Futures market
Gold Analysis and Trading Outlook – June 27Good morning, everyone!
Yesterday, gold encountered resistance in the 3348–3352 zone and fell back to around 3310 before rebounding toward the 3336 resistance area. Today’s session opened with renewed weakness, and so far, the overall price action has closely followed our expectations. Whether it was selling near resistance, buying after the dip, or shorting the rebound, each opportunity yielded solid profits.
Some traders have asked about my strategy’s win rate. Those who’ve followed consistently already know—the overall win rate has remained above 80%, with very few instances of error. Even in the rare case of a misjudgment, I apply specific recovery strategies to minimize risk and avoid large losses. That’s the core reason why I’m confident I can help many traders.
Technically, the daily chart still shows a bearish trend, and prices are now approaching the key 3300 support zone. While the current geopolitical uncertainty adds complexity, it doesn't prevent us from executing flexible intraday trades. In fact, range-bound markets can still be highly profitable with a disciplined approach.
Key intraday levels to watch:
Dynamic support: 3318–3313
Major support: 3300–3287
Resistance levels: 3336, 3348–3352, and 3370
Today’s trades can continue to focus on these levels, using a sell-high, buy-low strategy with flexibility.
GOLD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,274.66 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
"Gold Vault Breach! XAU/USD Heist Plan in Motion"🏴☠️💰 XAU/USD Gold Heist Blueprint 💰🏴☠️
“The Vault’s Open… Time to Load Up!”
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Market Robbers 🤑💰💸✈️
Get ready to execute the Golden Robbery with style and precision! Based on our 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 using both technical & fundamental weapons, we’ve decoded the latest gold vault password: XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) is showing bullish bias!
🎯 Heist Instructions:
📈 Entry Point –
“The vault is wide open!”
Enter long anytime — but for the sharp shooters, place buy limits on the most recent 15/30min swing lows or pullback zones for a stealthier entry. Let the retracement pull the guards away 😏🔐
🛑 Stop Loss –
🔒 Set your Thief SL just below recent swing lows on the 4H timeframe (around 3310.0).
🔧 Adjust based on risk tolerance, lot size, and number of open trades — every heist has its escape plan!
🏁 Target Zone –
🎯 Aim for 3395.0 — or vanish before the cops show up!
Trail the stop as you go and don’t get greedy — wealth is preserved when exits are clean! 🏃♂️💨
🧲 Scalper's Advisory:
Only steal on the Long Side! Bulls are funding this operation.
💼 Big pockets? Dive in.
💳 Small stack? Swing with the pros & follow the plan.
🎯 Use Trailing SL to keep the loot safe.
📊 Market Insight – Why We Rob Gold Now?
XAU/USD shows bullish momentum 🐂 backed by:
Macro & Fundamental Data 🧠
Geopolitical & Intermarket Trends 🌍
COT Reports & Sentimental Outlook 💼
Dollar Weakness + Safe Haven Flow 💸
📚 Always cross-check the news wires & reports to validate the path! Fundamentals are the lockpick tools behind every breakout! 🔓📈
⚠️ Stealth Warnings:
📆 News Events = Increased Surveillance!
🚫 No new entries during high-volatility news drops.
🛡 Use Trailing SL on live trades to secure the bag.
💖 Wanna Support Our Heist Style?
Smash that 🚀 BOOST BUTTON 🚀
It fuels our Thief Army and helps you & your crew loot the market with confidence and flair!
Every day’s a new caper — follow the plan, manage your risk, and stay outta jail! 🏆💪🤝🎉
🔐 See you in the next Robbery Blueprint — Stay Locked & Loaded!
🐱👤💼📈💣💸
XAUUSD GOLD -- ANALYSIS AFTER CORE PCE NEWS A series of key macroeconomic releases from the US on 27th June has delivered mixed signals, with markets particularly focused on inflation data and consumer indicators. Gold (XAUUSD) is now caught between hawkish inflation pressures and weakening economic momentum. Let’s break it down:
📊 US Economic Snapshot – 27 June:
🔴 Core PCE Price Index (MoM)
Actual: 0.2%
Forecast: 0.1%
Previous: 0.1%
→ Negative for Gold
The Fed’s preferred inflation measure rose above expectations, suggesting inflation remains persistent. This reinforces the case for prolonged higher interest rates, putting downward pressure on Gold, a non-yielding asset.
🟡 Personal Income (MoM)
Actual: -0.4%
Forecast: +0.3%
Previous: +0.7%
→ Mildly Positive for Gold
A notable decline in personal income raises concerns about the resilience of household finances, potentially leading to slower economic growth – a scenario that could favour Gold in the medium term.
