Double Top Breakdown at Resistance ZoneThe chart reveals a classic Double Top pattern formation near the 3,360–3,480 resistance zone, followed by a clear bearish rejection (highlighted with red arrows). This confirms the presence of strong supply pressure in that region.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
🔺 Double Top Pattern
The price formed two swing highs near the resistance zone, failing to break above.
After the second peak, the price started declining, confirming the reversal pattern.
📉 Bearish Channel
The recent downtrend is contained within a descending channel, with consistent lower highs and lower lows.
Price broke below the neckline of the double top pattern around 3,270.
🎯 Target Projection
Based on the height of the double top pattern, the projected downside target is near 3,207.5, aligning perfectly with the support zone marked below.
🟠 Historical Support Areas
The large orange circles indicate key reaction points, confirming that the 3,207–3,220 area has acted as support in the past.
📊 Outlook:
If the current bearish momentum continues, price is likely to head towards the support target zone at 3,207.5. Any pullback toward 3,320–3,350 could provide a shorting opportunity with stops above the recent highs.
🔧 Bias: Bearish
📍 Resistance: 3,360–3,480
📍 Support: 3,207–3,220
📍 Target: 3,207.5
Futures market
Market Analysis: Gold Drops — Traders Eye Macro TriggersMarket Analysis: Gold Drops — Traders Eye Macro Triggers
Gold price started a fresh decline below $3,320.
Important Takeaways for Gold Oil Price Analysis Today
- Gold price climbed higher toward the $3,400 zone before there was a sharp decline against the US Dollar.
- A key bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $3,300 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
Technical Analysis of Gold Price
On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price climbed above the $3,320 resistance. The price even spiked above $3,350 before the bears appeared.
A high was formed near $3,395 before there was a fresh decline. There was a move below the $3,350 support level. The bears even pushed the price below the $3,300 support and the 50-hour simple moving average.
It tested the $3,245 zone. A low is formed near $3,247 and the price is now showing bearish signs. There was a minor recovery wave toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,393 swing high to the $3,247 low.
However, the bears are active below $3,300. Immediate resistance is near $3,280. The next major resistance is near the $3,300 zone. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $3,300.
The main resistance could be $3,320 or the 50% Fib retracement level, above which the price could test the $3,350 resistance. The next major resistance is $3,395.
An upside break above the $3,395 resistance could send Gold price toward $3,420. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,450 level.
Initial support on the downside is near the $3,245 level. The first major support is near the $3,220 level. If there is a downside break below the $3,220 support, the price might decline further. In the stated case, the price might drop toward the $3,200 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
MULTIPLE TIME FRAME ANALYSIS, gather data to make good decisionsAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
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XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHappy Sunday traders. Welcome to a new trading week. Taking a quick look at the 4 hour chart, I have marked my current area of interest for gold. I get up early so I will check to see how the overnight sessions go. First day of the week is not a trading day for me. Got to wait to see the paths that gold carves out the first few days. Lower time frame confirmation is a must. Big G gets a shout out. Let's see how things play out over the next 4 hour candle. Be well and trade the trend.
XAUUSD Under Pressure: What the Market Is Telling UsGold (XAUUSD) is currently trading with a clear bearish bias, showing sustained downside momentum on the 4H timeframe 🕒. Price has been gradually stepping lower, and the structure continues to favor the sellers.
As expected for early in the week, there’s been a bit of choppy movement ⚖️, but the overall sentiment remains weak. Unless we see a strong shift or catalyst, I’ll be maintaining a bearish outlook.
🧭 I’m watching for price to revisit key resistance levels, and if we get a clean break and retest 🔄, I’ll be looking for potential short setups from areas of previous demand that flip into resistance.
🌐 Keep an eye on broader risk sentiment — if NASDAQ starts pulling back or DXY strengthens, it could fuel further downside in gold.
As always, this is not financial advice, but the detailed breakdown is available in the latest video 🎥.
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionIn this video, I break down last week’s gold price action and give you a detailed outlook for the week ahead. With gold closing around $3,260 and major macroeconomic shifts unfolding—including the Israel-Iran ceasefire talks, rising US dollar strength, and concerns over the US Q1 GDP contraction, we are at a turning point.
📉 Will weakening economic data force the Fed to pivot?
📈 Could this create a fresh bullish wave for gold?
Or will stronger job numbers and inflation data drag gold lower?
