XAUUSD 05-29-25 Set 1Gold is attempting a recovery after sweeping recent lows, now trading near the Value Area Low (VAL) and rebounding off a Recent Broken Resistance zone. The structure still favors the bears unless key zones are flipped.
🔎 Scenario Map:
Bull Trap Possibility: Price may rally into the POC/Value Area High (VAH) around 3295–3314, tagging PDH.
Sell Setup Ideal Zone: If price reacts and rejects near 3310–3325 supply, watch for reversal signals.
Continuation Confirmation: A clean break below 3280 and retest will target PDL and 3245, resuming bearish flow.
📌 Key Levels:
– PDH: 3325
– POC/POI: 3295–3314
– PDL: 3245
– Bullish invalidation: Break and hold above 3325
– Bearish confirmation: Breakdown below 3280
⚠️ Volume Profile Bias:
Heavy interest near 3290s – possible inducement before sell-off. If liquidity is engineered there, reversal is more likely than a breakout.
💬 Faith Driven Outlook:
We’re still not convinced this rally is sustainable. If NY session fails to push through the imbalance zone, prepare for continuation lower.
Futures market
GOLD - SELLING FROM PULLBACKPrice has shown a reaction from the low around 3,245 and is now approaching a strong confluence zone around the DAILY FLIP, which acted as prior support AND now resistance. This zone coincides with the upper boundary of the descending channel.
Bias: Bearish, unless price breaks above 3,305 with strong momentum and closes outside the descending channel.
TRADE IDEA:
SELL from 3,295–3,300 (wait for bearish confirmation)
once activated, I will update SL and TP
Let me know what your opinion.
XAUUSD BUY SUPPORT AND RESISTACE BASE Chart Analysis Summary
🔷 Structure:
Bullish flag formation followed by a correction.
Price is bouncing from a key support zone (~$3,323–$3,330).
Forming a potential double bottom / minor accumulation at support.
Upside target aligned with previous highs near $3,380+.
Gold (XAU/USD) Buy Signal:
Buy near $3,330–$3,335, SL $3,322, TP $3,380+.
Structure: Support bounce + bullish setup.
Bias: Strong Buy unless $3,322 breaks.
📌 Final Note:
This is a high-probability long setup with well-defined invalidation. Avoid chasing if price breaks below $3,322, as it would invalidate the bullish structure.
XAU/USD 4H – Rising Wedge Breakdown Targeting Key Demand Zone🔻 XAU/USD 4H – Rising Wedge Breakdown Targeting Key Demand Zone
Gold (XAU/USD) has broken down from a rising wedge formation after rejecting the $3,285 resistance level. This bearish breakdown comes with declining momentum on the Squeeze histogram and price falling back below the value area.
📉 Entry: $3,285.15
🎯 Target: $3,122.56
🛑 Stop-Loss: $3,331.44
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.54
📌 Technical Confluences:
Rising wedge breakdown with confirmed close below trendline
Price re-entered low-volume area (thin support zone)
Squeeze histogram shifting from green to red – bearish momentum building
Target aligns with the demand area and prior support at $3,120–$3,125
GOLD POSSIBLE DROPGood day traders, it's been a while since I shared my analysis but here's my take on GOLD
There's a high chance Gold will drop as we can see bears are already in control of the trend (Downtrend confirmed), I won't go into much details but this is the possible move that might occur, be ready for anything
Gold Price Forecast – Bullish Reversal from Support Zone.This 2-hour chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) displays a technical analysis setup with key support and resistance zones. The price recently bounced from a significant green support zone near $3,260, suggesting bullish momentum. The projected blue zigzag arrow illustrates a potential upward price movement towards the $3,340 resistance area, indicating a bullish reversal scenario. Volume bars at the bottom highlight recent buying interest. If the price sustains above the immediate resistance (~$3,280), it may continue to rise, targeting successive resistance levels around $3,320 and $3,340.
Gold continues to be under pressure in the short term
Market review
Spot gold fell rapidly at the opening, continuing the recent weak and volatile pattern. The Fed's policy expectations and geopolitical risks form a long-short tug-of-war, and the short-term technical side of the gold price shows obvious bearish signals.
Fundamental analysis
Monetary policy suppression: The minutes of the Fed's May meeting reiterated that interest rates would remain stable, and officials were not confident that inflation would fall, suggesting that the timing of the rate cut may be delayed. The US dollar index rebounded above 99.6 with support, raising the cost of gold pricing.
