Get started

Futures market

Is time to be a Gold Bull?Gold has been steadily repricing lower prices since June 16th after it took out May 16th's High. On Friday, June 27th, Gold moved into the Daily BISI (+FVG) zone and retraced upside. We may see another lower prices to purge the sellside liquidity before reverse upside for the short term. I don't expect another ATH next month, unless we have the right catalyst to do so. I'd anticipate for the price action to remain inside a large consolidation within the current Dealing Range as indicated in the chart. My Bullish case will be if price breaks above the 3500 convincingly, and the Bearish case if it breaks below 3120 convincingly also. In the meantime, we'll have to be satisfied playing tic tac toe inside the range. Don't get married to a strict bias at this time. Stay nimble, and let the price presents itself to you.
COMEX:GC1!
by Martingale_FX
GOLD 4H: structure broken - phase reversal beginsTwo key directional signals were recorded on the gold chart: first, a breakdown of the ascending channel, followed by a confident downward exit from the triangle with a clear fixation under the $3297 boundary. Both figures worked independently, but consistently - and strengthened the impulse towards selling. The price has already gone beyond the lower boundary of the triangle ($3297), confirming the bearish scenario. Candlesticks closing under the level and local consolidation from below is a characteristic formation before the momentum continues. Technical parameters: - Channel breakout: completed - Triangle breakout: $3297 level - Retest from below: expected as confirmation - EMAs reversed downwards, structure broken - Volumes strengthened at the moment of breakout Tactical plan: - Sell after retest of $3297 - Targets on the move: $3248 and $3201 - Stop: above $3305 (above the area of false outs). The current structure indicates the end of the accumulation phase and the beginning of the downward momentum. As long as the price holds below $3297 - shorts are the priority.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TotoshkaTrades
"Pricing Perfection: The Thin Ice Beneath Record Highs"As markets push to all-time highs, the rally feels less like euphoria and more like walking a tightrope. What happens when the market prices in perfection The S&P 500 is sitting at all-time highs, not because the world is perfect — but because the market is betting that it will be. This rally is no longer driven by surprises or revisions — it’s driven by expectations that everything will go right: inflation will cool, rates will drop, earnings will beat, AI will deliver, and geopolitical tensions will stay neatly compartmentalized. In reality, we are walking on thin ice. Beneath the surface lies fragile market breadth, decelerating economic data, and a Fed that continues to speak hawkishly even as liquidity props things up. Any minor deviation from this “Goldilocks” scenario — a hot CPI, a guidance miss from a mega-cap, or a geopolitical headline — has the power to trigger sharp repricing. When the market prices in perfection, it doesn’t need a bear to show up. It just needs something less than ideal. At these levels, risk becomes asymmetric — all reward is front-loaded, but the pain, if it comes, is unpriced and sudden. The current equity landscape isn’t just optimistic — it’s priced for flawless execution across earnings, rates, geopolitics, and liquidity. That leaves asymmetric downside risk if even a minor narrative breaks. Trump has become know for creating larger than minor narratives... ;)
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by nsearra
XAUUSD – Smart Money Flow & Weekly OutlookGold reacted precisely at the key OB zone near 3270. Following a clear Break of Structure (BOS) on the H4, Smart Money may be redistributing positions. 🔍 Main scenario: Price is expected to retrace to the 3349–3360 OB zone, where strong sell-side reactions may occur. If that fails, the next likely move is a drop toward the high-liquidity demand zone at 3215, where buyers could re-enter. 📰 Key macro drivers: Final GDP and PCE data show slight economic cooling in the US, reinforcing expectations that the Fed will maintain higher-for-longer rates. Trump’s recent comments stir political uncertainty, increasing safe-haven demand for gold. 🎯 Strategy: Look for confirmed short setups near 3349–3360. Consider longs at 3215 if strong bullish reaction forms.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EliseLunaTraders
1
Gold 4H-figment of my imagination. Chart Overview: Timeframe: 4H (MCX) Current Price: ₹95,524 Volume: 1.6K Trend: Short-term bearish 📉 Observations: 1. Break of Support Zones: Multiple support zones have been drawn on the chart: Around ₹96,200, ₹94,700, ₹91,800, and finally near ₹86,600–82,200. Price is now trading below the ₹96,200 support, showing clear weakness. 2. Structure: This looks like a lower high – lower low formation. Recent price action has broken previous swing lows, indicating bearish momentum continuation. 3. Next Key Supports: ₹94,700 – could act as the next immediate support (minor bounce possible) ₹91,800 – stronger historical zone ₹86,600 to ₹82,200 – major demand zone (strong support last seen in April) 4. Volume Analysis: Volume hasn’t spiked significantly on the recent fall, suggesting no panic yet, but also lack of buying interest. 📌 Conclusion: The trend is weak and corrective, favoring sell on rise until price reclaims ₹96,200 convincingly. Safe buy zone: Near ₹91,800–₹86,600, if price shows reversal signals. Watch out: If ₹91,800 breaks, ₹86,600 or even ₹82,200 could be tested.
