Futures market
Believe me, gold cannot fall all the way down
Gold prices fluctuated this week, hitting a record high of $3,500/ounce, then encountered resistance and fell to $3,300/ounce. The main reason for the record high in gold prices was that after US President Trump verbally attacked Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, the market was worried that the Federal Reserve would lose its independence. But after Trump and Bessant's remarks, market risk appetite rebounded, hitting safe-haven asset gold, and then plummeted all the way!
Is gold going to fall after a sharp retracement?
In fact, the market has a warning for today's retracement. After all, yesterday's closing line was a big negative line, so there must be a continuation in the trend of gold. Moreover, after yesterday's gold rose to 3,500, the trend weakened, and the market fell all the way to break the 3,400 mark and the 3,300 mark, and fell to the lowest level of 3,290! To be honest, this round of decline is still quite strong. After breaking the continuous positive, the market ushered in the suppression of the market retracement, and at present, there is still a trend of continuation!
In my opinion, the key entry point for long orders today is the previous rising point of 3280. The short-term retracement of gold is obviously continuing, and in the medium and long term, gold is still bullish. So our entry point is actually relatively simple. When it retreats to 3280, we can directly enter the market. There are still many opportunities for long orders. The retracement is not the peak!
Gold: 3280 more, defense 10, target 3330-45!
Join me and I will guide you to a profitable trade 💵!
Gold falls from highs, medium-term bullish structure remains uncSpot gold prices continue to fall, extending the correction of the psychological level of $3,500.
At the same time, senior Trump administration officials hinted that they are "paving the way" for a trade agreement with Asian powers, further boosting investors' confidence in the global economic outlook, thereby weakening demand for safe-haven gold.
Fed policy expectations still support gold's downward space.
Despite improved risk sentiment, the market still expects the Fed to launch a new round of interest rate cuts in June, with three rate cuts expected throughout the year, which makes gold's medium-term trend still optimistic. At present, weak US economic data and the president's erratic trade policy have further suppressed investors' confidence in US dollar assets.
Quaid believes that the market's expectations for the Fed's interest rate cuts have supported the structural upward trend of gold, even if it faces a technical correction in the short term.
Technical aspects show that gold may adjust in the short term, but the support below is strong.
Quaid's analysis:
The current adjustment pressure faced by gold comes more from short-term market sentiment repair and technical profit-taking, but the medium- and long-term fundamentals are still strong. The Fed's interest rate cut expectations have not changed, the US dollar has a clear medium-term weakening trend, and geopolitical factors are still highly uncertain. Gold is still in a bull-dominated pattern overall.
Operation strategy:
3325 long, stop loss 3315, take profit 3350. If it stops rising at 3350, traders can flip the operation strategy and short at this position.
WTI Crude 23-Apr 2025WTI showed some move up after some headlines related to sanctions imposed by the US on Iran.
Potential scenarios to monitor:
• The inability to sustain a move above the $65 level may suggest that bullish momentum remains limited, which could potentially open the door for a revisit of the previous support area near $55.
• A confirmed move and stabilization above the $65 mark may indicate scope for a continued recovery toward the $72 area.
• Around the $72 level, price action may face a decision point — a lack of further upward momentum could see a pullback toward $65, while sustained buying interest might support a move toward the $80 area.
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Analysis of gold short-term operation ideasGold price is currently trading below 3330. The downward trend in Asian session broke through the 3315 position in the morning. Our short position also successfully harvested a wave of big profits. Gold price showed signs of rebound in early European session. Now the upper pressure level can be moved down. The short-term pressure level is 3318, followed by the second highest point on the way up at 3357. The lower support level focuses on 3285. After effectively breaking through, we can focus on 3245. Now gold price is trading near the early low of 3315. The prudent operation idea is to go short at 3320 for protection at 3331 and wait for the gold price to reach 3285. After the break, wait for the rebound to 3300 and go short again to see the position of 3245. Long positions are not recommended.
Gold Slides on Trade Deal Optimism – Key Support Levels to WatchFrom a monthly perspective, Gold’s broader trajectory appears to align with a classic cup and handle formation, targeting the $3,700 and $4,000 per ounce levels—supported by a clear hold above $3,500. However, given the steep momentum currently in play, significant headwinds are likely as the market consolidates.
These may serve to recharge monthly momentum that currently aligns with 2020 and 2008 highs before the broader uptrend resumes.
On the 4-hour chart, downside levels below 2390 are more clearly defined, with potential support around 2320, 3170, 3080, and 2960—and, in more extreme conditions, 2800.
