Closing all of my orders with ProfitTechnical analysis: Gold almost hit the #3,288.80 level and pulled back, not only due to #3,275.70 - #3,285.80 representing the Support zone (May #25 cycle / extended High’s resemblance) but also due today’s parallel decline on DX (inverse correlation). I have a similar sequence lately. Yesterday’s U.S. session Daily chart’s candle pierced the Lower High’s Upper zone extension to the downside, seen many times lately however seems like the market keeps getting reversed there, then yesterday's Daily chart candle even though it opened with a new High’s, again closed above the Daily chart’s Higher High’s (was then) extension, and today's session candle is comfortably Trading above it with it’s High’s exactly on the #3,327.80 pressure point. Current sequence resembles the standard Support and Resistance pricing patterns. Daily chart is slowly turning Neutral and almost near the local High’s, so still a valid Sell entry exists only if #3,327.80 Resistance (was acting as an Support) reverses the Price-action. I formulate my Short-term approach based on the Hourly 4 chart where Price-action is Trading on pure Fundamental pressure, as I mentioned (check November #9 cycle where Buyers risen and Bought the Bottom, and as long as the Weekly chart’s Resistance zone is intact (even though it represents strong Resistance zone)), the Medium-term trend remains Bullish however I will keep operating within Neutral Rectangle of #3,288.80 - #3,352.80.
My position: As stated, I have expected #3,288.80 to pose as an excellent Support where I Bought Gold multiple times and kept a third runner from #3,288.80 towards #3,313.80. As I am Highly satisfied with yesterday's session Profit, I will monitor the Price-action from sidelines and Trade the break-out.
Futures market
FURTHER SHORT POSITIONSXAU/USD 1H - I am looking for further short opportunities on this market as well this week. Waiting for price to trade us up and into the area of Supply I have gone ahead and marked out for you all.
As soon as we see price trade us up and into the Supply Zone above, we have means to look to short assuming price breaks down nicely and delivers us with the confluence we need in order to enter.
I want to see price trade up, trade in and break structure to the downside fractally, in doing so we the confirmation needed to actually add to our short positions, riding price down and into the Demand Zone below.
Once we have all pieces of confluence, I will let you all know and if the trading opportunity presents itself I will be sure to keep you posted and send out the trade I am placing myself.
Gold at Key Resistance | XAU/USD Bearish Rejection Imminent?Gold is back inside the major supply zone (3,324 – 3,425) and showing early signs of exhaustion after multiple failed breakout attempts. This area previously acted as a strong distribution zone, and price is once again reacting with rejection wicks and reduced momentum.
⚠️ Look how price failed to sustain new highs post-spike in early May. If sellers step in here again, we could be seeing the beginning of a major correction.
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🔹 Key Levels:
🔵 Supply Zone (Resistance): 3,324 – 3,425
⚫ Pivot Zone: 3,200 – 3,223
🟠 Demand Zone (Support): 2,706 – 2,800
🔵 Last Strong Support: 3,051.211
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📊 Outlook: Bearish Bias
🔻 If price breaks below 3,200 with volume:
🎯 TP1: 3,051
🎯 TP2: 2,800
🎯 TP3: 2,706
📉 Invalidation: Break and close above 3,425
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🧠 Confluence Factors:
Previous strong supply rejection
Weekly USD news volatility ahead (see calendar icons) 🇺🇸
Possible bearish divergence forming on momentum indicators (not shown on chart)
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💬 What I’m Watching:
If Gold forms a bearish engulfing pattern or prints a lower high, I’m entering short with targets down to the major demand area below.
📣 Drop your bias in the comments – bullish breakout or bearish reversal?
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#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SmartMoney #LuxAlgo #TradingView #GoldAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #BearishSetup
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps youThe situation in the Middle East remains tense. Although progress has been made in the Iranian nuclear negotiations, the outcome of the negotiations is full of uncertainties. There are numerous contradictions between the United States and Iran, and Israel is also eyeing Iran's nuclear facilities. Once a conflict breaks out, Iran's crude oil production and exports will be hindered, and oil transportation channels in the Middle East may also be affected, leading to a significant reduction in global crude oil supply. As a result, oil prices will likely rise rapidly. Such potential geopolitical risks provide room for imagination for the rise in crude oil prices.
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you
USOIL BUY@60.5~61
SL:59.5
TP:61.5~62
XAUUSD Technical Outlook – Golden Cross in FocusGold is showing signs of recovery on the H1 timeframe, rebounding from the critical $3,290 support zone after a brief consolidation phase. A notable development is the 50-period moving average crossing above the 200-period MA — forming a Golden Cross, which is a classic bullish signal suggesting upward momentum may strengthen in the near term.
🔍 Momentum Insights:
Resistance Check: On the micro-level, XAUUSD is approaching short-term resistance — the 50-MA itself — which may offer temporary friction.
MACD Confirmation: The MACD histogram has crossed above the signal line, reinforcing bullish divergence and signaling growing upward momentum.
Structure: Price is maintaining higher lows while respecting the moving average structure — a sign of controlled bullish development.
