Gold hit bottom at 3250 and started to rebound?Gold opened at 3250 as expected and began to rebound. Gold opened at 3288, and rebounded after hitting the lowest level at 3250. So far, it has hit the highest level at 3260. The support below gold is still relatively strong, but the pressure above is also relatively large, and the volatility of gold is very large. We continue to pay attention to the support at 3250. In terms of operation, we will continue to buy if it does not break.
Futures market
GOLD - LET CLIMB THE MOUNTAIN OF GOLDTeam, I was being patience for a week, did couple of long position, then short then long.
But this time I wait and wait until it reach my entry range price
GOLD is good to entry NOW
target 1 at 3272-3276
Target 2 at 3283-3306
STOP LOSS at 3232 - Once it hit our first target - bring stop loss to BE
i expect the GOLD will likely recover a little during TOKYO, but definitely fly back during UK market opening..
so therefore you need to be patience on this.. as the TRENDING still down trend.
Short on goldObserving a potential triple top forming on the 4-hour timeframe, with price making a third lower high. This structure suggests continued bearish momentum.
Market Structure:
A triple top is visible on the 4H.
Price has broken the neckline, confirming potential downside.
My take profit target is set at 3125.200.
Entry Plan:
I’m expecting price to pull back and retest the broken neckline.
If we get a clean retest that isn’t driven by sharp news-driven movement, I’ll be looking to enter short on confirmation.
XAUUSD 05-29-2025Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis – May 28, 2025
Based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) / ICT Framework
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Market Overview:
XAUUSD is currently in a bearish market structure.
A clear Market Structure Break (MSB) has occurred below the $3,290 level, indicating a shift in directional bias to the downside.
Price is currently at $3,267.58.
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Key Zones on the Chart:
🔸 PB (Propulsion Block):
Located around $3,295 – $3,300
This is a bearish propulsion block — a supply zone formed from the last bullish push before a strong bearish move.
It may act as a resistance zone where smart money re-enters to push price lower.
🔸 OB 1D (Daily Bullish Order Block):
Located around $3,240
This is a possible target for liquidity draw or reaction, acting as support based on ICT methodology.
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Expected Price Action (Based on Blue Projection):
1. Price may retrace to the PB zone where smart money could re-accumulate short positions.
2. After testing the PB, price is expected to resume downward momentum.
3. The likely target for this move is the OB 1D at $3,240, which aligns with liquidity pools and potential demand.
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Summary:
The current structure remains bearish.
Watch for a retracement to the Propulsion Block, which offers a high-probability setup for continuation trades.
Price delivery is likely targeting the Daily Order Block (OB 1D) below, where price may either consolidate or reverse.
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Risk Disclaimer:
> This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
Trading in financial markets involves high risk. Always practice proper risk management and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 5/29/2025As expected yesterday, gold did fall from 3325 and touched 3280. In 12hrly TF, it is forming a head and shoulder pattern. Most likely it will fall towards 3265.
However, considering the overall bullish trend, I am cautious in engaging selling orders and will wait for 3280 broken. Upon retesting, I will place selling orders.
But if 3280 holds, price may go up to 3325 again.
10YR US Treasury Note Chart Fibonacci Analysis 052825Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 112/61.80%
Chart time frame:B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Gold Weekly Outlook: Bullish Breakout on DeckHello,
🪙 XAU/USD Weekly Outlook
📅 May 25 – 30, 2025
📍 Current Price: $3,355.35
📈 RSI (1D): 57.99 — Neutral to mild bullish momentum
🔮 Summary & Key Levels
Gold remains bullish, supported by USD weakness, geopolitical tension, and safe-haven demand. Without hawkish shocks, expect a test of $3,440+ this week.
Level Significance Likelihood
$3,300 – $3,355 Support zone, dip-buying likely 🔵 High
$3,355 – $3,390 Current range, mild upside grind 🟡 Moderate
$3,390 – $3,440 Key resistance test 🟢 Likely if USD weak
$3,440 – $3,500 Breakout extension zone 🟠 Conditional (Fed/dovish data needed)
< $3,280 Bearish invalidation 🔴 Unlikely barring major USD reversal
🧭 Directional Bias:
Bullish with breakout potential — driven by rising U.S. debt concerns, Fed rate cut talk, and risk aversion.
🔍 Supporting Factors
US Dollar Weakness:
USD dropped 1.4–2.3% vs majors; JPY & CHF gained as safe havens.
Moody’s downgrade of U.S. credit rating and weak Treasury auctions amplify fiscal stress.
Trump’s tariff threats revive trade war fears, pressuring USD further.
