Levels: Resistance (Sell Zone): Around $2,940–$2,945 Support (Target Zone): Around $2,918.34 Bearish Confirmation: If price starts dropping below the red zone, it may accelerate downward. Conclusion: This is a short (sell) setup where price is expected to reject resistance and drop to support. If resistance holds, a downtrend is likely toward the blue support line. Would you like to add a caption to post this analysis? I can help craft an engaging one!
TVC:GOLDShort
by DavidHills110
Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – Bullish Momentum with Ascending TriangFollowing the news announcement, the XAUUSD market jumped and reached the resistance zone/equal highs level. Currently, the price is testing the previous week's high and may close higher. Historically, the market has frequently broken and closed above a crucial level on the third or fourth attempt. Given the present positive momentum, the price could rise to the 3000 mark this week. If the price pulls back, it may form an ascending triangle, which is a trend continuation pattern. Overall, I expect the market to continue its upward trend. My target is the resistance zone around 2975. The market set a new all-time high by breaking and finishing above the previous week's high. The price has now reached the next resistance zone, 2950. As expected, the market broke through the resistance zone on the third attempt. However, we should proceed with caution at this point, as the market may fall below the previous week's high and enter a period of consolidation. This is especially important considering the forthcoming release of Unemployment Claims data, which may affect price movements. Despite this, I predict the price to rise, as the last daily candle formed a doji, signaling market momentum. My target is a resistance zone about 2974. 📊 Timeframe: 4H 💰 Current Price: $2,941 📈 Trend: Uptrend Market Overview: Gold has been consistently making higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL), confirming a strong bullish trend. Price action is currently inside an ascending triangle pattern, signaling a potential breakout to the upside. Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Resistance Zone: $2,975 – $3,000 (All-Time High) ✅ Support Levels: $2,914 - $2,920 (Current Support), $2,807 (Stronger Support) ✅ Uptrend Confirmation: Price holding above the blue upward trendline Technical Pattern: 🔹 Ascending Triangle: Price action is forming a series of higher lows while resistance remains steady, indicating a buildup for a possible breakout. 🔹 Upward Channel: Gold remains within a broader bullish channel, further supporting the uptrend. Trade Plan: 🔹 Bullish Scenario: If price breaks above $2,975, expect a strong rally toward $3,000+ A successful retest of $2,914 could be an entry for another upward move 🔻 Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below the trendline support ($2,914) may lead to a correction towards $2,807 - $2,721
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NexusTradesZone
Bearish drop off 50% Fibonacci resistance?COPPER is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 4.6819 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 4.7856 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 4.5406 Why we like it: There is a pullback support. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:COPPERShort
by VantageMarkets
ALUMINIUM Approaches Major Resistance – Will Sellers Step In?PEPPERSTONE:ALUMINIUM is approaching a significant supply zone, an area that has previously acted as strong resistance, indicating the potential for a pullback if sellers regain control. If the market confirms resistance at this level, the price could move downward toward the 2,677 level, which serves as a logical target for this setup. Conversely, a failure to hold resistance could indicate a potential bullish shift and further upside. Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles, long upper wicks rejecting the supply zone, or increased selling volume, before considering short positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights!"
