ES NQ AND RTY FUTURES LOOK AT TODAY with TARGETSQuick look at ES NQ and RTY with full extension and dropside targets. Prio video from earlier today never uploaded.
Futures market
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 2/20/2025Yesterday gold broke 2942 temporarily and quickly dropped back below. Daily is closed below 2942. This false break is seen as stop hunting. We shall see further downside in coming days.
Technically, from 4hrly TF, we may see a head and shoulder pattern forming. Currently it is at the right shoulder. Possible target for today is 2880.
However, if 2942 is invalidated, we could see another ATH.
Gold Bull Run Continuation: Technical Analysis and Trade SetupMARKEY ANALYSIS
TREND
Bullish trend on both 1-hour and 5-minute charts, with higher highs and higher lows.
MARKET STRUCTURE
Bullish market structure on both timeframes, with key structural breaks upward.
LIQUIDITY ZONES
Significant liquidity zones around resistance areas, potential entry points for long positions.
PRICE ACTION
Bullish candlestick formations, trend lines, and support levels indicate upward momentum.
TRADE SETUP
ENTRY
Wait for sell-side liquidity to be swept near $2920, then look for bullish confirmation (e.g., rejection candle or bullish engulfing candlestick).
STOPLOSS
Set below the recent swing low ($2910).
TAKE PROFIT
- Take Profit 1: $2940 (resistance level)
- Take Profit 2: $2950 (higher timeframe resistance or order block level)
INVALIDATION
If price breaks structure, forms a strong bearish candle, or fails to hold support, the trade idea is invalidated.
Remember to wait for confirmations and avoid impulsive trades
BEAR TRAP? As illustrated, Im trying to visualize what could have been a bear trap.
Price actually consolidated at the ATH level, instead of selling off like it has done in the past when liquidating massively...
That behavior goes against "usual" patterns of selling, which leads me to believe that the obvious won't be that easy.
Until the market proofs otherwise, I don't trust the slight drop / reaction the market had after reaching ATH.
If this scenario plays out, I believe ASIA will do the dirty work of taking everyone out when they sleep in America's; potentially reaching psychological prices of 2950 - 2070 range with the help of LONDON.
Maybe then NY would look for a sell-off. MAYBE... because keep in mind we are coming from a very strong rebound on Monday after a sell-off that already took place ...
Of course, the market could consolidate once more how it did toward the end of 2024; however, the circumstances with TRUMP'S economic agenda is, as a matter of fact, giving gold more strength than ever before since its safe heaven demand just keeps increasing...
..
GOOD LUCK!
50% DISCOUNT BUY?As illustrated, Im trying to visualize a falling wedge pattern into the 50% retracement of Monday's impulsive push, for what could be a potential buy point to continue the uptrend.
Nothing to get fancy about. This is just a chart analysis based on a potential corrective pattern that could take place within the next 24 hours and into tomorrow's NY session.
It could be NY to make the strong bounce tomorrow THU with the unemployment news as catalyst.
Remember; news don't mean anything. They are just gas / power for the market to distribute and manipulate (find liquidity) ...
..
GOOD LUCK
Gold is boring? Until it moves! – PipGuard Guide PT. 3 🔥 Gold is boring? Until it moves! – PipGuard Guide PT. 3 🔥
📢 Let's talk: FOLLOW ME, COMMENT, and DROP A BOOST! Because in here, we help each other and we mean business! 💪🔥
Welcome to the PipGuard Guide , the only one that tells it like it is: no filters, no fairy tales, just a pinch of sarcasm. Gold is playing hard to get (what a shock, right?), but trust me, sooner or later, it wakes up—and when it does, fireworks will follow.
🎯 Key levels to watch:
🚀 Bullish resistances: $2947 / $2943
🛠️ Bullish support: $2924
📉 Bearish resistances: $2918 / $2906
⚔️ Make-or-break level: $2906-$2905 ➜ Above? Bulls take charge. Below? Bears lurking.
