Next week's market trend analysisShort-term technical analysis of gold next week:
After gold was horizontally consolidated below 3400, it had two relatively large retracements. The short-term downward channel, the upper edge of the channel is currently around 3340, which is also the turning point of the short-term long and short cycles that we need to pay attention to later.
Has the current big rhythm entered a weak position?
Daily level analysis: After reaching 3500, gold is still in a trend of high-level consolidation, and there is a periodic switch between long and short positions, and there is no extremely strong or weak rhythm. In this consolidation process, there are two relatively large retracements: the first from 3500 to 3200 space 300 points, the second from 3435 to 3120 space 315 points. In other words, in the current daily level cycle, the maximum decline is around 300 US dollars. Not exceeding this maximum retracement value, to a certain extent, it is still in the rhythm of high-level correction. According to the range of this space retracement, the limit of the daily retracement is around 3150, with an error of about 20 points. However, the daily range is large, so it is too early to talk about this threshold.
At present, the short-term pressure points of 0.618 and the top and bottom structures are all around 3300. Another point for everyone to pay attention to: in the market with a small cycle of negative decline, once there is a sideways trend. Don't take it as support! The price is consolidating horizontally, which only means that the current bulls are weak in pulling back and the change of weakness must be a strong pullback to break through the big negative. Similarly, the slow rise market is the same.
The first support below in the short term is around 3250. The strong support is at the integer level of 3200. Once this position is reached, it will become a repeated test position like 3400.
Futures market
GOLD TOP DOWN ANALYSIS FOR MON. 30TH JUNE - FRI 4TH JULY, 2025Gold looks bearish heading into the new week. We had the formation of a weekly engulfing candle last week. I expect a pullback buy at market open from the current level to a take-profit level of 3316.
After that, I expect a sell-off from the 3318 level down to the 3000 level for the rest of the week.
I will be posting daily updates here, cheers!
GOLD ANALYSIS FOR MONDAY MARKET OPEN, 30TH JUNE, 2025Gold looks bearish heading into the new week. We had the formation of a weekly engulfing candle last week. I expect a pullback buy at market open from the current level to a take-profit level of 3316.
After that, I expect a sell-off from the 3318 level down to the 3000 level for the rest of the week.
I will be posting daily updates here, cheers!
Gold fluctuates and rebounds, don't chase shorts at low levels
💡Message Strategy
Yesterday, Thursday, we believed that the easing of tensions in the Middle East, the cooling of market risk aversion, and the hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve, which believed that the possibility of rate cuts should not be overly expected, suppressed expectations of rapid rate cuts, dragged down the dollar, and jointly suppressed the trend of gold.
However, trade uncertainty, geopolitical situation and expectations of rate cuts still support gold prices, which temporarily supports gold's rebound from a three-week low. Therefore, in terms of operations, it is recommended that everyone pay attention to the upper pressure of $3,345, followed by $3,357, and the lower support of $3,325, followed by $3,310.
From the subsequent trend, during the Asian session, gold fell back to $3,330 and stabilized. After the opening of the European session, the gold price rebounded and rose to $3,350 and encountered resistance. After that, gold fluctuated and fell. The decline continued after the opening of the US session, falling to $3,310 and stabilizing. After the rebound of $3,336 and encountering resistance, gold fell again, and continued to fall after the opening of Friday, refreshing the June low to $3,291, and performing weakly in the short term.
Overall, gold rebounded to $3,350 on Thursday and encountered resistance, then fell back to $3,310 and stabilized. It basically operated between the support and pressure levels we gave. On Friday, the gold price tried to break downward, and the short-term downside risk increased.
📊Technical aspects
On the daily chart, gold fell from a two-month high and rebounded from a low in June this week, but as gold prices fell back on Thursday, the short-term trend of gold prices turned downward again. For gold's upper pressure, pay attention to the integer position of $3,300, followed by Thursday's low of $3,310, and the 1-hour Bollinger band middle track of $3,325;
For gold's lower support, pay attention to the current intraday low of $3,291, which is also the lower track of the daily Bollinger band. A downward break may increase the risk of short-term decline. Pay attention to the two lows of $3,270 and $3,250 when gold prices rebounded at the end of May.
