Confidence going into the weekendA stronger close in the S&P 500 daily chart above 6235 would imply the higher confidence going into the weekend. This would indicate that buyers are willing to hold onto positions going into the weekend.
Futures market
After grabbing buy-side liquidity (BSL),Instrument: XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar)
Timeframe: 1 hour (1h)
Current Price: Approximately $3,322.345
🔍
Marked Zones and Labels
BSL (Buy-side Liquidity): Highlighted near the top yellow zone around the $3,336 - $3,344 range.
Price previously swept above this zone and then reversed, indicating a liquidity grab.
SSL (Sell-side Liquidity): Indicated near the bottom zone, around the $3,300 level.
This suggests a potential target area for price to draw down into.
Supply Zone: The top yellow rectangle, where price was previously rejected.
Demand Zone (or Support): The bottom yellow rectangle labeled with “SSS” (possibly short for “Strong Support Structure”).
📉
Price Action & Forecast
A downward arrow projection is drawn, suggesting a bearish bias.
After grabbing buy-side liquidity (BSL), the expectation is for the market to seek sell-side liquidity (SSL).
Potential downside target near $3,300 or below.
6/25 Gold Analysis and Trading ViewGood morning, everyone!
Gold experienced a sharp decline yesterday. Technically, the conditions for a rebound are in place, but since a solid bottom structure has yet to form, a retest to the downside is likely during today’s session.
Key levels to watch:
Resistance zone: 3336–3348
Support zones: Primary support at 3313–3303, with additional support around 3296–3282
Today’s overall strategy remains buying on dips as the primary approach, with short opportunities near resistance as a secondary option.
Key scenario to monitor:
If the price drops to around 3280 but fails to rebound toward 3336, and the daily close ends below 3300, then the buy-on-dip strategy will likely continue into tomorrow.
06/26/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis 06/26/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis
EOD accountability report: +731.25
Sleep: 5 hours
Overall health: meh
** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 3/3 success**
— 9:38 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3
— 10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 11:27 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal
What’s are some news or takeaway from today?
and What major news or event impacted the market today?
today was another interesting day, i am noticing that when market structure changes 2x in the same direction, it is usally pretty effective and scammy at the same time
News
*NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA SHARES HIT A NEW HIGH TO RECLAIM WORLD'S LARGEST STOCK TITLE - market is being carried by the momentum of mag 7
What are the critical support levels to watch?
--> Above 6175 = Bullish, Under 6155= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
XAU/USD: Range Trading Awaiting BreakoutCore Logic:
1.Macro Drivers: Powell's dovish remarks continue to reverberate, with U.S. Treasury yields declining, the U.S. Dollar Index breaking below 97, and the debt ceiling extended to July 24—safe-haven demand props up gold prices.
2.Technical Outlook:
Currently trading in a $3,300–$3,350 range, with shrinking volume reflecting market caution.
Trend Projection:
- Likely to remain range-bound between $3,300–$3,350; a breakout will depend on progress in previously mentioned catalysts.
- If data misses expectations or geopolitical risks (e.g., Iran tensions) escalate, gold may rally to $3,360; otherwise, it could test $3,300 support.
Trading Strategies:
- Long positions: Enter lightly at $3,300–$3,310, stop-loss at $3,290, target $3,340.
- Short positions: Sell on rejection above $3,345, stop-loss at $3,360, target $3,320.
- Risk management: Cap single-trade exposure ≤3% to mitigate data-driven volatility.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Update last post# Scalping Strategy Using BOS & OB | Gold Spot | by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
🔸 **Chart:** Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD)
🔸 **Timeframe:** 30min
🔸 **Style:** Heikin Ashi
🔸 **Method:** Smart Money Concepts (SMC)
🔸 **Focus:** BOS (Break of Structure), OB (Order Block), TLQ (Top Liquidity Quest)
---
## 🔍 Market Context:
- **Market Structure:** Bearish (Higher Timeframe)
- **Short-Term Trend:** MSU (Market Structure Up)
- **Efficiency:** ✅ Confirmed — price action has filled major imbalances
---
## 🧠 Technical Breakdown:
1. Multiple **BOS** levels suggest active momentum shifts
2. **TLQ** has formed at the recent HH — liquidity likely grabbed
3. **OB Demand Zone** (labeled A) marked for bullish reaction
4. Expecting short-term rally from OB (A) to (B)
5. Watch for reversal at TLQ/B to drop toward (C)
---
## 📌 Scalping Plan:
- **Entry:** Wait for CHoCH / bullish confirmation inside OB (A)
- **SL:** Just below OB (≈ 3327)
- **TP1:** Near TLQ or zone (B)
- **TP2:** Possible extended run if liquidity is swept
---
## 🚨 Alternate Bearish Scenario:
> If price breaks below OB (A),
> → Look for short setup toward 3314–3310 (target C)
---
## ✅ Summary:
Scalping based on Smart Money flow:
**BOS ➝ OB ➝ Liquidity ➝ Reaction**
Structure: 🟥 Bearish
Efficiency: ✅ Efficient
MS: 🔼 MSU (locally bullish)
---
📊 Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
Gold Market Under Pressure - Key Support Levels📉 Update – Gold
Since Friday the 13th, buyers have been squeezed and sellers have taken control of the market.