MCX:GOLD1!
by Pushpmegh
Market next move Disruption (Bearish Scenario): 1. False Breakout Risk: The price has recently tested the lower support range (red boxes) several times without strong follow-through. This could suggest weak buying momentum. 2. Volume Spike Trap: The large volume spike on the wick down may represent stop-loss hunting or a liquidity grab rather than true accumulation. If it were strong accumulation, we would expect a more sustained bounce. 3. Resistance Zone Ahead: The price is nearing resistance around $3,275–$3,280, where previous breakdowns started. If it fails to break above this zone decisively, a rejection and continued downtrend is possible. 4. Lower High Formation: The most recent price action could form a lower high, suggesting a continuation of the bearish trend instead of a reversal. --- 🔽 Bearish Path (Alternative Projection): Price retests $3,275–$3,280, fails to break out. Drops below the red box support (~$3,260). Heads toward the next support levels around $3,240 or lower. 📉 "Target becomes invalidated if price fails to hold above the red box support zone."
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
XAUUSD H4 Structure – Eyes on 3225 POI for Possible ContinuationXAUUSD has been in a structured 4H pullback, and price is now approaching a key high-timeframe zone around 3225 — marked by prior CHoCH and unmitigated price action. This level has the potential to act as a base for bullish continuation, but I will only act based on lower timeframe structure. The trap for most traders is entering too early just because price hits a level. My approach is different — I wait for the market to tell me when it’s ready. 🔍 The Flow I Follow (As Always): HTF Context – Price is pulling back within a broader bullish range POI Identified – 3225 zone = key area of interest Wait for LTF Shift – I’ll only consider a trade if: - M15 shows CHoCH (shift in internal structure) - Followed by a BOS (momentum confirmation) Then, and only then, I enter. Otherwise, I let it go. 🧠 Why This Matters: This structure-first mindset keeps me out of random trades. I don’t predict — I align. No M15 shift? No BOS? No trade. 📊 Chart Context: The chart attached shows: Previous CHoCH levels Recent BOS confirming internal structure break Cleanly marked POI around 3225 Still no valid LTF shift — so it’s a “watch, not trade” phase 📖 From the Book Philosophy: “The chart is the mirror. It reflects your level of patience, not your level of prediction.” This setup reflects exactly what I teach in my book The Chart Is The Mirror — how to stop reacting to candles and start respecting structure. No signals. No indicators. Just clean alignment of levels and psychology.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChartIsMirror
2
Falling Wedge: The Bullish Pattern Most Traders Miss Falling Wedge: The Bullish Pattern Most Traders Miss A falling wedge is a bullish pattern that forms when price action contracts between two downward-sloping lines. Both highs and lows are getting lower, but the lower trendline declines more slowly. This shows that sellers are losing momentum. There are two types of falling wedges: 🟢In an uptrend, it acts as a continuation pattern. The price pauses and consolidates before breaking out upward again. 🔴In a downtrend, it acts as a reversal pattern, often signaling a bottom before a trend change. Both versions look similar on the chart — a narrowing wedge sloping down. The breakout usually happens to the upside. To trade it 👇 1️⃣Wait for a confirmed breakout above the upper resistance line. 2️⃣Look for strong volume on the breakout to confirm the move. 3️⃣You can enter on the breakout or wait for a retest of the trendline. 4️⃣Place your stop below the recent low. 5️⃣Set a target based on the height of the wedge. Falling wedges work best in strong trends and become more reliable the longer they form ✍️ #FAQ
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by CryptoSkullSignal