✅ What you’ll learn in this video:
✅Key fundamental drivers affecting gold (XAU/USD)
✅Important economic events to watch (Fed Chair speech, NFP, ISM)
✅My technical analysis of gold price levels to watch
✅How to read the current market sentiment like a pro
✅Strategic trading zones for bulls and bears
🔔 Don’t forget to like the video in support of this work.
Disclaimer:
Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
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Gold fluctuates upward. Is the decline over?On Monday, gold opened at around 3282, and then fell back quickly to around 3247 under pressure; the downward low was blocked, and then rebounded strongly to around 3297; the market currently maintains a small upward trend.
At present, we need to focus on the resistance range of the upward trend.
From the 4-hour chart, the upper short-term resistance is around 3295-3300, followed by the suppression range of 3310-3315. The main direction of short-term operations maintains the rebound short-selling strategy. The support below is around 3255; the overall short-term operation relies on 3260-3300 to maintain the main tone of high-altitude participation unchanged.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3305, stop loss 3320, profit range 3270-3260.
A new week has just begun. I wish you all gain something from the market fluctuations.
Buy limit order post-1H liquidity sweep I’m 1D Timeframe: The daily chart shows a strong bullish trend with consecutive green candles indicating sustained buying pressure. This suggests institutional accumulation and a lack of significant sell-side resistance.
4H Timeframe: The 4-hour chart presents a continuation of the bullish momentum with recent candles forming higher highs. This indicates ongoing institutional demand and a potential preparation for a further push upwards.
1H Timeframe: On the hourly chart, we observe a slight pullback in the form of a small bearish candle. This could represent a minor profit-taking phase or a setup for a liquidity sweep to capture stops below recent lows before continuing the uptrend.
15M Timeframe: The 15-minute chart shows more pronounced pullbacks, yet these are contained within the overall bullish structure observed on higher timeframes. This could be indicative of retail selling or minor institutional rebalancing.
5M and 1M Timeframes: Both these lower timeframes display increased volatility and a sharper pullback. This is typical in lower timeframes where retail trading is more pronounced, and institutional traders may use these moves to engineer liquidity before making significant market moves.
INSTITUTIONAL THESIS:
Institutions appear to be in an accumulation phase, using minor pullbacks to engineer liquidity and trap retail traders on the wrong side of the market. The expectation is for continued upward movement once these phases complete.
LEARNING POINT:
"1H liquidity sweep before continuation of 4H bullish momentum."
SIGNAL: BUY
SYMBOL: NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures (NQ1!) ENTRY PRICE: $22,850.00 STOP LOSS: $22,800.00 (below the recent minor low to account for any further liquidity sweeps) TARGET PRICE: $23,000.00 (next psychological round number and potential resistance area) CONDITION: Buy limit order post-1H liquidity sweep confirming a bullish continuation on the 15M timeframe. RATIONALE: The setup aligns with a bullish market structure on higher timeframes, a potential liquidity sweep on the 1H chart, and a continuation of buying pressure indicated by the 4H and 1D charts. STRATEGIES USED: 1H Liquidity Sweep, 4H Bullish Continuation URGENCY: MEDIUM TIMEFRAME: Short-term to medium-term CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85% (based on alignment across multiple timeframes and clear bullish signals) RISK/REWARD RATIO: Calculated as follows:
Risk: $22,850.00 (entry) - $22,800.00 (stop) = $50.00
Reward: $23,000.00 (target) - $22,850.00 (entry) = $150.00
Ratio: $150.00 / $50.00 = 3:1
This trade setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio exceeding the minimum 2:1 threshold, aligning with institutional trading principles and confirming a high-probability entry for a bullish continuation.
Gold Rebounds from 3250 – But Bears Still in Control1. What happened last week
As you know, I’ve been bearish on Gold all last week long. Even though the geopolitical situation in the Middle East escalated over the weekend, the fact that price couldn’t reclaim the 3400 resistance was a major red flag.
It showed us that the bullish sentiment was fragile, and that downside pressure is just around the corner.
And indeed — Gold sold off. The weekly close below the 3300 level confirmed the weakness.
2. The key question now
Has Gold found a bottom at 3250, or is this just a temporary rebound before another leg down?
