Where will gold go?In 4 hours, it has fallen below the previous low of 3295, and will continue to fall. There are two supports below, namely 3280 and 3265. Don't expect a big rebound before going short in a negative market. If the rebound is large, it will not fall. This kind of negative decline is generally judged by the 15- and 30-minute patterns. When resistance appears in the big cycle, the market has actually fallen a lot.
Today, I think the pressure is mainly in the 3300 and 3310 areas. 3310 can be considered as the pressure of the top and bottom conversion. Pay attention to 3280 and 3265 below. If you consider going long, these two positions are the main positions. For the time being, the general direction is mainly short.
Futures market
Silver consolidation supported at 3500Silver – Technical Analysis
The Silver price action continues to exhibit a bullish sentiment, underpinned by a prevailing rising trend. However, recent intraday moves indicate a corrective pullback, reflecting short-term consolidation within the broader uptrend.
Key Technical Levels:
Support:
3,500 – Primary support and previous consolidation zone; critical for maintaining bullish structure.
3,450 – Secondary support; potential downside target if 3,500 fails.
3,390 – Key lower support; aligns with a broader demand area.
Resistance:
3,720 – Immediate upside resistance; first target on a bullish bounce.
3,790 – Intermediate resistance; aligns with recent swing highs.
3,850 – Long-term resistance target; marks the upper boundary of the current bullish channel.
Scenario Analysis:
Bullish Continuation (Base Case):
A bounce from the 3,500 level would affirm the corrective pullback as temporary, with potential for a bullish continuation targeting 3,720, followed by 3,790 and 3,850 over a longer timeframe.
Bearish Reversal (Alternative Scenario):
A daily close below 3,500 would undermine the current bullish outlook and signal a deeper retracement, with downside risk toward 3,450 and potentially 3,390, where structural support may stabilize price.
Conclusion:
Silver remains structurally bullish, with the current pullback offering a potential entry point within the trend. The 3,500 level is the key pivot—holding above it supports further upside continuation, while a breakdown below would raise the risk of a deeper correction. Traders should watch for price action confirmation at this level to validate the next directional move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
WTI Crude oversold rally support at 6400WTI crude oil is trading just above a two-week low of 6400, as demand concerns continue to weigh on prices.
The pressure comes from uncertainty around President Trump’s tariff policy, which could worsen when the current 90-day pause ends on July 9. So far, only a minor trade deal with the UK has been reached, adding to fears of a global slowdown and weaker oil demand.
Earlier this week, oil prices also dropped after Trump announced a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, easing fears about disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz, a major oil shipping route.
On the positive side, expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts are rising. If Trump replaces Fed Chair Jerome Powell with someone more supportive of rate cuts, it could help lift oil prices slightly by boosting the economic outlook.
Overall, oil remains under pressure with limited upside unless demand outlook improves or further supportive policy measures emerge.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6925
Resistance Level 2: 7080
Resistance Level 3: 7230
Support Level 1: 6460
Support Level 2: 6300
Support Level 3: 6100
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – June 27, 2025Hey traders! Today’s a trader’s dream: high-impact US news, gold trapped in a tight coil between supply and demand, and price flirting with the decision zone. The first breakout will be explosive — but only one side survives the trap. Let’s lock in the real structure, real bias, and sniper-level execution.
🔸 HTF Bias Breakdown
Daily Bias: Neutral → Price trapped between major supply (3359) and HTF demand (3282). Expect breakout after news.
H4 Bias: Bearish → Lower highs holding below 3359, structure weak below 3340.
H1 Bias: Mixed → Bullish momentum building off 3310–3282, but compression under EMAs warns of a fake rally.
🔹 Key Levels Above Price
3385 – Final top-side liquidity zone (last week’s spike high)
3359–3344 – HTF supply & OB (main short zone)
3340–3330 – The pivot zone (battle for control)
🔸 Key Levels Below Price
3317–3310 – Primary demand zone (where buyers stepped in yesterday)
3297–3282 – Deep liquidity pocket & HTF OB (last chance for bulls)
3260 – Breakdown zone if everything fails below
🔥 Sniper Zones & Execution Logic
🔴 3385–3375 – Extreme Supply
Only trade this zone if NY news launches price up and rejection is instant. Needs M5/M15 bearish reversal (engulfing, CHoCH, FVG fill). No news spike = no trade.
