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Trump vs. Powell: 4d Gold Price Roller Coaster📊 Summary of Recent 4 Trading Days During the ongoing US-China trade war, President Trump has ramped up his public criticism of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Though he lacks the authority to remove Powell directly it seems, Trump's frustration with the Fed’s independent policy direction has led to an apparent institutional power struggle. This conflict hasn’t gone unnoticed by the markets. Just the mention of removing Powell caused the gold price to spike, as stock market money got squeezed out, amplified by tensions in the trade war. The Federal Reserve’s credibility is high, so such remarks naturally trigger significant volatility. After Trump's initial outburst, gold surged $216. But when he softened his tone, the price reversed just as dramatically—falling about $240 (with the trading day still ongoing at the time). Hopes for progress in trade negotiations also played a role in this sharp reversal. ⚠️ Warning Signs of Market Distortion Statements from the US President now function almost like market-moving events in addition to normal news. For gold traders, this creates an unstable environment where typical technical setups may fail. The past days showed signs of manipulated or artificial movements—with potential insider activity. One notable example: Gold looked set to break higher after a 1-hour candle closed above the EMA 20 line. But a sudden $12 bearish candle in the last 30 seconds erased the setup. It felt orchestrated—possibly by institutional players defending key levels. 💡 Trader’s Takeaway Don’t blindly trust technical signals in this environment. Watch for political noise—it’s louder than usual. Prefer quieter markets if you’re risk-averse. Expect $100+ daily ranges and frequent price whipsaws. 🗣 What’s your take? Is Trump really influencing the gold market on purpose—or just creating chaos? Let’s discuss below. 👇 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Wick-Sniper
1
4/23 Gold Trading StrategyGold saw a sharp decline from 3500 to around 3360 yesterday, and our selling strategy delivered significant returns. Over the weekend, Trump stated he has no intention to fire Powell and hinted at easing trade tensions. This quickly dampened market risk aversion, causing gold to plunge at the open today to near 3320. The downward momentum remains strong. In this kind of market, flexibility is key. A sharp drop is usually followed by a rebound, but the strength of that rebound is what matters. Technically, the potential bounce is estimated at around $50, but whether the price continues to rise or resumes its decline will depend on how the market digests the news. Technical levels (excluding news impact): Key resistance: 3410–3440 Key support: 3328–3303 Considering the news: Key resistance: 3346-3372 Key support: 3298–3268 Trading Strategy for Today: Sell between 3410–3440 Buy between 3297–3267 Trade flexibly within 3386–3332 / 3296–3328
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by China_MsWang
2
24/4/25 FCPO Daily - Bull FT Bull Bar, or Retest of Apr 22 Low? Yesterday's candlestick (Apr 23) was a big bull car closing in its upper half with a prominent tail below. In our previous report, we said traders would see if the bulls can create a strong follow-through bull bar (it could start a 2-legged sideways to up pullback phase) or if the market would lack follow-through buying instead. The market formed a strong follow-through bull bar testing the 4050-80 area. The bears see the current move as a pullback following the climactic selloff and oversold conditions. They want the 4050-80 area or the 20-day EMA to act as resistance. They want at least a retest of the recent leg low (Apr 22) followed by a strong breakout and a measured move based on the height of the 5-month trading range. At the least, they want a small sideways to down leg to retest the April 22 low, even if it only forms a higher low. The bulls want a reversal from a wedge pattern (Mar 25, Apr 9, and Apr 22) and a lower low major trend reversal. They see the recent selloff as a sell vacuum and a bear leg within the trading range. They hope to get a 2-legged pullback testing near the 20-day EMA. They must continue to create consecutive bull bars closing near their highs to increase the odds of a reversal. If the market trades lower, they want it to form a higher low (vs Apr 22) and a double bottom (Apr 22). So far, the selloff from April 2 to April 22 was in a tight bear channel which means strong bears. The move is strong enough for traders to expect at least a small sideways to down to retest the April 22 low (AFTER the current pullback), even if it forms a higher low. Will it happen within the next few days? If the market forms a retest of the April 22 low, traders will see the strength of the selling. If it is strong, traders may expect a retest followed by a breakout attempt below the April 22 low. If it is weak, we may see more profit-taking from the bears moving forward, followed by more sideways to up trading afterwards. For tomorrow, traders will see if the bulls can create another follow-through bull bar testing near the 20-day EMA. Or will the market trade slightly higher but stall around the 4050-4080 area or the 20-day EMA and reverse lower, forming a retest of the April 22 low instead? The market remains in a large trading range (4500 - 3850). Traders may Buy Low and Sell High within the trading range. That means buying in the lower third of the trading range, and selling in the upper third until there is a strong breakout from either direction with follow-through buying/selling. Andrew
MYX:FCPO1!
