XAUUSD Bearish Signal | Technical + Custom AlgoSmart Trend Signal | Technical Analysis + Custom Algorithm
This signal is the result of a combination of classic technical trend analysis and a proprietary software I personally developed.
Futures market
Gold idea playing out perfectly 300pips loading on the gold trade idea posted earlier
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GoldFxMinds – XAUUSD Battle Plan for May 30, 2025Hello, GoldMinds snipers!
Big news day ahead — Core PCE ). This is the kind of day where one news candle can change the whole game! Let’s get our sniper zones ready for both bullish rallies and bearish reversals.
⚡️ Macro & News Context
Core PCE is a Fed favorite: high-impact, high-volatility.
Gold just closed near 3317, high in premium territory — but market structure is coiled, not committed.
Any PCE surprise can send us flying… or dumping.
📈 If Price Stays Bullish / News is Dovish
3325–3335: First resistance, the "fortress wall."
If price clears and HOLDS above, next upside targets activate.
3348–3360: Next sniper zone above — historical supply, D1 OB, liquidity magnets.
A strong close above 3335 = bulls control. Watch for quick tests of this upper block.
If price breaks above 3360:
The next “wild zone” is 3378–3388 — untapped liquidity above all previous swings. Only super strong rallies reach here, so trail your stops tight if you’re long.
📉 If Price Reverses / News is Hawkish
3315–3305: Trap zone, choppy — avoid entries here.
3285–3295: Key H1 demand, look for bounce or structure reclaim.
3250–3260: Deep discount sniper zone.
Only buy if you see real reversal; if this breaks, expect panic to 3220 or even 3200.
🧠 Bias, Playbook, and Caution
Bias: Neutral but flexible.
Above 3335, bulls have momentum — look for breakouts.
Below 3285, sellers control the show.
Do not rush the first move after PCE.
Real direction comes after the volatility traps.
🏹 Battle Plan
Long only above 3335, with a confirmed breakout and volume.
Short only at supply zones (3325–3335 or 3348–3360) if you see strong rejection.
Never chase the spike. Wait for M5/M15 structure to confirm.
Trap zone (3305–3315): Sit on your hands. Let the bots fight.
🔥 Final Word
This is a two-way battle:
If gold rockets above, follow the flow — but don’t forget, every hero rally can be a trap!
If the bears win, be ready to strike on the drop.
Comment your bias (🚀 or 🔻), hit follow for the post-news recap, and trade like a sniper, not a gambler.
— GoldFxMinds 🟡🚨
Smart Trade Insight – XAU/USD Technical BreakdownKey Levels & Technical Zones:
🔹 Resistance Zone (🔼 SELL Area):
📌 3,315 – 3,340
This area has been tested and rejected multiple times, as highlighted by the strong bearish wicks. The recent price action failed to break above it, triggering short interest.
🔹 Minor Support Zone:
📌 Around 3,243
Acted as intraday bounce area previously, now likely to offer weak support in the coming move down.
🔹 Major Demand Zone (💚 BUY Interest Zone):
📌 3,120 – 3,140
Labelled as "BEST SUPPORT DEMANDING ZONE" – historical demand visible with strong bounce history. Ideal for monitoring bullish reversal opportunities.
📈 EMA Levels:
🔴 50 EMA: 3,299
🔵 200 EMA: 3,254
Current price action is hovering near the EMAs. The rejection at the resistance while below the 50 EMA indicates weakening bullish momentum.
🔍 Market Structure Overview:
The double-top formation near the resistance shows exhaustion in buying.
Lower highs forming → structure turning bearish short-term.
Solid rejection confirms that this is a valid zone to initiate short positions 🛑📉.
📉 Forecast Path:
🔮 Projected Move:
Price is expected to break below minor support at 3,243.
Intermediate target: 3,206, then 3,167 🟠.
Final destination: Demand Zone at 3,120 – 3,140 🟩 for potential bounce 📈.