The 5-day moving average and MACD indicator cross, and the KDJ and RSI indicators cross. The short-term technical aspect shows that gold prices are at risk of continuing to fall.
💰Strategy Package
Short Position:3275-3295,SL:3315,Target: 3240-3250
Gold Slides Further as Market Risk Eases and Inflation LoomsGold Slides Further as Market Risk Eases and Inflation Looms
Gold continues to extend its downward momentum for the second consecutive week, sliding from 3451 to 3283—a decline of nearly 4.85% in just 10 days.
Today, all eyes are on the U.S. inflation data. While the broader market reaction remains uncertain, gold appears particularly vulnerable to further downside pressure.
The temporary ceasefire between Israel and Iran, coupled with advances in the U.S.-China trade talks, has eased geopolitical tensions, diminishing the immediate appeal of safe-haven assets like gold.
Even if prices rebound toward 3300 or even 3350 in a deeper pullback, the overall trend remains bearish.
PS: This analysis assumes normal market conditions and excludes the influence of potential manipulation.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Previous analysis:
Analysis of Crude Oil's Opening Market Strategy on MondayWTI crude oil futures stabilized for the second consecutive day, maintaining fluctuations within the broad range of Tuesday and oscillating around the key level of $65.12. A sustained break below this level would confirm the resurgence of selling pressure, and a breach of $64.00 could trigger a decline toward $61.90. On the upside, if the price holds above $65.12, it may drive a short-term rebound to $67.44, and if momentum strengthens, it could further test $71.20.
Crude oil prices remain range-bound, but downward pressure is building. Robust U.S. demand provides support, yet macroeconomic caution and uncertainties over OPEC+ intentions are suppressing market sentiment. A decisive break below $65.12 would confirm the bearish trend, with bears targeting $61.90. Conversely, if this level holds, neutral-to-bullish logic remains valid, though upside potential remains constrained unless supply-demand signals converge overall.
you are currently struggling with losses,or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
Trading Strategy:
buy@63.1-63.3
TP:66.3-69.9
XAUUSD: We must adapt to the market conditions! Bears in ChargeGold prices dropped as Trump announced a ceasefire between Iran and Israel, causing a significant decline. We anticipate this trend to persist, as recent price data, including volume and price momentum, indicates a strong seller’s control in the current market conditions. We have two targets for you to set your own based on your analysis, along with a stop-loss based on your strategy.
We appreciate your unwavering support throughout the years. Please like and comment.
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Analysis of Gold's Opening Market Strategy on MondayOn last Friday, both the data and news fronts were bearish, leading to a step-by-step decline in gold prices. The bears completely dominated the market, and the feeble rebound made it difficult for long-position holders to exit. Gold trended lower in a volatile and slow decline, rebounding only to a high of 3,321 before plummeting all the way, consecutively breaking through the 3,300 psychological barrier, the 3,280 support level, and the daily trend line.
For the trend at next week's opening, the first target is to observe whether the 3,270 support level stabilizes and triggers a rebound. This level is not only a technical support but also a position where long positions can be considered for deployment. Market laws show that a rebound often follows a unilateral downtrend, and this area may trigger a price recovery. If the key support is broken, the downtrend is likely to continue, with the next focus on the 3,250-3,245 support zone.
In terms of operations, it is recommended to maintain a bearish strategy of "selling on rallies," with key attention paid to the resistance area of 3,313-3,321. Short positions should be deployed by relying on this level.
you are currently struggling with losses,or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
Trading Strategy:
sell@3300-3295
TP:3250-3260
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3300 and a gap below at 3271. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3300
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3300 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3324
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3324 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3354
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3354 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3383
BEARISH TARGETS
3271
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3354 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3239
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3239 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3213
3179
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3301 and a gap below at 3242. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3301
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3301 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3370
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3370 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3429
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
BEARISH TARGETS
3242
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3242 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3089
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
3001
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Following up on our previous Goldturn channel post – the recent price action has played out exactly as anticipated. We saw a clean rejection at the channel top around 3433, with price failing to lock above and confirming that resistance is still very much in control at the range ceiling.
