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ES Futures Trade Idea - Trump Inauguration MLK weekMacroeconomic News: US markets were closed yesterday for Martin Luther King Jr. Day. ES, NQ and YM futures saw mild gains yesterday, RTY futures outperformed. As the 47th president of the United States, Donald Trump took the oath of office promising to protect the border, address inflation, and restructure trade policies. In addition to withdrawing from the Paris Climate Treaty and signing orders to cancel 78 Biden-era acts, he also started energy production reforms, such as drilling for oil in the Arctic. Trump discussed agreements over TikTok ownership, threatened global tariffs, and suggested imposing duties on the EU, Canada, and Mexico. He urged a speedy conclusion to the conflict in Ukraine and gave top priority to evaluating China's adherence to trade agreements. Trump stopped importing oil from Venezuela, emphasized energy independence, and lifted sanctions on Israeli settlers. The goal of bold measures is to put American workers and security first. Following yesterday's strong selling pressure, which was brought on by the announcement that President Trump would not impose tariffs on the first day of his presidency, the dollar is now showing signs of recovery. Nevertheless, Trump's statement that he is considering 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico and believes they would be implemented on February 1st shattered trade confidence overnight. In our opinion, buy the rumor-sell the fact, sell the rumor-buy the fact, will likely be a key theme during Trump’s presidential term. ES Futures update: As we can see in the chart above, ES futures are currently above our Line in the Sand, Yearly Open at 5,949.25. ES futures also made a higher low on Jan 13th, 2025 compared to Nov 4th, 2024 swing low. ES futures formed a bull flag after the Dec 18th, 2024 FOMC announcement. Price has now broken out of the bull flag channel. Key Levels to Watch Key levels represent areas of interest and zones of active market participation. The more significant a key level, the closer we monitor it for potential reactions and trade setups in alignment with our trading plan. Jan 6th Weekly Hi: 6,068.25 Jan 13th Weekly Hi: 6,051.50 Yearly Open | LIS (Line in Sand): 5,949.25 Resistance R1: 6,105 - 6,115 Resistance R2: 6,145 - 6,155 All time highs: 6,184.50 Scenario 1: Breakout continuation Price has broken out of bull flag formation from the Dec 18th, 2024 FOMC announcement. Break above current area of consolidation marked in Blue zone forming the area between Jan 6th and Jan 13th Weekly Highs. Price heads towards R1, R2 and R3 targets. Scenario 2: Further consolidation Price further consolidates this week awaiting a catalyst to trend higher next week. Strong earnings season propels US futures and stocks higher. We encourage you to monitor these levels closely and incorporate them into your trade planning. Share your thoughts or insights on these key levels in the comments below.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by EdgeClear
This chart shows that XAU/USD BullishThis chart shows that XAU/USD is currently moving within an ascending channel, with clear support at the lower trendline and resistance at the upper trendline. The market is currently resting near $2700, testing the upper trendline and the key resistance level around $2726.67. Key Levels Analysis: 1. Resistance at $2726.67: If this level is broken, the market could rally toward $2750 or even $2800. Strong bullish signals, like increased trading volume or global uncertainty, could drive this breakout. 2. Support at $2586.07: If the market pulls back and breaks below this level, it could drop further toward $2540.18. This would indicate a shift away from the current uptrend. Why is the market resting? Strong resistance: The area around $2720 acts as a significant challenge, as traders might hesitate without a clear breakout signal. Awaiting economic catalysts: The market may be waiting for key events, like the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions or shifts in the U.S. dollar, to determine the next move. Recharging momentum: Sometimes, the market pauses near key levels to gather strength before making a decisive move. What to Expect? If the market breaks above $2726.67, I expect a strong bullish continuation, with targets at $2750 and possibly higher. If it breaks below $2586.07, the market could reverse and head toward $2540 or lower. My Prediction: I believe the market is more likely to break the upper trendline and maintain its bullish momentum. Current signals suggest strong support for further upside, and if trading volume increases, we’ll likely see a breakout above resistance. So, my target is $2750 and beyond, assuming the breakout is confirmed! 📈✨
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by professionalgoldtrader
WTI tests resistance after bouncing from $75"We will drill, baby, drill" That's what Donald Trump said yesterday and is what makes me think oil is headed lower in longer-term outlook, or at best upside should be limited in long-term. In short-term a lot can happen of course, but right now the path of least resistance appears to be to the downside. WTI has been trending lower in the last few days and broken some important support levels. These levels have turned into resistance. For example: $77.00. Earlier, prices dipped to test the first major support area around 75.00, and it bounced from there. But thanks to Trump's bearish oil policy, we could see the selling resume. At the time of writing, WTI was testing another broken support level around the 75.80 to 76.05 area. Will we see the sellers return here? By Fawad Razaqada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:USOILShort
by FOREXcom
Gold is still on the riseThe euro and the pound have gained against the dollar, putting the two currencies on track for their biggest one-day gains against the dollar in more than a year. The reason is that new President Donald Trump will not impose tariffs on US trading partners on his first day in office. On the other hand, analysts say that the import tariffs that Donald Trump is expected to impose are being exaggerated. Accordingly, the dollar may continue to depreciate in the coming time, which is beneficial for the gold market. As the dollar depreciates, gold becomes more attractive to holders of other currencies. Meanwhile, traders expect gold prices to rise even further in the future. Gold could surge above $2,800 if Donald Trump puts his proposals into action. Persistent inflation and rising economic uncertainty as government debt continues to rise are helping push gold prices to a key resistance level above $2,700 an ounce. While gold is seeing solid gains, some analysts note that the precious metal still has a long way to go before it breaks out of a two-month consolidation. 🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2739 2741 🔥 ✔️TP1: 2720 ✔️TP2: 2710 ✔️TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2746
