GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800 (UPDATE)Gold has climbed higher into our 0.365% zone, which I highlighted on yesterday's analysis. We will keep a close eye out to see if price action offers any rejection around this zone, for sellers to kick in. However, the closer it gets to the ATH, the higher chance of it creating a new ATH.
Futures market
Will the price of gold continue to rise?At the daily gold level, yesterday it successfully closed with a 100-meter big positive line, and stood on the short-term moving average. This trend completely cycled around the Qingming Festival, so today is likely to be a big positive line, and continue to be bullish; the upper resistance point is 3445-3455, and it is expected to be tested tomorrow; at the 4-hour gold level, from the division of 3500-3202, the 3386 line is exactly the 618 division resistance. There was indeed a wave of retracement when it was touched during the day, and it stabilized and pulled up when it touched the 50 division position of 3350. Once it breaks through 3386 tonight, it will easily hit above 3400 and gradually move closer to the 786 division resistance of 3435; in addition, in the strong pull-up stage, this cycle will continue to rely on the MA5 moving average to rise;
Long positions in the US market remain the main trend🗞News side:
1. The “demand shock” of the Trump administration’s tariffs on the global economy
2. The United States rejected Japan’s request for a comprehensive exemption from 10% reciprocal tariffs and country-specific tariffs in recent negotiations.
3. The conflict between Israel and the Houthis
📈Technical aspects:
The 4H golden moving average spreads upward, the MACD golden cross opens upward, and the 4H overall bullish trend is seen. Gold price encountered resistance at 3386 in the morning of the Asian session. This point can be used as a reference in suppressing the market outlook. If this resistance is effectively broken through, bulls are expected to continue to work towards the 3400 first-line mark above. The daily chart is positive, and the K-line combination is relatively strong. The US market is expected to break through 3386 and reach the space above 3400; the SMA10 moving average of 3370 continues to be bullish as the primary support, with strong resistance to 3400. Even if the price of gold in the US market rises and falls, the middle track of the Bollinger Bands still has good support. On the whole, we mainly focus on long positions in short-term trading. We can consider the 3370-3380 layout to go long, with the target looking towards 3400-3410 above.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Silver Hits Resistance: Short Setup in PlaySilver has reached the level of previous resistance and is beginning a pullback. The situation remains unchanged—it looks like a short-term spike followed by a deeper downward move.
I believe it's reasonable to consider a short position in silver.
Additional bearish factors:
Copper, also an industrial metal like silver, is declining.
After such a vertical rally, a downward move with consolidation is likely.
Gold Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 3300 zone, Gold was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 3300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Silvermic: Make or break levelSilvermic is currently trading at a zone which has been decisive in past. The marked zone has provided supply and demand both in the past 3 times. Let's see now what it does. I have a positive bias here hence initiated a small long position. Hoping it holds in my favor otherwise the Stoploss is very small.
GOLD Will Go Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,388.78.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 3,436.70 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUSD:The bullish forces make a strong comeback.Yesterday, the gold market soared with an impressive rally. It started rising during the Asian trading session, continued the upward trend in the European session, and witnessed a further surge in the American session. Eventually, it closed at a high level, fully demonstrating the strong comeback of the bullish forces, which is by no means a short-term rebound. In the early trading session of today, we precisely seized the opportunity and placed two long positions near $3,325. Currently, we have successfully locked in the profits after the price reached a peak.
In the following period, we will focus on the price correction and pullback. Once the price stabilizes after the pullback, we will maintain a bullish outlook. If the price moves steadily during the European trading session, we can temporarily adopt a wait-and-see attitude. If the upward trend continues, the pullback before the American trading session will be an excellent opportunity to follow up. Overall, based on the judgment that the Asian, European, and American trading sessions will maintain a continuous upward trend in tandem, we will keep seizing opportunities to go long.
In the future, we will continue to monitor the market changes and update the trading strategies in real time.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
USOIL:Adapt to the trendTechnical indicators such as moving averages and MACD have a certain degree of lag. The oil price repeatedly crossing the moving average system highlights the current stalemate between bulls and bears and the volatile and oscillating trend. USOIL is influenced by multiple factors, including geopolitical situations, economic data, and OPEC+ policies. Any sudden change may subvert the price trend, causing a certain deviation in technical analysis signals.
At present, with the trend clearly defined, trading in the direction of the trend is the optimal strategy. In the early trading session, we decisively went long at the price of $57. Currently, we are still holding the position, following the trend closely and waiting for the further expansion of the profit margin.