3. Why I expect a continuation lower
- The weekly close was under 3300, breaking key support
- 3250 is being tested again — a level touched multiple times since the mid-April ATH
- The current rebound looks corrective, not impulsive
- Resistance levels at 3320 and 3340 are likely to hold as ceilings
- No major catalyst yet to justify a reversal
- This looks like a classic “sell the rally” setup in a weakening trend.
4. Trading plan
The idea is simple: sell the spikes.
If price bounces into 3320–3340, I will look to short again, anticipating a renewed test of the 3250 support zone.
If 3250 breaks — we could see acceleration toward 3200 or lower.
5. Final thoughts 🚀
No need to complicate things. Gold remains vulnerable unless it clears 3340. Until then, the trend is your friend — and that trend points down.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
NASDAQ: Minor Pullback, Still on TrackOn Friday, the Nasdaq experienced a slight pullback, which was quickly absorbed at the start of the week. Currently, the index is still developing the turquoise wave B, which should top out just below resistance at 23,780 points, signaling the start of the bearish wave C. This move should lead to the low of the magenta wave (4) within our turquoise Target Zone between 17,074 and 15,867 points. Alternatively, there is a 42% probability that wave alt.(4) is already complete. In this scenario, the magenta wave alt.(5) could carry the index immediately above the mentioned resistance.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
Gold Is Set to Bottom Out and Rebound This WeekGood morning, everyone!
At today’s open, gold once again dipped into the 3258–3248 buy zone, then rebounded toward 3270. From a structural perspective, gold has clearly entered a downward trend, but this decline is unlikely to be one-directional—short-term rebounds and consolidations are expected along the way.
Based on my experience, below 3250 remains a favorable area for initiating long positions. Whether the price rebounds directly or continues lower before building a stronger base to challenge 3300 again, the broader outlook remains bullish as long as the 3200 support holds. A bottoming reversal this week is still the more probable scenario.
As such, the focus early this week should be on buying near the lows, with short opportunities on rebounds as a secondary strategy. Monitor key support levels for signs of strength.
This week is also packed with important data—including PMI, Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), and the unemployment rate, in addition to regular economic releases. Given the current macroeconomic backdrop, significant market volatility is expected—bringing both risk and opportunity. Manage your exposure carefully and stay adaptable.
XAUUSD| - liquidity Driven Buy Setup📌 Pair: XAUUSD
📈 Bias: Bullish
🕰 HTF View (4H):
Last week’s price action formed a bullish continuation structure. Internal major high taken, sweeping liquidity—confirmation of smart money interest. Expecting continuation to upside objectives.
🧭 LTF View (30M):
Waiting for clean major LH break following the sell-side liquidity sweep. Entry zones will be refined once OB mitigation confirms buyer interest.
🎯 Entry Zone:
After SSL sweep + OB tap
🎯 Target: Recent highs and continuation beyond
🧠 Mindset Note:
Trusting the flow from higher-timeframe intention down to precision entries. Patience here pays—let the structure confirm before pressing the trigger.
Bless Trading!
XAU/USD) bearish Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on a short-term timeframe, incorporating several key tools and concepts:
---
Overview of the Analysis
Price Level (Current): Around $3,273.40
EMA 200 (Blue Line): Around $3,337.95 (signaling broader trend)
Resistance Zone (Yellow Box): Between approximately $3,300–$3,320
Support/Target Zone: Around $3,231.11
RSI (Relative Strength Index): At 32.88, which is near oversold territory (below 30)
---
Interpretation of Chart Structure
1. Descending Channel:
Price is moving within a downward-sloping channel.
Suggests a bearish trend is in play.
2. Resistance Level (Yellow Box):
Price is expected to retest this area and face resistance.
Confluence of a supply zone and upper trendline, reinforcing its strength.
3. Projected Price Action:
Price may climb back up into the resistance zone.
A rejection is anticipated, leading to another leg down.
The target is around $3,231.11, which matches previous measured moves.
4. Measured Moves (Blue Arrows):
Highlights historical price drops of ~79 points.
Repeating this pattern suggests symmetry and continuation.
5. RSI Indicator:
Currently at 32.88: nearing oversold, but not quite.
No clear bullish divergence, so price could drop further.
---
Trade Idea Summary
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: Near $3,300–$3,320 (resistance)
Target: Around $3,231.11
Invalidation: If price breaks and holds above $3,337–$3,340 (EMA 200 and channel breakout)
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Caution/Considerations
Watch for false breakouts above the resistance zone.