The trend is currently bearish, and large buyers are not present. The price could drop toward the 3320 – 3298 zone.
If this zone is broken, we could see a further decline toward 3255 – 3175.
Today, while watching the New York session using order flow, we saw large buy orders hit the market.
Global Gold at the Crossroads of CrisisGold’s response to historic geopolitical crises demonstrates that while “big fear” is rapidly priced in, the durability of rallies—or the depth of corrections—depends on a confluence of monetary policy, dollar valuation, oil prices, and the genuine scale of the threat.
At present, the gold market sits squarely between global “fear of instability” and “hope for de-escalation.” Divergent signals from the Fed, global central banks, and oil markets only deepen volatility, making investor decisions more complex. As previous wars (Iran–Iraq, Ukraine) have shown, gold is prone to both scenarios, but its long-term direction will be shaped by a mix of economic, policy, and psychological factors.
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis – Bearish Momentum Continues📉 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis – Bearish Momentum Continues 🔻🪙
🔍 Overview:
Gold is currently trading within a descending trendline structure, respecting a clear downtrend on the 4H chart. After failing to break the key resistance zone around $3,400 - $3,420, price has continued to make lower highs and lower lows.
📌 Key Technical Zones:
🔴 Resistance Zone:
$3,400 – $3,420
Strong selling pressure observed. Price was rejected here after a sharp rally.
📐 Descending Trendline:
Price continues to get rejected from this dynamic resistance.
Bearish pressure remains intact as long as this line holds.
🟦 Main Support Level:
$3,280 – $3,300
Price has tested this zone multiple times, showing strong buyer interest.
A break below this level could trigger further downside.
📊 Technical Outlook:
🟥 Bearish Bias as long as price remains under the trendline.
✅ Buyers may re-enter at the support zone around $3,280.
⚠️ If support breaks, the next downside target could be $3,240 – $3,220.
📈 Trading Plan Suggestion:
🔎 Watch for rejection at trendline or resistance zone for potential short setups.
🔔 Monitor support zone reaction for potential bounce plays or breakout confirmation.
📆 Date of Analysis: June 26, 2025
📍 Timeframe: 4-Hour (H4)
💬 “Trend is your friend until it bends.”
Trade wisely! 💼📊💡
Scalping Strategy Using BOS & OB | Gold Spot | by Mohsen MozafarDescription:
> This is a 30-minute scalping setup on Gold Spot (XAU/USD), based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) — focusing on Break of Structure (BOS) and Order Blocks (OB).
Analysis and strategy are prepared by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad.
---
📊 Market Context:
Current Structure: Bearish
Short-Term Market Structure: MSU (Market Structure Up)
Efficiency: Confirmed (clean price action & response zones)
---
🧠 Technical Highlights:
1. Double BOS confirms recent shifts in momentum
2. TLQ (Top Liquidity Quest) formed after HH (Higher High) and liquidity sweep
3. Key Demand OB identified (labeled A) — valid based on BOS confirmation
4. Expecting a bounce from OB (A) towards (B) as a reaction to unfilled imbalance
5. Potential drop from TLQ zone (B) to (C) if liquidity is fully absorbed
---
🎯 Scalping Plan:
Entry Zone:
Order Block at (A), waiting for CHoCH or bullish price action confirmation
(preferably on lower timeframe like M5)
Stop Loss:
Just below OB (around 3327)
Take Profits:
TP1: Near TLQ / Extreme zone (B)
TP2: Further liquidity grab or possible continuation above previous HH
---
❗ Alternative Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to hold at OB (A) and breaks below 3327 with BOS,
→ short opportunity opens toward new lows at 3314–3310 (labeled C).