In the future, we will continue to monitor the market changes and update the trading strategies in real time.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
WTI OIL May be closer to $50 and below than a recovery.WTI Oil (USOIL) is having a strong green 1W candle but remains on a strong selling sequence since the January 13 2025 rejection on its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). So far this is technically the Bearish Leg of the Channel Down that started after the March 07 2022 market top.
The Bearish Leg that was initiated then, declined by -48.60% so if the current one repeats this we are looking at prices close to $41 by the end of the year or beginning of 2026. Technically, as long as the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) holds, the immediate Targets within a 3-month horizon are $50 and $46.
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HelenP. I Gold can rebound from trend line to resistance levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After forming a local bottom around the 3190 - 3210 support zone, the price has rebounded and is now testing the upward trend line once again. This level has consistently acted as dynamic support throughout the recent bullish structure, confirming its relevance and strength. Buyers have shown clear interest in defending this area, and the reaction near this level further strengthens the bullish sentiment. Notably, the market is recovering from a correction phase that followed the previous local peak near the 3350 - 3370 resistance zone. Price has moved within a wide range, creating opportunities for both accumulation and further upside. The chart also shows how Gold is forming a higher low, which supports the continuation of the current trend. If the trend line continues to hold, I expect the price to move toward the resistance area, with my goal located at 3350 points - the key breakout level. Given the price reaction, support structure, and trend confirmation, I remain bullish. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
XAU breaking out# XAUUSD Breakout Trading Plan
## Entry Strategy
- Initial entry: On confirmed trendline breakout (candle close beyond line)
- Position addition: Pending order at around 3319.26 in case the price pullback
- Price above moving averages
## Position Sizing
- Initial position: 0.5-1% account risk
- Add-on position: 0.5% account risk
## Risk Management
- Stop loss: Below recent swing low
- Total risk cap: 1.5% of capital
- Cancel add-on if price falls below breakout level
## Profit Targets
- TP1: 1:1.5 risk-reward ratio
- TP2: 1:2 risk-reward ratio
- Consider partial profit-taking at TP1
3420, gold prices can reach today
📌 Gold driving factors
Driven by the weakening of the US dollar and safe-haven demand, spot gold closed up $93.77 on Monday, up 2.9%, at $3333.32 per ounce.
On Monday local time, US President Trump signed an order on biomedical research, hoping to take the opportunity to promote the US pharmaceutical manufacturing industry. Trump also announced that tariffs on pharmaceutical products will be announced in the next two weeks.
Kitco Metals senior metals analyst Jim Wyckoff said: "We see continued inflows of safe-haven demand, keeping gold prices high. Gold prices will remain above $3,000 per ounce, at least in the short term."
Gold is often seen as a safe-haven tool in uncertainty and performs well in a low-interest rate environment. Gold prices have soared 26.3% this year and have set new historical highs many times.
📊Comment Analysis
Bulls regained their dominance, and the upward trend approached above 3400 before the market expected a rate cut
💰Strategy Set
🔥Sell Gold Area: 3418-3420 SL 3425
TP1: $3410
TP2: $3400
TP3: $3385
🔥Buy Gold Area: $3323 - $3321 SL $3316
TP1: $3330
TP2: $3340
TP3: $3358
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold operation strategyFrom the 4-hour analysis, gold bulls are making another strong impact. On the top, we pay attention to the short-term suppression of 3385-90 and the suppression of 3400. On the bottom, we pay attention to the short-term support of 3350 and the important support of 3336-40. In terms of operation, we mainly buy when the price falls back. In the middle position, we always watch more and do less, and follow up orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. Gold operation strategy: Buy when gold falls back to 3350-53, and cover long positions when it falls back to 3336-40, stop loss 3327, target 3380-3385, and continue to hold if it breaks;
GOLD (XAUUSD): Your Plan to Buy
The recent fundamentals pumped Gold prices again.
The market is currently trading above a significant
daily resistance.
To confirm a validity of a breakout and to avoid a trap,
I suggest paying close attention to a minor horizontal
range on a 4H time frame.
Your signal to buy will be a 4H candle close above 3388.
It will confirm a breakout and increase the chances that the price will go up.
Goal will be 3435
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GOLD Will Grow! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 3,257.82.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 3,352.14.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Silver - Short Term Sell Trade Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 30th I shared this idea "Silver - Expecting Retraces Before Prior Continuation Lower"
I expected retraces and further continuation lower until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. You can read the full post using the link above.
The bearish move delivered, as expected!!!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.