📈 #TradeIdea – Breakout Strategy
We are watching for a buy opportunity above the $3,320 breakout level, aligning with a shift in both momentum and structure.
🔼 Long Setup:
📍 Entry: Buy on breakout above $3,320
🎯 Target 1: $3,350
🎯 Target 2: $3,365
🛡️ Stop-loss can be trailed below $3,290 (support turned invalidation)
GOLD (XAUUSD): Pullback From Support📈GOLD appears to be bullish following a test of crucial horizontal support.
As a confirmation, I spotted a cup and handle pattern on an hourly.
Its neckline was violated with a strong bullish momentum.
I anticipate the price will continue to rise, reaching at least 3340 soon, and potentially up to 3362.
Gold is waiting for a breakthrough? A new trend?In the Asian market, gold has repeatedly tested the downward trend near $3,300. As of now, it has stabilized above $3,300 again. The current highest rebound is around $3,323. The price is under pressure at this position and keeps testing to break through this position.
From the hourly chart, the previous trend of falling from $3,365 was a decline and then rebound. The current trend from $3,350 is the same. The current market is around $3,325, which is the position we need to pay attention to.
If gold breaks through and stabilizes at $3,325 next, it will test the intraday high of $3,335.
Therefore, I suggest that you can maintain the 3,325-3,335 US dollars to enter the market for short selling. You can use yesterday's high of $3,350 as a defense. The target is the support of $3,300 below today.
XAUUSD Expecting Bullish movementSupport Zone
Marked in red the price recently tested this zone and sharply rebounded indicating strong buyer interest
The red circle highlights a possible false breakout" or liquidity grab below support
Reversal Structure
The yellow zigzag line outlines a projected bullish reversal pattern
This includes a potential double bottom or higher low formation which is a classic bullish signal
Upside Targets
Target 1 $3324 First resistance or take profit level
Target 2 $3338 Intermediate resistance
Final Target $3350 Major resistance or bullish target zone
Gold Market Sweeps to Mitigate 3290’s Demands projection Gold market executes a clean sweep through to mitigate demand at the 3290’s, aligning with the daily candle formation projection. This move reflects a continuation of structured market behavior as it prepares for the next bullish momentum.
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XAUUSD buy now XAUUSD next move opportunity Instrument: Gold Spot (XAU/USD), 1H chart
Price Level: $3,323.31
Highlighted Zone: A support area around $3,310–$3,315
Outlook: Bullish, with two potential upward paths indicated (green and red arrows)
Assumption: Price will hold the support zone and bounce higher
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
It's been a fantastic start to the week with the red box holding nicely to give traders the short trade using the red boxes and KOG's target levels, which are all completed for the week here.
We now have support below at the 3285 level which if continues to hold, should give traders another opportunity into that 3306-10 region. We've already taken one into 3304, so for us no more trading until tomorrow. That's the level to watch in our opinion for a potential flip.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUAD UPDATE 28 - 5 - 2025This is a technical analysis chart for Gold (CFDs on Gold, USD/OZ) on a 45-minute timeframe from TradingView. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
Chart Summary (as of May 28, 2025):
Current Price: $3,321.640 (up +0.64%)
Chart Timeframe: 45 minutes
Highlighted Zones:
Resistance Zone (Top Yellow Area): Around 3,355–3,360
Support Zones (Middle to Bottom Yellow Areas):
~3,280
~3,240
~3,200
Chart Annotations:
Blue Arrows: Indicate a projected price movement:
1. Short-Term Bullish Move: A rise toward the resistance area near 3,360.
2. Followed by Bearish Reversal: A sharp drop expected after reaching the resistance zone, possibly down to the 3,280 or lower support zone.
Volume Bars: Shown at the bottom, giving insight into trade activity. A noticeable spike in volume supports the prior price drop and recovery pattern.
Interpretation:
The analyst expects a bullish continuation in the short term, reaching the resistance zone around 3,360.
After testing resistance, a rejection and bearish reversal is anticipated, targeting the support zone around 3,280 or even 3,240.
This strategy appears to rely on support/resistance trading and reversal patterns.
Would you like an assessment of the likelihood of this move or suggestions for entry/exit points?
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of news. Retest of resistanceFX:XAUUSD remained above the key support level of 3280 and is testing intermediate resistance. Against the backdrop of the dollar's decline, the metal has a chance to continue its growth...
Gold is trading in consolidation ahead of the Fed meeting minutes. Easing trade risks and the dollar's recovery triggered a correction from the recent peak of $3366. Against the backdrop of the dollar's correction, the metal is entering a phase of local rally and testing resistance at 0.5f
The Fed is maintaining a cautious tone, and the market is waiting for signals on interest rates. The escalation of the conflict in Ukraine and the threat of new sanctions from Trump did not cause significant concern in the markets. Investors are waiting for drivers
Resistance levels: 3322, 3348, 3363
Support levels: 3290, 3282, 3265
A small correction may form from 3322 before growth continues. The market is interested in liquidity in the 3348-3363 zone, and the price is likely to test this zone. However, further developments depend on the fundamental background. Rising economic risks or hints of interest rate cuts could support the price of gold.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold May Undergo Short-Term Correction as USD Rebounds📊 Market Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,320/oz on May 28, 2025, after failing to break above a key resistance zone. The US dollar’s recovery and rising Treasury yields are putting short-term pressure on gold, despite lingering geopolitical tensions.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,330 – $3,360
• Nearest Support: $3,280 – $3,235
• EMA 09: Price is currently above the EMA 09, indicating that the upward trend remains intact.