🟡 Personal Spending (MoM)
Actual: -0.1%
Forecast: +0.1%
Previous: +0.2%
→ Supportive for Gold
Weaker spending signals softening demand and could ease inflationary pressure down the line, indirectly supporting Gold prices.
🗣️ FOMC Member Speeches – Cook & Hammack
→ Awaiting clarity
Market sentiment may shift depending on their tone. Hawkish commentary would bolster the USD, while a dovish approach may provide relief to Gold.
📉 Revised University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment
Actual: 60.4
Forecast: 60.4
→ Neutral impact
🔍 Revised UoM Inflation Expectations
Previous: 5.1%
→ Impact pending release
A surprise here could sway expectations regarding future Fed policy moves.
🏦 Bank Stress Test Results
→ Watch for risk sentiment shift
If results show financial fragility, markets may tilt towards safe havens such as Gold. A strong showing, however, may weaken demand for Gold.
🧭 Trading Strategy & Key Levels:
With Core PCE coming in hotter, near-term pressure remains on Gold. However, softer income and spending data offer a counterbalance.
Short-term bias: Cautiously Bearish
Resistance levels: 2352 – 2366
Support zones: 2310 – 2295
Further direction will depend on FOMC tone and the upcoming inflation expectations data.
Gold topped...GM gents, it seems OANDA:XAUUSD will reverse the advance here, a weekly timeframe down trend has fired just now. It's either the start of a correction or a reversal of the huge trend it had since Oct 2023.
The arrows on chart show the spots where the weekly timeframe trend reversed, so you get an idea of what to expect.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 35.998 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 35.727..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
(XAG/USD – Silver vs USD–3h timeframe) Head and Shoulder Pattern(XAG/USD – Silver vs USD – 3h timeframe), a Head and Shoulders pattern is clearly marked, which is a bearish reversal signal.
Key Details:
Pattern: Head and Shoulders
Neckline: Approximately at the 35.90–36.00 level
Breakout Direction: Down
Measured Move Target Method: To estimate the target, subtract the height from the head to the neckline from the neckline level.
---
Target Estimation:
Head High: ~36.95
Neckline Level: ~35.90
→ Difference: 36.95 - 35.90 = 1.05
Target 1 (conservative): 35.90 - 1.05 = 34.85
Target 2 (aggressive): Based on the secondary arrow and extended support, it's pointing toward ~34.00–34.20
---
📉 Final Targets:
✅ First Target: 34.85
✅ Second Target: 34.00–34.20 (if bearish momentum continues)
Let me know if you want stop-loss or risk management levels included.
GOLD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 3270.6 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 3260.7
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 3289.4
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSDGold has been under pressure from the Fed's cautious stance on rate cuts amid strong US employment data, the recovery of the US Dollar, and rising bond yields. Additionally, the relative easing of Iran-Israel tensions in the Middle East has weakened safe-haven demand and increased selling pressure.
Technically, a break below the yellow rising trend line of around 3,290-3,300, loss of EMA50 support, RSI below 50, and weakening momentum on MACD suggest a bearish scenario.
Therefore, gold may retreat to the 3,260-3,240 range, and if the breakout continues, 3,200-3,210 or even 3,130-3,100 levels can be targeted
However, if there is a reaction in the 3,260-3,280 support band, accompanied by a recovery in the RSI and MACD indicators, a rebound scenario towards 3,340-3,350, 3,430-3,450 in case of a break above 3,430-3,450 - eventually 3,500 may come into play.
GOLD China Hong Kong gold vault hints at a geopolitical shift, as the Shanghai Gold Exchange's expansion, aims to enhance China's gold trading infrastructure and challenge Western dominance, potentially impacting demand and supply of physical gold need.
3380-3385 triggered but be cautious
wait at 3350-3355 as next demand zone for 70pips or more
XAUUSD - Gold Bearish Bias Remains StrongXAU/USD remains under bearish pressure on the 4-hour timeframe. Until price breaks and closes above $3,336 with strength, selling the rallies remains a preferred strategy. However, watch for potential bounces near support zones, especially if momentum weakens or reversal candles appear. The price is currently trading below both the 50, 100 and 200 EMA, indicating a short-term downtrend. The recent price action has respected the trendline resistance and failed to break higher, reinforcing sellers’ control.
Price structure has formed a descending channel, which often signals a bearish continuation. However, if price finds a strong reaction from support, a temporary rebound could occur before further downside. Overall sentiment is cautious due to recent geopolitical de-escalation between Iran and Israel, which reduced gold’s safe-haven demand. Dollar strength, driven by hawkish Fed tone, continues to pressure gold.