Fed & Inflation Watch:
Fed speakers mixed; Waller hinted at cuts if tariffs escalate.
May 31 Core PCE inflation data critical — softer print could ignite breakout.
Safe-Haven Rotation:
JPY & CHF strength signals risk hedging.
Global tensions, equity fragility, Middle East unrest support gold demand.
🌐 Global Macro Highlights & Gold Implications
Region Highlights Gold Impact
🇺🇸 US Fiscal strain, downgrade, mixed data 🟢 Bullish
🇪🇺 Eurozone Hawkish ECB, stable inflation 🟡 Mildly bullish
🇬🇧 UK Strong CPI, Brexit optimism ⚪ Neutral
🇯🇵 Japan Hawkish BoJ pivot, rising inflation 🟢 Safe-haven driver
🇨🇭 Switzerland CHF rally, deflation concerns 🟢 Risk-off tone
🇨🇦🇦🇺🇳🇿 Mixed data, dovish bias ⚪ Commodity FX support
📅 Key Events to Watch (May 25–30)
Date Event Impact on Gold
Daily Fed speakers (Waller, Bostic) 🟠 Dovish tone supports gold
Friday US Core PCE Inflation 🟥 Major catalyst — soft print = breakout risk
Anytime Trump tariff announcements 🟥 Volatility spike = bullish catalyst
Ongoing Risk sentiment & equity volatility 🟠 Supports safe-haven flows
✅ Bottom Line
Gold’s technical and macro setup is strong. A push above $3,390 could open a move toward $3,440–$3,470, especially if Friday’s PCE data disappoints or trade tensions escalate. Downside limited unless USD sentiment reverses sharply.
The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1M-1Y timeframes!
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you
### Factors Influencing Long Positions in Crude Oil
#### Seasonal Demand Growth
Summer typically sees a surge in crude oil demand as increased travel and industrial activities drive up consumption. For example, gasoline demand in the U.S. rises significantly during summer due to higher public travel, providing support for crude oil prices and creating opportunities for long positions.
#### Geopolitical Factors
Conflicts, political instability, or sanctions in major oil-producing regions can disrupt or reduce crude oil supply, pushing prices higher. Although Middle Eastern tensions have eased recently, news of a potential Israeli attack on Iranian nuclear facilities previously caused oil prices to jump 3%. Escalating geopolitical tensions would favor long positions in crude oil.
#### Inventory Levels
A decline in crude oil inventories signals tighter supply, which may drive price increases. When inventory data falls below expectations, market concerns about supply shortages intensify, pushing prices higher and creating opportunities for long positions.
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you
USOIL BUY@60.5~61
SL:59.5
TP:62~62.5
Silver Wave Analysis – 28 May 2025
- Silver reversed from resistance level 33.70
- Likely to fall to support level 31.70
Silver recently reversed from the resistance level 33.70 (which is the upper border of the sideways price range inside which the price has been trading from April).
The resistance area near the resistance level 33.70 was strengthened by the upper daily Bollinger Band.
Silver can be expected to fall to the next support level 31.70 (lower border of the active sideways price, which reversed the previous waves a and 2).
Gold strategy today, I hope it will be helpful to youFrom a long-term perspective, the trend of global central banks continuously increasing their gold holdings has not changed, providing a solid foundation for gold prices. Additionally, there remains significant uncertainty regarding the future direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. If subsequent economic data underperforms, the Fed may potentially restart accommodative monetary policies, such as interest rate cuts or expanding asset purchase programs. In the event of such a scenario, the U.S. dollar would depreciate due to increased money supply, and gold prices denominated in U.S. dollars would rise accordingly. Going long within the key support zone of 3275-3285 allows for advance positioning to await the fermentation of these potential positive factors that could drive price increases.
Gold strategy today, I hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD BUY@3275~3285
SL3265
TP1:3300~3310
Gold 3325 Spell SuppressionFrom a technical perspective, the short-term bearish trend of gold is significant. On Wednesday, gold prices failed to hit the 3325 line several times, highlighting the strong resistance level in this area. In the four-hour analysis, the 3280-3270 range constitutes a key support. If it effectively falls below it, it may open up a deeper correction space; on the contrary, if it stands firm, it will maintain a volatile pattern. The current operation strategy is mainly high-altitude, focusing on short-selling opportunities after the rebound.
little consolidation before bullishAfter bottoming out near the $3,290 level per troy ounce, Gold is now attempting a move to the $3,300 zone amid marginal gains and despite the persistent buying pressure sustaining the US Dollar. Rising US yields, in the meantime, continue to cap the upside potential of the yellow metal.