Gold Technical Analysis🔹 Price Structure:
Price is in a short-term downtrend channel.
Currently trading at $3,336, heading towards a major support zone around $3,315–$3,310.
RSI at 36.6 is nearing oversold territory – indicating downside momentum slowing.
🔹 Key Zones:
Support: $3,315 (major support with bounce potential)
Resistance: $3,380 (target if support holds)
Breakdown target: $3,290 (if major support breaks)
🔹 Price Action Possibilities:
🔁 Bounce Scenario: Price touches major support, RSI bounces, and price rallies back to $3,380 (drawn with the up arrow).
🔻 Breakdown Scenario: Price fails to hold support and drops toward $3,290 (red arrow path).
Futures market
#XAUUSD | Daily Higher Time Frame Analysis
📊 **#XAUUSD | Daily Higher Time Frame Analysis**
🔍 Gold has been moving in a **strong one-sided uptrend** over the past 3–4 months — surging from **$2500 to $3500**, marking a **massive $1000 rally** in under 4 hours! 🚀
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🛑 **Key Psychological Resistance: 3500**
Yesterday, price tapped into the **3500 zone**, a major psychological level.
🔻 This was followed by **intense selling pressure**, likely sparked by news regarding a potential **Russia-Ukraine ceasefire** 🕊 — hinting at possible war closure.
💥 This triggered a sharp drop to **3370**, and today’s market opened with a **gap down**, followed by a **swift recovery**.
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🧭 **What to Watch Today:**
📅 Today’s daily candle is **crucial**.
⚠️ If the candle **fails to hold above 3320** and closes **bearishly below 3320**,
expect a **panic sell-off** in the next 2–3 sessions —
📉 Potential downside targets: **3245–3190**
🌀 These levels also align with the **Fibonacci 0.50–0.60 retracement zone** from the last impulse.
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🛠 We’ll fine-tune our **Buy/Sell zones** using **lower time frame analysis
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XAUUSD 4H Timeframe – Technical & Fundamental Analysis XAUUSD 4H Timeframe – Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Gold continues to shine during times of uncertainty. Whether it’s global conflict, inflation fears, recession talks, or market turbulence, investors tend to turn to gold as a hedge against risk.
However, there is still room for short-term exhaustion. On the 4-hour chart, we observed a sharp decline from $3,500 to $3,330, primarily driven by recent political developments in the United States. President Donald Trump retracted his threat to remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and expressed optimism regarding a potential trade agreement with China. These actions eased market fears and reduced gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset, causing a temporary dip in demand and price.
📉 Technical Outlook:
On the 4H chart, gold hit an all-time high of $3,500 yesterday.
We’ve identified a Three Black Crows candlestick pattern, a strong signal of a potential reversal from a bullish to a bearish trend—suggesting that downward momentum may follow.
A minor key support level is seen at $3,340. A breakout below this level could:
Trigger pending sell orders
Initiate the accumulation phase in the liquidity zone
If the price breaks $3,290, it may confirm a Change of Character (CHOCH)—a strong sign of a bearish shift.
🧠 Trade Plan: After accumulation and liquidity grab, we wait for a clean breakout to confirm our setup.
📌 Sell Stop Entry: $3,317.20
📌 Stop Loss: $3,386.20
📌 Take Profit: $3,167.80
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. As always, wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage your risk wisely and trade what you see, not what you feel.
asymmetric triangle or Rising wedge ? This chart shows the potential formation of either a symmetrical triangle or an ascending wedge on MGC1! ( Micro Gold Futures). The distinction -- Both suggest consolidation, but the edge leans bearish while the triangle is more neutral until broken.
I identified the prior impulse move downward as the dominate leg. Price is currently forming higher lows, but may fail to break past the highs with strength, suggesting potential exhaustion from the bulls.
I'm watching for:
*A possible false breakout, then breakdown continuation.
*The wedge's lower support to be tested.
* Confirmation via a clean hourly close or with a bearish engulfing below $3,371.0
My ideal entry would be at the 50% FVG pull back of the engulfing candle.
My First TP would be $3303 then my extended would be $3260, stop-loss above $3,380.
Reasoning: this idea combines FVG imbalance, 50% institutional discount levels, and price action structure. The pattern also hints at market indecision, so I remain reactive rather than predictive. The market isn't worth it just tells a story and I'm listening to the chapter before the breakout.