FUSIONMARKETS:XALUSDShort
by DanieIM
REAL TIME DATA XAUUSD⚡ Ultra-Aggressive Execution Plan 🚀 ⏳ Price Action Confirmation: Look for a rejection candle at $2,948.00 before entering short. 🏦 Order Flow Validation: Monitor for large sell orders stacking up near $2,950.00. 🔥 Institutional Expectation: Price likely to reject from $2,950.00 and retrace toward $2,938.00. 🔥 FINAL DECISION – MILKING THE MARKET STRATEGY! 🏆💰🚀 📌 Verdict: SELL at resistance ($2,948.00) 📌 Exact Entry: $2,948.00 📌 Stop-Loss: $2,953.00 📌 Take-Profit: $2,938.00 📌 Institutional Bias: Potential reversal after liquidity grab above $2,950.00. 🚀 SHORT GOLD & MILK THE MARKET! 💰🔥📊
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MAHARLIKA_FX
Will We See the Euro Trading Below Par?CME: Micro EUR/USD Futures ( CME_MINI:M6E1! ) #Microfutures Since the US election last November, the Euro currency has lost ground against the US dollar, with the EUR/USD exchange rate sliding from 1.08 to as low as 1.02. A combination of new policies from the Trump administration aims to strengthen the dollar. Recent efforts to end the geopolitical crisis will not support the euro. On the contrary, they could push the European common currency below the critical 1-dollar level. Quick Review of the EUR/USD Price Trend The euro has swung widely against central bank policies and geopolitical events: • 2020: The Fed implemented massive stimulus measures in response to the pandemic. Lowering interest rates and increasing money supply reduced the value of the USD • 2021: The faster vaccine rollout and quicker reopening of the US economy boosted economic growth and investor sentiment towards the USD • 2022: (1) The Fed raised interest rates to combat inflation, making the USD more attractive to investors compared to the Euro. (2) Europe faced an energy crisis due to its dependence on Russian gas. This crisis led to economic uncertainty and weakened the euro. (3) Ongoing geopolitical tensions created economic instability in Europe, further weakening the euro against the USD • Q4 2022 and 2023: European Central Bank abandoned its long-held zero-rate policy in September 2022. It raised rates eight times to 4.00%. These actions narrowed the interest rate differentials between the US and Europe, and helped the euro rebound • 2024: The EUR/USD moved mainly sideways in the range of 1.06 and 1.12. Fed easing and rebounds of US inflation contributed to the mild volatility. • Q4 2024 to Current. Dollar ascended quickly after the election win of Donald Trump. Investors expect strong dollar with the support of the new America First policies Ukraine Peace Talks and Possible Outcomes On February 12th, Presidents Trump and Putin agreed to immediately start negotiations to end the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. On February 18th, US and Russian officials held peace talks in Saudi Arabia. The two sides agreed to create a high-level team to lead the Ukraine peace talks. Neither Ukraine nor the EU participated in the meeting. How the peace talks would progress remain highly uncertain. Using Game Theory, we could break them down into two mutually exclusive and collectively inclusive outcomes: • Peace: US, Russia, Ukraine and the EU sign a peace agreement to end the conflict and ensure long-lasting peace. Whether it will be a fair treaty is a hotly debated topic. • No-Peace: Peace talks break down. The 3-year-long conflict continues. This could last for years but eventually will lead to a win/loss outcome or a draw. From an investing perspective, “No-Peace” is equivalent to “Risk On”. It may imply higher gold prices, higher energy costs and lower equity value. Meanwhile, “Peace” means “Risk Off”. We may see declining gold, lower oil and gas, and rising stock prices. However, it would be difficult to pick the price direction if we can’t predict the outcome. Peace or No Peace – A Steep Cost for Europe For better or worse, the recent events are a wakeup call to European countries. The US had defense spending totaling $967 billion in 2024, which is 3.49% of its GDP. For a comparison, the total defense spending for EU member states reached $358 billion in 2024. This represents around 1.9% of the EU's GDP • The US accounted for 73% of the defense spending in the 32 countries in NATO • Since 2022, the US contributed to 2/3 of all the financial aids sending to Ukraine The US administration intends to cut its financial support. Europe will have to increase defense spending dramatically. In a worst case, a complete breakdown in Cross-Atlantic relations could see the US exiting NATO and all US troops withdrawing from Europe. How much is the spending gap? In 2024, Russia had defense budget of $462 billion, or 6.7% of its GDP. Ukraine had defense budget of $40 billion, or 22% of its GDP. • EU plus Ukraine spent $64 billion less than Russia in defense budget. In my opinion, in a