💬 "Market not break the resistance level and rejected solid — this is a good entry for short-term sell trades." ✅
✅ Trade Idea Summary:
🟥 Bias: Short
🎯 TP Targets: 3,206 → 3,167 → 3,122
📉 SL Suggestion: Above 3,340 resistance zone
🧭 Risk-Reward Setup: Favorable for short-term traders
XAUUSD FOLLOW ASCENDING CHANNEL BULLISH NOW FROM SUPPORT🚨 XAUUSD Technical Update 🚨
4H Time Frame | Ascending Channel in Play
Gold is showing strong bullish momentum after rebounding from the key demand zone at 3240. Price action is respecting the ascending channel structure — and buyers are clearly in control. 📈💪
🎯 Upside Targets:
• 1st Target: 3346
• 2nd Target: 3430
As long as the structure holds, dips are for buying. Let’s ride this bullish wave! 🌊✨
📊 Technical bias: Bullish
📍 Timeframe: 4H
💡 Trade smart, manage risk.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #PriceAction #BullishTrend #LiviaTrades 😜
Gold Holding Pattern – Key Resistance AheadOn the 4-hour time frame, XAU is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, but we haven’t seen any breakout yet, we’re still trading inside the triangle.
If we look at the LTF, we’re currently at the 0.236 FIB level, which isn’t a very strong buying zone, but technically, we’ve broken out of a falling wedge and are now retesting it.
That looks pretty good, and if this setup plays out well, we could see an upward move toward $3,470.
However, there’s a strong resistance around $3,350 to $3,370 that we need to break first. If we break that, it will also confirm the breakout of the symmetrical triangle from the 4-hour chart.
GOLD → False breakdown and support from the falling DXYFX:XAUUSD , as part of a correction, confirms the upward trend line and returns to the consolidation (range), making a false breakdown of support amid the dollar's correction...
The US dollar remains stable thanks to the Fed's hawkish minutes and the court's decision to block Trump's tariffs. Investors are waiting for Friday's inflation data (PCE), which could weaken the dollar and give gold a chance to rebound. Additional influence will come from US GDP data, jobless claims, and geopolitical news.
On D1, gold is rebounding from strong support and heading towards resistance at the rising trend line. If economic risks remain high, gold could continue its rally despite conflicting bearish patterns...
Resistance levels: 3300, 3310, 3325
Support levels: 3290, 3285, 3265
Gold is forming a false breakdown of support at 3265 as part of a correction and confirming the lower boundary of the upward channel. Consolidation above 3280 will confirm that bulls are holding the market amid high economic risks. Gold may test 3300-3310 and form a correction before continuing its growth towards 3325.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Holding Pattern – Key Resistance AheadHey, friends
On the 4-hour time frame, TVC:XAU is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, but we haven’t seen any breakout yet, we’re still trading inside the triangle.
If we look at the LTF, we’re currently at the 0.236 FIB level, which isn’t a very strong buying zone, but technically, we’ve broken out of a falling wedge and are now retesting it.
That looks pretty good, and if this setup plays out well, we could see an upward move toward $3,470.
However, there’s a strong resistance around $3,350 to $3,370 that we need to break first. If we break that, it will also confirm the breakout of the symmetrical triangle from the 4-hour chart.
So keep an eye on those areas!
#GOLD #forextrading
#XAUUSD[GOLD]: Massive Boost For Buyers, Incoming More Volume! Gold has been moving as expected in our previous chart. We anticipate a smooth bull market in the coming days, with a target price region of 3400$. There are three specific targets you can aim for.
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- Like our ideas
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Team Setupsfx_🚀❤️
DeGRAM | GOLD under the $3300 level📊 Technical Analysis
● Third touch of the channel’s upper rail near $3 330 printed a shooting-star and price is now riding back under the internal trend-pivot $3 315, restoring a sequence of lower-highs.
● Intraday support from the short-lived wedge has flipped to resistance; acceptance below the $3 284 line exposes the mid-band $3 210 and, if momentum persists, the channel floor/April pivot at $3 120.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US 5-yr yield hit a five-week high after Fed’s Williams said policy is “not restrictive enough yet”, while the DXY held near 105 as May jobless claims surprised on the downside. Higher real rates and a firmer dollar keep ETF outflows running.
✨ Summary
Sell rallies ≤$3 315; breakdown under $3 284 targets $3 210 then $3 120. Shorts negated on a 4 h close above $3 350.