🔴 3359–3344 – Main Supply Zone
This is your first real short setup. Sweep into this area + rejection = clean short trigger. Confluence: HTF OB, FVG, EMA 100 rejection, bearish CHoCH.
⚔️ 3340–3330 – Pivot Decision Zone
This is where direction flips.
Break and hold above 3340 = bullish → targets 3359 / 3375
Rejection under 3330 = bearish → back toward 3310 or 3282
Plan: Use for break/retest entries only with M5/M15 confirmation. No blind trades.
🟢 3317–3310 – Primary Demand Zone
Watch for news-induced sweep, then M15 bullish PA (CHoCH, engulfing, RSI bounce). First safe buy zone if structure holds.
🟢 3297–3282 – Deep Demand Zone
Only used if NY session nukes the market. Enter only on textbook SMC/ICT reversal + RSI sub-30. This is the last stand for bulls.
🧠 Execution Strategy
Wait for NY news and first liquidity sweep. Don’t guess.
Sell 3359–3344 or 3375+ only on strong rejection
Buy 3310 or 3282 only on bullish reversal confirmation
Pivot 3340–3330 is the heart of today — use for break/retest or trap reversal
If you love clear logic, tap like, follow, and share your bias in the comments! 🚀👇
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and I'm using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD Sell ViewGold Holds Steady as Focus Shifts to Fed Policy Over Geopolitical Risk
- Gold prices remained resilient. The US Dollar Index slipped 0.23% to 97.74, while U.S. equities ended mixed as markets braced for Federal Reserve policy signals.
- The Israel-Iran ceasefire has eased geopolitical concerns, typically a bearish signal for gold. However, the metal’s continued strength, outperforming the weaker dollar, points to renewed institutional and retail accumulation. This highlights a key shift: investors are now prioritising monetary policy outlooks over crisis-driven moves.
- All eyes are on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony, with particular focus on his comments regarding tariffs and interest rates. The CME’s FedWatch tool now shows a 24.8% probability of a July rate cut. Powell’s cautious tone—balancing inflation risks from potential tariffs against economic softness—has added uncertainty to the rate path, especially amid political pressure from the Trump administration.
- Gold’s recent price action suggests it’s evolving from a pure safe-haven asset into a hedge against broader monetary and economic instability. With geopolitical tensions easing, traders are now closely watching the Fed’s next steps and the dollar’s direction as key drivers of gold’s trajectory.
Will the gold price head for 3250 today?Will the gold price head for 3250 today?
Latest gold market dynamics and analysis (as of June 27, 2025)
Analysis of core influencing factors
(1) Geopolitical risks: Risk aversion has cooled but the heat has not subsided
Recently, the conflict between Israel and Iran has come to a temporary end. Trump said both sides were "exhausted" and the market's risk aversion demand has declined.
But potential risks still exist, such as the attack on Iran's nuclear facilities and the friction in Red Sea shipping. The safe-haven attribute of gold is still in a "wait and see" state.
2) Fed policy differences: interest rate cut expectations fluctuate
There are obvious differences between hawks and doves within the Fed. Some members are worried about inflation stickiness, while others support early interest rate cuts.
The US dollar index fluctuates in the range of 97-99, and gold shows the linkage characteristics of "dollar rises and falls, and dollar falls and rises".
The US PCE data released tonight is the key. If inflation is lower than expected, it may strengthen the expectation of interest rate cuts and boost gold prices; otherwise, it may suppress gold prices.
Technical support and resistance:
Short-term: $3,280, $3,250
Key resistance: $3,300-3,350-3,380, $3,400
Market sentiment: Gold ETF positions decreased (reduced by 2.29 tons on June 25), indicating that some funds have taken profits, but the medium- and long-term bullish logic has not changed.
4. Investment strategy recommendations
Short-term: Range shock
1: As long as the gold price is below $3,300, it is a short-selling idea, short at high prices, stop loss 3300-3305.