Monitor RSI for potential bullish divergence that could invalidate the downside.
Be cautious around the U.S. economic news event icon, which might cause volatility.
plesse support boost 🚀 this analysis)
GOLD (XAUUSD): Your Trading Plan for Monday
Gold went strongly rejected from a key daily support on Friday.
Your confirmation signal for a pullback trade from that will
be a bullish breakout and an hourly candle close above
3283 intraday resistance.
After that the price will likely reach 3292 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GoldFxMinds XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – July 1🌅 Good morning, gold hunters!
The start of a new month is here, and price action is as wild as ever! Yesterday’s liquidity raids swept both sides, leaving most traders guessing – but structure never lies. Let’s break down exactly where the real money sits for July 1, so you never get caught on the wrong side of gold.
🌎 Macro, News & Geopolitics
Macro: US data is in focus (ISM PMI, JOLTS, Powell speech), keeping volatility high and liquidity pools exposed.
Geopolitics: Tensions persist globally but no fresh headlines – market is pure price-driven.
Sentiment: Bulls got trapped high, sellers are hungry for a deeper sweep. Don’t trust easy breakouts!
🏛️ HTF Bias Recap
Weekly: Bullish structure, but overextended. Pullback zones active, buyers get best deals only at true discount.
Daily: Strong wick rejections at supply, sellers showing teeth. Watch for lower highs and failed breakouts.
H4: Range between 3332 and 3258, liquidity building at both edges. Smart money will hunt stops before any trend is real!
🔑 H4 Key Structural Levels
Premium Supply: 3320–3332 (main unmitigated supply block)
Mid Range Decision: 3296–3306 (watch for PA shift, don’t force entries here)
Discount Demand: 3272–3258 (clean OB/imbalance confluence)
Deep Discount Demand: 3232–3218 (ultimate liquidity pocket)
🎯 Sniper Zones (M30/M15 Refined)
SELL Zones:
3320–3332:
The untouched supply – only sell if PA prints a reversal after a NY liquidity grab. Don’t jump in early!
3345–3360:
Extreme extension zone. If price overreaches, look for signs of exhaustion. This is the bear’s last stand!
BUY Zones:
3272–3258:
True discount! Wait for a stop run below 3275, then catch the bounce ONLY if you see confirmation (engulfing, CHoCH, RSI support).
3232–3218:
No hope trades here. Only for flash crash or panic sell-offs with obvious absorption! Wait for a real PA reversal.
Decision Zone:
3296–3306
If price is stuck here, sit on your hands! Let the market show its hand first.
🚦 Quick Recap
Avoid already-mitigated zones – only hunt where liquidity is fresh!
NY session wicks and fake breakouts are the biggest traps. Be patient, let the stop hunt finish before you engage.
Confirmation over prediction. Discipline is your edge, not drawing boxes.
🎁 Bonus Tip
"Missing a sniper entry? The best traders never chase. Let gold come to you. There’s always a second chance for those with patience!"
📣 Like what you see?
Smash that like🚀🚀🚀 , drop your thoughts in the comments , and don’t forget to follow GoldFxMinds for more high-precision gold plans!
Analysis powered by Trade Nation chart feed – built for the sharpest minds in gold.