Given the prevailing safe-haven demand, market uncertainty, and heightened speculation, these levels should be approached incrementally to manage risk and confirm the re-emergence of risk-on sentiment.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
Brent Crude Oil oversold bounce capped at 7110Brent Crude Oil is showing bearish sentiment, in line with the current downtrend. Recent price action to be an oversold bounce back towards a key consolidation zone, adding pressure to the downside.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 7110 (current swing low, now resistance), 7240, 7390
Support: 6583, 6500, 6400
Bearish Outlook:
Price has broken below 7110, which was a key intraday consolidation level. If Brent Crude sees a short-term bounce but fails to break above 7110, it could resume its downward move toward 6583, then 6500, and possibly 6400 over time.
Bullish Scenario:
If Brent Crude breaks above 7110 and closes above it on the daily chart, the bearish setup would be invalidated. This could open the door for a rally toward 7240, then 7400.
Conclusion:
The trend remains bearish below 7110. A rejection at this level would reinforce the downside bias. However, a confirmed break and daily close above 7110 would shift the outlook to bullish in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Gold Drops Shock: Breaking Up the Upward ChannelThe 4-hour chart of gold shows a clear scenario of breaking the upward channel. After reaching a peak of nearly $3,495/ounce, the gold price has plummeted and is currently fluctuating around $3,325 – close to the EMA89 support and in the accumulation zone (green box) as per technical analysis. The EMA34 line has also been penetrated, confirming that the medium-term uptrend is losing strength.
This decline is not only due to technical factors but also due to the influence of political and economic information. President Trump's statement about not firing the FED Chairman and the expectation of future interest rate cuts have helped the risk sentiment recover. US stocks have rebounded strongly, causing investors to withdraw capital from gold – a safe-haven asset – and return to stocks.
Combining both technical and news factors, this deep decline is largely due to the reversal of market sentiment and strong profit-taking pressure after a prolonged increase. The chart pattern also suggests that the price may continue to fluctuate in the $3,280–$3,340 range to consolidate before a new round of volatility. If it breaks below the green box, gold could continue to correct deeper towards the $3,200 mark.
GOLD: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
GOLD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GOLD
Entry Level - 3326.0
Sl - 3316.8
Tp - 3356.6
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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GOLD - at his fresh resistance ? What's next??#GOLD... perfect drop below our area as we told youabout CUT N REVERSE.
now market have 3328 to 3332 region as a current resistance region.
And market dropped 200 points around in 2 days (almost 1 day and 1 hour)
So keep close your region because if market holds that then further drop expected.
Good luck
Trade wisely
WTI Crude Oil oversold bounce back resistance at 6600WTI Crude Oil is showing bearish sentiment, in line with the current downtrend. Recent price action appears to be an oversold bounce back. A break below a key consolidation zone, could add pressure to the downside.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 6600 (former support, now resistance), 6670, 6750
Support: 6323, 6165, 6045
Bearish Outlook:
Price has broken below 6600, which was a key intraday consolidation level. If WTI sees a short-term bounce but fails to break above 6600, it could resume its downward move toward 6323, then 6165, and possibly 6045 over time.
Bullish Scenario:
If WTI breaks above 6600 and closes above it on the daily chart, the bearish setup would be invalidated. This could open the door for a short squeeze rally toward 6670, then 6760.
Conclusion:
The trend remains bearish below 6600. A rejection at this level would reinforce the downside bias. However, a confirmed break and daily close above 6600 would shift the outlook to bullish in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GOLD - at his fresh resistance ? What's next??#GOLD... perfect drop below our area as we told youabout CUT N REVERSE.
now market have 3328 to 3332 region as a current resistance region.
And market dropped 200 points around in 2 days (almost 1 day and 1 hour)
So keep close your region because if market holds that then further drop expected.
Good luck
Trade wisely
Crude Oil Tests Critical Support Level at $65.10FenzoFx—Crude Oil is consolidating below the $65.10 resistance, trading around $64.30. The price remains above the 50-period SMA on the 4-hour chart, confirming a bullish trend. However, the Stochastic Oscillator crossing above 20 signals overbought conditions, suggesting a potential pullback.
If oil stays below $65.10, a bearish wave could follow, targeting $62.31 and then $61.75.
Bullish Scenario: A close and stabilization above $65.10 could trigger the uptrend, targeting $67.60.
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GOLD (#XAUUSD) Technical Analysis & Important Decision Point⚠️Gold is currently at a critical support level, which will be a key factor for the market.
📉Breaking below the highlighted blue support could lead to more downward movement.
The next target for sellers would be 3243.
📈Alternatively, the price could bounce off the highlighted zone. It is advisable to wait for a bullish confirmation before considering buying.