This rejection was perfect and it led to a decisive move back down into the 3272 Goldturn support. This level is now acting as a critical pivot. From here, we’re watching closely for one of two outcomes:
1. Bounce Scenario: If price holds and we see a supportive reaction from 3272, particularly with no EMA5 cross and lock confirmation, we will look for long opportunities to slowly ascend the channel again. Expect a grind with testing of in-between levels as structure develops.
2. Breakdown Scenario: If 3272 fails to hold, we expect the next key test to occur at the channel’s midline – a level that has acted as support. A further breakdown would likely target 3106, our next Goldturn support zone, for potential reversal setups.
This price action continues to validate the effectiveness of the Goldturn channel structure keeping us grounded and responsive rather than reactive.
We remain focused on level to level trading, guided by the channel and supported by EMA5 confirmations for directional analysis.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3433
Support: 3272 (current test), 3106 (if breakdown continues)
Stay patient and let price confirm. The best trades continue to come from structure respecting reactions, not from chasing.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Follow up on our Weekly Goldturn channel outlook.
Last week’s action delivered the rejection at the channel top, right in line with expectations. Importantly, we did not get an EMA5 lock confirmation, reinforcing the rejection. We still have the previous weekly candle body close above 3387, leaving the gap at 3482 active and exposed overhead.
The early rejection saw a swift retrace into the 3281 Goldturn axis support, where price is currently attempting to stabilise. This is a pivotal level. From here, we are watching two potential paths unfold:
1. Bounce Scenario: If 3281 holds and buyers step in, we’ll look for a gradual climb within the channel, testing key in between levels. EMA5 cross and lock confirmation will be key for directional bias. A reclaim and continuation higher keeps the 3482 gap firmly in play as a target.
2. Breakdown Scenario: If 3281 gives way, we have a body close gap to the channel mid-line, which becomes the next key level for potential support and Goldturn reaction. A move into this area could offer another structured long opportunity, aligned with the overall bullish framework.
Despite the rejection at the highs, the broader channel structure remains intact, and the longer term outlook still favours a measured move up level by level, using Goldturn levels and EMA5 as our compass.
Key Focus:
Support: 3281 → Channel Half-line (if broken)
Resistance: 3387 → 3482 (gap target)
We remain patient and continue reacting to clean structure backed opportunities.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD Update 29th JUNE 2025Last week, pullback has reached 62% fibonaci.
It have an opportunity to continue the correction in to 3205 support or more lower at 3190 level support.
So we need to becarefull on next week and we looking for a reversal / rejection signal from the market as a confirmation.
We need to give our attention to a fundamental data also. If there is a big news on war / geopolitical or global economic in July, we could be more convidence about gold price direction.
If 3155 lose...it would be more deep, but it would be unlikely.
Have a good luck !
P.S : If you agree, Boost it
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Definitive Micro-Analysis & Actionable Forecast: XAUUSDHigh-Level Strategy (Monthly/Weekly/Daily Recap)
Overall Market Condition: The primary trend has shifted from Bullish to Bearish/Corrective due to the Monthly Bearish Engulfing and Weekly Three Black Crows patterns.
Immediate Tactical Bias: The Daily Bullish Harami pattern strongly indicates a pause in the downtrend and the high probability of a short-term corrective rally (a "bounce").
Our Goal: To map out the entry, targets, and invalidation levels for this anticipated bounce.
Deep Dive: The Lower Timeframes (4H, 1H, 30M, 15M, 5M)
Consolidation After the Low (4H & 1H):
Candlestick Reading : As observed, after the low was made (~2318), the price action on the 1H and 4H charts has stopped making new lows. Instead, it is building a base, characterized by a series of Dojis and Spinning Tops. This is a classic sign of indecision and absorption, where selling pressure is drying up and buyers are beginning to tentatively step in. This is the "coiling spring" phase before the bounce.