💎 PipGuard Targets:
🎯 Bullish Premium: $3015
🔻 Bearish Premium: $2856
Watch out for $2906: that’s the thin line between paradise and disaster.
📌 If we hold above: bulls have room to run, aiming for $3015.
📌 If we break below: bears take over, dragging us down to $2856.
💡 So, what’s the move? Wait for a strong signal, then act—no hesitation. We're dancing above $2906, but if we slip… expect a hard fall. The market is either slapping us in the face or rewarding us with solid gold. And you? Ready to take your position?!
🔥 DROP A BOOST and COMMENT BELOW! What do you think? Sleeping gold or ready to strike? See you on the battlefield!
🚀 PipGuard
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/19/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 02/19/25
📈22225, 22320
📉22130, 22106
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
GOLD GOLD towards the close of newyork session picked liquidity in the zone of 2917-2918 and returns with a strong bullish force to retest 4hours supply sell cap @2936- 2935 closing the day on rejection, as the market opens on Thursday i expect the sell rejection to continue until the supply roof is broken.so watch the break of 2936-2935 ,if we clear this zone we could target 2987-2980 zone which is technically close to 3000.
Note the sentiment is still bullish for GOLD.
2025-02-19 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Neutral. Biggest bear bar since November and we are close to the elections. Market printed 23000 to the tick and now what? Tops usually get a retest, which can be a higher or lower high. Given today’s strength and the timing of this move, it’s tough to hold any bigger bias for the next two days.
current market cycle: bull trend (was trading range before and that was obviously wrong, sorry about that)
key levels: 22500 - 23200
bull case: As long as this big bull gap down to 22000 stays open, bulls are fine. If bears close it, market turns neutral for the time being. We have elections on Sunday and at this point it’s probably a bumpy ride for the next two days. 22500 should be huge support for the bulls or we flush to 22000. Xetra high was 22935 which is too close to 23000 to not expect it to get hit. Can bulls buy the lows at 22500 in hopes for an immediate reversal? I doubt it. Too strong and we will probably need some time around (sideways movement) 22500 first. The big bull trend line is somewhat 250 points lower and if we get there, I expect huge buying. My bias is still bullish since I expect bigger upside from here than downside.
Invalidation is below 21950.
bear case: Bears had a huge day and closed below 22500, which is really god for them. Their next target is the big bull trend line around 22250 and if they have enough momentum, they can overshoot down to 22000. 22000 is also the 50% retracement of this recent bull leg, the gap close from last Wednesday and the daily 20ema. Big magnets there but I am cautious after big up and then big down. What I absolutely can’t see for now is anything below 21950. If we get down to 22000, we will probably see big buying for a retest of the highs.
Invalidation is above 23200.
short term: Neutral and cautious. Big up, big down, big confusion. If bears get follow-through, they have big magnets below but I highly doubt the bull trend line will be broken.
medium-long term from 2024-02-16: As much as I would love to see this 30% lower, it’s not happening anytime soon. Market will probably has to move sideways for some weeks before this could go down. For now it’s still only up. 23000 likely next.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Sell anywhere. Market did not touch the 10m 20ema for 500 points down.
XAUUSD BUYTechnical Analysis
Retreats Provide Opportunities Amidst Dip-Buying_1
On the 4-hour timeframe, the XAU/USD pair has been in a steady uptrend since the beginning of the year, trading within a narrow ascending channel. Recently, it has turned into a new steeper channel, which is in sharp contrast to the previous broad-based volatility pattern. This turn confirms the strength of the gold bull run, which is characterized by minor pullbacks that attract significant bottom-hunting activity, leading to rapid new highs. Although the short-term gains appear somewhat overdone, bullish sentiment remains strong, clearly dominating the market. The short squeeze has prompted significant short-covering, creating a “fear of missing out” atmosphere in the gold market, with new buyers constantly entering to capitalize on the upward momentum. Analyzing the trend, gold prices are approaching the psychological level of 3000, and given the alignment of market sentiment and capital, a quick achievement of this target cannot be ruled out in the near term. It is recommended to buy around 2900 during price pullbacks, with a target near 3000 and a stop loss below 2865.