by Tech_Trader88
Analysis of the latest gold trend and trading layoutThe uncertainty of the current tariff policy remains the focus of market attention. Gold has shown signs of easing recently, but a specific agreement has not yet been implemented, and market concerns about potential risks remain. This uncertainty puts pressure on the US dollar, and as a safe-haven asset, the price of gold may face correction pressure when risk appetite rebounds. From a technical point of view, the 4-hour trend of gold shows a volatile downward trend, and the price rebounded only after hitting the previous support level, indicating that short-term short forces are still dominant. In terms of hourly trend, the price of gold maintains a low and narrow range of fluctuations and lacks rebound momentum. The upper resistance is currently at 3295-3300, and the lower support is at 3250-3245. In terms of operation, it is recommended to do long callbacks in late trading, supplemented by rebounds from high altitudes. Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to go long in the callback of 3233-3227, stop loss 3220, and the target is 3260-3285. Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to go short in the rebound of 3315-3320, stop loss 3327, and the target is 3290-3260. If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldHunter_Allen
Corn Export Boom: Trading Opportunities in a Competitive MarketThe US corn market is experiencing a notable export boom in April. The WASDE report shows to us a 100 million bushel increase in US corn exports, driven by competitive pricing, though this comes at the expense of ending stocks, which are down 75 million bushels to 1.5 billion. With the season-average price steady at $4.35 per bushel, traders have a unique opportunity to capitalize on this export-driven momentum in corn futures. US Corn Market: Exports Surge, Stocks Tighten The WASDE report paints a dynamic picture for the US corn market in the 2024/25 season. Exports are raised by 100 million bushels to 2.098 billion, reflecting a strong pace of sales and shipments, underpinned by relatively competitive US prices in the global market. This export surge is particularly notable given the broader context of the US-China trade war, which has imposed tariffs on US agricultural goods, yet demand from other regions—like the EU, Mexico, Turkey, and Peru, where corn imports are up—has bolstered US shipments. However, this export boom has tightened domestic supplies, with ending stocks lowered by 75 million bushels to 1.5 billion, as feed and residual use is cut by 25 million bushels to 5.8 billion. Despite these supply adjustments, the season-average corn price remains unchanged at $4.35 per bushel, signaling market stability even as stocks tighten. This price resilience suggests that demand is absorbing the export-driven supply reduction without immediate upward pressure on prices, creating a balanced yet potentially bullish setup for traders in the near term. Global Context: A Tightening Supply Landscape Globally, the corn market is also under pressure, adding a layer of complexity for traders. The WASDE report forecasts global corn ending stocks at 287.7 million tons, down 1.3 million tons from the prior estimate, reflecting a tighter supply picture. Foreign corn production is slightly up, with increases in the EU (up 0.5 million tons, driven by larger crops in Poland, Croatia, France, and Germany), Tanzania (up 0.2 million tons), and Honduras (up 0.1 million tons), but these gains are offset by declines in Moldova (down 0.2 million tons), Cambodia (down 0.1 million tons), and Kenya (down 0.1 million tons). Global trade sees higher US exports, but a reduction in Pakistan’s exports (down 0.1 million tons) partially offsets this, while foreign corn ending stocks rise in South Korea and Pakistan, further tightening the global supply-demand balance. This global stock decline to 287.7 million tons, combined with the US export boom, introduces a bullish undercurrent for corn prices, particularly if export demand continues to outpace supply growth or if weather disruptions affect key producing regions like the EU or South America. Trading Signals and Strategies The corn market’s export-driven momentum, with US exports surging by 100 million bushels and ending stocks tightening to 1.5 billion bushels, still suggests potential upside in the longer term, especially as global