Let's wait and see how the situation unfolds.
200 SMA pie for Bears SMA is a bold indicator to know analyze the price run & reccent prices was up by 21% & gap up opening in few trading sessions--makes a great bear move to catch let's understand.
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1) Gold is a commodity.
2) Which oftely don't show the big price moves.
3) 4 gap up opening in last 15 sessions.
4) Unusual volumes and move of the price.
5) Geoplitical Tensions of US-Tarrifs making gold the most attractive investment.
6) 20.65% up from 200SMA.
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Less favroble for buyers and with good money for bears to make, unless some investment bank put in a 1/2 Billion.... GoMakeIt
Is gold’s downtrend turning bearish?Gold plunged from a high of 3,500 yesterday, mainly because US President Trump said at the swearing-in ceremony of SEC Chairman Atkins on Tuesday that he had no intention of firing Fed Chairman Powell, although he was disappointed that the Fed did not cut interest rates faster. The cooling of risk aversion directly affected the gold price, which once fell to $3,366, and then closed around 3,382, with the largest drop of 134 points on Tuesday. This wave of gold correction is still continuing. After opening today, it fell straight to 3,315. Although the decline has now been completely recovered, I think the short position still has continuity, so today's operation strategy is still mainly high-altitude.
GOLD Is Very Bullish! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 3,329.08.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 3,396.74 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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XAUUSD Today's strategyThere has been a remarkable negative correlation between DXY and gold prices for a long time. Although this internal logic is short-term disturbed by multiple complex factors, the core correlation has always dominated the market rhythm. Recently, the joint remarks by the U.S. Treasury Secretary and Trump on easing tariff issues may boost the U.S. dollar emotionally in the short term, thereby suppressing the bullish momentum of gold. However, this impact needs to be examined within the macro framework.
Currently, the high uncertainty of the global economy, the intermittent escalation of geopolitical risks, and the reconstruction of inflation expectations in some economies jointly form a long-term supporting logic for the safe-haven attribute of gold. From a trading perspective, the above-mentioned short-term disturbances instead provide a window for strategic allocation —
Long-term investors who have not yet positioned or exited midway can take the opportunity of market sentiment fluctuations to build positions in batches, with key attention paid to the test opportunities of the critical support range of $3,250-$3,280。
Short-term traders need to strengthen discipline and strictly follow the established stop-loss and take-profit rules. Given the amplified volatility and enhanced randomness of the current market, it is recommended to appropriately shorten the operation cycle and closely track the intraday dynamics to adjust strategies.
Overall, the marginal changes in tariff policy expectations only constitute small-level fluctuations in the trend process, and the medium-to-long-term upward logic of gold remains undamaged. Investors can grasp structural opportunities under the premise of controlling positions according to their own risk preferences.
XAUUSD
buy@3250-3280
tp:3300-3340
I hope this strategy will be helpful to you.
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Gold Price Plunges After Climbing to $3,500 for the First TimeGold Price Plunges After Climbing to $3,500 for the First Time
As the XAU/USD chart shows:
→ Yesterday, the spot gold price stopped just a few cents short of the key psychological level of $3,500 (and even exceeded it on the futures market);
→ But this morning, an ounce is trading around $3,300, having dropped aggressively by more than 5%.
Why Did Gold Suddenly Drop?
The sharp decline followed a shift in rhetoric from President Trump. According to Reuters:
→ The US President backed away from threats to dismiss Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell;
→ He also signalled a more moderate stance on tariffs against China.
Market participants interpreted this as a reason to take profits on long positions, as the softened tone from the White House reduced demand for safe-haven assets. As a result, gold collapsed from its historic high, while the US dollar index rebounded from multi-month lows.
Technical Analysis of the XAU/USD Chart
Gold price fluctuations have formed an upward channel (highlighted in blue), with key reversal points marked for constructing the channel. From this perspective, one interpretation is that the upper boundary marked a price area where gold was extremely overbought. Now, the imbalance in market sentiment may be driving the price back towards the median, where supply and demand tend to stabilise.
And although the $3,300 level is currently acting as support, the XAU/USD chart reveals several signs suggesting that bears are taking control:
→ The price has dropped by approximately $200 in less than two days;
→ A bearish Fair Value Gap has formed during the decline (highlighted by a rectangle) – a pattern typically interpreted as sellers outweighing buyers;
→ The steep purple ascending channel has been broken.
It can be assumed that even if the fundamental backdrop offers reasons for a short-term price recovery, this may prove to be only a temporary bounce following a sharp shift in sentiment towards bearishness at the start of the current week.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.