SILVER XAGUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS HIGHER TIME FRAME Macro and Geopolitical Drivers: Geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, could drive safe-haven demand for silver, though recent profit-taking amid such tensions indicates mixed trader sentiment. U.S. economic data releases, including consumer sentiment and Federal Reserve commentary, may impact expectations for interest rate cuts, which typically support precious metals. A stronger U.S. dollar or higher Treasury yields could pressure silver prices downward. Supply and Demand Dynamics: Silver’s ongoing supply deficit (projected at 149 million ounces in 2025) and strong industrial demand from solar, electric vehicles, and electronics continue to support a bullish outlook. However, potential tariff impacts from U.S. policy under President Trump could dampen industrial demand, introducing volatility. Weekly Outlook: Silver’s price action may oscillate between $34.176 (support) and $37.47009 (resistance) this week. Bullish momentum from supply deficits and industrial demand could push prices toward the resistance, but overbought signals (e.g., Stochastic Oscillator near 90) and potential short-selling pressure in COMEX futures might lead to consolidation or a pullback to support. Key drivers to watch include U.S. economic data, Fed commentary, and geopolitical developments. Critical Note: The $37.47009 resistance may be tough to breach without significant catalysts, and large short positions could trigger volatility. #silver
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Bearish market near bottom expecting bullish reversal soonWe are currently in a bearish structure until the price breaks above 3300. Until then, we can look for sell opportunities around the key levels of 3281, 3290, and 3300. Downside targets are in the range of 3255 to 3235, which also align with the 1-hour timeframe bullish order blocks. From this higher timeframe bullish order block zone, we may also see a potential bullish reversal. Additionally, a countertrend scalp buy entry is possible around 3264–3267, with upside targets at 3281, 3290, and 3300.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by wkabichandra
Gold – Can It Recover From 3 Week LowsGold is back in focus this morning after it fell to a 3 week low at 3287 in early European trading. Part of the reason for the fall may have been the on-going ceasefire agreement holding between Israel and Iran, which can reduce the need for Gold as a safe haven, or prices may have been influenced by comments from US Commerce Secretary Lutnick made to Bloomberg TV overnight which suggested that the Trump administration have plans to reach agreements with a set of 10 major trading partners ahead of the July 9th pause deadline to reinstate higher tariffs. Of course, these potential Gold negatives need to be balanced against the potential positives of increased optimism in recent days that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates by more than expected into the end of 2025 as the US economy stalls, and the US dollar printing a fresh 3 year low yesterday. Looking forward, the release of the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the PCE Index at 1330 BST later today could hold the key to whether Gold falls below support to even lower levels (see technical section below) or moves back higher again into Friday’s close. Whatever the outcome, its setting up for an interesting end of the week for Gold. Technical Update: With selling pressure developing in Gold again so far this morning, traders might well be searching for next support levels that may be successful in limiting current price declines, or if broken, could in turn lead to a more extended phase of weakness. Much will depend on future price trends and market sentiment, but as the chart above shows, latest price activity is this morning posting new 3-week lows for Gold. This suggests traders might now be focused on 3245, equal to the last correction low in price posted on May 29th as the next possible support level. While not a guarantee of further declines if broken, 3245 closing breaks could lead to further price weakness towards 3120, the May 15th downside extreme. Of course, it is possible this 3245 low does continue to act as support to price weakness and may turn activity higher again. However, if this is to lead to a more sustained period of price strength, resistance might now stand at 3356. Equal to the Bollinger mid-average, closing breaks might be required to suggest possibilities to resume price strength back towards the 3435/3452 May 6th and June 16th price failure highs. The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Pepperstone