2: The key price of the support rebound below: 3280-3250--3165.
You can try to go long with a light position at the above price.
Be sure to set a stop loss when going long.
XAUUSD Holds to Decline as Weakness DollarXAUUSD GOLD Outlook – Gold Holds Firm Amid Dollar Weakness and Fed Uncertainty
Gold continues to trade steadily as the U.S. dollar weakens and uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve policy intensifies. Market speculation is growing following hints that former U.S. President Donald Trump may announce a new Fed Chair as early as September or October.
This development could undermine current Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s influence, potentially shifting the monetary policy outlook. As a result, investor sentiment remains cautious, with many seeking refuge in gold amid the growing ambiguity in central bank direction.
A weaker dollar generally boosts demand for gold, and if speculation around Fed leadership continues, XAUUSD could remain supported or even rally further. Watch for upcoming Fed speeches and political announcements as key drivers.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance zone 3340 / 3345
Support Level 3315 / 3300
Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis Thanks.
Gold might rebound significantly today, with a potential reversa
Gold might rebound significantly today, with a potential reversal zone around 3250–3285.
Technically , gold has been in a bear market for the second consecutive week, pushing the RSI into the oversold zone up to 1H timeframe. This suggests a potential rebound soon, allowing the bears to take a breather before resuming the downtrend.
Additionally, the price has now approached the ascending trendline that has been drawn since the beginning of the year (spanning six months) making it a significant level (The longer the trendline holds, the more significant its technical relevance), and the current test could trigger a price reaction.
Structurally, gold has been range-bound within the 3200–3400 consolidation zone for several months. This has created many supports and resistances in that range, making it difficult for prices to break below that zone in a single move.
The 3250–3280 zone is seen as a potential turning point, supported by:
1. The ascending trendline intersecting near 3255
2. The 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the prior leg aligning near 3250
3. The support zone hold around 3270-3280
Based on an Elliott Wave theory , the market may currently be in a Complex Corrective Wave or Combination Corrective Wave, consisting of the series of a-b-c subwaves. The current move appears to be approaching the end of minor wave a, with wave b rebound anticipated to follow.
From a macroeconomic view , today’s release of the PCE inflation data — the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge — and FOMC members speak, could cause significant volatility to gold prices. This is a suitable opportunity for a price reversal during high volatility. The price may be pressured lower before rebounding.
The current pressure seem to stem from the market expectations that PCE data will increase due to recent surges in oil prices and the potential inflationary effects of tariffs, leading to current gold selling pressure as market less expect the Fed rate cut. However, if PCE data surprises to the downside, it could trigger the opposite reaction, a gold rebound, as the market would start to price in a higher likelihood of earlier Fed rate cuts. Even if PCE released high, as expected, there might be positions unwind to take profit once the fact is realized, pushing gold prices up. Therefore, the odds currently favor a buy-on-dip in gold.
However, even if a price reversal occurs today, a stable upward trend cannot be expected yet. The price remains in a corrective wave, and the Fed is unlikely to rush interest rate cuts soon. They will likely wait for clarity on Trump's reciprocal tariff policy and their economic impact. Moreover, inflation has not yet reached the Fed's target of 2.0%. Therefore, the market could still be disappointed by the Fed's cautious stance during this period, which would continue to pressure gold prices.
The expected rebound range is about $70–$100, with an initial target of around 3370–3400, before potentially reversing downward again. Gold prices next week are likely to remain in a rebound theme .
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Cautious — this Chart is Slippery!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
🛢️After surging by over 35% in the past two weeks, USOIL took a hit following Trump's announcement of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel.
However, from a technical perspective, USOIL is approaching a strong daily support zone marked in red.
As long as this support holds, the bulls remain in control.
📊The next bullish impulse will be confirmed upon a break above the last minor high marked in blue.
In such a scenario, a move toward the supply zone (also marked in red) would be expected.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Gold Gold haas been plummiting for the past week or 2 after soaring to new highs for weeks on end. Since there is so much geopolitical tensions around the world gold is seeming to bear the brunt of it.