stocks decline to 287.7 million tons. However, recent price action indicates a shift in short-term sentiment for Chicago Board of Trade Corn Futures CBOT:ZC1! . As of April 23, ZC futures are trading at $4.722 per bushel having recently peaked at $4.874 and showing a significant decline from that level. The WASDE’s season-average price of $4.35 per bushel remains a key support level, but technical indicators like the MACD, which shows a recent bearish crossover with the MACD line at -1.2 and the signal line at -1.0, signal downward momentum in the near term. Given this updated price action, a bearish strategy emerges as the primary short-term opportunity. As we may see, the chart shows ZC futures have broken below the recent support of $4.80, a level where prices briefly consolidated, and are now testing $4.722. A continued decline toward the next support at $4.65 as a prior consolidation zone—could offer a 1-2% downside in the short term. For those eyeing a reversal play, the global stock decline to 287.7 million tons and the US export boom still provide a bullish backdrop. If ZC futures hold above $4.65 and reclaim $4.80 with strong volume and a MACD crossover above the signal line, prices could target a return to $4.874, a 3-4% gain. This setup would require a shift in momentum, potentially driven by renewed export demand or supply disruptions in key producing regions. Risks to Watch Trading corn futures carries risks, particularly given the export-driven nature of the current rally. The US-China trade war, with tariffs impacting agricultural exports, could dampen demand if economic growth slows in key importing regions like Mexico or the EU, where imports are up but remain sensitive to global conditions. The WASDE’s historical data indicates a 6.7% root mean square error for US corn export forecasts, with differences ranging up to 7.2 million bushels, suggesting potential volatility in future reports. Additionally, the global stock decline to 287.7 million tons could reverse if production in the EU or South America exceeds expectations, easing supply concerns and pressuring prices downward.
CBOT:ZC1!
by juliakhandoshko
XAUUSD- Mid Term Chart Description – XAUUSD 1H (Gold Spot vs. USD) This is a multi-scenario Smart Money Concept (SMC)-based projection chart for Gold (XAUUSD), focusing on potential bullish retracements and major bearish continuations, incorporating Buy Zones, Sell Zones, and Change of Character (CHOCH) areas. 🔍 Key Components: 🟣 Sell Zones Two sell zones are identified, with the highest near the All-Time High (ATH) around the $3,500 mark. These are areas of expected bearish reaction if price retraces upward after a low. 🟢 Buy Zones Located between $3,200 – $3,160 and another deeper one near $2,960, where potential bullish reactions may occur. 🔵 CHOCH - 4H Marked in red around $3,260 area, indicating a 4-hour Change of Character, suggesting a potential shift from bullish to bearish sentiment. 🔸 Key Price Levels $3,120: Historical support/resistance. $2,956.20: Major swing low and key demand zone. 📊 Projected Market Path (Colored Waves) 🔹 Blue Path (Bullish Retracement Scenario) Price is expected to retrace into a sell zone around $3,400–$3,460 after testing the current demand. From there, a major sell-off is anticipated. 🔷 Cyan Path (Bearish Continuation) Following the retracement, the market is projected to break below the recent low and head toward lower buy zones, potentially near the $3,120 and $2,960 regions. Shows lower-high and lower-low formation, consistent with a bearish trend. 🧠 Market Sentiment This chart suggests a bearish outlook for Gold unless a structural shift invalidates the CHOCH zone and supply levels. The chart highlights the importance of: Waiting for confirmation in the supply zones before shorting. Considering buy opportunities only in valid buy zones with bullish reaction confirmation.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by The_FxTricks
WTI OIL Oversold rebound at the bottom of 7-month Channel Down.WTI Oil (USOIL) hit last week the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the 7-month Channel Down while its 1D RSI turned oversold (<30.00), the lowest it's been since March 2020 and the COVID crash. Naturally, the price rebounded but still hasn't even tested the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which indicates that it remains a strong medium-term buy opportunity. With the previous Lower Low almost reaching the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, we expect to see at least $72.50 in the medium-term. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:WTILong
