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GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Feb 17 - Feb 21]OANDA:XAUUSD have leveled off after a series of record increases, ending the week below 2,900 USD/oz due to strong profit-taking activities. The main reason is that geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe have eased, reducing the need for safe havens. President Donald Trump had a phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin about ending hostilities in Ukraine and suspending tariffs until a review is completed in April 2025. Gold prices may continue to adjust in the short term, but in the long term, safe haven demand due to economic instability and trade war will push prices up. In addition, central banks stepped up gold purchases, with more than 1,000 tons in 2024 - much higher than the average level in the 2010-2021 period, contributing to supporting the rise of gold. China launched a pilot project allowing 10 insurance companies to invest up to 1% of assets in gold. It is forecast that these companies can buy up to 28 billion USD of gold (about 300 tons), accounting for 6.5% of annual physical gold demand, contributing to boosting the market. SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK: Tuesday: Empire State Manufacturing Index (economic index measuring business conditions of the manufacturing industry in New York state, USA. This index is announced monthly by the US Federal Reserve (FED) New York branch, based on a survey of manufacturers in the region). Wednesday: US housing data (New homes and construction permits), FED meeting minutes. Thursday: US Weekly Jobless Claims, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey. Friday: S&P Flash PMI, US Existing Home Sales 📌Technically, on chart D1, after surpassing the peak at 2790, the gold price increased another 150 and tends to adjust again. Currently, the support level to pay attention to is around the dynamic resistance level as well as the hard resistance level at 2790, while the resistance level is set around 2942. Next week, if the gold price maintains the trading level above the 2800 threshold, it is expected that the momentum will increase to set a new record high price. In case the price declines and adjusts too deeply, there is a risk that the gold price will be subject to downward selling pressure. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,881 – 2,857USD Resistance: 2,900 – 2,942USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2951 - 2949⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2955 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2789 - 2791⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2785
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading
1
Brent: Strategic Reserve Data TodayBy Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst Brent crude oil, a key benchmark in Europe, is showing signs of recovery in today's session on the Futures Market. After bouncing for the third time from the $81.72 level recorded last Thursday, today's opening price started at $75.28 per barrel and has advanced to $75.74, evidencing an effort to stabilize amid market volatility. Rebound Context The remarkable rebound from $81.72 has generated expectations in the sector, interpreted as a sign of resilience in an environment marked by geopolitical tensions and energy supply challenges. Disruptions in critical infrastructures and uncertainties derived from international trade policies continue to be factors affecting price fluctuations. Looking at the average indicators, we can detect elevated trend indecision which could mark a continuation of the price decline to the $72 area at the Checkpoint zone which coincides with the previous trading average zone. The RSI is currently slightly overbought at 58.29%, so it remains to be seen if it rises above $77 to maintain its price around $75 or on the contrary, if it falls as it has been doing in previous seasons towards its strong zone of $72. Supply Concerns from Russia and Kazakhstan The rise in Brent comes against a backdrop of growing concerns among investors about crude oil supply from Russia. Ukrainian drone attacks have significantly affected Russian energy infrastructure, reducing the flow in the Caspian Sea by 30-40% during the week. Special attention deserves the Kazakh pipeline that supplies crude oil to Europe. On Monday, seven drones hit the Kropotskinskaya station, 200 km south of Rostov-on-Don, considered the most important pumping facility of the pipeline to the Black Sea. This disruption threatens to further destabilize energy flows to Europe. Geopolitical