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XAU/USD Chart Analysis: Gold Price Stabilises Around $3,300XAU/USD Chart Analysis: Gold Price Stabilises Around $3,300
Throughout May, a turbulent news backdrop — involving both international trade tariffs and armed conflicts — led to the formation of a peak around $3,430 and a low near $3,130 on the XAU/USD chart. As of today, the price per ounce stands around $3,300 — roughly the same level as at the beginning of the month.
This suggests that supply and demand forces are largely balanced, keeping the price contained between these extremes. The XAU/USD chart provides further confirmation, emphasising the significance of the $3,300 level.
Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart
From a bearish perspective: The A→B→C→D→E sequence forms lower highs and lower lows — a clear sign of a downtrend. This trajectory is marked in red, with the upper line acting as resistance.
From a bullish perspective: Since the beginning of 2025, the gold price has been moving in an uptrend,indicated by a blue channel, with its lower boundary serving as key support (highlighted with arrows).
Notably, these support and resistance lines are converging, forming a narrowing triangle — an indication that supply and demand are balancing, finding consensus around the $3,300 level, where the axis of the triangle lies.
Given this, it is reasonable to assume that in June, the gold price on the XAU/USD chart may continue to fluctuate within this triangle — unless an extraordinary event causes a significant shift in the current balance.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USOIL next week trend analysis, hope it helps youOPEC+ confirmed at its meeting on May 31 that eight oil-producing countries under its mechanism will continue to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day (bpd) in July, maintaining the same pace as in May and June. Although the market had partially priced in this expectation, the continuation of the production increase plan has strengthened the long-term logic of loose supply. It is worth noting that this production increase is not a unified action by the entire alliance but rather the result of core members such as Saudi Arabia and Russia voluntarily exiting production cuts, reflecting cautious attitudes within OPEC+ toward demand prospects. With oil prices currently breaking below the key psychological threshold of $60 per barrel, if the production increase plan continues into the second half of the year, it may further suppress the upside room for oil price rebounds.
USOIL next week trend analysis, hope it helps you
USOIL SELL@61~60.5
SL:62
TP:60~59.5
Gold Forming a Bulllish Flag- Wacthing for Breakout ConfirmationThis chart shows a potential bullish flag pattern forming on the daily timeframe for Gold Spot (XAU/USD). The pattern is composed of a strong flagpole (an impulsive upward move), followed by a descending consolidation channel, which represents a correction phase.
The price is currently moving within the flag’s range. A breakout above the flag’s resistance trendline would confirm the bullish continuation pattern, potentially targeting levels above 3,500 USD. Until a confirmed breakout occurs, price action may continue to consolidate within the flag structure.
Flagpole: Sharp upward rally from mid-March to mid-April 2025
Correction: Downward sloping parallel channel
Breakout Level: Around 3,300–3,320 USD
Volume: Decreasing during the correction, which aligns with bullish flag behavior
Suggested Action: Monitor for breakout confirmation before entering long positions
This chart is for educational and technical analysis purposes only. Always use proper risk management.
USOIL SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 61.25
Target Level: 56.17
Stop Loss: 64.55
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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GOLD increased in the short term, approaching an important levelFrom a recent price action standpoint, the move on Gold may have offered cues of encountering weakness, and could serve as a key trigger for bearish traders. This is why I’m anticipating further short-side follow-through. The negative outlook is not confirmed yet, however a bounce off the trendline could once again attract sellers, for a decent move to 3,240 support zone . This latter zone, could be a key turning point that if broken, would lead to a good opportunities for buyers looking to get involved on the dips, anticipating a potential shift in momentum.
But a strong move up and break of trendline at around 3335-3340, would allow Gold to reclaim the 3400 mark and climb even further.
On Monday in my last analysis I predicted that the price gold would fall as low as 3290, after which the price has rebounded short term. All this being said, I am closely watching how price will react when it encounters the trendline as shown and I will wait for any confirmation clues.