---
✅ Summary:
This is a clean scalping setup following SMC principles:
BOS → OB → Liquidity → Reaction
Focus on structure, precision, and quick confirmation signals.
Prepared by:
📌 Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday’s chart analysis played out well.
Price broke above the MA50 and tested the $3,346 resistance zone. However, this zone failed to hold, and gold dropped aggressively toward the $3,306 support.
Once again, price is trending below both the 50 and 200 moving averages, indicating continued bearish pressure.
For now, the $3,306 support is holding. Bulls need to break above $3,330-$3,346 for higher levels to open up.
🔑 Key Levels:
Resistance:
$3,346 • $3,361 • $3,375
Support:
$3,306 • $3,287 • $3,271 • $3,242
Palladium Wave Analysis – 26 June 2025
- Palladium broke resistance level 1100.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 1200.00
Palladium recently broke the resistance zone between the resistance level 1100.00, resistance trendline of the daily up channel from April and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downtrend from October.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active minor impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (C) from April.
Palladium can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1200.00, target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3.
Silver Wave Analysis – 26 June 2025- Silver reversed from key support level 35.50
- Likely to rise to resistance level 37.20
Silver recently reversed up from the key support level 35.50 (which stopped the previous minor correction iv at the start of June, as can be seen from the daily Silver chart below).
The support zone near the support level 35.50 was strengthened by the 20-day moving average and by the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the sharp upward impulse from May.
Silver can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 37.20, which stopped the previous sharp impulse wave 3.
June 27, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
The 3310 zone has shown strong support. If this level breaks, bearish pressure is likely to increase.
On the upside, the 3350 area remains a strong resistance — if price approaches but fails to break through, it could offer a good short opportunity.
Keep a close watch on these two zones. Until a breakout occurs, treat price action as range-bound.
I'll be updating again during the London session — need a quick rest now 😴. Stay tuned!
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3364 – Resistance
• 3350 – Midpoint / Intraday Key Resistance
• 3345 – Resistance
• 3337 – Critical Resistance
• 3321 – Support
• 3310–3312 – Intraday Key Support
• 3300 – Psychological Support
• 3295 – Support
• 3285 – Support
📉 Intraday Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3325 → watch 3321, then 3318, 3310, 3300
• BUY if price holds above 3337 → target 3343, then 3350, 3358, 3364
👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there's interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Trade with caution and always manage your risk.
Nasdaq: At the Upper EdgeYesterday, the Nasdaq climbed above resistance at 22,475 points. Currently, the index is positioned outside our turquoise Target Zone (coordinates: 21,751 – 22,425 points), which remains active. Stops for short positions 1% above the zone have not yet been triggered. Our primary scenario remains intact for now: technically, there is room for wave B to reach the next resistance at 23,229 points. Following the B-wave peak, a downtrend is expected with the corrective wave C. With a 42% probability, we anticipate that wave alt.(4) is already complete, and the index may break directly higher within the magenta-colored wave alt.(5), surpassing the 23,229-point mark.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
GOLD THE united state interest rate stands at 4.25%-4.5%
the US10Y open the day at 4.293% and closes 4.26% a significant drop from may high of 4.62%
the dollar index is heading to 96$ after open 97.611$ to close 97.313$.
Final GDP q/q
Actual: -0.5%
Forecast: -0.2%
Previous: -0.2%
The US economy contracted by 0.5% in the first quarter, worse than the expected 0.2% decline, indicating a sharper slowdown than anticipated.
2. Unemployment Claims
Initial Claims: 236,000
Forecast: 244,000
Previous: 245,000
Initial jobless claims fell by 10,000 to 236,000, lower than forecast and near historically low levels, suggesting that layoffs remain relatively subdued despite economic challenges.
3. Core Durable Goods Orders m/m
Actual: +0.5%
Forecast: +0.1%
Previous: +0.2%
Core durable goods orders, which exclude transportation, rose 0.5% month-over-month, beating expectations and signaling some resilience in business investment.
4. Durable Goods Orders m/m
Actual: +16.4%
Forecast: +8.6%
Previous: -6.3%
Total durable goods orders surged 16.4%, a strong rebound following a prior decline, indicating a pickup in demand for long-lasting manufactured goods.
5. Final GDP Price Index q/q
Actual: 3.7%
This measure of inflation in the GDP deflator remains elevated, reflecting persistent price pressures in the economy.
Summary of Market Implications:
The larger-than-expected GDP contraction signals economic weakness, which could increase expectations for accommodative Fed policy.