After jobless claims came out significantly higher than expected gold took quite a fall and we can expect that fall to continue today with PPI news coming out today.
Remeber to trade Cautiously And Subscribe For More A+ Swing Setups
XAU/USD – Bullish Reversal in Motion? Watch the Breakout ZoneGold just gave us a critical reaction off a key confluence zone — and bulls might finally be waking up. Here's the breakdown:
🔹 Falling Wedge Breakout:
Price respected the wedge support beautifully around the 0.382-0.5 Fib retracement and has now closed above the upper descending trendline. The falling wedge is a bullish reversal pattern, and we may be witnessing the early stages of a trend shift.
🔹 EMAs Realignment Pending:
Price is now testing the 20 and 50 EMAs — a clean break and close above them would likely trigger algorithmic momentum back into bullish continuation, especially if we see a flip of the 0.382 Fib at $3,324 as support.
🔹 Upside Targets:
* TP1: $3,372 (0.236 Fib)
* TP2: $3,450 (previous structure high)
* TP3: $3,539 (full range expansion)
🔹 Invalidation Below:
A break back inside the wedge and below $3,285 would invalidate the bullish bias and likely open the path to deeper correction toward $3,251 or even $3,217.
📌 Key Insight:
The best trades aren’t about prediction — they’re about preparation. This setup is all about reacting to price as it confirms. Let the market tell you when it’s ready to move, then strike with confidence and precision.
💡 Watching for bullish retest + volume confirmation before entering long.
XPTUSD 1W:While Everyone Watches Gold, Platinum Quietly Wakes UpGold gets the headlines — but platinum just broke two years of silence with a clean, high-volume breakout from a symmetrical triangle on the weekly chart. And this isn’t noise — this is the structural shift traders wait for.
Price has been coiled inside a compressing wedge since early 2022. Equal highs. Equal lows. Stop hunts both ways. The classic “shake out before take off.” Now? The breakout is in. And the weekly candle closed above resistance with volume confirmation. Oh, and while we're at it — the 50MA just crossed above the 200MA, signaling a long-term trend reversal.
Target? Measure the triangle height: ~398 points. That projects a breakout target of 1440 USD, which aligns perfectly with previous institutional rejection zones.
But this isn’t just about the chart.
🔹 South Africa, the top global supplier, is struggling with energy and production cuts;
🔹 The Fed is pausing rate hikes — the dollar weakens, metals rally;
🔹 Demand from hydrogen tech, clean energy, and industrial catalysts is on the rise.
Translation? Smart money has been accumulating. The move from 965–1070 was just the ignition. The drive hasn’t started yet.
So while everyone fights over gold highs, platinum sits at the base of a move no one's prepared for — except those who know how accumulation ends.
🧭 Key support: 965–985
📍 Resistance zone: 1150–1180
🎯 Measured target: 1440+
SYSTEM FAAD DENGE TRIBARAYes, before breakout.
Koakbank Fut is trading inside tuesday's candle, although breakout is not done yet.
But looking at OPTIONS data it looks like its not going to break 2190-2200 level for day.
Could b bought with stoploss of 2189 & will add another lot above breakout with target of 2300.
System Faad Denge
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Chart - OANDA4-hour chart from OANDA displays the price movement of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) from late June to mid-July 2025. The current price is $3,290.270, reflecting a decrease of $37.475 (-1.13%) as of 09:42. The chart highlights a recent upward trend followed by a potential support zone around $3,200-$3,300, with a marked resistance level near $3,380. The analysis suggests a possible reversal or consolidation phase.
Gold stalls below $3350 as USD weakness continuesGold remains delicately balanced as traders in Asia and Europe proceed with caution. Despite recent USD weakness lending some support, buyers haven’t broken above $3350.
📉 USD Weakness & Market Sentiment – Fragile Recovery?
🔻 Dollar Wobbles: Talk of Fed leadership change is stirring doubt over the USD’s trajectory, adding political risk that may benefit gold.
⚖️ Mixed Sentiment: Gold consolidates in a tight range after early‑week drop. With PCE data and Fed speeches ahead, traders await the next catalyst.