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold price analysis according to trendline and Fibonacci🔆 Gold prices have risen significantly following the inauguration of US President Donald Trump. 🔆 The increase is attributed to a weaker US dollar as markets assess the impact of economic policies during President Trump's second term. The US dollar fell about 1% after reports that any new taxes would be "moderate". The weakening of the US dollar makes gold more attractive to foreign investors. 🔆 Some of President Trump's policies could lead to higher inflation in the long term, which would continue to support safe-haven assets such as gold. 🔆 However, it is important to note that President Trump's policies, while likely to boost inflation, could also prompt the US Federal Reserve to maintain or raise interest rates, affecting the appeal of gold. Gold typically thrives in a low-interest-rate environment. 🔆 Overall, gold prices are reacting positively to current political and economic developments, especially the new administration's trade and fiscal policies. 🔆Analysis: Based on Fibonacci, Trendline, resistance - support zones to come up with a reasonable method 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉 Buy XAU 2700 – 2702 ❌SL: 2695 | ✅TP: 2708 - 2716 – 2724 👉SELL XAU 2740-2742 ❌SL: 2746 | ✅TP: 2735 - 2729 - 2720 Thank you for reading my comment: "FM"
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FM-ForexMastermind
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FX:XAUUSDEducation
by Mindbloome-Trading
GOLD 100% SIGNAL ALERT!🚀 Attention, investors! 🌟 XAUUSD is on fire, breaking barriers with style! 🔥 Here's the scoop: 🔍 XAUUSD Analysis: 📊 Caught in a thrilling showdown between 2724 and 2730. 🤔 Ready for the breakout? 📉 Downside Potential: 📉 Brace for potential sell-offs if it slips below the range! 🎯 Targets: 2715, 2705. 📈 Upside Potential: 📈 Get ready for buying opportunities if it breaks above! 🎯 Targets: 2735, 2743. 💬 Join the Conversation: 💬 Share your insights as we navigate this golden journey! 🗣️ Let's make magic happen! 💼💫
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GOLD_TREND_GURU
Analysis of the latest gold market trends: Analysis of gold news: On Monday (January 20) in the European market, spot gold maintained its rebound trend, and the current gold price is around $2,711/ounce; gold traders will focus on the inauguration of US President-elect Donald Trump, whose remarks may cause sharp market fluctuations. On January 20, Eastern Time, US President-elect Trump will hold an inauguration ceremony, and the highlight of the ceremony - Trump's swearing-in ceremony and inauguration speech will be held at 12 noon Eastern Time, when Trump will officially start his second presidential term. The outside world expects Trump's extensive trade tariffs to further stimulate inflation and trigger a trade war, which may increase the safe-haven appeal of gold. Looking ahead to this trading day, gold prices are still facing the risk of two-way fluctuations. The thin market trading during the holiday and speculation around Trump's "first day" executive order may exaggerate the fluctuations of gold prices. The uncertainty of Trump's tariffs and trade policies on the global economy and their potential impact on economic growth are expected to maintain the safe-haven demand for gold. In addition, January 20 (Monday) is "Martin Luther King Day", and the US stock market will be closed for one day. Gold technical analysis: Gold prices bottomed out and rebounded in the early Asian session, and the low point happened to be at the 2690 line, which is also consistent with the point expected by our professional and senior gold analyst team last week. Gold has opened a deep V rebound pattern with a large amplitude. For now, the early trading directly continued to decline. In the short term, it is expected to retrace the four-hour lower line and the weekly chart gap. The hourly chart is also short-selling. Therefore, for the current market, theoretically speaking, it is definitely a rebound high to short. There is no US market today, so waiting for the rebound to short can only be a slogan. Although the market continues to fall, it is not suitable for chasing shorts. The upper pressure is 2713. If it rebounds to this point during the day, an effective short order can be made. The lower side gradually sees 2690 and 2680, and the strong force directly sees 2650. The 4th cycle of gold is very obvious. 2725 peaked, Bollinger closed, and after continuous negative closing, the moving average spread up and down. At the beginning of the week, it should at least go to the 2670 support point below. Therefore, this proves that 2680 will definitely break, and the trend this week will definitely Will switch, therefore, to be firmly bearish on gold until the effective expected target is reached. On the whole, our professional and senior gold analyst team recommends rebound shorting as the main operation strategy for gold today, and callback longing as the auxiliary. The short-term focus on the upper side is 2720-2725 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 2695-2690 support.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Caesar_Gorman01
Moustafa! WTI Crude Oil to surge up still to the upside 21.01.25* Broke the weekly and the daily descending line and made already the pullback and intends currently to settle on and bounce from to the upside towards the mentioned TPs * You can enter from the current level at 76,480 or you could wait till 75,059 so you can decide according the price action you follow. Note: My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help. I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
FX:USOILLong
by moustafa_marei
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