Futures market
Gold Trading Strategies, April 24📊Today's early trading session saw a strong rise in gold, which was indeed beyond market expectations. It quickly rose to the 3367 line in a short period of time, triggering the market to think about whether the market will reverse. However, from the overall technical structure, the current rebound is more likely to be just a technical repair in the downward trend, rather than a real trend reversal. In particular, the pattern of rapid rise in the early trading session is often prone to a rapid decline after the release of bullish sentiment.
📊From the daily level, gold rose strongly during Tuesday's intraday trading, once breaking through the 3500 mark, but failed to stand firm, indicating that the upper selling pressure is still heavy. The subsequent Wednesday market continued to be weak, closing with a negative line again, forming a two-consecutive negative pattern, which clearly released a signal that the bears are dominant technically.
📊The current 3500 mark constitutes an obvious stage top pressure level, the bears continue to exert pressure at a high level, and the bulls' momentum has obviously weakened.
📊From the 4-hour chart, since the pressure near 3500, gold has been in a volatile downward channel as a whole. The current minimum has fallen back to the 3260 line, and the short-term decline has reached 240 US dollars, showing that the market's center of gravity continues to move downward. Although there was a rebound during the session, the overall upward structure has been destroyed, and the MACD indicator formed a dead cross, indicating that it is still in an adjustment trend in the short term.
🟢Upper resistance level: 3368-3370
🔴Lower support level: 3260-3285
✅Intraday trading strategy
🔰Gold Sell: 3360-3365, Stop Loss: 5-8$
Target: 3320-3300, if it breaks, look to 3260
🔰Gold Buy: 3260-3265, Stop Loss: 5-8$
Target: 3300-3330, if it breaks, look to 3350
✅Trading strategies are time-sensitive. We will provide members with real-time and accurate trading strategies based on market changes. Short-term trading requires flexibility, timely adjustment of positions, strict risk control, and ensuring that you are not affected by large fluctuations.
USOIL – Wedge Whisper Turned Rejection Roar
Crude just whispered its next move — and it’s not looking bullish.
After a clean rising wedge breakdown, price is now retesting the underside of the structure, right inside a high-volume supply zone (62.75 - 64.50). This zone screams rejection, especially with that wick-heavy rejection candle teasing a deeper move.
This setup aligns with classic market psychology — buyers trapped at the top, smart money looking for that short squeeze to the downside.
Short Bias Activated
Sell Zone: 62.75 - 64.50
Target: 54.25
Invalidation: Break and close above 64.60
If this plays out, it’s a straight-up slide to the next major demand zone. Eyes on volume and rejection confirmations!
OTEUM EXPERT CALL: SP500 – Catch-the-Bounce EditionOTEUM EXPERT CALL: SP500 – Catch-the-Bounce Edition 🪙🚀
We’re fishing LONG for a quick, tactical bounce LONG as price aims to poke into a major resistance zones ⚙️📈 Once the dust settles and the bounce plays out, we still expect the macro down-draft to take over, so keep your suitcase packed for a swift exit 🎢✂️.
Main risk? A stray White House tweet or (not so much) surprise policy grenade? 💬💥—impossible to time, so size down and run a tight leash on risk 🦺⚖️.
#SP500 #Dailymap #BouncePlay #RiskOn #OTEUM
Gold analysis today(3320-3380)Gold analysis today
4.24: The core factors that currently affect the trend of gold
Short-term disturbance of Trump's remarks:
Trump's easing of his attitude towards tariffs and the Federal Reserve (such as considering reducing tariffs on China and not firing Powell for the time being) weakened risk aversion, leading to a short-term sell-off of gold.
However, such policies are highly repetitive, and the market is skeptical about their sustainability, and risk aversion demand may return at any time.
The basic logic of US debt and the US dollar
The foundation of the long-term bull market in gold has not changed: the expansion of the US fiscal deficit, the questioning of the credit of US debt, and the challenge of the US dollar hegemony (such as the trend of de-dollarization) are still the core logic supporting gold.
The market's expectations of future interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (although short-term fluctuations) and the potential risk of rising inflation are also favorable to gold.
Key technical signals
Daily level:
Gold prices fell for two consecutive days after hitting $3,500, indicating that the selling pressure is large and the overbought state needs to be corrected in the short term.
But the long-term moving average (such as the 200-day moving average) is still in a bullish arrangement, and the bull market structure has not been broken.
4-hour/1-hour level:
3380 becomes a short-term resistance level. If it cannot break through, it may fall to the 3260-3245 support area.
Operation suggestions:
1: Pay attention to the pressure level near 3380 today. The price of gold rebounded and rose. If the rise is blocked, it depends on the pressure level here.
If it can successfully break through 3380, the price of gold will still be bullish after the correction.
Strategy: Go long at a low price
2: Pay attention to the 3320 support level today. The support level of today's oscillation range depends on this.
If the support level near 3320 is stable, the bottom of the long position in the future is here.
Summary:
Key pressure level: 3360-3380
Key support level: 3300-3320
It is expected that there may be a few days of wide fluctuations in the next few days.