Safe-haven support remains: The uncertainty of the situation in the Middle East (Israel-Iran relations) and the continued demand for gold purchases by global central banks limit the downward space of gold prices, but fail to reverse the current decline.
Technical analysis (1 hour level)
Trend structure: The Bollinger Bands open downward, the gold price runs along the lower track, the moving average system (5/10/20 cycles) is in a short position, and the MACD is below the zero axis. The volume is large, and the short-term weak pattern is established.
Key position: 3290 above is the watershed between long and short positions. If the rebound fails to break through, the downward channel will continue; the support below focuses on the 3240-3230 area, and a break may trigger an accelerated bottoming out.
Operation logic: Mainly high-altitude, enter short positions after rebounding to the resistance area under pressure.
Intraday trading strategy
Short position layout: short in the 3285-3290 area, stop loss 3298, target 3275-3265 (hold to 3240 after breaking).
Long position caution: If the 3230-3240 support area is touched for the first time, a light position can be tried, stop loss 3222, target 3250.
Risk warning
Pay attention to the US GDP and PCE data in the evening. If the inflation index exceeds expectations or strengthens hawkish expectations, gold prices may be further under pressure.
GOLD (XAUUSD) Full Analysis – MMC Strategy in Action + Target🧠 What is Mirror Market Concepts (MMC)?
MMC is a psychological and technical framework that interprets market movements as mirrors of past behaviors, often using curves, rays, and emotional imprints to forecast price flow. It assumes that price reacts not just to levels but to memory zones left by institutional actions.
🧭 Chart Overview and Interpretation
1. Black Mind Curve Resistance:
The black curved line represents a dynamic resistance zone where the market previously showed sensitivity.
It aligns with psychological levels where institutional interest faded, marking a high-probability rejection point.
Note the smooth arc — MMC suggests such curves reflect subconscious market resistance.
2. Blue Ray – Institutional Reaction Line:
The blue ray points to a previous impulsive reaction zone near 3,320, marking an emotional high.
Price sharply rejected this area again, creating a mirror rejection.
This symmetry is key in MMC — the present move is reflecting the structure of the past.
3. SR Interchange Zone (Support-turned-Resistance):
Around the 3,290 level, price previously bounced from this zone (demand), but it has now flipped to act as resistance.
This SR Interchange is significant in MMC as it represents a "mental switch" — demand has turned into fear-based supply.
4. Break of Market Structure + Retest:
A clean break below the short-term bullish trendline followed by a rejection retest confirms the shift in structure.
This breakdown confirms bears are in control for now.
The recent candles show clear rejection wicks from the retest zone.
🎯 Trade Plan (Bearish Setup)
Entry Zone:
🔹 Enter between 3,275 – 3,285, where price is rejecting the SR flip and mind curve.
Target Zone:
🎯 First TP: 3,250 (MMC Support Zone – highlighted in purple below)
🛑 Optional Second TP: 3,240 if momentum continues post-news event.
Stop Loss:
🔺 Above 3,300 to allow space for false spikes, just beyond the curve rejection zone.
📉 Why This Setup Works (Psychological Flow)
The current price action is mirroring the left side of the chart — the same way price impulsively rose from a zone, it's now impulsively falling back into it.
The rejection from the Black Curve and Blue Ray are not just technical — they are emotional resistance zones, meaning institutions remember the reaction.
This creates internal balance that MMC traders look to exploit, riding the memory of the market.
🔔 Risk Factors & Considerations
Watch for the USD-related news event on the calendar (noted on chart). If high-impact, it can cause volatility and short-term spikes.
If price breaks and holds above 3,300, the bearish idea becomes invalid — don’t fight the market.
🧵 MMC Concepts Highlighted in This Chart
Black Mind Curve Zone – Dynamic psychological resistance
Blue Ray – Emotional ray from institutional rejection
SR Interchange – Support becomes resistance
Mirror Symmetry – Price behavior is reflecting the past
Emotional Imprint Zones – Past reactions leave future footprints
🗨️ Community Call-to-Action (CTA)
💬 What’s your view on GOLD today? Are you using Mirror Market Concepts in your trading?
Drop your thoughts, charts, or alternate views below — let’s build solid MMC case studies together!
US court blocks Trump tax plan, GOLD falls sharplyOANDA:XAUUSD was sold off heavily in early morning trading on Thursday (May 29), with the price of gold falling to around $3,246/ounce, down more than $40 on the day.