GOLD/USD 4H ANALYSIS – BUY SETUP📊 Technical Highlights:
Price respecting bullish market structure (HH – HL)
Strong rejection candle from dynamic support (EMA 50)
RSI recovery from oversold zone with bullish divergence potential
Target zones:
🎯 TP1: 3405
🎯 TP2: 3471
🎯 TP3: 3499
SL placed below recent HL (around 3279) for risk management
🧠 Bias: Bullish
📈 Strategy: Buy the dip / trend continuation
Crude Oil Is Making Hard Work of Gains into ResistanceCride oil may have recovered back above $60, but it is making hard work of it. And with resistance looming and large specs increasing short bets, perhaps a pullback due. But does that mean a break below $60 is imminent?
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at Forex.com and City Index
Gold Madness –5k Pips in 10 Days,drop almost 2k after. Now What?The last 10 trading days in Gold can be summed up in just one word: madness.
Back on April 9, the price was still under 3000 – yesterday it kissed 3500, marking an explosive 5000-pip rally in less than two weeks. That’s over 15% gain in no time!
🔙 As I mentioned in yesterday’s educational post , even though I expected a major correction, the lack of a clear stop loss setup made me choose the safest option: staying out.
Well, Gold did what it does best – surprise. Just before reaching a new all-time high, price reversed and at the time of writing, it has already dropped over 1600 pips from the peak.
📉 From a technical perspective, there are some important developments:
- Price has broken below the rising trendline, signaling a potential shift on short term
- Now, it's heading towards the 3250 support zone, which is aligned with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent rally.
- This area could become a battleground – if bulls step in, we might see another bounce.
💡 Trading Plan:
From the selling side, the only potential setup I see is around 3450, but with a huge stop loss, making it less attractive.
On the buy side, I’ll be watching the 3250 level closely. If price action shows strength there, I may consider entering long – but only if the market conditions align properly.
Until then, I’m observing from the sidelines. No FOMO – just disciplined strategy. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold price plunged nearly $200. The signal of cooling down the tIn the early Asian session on Wednesday, spot gold opened nearly $40 lower and hit $3,313.51 per ounce, down nearly $200 from the historical high of 3,500 hit on Tuesday. Because U.S. Treasury Secretary Benson hinted that international trade tensions would ease, which stimulated optimism in the stock market and boosted the dollar to a near one-week high; spot gold closed down 1.2% on Tuesday, closing at $3,380.95 per ounce.
Bob Haberkorn, senior market strategist at RJO Futures, said: The latest remarks suggest that the trade war with the Asian giant may ease, but this is the time to start selling.
After Benson said that the tariff deadlock was unsustainable, the U.S. stock market rose by more than 2%, suppressing the safe-haven buying demand for gold, and the rebound of the U.S. dollar also suppressed the price of gold.
Quaid believes that its roller coaster trend is still continuing. I hope traders will pay attention to the speeches of several Fed officials later this week, hoping to find clues to future monetary policy at a time when people are worried about the independence of the Fed. And I will analyze it for you as soon as possible and give you reasonable suggestions.
Current strategy:
Relative to the market situation: as long as the price can continue to rise, it means that the current situation is just a volatile market, not a peak retracement, which is also a feature of the volatile trend; at the same time, the current market is not extremely strong after a sharp drop, and it is still in a volatile rise; therefore, do not go long, but go long after the retracement support.
Trading Strategy (XAUUSD) April 23, 2025Trump has backed off his threat to fire Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell after days of harsh criticism of the central bank chief for not cutting interest rates.
The president also expressed optimism that a trade deal with China could “substantially reduce” tariffs.
Scott Bessent, meanwhile, said he believes US-China trade tensions will ease, but that talks with Beijing have not yet begun and will be “difficult.”
XAUUSD trading strategy around the price zone:
SELL XAUUSD around the 3418-3420 zone
Stoploss: 3424
Take Profit 1: 3414
Take Profit 2: 3407
Take Profit 3: 3400
BUY XAUUSD around the 3348-3350 zone
Stoploss: 3344
Take Profit 1: 3354
Take Profit 2: 3360
Take Profit 3: 3367
In case the Gold price falls through our BUY zone, we can apply Strategy 2
BUY XAUUSD around the 3314-3316 zone
Stoploss: 3310
Take Profit 1: 3320
Take Profit 2: 3326
Take Profit 3: 3332
Note: Always set Stoploss in all cases to be safe
Oil Short: Ending Diagonal and Rising WedgeI propose that Oil is a good short candidate because of what I am seeing:
1. Rising Wedge
2. Ending Diagonal within the Rising Wedge
I propose 3 entry points for shorting but mention that if you are shorting at the top of the trendline, to cater for false breakout, meaning more allowance in your stop.
