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Evening StrategyIf the European market does not break down effectively on 12-06, the rise will accelerate in the later period, with the target at 26-32. We will go short again after it breaks above in the evening. Long orders have been entered below 10, and we will hold positions to protect our market during the US trading. If the current price long order is eliminated to protect the principal, we will wait for the position to be in place in the evening before entering the market. The recent news is greater than the data, and both long and short positions should be cautious. After several days of large range fluctuations, there may be fluctuations today. We will still wait patiently for the position, and will not enter the market if it is not given in the evening; Aggressive 93.5 long, 87-81 long, stop loss: 7 points each, or unified stop loss 76. Target: 16-22-30;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mykvmykv
Gold market analysis strategyThe release of the data has brought significant market fluctuations. PPI is an important indicator to measure price changes in the production process. It reflects changes in production costs and has a more far-reaching impact on the market. Initial jobless claims data provides the latest updates on the US employment situation from the perspective of the labor market and is an important reference for investors to judge the health of the economy. After the release of the US PPI data for January, the gold market has fluctuated significantly. Spot gold rose by $10, reaching a high of $2,917.61 per ounce, an intraday increase of 0.31%; although the PPI data did not have a greater impact on the market's expectations of the Fed's rate cut, the rising inflationary pressure it reflected still prompted investors to seek safe-haven assets such as gold. Yesterday, gold fluctuated downward in the Asia and Europe sessions, and the price fell to a low of 2864 in the evening before starting a counterattack. As of today, it has risen to 2922. Judging from yesterday's trend, the first half of the session was running well, and there was a Jedi counterattack in the evening. At the same time, today's rebound high exceeded our expectations. Judging from the current market, the daily chart shows signs of a V. Yesterday's bottoming out and rebound directly limited the extent of today's adjustment. Judging from the trend chart, the volatile trend has not changed. Gold closed with a long upper shadow in the previous 4 hours. Gold is now under pressure at the top of the entity in the previous 4 hours. Gold has begun to stagnate. Gold is currently priced at 2920 in the US market, so go short directly!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mykvmykv
High pressure small gold range shock accumulation sprintYesterday, gold was affected by the data and hit the lowest point of 63 in the US market. Then it began to bottom out and rebound. As of now, it has reached the highest point near 22 again. The upward movement in the morning, the sideways movement in the European market is the biggest driving force for the bulls. The US market still has room to continue to attack, and the first target above is maintained at the high point of 30 at the second upward retracement. This position can also be used as a head and shoulders top pattern in the later stage. After all, it has been in a strong position since the upward movement. It is precisely because the bulls are aimlessly moving upward that the market has a strong sense of fear. Both the long and short positions are on the verge of danger. The market is still bullish, but for those who are afraid of heights, it still takes great courage to continue to buy at the current price. The support below is maintained near the retracement low of 09-08 in the European session, which is also near the previous high point. However, the current market is somewhat incredible and may be swept. In the evening, we will first short around 2930-31, with the target around 2910-00 and a stop loss of 2938.5.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mykvmykv
Gold evening market analysisThe gold daily line shows a trend of closing down with a big negative line at a high level, and the Bollinger Bands also show signs of closing. However, from the current technical perspective alone, it is not enough to determine that the top has formed. The main basis is that the unilateral moving average has not broken, and the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average have not turned downward, which means that gold still has the possibility of rising. If the daily line continues to close with a big positive line this week, the double top position of 2942 above may also be broken. It can be seen that the current technical aspect shows an overall bullish trend. If the unilateral moving average does not break, the downward trend will be difficult to continue; and if the key resistance level of 2942 is not broken, it will be difficult for gold to usher in a new round of substantial gains. Based on this, it is expected that gold will maintain a long-term volatile trend at a high level. Focus on the two key resistance levels of 2930 and 2942 above, and pay attention to the support of 2875 and 2830 below. The limit support is expected to be 2800.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by mykvmykv
Crude oil evening analysisFrom the daily chart level, crude oil tested the upper edge of the wide channel in the medium term, and then fell immediately, just in line with the fundamentals. The K-line closed with negative entities continuously, and the moving average system showed signs of turning downward. The performance of short-term momentum is dominant, and the medium-term trend has returned to the range, and the overall trend is mainly downward within the range. The short-term trend of crude oil (1H) rose first and then fell, and oil prices continued to fall and hit a new low. The moving average system is short-term, and the short-term objective trend is downward. In the Asian morning session, in the main downward trend of crude oil in the short term, short-term momentum is dominant. Patiently wait for the formation of the secondary rhythm. It is expected that the trend of crude oil will maintain low consolidation during the day and gradually test 70. On the whole, He Bosheng suggested that the operation strategy of crude oil today should be mainly rebounding high and supplemented by stepping on low and long. The short-term focus on the resistance line of 72.0-72.5 on the upper side and the support line of 70.0-69.5 on the lower side.