Reverse Head & Shoulders Setup | Gold Spot | 15min | by Mohsen M
🔸 **Chart:** Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD)
🔸 **Timeframe:** 15min
🔸 **Method:** Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Pattern Recognition
🔸 **Focus:** Reverse H&S, Order Blocks, TLQ, BOS
---
## 🔍 Market Context:
- **Market Structure:** Bearish on higher TF
- **Short-Term Trend:** MSU (Market Structure Up)
- **Efficiency:** ✅ Confirmed — clean price delivery
- **Key Pattern:** Bullish **Inverse Head & Shoulders**
---
## 🧠 Technical Breakdown:
1. **Left Shoulder – Head – Right Shoulder** perfectly forming within a high-value demand zone
2. Price reacted strongly from **Order Block (OB)** + TLQ marked at the bottom wick (Head zone)
3. BOS confirms bullish attempt to shift structure
4. Anticipating neckline break at ~3345 level for further upside
5. Potential resistance and liquidity resting above 3400 (HH region)
---
## 📌 Trading Plan (Pre-London Open / Monday 1:30 AM UTC+3:30):
- **Entry Idea:**
Watch for bullish confirmation after price stabilizes above Right Shoulder zone (~3300–3320)
Or re-entry on a retest of neckline after breakout
- **Stop Loss:**
Below "Head" and OB zone (~3260)
- **Take Profits:**
- TP1: Neckline break zone (~3345)
- TP2: 3400 – Liquidity pool
- TP3: Final HH sweep (~3420+)
---
## ⚠️ Alternate Bearish Case:
> If price breaks below the "Head" zone and OB fails to hold,
> → Expect bearish continuation to the next liquidity zone near **VTA @ 3200**
---
## ✅ Summary:
This is a clean **bullish reversal setup** using SMC logic and a classic H&S pattern:
**OB + TLQ + BOS + Efficient Market + Clear Pattern ➝ High-Probability Setup**
Structure: 🟥 Bearish (macro)
Trend: 🔼 MSU (micro)
Efficiency: ✅ Efficient
Pattern: 🟩 Inverse Head & Shoulders
---
📊 Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
GOLD Breakout Done Let`s Buy It To Get Clear 200 Pips !Here is my opinion on 30 mins T.F , We have a very good bullish price action and we have a very good breakout with amazing bullish candle and now the price back to retest the breakout area , it`s my fav place to enter a buy trade and the price can move 200 Pips easy , i`m waiting for retest and good bullish price action to enter a buy trade .
NATURAL GAS (NATGASUSD): Bullish Outlook Explained
Natural Gas is trading in a mid-term bullish trend on a daily.
The price updates higher highs and higher lows after each
test of a rising support line.
Its last test made the market form a strong rejection first
and a bullish engulfing candle then.
The market may continue growing and reach at least 3.7 resistance soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3450 (Wave 3).Colleagues, it seems that the correction turned out to be a little deeper than I thought. This means that wave “1” of the middle order has been formed and now correction wave “2” is ending. I still expect an upward movement.
I believe that the maximum of wave “1” — the resistance area of 3450 — will be reached within wave “3”.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
XAUUSD Channel Down starting new Bearish Leg.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a 2-week Channel Down, recently rejected on its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). The last Lower High was priced on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, so currently we are on the ideal level for a new short.
With a 4H Death Cross emerging, we are targeting the 1.382 Fibonacci extension (as the previous Bearish Leg did) at 3210 for the Channel's new Lower Low.
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GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Jun 30 - Jul 04]Last week, OANDA:XAUUSD fell sharply from an opening price of $3,392/oz to a low of $3,255/oz and closed at $3,274/oz. The reason was that Israel and Iran had officially ceased fire, although negotiations with the US remained difficult. In addition, FED Chairman Jerome Powell reaffirmed that there was no rush to cut interest rates due to high inflation risks. In addition, summer is a period of weak demand for physical gold, continuing to put pressure on gold prices.
In addition, summer is typically the low season for physical gold demand, which could continue to weigh on gold prices.
In addition to the seasonal lull in trading that has affected the gold market, improving economic sentiment as the Trump administration has said there is progress in trade agreements, especially the framework agreement on trade with China, will also continue to negatively impact gold prices next week.
Thus, gold prices next week may continue to be under downward pressure, but the decline may not be too large as gold prices next week are still supported by some fundamental factors.
This week, the US will release the non-farm payrolls (NFP) report and the unemployment rate for June. According to forecasts, NFP may reach 120,000 jobs. If NFP increases higher than expected, the FED will continue to delay cutting interest rates, negatively affecting gold prices next week. On the contrary, if NFP drops sharply below 100,000 jobs, it will increase the possibility of the FED cutting interest rates, helping gold prices rise again next week, but not too strongly.
📌Technically, the gold price closed below $3,300/oz this week, which could pave the way for a drop to $3,200/oz next week, or below that to $3,120/oz. If the gold price rebounds above $3,300/oz next week, it could trigger a recovery to $3,330-$3,360/oz.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,246 – 3,228USD
Resistance: 3,292 – 3,300USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3367 - 3365⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3371
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3178 - 3180⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3174
WTI CRUDE OIL: Brutal collapse expectedWTI Crude Oil has turned bearish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.990, MACD = 0.310, ADX = 38.289) and is expected to accelerate the effect as based on the 16 year Cycles, late 2025 and most of 2026 should experience a price collapse. The most optimal Buy Zone starts at $33.00, it could go lower but that's a solid base from which to expect a bounce back above $110.00 by 2028.
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