Bloomberg reported that gold prices fell for the fourth consecutive day as the market digested news that a US trade court had blocked Trump's global tariff program. Gold prices fell 2% in the previous three trading days.
On Wednesday local time, a US federal court blocked the tariff policy announced by US President Trump on April 2, "Liberation Day", and ruled that Trump exceeded his authority and imposed comprehensive tariffs on countries that export more to the United States than they import.
The Court of International Trade in Manhattan said the US Constitution gives Congress the exclusive power to regulate trade with other countries, and the emergency powers the president declared to protect the US economy do not override those powers.
The lawsuit was filed by the Liberty Center for Justice, a non-profit, nonpartisan litigation organization in the United States, on behalf of small American businesses affected by the tariffs. It is the first major legal challenge to Trump’s tariff policies.
The U.S. Court of International Trade has ruled that most of Trump’s tariffs are illegal, sending the dollar even higher. A stronger dollar makes gold less attractive to buyers of safe-haven assets.
The Trump administration has filed a notice to appeal the ruling. The US Supreme Court is likely to have the final say in the landmark case, which could affect trillions of dollars in global trade.
The court's ruling dealt a blow to a pillar of the Republican Party's economic agenda and could reduce gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold will recover soon after falling to the important support level of 3,250 USD, note that you have read in the previous issues. However, falling below the Fibonacci 0.382% level with EMA21 is a negative signal for bullish expectations as this area becomes the nearest resistance.
But overall, gold is still in an uptrend with the channel as the main trend. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching the nearest support at 50, an upward bend from this level would be considered a positive signal in terms of momentum.
As long as gold remains in/above the channel, I remain bullish and the notable positions are listed below.
Support: 3,250 – 3,228 USD
Resistance: 3,392 – 3,300 – 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3292 - 3290⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3296
→Take Profit 1 3284
↨
→Take Profit 2 3278
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3203 - 3205⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3199
→Take Profit 1 3211
↨
→Take Profit 2 3217
GOLD H1 Intraday Chart Update For 29 May 2025As you can see that there are some strong zones mentioned in chart
Intraday Trend remains down because market sustains below 3300 Psychological level
once market will break 3300 psychological level successfully then move towards 3335
Scalping Range is 3250-3280
if Market breaks 3250 level it will move towards 3200
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
Skeptic | Gold (XAU/USD): Breakout Triggers Set to Pop?Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s fire up this Thursday morning with a fresh Gold (XAU/USD) analysis! 😊 We’re diving into the Daily Timeframe to spot the trend, then zooming into the 4-Hour Timeframe for juicy long and short triggers. Stay with me—let’s get to it! 📊
Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
Gold’s been on a tear, climbing to a high of 3416.19 (it went higher, but I’m using the candle close for faster triggers when we hit those levels :)). Now, we’re in a correction phase, forming a downward channel . This correction has been solid, dropping to the 0.5% Fibonacci retracement. What’s cool about this channel is how cleanly it’s reacting to the ceiling, floor, and midline, making it super valid for us. A break of either the ceiling or floor could give us some killer triggers. But since we’re in a correction, it’s smart to dial back risk on all positions. Lowering risk can mean taking profits quicker, shrinking position sizes, tighter stop losses, or a mix of these to keep your account safe.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
Now, let’s get to the 4-hour chart for our long and short triggers.
📈 For longs, we’ve got two setups. The first is a bit risky since we haven’t confirmed the downward channel breakout yet—it’s a preemptive move. You can go long after breaking the resistance at 3366.71 . Our main long trigger, though, is a break above 3416.19 , which also cracks the channel’s ceiling and sets us up for new all-time highs. If you catch this one, don’t rush to take profits too fast—let it run!
📉 For shorts, a break below support at 3249.68 opens the door, with RSI hitting oversold as a solid confirmation. But since this goes against the major uptrend, it’s risky—take profits early and keep position sizes small to stay safe. :)
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to dive into next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll tackle it. Thanks for joining me—see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
Gold shocks extreme pull, US market layout🗞News side:
1. Musk issued the "strongest" condemnation of Trump
2. Trump and Netanyahu failed to reach an agreement, and the US-Iran negotiations may be "disrupted" by Israel
📈Technical aspects:
The trading strategy we have given is still valid. The current gold price trend on the hourly chart shows a standard descending flag pattern. If this pattern continues to be effective, there is a high possibility that the gold price will fall below 3285-3280. Once it falls below this range, as we gave in the strategy this morning, it may fall to the 3260-3250 line. However, the premise for this expectation to be established is that the gold price cannot break through and stabilize on the upper track of the consolidation channel, otherwise the descending flag pattern will be invalid. Therefore, for US market operations, short positions can be arranged around the upper rail of 3325, paying attention to the suppression effect; for the lower rail, first pay attention to the support effect of 3300.
