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XAU/USD 14.12.2024OANDA:XAUUSD Hello traders, after we broke my last wave 4, I reinterpreted my chart view. Essentially, my second plan is now in effect. For now, we have a big (a)(b)(c) setup, within which we see a 12345 count. Currently, we are in waves 1 to 2. Wave 1 is structured as an abc correction, which itself follows an abc structure. Within the corrective wave b to c, we can also count a 12345 wave setup. Take profit for the sellers would align with the blue Fibonacci extension levels. The 100% extension (the first target) doesn't look very promising to me. It is near the 61% (orange) Fibonacci level but feels too far away. We might observe some bullish momentum there, but likely not enough. The 161% Fibonacci extension (blue), however, aligns almost exactly with the 78% Fibonacci level. If the price reaches this depth, we will likely see many traders closing their sell positions and others opening buy positions. This could generate enough momentum to create a new minor wave 1, which could then evolve into a 12345 setup for our (orange) wave (3). This is one potential scenario, but we need to observe what happens next week. If we see an impulsive move to the upside from another level, I will look for a new wave 1 and then search for higher highs. Wishing you the best of luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NeptenFX
1
XAU/USD 17.12.24OANDA:XAUUSD Hello Traders, For the upcoming week, my Elliott Wave analysis suggests higher prices. Three days ago, I shared my long-term chart projection. Now, I’ve broken it down into the minor timeframes to refine the best entry points for my strategy. If you're curious about the current wave we're in, feel free to check out my previous post: Currently, I anticipate the formation of the green Wave 1 to 2 over the next few days, with Wave 2 potentially reaching its bottom soon. We're observing a significant ABC correction. Within the larger Wave B to C, we’ve formed another perfect AB correction, which now appears to consist of a probable 1-2-3-4-5 wave structure. Today, the smaller Wave 3 hit our Fibonacci extension levels perfectly, as shown in the chart. At the moment, we’re experiencing a pullback in Wave 4, which I hope will lead to the completion of Wave 5 tomorrow. This would mark the end of the correction for the green Wave 1 to 2. A smart entry point would be around the 78.6% Fibonacci level, which also serves as a take-profit level at the 100% Fibonacci extension of the seller. This zone will be very volatile. If we gather enough momentum to establish a new Wave 1, we can definitely expect higher prices. Stay focused on the 2630 level, and good luck! If you like my idea, I’d really appreciate some likes and feedback
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NeptenFX
GOLD → Interest rates are down, but why is gold falling?FX:XAUUSD falls to 2581. Yesterday's news had a negative impact on the market and it's not about rate cuts. Technically the price confirms the bearish nature of the market. The main reason for the decline in gold prices is the Federal Reserve's caution about lowering interest rates amid the latest economic data. The US central bank lowered the interest rate by 0.25% to the range of 4.25%-4.50% as expected, but for the next year it forecasts 2 rate cuts, which is much less than expected. The Fed's hawkishness has played its role: the dollar is rising, markets are falling. Today all eyes are on GDP and initial jobless claims. Technically, the price is out of the global channel, breaking the support, gold updates the low to 2581. Resistance levels: 2620, 2630, 2636 Support levels: 2616, 2612, 2603 After updating the low, a retest of the previously broken channel boundary and imbalance zones is formed. False breakdown of key resistance, for example 2620 or 2630 and subsequent consolidation of the price below these zones may lead to further decline. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
10
copper copper price dropping fast due to the following factors Economic Factors 1. Interest Rate Concerns: The Federal Reserve's hawkish cut has strengthened the US dollar, making copper more expensive for buyers using other currencies. 2. Global Economic Slowdown: Concerns about a potential global economic slowdown, particularly in China, have led to decreased demand for copper. 3 Increased Supply: Copper production has increased, leading to a surplus in the market. 4. Decreased Demand: Weaker demand from China, the world's largest copper consumer, has contributed to the price drop. Market Sentiment 1. Risk Aversion: Investors have become more risk-averse, leading to a decrease in demand for copper and other commodities. 2. Technical Selling: Copper prices have broken through key technical levels, triggering stop-loss orders and accelerating the price decline.