Please note that I will not get involved without proper confirmation
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you
The situation in the Middle East remains highly tense, with the Iran nuclear negotiations stalled and U.S. sanctions against Iran still in place. The two sides have significant differences on key issues such as nuclear facility inspections and conditions for lifting sanctions. Israel's military threats against Iran's nuclear facilities have continued to escalate, repeatedly stating publicly that it does not rule out launching military strikes against Iran. In the event of a conflict, as a major crude oil producer, Iran's crude oil production and exports would be severely disrupted, and oil transportation routes in the Middle East could also be blocked, creating a huge gap in global crude oil supply. At the same time, the geopolitical rivalry between Russia and Western countries in the energy sector has intensified, and geopolitical conflicts could lead Russia to adjust its crude oil export strategy, further exacerbating supply tensions in the global crude oil market and driving oil prices sharply higher.
Although OPEC+ accelerated production increases by 822,000 barrels per day in May-June, the remaining production capacity of major producers such as Saudi Arabia has fallen below 1.5 million barrels per day, making it difficult to effectively fill the supply gap left by Iran. Moreover, the production increase plan will be completed by October 2025, one year ahead of the original schedule, indicating concerns about long-term weak demand, which could instead undermine market confidence in supply flexibility.
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you
USOIL BUY@60.5~61
SL:59.5
TP:62~62.5
Gold Pump then Dump (Sell Opportunities)Keeping it very simple, wait for China Session to lock-in its Hi of Session. It will drop for quick sells so take your money off the table as time moves along because price will return to work the Hi for London Session. London will either take China's Hi of Day/Session or work into it, trapping. (Shake out winners/ setting in London's position.) Then NY will repeat the process and either take London's Hi or work into it then get ready for the big fall traders. Friday = Closing price/Week. Please just be patience is the key, enjoy.
Oil Price Stuck Near $60 Amid Geopolitical TensionsOil Price Stuck Near $60 Amid Geopolitical Tensions
Oil prices remain near $60, driven by global uncertainty. In the Middle East, tensions persist as Israel continues its military actions in Gaza. Meanwhile, the war between Ukraine and Russia continues despite U.S. efforts to mediate. Reports indicate that Russia has used North Korean weapons to intensify missile strikes on Ukrainian infrastructure, raising concerns about Moscow’s reliance on Pyongyang.
Adding to the uncertainty, Trump’s tariff policies are creating instability for major economies. However, OPEC+ has pledged to increase oil production in July, which could push prices lower.
For now, $60 remains a strong support level. If the price breaks below this barrier, further declines could follow, as indicated on the chart.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
GOLD (XAUUSD): Detailed Daily Time Frame Analysis
Gold is officially in correction now.
Analysing a price action on a daily time frame,
we can see a valid bullish flag pattern.
A minor trend that we see within the boundaries of the flag
reflects a global overbought state of the market.
The upper boundary of the flag is a strong vertical resistance
that concentrates a selling interest.
An accurate signal of a resumption of a bullish trend will be
a breakout and a candle close above that.
A bullish wave will be expected at least to 3420 then.
Remember that we can not predict how long the market will
keep trading within the flag. Also, the market may easily
drop lower within that, updating the low.
If a correction continues below the low of a flag pole,
that may signify a global bearish reversal.
Of course, from a current geopolitical and economic perspective
it is a low-probability scenario.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
GOLD - Price can exit from triangle and continue to fall nextHi guys, this is my overview for GOLD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price traded inside a triangle, where it made a strong upward impulse from support line to resistance line.
Price broke $3185 and $3345 levels, after which it started to decline from resistance line, making gaps.
In a short time, Gold broke $3345 level again and fell to support line triangle, after which it exited from this pattern.
Next, price started to trade inside another triangle, which it broke the $3345 level two times and then dropped to the support area.
Later, Gold turned around and, in a short time, rose to the resistance area, but recently made a correction.
In my mind, Gold can exit from this triangle pattern and then continue to fall to $3220
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
BUY GOLDIn todays session we are monitoring GOLD for buying position. Our entries are at 3295 and targets are above 3361. Our stops are below 3278. Use proper risk management. Good luck to you all.
Operation suggestions after the Fed's hawkish minutes!