sell 3325-3330
TP 3310-3300
buy 3290-3280
TP 3310-3320
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Brent Oil Breakout Heist – Bullish Robbery in Progress!🕶️ Brent Oil Job in Motion – Market Robbery Blueprint by The Chart Bandits 💼💸
What’s up, gang? 👋 Hola, Ola, Bonjour, Hallo, Marhaba! 🌍
Calling all market robbers, trend thieves, and slick profit snatchers! 🤑💰💥
We’ve got eyes on the UK Oil Spot / Brent Energy Market – and this time, it’s a clean breakout job. According to our Thief Trading Code (yeah, that’s the street manual we use), the setup’s lit and the vault’s wide open. Here’s the drill:
📈 Entry Plan – The Break-In Point:
The score begins above MA level 65.400. When that line cracks, it’s time to move.
You can either:
🔹 Set buy stop orders just above the breakout zone
🔹 Or wait for a pullback to a 15m or 30m swing low/high and enter with style
🚨 Pro tip: Set your alerts. Real thieves don’t sleep on breakouts.
🛑 Stop Loss – Safety First, Bandits:
Let the breakout breathe. Don’t slam the SL too early.
Once it confirms, tuck your SL near the 4H swing low – around 64.000.
Lot size, risk appetite, number of positions – all play into where you hide your exit door.
Just don’t blame the crew if you jump in blind. ⚠️
🎯 Take Profit – The Escape Route:
Target set at 70.000 – hit it, grab the bags, and disappear before the bears sniff us out. 🏃♂️💨
📊 Why This Heist Works:
The market’s lookin’ bullish – real heat from fundamentals like:
Macro setups
COT positioning
Intermarket analysis
Sentiment vibes
Storage & inventory updates
🔍 Want the full blueprint? Fundamentals, charts, deep dives – check my profille for the linkss 🔗👀
⚠️ Heads-Up – News Drops Can Wreck the Getaway:
Don’t enter during high-impact news
Protect profits with a trailing SL
Always expect the unexpected, robbers 🚧📉
💥 Smash the Boost Button if you’re part of the Thief Crew!
We’re not just trading – we’re executing blueprints and stealing clean gains.
Stay tuned for the next setup. You know what time it is...
🕶️ Trade smart, loot fast, vanish smooth. 🐱👤💸🚀
[20250526] Gold - True Bull or Liquidity Trap This Week?Key Dynamic Levels Guide: Previous Grey/Black, Green/Magenta, and Red/Blue dynamic levels mark important zones where Smart Money (SM) has positioned itself. These levels are crucial liquidity pools, as support and resistance (S/R) frequently revisit these zones. Check their values by hovering your mouse for guidance before proceeding.
4H key-level confluence can be refer in published Idea titled: Gold – Structural Bull Bias - One Leg Down Still Anticipated? refer the related post --->
📊 Weekly Market Intent – Gold Analysis
Gold has recently tested the 3360+ zone, showing renewed bullish momentum. However, system-based structure mapping suggests that this move might still be part of a broader setup—rather than a confirmed breakout.
📌 Market Structure & Key Levels
A possible ABCDE triangle structure remains in play, where price is either concluding Wave-C or initiating Wave-D. If this formation holds, a pullback toward 3044–2950 could materialize before Wave-E completes and resumes the larger bullish trend.
The market also aligns with a potential 3-Drive bearish trap, where recent highs attract late buyers before deeper liquidity moves unfold.
🔹 Key Dynamic Levels (4H Confluence):
Bull VAH (Grey Line): 3317.52 – Key retracement level in a bullish environment.
Bull POC (Light Green): 3313.55 – Defines bullish sentiment zone.
Blue Line (Bull Bias Limit): 3254.26 – A breach would indicate deeper pullback risk.
Red Line (Bear Bias Limit): 3369.81 – A decisive break suggests bullish continuation.
Liquidity Levels: 3401.21 (upper target) | 3212.57 (lower target).
🧐 Market Sentiment & Next Move
Current sentiment indicates bullish bias with bear presence, as the market attempts lower support levels before a bullish continuation.