The drop in initial jobless claims supports the view that layoffs are limited, but rising continuing claims suggest some labor market softness ahead.
Strong durable goods orders point to underlying business investment strength, providing a mixed but cautiously optimistic outlook.
Elevated inflation as shown by the GDP price index keeps inflation concerns alive.
Overall, the data presents a complex picture of a slowing economy with pockets of resilience and ongoing inflationary pressures
the interest rate remains 4.24%-4.5% ,the bond market remain weak on fiscal policy challenges and pending rate outlook.
the 10 year bond yield is trading around 4.291% -4.26% and edge lower from fundamental outlook.
gold on ascending trendline connecting April till June and found support at 3312-3314.
buyers during newyork session will build momentum on technical to bridge 3350 supply .
break below 3311-3314 will heading to my demand floor .
#gold .
A promising uptrend ,so we wait untill the market test the area Actually if the market breaks the area of support at 3134.713, we might look for another buying opportunity at 2972.951. we will wait for the confirmation OANDA:XAUUSD on our daily chart
2025-06-26 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Is this a bigger two-legged pullback to the 4h ema and now we strongly break above 23900 to go for 24200+ again? It’s my most likely case. It’s still not a good trade to buy above 23800 since that trapped you two times this week for 230 and 300 point pullbacks.
current market cycle: broad bull channel on the weekly chart. Daily chart is in a trading range 23000 - 24500
key levels: 23500 - 24500
bull case: Everything aligns for the bulls. They need the breakout above Tuesday’s high and then we go for the obvious big round number 24000 but I doubt we will stop here. Once the bears who sold above 23800 this week give up, I doubt there will be much resistance until maybe 24300 or higher. Anything below 23600 would be a huge bear surprise tomorrow and my bullish bias is likely wrong.
Invalidation is below 23000.
bear case: Bears don’t have much until they print below 23600 again. Can they hold the market below 24000 and keep this trading range alive? I doubt it. Bears tried 3 times this week and the bull gap to 23550 stayed open.
Invalidation is above 24100.
short term: Bullish. Still expecting 24000 and no print below 23600 tomorrow. Everything else would be a big bear surprise and we could go much lower than 23500 but this is the most unlikely scenario.
medium-long term from 2025-06-22: New bear trend has likely started on 2025-06-05 and we saw W2 conclude on Friday. Daily close below 23000 will be the confirmation for the bears and I have drawn 2 potential final W5 targets. I have written that we will see 20000/21000 again over the summer for many weeks/months now, this even is just another excuse for “analysts” to justify the move down.
trade of the day: Longs close to 23600 were the obvious trade today. The selling for 198 was at least 100 points stronger than I expected and stopped me out but I immediately went long again on the very strong buying below 23650 and closed the day with profits.
Gold: Resistance Validated, Short at 3340-3350 Tomorrow📈 Gold Trading Recap & Tomorrow's Strategy: Resistance Holds, Short Opportunities Persist
💎 Today's newly updated live short strategy hit the TP target successfully! As mentioned earlier, when gold failed to break the support level, we anticipated it to range around 3330—today's trades were precisely centered on this logic. The 3350 resistance was also validated firmly during the session.
💎 Expect further upside in tomorrow's Asian session—recommend continuing short positions within the 3340-3350 range 🚀
🚀 Sell@3350 - 3345
🚀 TP 3335 - 3325 - 3315
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Bitcoin Under Pressure but Eyeing BreakoutThe market remains bullish, but the price has been strongly rejected multiple times in the
108.980 – 108.085 zone. We'll have to see how it reacts.
In my view, Bitcoin appears to be setting up to break through the resistance zone between 114.130 and 109.520. If it manages to break above, we could see higher price levels ahead.
⏱ Keep an eye on the market in real time.
Natural Gas plummets - Israel and Iran PeaceIran and Israel de escalation is causing nat gas to plummet.
Fear of the "Hormuz Strait" closing have slipped away!
Roughly 20% of global liquefied natural gas (LNG) trade flows through the Strait of Hormuz, primarily from Qatar (~9.3 Bcf/d) with smaller volumes from the UAE (~0.7 Bcf/d)
In 2024, approximately 83–84% of those LNG volumes were destined for Asian markets—China, India, South Korea
A temporary drop in gold is logical for an upward moveGold is in an upward trend in higher timeframes, and to form this trend, we need to reach a position where buyers step in. At this moment, a slight pullback in the 15-minute timeframe seems logical, as we are in a small descending channel. OANDA:XAUUSD