The news that the US federal court ruled to prevent the implementation of tariffs boosted market risk sentiment, and the safe-haven demand weakened accordingly. The gold price fell for the fourth consecutive trading day, hitting a new low in a week and a half. At the same time, multiple factors such as the hawkish signal released by the Fed's meeting minutes, the upward trend of US Treasury yields and the return of the US dollar index to the 100 mark jointly put pressure on the gold price. The recent continued weakness of gold is mainly affected by the dual impact of the rebound of the US dollar and the decline in safe-haven demand, but the medium- and long-term support factors are still accumulating, especially against the background of the Fed's maintenance of a high interest rate policy and the escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. It is necessary to pay attention to the release of the US PCE price index this week. This data will become an important reference node for judging the direction of the Fed's monetary policy and the trend of gold prices.
The 4-hour chart of gold shows that the short-term trend is obviously weak. From the perspective of the moving average system, the short-term moving average is in a long arrangement, which continues to suppress the gold price, and the upward trend is further confirmed. In terms of operation, it is recommended to maintain a low-long strategy and focus on the long opportunities after the correction. The short-term trading strategy for the day is mainly to buy on dips. The upper resistance level is 3215-3220, and the lower support level is 3250-3245. The specific operation suggestion is to buy when the callback reaches 3388-3393, and this range needs to be paid special attention.
Gold recommends buying when the callback reaches 3288-3293, with a target of 3305-3320, and hold when it breaks
Why You Should Trade Zones, Not Points – Especially on XAUUSDIf you've been trading Gold (XAUUSD) for a while, you’ve likely noticed something strange in many analyses online. Support at 3256.73? Resistance at 3352.14?
Really? That precise?
This kind of fixed-point trading might look good on a chart, but it doesn't work in a real, volatile market — especially not in 2025.
I've been trading Gold as my primary asset for over a decade, and if there's one thing experience — and logic — have consistently shown me, it's this: you should trade price zones, not fixed points. Let me explain you why.
________________________________________
🔍 1. Gold Is Not a Low-Volatility Asset
Gold isn't EURUSD. It doesn't move in clean 20-30-pip increments. It's volatile, reactive, and sensitive to everything from Fed rate rumors to random tweets and global conflicts.
Over the past months, volatility has spiked — and not just because of economic data. We’re seeing:
• Geopolitical uncertainty that escalates and de-escalates overnight
• Macro shifts in interest rate expectations almost weekly
• Market sentiment changing faster than ever
In this environment, the idea that price will reverse exactly at 3352.14 is pure fantasy.
________________________________________
📏 2. Percentages Matter More Than Pips Now
Back when Gold was around $2000, a 200-pip move meant a 1% change in price.
Now, with Gold trading above $3300, the same 1% move is 330 pips.
So, if you're still treating 30–50 pips like a serious target on Gold, you're not adjusting to reality. You're chasing crumbs in a storm.
I’ve written before about why you shouldn't trade Gold for small 30–50 pip moves. It’s no longer a high-probability game — the math doesn’t work. You’re either over-leveraging or underperforming.
________________________________________
📈 3. Price Zones Are Where the Smart Money Trades
Markets aren’t binary. They don’t care about your exact number.
They care about liquidity zones — where enough buyers and sellers are willing to transact in volume.
Here’s how professionals approach it:
• Support isn’t a number — it’s a range.
• Resistance isn’t a line — it’s a battle zone.
When you analyze Gold, think in ranges like 3280–3290 or 3320–3330. This is where price breathes, traps traders, and makes real moves.
Fixed points create unrealistic expectations and false confidence.
________________________________________
🧠 4. Emotion Kills Precision in Real Time
In live trading, you’re not a machine. You’re a human reacting to candles, tweets, and news.
Waiting for an entry at exactly 3352.14 often means:
• You miss the move entirely
• Or you force a bad entry when price front-runs your level
But when you use zones, you give yourself the flexibility to act within context, not dogma.
You can read the candle behavior inside that zone, you can spot exhaustion, you can scale in or out — you become tactical, not rigid.
________________________________________
✅ Final Thoughts: Adapt or Stay Frustrated
If you want to trade Gold successfully in this current market, you must adapt:
• Use zones instead of pin-point levels
• Adjust your expectations to the new pip-to-percentage dynamics
• Respect the volatility and macro backdrop
The traders who will survive are not the ones with the cleanest lines on their charts. They’re the ones who know how to handle chaos with structure, using zones as flexible tools, not false certainties.
🎯 Start thinking in ranges, not numbers. That’s where the edge is.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