Key Support Levels :
$3,295 – A minor support where previous candles showed buying interest.
$3,289 – Critical horizontal support and psychological level.
$3,270 – Next significant support if $3,289 breaks.
$3,240 – Major support zone, last line before larger downside moves.
Key Resistance Levels:
$3,310 – Near-term resistance and EMA zone.
$3,320 – Price rejection level from earlier 4H candles.
$3,336 – Strong resistance with previous swing highs.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Gold is challenging ATHGold meets resistance at 3,440 on Friday, despite a surge in geopolitical risks amid the Iran-Israel war. We expect the market to have a correction before rising to all-time highs.
The ideal ATH level is 3,650
What we want to see to achieve ideal level ?
The market rebounded from the POI level driven by a strong bull signal.
The market break and retest the last high at 3,500.
If the market reverses sharply after breaking 3,500, all the above scenarios will be invalid and a false breakout pattern will occur.
Fundamental level that you should pay attention:-
The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision will be announced next week, and investors expect Powell to keep interest rates unchanged.
The Iran-Israel war could intensify geopolitical risks in the Middle East. If tensions escalate further, we expect gold price to surge.
The Federal Circuit will appeal Trump's tariffs as an abuse of presidential power on July 31, 2025
Long & Short Entry Forecast For GoldCooling war tensions seem to be cooling the Gold bullish rally as well.
But we're still in the same range since April 15th and will likely stay in the range until further notice *or the next tweet*
The Sell entry is great now cos we're near the top of the high volume node, so even if we consolidate around that POC this sell entry will still be putting us closest to the top of the node.
Hold your sell and TP at the VAL . We have a very deep low volume area there and its being a point of support since April. So we can place bets with small risk on hoping it holds cos if it doesn't, it wont be pretty. That is still the best place to buy regardless. So manage your risk accordingly
TP 1 for the Buy trade is at the POC , which also happens to be the top of the huge volume node. Totally make sense to take a decent chunk of profit of your position there, then move you stop loss into profit and grab some pop corn. Depending on the news , the best case scenario of for the uptrend is to continue all the way up to TP2 which is at the VAH
Secure the bag :)
Enjoy
Gold fluctuates and rebounds, so don’t short at low levels!Gold is now focusing on the short-term pressure of 3301-3306 above, focusing on the pressure of 3314-16 above, and the support of 3276-80 below, and shorting again when it rebounds under pressure
Strategy thinking:
Gold rebounds to 3301-3306, short lightly, rebound to 3314-16, stop loss 3324, target 3280-85;
No Bullish intention on GOLD, Seller on Control? Target 3292?
GOLD NO bullish intention To push Higher
Lots of Trap movement from past Few Days
I was Bearish on GOLD after Not Rejection from Daily Poi
with 2 Candle and My Draw on liquidity Was
3333/3292 as a Fair Value area Low Now We can
look for Short on Pull back Keep your eyes on 3359-3392 area
how market reacts on these zone.
Catching the Perfect Rebound on XAUUSD!Hi traders! , Currently analyzing GOLD (XAUUSD) on the 1H timeframe.
Price has dropped aggressively but is now reacting strongly from a key support zone around 3,271.00, where buyers are stepping in. This area has previously shown significant bullish reactions.
I'm now buying from 3,271.00, expecting a bullish correction towards my target.
Take Profit: 3,377.00
Stop Loss: 3,165.00
RSI is in oversold, indicating potential exhaustion of sellers.
Price may have created a fake breakout below the trendline, trapping liquidity before bouncing back.
Currently managing the trade, watching how price develops around this key area.
Disclaimer : This is not financial advice. This is my personal analysis shared for educational purposes only.
This Trendline Has Held Since January, Will Gold Finally Break?Gold (XAUUSD) is currently testing a key ascending trendline that has acted as dynamic support since early 2025. Today's price action shows strong bearish pressure, but confirmation is still needed as the daily candle has not yet closed below the trendline. A decisive close beneath this level would signal a potential shift in market structure and open the door for further downside. Fundamentally, mixed U.S. data adds to the uncertainty—while Personal Income (-0.4%) and Spending (-0.1%) came in below expectations, the Core PCE Price Index rose to 0.2%, suggesting lingering inflationary pressure.
If price breaks and closes below 3,260, I’ll consider a bearish continuation toward 3,200, 3,120, and possibly 3,000. However, if bulls defend this zone and reclaim 3,300+, a short-term bounce could still play out. For now, I'm staying patient and waiting for the daily close to confirm direction.