The Trigger (15M & 5M):
Candlestick Reading: On the 15M and 5M charts, we are looking for the very first sign that buyers are taking control. The ideal trigger would be a clear, small-scale Bullish Engulfing or Tweezer Bottom pattern forming at the bottom of this consolidation range. As of the last candle on the 5M chart, we see a small green candle attempting to move up, but the trigger is not yet confirmed.
The Full Storyboard: From Entry to Exit with Price Levels
For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade.
I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
Regards,
Shunya Trade
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
Master Analysis Report: XAUUSDHere is my comprehensive, multi-timeframe analysis for XAUUSD.
Master Analysis Report: XAUUSD
This report synthesizes Candlestick patterns, Ichimoku, Heikin Ashi, Fibonacci ratios, and the outputs of our custom application to build a coherent outlook for Gold.
1. Monthly Timeframe (The Secular Trend)
Observation: The monthly chart shows a powerful and established uptrend. The price action is characterized by long, healthy bullish candles, indicating consistent, long-term buying pressure.
Candlestick Analysis: There are no major bearish reversal patterns at the top. The structure is one of higher highs and higher lows, the definition of a bull market. The last visible candle is strong and green.
Ichimoku Analysis: The price is trading significantly above a thick, supportive Kumo (Cloud). The Tenkan-sen is above the Kijun-sen, and the Chikou Span is unencumbered high above the price action of 26 months ago. This is a textbook example of a strong, secular bull market.
Conclusion (Monthly): The long-term bias is unequivocally Bullish. The fundamental trend is up.
2. Weekly Timeframe (The Dominant Trend)
Observation: The weekly chart confirms the strength seen on the monthly. The uptrend is clear and well-defined.
Heikin Ashi Interpretation: Applying Heikin Ashi principles here would show a long series of green candles with no, or very small, lower wicks. According to the rules you taught me, this signifies a strong, healthy, and trending market with buyers in firm control.
Conclusion (Weekly): The dominant, multi-week trend is Strongly Bullish.
3. Daily Timeframe (The Current Trading Environment)
Observation: This is where we see the most recent price action from your chart. The price made a strong push to a new high (around $3,375) and has now entered a corrective pullback phase.
Candlestick Analysis: The candle at the peak of the move shows a Long Upper Shadow, indicating that sellers stepped in at that level to take profits, initiating this pullback. The subsequent red candles confirm a short-term loss of bullish momentum. This is not yet a reversal of the major trend, but a necessary correction.
Ichimoku Analysis: The price is pulling back towards its first line of dynamic support, the Tenkan-sen. The Kijun-sen (currently much lower) represents the key medium-term support level. As long as the price remains above the Kijun-sen and ultimately the Kumo cloud, the bullish structure is considered fully intact.
Conclusion (Daily): The primary trend is Bullish, but the immediate short-term sentiment is Corrective / Bearish.
4. Price & Time Target Analysis (The Storyboard)
This is where we combine everything to map out the next potential move. We will analyze the primary swing on the Daily chart.
Swing Low (Point A): ~ $3,150
Swing High (Point B): ~ $3,375
Phase 1: The Pullback - Finding Support (Potential Buy Zones)
Master Storyboard and Final Conclusion
The Big Picture: Gold (XAUUSD) is in a powerful, long-term bull market. We should only be looking for buying opportunities.
The Current Chapter: The market is in a healthy and necessary pullback. This pullback is a gift, offering a chance to enter the main trend at a better price.
The Climax: The key battleground will be the Fibonacci support zone between
3,262∗∗and∗∗ 3,235. We will be watching for a classic bullish reversal pattern to form in this area.
The Predictive Trigger: The ultimate confirmation would be if this reversal happens on or near a date identified by our application's "Coming Week" or "Coming Month" predictive summary. An event like "Venus Trine Price Angle (Supportive)" occurring as the price tests the Golden Pocket would be a Grade-A signal.
Final Outlook: The strategy is to wait patiently for the current correction to find support and then look for a clear bullish signal to enter in alignment with the dominant uptrend. The next major upward move targets
3,435∗∗and potentially∗∗3,514. The overall bias is Bullish, pending the completion of the current short-term correction.
For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade.
I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work.
Regards,
Shunya Trade
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.