Gold (XAU/USD) Bearish Trade Setup – June 27, 2025Entry Point: Around 3,300.98 USD Stop Loss (SL): ~3,312.20 USD Take Profit (TP): 3,229.33 USD Current Price: 3,286.15 USD Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:6.3 (Potential reward ≈ 71.65 pts; risk ≈ 11.22 pts) Technical Breakdown: Trend: The price is in a short-term downtrend, supported by: Lower highs and lower lows. Price trading below both 50 EMA (red) and 200 EMA (blue), confirming bearish momentum. Bearish Breakout: Price broke below a key support-turned-resistance zone near 3,300–3,302, triggering sell pressure. Resistance Area: Strong rejection at 3,302–3,312 zone, which is now acting as resistance. SL is placed just above this zone to protect against false breakouts. Target Zone: TP set at 3,229.33, aligning with a previous support zone — a logical area for price to react. Strategy Notes: Bias: Bearish Entry confirmation: Already triggered. Risk Management: SL placement is tight and strategic; RR ratio is highly favorable. Next support below TP: If 3,229 breaks, further downside could follow. Summary: This setup shows a well-defined bearish continuation with a clean break of support, a controlled SL above resistance, and a strong RR ratio. A suitable trade for trend-following strategies, but price must not retrace above 3,312 for this idea to remain valid.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
26
GOLD 4H: not all that glitters is bullish...The 4H chart shows a clean descending triangle breakdown. Price failed to reclaim the trendline and was rejected under both MA50 and MA200. The bounce into 3325–3340 was absorbed — classic liquidity sweep and fade. Volume confirms bearish control. Technically, the breakdown below 3320 opens the way toward $3293 (1.0 Fibo), $3250 (1.272 extension), and final target at $3195 (1.618), where buyers might step in. RSI supports the continuation without signs of reversal. Structure broke — and the market is telling us where it's heading. Tactical plan: — Entry at market or on a retest of $3325–3335 — Targets: $3293 → $3250 → $3195 — Stop: above $3340 (above MA50 and broken trendline) When gold looks shiny, smart traders look deeper. This breakout isn’t golden — it’s a trap for late bulls.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TotoshkaTrades
XAUUSD Market Roadmap (June 30 – July 4, 2025)XAUUSD Market Roadmap (June 30 – July 4, 2025) Currently, XAUUSD is showing a rejection at the 3261 demand zone, signaling a potential short-term pullback. As long as the price remains above the 3241 demand level, there is a possibility of testing the 3289 supply zone. However, if sellers re-enter from that area, the market may resume its decline toward the next demand target at 3225. Key Levels: Demand (current rejection zone): 3261 Demand (critical support): 3241 Supply (resistance target): 3289 Next downside target: 3225 Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management before making any trading decisions.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by magnettrader_id
XAUUSD - Smart Money Bearish Swing SetupMarket Structure Analysis Break of Structure (BoS) confirms shift from bullish to bearish trend Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) taken out above recent swing high Market Structure Shift (MSS) confirms bearish order flow dominance Entry Zone (Point of Interest) Price broke below major MSS zone, confirming bearish bias Currently reacting to Imbalance Zones (IBM) between 3306 – 3310 Lower IBM zone also acting as a potential retest area Trade Plan Look for bearish confirmation inside IBM zones (e.g., rejection candle, LTF BOS) If confirmed, expecting price to target liquidity at 3248, then 3205 Ideal Stop Loss: above 3306 (IBM invalidation) Key Price Levels Resistance Zones : 3306 – 3310 (IBM) Target 1: 3248 Target 2: 3205 Bias : Bearish until proven otherwise Type : Swing Trade Setup Disclaimer : For educational purposes only. Not financial advice. #XAUUSD #Gold #SMC #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #MarketStructure #LiquidityGrab #SwingTrade #TradingView #Forex
TVC:GOLDShort
by Noah-forex