TVC:USOIL
by mykvmykv
100% ProfitableAggressive: short at 11.5, short at 18-24, stop loss: 7 points for each, or 27. Target: 96-82, continue to reduce holdings if it breaks; ◆Long order◆ Aggressive: long at 78.5, long at 72-66, stop loss: 7 points for each stop loss, or unified stop loss at 62. Target: Continue to reduce the position after breaking through 92-98-06; Target: 92-98-06 breaks the position and continues to reduce the price; Gold still has not shown a good downward trend as we analyzed in the morning. Don’t chase short positions until they are in place; Intraday strategy ideas: Today is Monday, we will consume the weekend news, prevent extreme market conditions, and strictly control positions; most orders have been taken out of the market at present, and continue to short after the European session. The 05 short position should be guaranteed. After the principal is guaranteed, you can enter the short position between 06-08. After the position is broken, just enter the market according to the strategy. Set a stop loss and wait patiently;
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mykvmykv
Golden Evening ThoughtsGold, the price rebounded to 2906 in the morning and then turned to consolidation, now at 2900; the 4H chart structure is oscillating, the daily chart structure is empty, and the main empty idea is maintained in the evening; short-term resistance is 2904-2906, strong resistance is 2910; short-term support is 2896-2894, strong support is 2892-2888, and it will break down to 2877; In terms of operation, the market will be closed early in the evening, and the main empty idea above 2904 in the morning will be maintained; Sell near 2904, protect 2914, and target 2890-2877;
OANDA:XAUUSD
by mykvmykv
Gold in-depth analysis and trading strategiesAs of now, the international spot gold price (XAU/USD) is trading at $2,882.53 per ounce, down 1.56% from the previous trading day. The adjustment comes after the gold price hit an all-time high of $2,942.71 per ounce on February 11, driven by strong demand from central banks, institutional investors and retail buyers. Key factors affecting the market include: - Monetary policy uncertainty: The Fed's mixed signals on interest rates (10% chance of a rate hike in March) and persistent inflation concerns continue to weigh on market sentiment. - Geopolitical risks: The trade dispute caused by escalating tensions in the Middle East and the US steel/aluminum tariffs (25% implemented on March 12) supported safe-haven demand. - Economic data: Weak US retail sales (down 0.9% month-on-month in January) contrasted with firm core inflation (up 3.0% year-on-year), creating a stagflationary environment that is favorable for gold. .Key drivers for the week ahead A. Macro events and data: | Feb 19 | Fed minutes | Hawkish tone could weigh on gold; dovish cues could spur buying. | | Feb 20 | US core PCE inflation (January) | Higher-than-expected data (+0.3% MoM) could heighten rate hike fears, test $2,800 support. | | Feb 21-22 | G20 finance ministers meeting | Focus on global trade policy; escalating tariff dispute could spur safe-haven flows. | B. Technical levels - Support: $2,850 (100-day SMA), $2,800 (psychological level). - Resistance: $2,940 (recent high), $2,950 (Heraeus 2025 cap target). C. Geopolitical risks: - Middle East: Any escalation in tensions between Iran and Israel could trigger a surge in gold prices to $3,000. - US-China trade: New tariff threats (e.g. on critical minerals) could exacerbate stagflation concerns. Technical Analysis and Price Prediction A. Trend Analysis: - Daily Chart: Gold has been trading within a bullish channel since late 2024. The recent pullback to $2,880, in line with the 50-day SMA ($2,860), suggests consolidation before a renewed upward move. - Key Indicators: - RSI: Neutral at 45, no overbought/oversold signals. - MACD: Bearish crossover but narrowing divergence, suggesting weakening downside momentum. Trading strategy recommendations - Short-term traders: - Long entry: Buy around $2,850 with a stop loss of $2,820; target price is $2,920. - Short entry: Sell on a rebound to $2,930-2,940; stop loss above $2,950. - Long-term investors: Buy on dips below $2,850 with a target price of $3,000-3,200 by mid-2025.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by mykvmykv
Correction down - gold under selling pressure⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: The World Gold Council (WGC) reported that central banks bought over 1,000 tons of gold for the third year in a row in 2024. After Trump's election win, central bank gold purchases jumped by more than 54% year-over-year, reaching 333 tons, according to WGC data. Meanwhile, futures on money market Fed funds rates suggest the Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates by 38.5 basis points in 2025. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: Gold price recovered to the h1 trendline area, will continue to be under selling pressure, trading below 2900 ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2923 - $2925 SL $2930 TP1: $2918 TP2: $2910 TP3: $2900 🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2855 - $2857 SL $2850 TP1: $2862 TP2: $2870 TP3: $2880 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