Trading Recommendations
Trading Direction: Buy
XAUUSDTi do not know very well about how XAU works and all the stuff behind it, but whatever did push the price to be overbought, it will do the same to make price correction.
just be aware of it.
nfa
dyor
The Daily Edge - 19th Feb 2025Trading the Consolidation: Positioning for a Potential Reversal
Market Overview
Tuesday remained within consolidation, and closing above Friday’s open.
Preferred long entries remain near 2860 for better risk-reward.
Midweek reversal potential in play, positioning for shorts at 2940 highs.
Key Observations
2940 tested, but not an ideal long entry – 2860 remains the better zone.
Entered shorts at 2940, targeting the consolidation low.
1H Market Maker Sell Model aligns with short bias.
Our Next Steps
Manage short positions – Adjust based on price behavior.
Monitor midweek reversal potential – Look for confirmation.
Remain open to invalidation – A break above 2940 requires reassessment.
Reflection Prompt
How does recognizing Market Maker models alongside higher time frame structures improve conviction in trade setups?
#XAUUSD #Gold #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #PipsnPaper
Trading TemplateUse this trading template to experience the best trading of your life! Clean and easy to analyze.
Is History Repeating? XAUUSD on the Verge of a Breakout!📌 Description:
Gold's price action is aligning with a familiar historical pattern, hinting at a potential breakout. Let’s break it down:
1️⃣ Historical Precedent – Looking back, a similar market structure led to a significant bullish move. Recognizing these patterns can provide an edge in anticipating market behavior.
2️⃣ Recurring Structure – Once again, the chart is shaping up in a way that mirrors past price action. If history is any guide, this could be a pivotal moment.
3️⃣ Bullish Pennant Formation – The current price action suggests the formation of a bullish pennant, a classic continuation pattern. When combined with historical context, the probability of a breakout strengthens.
🔍 Fundamental Factors:
- Geopolitical Uncertainty: Rising tensions and macroeconomic instability continue to drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
- Interest Rate Expectations: With potential shifts in central bank policies, any dovish signals could fuel further upside in XAUUSD.
- Inflation & USD Strength: Any weakness in the dollar or persistent inflation could further support gold’s bullish case.
⚡ Is this the next major move for gold? Let’s discuss! Drop your thoughts below! 👇
xauusd I believe gold is on its way to 2952, forming a new high. Based on current market trends and price action, the momentum seems to support this upward movement.
Gold reacts to unserious peace talksThe United States and Russia recently held peace talks in Saudi Arabia without Ukraine’s participation. Russian officials did not mention offering any concessions and U.S. officials did not claim to have scored any in Tuesday's meeting.
Adding to the unseriousness of the talks, Donald Trump called Zelensky a “dictator,” and suggested that Ukraine is responsible for the war, echoing obvious Russian talking points.
Gold rose above $2,930 per ounce on Wednesday, just shy of last week’s record high of $2,940.
Technical indicators remain in extreme overbought territory, although extreme geopolitical uncertainty may call for extreme readings for longer. In the near term, the pullback appears corrective, with XAU/USD still holding above all key moving averages on the 4-hour chart.
Head & shoulders pattern: a bearish reversal setupThe Head & Shoulders pattern is a classic bearish reversal formation that signals a potential trend change from bullish to bearish. It consists of three peaks:
Left Shoulder: A rise followed by a decline.
Head: A higher peak forming the highest point of the pattern.
Right Shoulder: A lower peak, similar in height to the left shoulder.
Neckline: A support level connecting the lows of both shoulders.
Trading Strategy
1️⃣ Confirmation: A valid pattern forms when the price breaks below the neckline, confirming a potential downtrend.
2️⃣ Entry Point: Traders typically enter a short position when the price closes below the neckline.