OANDA:XCUUSD
by Shavyfxhub
Negative News - XAU Continues Bearish Cycle ⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold price (XAU/USD) rebounds from a one-month low near the $2,584-$2,583 region seen during the Asian session on Thursday, halting a two-day losing streak. Geopolitical tensions and trade war fears, combined with the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish shift on Wednesday, have weighed on global risk sentiment. The resulting declines in equity markets have driven safe-haven demand for gold. However, the Fed's signal of a more cautious approach to rate cuts next year has kept US Treasury yields near multi-month highs and supported the US Dollar (USD), which remains close to a two-year peak. These factors could limit gold's upside, urging caution for bullish traders. Market participants now await US economic data, including the final Q3 GDP figures and Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, for short-term trading cues. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: The FED cut 0.25 points as expected, however the statements about future plans are very negative for the market, along with the end of the year transactions will be liquidated by investors causing continued selling pressure. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2633 - $2635 SL $2640 TP1: $2625 TP2: $2610 TP3: $2600 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2585 - $2583 SL $2578 TP1: $2595 TP2: $2607 TP3: $2624 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
3
All that glitters???There are two battles over Gold at the moment, 1. The BRIB Nations supporting Gold with physical purchases with a view to creating their gold backed currency as an alternative to the US Dollar. 2. The incoming Trump administration are agressively countering this move by supporting digital alternatives backed by blockchain infrastructure,backed by the SWIFT system,the weaponised petrodollar and the global bond markets.Control is the name of the game, Technically Gold is still holding within a wide 4 hour channel but resistance is now stacking overhead as per the attached chart.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by pauljmoran60
3
XAUUSD Gold price recovers further from one-month low, climbs to $2,620 amid risk-off mood Gold price attracts some haven flows in the wake of the post-FOMC sell-off in the equity markets. The Fed’s hawkish outlook lifts the US bond yields to a multi-month high and might the XAU/USD. Traders now look to the US Q3 GDP print for some impetus ahead of the US PCE data on FridayFrom a technical perspective, the overnight close below the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), for the first time since October 2023, and the $2,600 mark was seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart have just started gaining negative traction and suggest that the path of least resistance for the Gold price remains to the downside. Meanwhile, Thursday's attempted recovery stalls near the $2,618 region, or the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the latest leg down from over a one-month high touched last week. The said area should now act as a pivotal point, above which a fresh bout of a short-covering could lift the XAU/USD towards the $2,635 area, or the 38.2% Fibo., en route to 50% retracement level, around the $2,655-2,656 supply zoneGold price (XAU/USD) builds on its goodish intraday recovery from a one-month low and climbs to a fresh daily high, around the $2,622 area during the early part of the European session on Thursday. The global risk sentiment took a turn for the worse in reaction to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish cut on Wednesday. This, along with geopolitical risks and trade war fears, turn out to be key factors driving haven flows towards the precious metal. Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) is seen consolidating the previous day's post-FOMC gains to a two-year top and does little to provide any impetus to the Gold price. That said, the Fed's signal that it would slow the pace of interest rate cuts continues to lift the US Treasury bond yields and acts as a tailwind for the buck. This, in turn, might keep a lid on any further gains for the non-yielding yellow metal and warrants some caution for bullish traders
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KingForex078
Nasdaq Futures Rebound or More Decline? Key Levels and StrategieDive into today's analysis of Nasdaq futures for Thursday, December 19, 2024. After yesterday’s significant 1,000+ point drop following interest rate announcements, we assess whether the market will rebound or continue its decline. Here's what you'll discover: 📉 Short Strategies: Key levels like 21,620 and 21,540, with setups to capitalize on continued bearish momentum. 📈 Long Opportunities: Critical zones for potential recoveries, such as 21,700 and 21,870, targeting a resumption of the rally. 📊 Market Context: Insight into yesterday’s drop and its implications for both intraday and longer-term trends. If you’re looking for actionable insights and high-probability setups in a volatile market, this video is for you. Learn how to react to price movements and position yourself effectively. 🔗 Subscribe now for daily market updates, trading strategies, and exclusive content to enhance your trading performance. Don’t miss it!
CME_MINI:MNQH2025Short
by BinvestorsTrading