Good luck!
Gold 97350 trend finally caughtWe are happy we could get the trend of gold finally. As we had posted yesterday though gold moved higher to 99358 intraday lost its gain 2000 and finally closed below the resistance 98582 we had mentioned.
Today we expect Gold close would be below 98073 and more possibility to get corrected to test the imbalance at 90910.
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yesterday we posted in
Our analysis about gold was going wrong and wrong again and it is moving higher and higher.
After careful study and applying *new TA concepts * we have come to a conclusion it would be 98582 which would be its climax resistance on close basis and would get corrected.
XAUUSD at a Critical JunctureAs I previously mentioned, the upside potential in XAUUSD appears relatively limited. At present, I estimate that XAUUSD is forming wave iv of wave (v) as indicated by the black label (best-case scenario), suggesting a potential correction toward the 3,228–3,292 range. Should this scenario hold, the next bullish target lies within the 3,483–3,561 area.
However, you should also be mindful of the bearish scenario (red label), where XAUUSD may have completed wave 3. In such a case, the current movement could represent the beginning of a deeper correction as part of wave 4, with the potential downside projected toward the 2,854–3,101 range.
Gold: Beware of the Impending Mid-to-Long Term Bearish Trend💥 Post-market surprise news shook the gold market:
About a week ago, Trump publicly hinted at “considering firing” Powell. But just after today’s market close, he suddenly walked it back, saying he “never thought about it.”
At the same time, he dropped signals of easing trade tensions — this combo crushed gold’s safe-haven sentiment, causing a gap-down open that nearly broke below 3300!
🗣 Looks like Trump might be happily trading gold himself! 😂
Now, gold has recovered most of that drop and filled the gap, so this round of quick rebound profits is mostly over.
📉 What’s next? Strategy outlook:
🔺 Short-term resistance to watch:
Key level at 3400
If broken, 3420–3440 is a strong short-entry zone
If price pushes further, consider scaling into shorts between $3440–3540, targeting $3268
🔻 Short-term support:
A gap still exists around 3313
If price fails to break above 3440, apart from shorting near 3420, watch for buying opportunities near 3300
📉 Mid-term view:
If gold climbs past 3440 again this week and holds, expect a mid-term correction
Mid-term targets: 3190–3128
A drop below 3000 is not out of the question — the rally from 2000 to 3500 is simply too steep!
🧭 In summary: The rebound opportunity is nearly over. Don’t chase blindly at these highs — the market is entering a highly volatile decision zone. We could be looking at bull traps followed by a meaningful correction.
🎯 Long positions — manage your rhythm!
If price shows signs of exhaustion or stalls in the 3400–3440 zone,
🔔 Take profits promptly to avoid giving gains back!
If a clear breakout fails, it’s time to switch back to shorts and follow the trend.
Gold adjusts at a high level, continues to be short on rebound
Gold risk aversion eased, and gold fell directly. After gold fills the gap, if gold cannot continue to rise, then the gold shorts will continue to exert their strength. The current gap resistance of gold is at 3382, but the market is volatile now. If the gap is filled, gold may have momentum to repair in the short term, so you can pay attention to the suppression of 3400.
Trading ideas: Short gold near 3400, stop loss 3410, target 3370
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Wednesday, 23rd April 2024)Bias: Bearish
USD News(Red Folder):
-Flash Manufacturing PMI
Analysis:
-Market open gap down
-Gap filled & looking for continuation to the downside
-Potential SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3400
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
XAUUSD - BUY 🔻 Big Drive Down – After tapping -$3,500
Price tapped $3,500, triggering major profit-taking across Dubai - London and New York
Dubai started the sell-off
London piled in — aggressive push
New York confirmed the move — final slam down to fill the gap below.
📈 Now Price appears to be Pushing Back Up as it should to fill this mornings massive gap above from NZ open.
Gap below is now fully filled — technical objective met.
Buyers stepping back in from key demand zone.
Market now targeting the gap above to rebalance.
🔥 Macro Context Remains Bullish
Inflation is far from under control — expect it to rise still.
Interest rates will likely go up, not down good for Gold bad for Stocks.
Gold remains the primary safe-haven — this was a flush, not a reversal imho.
📍 Holding long bias.
Look to Elliott Wave projections on the chart for next target potentials.
: )