Tensions Influencing the Market The market is also keeping an eye on diplomatic developments. The United States and Russia held a meeting in Saudi Arabia to negotiate a possible end to the conflict in Ukraine. In addition, France led a second emergency meeting on European and global security. Added to this are tensions in the Middle East, where Israel and Hamas will begin negotiations for a second phase of the ceasefire in Gaza, which could alleviate the risks of oil supply disruptions from the region. Market Outlook on U.S. Trade Policies. The market is also reacting to the uncertainty generated by the trade and tariff policies of U.S. President Donald Trump, who also referred to Ukrainian President Volodymir Zelenski as “an unelected dictator,” urging him to act quickly. All of these expected tariffs in March and April could temporarily boost prices, although traders remain cautious about a combination of sanctions, tariffs and geopolitical instability. Expectations and Pending Data Despite this partial recovery, the outlook remains uncertain. Market traders remain on hold awaiting the Federal Reserve's crude oil data, which is expected today and could shed more clarity on the near-term trend. These reports will be instrumental in determining whether the current recovery consolidates or further adjustments in the Brent price. Market Outlook The moderate advance from the open at $75.28 to $75.74 per barrel reflects the market's dynamism in response to multiple factors. As the industry keeps a close eye on diplomatic developments and trade policy decisions, Brent's ability to recover from elevated levels suggests resilience that could, however, be affected by future events or economic data. In summary, the current day presents a recovering Brent, with the market's attention focused on upcoming Fed data, which will be key in defining the future direction of prices. Conclusion The combination of supply disruptions, geopolitical tensions and expectations about US trade policies continue to set the trend for Brent, which for now remains above $75, but this need not necessarily be the case, as the crude oil problem has different sides and could fall to the $70 support zone if things are not resolved from a geopolitical and supply perspective, especially concerning Europe. In today's situation, we will have to see if the strategic reserve data continues to lower the price of crude oil or, on the contrary, sustains its price in the 75 zone. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:BRENTShort
by ActivTrades
Understanding ICT’s Framework for Price Delivery | Smart Money 📊 In this video, we break down ICT’s framework for price delivery, explaining how smart money moves price efficiently through liquidity pools and imbalance zones. We cover: ✅ Market structure & liquidity ✅ How price seeks inefficiencies (FVGs & Imbalances) ✅ The role of algorithmic price delivery ✅ How to anticipate price movement using ICT concepts 🔔 Subscribe for more ICT-based analysis! #ICTTrading #SmartMoneyConcepts #ForexTrading #PriceDelivery #ICT #Forex #SmartMoneyConcepts #PriceAction #MarketStructure #OrderFlow #Liquidity #TraderMindset #5minwithfriday
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by kofiobo23
GOLD (XAU/USD) H1 Technical Analysis: Bullish Breakout Targets 3Looking at the H1 timeframe for Gold, we're seeing a clear bullish momentum with several key technical developments: Market Structure: Price has made a decisive breakout above the previous resistance level around 2950 Strong bullish candle formation with minimal upper wicks, indicating buyer control Moving averages aligned bullishly, with price comfortably above all MAs Clear higher highs and higher lows structure maintained Key Levels: Immediate Support: 2943.90 (Previous resistance turned support) Current Price: ~2951.31 Next Major Target: 3000.00 (Psychological level) Breakout Level: 2949.37 Technical Indicators: Volume showing increased buying pressure on the breakout Momentum indicators in the bottom panel showing positive divergence Price trading above all major moving averages, confirming bullish trend Trading Considerations: The blue box indicates a potential continuation zone Look for pullbacks to the 2943-2945 zone for potential long entries Risk management crucial at these all-time high levels Monitor for potential exhaustion signals near the 3000 psychological level
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by FXCapitalClub