📊 Technical Structure – Consolidation Underway
Gold trades below short‑term EMAs, hinting at a bearish pause or stealth accumulation. Current levels near $329X.
Key Zones:
🟢 Demand (Buy): $3264 / $3276 / $3294
🔴 Supply (Sell): $3313 / $3321 / $3330 / $3341
🎯 Intraday Trading Plan:
🛒 BUY ZONE: $3264–$3266 (SL: $3270; TPs: $3280 → … → $3320)
⚡️ BUY SCALP: $3282–$3284 (SL: $3278; TPs: $3288 → … → $3330)
📉 SELL ZONE: $3331–$3333 (SL: $3337; TPs: $3326 → … → $3300)
⚠️ SELL SCALP: $3313–$3315 (SL: $3320; TPs: $3310 → … → $3280)
🧭 Watchlist: Friday’s PCE, Fed commentary & Middle East tensions may sway price.
DeGRAM | GOLD broke the demand zone📊 Technical Analysis
● Price sliced beneath the long-term rising‐channel base and the triangle apex, turning 3 300-3 310 into fresh supply; the current pull-back is a textbook bearish retest of the break zone.
● Hourly structure now tracks a new descending trend-line; failure to reclaim 3 300 keeps momentum pointed to the next fib / horizontal shelf at 3 280, with the channel width projecting 3 245 support.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Rebound in US 2-yr yields after hawkish Fed speakers and a stronger-than-expected durable-goods print lifted the DXY, reducing short-term bullion appeal.
-------------------
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Gold Distribution I missed the perfect entry for this distribution model, but since the technical target hasn't been reached yet, I'll look for valid entries if they arise. The time displacement is good, it swept internal liquidity and left more to the downside. It looks more like a trend than a range deviation, so I'll be cautious with this trade if I take it.
GOLD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a bearish
Breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 3,300$
And the breakout is confirmed
So we are bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish continuation
Sell!
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Gold Impulse / En Route 12345Long Gold. 3289-3280 Target 3673
SLS Just Below 78-70 Dpending on Leverage.
Gold failed our Beaish Zone Target Eliminating out bearish senitiment .
June 27th 2025 We Long Gold going into June 29th Weekend of Basel 3's Waiting Policy Until january 27th 2027. Gold will be extremely Bullish Afterthis corrective wave from 3415.
Today we enter Long Positions into the weekend Expecting a. Gap Up to Around 3338 Trapping All short sellers in the Month of June.
Another excellent sessionAs discussed throughout my yesterday’s session commentary: “My position: Gold is Trading on relief rally and it is now whether #3,352.80 benchmark will break to the upside and extend the relief rally or reversal there and another decline. I personally lean more to the Bullish side with DX chart as main pointer for Gold on current session.”
I have made #7 successful Scalp orders throughout yesterday’s session (all Buying orders) firstly from #3,330.80, then #3,320.80 towards #3,327.80 and final batch of aggressive Scalps from #3,310.80 towards #3,318.80 - #3,325.80 / Highly satisfied with yesterday’s session Profit.
Technical analysis: Gold is currently disconnected from Hourly 4 chart’s Neutral Rectangle and thus I am expecting a new Selling direction starting from today’s session if #3,300.80 benchmark isn’t recovered and market closes above it (Weekly closing as well). Personally I believe it will be a big one on big Volume (best what last session of the week can offer). Hourly 1 chart is delivering firm Selling signals and points to a Bearish breakout and Selling continuation. A red closing on today's Daily chart’s candle points to a Bearish continuation also. Personally I believe that only if local Support gets invalidated (seen Trading at #3,272.80) does the trend resumes its previous Bearish bias also without more disappointing numbers on DX. No surprises so far as rejection on #3,292.80 - #3,300.80 Resistance level is showcasing strong durability for the cycle. This is a Technical pullback as well to cool down Long-term Overbought levels and may precisely test the #3,252.80 benchmark / near pivot point, probability which I mentioned earlier this week.
My position: I am Highly satisfied with my Profit and will take early weekend break, not catching a Falling knife