3️⃣ Target: The expected price drop is approximately equal to the distance from the head to the neckline.
4️⃣ Stop Loss: Placed above the right shoulder to manage risk.
This pattern, seen in the NASDAQ 100 Futures (4H timeframe), highlights a strong reversal, leading to a significant downtrend after the neckline was broken.
Do you trade the Head & Shoulders pattern? Let’s discuss in the comments!
Finally.. #NGFinally, Bulls won the battle, but I lost.. :) cos, bears defeated me.. :) by testing my patience... :) cheers.. :)
Gold - This Breakout Will Lead To $5.000!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) is preparing a major breakout:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For more than one and a half decades, Gold has been respecting the structure of a rising channel pattern with one exception. Back in 2010 we saw a bullish breakout followed by a parabolic rally and as we are speaking, Gold is starting to break out of the channel once again.
Levels to watch: $2.900, $5.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
XAU/USD Technical Analysis: Testing Key Resistance at 2,935 - !!XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) – 30-Minute Timeframe Analysis
Current Market Context:
The XAU/USD pair has been in an overall bullish trend, evidenced by the price being positioned above the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating the dominance of buyers in the market. However, the price action currently suggests a potential reversal or consolidation at key resistance.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: The price has approached a significant resistance area near 2,935, which has historically served as a reversal zone. The market is currently struggling to maintain bullish momentum at this level, with a recent rejection visible.
Support Zone: A clear support level can be identified around 2,920, where price has previously found buying interest. A break below this could indicate a deeper retracement towards lower levels.
Technical Indicators:
200 EMA: The price is trading above the 200 EMA, which traditionally signals an uptrend. However, the recent pullback suggests the market could be testing this level for support.
Price Action: The formation of lower wicks and the rejection at the resistance zone may suggest waning bullish momentum, which could trigger a pullback or consolidation in the short term.
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Continuation: If the price successfully breaks above the resistance zone (around 2,935), we could expect a continuation towards higher levels, targeting 2,940 or beyond. Confirmation of this move would require a strong close above the resistance with increased volume.
Bearish Reversal: Should the price fail to break above the resistance and begin to show signs of rejection (as seen with the current price action), a potential short-term bearish move could occur. The first target would likely be the support around 2,920, with a deeper retracement towards 2,915 if the market sentiment turns more risk-averse.
Conclusion:
At present, XAU/USD is at a crucial juncture. The key resistance zone at 2,935 is critical for determining the next directional move. A failure to break above this level could lead to a short-term bearish retracement, while a successful breakout would reaffirm the bullish trend. Traders should monitor for price action confirmation near these levels to assess the most probable market direction.
Looking for a Trend Trap on HGI put an alert to buy in on Copper. We'll see how it plays out till the end of the week
Gold (XAU/USD) 4H Chart Analysis1. Trend: Gold is moving in an upward channel, showing both buying and selling pressure.
2. Support & Resistance:
Support: 2,900-2,910 (strong buying area).
Resistance: 2,940-2,950 (selling pressure zone).
3. Volume:
More buyers when price goes up.
Less selling pressure when price goes down.
4. Trading Plan:
Buy near 2,900-2,910 (if price stays above support).
Sell near 2,940-2,950 (if price faces resistance).
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Yesterday we wanted price to attack that support and RIP giving us the move upside into ATH and the Excalibur targets we had active. This worked well for us and the wider community, so well done if you followed. We later gave our bias levels and on first attempt 2930 bounced well giving a 100pip move, however, when we saw that 2940 wasn't breaking, we suggested traders don't attempt 2930 again, rather wait lower for support to give another opportunity to long, which is happening now.
We now have resistance at the 2930-33 region which needs to break to go higher, otherwise, an overnight Asia session move can bring us down into that 2915-12 region before another opportunity to take a long trade.
It's a choppy market, obviously waiting for some news this week to drive it to extreme levels, so please play caution, stick to your risk model no matter what!
As always, trade safe.
KOG