10
Gold price returns to trendline and increasesScalping XAU : 18 Feb, 2025 Gold News: 🔆Federal Reserve Board of Governors member Michelle Bowman stated that elevated asset prices might have slowed inflation progress and emphasized the need for greater confidence in declining inflation before considering rate cuts. She also noted that wage growth remains above levels aligned with the Fed’s inflation target. Meanwhile, fellow Board member Christopher Waller remarked that inflation improvement last year was frustratingly slow and suggested that rate cuts would be appropriate in 2025 if inflation follows a similar trend as in 2024. Waller anticipates continued disinflation and expects rate reductions to resume on a yearly basis. 🔆Meanwhile, the outcome of discussions between the Kremlin and Washington is expected to be the main market driver, particularly as US traders return after a long weekend. If the negotiations fail, increased risk aversion could boost demand for Gold as a safe-haven asset, potentially driving its price higher alongside the US Dollar. Personal Opinion: 🔆Uptrend, recovery confirmed when price breaks out of resistance 2905, if price returns to trendline, BUY signal can be taken Analysis: 🔆Based on important Resistance - Support zones and 200 EMA combined with consideration based on political developments, trendline M45 Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉BUY Gold 2906 - 2903 ❌SL: 2898 | ✅TP: 2912 - 2918 – 2925 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
Waiting for FOMC and the next trend of GoldGold news: 🔆Concerns over renewed tariffs, coupled with the absence of positive outcomes from the US-Russia peace talks excluding Ukraine on Tuesday, have weakened investor confidence, boosting demand for safe-haven assets like gold. 🔆Market participants remain apprehensive about a potential escalation in global trade tensions due to Trump's protectionist policies. Additionally, expectations of further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve continue to support the precious metal. 🔆The disappointing US Retail Sales data released on Friday, along with mixed inflation signals, indicate that the Fed might consider cutting interest rates in its September or October meeting. 🔆Consequently, investors will closely monitor the Fed's January meeting minutes for insights into the central bank’s rate trajectory and its impact on the non-y Personal opinion: 🔆Gold will have a decline above 2900, then continue to maintain the upward momentum due to fundamental and technical factors. There will be a new ATH this week Analysis: 🔆Based on fundamental analysis - geopolitics combined with SMA and important resistance - support zones to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: Sell Gold 2974 - 2976 ❌SL: 2981 | ✅TP: 2970 - 2963 – 2955 👉Buy Gold 2903-2905 ❌SL: 2898 | ✅TP: 2910 - 2915– 2925 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
Today's xauusd trend shows obvious signals!!!Since this week, the gold market has fluctuated upward on Monday, unilaterally rose on Tuesday, and may adjust on Wednesday. With the accumulation of market sentiment, it is expected to break through the previous highs on Thursday and Friday and continue to explore the 2980-3000 area. Gold technical analysis: From the technical analysis point of view, the gold four-hour K-line chart clearly shows a triple top pattern. The 2940 line is like an insurmountable natural gap. Every time the K-line touches this point, it will be ruthlessly blocked. At present, the deviation between the K-line and the moving average is large. According to market rules, the K-line will most likely move closer to the moving average in the short term. After careful analysis, the moving average is near 2910, which has become our expected target price. At present, we will still focus on the highs of 2940-2950. This is the third time that the point 0 has been touched. If there are repeated fluctuations here and no historical highs are broken, I still think that gold will continue to fall and continue to maintain box-shaped fluctuations. This is the current market trend! Overall, today's short-term gold operation strategy is mainly to short on rebound and long on pullback. In the short term, pay attention to the upper pressure 2940-2942 line resistance, and pay attention to the lower support 2916-2905. Now we will wait patiently for a suitable trading plan. Mr. Baker OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Beck_Ledley
90% of traders struggle in the GOLD market, are you the same?From the current 4-hour trend, the support point below is 2905-2908. The short-term pressure level above is around 2940-2943, and the overall support is in this range. The rhythm of high-altitude low-multiple cycles is maintained, but David believes that GOLD will break through the short-term pressure level. In the middle position, keep more watching and less action, and be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. BUY:2927 TP:2940-2950 SL:2894 OANDA:XAUUSD TFEX:GO1!
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_financial_analyst