• RSI Indicator: RSI stays above the 50 level, suggesting momentum is still bullish.
• Candlestick Pattern: A doji near the $3,330 zone signals market indecision.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may see a mild correction if the USD continues to strengthen. However, holding above $3,280 would keep the bullish momentum alive.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,330
🎯 TP: $3,310 (200 pips)
❌ SL: $3,340
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,285
🎯 TP: $3,305 (200 pips)
❌ SL: $3,275
XAU/USD 28 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Daily Analysis: 28‑05‑2025
Spot gold closed yesterday with a 1.3% decline, settling at 3,301. This drop appears to have been driven by improved U.S. consumer confidence, which strengthened the dollar, alongside rising global risk appetite and the postponement of the 50% tariffs on the European Union until July 9.
Additionally, hawkish remarks from New York Fed President John Williams—emphasizing the need for strong central bank action if inflation deviates from target—were interpreted as tightening in tone, further supporting the dollar.
On the geopolitical front, the U.S. announced new sanctions on Russia. Today’s agenda includes the release of the FOMC meeting minutes and a 5-year U.S. Treasury bond auction.
Technical Outlook:
If the support at 3,288 (monthly average) is broken, the price may move toward 3,250. On the upside, resistance levels are seen at 3,320 and 3,355.
Gold is about to reach the shorting zone
The tariff policy against Europe and Apple was temporarily shelved last Friday due to the decline in the credibility of the Trump administration, which failed to push gold prices up this week. Instead, gold prices continue to fluctuate within the downward channel. Currently, the focus is on the resistance level of $3,325-3,335, and shorting can be attempted near this level.
Pay close attention to whether the support level of $3,280 and the resistance level of $3,365 are broken.
Gold trading direction remains bullish
Gold prices fell under pressure, breaking through 3,300 points during the session and eventually closing at a low level. The lack of fundamental support and the rise in US assets eventually caused gold prices to fall back, and are still in a falling stage.
At the beginning of this week, we made it clear that we would not enter the market at a high level to chase the rise. Gold prices are facing important technical suppression. Falling back may be inevitable, but it is also normal. Only by falling back can we expand the space for rising prices. The upward trend will not be changed during the adjustment. Under this development background, the next trading path is clear.
At the beginning of the week, although the US dollar rebounded, it is still unknown whether it can continue!
After the 20-year US Treasury auction last week was cold, this week will usher in the 5-year and 7-year Treasury auctions. If it is cold again, the market will only increase its distrust of the entire US assets. If so, it will theoretically be good for gold prices.
On Thursday, the market will welcome the minutes of the Federal Reserve's May monetary policy meeting, followed by speeches by several Federal Reserve officials. What will be the final tone? It is difficult to make predictions and affirmations now, and the market needs to observe inflation from this meeting and speech most, so as to clarify expectations on whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates or not, which requires special attention.
5.29 Federal Reserve Meeting Minutes
Whether the gold price retreats or fluctuates, it will not change the upward trend. This is a point we have made clear many times, but it should be noted that it is different from last year.
This year's rise is unlikely to rise from the beginning of the year to the end of the year like last year. This year's rise must go through multiple cycles and large space back and forth, especially leveraged transactions. Positions must be controlled and risks must be strictly controlled. Those who are not leveraged only need to wait patiently and use time to exchange space.
Yesterday, the price of gold retreated as expected, falling below 3,300 points during the session. After reaching the effective support level, it rebounded, but the strength was not strong and the space was not large. The final price was not high. From today to now, there has not been a strong rebound, and even if there is, it is difficult to sustain.
As of today, Wednesday, the decline in gold prices has not yet ended completely. The support tested yesterday is expected to be tested again, or even broken. From a technical point of view, there is still a lot of room for expansion below, but the trend of gold prices is not completely determined by a single technical aspect. It must be combined with fundamental information to make a comprehensive judgment.
In short, the upward trend of gold prices has not changed. In the stage of retracement and adjustment, it is necessary to control the rhythm of long and short changes. If it can retrace and lower the price, there will be more room for the next rise.
Gold Futures (GC) – May 28, 2025
Gold is currently trading within a clean range, and I’m keeping it simple:
🔴 I will only sell in the red supply zone, but only after seeing confirmed seller reaction and order flow backing the move.
🟢 I will only buy in the green demand zone, once buyers clearly show strength and the flow supports it.
📉 My target for any trade is always the opposite zone — if I sell in the red, I’ll target the green. If I buy in the green, I’m aiming for the red.
All of this holds until aggressive order flow tells me new participants are stepping in and shifting the narrative.
No trades in the middle. Discipline and confirmation first.
#GoldFutures #GCAnalysis #SmartMoney #OrderFlow #SupplyAndDemand #FuturesTrading #PriceAction #TradingDiscipline #TechnicalAnalysis