Considering that the next rise will not be as smooth as before.
Considering the next strategy, both longs and shorts have certain opportunities.
If we only do long orders, try to enter the market at the pullback support level. If you like to do short orders, then good luck.
Gold Today's Technical Outlook - BullishAfter two days of selling pressure, we may start to see renewed buying interest in gold today. On the 1-hour and 2-hour charts, a Head & Shoulders pattern had formed and was broken to the downside, with a successful retest confirming the breakdown. However, despite this bearish setup, gold managed to hold above the key support zone of 3305–3306, indicating that buyers are still active and defending this level.
This price action suggests that the downside momentum is weakening and a potential bullish move could unfold today.
Buy Side Scenario: If the support at 3305–3306 continues to hold, we could see upward movement toward the following target levels:
Target 1: 3380
Target 2: 3400
Target 3: 3435
Traders should monitor price action closely for confirmation before entering positions.
Gold fluctuates in a wide range, and the short-term trend is upwGold fell by $240 in two trading days, but the rebound was also very fierce, from yesterday's low of 3260 to 3367 in the early trading. The current volatility is still very large. The high and low points of $100 often appear, and it is normal to fluctuate by dozens of dollars. So pay attention to the market. There is no shortage of opportunities. Just grab what you can grasp.
The daily cycle has stepped back to the MA10 position. It has entered a critical stage. If the bulls recover, the strong rhythm is still there. It is too early to say that the peak has been reached. Pay attention to follow the market and don't be stubborn. The short-term resistance is 3386 and the 618 position of the decline and rebound is 3408. It is recommended to wait and see in the European session and look at the trend. Intervene in the US session.
XAUUSD- 1H UpdateChart Description – XAUUSD 1H (Gold Spot vs. USD)
This is a multi-scenario Smart Money Concept (SMC)-based projection chart for Gold (XAUUSD), focusing on potential bullish retracements and major bearish continuations, incorporating Buy Zones, Sell Zones, and Change of Character (CHOCH) areas.
🔍 Key Components:
🟣 Sell Zones
Two sell zones are identified, with the highest near the All-Time High (ATH) around the $3,500 mark.
These are areas of expected bearish reaction if price retraces upward after a low.
🟢 Buy Zones
Located between $3,200 – $3,160 and another deeper one near $2,960, where potential bullish reactions may occur.
🔵 CHOCH - 4H
Marked in red around $3,260 area, indicating a 4-hour Change of Character, suggesting a potential shift from bullish to bearish sentiment.
🔸 Key Price Levels
$3,120: Historical support/resistance.
$2,956.20: Major swing low and key demand zone.
📊 Projected Market Path (Colored Waves)
🔹 Blue Path (Bullish Retracement Scenario)
Price is expected to retrace into a sell zone around $3,400–$3,460 after testing the current demand.
From there, a major sell-off is anticipated.
🔷 Cyan Path (Bearish Continuation)
Following the retracement, the market is projected to break below the recent low and head toward lower buy zones, potentially near the $3,120 and $2,960 regions.
Shows lower-high and lower-low formation, consistent with a bearish trend.
🧠 Market Sentiment
This chart suggests a bearish outlook for Gold unless a structural shift invalidates the CHOCH zone and supply levels. The chart highlights the importance of:
Waiting for confirmation in the supply zones before shorting.
Considering buy opportunities only in valid buy zones with bullish reaction confirmation.
Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – All-Time High & Path Toward 3500
Gold has just reached a new all-time high, and we’re currently seeing a healthy retracement, likely driven by liquidity collection. This move is part of a broader bullish structure, with market sentiment remaining strong.
We’ve identified solid support around the 3269.26 level, which has held well, offering a potential launch point for the next leg up. Our medium-term target is the 3500 resistance area. While price may not reach this level immediately, the current structure suggests a steady climb over the coming days.
Positive macroeconomic news continues to support the bullish outlook, and long-term sentiment is increasingly pointing toward the 4000 level as the next major milestone.
Stay patient, trade smart.
Gold – Watching Key Resistance for Intraday Sell Plays📌 Gold Surges $80 off Support – Watching Key Resistance for Intraday Sell Plays 📉📈
Gold (XAU/USD) bounced sharply today — surging over 80 points from the support zone near $3,260, swept during the late U.S. session. This strong rebound came as buyers stepped in aggressively after a 250+ point crash earlier in the week.
Now, the market is pulling back from the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement zone, showing early signs of sell-side reaction. If this momentum continues, Asian and London sessions could push price lower to fill liquidity in the untested FVG region near 3,288.
🔁 Intraday Structure & Key Zones
After sweeping both sides of the range (80 up / 40 down), gold is now consolidating between 3,328 – 3,320. With intraday volatility ranging from 80–100 points, today’s focus will be on high-probability reaction zones.
🔴 SELL Bias for Today
Primary Resistance: 3,376 – 3,378
→ This zone is expected to act as the first defense for sellers.
If broken, watch the final resistance at 3,410 — a key structural level.