Peace scenario and with reduced US involvement, the EU defense budget must surpass that of Russia to ensure Ukraine to stay on top. I find this to be 2.5% of GDP. This means a 32% increase or $471 billion in total defense spending. For No-Peace, the EU will be fighting an active war. NATO will need to maintain a standing army of 1 million troops and rebuild an entire defense industry. In this scenario, I feel that the defense budget needs to double 5% of GDP. budget to raise a large army and rebuild an entire defense industry. This means a 163% increase or $942 billion in total defense spending. If the above numbers sound outrageous, Israel, a country constantly fighting for its survival, will serve as a good refence point. In 2024, Israel's defense spending amounted to 117.5 billion Israeli shekels (around $32.5 billion USD), which is 6.7% of its GDP. The EU has an estimated GDP growth at 0.9% in 2024 and a forecast growth of 1.5% in 2025. The defense budget increase will cause mandatory cuts in non-defense spending. The combined effect will be negative, pushing GDP growth into a negative territory. In my opinion, re-arming Europe is critical to its survival. However, defense buildup comes at a steep cost. The expectations of lower GDP growth will push the value of Euro currency lower, likely below the 1-dollar critical level. Commitment of Traders shows diminishing bullish sentiment The CFTC Commitments of Traders report shows that on February 11th, total Open Interest (OI) for CME Euro FX Futures is 622,873 contracts. “Asset Manager” (i.e., hedge funds) own 338,182 in Long, 177,937 in Short and 35,597 in Spreading. • While they maintain a long-short ratio of 1.9:1, hedge funds have reduced long positions by 1,014 while increasing short positions by 2,249. • This indicates that “Smart Money” is becoming less bullish on the Euro. Trade Setup with Micro Euro/USD Futures If a trader shares a similar view, he could express his opinion by shorting the CME Micro Euro/USD Futures ($M6E). M6E contracts have a notional value of 12,500 euro. With February 19th settlement price of 1.0435, each March contract (M6EH5) has a notional value of $13,044. Buying or selling one contract requires an initial margin of $260. Hypothetically, a trader shorts March M6E contract and the euro drops to $0.99. A short futures position would gain $668.75 (= (1.0435 – 0.99) x $12500). Using the initial margin as a cost base, a theoretical return would be +257% (= 668.75 / 260). The risk of shorting euro futures is rising euro. Investors could lose part of or all their initial margin. A trader could set a stop loss while establishing his short position. In the above example, the trader could set a stop-loss at 1.06 when entering the short order at 1.0435. If euro rebounds, the maximum loss would be $206.25 ( = (1.06 – 1.0435) *12500). To learn more about all the Micro futures and options contracts traded on CME Group platform, you can check out the following site: www.cmegroup.com The Leap trading competition, #TheFuturesLeap, sponsored by CME Group, is currently running at TradingView. I encourage you to join The Leap to sharpen your trading skills and put your trading strategies at test, competing with your peers in this paper trading challenge sponsored by CME Group. www.tradingview.com Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:M6E1!Short
by JimHuangChicago
XAUUSD (Gold) Analysis Report: Market Trends and Future OutlookXAUUSD (Gold) Current Market Overview Gold has experienced a slight downturn recently, reflecting broader market uncertainties and shifts in investor sentiment. However, technical analysis indicates that a bullish move could be on the horizon if certain conditions are met. Technical Analysis Trendline and Key Levels The current analysis suggests that the market is slightly bearish. However, a potential bullish move could be observed if the market breaks above the established trendline. Key levels to watch include: Retracement Level: 2342.35 Target Levels: 2483.74 and 2601.55 A break above the trendline and the retracement level of 2342.35 could set the stage for upward movement, potentially reaching the target levels of 2483.74 and 2601.55. Conclusion While the gold market currently shows signs of a slight downtrend, a bullish move could be imminent if critical technical levels are breached. As always, it is essential for traders and investors to conduct thorough analysis and consider all factors before making any decisions. This report aims to provide insights and assist in understanding the potential future movements in the XAUUSD (Gold) market. Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. We are not SEBI registered advisors.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Kaviarasu_Chandrasekar