by TradingShot
Chips Off the Table or Buy the Dip ?Hello Traders 🐺 I hope you're doing well — especially if you followed my last idea, because you probably took some chips off the table and got prepared for a healthy correction. As I mentioned before, if BTC (aka digital gold) starts to bounce, there's a strong chance we’ll see a correction in GOLD — because these two assets are starting to decouple. At the time of writing this idea, BTC is up nearly 10% compared to two days ago, while GOLD has dropped around 6% and printed a very bearish candlestick pattern. Let me show you: BTC vs GOLD: As you can see on the chart above, BTC has broken out of a bullish flag, while GOLD is printing a potential local top — at least in the short term. 📉 My personal price targets for GOLD: First Target: Around the support trendline at 3088$. If you want to be more conservative — since we’re still in an uptrend — it’s smarter to take profits and buy back around the 0.5 Fibonacci level. Second Target (Worst-case scenario): Around the blue monthly support trendline — near the 0.786 Fibonacci level — somewhere around 2850$. Why? Because the RSI shows a triple top and a strong bearish divergence. If this pattern plays out, we could see more short-term pain in GOLD. I hope you enjoyed this idea — and as always, remember: 🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable. 🐺 🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kiu_Coin
Can gold continue to fall and set a new high?This wave of gold correction is still ongoing. In fact, the market has a warning for today's pullback. After all, yesterday's closing line was a big negative line, so the trend of gold will definitely continue. Moreover, after gold rose to the 3500 level yesterday, the trend weakened. The market fell all the way and broke through the 3400 mark and the 3300 mark, and fell to the lowest level of 3290! To be honest, this round of decline is still quite strong. After breaking the continuous positive trend, the market ushered in the suppression of the market pullback, and at present, there is still a trend of continuation! On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold is recommended to be short-selling on rebounds and long-selling on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3320-3330 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3285-3245 support.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JoshuaEmmie
Entry point with tight stopA new opportunity to enter a position has formed. The setup is simple and clear: the stop-loss is very tight, just 0.60%, while the upside potential is around +8%. Globally, nothing has changed — the trend remains bullish, and I continue to work from the long side. Locally, I believe the recent pullback has completed. The market structure suggests that buyers are regaining control. Even if this assumption turns out to be wrong, the tight stop-loss minimizes the risk and protects the position. Clear risk management and strong reward-to-risk ratio make this setup particularly attractive. Always manage your risk and stay disciplined!
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by kventinka
XAU/USD - H1 Time Frame Trade Plan 23-04-2024⚙️ Gold (XAU/USD) – H1 Time Frame Trade Plan 🧭 Current Market Bias (H1) Check if price is above or below 50 EMA and 200 EMA Above both = bullish bias Below both = bearish bias Between = range / indecision ✅ Bullish Trade Setup (Buy the Dip) Entry Zone: $2,340 – $2,350 (recent demand zone) Entry Signal: Bullish engulfing / hammer / RSI bounce from 40 Stop Loss: $2,325 (below recent swing low) Take Profit 1: $2,370 Take Profit 2: $2,390 Risk:Reward: At least 1:2 ❌ Bearish Trade Setup (Sell the Rally) Entry Zone: $2,390 – $2,400 (strong resistance) Entry Signal: Bearish engulfing / shooting star / RSI rejection from 70 Stop Loss: $2,415 (above previous swing high) Take Profit 1: $2,360 Take Profit 2: $2,340 📌 Extra Tips Use MACD crossovers or RSI divergence for confirmation. Avoid entering during high-impact news (e.g., FOMC, CPI, NFP). Consider partial closes and trailing stops if price action moves in your favor.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forexcryptowithjohn