Gold Accurate Trading StrategyThe recent market has been up and down, and the long and short positions have been frequently switched. Many investment friends are caught off guard or don’t know where to start. As soon as they buy, the price drops, and when they exit, the price rises. In fact, this is the situation that many novice friends will encounter. Here I tell you that when trading, first of all, do not trade frequently. Secondly, you need to have a precise control of the market and stick to your own trading system.
Gold trend analysis:
Gold technical aspect, yesterday's Asian and European sessions continued to rebound and repair, and the highest reached 3350 and then continued the previous decline. In the US session, it reached the lowest level of 3309 and then continued to rebound to 3336, and also touched the high point of the previous day again. Combined with yesterday's 3350, an effective head and shoulders top pattern was formed in the short term, and the market started to continue to expand the decline in the morning. It started to fall directly after the morning opening. So far, the lowest reached 3288, and the integer support of 3300 was directly broken. Then the short space in the later period has been further expanded. The later target below is maintained at 3250. If this position continues to be lost, it may continue to challenge the 3200 line, and the upper pressure is maintained at the top and bottom conversion of 3310 in the near future. This position is also the limit position of the short-term rebound.
At present, gold's hourly and multi-hourly lines show the shape of a falling channel. The daily line is under pressure below the moving average system. The support below the day will also be maintained at 3280. This position is likely to be the day's extreme retracement position, but since the current general trend is in a short position, we will not consider long orders in the short term, and patiently wait for the pullback before continuing to short. The tolerance rate may be higher. During the day, we will still wait to short near 3308-3309, with a target around 3295-3280 and a stop loss of 3318. If the European session is under pressure below 3300 for a long time, we can also consider shorting directly, with a target around 3280.
GOLD recovers, capped by $3,350, trend viewOANDA:XAUUSD recovered then weakened as it failed to break above $3,350, supported by a weaker dollar and market uncertainty sparked by reports that U.S. President Donald Trump could replace Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell in September or October. The reports raised concerns about the future independence of the Federal Reserve, boosting demand for safe-haven gold.
On Wednesday, Trump called Powell “terrible” and said he was considering three or four candidates to replace him. Meanwhile, the Wall Street Journal reported that Trump was even considering announcing a potential successor as early as September or October.
The current market narrative is that once Trump nominates a new Fed chair, market expectations will tend to favor a more “dovish” Fed. This could lead to a weaker US dollar, higher long-term US Treasury yields and higher stock prices.
Forexlive points out that this story may be more an emotional reaction than a result of objective and rational thinking. The policy of the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) is decided not only by the Fed Chairman but also by a majority vote of the 12 voting members (including 7 directors and 5 regional Fed presidents). The Fed Chairman does have a lot of influence, but he does not have absolute control over monetary policy. The Fed was originally designed to be independent of political pressure.
Moreover, even if Trump nominates the next chairman, there is no guarantee that this will automatically lead to a rate cut. In fact, Powell was also nominated by Trump, but his monetary policy decisions are still based on professional judgment rather than serving Trump's wishes.
So, in the worst case, the market could face policy uncertainty as differences between FOMC members increase and more disagreements emerge. Currently, there are fewer moderate members on the committee, while neutral or hawkish members dominate.
Markets are now focused on personal consumption expenditure (PCE) data due later today (Friday) for further clues on whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates.
On the geopolitical front, a ceasefire between Israel and Iran appeared to be in place on Wednesday after Trump hailed a swift end to the 12-day conflict at the NATO summit and said he would seek a commitment from Iran to abandon its nuclear ambitions in talks next week.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, after gold recovered and reached the initial target at 3,350 USD, the nearest resistance is also the price point of the EMA21 noted for readers in the previous publication.
However, the recovery momentum is currently weakening, specifically at the time of writing, the gold price is falling below 3,320 USD. Gold falling below 3,320 USD provides conditions for a possible decline with the next target around 3,302 - 3,300 USD, which is the area of the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement confluence with the lower edge of the price channel.
In terms of momentum, the RSI is heading down and breaking below 50, which should be considered an initial bearish signal.
Overall, gold does not have a clear long-term trend as the uptrend is still the main trend, while the momentum is showing signs of decline.
But personally, I am still leaning towards the uptrend, and continue to look for positions to buy.
Finally, the notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,302 – 3,300 USD
Resistance: 3,320 – 3,350 – 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3367 - 3365⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3371
→Take Profit 1 3359
↨
→Take Profit 2 3353
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3272 - 3274⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3268
→Take Profit 1 3280
↨
→Take Profit 2 3286