Gold strategy analysis for next week, hope it helps youThe current gold price stands at $3,273, showing a significant decline from previous levels. Looking back at Friday's trading, the gold market was in a state of "unrelenting decline": during the early Asian session, gold attempted a rebound, edging up to around $3,328, but was quickly met with resistance and pulled back. The downward trend continued into the European session, and with the release of the U.S. May Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index data during the U.S. session, gold prices fell further, hitting a low of around $3,355. Although there was a small rebound in recovery afterward, it eventually closed near $3,274, forming a large阴线 with a long lower shadow on the daily chart. **Factors Influencing the Trend** Market sentiment has reacted strongly to the optimistic agreements reached on trade-related matters, which has significantly boosted risk appetite. Simply put, when people feel the market environment is safe and there are plenty of profit opportunities, they are less willing to park their money in safe-haven assets like gold, thus greatly reducing gold’s appeal as a safe haven. **Technical Analysis** - **Daily Chart**: Gold has broken below the 5-day moving average, and short-term moving averages have formed a "bearish alignment"—it’s like a group of friends who were originally running in the same direction suddenly all turned around and started running downward. - **4-Hour Chart**: The Bollinger Bands have widened, and gold prices are like being pushed by a force, moving steadily downward along the lower band. The previous top-bottom conversion level at around $3,310 is crucial. If gold fails to reclaim this level next week, it will be like losing an important position in a battle, which will intensify short-term selling pressure and make it highly likely that the downward trend continues. **Outlook for Next Week** The market will be bustling next week: - Major central bank governors worldwide will hold a panel discussion, like a gathering of "financial giants" to discuss important matters. Their remarks and consensus may have a significant impact on the market. - The non-farm payroll data, long known as a "heavyweight bomb" in financial markets, will also be released. It reflects the state of the U.S. job market, which is closely linked to the economy and monetary policy, so its release often triggers sharp market fluctuations. - Additionally, talks about whether Powell will resign may continue to ferment next week, stirring up the market. Affected by these major events, gold prices are expected to fluctuate more violently around the lower Bollinger Band at $3,270 per ounce next week, and there is a need to be cautious of a second dip. **Comprehensive Judgment** The gold market faces high uncertainty next week, but the probability of an overall bearish trend is relatively high: - **Upper Resistance**: Pay attention to the $3,310–$3,300 range in the short term, a key boundary between bulls and bears. A breakthrough here could bring a turnaround for gold. - **Lower Support**: Focus on the $3,250 level in the short term. A break below this level may open up further downside space. From the indicator signals: - The MACD double line is running below the zero axis, forming a death cross, and the green energy column is continuing to expand—like a car stepping on the gas, accelerating downward. - The RSI is operating in the oversold region around 39. Although there is a possibility of a short-term bottom, it also faces a pullback correction. However, the bearish momentum currently holds the upper hand. Gold strategy analysis for next week, hope it helps you XAUUSD sell@3290~3280 SL:3310 TP：3370~3350
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by David_Wilson1
1
Finally strong weekly trendline brokeFinally strong weekly trendline broke with the very lotsa uncertainty in the world news. gold has not been healthy in my opinion. however finally we can see what its trying to do. familiar with the last ATH during covid era. gold return and respected ath area of 2070 and return to the key level of support 1681. so now we can already see that the strong level of resistance is 3450 and it has identified 3125 as strong level of support. so now we are in a strong down trend however we are at the level of double weekly breakout. that is why gold close rejection at 3256 as the key level. so the question is for upcoming week where it will be heading. we should be able to witness a strong pull back as the last day of closing left gold with lotsa FVG above to be filled however, we broke strong level of support 3290 which now place as first resistance. so, if this resistance is being respected hence it will continue downwards towards the support. one possible scenario is gold could react from here to do the break of weekly trendline and as usual and break and retest. so bias is bearish however the bull pullback is not to be missed as that's a good quality range.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by HAN_Simply_Trade