Bullish Continuation: Price moving past 3366 could signal a breakout, with unconfirmed top resistance levels remaining untested before further upside.
Bearish Presence: Below 3313.55, sell-side pressure could intensify. Below the bull bias limit (3254.26), deeper downside traction suggests a short-cycle bearish move until a rebound occurs above the newly formed dynamic bear bias limit.
🧠 Reversal / Invalidation Conditions
Bullish Strength Holds: Trading above 3253.57, with unsuccessful bear attempts, suggests bullish sentiment remains intact.
Bearish Shift: A failed support at 3290 and successful retest reinforce downside pressure. Momentum and volume remain key for validating the shift.
📌 System-Based Order Limits
Daily Order Limits
Buy: 3350.95 | SL: 3281.20 | TP: 3399.82
Sell: 3302.39 | SL: 3372.14 | TP: 3253.52
Weekly Order Limits
Buy: 3335.02 | SL: 3192.49 | TP: 3434.89
Sell: 3235.80 | SL: 3378.33 | TP: 3135.93
Monthly Order Limits
Buy: 3374.47 | SL: 3097.33 | TP: 3568.65
Sell: 3181.54 | SL: 3458.68 | TP: 2987.36
📌 Final Insight
Market intent unfolds dynamically, and structure-driven decision-making ensures anticipation zones remain valuable references.
📢 Gawai Festival Notice: As I’ll be away for the season’s harvest festival, I may not provide further updates on next shifts. However, this weekly confluence bias should guide traders in navigating market ranges effectively.
Stay disciplined, wait for liquidity validation, and let Smart Money footprints lead the way.
Wishing all traders a profitable week ahead! See you next week. 🚀
Gold ABC Pattern Suggest Powerful BreakoutGOLD ANALYSIS 🟡 | Bullish Setup Building
Price is retracing after completing a corrective wave structure (A–B–C) under major descending trendline resistance. We're now sitting just above the 200 EMA and entering key demand zones aligned with ascending trendline support.
🔹 Confluences:
Trendline support + demand zone
200 EMA holding as dynamic support
Corrective structure complete (Wave C)
Higher timeframe bullish structure intact
📌 Buy Zones: $3,220 – $3,180
🎯 Target: Retest of $3,434
🛑 Invalidation: Clean break below $3,160
Price is setting up for a potential bullish continuation — watching for bullish confirmation from these demand zones. Patience is key.
XAG/USD finds support as buyers build momentum.Silver price (XAG/USD) halts its losing streak, trading around $33.20 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Thursday.
There is a good chance silver could retest the immediate support at the twenty-day EMA of $32.87. A push below this level could weaken the short and medium-term price momentum to the downside and put downward pressure on the grey metal around the lower boundary at $31.80.
On the upside, the XAG/USD pair could explore the region around the rectangle’s upper boundary at $33.70, aligned with the seven-week high at $33.71, reached on May 25. A break above this crucial resistance zone could cause the influx of the bullish bias and lead the silver price to approach the seven-month high of $34.60, last seen on March 28.
HSI target - moving towards 28,000 then 30,000 Please refer to my bold prediction last year. Since then, it has risen about 14% thus far, still relatively a long way towards 30,000 mark.
Recently, on 16th May, Mixue Group, one of the largest bubble tea chained stores in China has been incorporated into the HSI components. I believe down the road, we will witness more of such high growth companies being added and thus uplift the HSI further towards my goal of 30,000.
Of course, one needs to be patient and can't expect the chart to move in a linear fashion but one with ups and downs. Some good news to share - The US court has blocked Trump's tariffs for causing too much business inconvenience and losses. We will see how it turns out in 10 days time. If the law is passed, we could see further upside for the HK and China market as China is one of the worst victim in this tariff wars.
Also, with the US dollars being sold out, bonds yield spiking up near 5% and Fed's reluctance to lower interest rates, tariffs negotiations going nowhere, where would investors be shifting their funds to? Japan, China, Singapore and even Europe would be some of the beneficiaries. On a valuation term, China/Hong Kong remains one of the cheapest country to invest in.
Plus, all the negative news that one could think of are all factored in - depressed housing market, unemployment, deflationary environment, tariffs war with US, etc. The government continues to unleash stimulus to help prop up the market, maybe not as big as some analysts expect but their action points to the right path.
If US decides to pull out the China listed companies in US, then we can see more funds being channeled into the HSI as these companies will list their companies in Hong Kong.
I am vested in HK/China for a long while so my views are biased , so please DYODD