GOLD Looks Like A Giant Bull Trap Price To Fall DramaticallyThis move in gold has been nice but I think its almost over. This was a giant bull trap in my opinion. Over the next few years I see Gold coming down to the bottom trend line then longer term probably below $1000 after it breaks the rising wedge. I think the Golden Age of America is a real thing. Cheaper energy, more advanced ways of mining, new large gold deposits will be found. Gold will always be relevant but will never be used as money again. No real need for it other than industrial uses. Eventually we'll be able to manufacture gold, silver, and pretty much any other metal and there wont be a need for mining anymore. We're moving forward not backwards. Best of luck my friends, none of this is financial advice.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Bitgolder
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Please see update on our 4h chart after smashing levels on our 1h chart idea. This chart idea is playing out perfectly!!! We got our 2890 and 2928 Bullish target hit. This followed with ema5 lock opening the range above upto 2959. We got the move up after the lock for over 200 pips but just short of the full gap. As long as we have no lock below 2928, we are good to buy dips into this range for now. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2890 - DONE 2928 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2928 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2959 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2959 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2992 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2992 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3024 BEARISH TARGETS EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2890 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2857 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2857 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2813 - 2785 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2785 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2744 - 2713 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
11
Gold price fluctuation trend analysis and operation suggestionsGold prices hit a record high as investors turned to the safe haven of gold on concerns that U.S. President Trump's tariff plan would trigger inflation and a global trade war. At press time, spot gold rose 0.7% to $2,953, having earlier hit a record high of $2,954.71. Gold has risen 12% so far this year and hit a new high for the tenth time on Trump's tariff concerns. Gold finally recovered from the losses triggered by the U.S. retail sales data and rose further to break a record high. The market still rose due to inertia due to the lack of negative news for precious metals. Real yields are still in a bearish trend, which is supportive for the gold market. It may take a strong growth scare or a hawkish move by the Federal Reserve to see gold prices fall or trigger a larger correction. For now, the path of least resistance for gold remains to rise. Technical analysis of gold: The strong upward trend has not stopped, and the gold price has hit a new high during the day. The continuous new highs of gold also confirm the energy and market tendency of the bulls, but we have also made it clear that even if the market is very strong, it is not recommended to chase the longs. The more it falls back, the greater the probability of being trapped can be avoided! After gold hit a new record high today, some bulls took profits, so there was a wave of correction, but this correction is expected to be limited, so it is not advisable to chase the shorts. Short shorts can be entered and exited quickly. As long as it does not fall below the 2916-20 range in the future, it is still an opportunity to go long. After all, the trend and fundamentals are still bullish, so pay attention to the longs near 2920 in the evening; Focus on the resistance line of 2954-2960, and the short-term focus below is on the support line of 2918-2920.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by mykvmykv
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Channel – Key Support & Breakout Levels!📊 Timeframe: 1H 💰 Current Price: $2,942 📈 Trend: Uptrend Analysis: Gold is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, forming higher highs and higher lows. The price recently tested the upper boundary near $2,960 - $2,980 and is now pulling back toward key support levels. Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Support Zone: $2,920 - $2,930 ✅ Resistance Zone: $2,960 - $2,980 ✅ Breakout Target: $3,000+ if price maintains bullish momentum Trade Plan: 🔹 Bullish Scenario: If price holds the lower trendline support, a bounce could push it toward $2,960 - $2,980. A breakout above $2,980 could trigger a move to $3,000+. 🔻 Bearish Scenario: If price breaks below $2,920, a deeper retracement toward $2,880 is possible.
TVC:GOLDLong
by NexusTradesZone