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to area of 2972.207.Colleagues, if you look at this upward movement, what can you say? Of course the lower order wave “3” continued and updated its top. This means that we can expect 2 variants of events: 1) Price will continue the development of wave “3”. 2) Wave “4” will make a correction and then wave “5” will start. The target is the area of 2972.207. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
13
GOLD → ATH Retest. High chance of breakout and growth to $3KFX:XAUUSD has again approached ATH 2938 - 2942. This yours increases the chance of resistance breakout and further growth. We are getting closer and closer to $3000 The market maintains recent gains as it awaits the release of minutes from the January Fed meeting and news of Trump's tariff plans. The US President threatened to impose duties on pharmaceuticals and chips, and confirmed the imposition of tariffs on automobiles from April 2, which strengthened demand for defensive assets. The lack of progress in peace talks between the US and Russia has also supported gold prices. However, traders are cautious ahead of the release of Fed minutes, which could cool expectations of rate cuts this year. Technically, all eyes are on the conglomerate resistance at 2938 - 2942. A breakdown and consolidation of the price above this area will provoke further growth Resistance levels: 2938, 2942 Support levels: 2924, 2915 Gold is in local pre-breakdown consolidation 2938 - 2924. Emphasis on these boundaries. Breakout and consolidation of the price above the resistance can provoke continuation of growth. But, before the growth the price may test the nearest support. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
23
XAUUSD: Gold price stands firm near all-time high!Gold price retains its bullish bias amid worries about Trump’s tariffs and a global trade war. Sliding US bond yields weigh on the USD and lend additional support to the precious metal. The Fed’s hawkish outlook could cap the XAU/USD pair amid slightly overbought conditions. XAU/USD Technical Overview The short-term technical outlook for Gold price remains more or less the same. The daily chart shows that Gold price hangs near the record high of $2,947. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) flatlines in the overbought territory, currently near 73, suggesting that there is some room to the upside before a correction kicks in. Gold buyers await acceptance above the $2,950 barrier on a daily closing basis to extend the record rally. The next relevant resistance is seen at the $2,970 round level. Conversely, a fresh pullback could call for a test of the $2,900 round level, below which the February 14 low of $2,877 will be threatened. A firm break of that level will initiate a fresh downside toward the $2,850 psychological barrier.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by xauusd_rr
XAU/USD Short Trade Setup – Bearish Rejection from ResistanceGold is showing **signs of weakness** near the **$2,903 - $2,863** resistance zone, which aligns with the Fibonacci retracement and previous price action. This setup favors a short position, aiming for a deeper retracement. ### 🔹 **Trade Setup:** - **📍 Entry:** Around **$2,903 - $2,863**, key resistance levels. - **🛑 Stop Loss:** Above **$2,942**, to avoid false breakouts. - **🎯 Take Profit Targets:** - **First TP:** **$2,843** (early support zone) - **Second TP:** **$2,824** (-0.5 Fibonacci level) - **Extended TP:** **$2,785** (-1 Fibonacci level for a deeper correction) ### 📊 **Trade Rationale:** ✅ **Key Resistance Zone:** Price is struggling around $2,903 - $2,863, suggesting a potential reversal. ✅ **Fibonacci & Market Structure:** The setup aligns with key retracement levels and past support zones. ✅ **Bearish Confirmation Needed:** Watching for rejection wicks or lower timeframe breakdowns before full commitment. ### ⚠️ **Risk Management:** - If price **breaks above $2,942** with strong momentum, I will **exit** the trade. - Monitoring **volume and candlestick patterns** for additional bearish confirmation. Let’s see how this setup unfolds! 🚀📉 Would you adjust any levels, or does this match your plan? 🤔
TVC:GOLDShort
by me22_
GOLD GOLD on new all time high and could likey enter 2980 zone based on retail demand now ,the demand for physical gold has increased lately across Asia and even in America .eevry one suddenly needs sold gold ,the price is going to the moon and 3000 is nothing for gold price due to demand exceeding supply . The break of 2946 on 30min or 1hr might provide a clue of potential buy momentum beyond the close of yesterday high which was in the zone of 2946-2945. my target is to hold on till the zone of buy liquidity exhaustion is reached ,by looking from 2980 and above .