→ A clean breakout above 3,410 may invalidate the sell setup and shift the bias back to BUY.
🔍 News to Watch
⚠️ Unemployment Claims (U.S.) will be released during the New York session.
→ Given current market sensitivity, expect volatility to spike around this release.
🧭 Today’s Trading Zones
🟢 BUY ZONE
Entry: 3,230 – 3,228
SL: 3,224
TP Targets: 3,234 → 3,238 → 3,242 → 3,246 → 3,250 → 3,254 → 3,260
🔻 SELL ZONE #1
Entry: 3,376 – 3,378
SL: 3,382
TP Targets: 3,372 → 3,368 → 3,364 → 3,360 → 3,355 → 3,350
🔻 SELL ZONE #2
Entry: 3,408 – 3,410
SL: 3,414
TP Targets: 3,402 → 3,398 → 3,394 → 3,390 → 3,386 → 3,382 → 3,375 → 3,370
🛡️ Risk Management Note
The market remains extremely volatile and headline-driven. Stick to your trading plan and always respect TP/SL levels to protect your capital — especially during high-impact news releases.
💬 Are you planning to sell into resistance or wait for a deeper pullback to buy? Share your setups and ideas below! 👇👇👇
Gold Analysis – What’s Next?
Right now, Wave 5 looks stretched, and the price action inside it feels a bit off. Makes me wonder—what if this whole move is actually still part of Wave 3?
Take a look at the proportions: we’ve hit exactly 361% of Wave 1 . That’s a classic spot for a pullback.
Also, the weekly chart is flashing a Shooting Star —a possible reversal signal.
** What does this mean?**
- If this is the start of **Wave 4**, we could see a dip toward **3101, 2854, 2654, or even 2454**.
- But if price bounces hard from one of these levels and starts a fresh five-wave rally, then this whole move was likely just **Wave 3**, and we’re gearing up for another leg higher.
**Bottom line?** Watch how the next bounce plays out—that’ll tell us whether this is a deeper correction or just a pit stop before new highs.
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Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H TimeframeTools Used: Volume Profile, Gann Levels, Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 3,390.67
Value Area Low (VAL): 3,277.14
Point of Control (POC): 3,309.96
High-volume nodes: Prominent between 3,300–3,340 zone, where price consolidated and re-accumulated.
Low-volume gaps: Seen between 3,365–3,385 and under 3,277, ideal for fast moves if broken.
b) Liquidity Zones:
Stops Likely Clustered:
Above 3,390 (last high).
Below 3,277 (recent low and VAL).
Absorption Zones (based on delta volume):
Notable order absorption around POC (3,309.96) – heavy trade activity and hold in down move.
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
High-volume swing low: 3,277.07 – price bounced with demand pick-up.
High-volume swing high: 3,427.04 – volume faded after breakout, leading to rejection.
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Currently uptrend forming, CVD rising slightly with bullish structure.
ADX Strength:
ADX ~22 and DI+ > DI-: Confirms beginning of a potential uptrend.
CVD Confirmation:
Rising CVD + bullish candles: Demand increasing, especially around POC reclaim.
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
VAL: 3,277.14
POC: 3,309.96
Swing low: 3,277.07
Resistance:
VAH: 3,390.67
Recent rejection zone: 3,342–3,350
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Confirmed Gann High: 3,427.04
Confirmed Gann Low: 3,277.07
Key Retracement Levels:
1/3 retrace: ~3,335
1/2 retrace: ~3,352
2/3 retrace: ~3,370
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Bullish, supported by ADX > 20 and rising CVD confirming new leg up.
b) Notable Patterns:
Falling wedge breakout confirmed from 3,277 support.
Channel projection points to potential continuation toward 3,370–3,390.
POC retest success showing strong reaccumulation.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (If CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: 3,310–3,320
Targets:
T1: 3,350
T2: 3,390
Stop-Loss: Below 3,277
RR: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry (If trend invalidates):
Entry Zone: 3,390–3,400 (retest rejection)
Target:
T1: 3,310
Stop-Loss: Above 3,427
RR: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Risk only 1–2% of total capital per trade.
15-Min Chart in the Hot Seat!After analyzing the 15-minute chart, price action is currently squeezed between a strong resistance level above and an ascending trendline below. A rejection from resistance followed by a trendline breakdown may trigger a move toward the target marked on the chart.
Remember: Stop loss doesn’t eat your money — it guards your capital like a loyal bodyguard.
Happy Trading,
SpicyPips
XAUUSD Hi ,
The Market Concept is clear today , as we can see the falling wedge pattern on the chart marked WHITE which indicates high chances of a rising market.
We cannot yet confirm ENTRY however those with a good or moderate trading volume can have their entries.
However the volatility is still moderate so we should not expect instant Blues (profits) going up, our confirmation zone in this case is marked at $ 3367 for a shoot up higher and just incase we break $ 3260 then we should expect a slight fall and afterwards analyze the market higher.
REMEMBER in this sense ,BULLS have marked a point so far while the BEARS are still hanging, overall market move is the bullish this marks the second market.
Will be back with updates after a while