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2024-12-19 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax futures - Neutral. Bears confirmed the sell-off and bears are hoping for a second leg down. I lean to closing tomorrow near 20000 instead of a big second leg down tomorrow but I am open to surprises. Anything above 20150 would surprise me. comment : Bear confirmation and I got 2 measured move targets between 19750 and 19800. Can we get there tomorrow? Possible but not likely I think. We saw decent buying above 19900 and I think it’s more reasonable to expect a close of the week around 19950 - 20000. If bear gap from 20100 - 20200 stay open for the whole 100 points, it would show great bear strength and we could expect a bigger second leg down. Base case for me tomorrow is chop from hell. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 19800 - 20200 bull case: Bulls tried multiple times and market still closed the US session at the lows. Best bulls can hope for tomorrow is to prevent the second leg down and stay above 19900. Invalidation is below 19900. bear case: Follow-through selling by the bears which is nice. For now I think it’s more reasonable for bears to take profits going into quad witching and that’s probably why we saw a bigger trading range today. Look at the 1h 20ema and if it continues to be resistance. Invalidation is above 20200. short term: Neutral around 20000 and very bearish below 19900. I expect this week to close a bit below 20000 and anything below 19900 would surprise me. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-15: Will write a new outlook for 2025 next week. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Chop chop. Best trade was probably selling the double top bar 54 (prev high was bar 35).
EUREX:FDXSZ2024
by priceactiontds
1
2024-12-19 - priceactiontds - daily update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr gold - Bearish. I doubt we can close the week below 2560 but we now have a giant bear gap between 2615 - 2652. No interested in selling this tomorrow but if we close the week below 2600, the bull trend is gone for good. comment : No matter what you think China is doing with Gold, this market is going down. We are 200 points below the ath and the bull trend is most likely over. If we close this week below 2630, it would be the second close below the weekly 20ema since January. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 2590 - 2640 bull case : Bulls are in pain. Every rip is sold hard and we have a clear bear channel. Hard to come up with arguments for the bulls right now. Best they can hope for is to stay above 2600 but this market is as weak as it gets since last week. Invalidation is below 2595. bear case: 2566 is their main target and I am not confident they can get it tomorrow. I expect more chop near 2600 over the next 2 weeks but for Q1 I have wet dreams about 2400. If you want to trade this, look for shorts near the 3h or 4h 20ema and longs only if 2600 continues to be bigger support. Invalidation is above 2642. short term: Neutral. I don’t expect this to go into the weekend far from 2600 but for next 2 weeks I have 2 measured move targets below 2570. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-19: No bigger opinion on this for the rest of 2024. Market is in balance until we see a new impulse. Likely close around 2600. current swing trade: None trade of the day: selling near the 4h 20ema or bear trend line.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
by priceactiontds
Gold - Starting A Major -25% Correction!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) is starting to reject resistance: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After rallying an incredible +35% during 2024, Gold is now (finally) starting to show some expected weakness at a major resistance trendline. Following this quite significant overextension, it is quite likely that we will see at least a short term bearish correction now. Levels to watch: $2.700, $2.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:GOLDShort
by basictradingtv
8
ES: Where I see Mrs. Market is headingEnd of this year or early next year might be in for some kind of a shocker. If the current ending diagonal is true, then ES should not see 6300 at this point. Either the Fed or all this tariff talk may tank the market in the coming weeks. If we say the rules of alternation in play, then the wave 4 should be steep and quick. Wave 2 took 10 months and was choppy. Wave 4 should take about half that time and should get into wave 1 territory at 4788. That would put the market in the bear market territory and most pundits should call for the lost decade. But I see one more high to end the 100 year cycle sometime around 2026.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by mukit1
Could the Silver rise from here?The price is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 28.78 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Stop loss: 27.71 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 29.83 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAGUSDLong
by VantageMarkets
1
Bearish drop?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 2,647.58 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 2,649.06 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 2,562.07 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by VantageMarkets
Gold operation strategy: short selling on rebound is the generalFrom the 4-hour analysis, the upper resistance is around 2625-30. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue to be short and follow the trend to fall. The lower target is still concerned about breaking the bottom. The short-term long and short strength watershed is 2640. The daily level is under pressure below this position and continues to maintain the main short rhythm of the rebound. The long position against the trend will not participate. Gold operation strategy: 1. Gold rebounds to 2625-2632 line short, stop loss 2637, target 2605-2600 line;
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SPPOK1
1
Assetartisan1. Change of Character (ChoCH): A bearish ChoCH is visible, signaling a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish, suggesting a potential downward continuation. 2. Key Levels: The price has retraced into a supply zone (highlighted in red), which aligns with the bearish sentiment. This area acts as a strong resistance. 3. Liquidity Grab: Before moving down, the price seems to have cleared liquidity by spiking into the supply zone. This would remove stop losses and trap buyers, allowing sellers to dominate. 4. Risk-Reward Setup: The entry appears to be near the supply zone with stop-loss protection above it. The target likely aligns with the next demand zone or weak low (indicated by the horizontal line around 2,586). 5. Momentum Confirmation: The bearish candles following the ChoCH confirm selling pressure. This reinforces the idea of a continuation to the downside. Summary: This trade aligns with a sell setup due to: A bearish ChoCH. Entry in a supply zone. Potential liquidity grab. Clear risk-reward with targets to the downside. Let me know if you'd like further clarification!
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Tusharshelke
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: Following on from the FOMC trade plan where we managed to get the extension level we wanted and the long for a phenomenal capture upside into the order region we wanted. We then activate short, currently running from the above protected and expecting it to hit target over the coming sessions. To be honest, for Gold, that is us done for the week unless there are decent setups on the red box indi's. For now, support is holding at 2590 so we would expect a move upside in attempt to close above the 2600 level with a potential retracement into 2603-6. It here we want to see a RIP and then a continuation of the move downside unless we break above the extension level 2630. It's a crazy market but it's giving, so please don't try and milk it now, it's Friday tomorrow and they will want to take back what they've given. Time to play defence! As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
8