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by Shavyfxhub
GOLD- SELL strategy 3-Daily chartGOLD is the golden rule :) However, even though it serves a lot of purpose since the early days of existence, there have been corrective periods. Currently the regression channel top is being approached $ 2,972 and RSI is very high as well. I see most indicators still positive, but overbought state and regression channel mechanics suggests, we should see back towards $ 2,825 again and more likely $ 2,775. Strategy SELL @ $ 2,905 - 2,950 range and take profit near $ 2,827 for now, but watch it as one might be able to get it back at better levels.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by peterbokma
XAUUSD (Gold) Trading Plan 📈 Market Outlook: Gold remains bullish today, with potential to test key resistance levels at $2961 – $2969. 🔹 Key Trading Levels: ✅ Optimal Buy Zone: $2937 – $2929 (Demand Zone) 🚀 Upside Targets: $2961 – $2969. 🔻 Support Levels: $2,925 – $2,918 (Break below may weaken bullish bias) 📊 Technical Analysis: 🔸 EMA Crossover: Price trading above 50 & 200 EMA, indicating bullish momentum. 🔸 RSI: Holding above 60, confirming strong buying pressure. 🔸 ATR: Increased volatility suggests potential strong moves. 🔸 Order Blocks & Liquidity: Key demand zone at $2,929, expect institutional buying. 📌 Trading Strategy: 🎯 Look for bullish confirmations in the $2,937 – $2,929 zone before entering long positions. 📈 Break above $2,950 could accelerate bullish momentum toward $2,961+. ⚠️ Risk Management: Keep SL below $2,925 to protect downside exposure. 🔥 Stay disciplined & trade wisely! 🔥
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Trade_with_Ray
REAL-TIME XAU/USD (Gold) 15-Minute Chart Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD 📊 1. Current Market Overview 📈 💰 Current Price: $2,945.19 🚀 High of the Day: $2,945.86 🛑 Major Resistance (R3): $2,950 📉 Recently Broken Resistance (R2, now Support): $2,940 📊 Key Dynamic Support (50 EMA): $2,940 🔻 Psychological Support (S1): $2,925 🔍 2. Institutional Order Flow & Liquidity Analysis 🏦📊 ✅ Institutional Order Flow Insights: Large sell orders stacking up near $2,950. Market makers likely attempting a liquidity grab at $2,950-$2,955 before a potential reversal. COT Data: Institutions have increased their long positions but are also reducing short-term exposure—possible profit-taking zone. 📊 Best Indicator Combination ✔️ Fibonacci Retracement Levels: $2,935 (38.2%), $2,925 (50%), $2,920 (61.8%) ✔️ 50 EMA & 200 EMA: Price riding above 50 EMA, confirming bullish trend. ✔️ RSI (7): Overbought near 70—signs of potential reversal. ✔️ VWAP: Price trading above VWAP, confirming institutional buying pressure. ✔️ MACD: Bullish momentum still intact, but showing signs of divergence. 📊 Liquidity Map Analysis Large sell orders appearing at $2,950-$2,955. Stop-hunts likely above $2,950, then a potential sell-off. Institutions may take profits at these levels. 📈 3. Technical Analysis Insights 🧠📊 ⚡ Momentum & Trend Indicators: 🎯 RSI: Overbought near 70, suggesting exhaustion. 🔄 Stochastic Oscillator: Bearish divergence detected—possible trend shift. 🚨 📉 Moving Averages: Price extended above 50 EMA, suggesting a likely retracement. 📊 Volume Trends: Buying volume decreasing, signaling potential short-term pullback. 📢 4. Buy or Sell? What is the Best Trade Setup Now? ✅🚀 🔴 High-Probability SELL Setup 📉 Entry: $2,948 - $2,950 ⛔ Stop-Loss: $2,955 (Above key liquidity level) 🎯 Take-Profit Targets: TP1: $2,940 TP2: $2,935 TP3: $2,925 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1 ⚡ 5. Ultra-Aggressive Execution Plan 🚀🔥 ⏳ Confirmation Needed Before Entry: Wait for price to spike into $2,950-$2,955 liquidity zone. Look for bearish engulfing candle or strong rejection wick. Watch for institutional selling pressure in order flow data. 🏦 Key Order Flow Signs to Watch: Large sell orders appearing above $2,950. Rapid absorption of buy orders, indicating smart money selling. 🔥 FINAL DECISION – MILKING THE MARKET STRATEGY! 🏆💰🚀 📌 Verdict: SELL XAU/USD at $2,948-$2,950! 🚀 📌 Exact Trade Setup: 🎯 Entry: $2,948-$2,950 ⛔ SL: $2,955 🎯 TP1: $2,940, TP2: $2,935, TP3: $2,925 📌 Institutions are likely to take profits at $2,950-$2,955, leading to a short-term pullback. 🚀 WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY! 🔥📊💰 Let’s execute this sniper entry with precision!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MAHARLIKA_FX